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`a& ,"bEF ,"1EF =R( c6 *0 %"D':A >"]$*d %";e]C .(='( ?='(*;2& R >`a& ?,"bEF .(='( ?(*@-A' *-6( YD*7 U?(*@-A' !B= U=*$ R ML$ ?*NO U%"D':A >"]$*d U8+=*1 J"K-L& ?='HI56*&,3 :9?.F( G";H,& M21UK23UF21UC23: JEL 9?I3 -JK U?_$,& )',hF !d'R 8&g3' ('4\ *f#D'( ?='!0*Ld R (*@-A' !9#D'( =*6(*-3' .1 E.Mail:[email protected] E.Mail: [email protected]?(*@-A' i:j< !B=' k*;B=*$ .2 (1391 7"$8,9 61 /3"45 /012) !"#$%& '()* +,"-)#. …………….……….……….…82 #?-# .1 =( ?(*@-A' )g$ R (,1 ?*NO 8W*`F=' 5Kjd )':;<50 «=*$RML$ ?*NO» >"]C' U?(g"& 90 5C( =( 5X,< =( =:0_& ?*Cm1*B (:`h0 R =*$RML$ S'=,K& lgX' >3' JjL& 5eD\ .!B l,P& ?(*@-A' S*"0(' R n*KF=' R (*@-A' 5X,< =( 8X:@1 ./0 >$=*#& 5`;+ >6:KF >h+ =( 83*3' R >`a& 8&*I *h;F 5D 8D*h+ 8j$ =:W 50 R *C *f;0 (,9j]< (:`h0 !0*"D (:`h0 =*$RML$ ?*NO 5$8&'(*& .>3' =:#$ 50 ?=R*;O (R=R Y"hLF ?*C!&*"7 4' 8]3=,"o ./0 p,-LI R *C *f;0 ?,6H7>0*A= .C*$ >L"D ,6H7)*9&' 8X:@1 ./0 !B= U8F*"[*& !&\=( .C*$ i:hZ& 50 >[R( ?',0 U(*@-A' 8]3=,"o ./0 p,-LI .>3' =*$RML$ M3*;&*D q"Q& 50 8]3= ?*C *f;0 ?',0 R 8]3= 8[*& %"&*F s0*;& 4' )!D*& iR,Q& 8;2& 50 8]3=,"o ?(*@-A' )r*2O ?',0 ?',0 T6R 50 =*$RML$ S'=,K& >[:h3 >"]C' .>3' 8]3=,"o )r*2O *0 J[*3*D >0*A= =( %-O,I =',A i:hZ& ?',0 5"3R= R ?_[*& U%"t U80:;+ ,$ ):t 86*C=:#$ 5$ >3' ?!d 50 (SMEs) q3:-& R ct:$ ?*C *f;0 .!D' ('( =',A (:1 ?*C5&*D,0 =*]B =( '= %"D':A %6' lgX' ?(*@-A' q6',B (:`h0 ?='HI56*&,3 ,"b*F 83=,0 R ?(*@-A' !B= ,0 =*$RML$ S'=,K& ,"b*F 83=,0 5[*K& %6' 8jX' u'!C' Up(gf;0 U%"-D'v=\ U,6'_w[' Y&*B G77 M/-;& ?*C=:#$ =( ?(*@-A' !B= ,0 (FDI) 8+=*1 J"K-L& UgxR_DR U5x:IR=R' UyD:F U!;j6*F U)*-L0,< UR,7 U)*-L$*7 U.$',& U)',6' U?_DR!D' U!;C U,@& U%9";"&R( U*"`]j$ c6 =( %"D':A >"]$*d )'_"& R =*$RML$ ?*NO =( ?!;0 5`F= )'_"& =( 8;f]C 4' ',64 .!B*08& =:7*f;3 Ui*;-6R 4' 5-3( %6' 5`F= 5-L+,0 )*D'(*@-A' %]wD' 2010 V*3 p='_I k*3' ,0 ?=:W50 .!;B*08& ='(:1,0 zP3 .!B*08& 3/96 *F 5/42 %"0 =*$RML$ ?*NO =( ?*C=:#$ R %"D':A >"]$*d )'_"& .(:B ('( |3*7 V':3 %6' 50 5[*K& %6' =( *F !B %6' ,0 823 =:{;& %"]C 50 5[*K& %6' ?',0 ,64 ?*C5"},O k*3' %6' ,0 ~(:B8& ?(*@-A' !B= M+:& 5D:ft 8+=*1 J"K-L& ?='HI56*&,3 :!B*08& ,{D !& .(='( ?='(8;2& R >`a& G77 M/-;& ?*C=:#$ =( %"D':A >"]$*d )'_"& *6\ -1 G77M/-;& ?*C=:#$ =( =*$RML$ S'=,K& )(:0 >/3 )'_"& R 8+=*1 J"K-L& ?='HI56*&,3 )'_"& -2 .(='( ?='(8;2& R >`a& ?,b' *6\ ?(*@-A' !B= )'_"& ,0 . (:B 5-1'(,7 *-6( YD*7 pR= 4' "KQF S*"},O R V':3 83=,0 50 !B 823 =:{;& %6' 50 83..........G77 ?*C=:#$ =( ?(*@-A' !B= ,0 8+=*1 J"K-L& ?='HI56*&,3 R =*$RML$ S'=,K& ,"bEF 83=,0 9$LM 2M"J# .2 *1 V*3 c6 =( =:#$ c6 !"[:F .6'_O' 4' >3' S=*`< ?(*@-A' !B= U (*3 ,"0*2F R c"3g$ (*@-A' =( ,b' =( 5$ !D'(8& ?='!6*7 !;6',O '= ?(*@-A' !B= R='(:F Y96*& .(19901,#"O) 56*7 V*3 =( )\ ='!K& *0 5L6*K& =( ,{D 4' *&' .(:B8& 8j& !&\=( zP3 .6'_O' M`3 R !0*68& .6'_O' )*&4 8W =( ?(*@-A' !"[:F >"O, )\ =:{;& 50 ?!"[:F >"O, S!&!;j0 .6'_O' :4' >3' S=*`< R (='( ?,F"A( i:hZ& ?(*@-A' !B= y-D4:$ .( 77 U ('4!]Q&) i(,& 50 ?(*@-A' ?*Cr*$ ,F:;-& 5t ,C ?5},< 8P"Q& q6',B )':F8& .!0*6 KQF ,&' %6' ?',0 4*"D (=:& q6',B !6*0 ?(*@-A' 523:F R !B= .6'_O' ?',0 ?*NO U,f6( S=*`<50 .(,$ 6,2F =*$RML$ ?*NO 50 '= =*$RML$ p,-LI R !"[:F .6'_O' ?',0 4*"D (=:& 8[R >3' *C *f;0 )\ S=!A R qjLF 4' =*1 5$ >3' ?(*@-A' ?*C *f;0 =*$RML$ ,0 ,b:& ?*C," -& =*$RML$ .>3' ,b:& =*"L0 *hD\ pgF 5w"-D ,0 4' !D':F8& 5$ >3' ?(*@-A' !B= !;6',O =( 83*3' ?*C4*"D."7 4' 896 )':;<50 56*&,3 >B*`D' %";e]C %6,FJh& 4' .!B*08& 8j1'( 4'!D'y7 ?',0 8j]9& )':;< 50 8+=*1 8[*& s0*;& .