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䜶䝡䝕䞁䝇䛻ᇶ䛵䛟⮬ẅண㜵⥲ྜᑐ⟇䛾Ⅽ䛾
⮬ẅ䝸䝇䜽䛻㛵䛩䜛◊✲
ஂಖ⏣㻌 ㈗ᩥ㻌
ᳺ㻌 ᗈィ㻌 㻌 㻌 㻌
෠⏣㻌 ㄔ㻌 㻌 㻌 㻌
▼ᒸ㻌 ᩥ⏕㻌 㻌
ᒸ㻌 ᷄㻌 㻌 㻌 㻌 㻌
అᮌ㻌 ᛅ⩏㻌 㻌
2014/2/4
䠄⤫ィᩘ⌮◊✲ᡤ䠅
䠄⤫ィᩘ⌮◊✲ᡤ䠅
䠄ᮾி་⛉ṑ⛉኱Ꮫ䠅
䠄ᒸᒣ኱Ꮫ䠅
䠄࿴ḷᒣ┴❧་⛉኱Ꮫ䠅
䠄⤫ィᩘ⌮◊✲ᡤ䠅
᫬✵㛫㞟✚ᛶ
• ⮬ẅண㜵⥲ྜᑐ⟇䝉䞁䝍䞊䛛䜙䛾ጤク◊✲
• ◊✲㞟఍
ISSI2013@᝟ሗ◊
• ᆅᇦ≉ᚩ
᪥ᮏ䛻஧ḟ་⒪ᅪ䛤䛸䛾✵㛫䝩䝑䝖䝇䝫䝑䝖䞉䜽䞊䝹䝇䝫䝑䝖䛾ᖺḟ᥎⛣
䛂᪥ᮏ䛾⮬ẅᕼᑡᆅᇦ䛾㞟✚ᛶ䛻䛴䛔䛶䠈➨4ᅇ ᅜ㝿䝽䞊䜽䝅䝵䝑䝥䠖♫఍䛾
䜲䝜䝧䞊䝅䝵䞁䜢ㄏⓎ䛩䜛᝟ሗ䝅䝇䝔䝮-䜽䝷䜲䝅䝇䛻ᙉ䛔♫఍ᇶ┙ -䛃䜘䜚
– ┦㛵ศᯒ䠈ᅇᖐศᯒ
ᖺ㱋㝵⣭ู⮬ẅ⋡䛾䜽䝷䝇䝍䞊ศᯒ䠄K-meansἲ䠅䛾⤖ᯝ䠄95䠄ᕥ䠅,00䠄ྑ䠅䠅
䛂 Cluster analysis of age-grouped suicide data in Japan with spatio-temporal structure.
Computational Statistics (COMPSTAT2012)䛃䜘䜚
• Ẽ㇟᮲௳
• ᾏᓊᒓᛶ䠈ᓥᒓᛶ
– 䜽䝷䝇䝍䞊ศᯒ
• ྍど໬
✵㛫䝩䝑䝖䝇䝫䝑䝖䠄᪥ᮏ඲య䠅
✵㛫䝩䝑䝖䝇䝫䝑䝖䠄㛵ᮾᆅ᪉䠅
✵㛫䜽䞊䝹䝇䝫䝑䝖
ᖺ㱋㝵⣭ู䛤䛸䛾✵㛫䝩䝑䝖䝇
䝫䝑䝖
• ᮇ㛫䛾ቑศ䛻䛴䛔䛶䛾✵㛫
䝩䝑䝖䝇䝫䝑䝖
• ᫬✵㛫䝩䝑䝖䝇䝫䝑䝖
• ᫬✵㛫䠇ᖺ㱋䛾䝩䝑䝖䝇䝫䝑䝖
ISSI2013@᝟ሗ◊
᫬✵㛫㞟✚ᛶ
ᆅᇦ≉ᚩ䞉ྍど໬
せᅉศᯒ
SNS䝕䞊䝍䛾ゎᯒ
ከኚ㔞᫬⣔ิศᯒ
ᆅᇦ≉ᚩ䞉ྍど໬
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2014/2/4
