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FRESHER WORKSHOP LISBON, 26 OCTOBER 2015
MASHA SMIRNOVA (EPHA)
THE TEAM
Scientific coordination: Prof. Jean-Paul Moatti, AMU
Project management: Andrea Ricci
and Giovanna Giuffrè, ISIS
Université d’Aix Marseille
AMU
FR
Austrian Institute of Technology
AIT
AT
European Public Health Alliance
EPHA
BE
Fourth View Consulting
FVC
ES
Universidad de Vigo
GEN
SP
Institut National de la Santé et de la Recherche Médicale
INSERM
FR
Istituto di Studi per l’Integrazione dei Sistemi
ISIS
IT
Istituto Superiore di Sanità
ISS
IT
Terveyden Ja Hyvinvoinnin Laitos
FITHL
FI
Slaskie Centrum Chorob Serca W Zabrzu
SCCS
PL
Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development
OECD
FR
2
OBJECTIVES
Identify and present emerging health scenarios to test
future policies that tackle the burden of NCDs
Producing quantitative estimates of the future global burden
of NCDs in the EU and its impact on
• Health care expenditures and delivery
• Population well being
• Health and socio-economic inequalities
+ potential changes in these impacts
3
WP 2 Mapping determinates
WP 5 Modelling and policy simulation
•
WP 7 Dissemination and stakeholders involvement
• Developing policy making and stakeholders involvement strategy
• Mapping key policy making and stakeholders
Definition and implementation of communication and dissemination strategy and tools
APPROACH
Foresight
Highly interactive process
and stakeholders’
involvement at all stages
• Forward looking methods and techniques to capture
interdependencies of structural long term trends (technological,
economic, environmental, societal incl. demography and gender
relations)
• Opening up space for dialogue, new innovative policy approches,
tool for improved decision making against the background of future
environments
Microsimulation
• Projects incidence and prevalence of behavioural, biological and
environmental risk factors for the development of NCDs, the burden
of NCDs and the health and economic consequences
• Quantifies impacts of developed scenarios and tests
policy options
5
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