((,I %"&*F 8+=*1 *6 8j1'( s0*;& .>3' 2(FDI) 8+=*1 J"K-L& ?='HI56*&,3 8+=*1 8[*& s0*;& (R=R ?*C '= )(,0r*0 U!6!+ .D'( U4R= ?T :[:;9F U56*&,3 GH+ Y&*B (FDI) 8+=*1 J"K-L& ?='HI56*&,3 !6':O US*2[*P& k*3',0 .>3' >0*A= S=!A .6'_O' R *C>1'(,7 4',F (:`h0 UV* -B' .6'_O' U>6,6!& 86*D':F !B= U*C>1*3,64 U(*@-A' )(:0 4*0 U56*&,3 >#I4*0 ,D Y"`A 4' ?(*64 Y&':< s0*F 8+=*1 J"K-L& ?='HI56*&,3 R >[R( 8[*& s}R U8+=*1 8C!0 U4=' ,D Ui=:F U8D*LD' 56*&,3 U82"`W s0*;& U8j1'( ?='HI56*&,3 U?(*@-A' .!B*08& ='4*0 4'!D' %"D':A >"]$*d )'_"& R S'=,K& >"2}R (FDI) 8+=*1 J"K-L& ?='HI56*&,3 ,0 ,b:& =*"L0 (=':& 4' 896 56*&,3 (R=R ?',0 82D*& S=:X50 !D':F8& 8`LD =:W50 S'=,K& .!B*08& ?='HI56*&,3 )*0_"& ?*C=:#$ =( 8+=*1 )'='HI56*&,3 JC R 8j1'( )'='HI56*&,3 '= ,3 ,0 !D':F8& JC 5$ 82D*& .!B*0 !"[:F 5X,< 50 )'='HI ?',0 ?' _"fD' ,f6( U!B*0 :;]& =:#$ Y1'( ?*C86'='( ,0 )*"+=*1 >"9[*& ,I' ga& .!B*0 (,F!6!B S=:X50) .!D*&8]D 8A*0 )*D\ ?='HI56*&,3 5$ !B !C':1 <*0 =*$RML$ 50 R,1 R (R=R =:{;&50 ,"I *7R>3( %"D':A .C*$ R S*`b*0 %"D':A */F' .(='Hf0 )*0_"& ?(*@-A' !B= ,0 8-`a& S',b' R !B ,-#"0 )*0_"& (*@-A' 50 !B (='R 8+=*1 )'='HI56*&,3 ('!2F -8& ?4'!D' '= )*0_"& =:#$ (*@-A' =( 8+=*1 J"K-L& ?='HI56*&,3 )':;< >QF 5$ 8+=*1 ?*C *f;0 r:X' !;6\,O =( 8j1'( ?*C *f;0 50 >`LD ..... R %6:D 8-6,6!& ?*CpR= R ,F5-O,#"7 ?=R*;O 4' 8`LD =:W50 !D:B 1. Fisher 1990 2 .foreign direct investment (1391 7"$8,9 61 /3"45 /012) !"#$%& '()* +,"-)#. …………….……….……….…84 ?*C *f;0 )*"& !D4*3 Y&*2F R )*0_"& (*@-A' =( 8+=*1 ?*C *f;0 Jh3 .6'_O' *0 R !;B*08& !;& ,h0 !"[:F 50 ,w;& >6*hD =( 5$ (='( .... R *C(_]-3( zP3 U='4*0 =*-1*3 U=*$?R,"D S=*h& ,0 8-`a& S',b' 8+=*1 R 8j1'( .(44U45mX U1390U*"D8[R) (:B8& =:#$ )\ ?(*@-A' !B= R )*0_"& =:#$ =( !"[:F (:`h0 !;6',O i*wD' =( 5$ >3' 86*C5;6_C U8[*& ?*C5;6_C .!B*08& 8D*&4 R 8[:7 S=:X R( 50 S'=,K& ?*C5;6_C !;D*& ((,I >1'(,7 !6*0 !"[:F Y&':< 4' ,"o 8j&':< 50 U?='HI56*&,3 4' ?='(,0 ,h0 V:W =( *6 R ?='HI56*&,3 ,-#"0 !"[:F Y&':< 50 !6*0 ):D*A k*3',0 5$ 86*C5;6_C *6 R ((,I >1'(,7 !6*0 >$,B >`b ?',0 5$ 86*C5;6_C ... R %9L& d S=:X 50 !6*0 =*$ ):D*A k*3',0 5$ 86*C5;6_C !;D*& ((,I >1'(,7 !"[:F J"K-L& 5;6_C 4' Y"]QF )*&4 )('( >3( 4' Y"[( 50 U)'='HI56*&,3 50 5$ >3' 86*C5;6_C UJC 8D*&4 ?*C5;6_C .((,I >1'(,7 :(,]B ,0 5D:I %6' )':F8& '= =*$RML$ ?*NO =( S'=,K& )(:0 r*0 8Z;& S',b' 4' 8N20 .(:B8& 4' _6,I *6 S'=,K&4' 8B*D ?*C5;6_C 4' =',O ,W*1 50 5$ *"3 ='4*0 (*w6' R (*@-A' 8]3=,"o ./0 )!B =_0 .!6\8& (:+R50 US'=,K& J1R"7 ,7 Yd',& .=:#$ ?(*@-A' !B= .C*$ R =:#$ =( ?=*9"0 )'_"& %-O= r*0 )\ s`F 50 R (*@-A' =( ?='HI56*&,3 .C*$ -.[*t 86*3*;B R =*$RML$ ?*NO S'=,K& (:`h0 G:t=*t :@1=( p*9;$ 50 1=*$RML$ ?*NO p='_I 5 M[*A =( 2003 V*3 =( =*$RML$ ?*NO p='_I %"[R' .(4'(,78& =*$RML$ >"2}R *KF=' >h+ (:+:& ?*C ?*C=:#$ ('!2F R !"3= m1*B 11 50 p('!2F ,}*d V*d =( 5$ U!B 5"hF =:#$ 133 (=:& =( R m1*B .>3' 5-O*6 *KF=' =:#$ 183 50 83=,0 (=:& =( Y6 l,B50 >"9[*& :Kd 4' >6*]d R =*$RML$ S'=,K& 50 :0,& 8]$ ?*Cm1*B 2010p='_I =( :>3' 5-O,I =',A 5L6*K& (=:& )*h+ ?*C=:#$ )*"& 2 3 (>$,B >`b !;6\,O) =*$ R ML$ R,B -1 ((:B8& Y&*B '= *I=*$ c6 ?4'!D' '= *F 4:w& y"3*F H1' S*&'!A' 5<:]w&) *C4:w& H1' -2 4 5 (=*$ ='4*0 %"D':A) =*$?R,"D ',1' R i'!/-3' -3 (!B*08& 8]3= (*;3' ,-O( =( 86'='( >`b >h+ i4r !;6\,O) >"9[*& >`b -4 6 1 1. doing business report 2. starting a business 3. dealing with construction permits 4. Employing workers 5 .Registering property 6. Getting credit =*`-<' H1' -5 n_+ )'='!&*h3 4' 86*NA >6*]d -6 85..........G77 ?*C=:#$ =( ?