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2014/2/4
ISSI2013@᝟ሗ◊
– ᆅᇦ䛾༢఩䠖஧ḟ་⒪ᅪ
– ᑐ㇟䜶䝸䜰䠖᪥ᮏ඲య䠄୍㒊䠈㛵
ᮾᆅ᪉䠅
– ᛶู䠖⏨ዪู䛻
– ᑐ㇟䛸䛩䜛ḟඖ䠖✵㛫䠈᫬✵㛫䠈
᫬✵㛫䠇ᖺ㱋
– ᑐ㇟䛸䛺䜛≉ᛶ್䠖
䛣䜜䜎䛷䛾⮬ẅ䝸䝇䜽䛻㛵㐃䛩䜛◊✲
– ᫬✵㛫䝕䞊䝍䛾ྍど໬
– せᅉ䛸䛾㛵㐃
– ᪉ἲ
• 䜰䝙䝯䞊䝅䝵䞁
• 䠏D⾲♧
• 䜲䞁䝍䝷䜽䝔䜱䝤᧯స
᪥ᮏ䛻஧ḟ་⒪ᅪ䛤䛸䛾✵㛫䝩䝑䝖䝇䝫䝑䝖䞉䜽䞊䝹䝇䝫䝑䝖䠄ᖺ㱋㝵⣭ู䠅
䛂Spatio-temporal Clustering of Age Grouped Suicide Data in Japan,
Analysis and Modeling of Complex Data in Behavioural and Social Sciences (JCS-CLADAG12)䛃䜘䜚
2014/2/4
ISSI2013@᝟ሗ◊
ᛶ䞉ᖺ㱋ู䛾⮬ẅ䛾ᖺḟ᥎⛣. Shiny䜢⏝䛔䛶䜲䞁䝍䝷䜽䝔䜱䝤᧯స䜢ᐇ⌧
䛂 ISI2013 䛃䛻䛶ሗ࿌ணᐃ
せᅉศᯒ1
• 䝸䞁䜿䞊䝆䛧䛯䝕䞊䝍
– ᅜໃㄪᰝ䜘䜚→䝫䜰䝋䞁ᅇᖐ
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ேཱྀῶᑡ⋡
ᖺ㱋㝵⣭ูேཱྀ䠄⋡䠅
༢㌟ୡᖏ䠈㧗㱋༢㌟ୡᖏ
⏘ᴗูᑵᴗ⪅๭ྜ䠈㧗㱋⪅ྠ๭ྜ
᏶඲ኻᴗ⋡䠈ᖺ㱋ู↓⫋๭ྜ
ఇ⫋⪅๭ྜ
– Ẽ㇟䛾䝕䞊䝍䜘䜚→䝫䜰䝋䞁ᅇᖐ
• Ẽ 䠈㝆Ỉ㔞䠈᪥ᑕ㔞䠈᪥↷᫬㛫
– Ẹຊ䜘䜚→ከኚ㔞ศᯒ䠄ḟ䝇䝷䜲䝗䠅
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2014/2/4
ேཱྀ䠖᫨㛫䠈༢㌟䠈ேཱྀᐦᗘ
⤒῭䠖ປാ䠈⏘ᴗู๭ྜ䠈ẸႠ஦ᴗᡤ䠈ᚑᴗဨ
ၟᕤᴗ䠖ᑠ኎ᗑ䠈㈍኎㢠䠈ᕤᴗ〇ရ
ᆅ᪉㈈ᨻ䠖ᆅ᪉⛯཰ධ䠈ṓฟ
᪋タ䠖ᩍ⫱䠈ᑠ኎䠈ᅗ᭩㤋䠈ಖ⫱ᡤ䠈බẸ㤋䠈⑓㝔
䛭䛾௚䠖㎰ᴗฟⲴ㢠䠈஌⏝㌴ಖ᭷
ISSI2013@᝟ሗ◊
せᅉศᯒ2
• ከኚ㔞ศᯒ
– ᅇᖐศᯒ
• 䝫䜰䝋䞁ᅇᖐ
⮬ẅ⋡䛚䜘䜃䠈Ẹຊ䛾䝕䞊䝍䜢౑䛳䛯୺ᡂศศᯒ䛾⤖ᯝ
୺ᡂศ䛤䛸䛾Variance䠄ᕥୖ䠅䠈➨୍vs➨஧୺ᡂศ䠄ྑୖ䠅䠈䛭䛾ᣑ኱䠄ᕥୗ䠅
䛂⾜ືィ㔞Ꮫ ᒸᒣᆅᇦ㒊఍ ➨46ᅇ◊✲఍
䛂䝦䝹䝇䝃䜲䜶䞁䝇䛸⾜ືィ㔞Ꮫ䛃(2013.03.16)䛃䛻䛶ሗ࿌
– ୺ᡂศศᯒ
– ᅉᏊศᯒ
– ඹศᩓᵓ㐀ศᯒ
– ඹศᩓᵓ㐀ศᯒ
⮬ẅ⋡䜢Ẹຊ䛾䝕䞊䝍䛷ㄝ᫂䛧䛯ᅇᖐศᯒ䛾⤖ᯝ䠄ᶓ㍈䛜ண ್䠈⦪㍈䛜ほ ್䠄⮬ẅ⋡䠅䠅
䛂⾜ືィ㔞Ꮫ ᒸᒣᆅᇦ㒊఍ ➨46ᅇ◊✲఍䛂䝦䝹䝇䝃䜲䜶䞁䝇䛸⾜ືィ㔞Ꮫ䛃(2013.03.16)䛃䛻䛶ሗ࿌
2014/2/4
ISSI2013@᝟ሗ◊
䠄ᕥ䠅ᅇᖐศᯒᚋኚᩘ㑅ᢥ䛾⤖ᯝ䜘䜚㑅䜀䜜䛯ኚᩘ䜢౑䛳䛶䠈ඹศᩓᵓ㐀ศᯒ䜢⾜䛳䛯⤖ᯝ䛾䝟䝇ᅗ
䛂⾜ືィ㔞Ꮫ ᒸᒣᆅᇦ㒊఍ ➨46ᅇ◊✲఍䛂䝦䝹䝇䝃䜲䜶䞁䝇䛸⾜ືィ㔞Ꮫ䛃(2013.03.16)䛃䛻䛶ሗ࿌
༢ㄒ㢖ᗘゎᯒ䠄䜽䝻䝇⾲䠅
SNS䠄twitter䠅䛾䝔䜻䝇䝖䝕䞊䝍䛾ゎᯒ
• 䛂⮬ẅ䛃䜢ྵ䜐tweet䝕䞊䝍䜢཰㞟
– 2012ᖺ7᭶䡚12᭶
– ID,᫬้䠈䝔䜻䝇䝖
– 140୓䝒䜲䞊䝖䠄RT䜢ྵ䜎䛺䛔䠅
• ᫬㛫ᖏ䞉᭙᪥䞉᭶䞉䜻䞊䝽䞊䝗䛷䜽䝻䝇㞟ィ
• ₯ᅾព࿡ゎᯒ
– 䛂⮬ẅ䛃䛂䛧䛯䛔䛃䛻㏆䛔䝒䜲䞊䝖䜢᳨ฟ
– 䜹䝔䝂䝸䞊䛻╔┠䛧䛶䛭䛾≉ᚩ
• 䠄≉ᚩㄒ䛻ὀ┠䛧䛶ᑐᛂศᯒ䠅
2014/2/4
ISSI2013@᝟ሗ◊
2014/2/4
ISSI2013@᝟ሗ◊
⮬ẅண㜵⥲ྜᑐ⟇䝉䞁䝍䞊䛛䜙䛾
ጤク◊✲
䜹䝔䝂䝸䞊䛻╔┠䠖㢖ᗘゎᯒ䛾⤖ᯝ䛾୍㒊
䜹䝔䝂
䝸䞊
䜻䞊䝽䞊䝗
ಶู䛾Tweet䛾ഴྥ
⢭⚄