(*@-A' !B= ,0 8+=*1 J"K-L& ?='HI56*&,3 R =*$RML$ S'=,K& ,"bEF 83=,0 2 3 4 5 S*"[*& >1'(,7 -7 ?4,&',O S=*wF -8 >"[*2O c6 VgQD' -9 *C('(=',A )(:0 =R\ i'_[' -10 50 R 5`3*Q& '= =*$RML$ ?*NO m1*B 5`F= U:O m1*B 10 50 (*;-3' *0 8D*h+ cD*0 U=:0_& p='_I=( .!C(8& p='_I 83=,0 (=:& ?*C=:#$ 8&*]F ?',0 ?'5L6*K& S=:X 50 )':F8& (='HI8& ,"b*F )\ 50 (R=R R =*$RML$ ?*NO ,0 5$ 8;"D':A 4' 8N20 r*0 ?*Cm1*B k*3',0 R 8f-L9B=R ):D*A U>"9[*& 50 :0,& %"D':A US*"[*& ):D*A U8<*]-+' %"&*F ):D*A U?=*9"0 ):D*A U=*$ ):D*A !"[:F ?*NO 50 8X:@1 ./0 (R=R '= ,3 ,0 82D':& S=:X 50 %"D':A 8D'R',O %6' .(:]D =*B' S=*wF ):D*A R 8j1'( )'='HI56*&,3 U?='HI56*&,3 ?',0 '= '= U%"D':A %6' 4' 81,0 lgX' *6 uHd *0 )':F8& 5$ >3' =:#$ i*wD' 8D:D*A Yd',& ('!2F 59;6' VR' .(,"I,0=( '= Jh& 8IT6R 53 !6*0 (:+:& %"D':A lgX' .(,$ =':]C 8+=*1 !0*6 .C*$ %9]& !d *F ):D*A (*w6' 4' 8B*D ?*C5;6_C !6*0 !20 5jd,& =( .!0*6 .C*$ )*9&' !d *F >"[*2O c6 .!0*6 .C*$ 8D:D*A !;6',O c6 ?',+' )*&4 S!& 5]C 4' ,FJh& R R (:0 =*"B:C =*$RML$ ?*NO S',"" F 50 >`LD !6*0 =':]C 8-0*A= >6_& Zd R ML$ ?',0 *f;0 c6 R !C( i*wD' !6!+ ?_6=5&*D,0 iR_[ S=:X =( R ('( ,"" F 8-3=(50 '= (:1 ?*C?TF',-3' !D':-0 *F !;$ !X= '= )\ .(='( (:+R *f;0 q3:F =*$RML$ ?*NO 83=,0 ?',0 86*CpR= *-3'= %6' =( >3' ('( =*#-D' =*$RML$ ?*NO (:`h0 5;"&4 =( 86*];C'= =( OECD ?*C5-"]$ 4' 896 5$ 8Z6,2F =( ?*C>"[*2O ,0 5$ >3' (,$ 6,2F 8F'=,K& R ?(*hD U8A:Kd q6',B U*C>3*"3 4' 5<:]w& '= =*$RML$ ?*NO .>3' J$*d =*$RML$ %6' 5$ !;-1'(,7 86*Cm1*B 8d',W 50 j-/& 8jj]['%"0 ?*C)*&4*3 U=*$ R ML$ q"Q& 80*64=' ?',0 .>3' ='HI,"b*F 8jj]['%"0 ?(*@-A' )r*2O R )'='HI56*&,3 ?,"IJ"]@F ,0 *Cm1*B ?!;0 5`F= U=*$RML$ ?*NO U=*$RML$ i*wD' :Y&*B =*$RML$ ?*NO 83=,0 ?*Cm1*B %6,F8jX' >$,B q3:F !B 8d',W m1*B U=*$RML$ ?*NO ?=:O y9< U?(*@-A' ?('4\ m1*B U83*"3 cL6= !B*08& ?(*@-A' k*Ld' ?*C,I*]D U?,6H7M"3\ m1*B U8F*`b80 m1*B U(*LO m1*B U)',6' s6*;X ?4*3:D .!B*08& 86*Cm1*B ,64 ?'='( =*$RML$ ?*NO ?*Cm1*B 4' i'!$ ,C 5$ 1. Protectinginvestors 2. Payingtaxes 3. Tradingacrossborders 4. Enforcingcontracts 5. Closing abusiness (1391 7"$8,9 61 /3"45 /012) !"#$%& '()* +,"-)#. …………….……….……….…86 8D*h+ cD*0 =( 2004 V*3 =( )*h+ ?*C=:#$ =( =*$RML$ ?*NO >[:h3 83=,0 vR,7 :=*$RML$ i*wD' ?',0 '= 8X:@1 ./0 523:F ?R4*0 .KD vR,7 %6' ?,w& )':;<50 (IFC) 8jj]['%"0 8[*& 5L3:& (=:1 !"j$ )'='HI56*&,3 ?',0 5L3:& %6' q3:F !B ig<' ?*C=*&\ 5$ 86r*0 =*`-<' Y"[(50 R !;$8& *Z6' 8D*h+ cD*0 U>3' ='(=:1,0 ?' (*2[' :O R ?(,`C'= >"]C' 4' U5L3:& %6' ?*C?!;05`F= =( M3*;& *f6*+ ML$ U(='( %]P& 86*];C'= 8+=*1 )'='HI56*&,3 ?',0 U5L3:& %6' ?:3 4' !B ig<' ?*C=*&\ R *C?!;05`F= 59;6' %]} .(:B8& 8KjF )'_"& =:#$ G*/-D' ?',0 1 5$ (EIU) ?(*@-A' S*<gW' !d'R q3:F 2001 V*3 =( =*0 %"[R' m1*B %6' :=*$RML$ ?*NO m1*B R ?(*@-A' cL6= ,0 ?(*64 !"$*F m1*B %6' .!B ,#-;& !;$8& >"[*2O )!;[ 2>L"&:D:$' 56,#D S=*{D >QF m1*B %6' 8jX' =:-$*O ( .(4'(,78& *C=:#$ !;6\ q6',B 8;"0 ."7 50 R 5-B'( ?=*wF ?*C>"[*2O 8<*]-+' U>0*A= R ('4\ S=*wF 50 u:P2& ?*C>3*"3 U='4*0 ?*C>X,O U)g$ (*@-A' q"Q& U83*"3 q"Q& : 4' !;F=*`< U=*$ ='4*0 U*CS*"[*& 8[*& ?*C='4*0 U4=' ,D J6v= R 8+=*1 S=*wF U 8+=*1 ?='HI56*&,3 50 u:P2& ?*C>3*"3 %6' 4*"-&' !;;$%""2F *hD\ %"fD*"& 5$ >3' 86*C5<:]w&,64 ?'='( 8jX' =:-$*O ( %6' 4' i'!$ ,C .*C>1*3,64 !X=( 50 5$ (:B8& (*Z-3' 8`"$,F m1*B %6' 5`3*Q& =( m1*B 70 :]w& =( R !B*08& *C=:-$*O .((,I8& 5"hF )*&4*3 %6' 8#6*]"7 S*2[*P& k*3',0 _"D !X=( 50 R *C=:#$ 8]3= ?*C=*&\ 4' *hD\ S*<gW' q"Q& ,-#"0 >"Z"$ !;C()*#D !B*0 ,-#"0 =:#$ c6 4*"-&' 5t ,C 5$ !B*08& ( *F ,ZX %"0 m1*B %6' ,]D %6,-h0 R %6,F!0 VR!+ 5&'(' =( .