䛖䛴䠈䝇䝖䝺䝇䠈⸆≀䠈㓇
⚗㓇䠈୙╀䠈⢭⚄⛉➼
୍⯡ⓗ䛺᝟ሗᥦ౪䠄䝙䝳䞊䝇䛾䝁䝢䝨䠅䠈
ಶู䛾᝟ሗᥦ౪䜔㆟ㄽ䜒ྵ䜎䜜䜛
་⒪
ႍᜥ䞉䜰䝺䝹䜼䞊䞉③䜏
㢌③䞉䛜䜣䞉៏ᛶ⑌ᝈ➼
ಶே᝟ሗ䛾ᥦ౪䚹⮬ẅ䜈䛾䛒䛚䜚䚹ㄝ᫂䠄③䜏
䛸䛿䞉䞉䞉䠅䚹
ᐙ᪘
⤖፧䠈㞳፧䠈⹢ᚅ䠈DV
◚ᒁ➼
᝟ሗ䠄䝙䝳䞊䝇䠅䠈ၥ㢟ᥦ㉳䠈ᅉᯝ䛾ㄝ᫂䠄㞳፧䠅
♫఍䞉
⤒῭
௙஦䞉ኻᴗ䞉⚟♴䞉ಙ௮
ᰴᘧ䞉᪥ᮏ⤒῭䞉ッゴ➼
⮬ẅ㢪ᮃ䠄௙஦䛜䜏䛴䛛䜙䛺䛔䠅䠈ၥ㢟ᥦ㉳䠄௙
஦㛵ಀ䠅䠈䛂᐀ᩍ䛃䛿䝛䜺䝔䜱䝤䛻౑䜟䜜䛶䛔䜛
– ᆅᇦ⤫ィ䛾ྍど໬
ㄏⓎ
㤳䛴䜚䞉㣕䜃㝆䜚䞉⦎Ⅳ
᏶඲⮬ẅ䝬䝙䝳䜰䝹➼
䜟䛪䛛䛰䛜⮬ẅ㢪ᮃ䜒䛒䜚䠄㣕䜃㝆䜚䠅䠈
– ⮬ẅῶᑡ䛾せᅉ䜢᥈䜛䛯䜑䛻䠈᭶ู䞉⫋ᴗู䛾⮬ẅ䝕䞊䝍䜈䛾ᛂ⏝
ᡭἲ
⮬ẅ᪉ἲ䞉⮬ẅ䝃䜲䝖
◲໬Ỉ⣲䞉㞟ᅋ⮬ẅ➼
せᅉ䠄╧╀䞉㓇䞉ᐙ᪘䞉➼䛸㛵㐃䛩䜛⮬ẅ㢪ᮃ䠅䠈
᳨⣴䠄䛹䜣䛺᪉ἲ䛜䛒䜚䜎䛩䛛䠛⮬ẅ᪉ἲ䠅
2014/2/4
• 䛂⮬ẅᑐ⟇䛾䛯䜑䛾⮬ẅṚஸ䛾ᆅᇦ⤫ィ䛃䠄ᖹᡂ21ᖺ4᭶䠅
• 䛂⮬ẅᑐ⟇䛾䛯䜑䛾⮬ẅṚஸ䛾ᆅᇦ⤫ィ䠄䠎䠅-⮬ẅ䛾ᡭẁ䚸㓄ᒓ㛵ಀ䚸⫋
ᴗ-䛃䠄ᖹᡂ22ᖺ2᭶䠅
• 䛂⮬ẅᑐ⟇䛾䛯䜑䛾⮬ẅṚஸ䛾ᆅᇦ⤫ィ1973-2009䛃䠄ᖹᡂ23ᖺ3᭶䠅
• 䛂⮬ẅᑐ⟇䛾䛯䜑䛾⮬ẅṚஸ䛾ᆅᇦ⤫ィ 䝡䝆䝳䜰䝷䜲䝈∧䛃䠄ᖹᡂ25ᖺ1
᭶䠅
– 䜰䝥䝸䜢౑䛳䛯䜲䞁䝍䝷䜽䝔䜱䝤᧯స
• 䛂⮬ẅ䛾せᅉศᯒ䛃 䠄ᖹᡂ25ᖺ1᭶䠅
ISSI2013@᝟ሗ◊
– Ẽ㇟䠈ேཱྀ䞉ୡᖏ䠈⾜ᨻ䞉⤒῭ᇶ┙䠈ᆅᇦ䛻㛵䛩䜛ኚᩘ䛸⤖ྜ
– 䝫䜰䝋䞁ᅇᖐ䝰䝕䝹
2014/2/4
◊✲㞟఍
• ⮬ẅ䝸䝇䜽䛻㛵䛩䜛◊✲఍䚸ᮾி㒔❧ᕝᕷ䚸2011.10.14
• ➨2ᅇ ⮬ẅ䝸䝇䜽䛻㛵䛩䜛◊✲఍䚸ᮾி㒔❧ᕝᕷ䚸2012.10.17
• ⾜ືィ㔞Ꮫ ᒸᒣᆅᇦ㒊఍ ➨46ᅇ◊✲఍䚸ᒸᒣ┴ᒸᒣᕷ䚸2013.03.16
– 䛂䝦䝹䝇䝃䜲䜶䞁䝇䛸⾜ືィ㔞Ꮫ䛃