((,I8& 6,2F )*h+ =:#$ 82 ?',0 m1*B %6' .!B*08& =:#$ )\ =*$RML$ .>3' !&\ >L"&:D:$' =*$RML$ q"Q& m1*B ,{D 4' *C=:#$ 3 5"hF =:#$ cL6= 8jj]['%"0 ?*];C'= )*&4*3 q3:F m1*B %6' :2%".% O*!' 9?I3 J1' N6"4 %6' .>3' *C)\ )*"& 5L6*K& R *C=:#$ 83*"3 S*`b 80*64=' ?',0 ?='_0' )(,$JC',O )\ u!C R ((,I8& >"Z"$ UJ{D R ):D*A U(*LO U?='HI56*&,3 q6',B :4' !;F=*`< 5$ >3' !B Y"9#F n_+ 12 4' U8`"$,F m1*B ?*C.;F U8&*{D :ZD U8+=*1 S*Og-1' U8j1'( S*Og-1' U8<*]-+' ?(*@-A' q6',B U*C>[R( S*`b U83',$R=:0 c"F',$:&( 86:f/3*7 P8`CH& ?*C.;F U8&:A U!"[:F ?R= ,0 '= 4*"D !d 4' ."0 >[R( >6(R!Q& *6 =*`+' (:+R i!< m1*B %6' :9<"=8>, 9<,QR N6"4 %6' =( .((,I8& %6R!F 4^"-6,C (*";0 q3:F m1*B %6' .!;$8& 83=,0 '= S*&!1 R *Cr*$ u,@& *6 R s64:F 5$ !D,"I8& =',A 8jX' 5-3( ( =( *C," -& %6' .!;C(8& =',A 52[*P& (=:& '= YK-L& ?(*@-A' ," -& 50 m1*B 1. Economist Intelligence Unit 2. Economist 3. International Country Risk Guide 4. The Heritage Foundation 87..........G77 ?*C=:#$ =( ?(*@-A' !B= ,0 8+=*1 J"K-L& ?='HI56*&,3 R =*$RML$ S'=,K& ,"bEF 83=,0 ?*C )*6,+ U8[:7 >3*"3 U(*@-A' =( >[R( >[*1( U>[R( 8[*& =*0 U?=*wF >3*"3 :4' !;F=*`< *C5-3( %6' R S'=,K& U?:;2& >"9[*& :Kd U*C>]"A U*C(_]-3( P8[*& %"&*F R ?='!9D*0 P8+=*1 ?='HI56*&,3 R 56*&,3 8]3= ,"o ?*C='4*0 >"[*2O =*$RML$ ?*NO 4' ?=:O 8L9< *F (='( pgF m1*B %6' :'"(&)*( 9"UV 9, LST $!A=1 N6"4 S*<gW' 4' (*Z-3' *0 m1*B %6' .!;$ 86*3*;B '= lgX' ?',0 ='(>6:[R' ?*C./0 R !C( )*#D '= *C=:#$ .!;$8& 5Xg1 '= =:#$ c6 (=:& =( =*$RML$ q"Q& j-/& S*2[*P& U?='('= ='(:]D c6 5x'=' R j-/& s0*;& 5`F= U"-6,C (*";0 ?(*@-A' ?('4\ m1*B :4' !;F=*`< 5$ ((,I8& (*Z-3' m1*B %6' %6R!F =( ,I*]D >#C ?='HI56*&,3 5L3:&)=:#$ =*`-<' ?!;0 5`F= P(=:#$ cL6= 8j]['%"0 ?*];C'= m1*B 4') 83*"3 cL6= ?!;0 4') 2S'=,K& >"Z"$ m1*B P(>L"&:D:$' 56,#D ?(*@-A' S*<gW' !d'R) =*$RML$ ?*NO m1*B P(1?(*hD P(8D*h+ cD*0 R,I 8D',]9d ?*Cm1*B 4') 4(*LO V,-;$ m1*B P(38D*h+ cD*0 R,I 8D',]9d ?*Cm1*B i*wD' 5`F= P((*@-A' 8D*h+ s]w& 8D*h+ ?,6H7>0*A= p='_I 4') 8j& =*$RML$ ?*NO >"Z"$ ?!;05`F= (8D*h+ cD*0 R,I =*$RML$ i*wD' p='_I)5=*$RML$ =( :O ,I*]D >#C >"2}R 5L6*K& ?',0 ?='('= ='(:]D 4' =*$RML$ ?*NO ?=:O y9< m1*B =( ,I*]D ,C (!< ='(:]D %6' =( .(:B8& (*Z-3' ?!&\=( 5K`W JC ?*C=:#$ .G .5KP;& ?*C=:#$ .[' *0 5L6*K& ?*C=:#$ )*"& =( m1*B )\ YA'!d R >"2}R %6,F!0 !;C()*#D ,ZX (!< 5$ !B*08& c6 *F ,ZX %"0 ?!&\=( R,I *6 5KP;& ?*C=:#$ )*"& =( >"2A:& %6,-h0 !;C( )*#D c6 (!< R >3' ?!&\=( 5K`W *6 5KP;& :!B*0 8& ,64 S=:X 50 2009 V*3 =( )',6' ?='('= ='(:]D V*a& )':;< 50 .!B*08& s6*;X ?4*3:D >$,B 1384 V*3 =( :G,$!, W!"IX 9Q"%AM Y($4 Z%A1 C?4 2[,$K N6"4 =( 5$ (,$ 5"hF «)*h+ =:#$ 70 *0 5L6*K& =( =:#$=*$RML$ ?*NO 80*64=' R 5`3*Q&»)':;< *0 8B='_I )',6' R =:#$ =*$RML$ ?*NO 80*64=' ?',0 8[!& 8d',W 50 =*$RML$ ?*NO ?*Cm1*B 4' i*h[' R 83=,0 *0 )\ >&g3 :>3' ('( =',A 83=,0 (=:& ,64 =:Q& ( k*3',0 '= =*$RML$ ?*NO m1*B %6' .>3' 5-1'(,7 )*h+ ?*C*;0,64 P>[R( 86'=*$ R 8I=_0 P(*@-A' )(:0 4*0 )'_"& P)g$ (*@-A' q"Q& P8[*& ?*C='4*0 8I(,-LIR _ 83*"3 q"Q& P?=R*;O R 8]j< ?*;0,64 PS*<gW' R S*W*`F=' ?=R*;O P=*$?R,"D ?,6H7u*P2D' P896_"O .>0*A= R =*@QD' P8<*]-+' 1. Institutional Investor 2. Regulatory Quality Indicator 3 .World Bank Group Governance Indicators 4. Control of Corruption 5. Doing Business Rank (1391 7"$8,9 61 /3"45 /012) !"#$%& '()* +,"-)#. …………….……….……….…88 .(,"I8& =',A 83=,0 (=:& ," -& 150 :]w& =( 5$ >3' 86*Cm1*B ?'='( *C=:Q& %6' 4' i'!$ ,C 8w;3,{D *0 _"D 8j1'( .6*]"7 R 8jj]['%"0 ?*C.6*]"7 R 8jj]['%"0 8]3= ?*C=*&\ k*3',0 8+=*1 S*<gW' .(,"I8& S=:X =:#$ s6*;X 4' 'R= .!;;$8& 6,2F 8@/B (:3 R sO*;& %"&*F ?',0 (:+:& %"D':A mKD '= ?(*@-A' (*LO :<"*V N6"4 ->"[*2O *F ((,I8& <*0 (*LO .>3' >[R( ?*C>3*"3 ?!&\=*$*D M+:& R ?(*@-A' 523:F sD':& 4' 896 (*LO .!;$ '!"7 :3 ![:&,"o R 8;"&4,64 ?*C>"[*2O R *C>D'= >]3 50 ![:& Y9B 4' ?(*@-A' ?*C =( .>3' (CPI)1(*LO 4' =:@F *6 =( m1*B U(:B8& 80*64=' ?(*@-A' (*LO 5;"&4 =( 5$ 86*Cm1*B 4' 896 R 83*"3 S*&*K& ?:3 4' 50*#& Jx',+ R kg-1' G*9F=' )'_"& U :B= >O*6=( R >1'(,7 )'_"& Um1*B %6' ?=:#$ 50 10 ,]D k*3' %6',0 R !B*`"& ( *F ,ZX k*"K& =( m1*B %6' .(,"I8& =',A 80*64=' (=:& ?='(' %6,Fr*0 ?'='( 5$ >3' ?=:#$ 50 :0,& ,ZX ,]D R (='!D (:+R )\ =( ?(*LO 5D:I "C 5$ (:B8& :0,& m1*B %6' .(:B8& %6R!F ):;$*F 1995 V*3 4' U28D*h+ >"O*ZB )*&4*3 q3:F m1*B %6' .>3' (*LO )'_"& 8;-`& m1*B %6' !6\8& ,0 m1*B %6' )':;< 4' 5$ =:W)*]C .>3' !B 5x'=' =:#$ 178 ?',0 2010 V*3 =( .!B*0 SR*Z-& (*LO 50 :0,& ?*C>"2A'R *0 !D':F8& S'=:@F %6' R >3' (*LO 4' (',O' =:@F R >";C ,0 =( 5-3:"7 :AR 50 ?*C)',Q0 R *C:B :D R S!B 4' 83*"K& )':;< 50 ?(*@-A' 8F*`b80 :21"J/23 N6"4 ?(*@-A' ,F!<*L&*D ?*NO R ,-#"0 8F*`b80 !;C()*#D ?(*@-A' ?*C)',Q0 )(:0 ,Fr*0 R (:B8& 6,2F (*@-A' =( 8F*`b80 !;;$)*"0 8-]"A 8F*`b80 . (*-3 8F*`b80 R >]"A 8F*`b80 !;$8& =:h Y9B R( =( 8F*`b80 .!B*08& .!B*08& 52&*+ !"[:F ,6(*K& S*D*3:D R S',"" F !;C()*#D (*-3 8F*`b80 R >3' *C>]"A 8&:]< zP3 *0 (*@-A' c6 5h+':& V*]-d' 5$ !B*08& ?=*-1*3 8IT6R c6 ?(*@-A' ?,6H7M"3\ :9$!:\).%R N6"4 ,"{D) 86*"O', + ?*C8IT6R 4' 8B*D !D':F8& ?,6H7M"3\ %6' .!C(8& )*#D '= ?(*@-A' ?*C:B *6 )',Q0 .!B*0 ?(*@-A' *6 R 8<*]-+' U83*"3 U(5[_[4 50 >`LD ?,6H7M"3\ 5$ ?(*@-A' 8F*`b80 ug1,0 .!;$8& ?,"I 4'!D' '= (*@-A' =( )',Q0 c6 :AR V*]-d' ?,6H7M"3\ m1*B .(,"I8& ,{D =( '= :K[*0 ,6(*K& ?(*@-A' ?,6H7M"3\ U!;$8& ?,"I 4'!D' '= Y2Z[*0 ,6(*K& *Cm1*B R *C,I*]D 4' (='!D*-3' 5<:]w& c6 ?(*@-A' k*Ld' ?*C,I*]D :9<"=8>, ]"*[, 9"@$;"^M Y6*]F 4' 5$ (:B8& 5`3*Q& 86*C8w;3,{D 4' 8Z"$ ?*C ('( k*3',0 R 86*7R=' ):"L"]$ q3:F 5$ >3' ?(*@-A' k*Ld' ?*C,I*]D !;C(Y"9#F ?*Cm1*B R *C,I*]D .!6\8& >3( 50 =*$RML$ Y6*]F R !;;$u,@& 1.Corruption Perception Index 2.Transparency International 89..........G77 ?*C=:#$ =( ?(*@-A' !B= ,0 8+=*1 J"K-L& ?='HI56*&,3 R =*$RML$ S'=,K& ,"bEF 83=,0 (*]-<' ,I*]D P(CCI) 4*3 R >1*3 (*]-<' ,I*]D P(ICI) 8-2;X (*]-<' ,I*]D :4' !;F=*`< 86*7R=' ):"L"]$ . (SPI) i*h3 >]"A m1*B P(CSCI) !;;$u,@& >h+ ,f6( =:#$ 50 =:#$ c6 4' (':& *6 :+R V*K-D' 50 8+=*1 ?='HI56*&,3 :25'"6 9',:; !"#$% U!j"D=) «)\ !6':< =( J"K-L&,"o R J"K-L& >$=*#& n'4' 50 ,"1' =:#$ =( ?(*@-A' *f;0 c6 y"3*F =( (*Z-3' 8K"Kd (',O' R 8X:@1 ?*C>$,B ?:3 4' 5D*f"0 ?*C=:#$ =( ?='HI56*&,3 ,C 50 r:]2& U(246 U1985 ?='HI56*&,3 5-3( R( 50 8+=*1 ?='HI56*&,3 .!;6:I8& 8+=*1 ?='HI56*&,3 (8-[R( ?*Cc]$ 4' ,"o) .(:B8& J"LKF 8+=*1 ?:"jZF,7 ?='HI56*&,3 *6 8+=*1 J"K-L& ,"o ?='HI56*&,3 R 8+=*1 J"K-L& S!& 8Dr:W sO*;& ML$ u!C *0 8+=*1 J"K-L& ?='HI56*&,3» V:7 8j]['%"0 R!;X 6,2F k*3',0 )*&4*3 6,2F `W %";e]C «(,"I8& S=:X %"2& (*@-A' c6 =( ,K-L& 8A:Kd *6 8K"Kd m/B c6 q3:F 4' ='!6*7 8F=*{D R >2Z;& !;;$y92;& 5$ >3' S!&!;j0 ?'5P0'= Y&*B 8+=*1 J"K-L& ?='HI56*&,3» Yj& .>3' ,f6( =:#$ (*@-A' =( ,K-L& 8-$,B =( =:#$ c6 (*@-A' =( 8X:@1 86'='( =( (56*&,3) 8[*& %"&*F ?=*w& 4' 896 8+=*1 J"K-L& ?='HI56*&,3 Q0 :25'"6 7.-8*# 9',:; !"#$% :<g0 ?*Cc]$ Y&*B 8+=*1 8[*& s0*;& U523:FV*d=( ?*C=:#$ =( .(:B8& G:LQ& 8jj]['%"0 zP3 ?='HI56*&,3 U?'5KP;& ?*CcD*0 U8D*h+ cD*0 ,"{D (!2-& s0*;& 4' 8B*D 8[*& )*6,+ U5-O*6523:F ?*C=:#$ '= )\ %6,-]h& 4' 81,0 (='( 8f-L0 8j&':< ?,3 c6 50 ?='HI56*&,3 ,C .