• Joint Meeting of the IASC Satellite Conference for the 59the ISI WSC and
the 8the Conference of the Asian Regional Section of the IASC䚸
– ᣍᚅ䝉䝑䝅䝵䞁䛂Statistical Modelling for Suicidal Risks䛃㡑ᅜ䝋䜴䝹
䠄Yonsei University䠅䚸2013.08.22-23
• ➨3ᅇ ⮬ẅ䝸䝇䜽䛻㛵䛩䜛◊✲఍䚸2013ᖺ10᭶17᪥䠄ᮌ䠅
• ➨4ᅇ ⮬ẅ䝸䝇䜽䛻㛵䛩䜛◊✲఍䚸2014ᖺ3᭶2᪥䠄᪥䠅༗๓䠄ணᐃ䠅
• 䝟䝛䝹ウㄽ఍䛂⮬ẅ⥲ྜᑐ⟇䛻ᚲせ䛺⼥ྜⓗ◊ ✲䠖䛭䛾⌧≧䛸௒ ᚋ(௬
㢟䠅䛃 䚸2014ᖺ3᭶2᪥䠄᪥䠅14:50-18:00䠄ணᐃ䠅
2014/2/4
ISSI2013@᝟ሗ◊
ISSI2013@᝟ሗ◊
⮬ẅᑐ⟇᳨ドホ౯఍㆟
• ᆅᇦ⮬ẅᑐ⟇⥭ᛴᙉ໬ᇶ㔠
– 䛂ᑐ㠃ᆺ┦ㄯᨭ᥼஦ᴗ䛃䚸䛂㟁ヰ┦ㄯᨭ᥼஦ᴗ䛃䚸
䛂ேᮦ㣴ᡂ஦ᴗ䛃䚸䛂ᬑཬၨⓎ஦ᴗ䛃ཬ䜃䛂ᙉ໬䝰
䝕䝹஦ᴗ䛃
• ⮬ẅᑐ⟇᳨ドホ౯఍㆟
– ᐇ᪋≧ἣ
– ᇶ㔠ཬ䜃⥭ᛴᙉ໬஦ᴗ䛾ᐃ㔞ศᯒ
• ೺ᗣཎᅉ䛾⮬ẅṚஸ⋡䛾పୗ䛸⥭ᛴᙉ໬஦ᴗᐇ᪋
䛾┦㛵
– 䝠䜰䝸䞁䜾ㄪᰝ
2014/2/4
ISSI2013@᝟ሗ◊
⮬ẅ⪅䛾ືᶵ䛻╔┠䛧䛯ᆅᇦ⮬ẅᑐ⟇⥭ᛴ
ᙉ໬ᇶ㔠஦ᴗ䛾ຠᯝ䛾ศᯒ
• ౑⏝䛧䛯䝕䞊䝍
• ᡭἲ
– ᆅᇦ⮬ẅᑐ⟇ᙉ໬ᇶ㔠
• H24ᖺᗘ䛾ᇳ⾜㢠䠄䛂ᇶ㔠䛃䛸䛂ග
䛃䛾ྜィ䠅䜢඲య䠈ᑐ㠃䠈㟁ヰ䠈
ேᮦ䠈ᬑཬ䠈ᙉ໬䛾 6䜹䝔䝂䝸䛷
㞟ィ(㒔㐨ᗓ┴ู䠈ᑐேཱྀẚ⋡)
– ⮬ẅṚஸ⪅
• H23ᖺ䞉24ᖺ䠈ཎᅉ䞉ືᶵ䠈㒔㐨
ᗓ┴ู
– ┦㛵ศᯒ
• ⤖ᯝ
– 䛂೺ᗣ䛃ཎᅉ䛾⮬
ẅ⋡䛾ᕪศ䛿䠈
䛂඲య䛃䠈䛂㟁ヰ䛃䠈
䛂ᬑཬ䛃䛸䛾┦㛵
WHOୡ⏺⮬ẅ䝺䝫䞊䝖఍㆟