>3' 8+=*1 J"K-L&,"o R J"K-L& :>B'( )*"0 5D:f;6' )':F8& 1 U(*-9D\) !B*08& *C)\ (:3 =( 8+=*1 )'='HI56*&,3 ?',0 *C?='HI56*&,3 >"0:jP& : !"#$% YB;Q"3 _$M .(='( 8f-L0 (*@-A' )\ =( 56*&,3 (4*0 R cL6= ='!K& 50 ?='HI56*&,3 50 J"]@F %6',0*;0 .(17 U1999 ,D .!0*68& )*6,+ (4*0 ?r*0 ?*C,D R J$ S',P1 *0 ?(*@-A' =( 56*&,3 5$ !;$8& !"6EF :jZF=:7 ?=:F GH+ >h+ 8KP;& S=:X 50 8-L6*0 UcL6= ?'='( (*@-A' c6 =( ?='HI56*&,3 (4*0 *0 !B J"{;F cL6= *0 (R=8& =*{-D' R (:B8& ?,"I 4'!D' 56*&,3 (86*hD !"[:F) ?=R ,h0 5j"3R 50 ," -& %6' .!B*0 r*0 8+=*1 56*&,3 .!B*0 5-B'( >`a& 5P0'= 8+=*1 J"K-L& ?='HI56*&,3 )*6,+ *0 .!D' (,$ >0*b '= 8+=*1 J"K-L& ?='HI56*&,3 R 83*"3 :Kd %"0 *`F=' )*D'((*@-A' : 22%".% `A-[ )R!0 R !`-L& ?*C=:#$ 4' ,-#"0 (83',$:&( R 83*"3 ,{D 4') ='!6*7 ?*C(*@-A' Uq6',B ,6*3 )(:0 >0*b ,O S'=:-3( U8D!& ?*C?('4\ c"F',9&( ?*CJ6v= .(1985 U3... R =!6*;B') !;;$ GH+ 8+=*1 56*&,3 !;D':F8& S*`b 1. Rate Return to Investment 2. Political Rights 3. Shneider and Frey (1391 7"$8,9 61 /3"45 /012) !"#$%& '()* +,"-)#. …………….……….……….…90 .!;3*;B8& >"]3= 50 U!;$8& JC',O 8+=*1 56*&,3 )*6,+ ?',0 8`3*;& q"Q& 5$ '= >"9[*& :Kd R 8D:D*A R 83*"3 8F*`b80 R r*0 cL6= >j< 50 523:FV*d=( ?*C=:#$ 4' ?=*"L0 >3' !K-2& (2001) «1?:I:D» 4' 83*"3 :Kd ?,"I 4'!D' ?',0 5[*K& %6' =( .!D' (,$ GH+ 8$!D' 8+=*1 56*&,3 U8;"0 ."7 Y0*A,"o ?=*-1*3 5+:F Y0*A 5-9D .>3' !B (*Z-3' 83*"3 :Kd m1*B ?',0 Freedom House 5L3:& S*<gW' R =*&\ i(,& ?*Cp4=' 6:#F u!C *0 1941 V*3 =( 5$ >3' 8-[R(,"o 8D*&4*3 Freedom House 5$ >3' )\ ?('4\ >"2}R :@1 =( 5D*"[*3 8B='_I 1972 V*3 4' 5L3& %6' .>3' !B ?='HI56*7 *C=:#$ =( 5D'=r*3 =',A 5+:F (=:& «8D!& ?*C?('4\» R «83*"3 :Kd» 5[:K& R( 5L3:& %6' 80*64=' =( R !C(8& 56'=' *C=:#$ =( =( =:#$ ,C 50 Freedom House 5$ >3' S=:X %6' 50 *Cm1*B %6' 50 ?(!< ,6(*K& *@-1' .(,"I8& %6,-h0 !;C()*#D c6 ,]D .!C(8& *@-1' 7 *F 1 (R!Q& =( ?' ,]D m1*B R( %6' 4' c6 ,C (=:& :Kd ," -& (R=8& =*{-D' .(1383 U8;6,Q0 ('4 %"Ld) >3' >"2}R %6,F!0 !;C()*#D >ZC ,]D R >"2}R .!B*0 5-B'( 8+=*1 J"K-L& ?='HI56*&,3 )*6,+ *0 8Z;& 8f-L`]C 83*"3 <*0 UM3*;& ?*C>1*3,64 .(='( 83*3' >"]C' )\ ?(*@-A' q"Q& ?',0 =:#$ c6 ?*C*;0,64 : 2"@"I3 $!Q 896_"O Y9B 50 *h;F V:]2& =:W50 *C>1*3,64 .(:B8& !B= >]3 50 Jh& S*O',QD' )R!0 ?(*@-A' >$,d 8+=*1 )'='HI56*&,3 .(:B8& Y&*B _"D '= =:#$ ?*C(*hD (:1 (,$=*$ 59j0 !;-L"D ... R =(*;0 U*C (*+ Ya& )R!0 5},< UG\ 5},< U*C *I(R,O U*C (*+ 4' ?'5-O*6 523:F 59`B ?'='( 5$ !;C(8& z"+,F '= 86*C(*@-A' (4*0 ,D R .6'_O' '= ?(*@-A' ?*C>"[*2O 5;6_C U"2} ?*C>1*3,64 .!B*0 >D,-;6' R %ZjF U?v,D' 5ZAR ->1*3,64 *0 86*C=:#$ =( !"[:F ?*C5;6_C Uq6',B ,6*3 S*`b ,O *0 V*a& )':;<50 .!C(8& .C*$ '= 56*&,3 .(2000 U>L6=:&) !;;$ GH+ ?,-#"0 8+=*1 56*&,3 *C(*@-A' %6' (R=8& =*{-D' R >3' ,-]$ U?:A ?*C R >3' 8K"Kd 8j1'( m[*1*D !"[:F Y$ 50 8-[R( ./0 8K"Kd ?='HI56*&,3 >`LD INFR ?,"I 4'!D' m1*B %6' 50 %"#D*+ %6' (,0=*$ 5"+:F .!B*0 ,b:& 8+=*1 J"K-L& ?='HI56*&,3 ,0 >`a& S=:X 50 5$ (R=8& =*{-D' .!;6*]D GH+ '= 8+=*1 56*&,3 !;D':F8& ,-h0 ,FM3*;& ?*C*;0,64 ?'='( ?*C=:#$ 5$ >3' S=:X 82D':& !;D':F8& 83',$R=:0 R (*LO U!<*L& ?(*@-A' q"Q& (:+R *0 8-d :32%,$(&'A3 a#$> Z6 & <"*V 5;6_C .6'_O' %]} (*LO .(191 U2001 U4%"[:6=) !D=R\ (:+R50 =:#$ c6 =( 8+=*1 )'='HI56*&,3 ?',0 5+:F *0 .!C(8& .6'_O' '= )*0_"& (*@-A' =( S*"j]< ?',0 i4r ?=*wF ?*C4:w& %-O,I !;6',O U?=*wF >"[*2O =( «5>"O*ZB 8j& 5L3:&» U(='!D (:+R (*LO 8D*&4 ?,3 ?*Cm1*B 523:FV*d=( ?*C=:#$ ,a$' =( 59;6' 50 1. Ngowi 2. Infrastrure 3. Corruption and Buraucratic Red Tape 4. Rivlin 5. Transparency International institute 91..........G77 ?*C=:#$ =( ?