䛆୺ദ䛇䠄⊂䠅ᅜ❧⢭⚄䞉⚄⤒་⒪◊✲䝉䞁䝍䞊 䚸WHO䚸WHOすኴᖹὒ஦ົᒁ
䛆ඹദ䛇᪥ᮏ䛖䛴⑓Ꮫ఍䚸᪥ᮏබ⾗⾨⏕༠఍䚸᪥ᮏ⮬ẅண㜵Ꮫ఍䚸᪥ᮏ⢭⚄⚄⤒Ꮫ఍
䛆ᚋ᥼䛇ෆ㛶ᗓ䚸ཌ⏕ປാ┬䚸඲ᅜ⢭⚄ಖ೺⚟♴䝉䞁䝍䞊㛗఍
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᪥᫬䠖2013ᖺ12᭶16-17᪥
఍ሙ䠖⛅ⴥཎUDX
䛆┠ⓗ䛇 ⮬ẅ䛿බ⾗⾨⏕ୖ䛾㔜せ䛺ㄢ㢟䛷䛒䜛䛸䛔䛖ㄆ㆑䛾ྥୖ䜢ᅗ䜚䠈⮬ẅண㜵䛻
㛵䛩䜛⛉Ꮫⓗ᰿ᣐ䛻ᇶ䛵䛔䛯ᥦ᱌䜢⾜䛔䠈ຠᯝⓗ䛺ྲྀ䜚⤌䜏䜢ዡບ䛩䜛䛣䛸䜢┠ⓗ䛸
䛧䛯ୡ⏺⮬ẅ䝺䝫䞊䝖䛾ෆᐜ䛾᳨ウ䜢⾜䛖䚹
• ᐙᗞ䛸೺ᗣ䛻╔┠䠄㠀⤒῭ⓗせ
ᅉ䛷䠈୍ᐃᩘ䛾ヱᙜ⪅䛜Ꮡᅾ䠅
• ⮬ẅ⋡䛾ኚ໬䛿ᕪศ䜘䜚䜒ኚ໬
⋡䜢㔜ど
2014/2/4
ISSI2013@᝟ሗ◊
⮬ẅண㜵⥲ྜᑐ⟇䝉䞁䝍䞊䛂WHOୡ⏺⮬ẅ䝺䝫䞊䝖఍㆟ཬ䜃㛵㐃⾜஦䛃䝨䞊䝆䜘䜚
2014/2/4
ISSI2013@᝟ሗ◊
ཧ⪃㈨ᩱ䞉Web䝨䞊䝆
䝰䞊䝅䝵䞁䝥䝻䝑䝖䠈ከኚ㔞᫬⣔ิศᯒ
• ⮬ẅṚஸ⋡䠄⏕ά䞉
⤒῭ၥ㢟䠈㒔㐨ᗓ
┴ู䠈᭶ḟ䠅
• ⮬ẅᑐ⟇᳨ドホ౯఍㆟
• 㠀ಖㆤ⪅ேဨ䠄⋡䠈
㒔㐨ᗓ┴ู䠈᭶ḟ䠅
• ᡭἲ
• International Association for Suicide
Prevention (IASP)
– どぬ໬
• 䝰䞊䝅䝵䞁䝏䝱䞊䝖
– ከ㔜⮬ᕫᅇᖐ䝰䝕䝹
2014/2/4
ISSI2013@᝟ሗ◊
– http://www8.cao.go.jp/jisatsutaisaku/kensyouhyo
uka/index.html
– http://www.iasp.info/wspd/
• ⮬ẅண㜵⥲ྜᑐ⟇䝉䞁䝍䞊䛂WHOୡ⏺⮬ẅ
䝺䝫䞊䝖఍㆟ཬ䜃㛵㐃⾜஦䛃
– https://ikiru.smktg.jp/public/seminar/view/38
2014/2/4
ISSI2013@᝟ሗ◊