(*@-A' !B= ,0 8+=*1 J"K-L& ?='HI56*&,3 R =*$RML$ S'=,K& ,"bEF 83=,0 =R( ?',0 *h;F 8D*h+ cD*0 S=*{D 5L3:& ?*Cm1*B 5$ (:]D *C=*&\ ?=R\s]+ 50 R,B 8[*d =( 1995 V*3 8D*&4 ?,3 ?*C ('( (:+R i!< >j< 50 U)*h+ ?*C=:#$ ,6*3 S*K"KQF ):e]C .(:0 (:+:& 2002- 1996 %"#D*+ )':;<50 U!B*08& 8j1'( m[*1*D !"[:F 4' ?!X=( S=:X50 5$ 8-[R( =*/& 4' 1382-1338 =R( ?',0 U>[R( =_0 4'!D' :>L/D 5$ >3' %6' %"#D*+ %6' 4' (*Z-3' P;& .>3' !B (*Z-3' 83',$R=:0 *6 (*LO (*w6' <*0 =_0 >[R( :iR( (:]D !C':1 JC',O '= 8-[R( )'=:&*& q3:F 56*&,3 4' (*Z-3' n:3 ?*C>X,O R !B !C':1 (*@-A' k*Ld ?*h#/0 =( 8+=*1 R 8j1'( 8X:@1 ./0 ?='HI56*&,3 ?,`+ 8;"#D*+ !6!7 J"K-L& ?='HI56*&,3 GH+ ?',0 8`3*;& q"Q& 5$ !;$8& (*w6' '= 8j9#& R !"e"7 =*-1*3 =_0 >[R( : i:3 *0 8Z;& S=:X 50 83',$R=:0 _&,A q1 R (*LO m1*B 5$ (R=8& =*{-D' %6',0*;0 .(:0 !C':/D 8+=*1 .!B*0 5-B'( 8f-L`]C 8+=*1 J"K-L& ?='HI56*&,3 ?='HI56*&,3 GH+ =( 8]h& Y&*< 8D*LD' ?R,"D S=*h& 4' 83*92D' )':;< 50 p4:&\ :12M"*M, !"#$% 50 R (='( !"e"7 8j"1 ?*C=*$ i*wD' ?',0 ?(*64 86*D':F !6( p4:&\ >"2]+ .(:B8& G:LQ& 8+=*1 J"K-L& .6'_O' !6!+ ?v:[:;9F GH+ =( '= =:#$ 86*D':F Up4:&\ %";e]C .!C(8& OR !6!+ 6*R *0 '= (:1 8D*3\ ->$,B =( 8+=*1 J"K-L& ?='HI56*&,3 ?=*-1*3 ,"" F M`3 Y&*< c6 )':;< 50 p4:&\ %6' ,0 )R_O' .!C(8& R !6( p4:&\ =*96R,"D (:+R ,f6( S=*`< 50 .(:B8& ,0 ?v:[:;9F S'!"[:F 50 ,0=*$ S'!"[:F 4' 8jj]['%"0 ?*C U%"[:6=) !B*08& 8+=*1 J"K-L& ?='HI56*&,3 )*6,+ ,0 ,b:& R Jh& Y&*< )=!& ?=*wF ?*C)*&4*3 =( ,`1 ?='HI56*&,3 Jh& )*I!;;$GH+ 4' !6( p4:&\ =*$?R,"D (:+R >j< 50 !;[,6' ?=:h]+ V*a& ?',0 .(2001 ?,"I 4'!D' )go*B Y$ 50 8[*< Sg"@QF *0 )go*B >`LD 5j"3R 50 8D*LD' 56*&,3 .>3' (:0 8+=*1 J"K-L& .!B*0 5-B'( 8+=*1 J"K-L& ?='HI56*&,3 )*6,+ *0 >`a& *`F=' m1*B %6' !6*0 ?=:F `W 5$ (:B8& J"K-L& ?='HI56*&,3 )*6,+ ,0 )*0_"& =:#$ ?='HI56*&,3 ,D J";$ ,O ,I' : 22F6,< 9',:; !"#$% =*$RML$ ?',0 i(,& .6',I 4' 80*F4*0 8j1'( ?='HI56*&,3 ,D .J6' (:];D 8KP;& ,"o ,O >3' ,b:& 8+=*1 5x'=' =:#$ =( ?='HI56*&,3 q"Q& 4' 8F*<gW' %";e]C ," -& %6' .!B*08& (*@-A' !;6\ 50 *C)\ (*]-<' R )*6,+ zP3 ?,6H7,"" F 4' 8Q"}:F 5$ YK-L& ," -& c6 )':;< 50 8j1'( ?='HI56*&,3 %6',0*;0 .!C(8& =( 8j1'( ?='HI56*&,3 8-AR J6='( =*{-D' UR= %6' 4' .(:B8& (*Z-3' U!B*08& 8+=*1 J"K-L& ?='HI56*&,3 .!B*0 r*0 _"D 8+=*1 J"K-L& ?='HI56*&,3 )*6,+ (='( =',A 86r*0 zP3 1. Human Capital 2. Domestic Investment (1391 7"$8,9 61 /3"45 /012) !"#$%& '()* +,"-)#. …………….……….……….…92 b.-S1 9"@$.c8# ?M&' 2%'$3 .3 50 ?(*@-A' !B= )'_"& ,0 8+=*1 J"K-L& ?='HI56*&,3 R %"D':A >"]$*d ?*C," -& ,b' )('( )*#D ,-h0 ?',0 .J64'(,78& 2010 *F 2000 ?*h[*3 8W =( G77 ?*C=:#$ R )',6' =:#$ =( 5]$*d !DR= 83=,0 G,$!, & G77 9"@'AB( '< d.M,A> Y.^("[ *!"-# .1-1 ',<A^M 0 !0.1 !0.2 !0.3 !0.4 !0.5 !0.6 !0.7 !0.8 !0.9 !1 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 G77 !"#$ %&'(#) &*"#&' !0.2823 !0.3047 !0.3115 !0.3253 !0.3223 !0.3374 !0.3243 +,&+ ,- !"#$ %&'(#) -"!, !0.5073 !0.7471 G77 !"#$ %&'(#) &*"#&' !0.828 !0.8715 !0.8075 !0.8785 !0.9014 +,&+ ,- !"#$ %&'(#) -"!, wdi 2010:s`;& J6g& =*"L0 !DR= c6 G77 ?*C=:#$ =( ):D*A >"]$*d !DR= 5$ (:B8& !C*#& 1-1 ='(:]D 50 5+:F *0 8[R_D S=:X 50 )',6' =( %"D':A >"]$*d !DR= *&' .!B*08& )*&4 50 4*"D ):D*A >"]$*d S',"" F ?',0 ',64 .>3' ,f6( 4' .(:`h0 50 R= *F !B*08& )!B ,F!0 50R= )*&4 8W =( )',6' =( %"D':A >"]$*d !DR= 8F=*`< 50 !B*08& ?*C=:#$ =( .(,$ =*B' =:$H& ?*C=:#$ =( %"D':A >"]$*d :D 50 )':F8& ='(:]D %6' =( 5+:F Y0*A S*9D %6' ?',0 i4r ?*C(*hD R >"]$*d :D ,-h0 8F=*`< 50 .!B*08& 8Z;& %"D':A >"]$*d )'_"& )',6' =( R G77 .!B*08& 8Z;& *C=:#$ 93..........G77 ?*C=:#$ =( ?(*@-A' !B= ,0 8+=*1 J"K-L& ?='HI56*&,3 R =*$RML$ S'=,K& ,"bEF 83=,0 G,$!, & G77 9"@'AB( '< 25'"6 7.-8*# 9',:; !"#$% ?M&' *!"-# .2-1 ',<A^M 4 3 2 1 0 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 !1 !2 !3 !4 !5 !6 +,&+ ,- ./,#0 1&234' 5,+67 8&#',4 -9, G77 ./,#0 1&234' 5,+67 8&#',4 -9, wdi 2010:s`;& V*3 8W )',6' =( 8+=*1 J"K-L& ?='HI56*&,3 !B= )'_"& (:B8& !C*#& 2-1 ='(:]D =( 5$ =:W)*]C 8BgF "C *CV*3 %6' 8W =( *h-D 5$!B*08& :}:& %6' !;C()*#D 5$ >3' 8Z;& =':]C 2004-2001 4' 8+=*1 J"K-L& )'='HI56*&,3 R,1 <*0 59j0 5-O,fD S=:X 8+=*1 ='HI56*&,3 GH+ ?*C5;"&4 >h+ )'_"& 2005-2004 V*3 8W =( %";e]C .!C(8& )*#D '= 8Z;& !B= U!B= )'_"& 5$ ?=:W50 !B JC =:#$ ?='HI56*&,3 )'_"& !X=( 8 V*3 c6 %6' 8W =( 5$ ?=:W50 !B*08& G:1 =*"L0 ?!B= 5$ >`a& !B= *0 8+=*1 J"K-L& ?='HI56*&,3 !B= )'_"& 2006-2005 V*3 =( 5$ 8[*d =( .>3' 5-B'( !B= 8+=*1 J"K-L& *`6,KF )',6' =( 8+=*1 J"K-L& ?='HI56*&,3 !B= )'_"& 2009 -2006 V*3 =( .>3' !B R=50R= :K3 !X=(4 ?='HI56*&,3 GH+ >h+ 8&'!A' "C *CV*3 %6' 8W =( !B*08& :}:& %6' !;C()*#D 5$ !B*08& ,ZX 2005-2002 ?*h[*3 8W ?(*@-A' !B= )'_"& G77 ?*C=:#$ =( .>3' !#D )',6' =( 8+=*1 J"K-L& 5-B'( 8Z;& ?!B= 8+=*1 J"K-L& ?='HI56*&,3 !B= )'_"& 2009-2005 ?*h[*3 8W R !B*08& ?(:2X (1391 7"$8,9 61 /3"45 /012) !"#$%& '()* +,"-)#. …………….……….……….…94 %6' =( 8D*h+ (*@-A' )',Q0 )':F8& '= )\ Yj< 4' 896 .!D' !B 5+':& ?='HI56*&,3 R,1 *0 ,-h0 8F=*`<50 5+':& .C*$ *0 *"D( ?*C=:#$ ,a$' =( 8+=*1 J"K-L& ?='HI56*&,3 !DR= ?=*"L0 !B <*0 5$ >LD'( *CV*3 =( 8+=*1 J"K-L& ?='HI56*&,3 8Z;& R J$ =*"L0 )'_"& 50 )':F8& ='(:]D %6' =( ,f6( 5+:F Y0*A S*9D 4' .(:B =( ?='HI56*&,3 (:`]$ !]< Yj< 4' 896 1-1 ='(:]D 50 5+:F *0 .(,$ =*B' )',6' R G77 ?*C=:#$ (*@-A' -)*;"]W' (:`D R ?(*@-A' S*`b i!< (:+R <*0 5$ %"D':A >"]$*d !0 :D )':F8& '= G77 ?*C=:#$ R )',6' .>LD'( 56*&,3 >#I4*0 R ?='HI56*&,3 ?',0 i4r ?*C(*hD (:`D ,-h0 8F=*`< 50 *6 R i4r ?*C G,$!, & G77 9"@'AB( '< 2F6,< NT"6"M ?.TA1 *!"-# .3-1 ',<A^M 0.09 0.08 0.07 0.06 0.05 0.04 0.03 0.02 0.01 0 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 G77 5#:,!9( ,- .;0+- <=#0#" -&=!3 &*"#&' 2007 2008 2009 2010 +,&+ ,- .;0+- <=#0#" -&=!3 wdi 2010:s`;& V*3 =( G77 ?*C=:#$ =( 8j1'( m[*1*D !"[:F !B= )'_"& (:B8& !C*#& 3-1 ='(:]D =( 5$ =:W)*]C .C*$ 50 R,B 8+=*1 J"K-L& ?='HI56*&,3 !B= .C*$ R *"D( =( ?(*@-A' )',Q0 R,B *0 )*&_]C 2007 )!B ,-h0 *0 2010 V*3 =( .>3' 5-B'( .C*$ 8+=*1 ?='HI56*&,3 )'_"& 5$ 2009 V*3 *F R >3' (,$ !C*#& ='(:]D =( %";e]C .>3' 5-O*6 .6'_O' !DR= %6' 8+=*1 J"K-L& ?='HI56*&,3 .6'_O' R ?(*@-A' *}R' *F 2005 V*3 =( R >3' 5-B'( .C*$ ?!DR= 2005 *F 2002 V*3 4' )',6' =( m[*1*D !"[:F !B= )'_"& (:B8& )',6' =( S*D*3:D %6' !]< Yj< 4' 896 .8#C*$ ?!DR= 2010- 2007 ?*h[*3 8W =( R ?(:2X ?!DR= 2007 (='( ,b' >ZD ='!6,1 ?*C=:#$ !"[:F )'_"& ,0 ?(*@-A' )',Q0 .!B*08& >ZD 50 )',6' (*@-A' )(:0 5-L0'R >j< 50 95..........G77 ?*C=:#$ =( ?(*@-A' !B= ,0 8+=*1 J"K-L& ?='HI56*&,3 R =*$RML$ S'=,K& ,"bEF 83=,0 )'_"& R (:B8& )',6' (*@-A' (='R ?(*@-A' )',Q0 6,W %6' 4' R (='( ,b' ?='HI56*&,3 )'_"& ,0 !"[:F )'_"& R .>3' !B ,"" F 5]C %6' =*t( )',6' =( 8j1'( m[*1*D !"[:F b.-S1 I.B.\ .4 52[*P& Y&':< Y$ ?=R ,h0 ,0 =*$RML$ 50 R,1 R (R=R >[:h3 S',b' Y"jQF 50 U(1390) *"D8[R p=\ %6' 50 *-6( YD*7 V!& 4' (*Z-3' *0 .CRT7 %6' =( ?R .>3' 5-1'(,7 523:FV*d=( M/-;& ?*C=:#$ ?(=:& R,B ?*C5;6_C U=*$RML$ R,B )*&4 U=*$RML$ R,B Yd',& m1*B )*"& 5$ >3' !"3= 5w"-D )*&4 m1*B U=*$RML$ 8j"P2F 8D*-34*0 ,D U=*$RML$ R,B ?',0 4*"D (=:& 56*&,3 YA'!d U=*$RML$ 5P0'= !"[:F Y&':< ?=R ,h0 R =*$RML$ )(:0 4*0 5+=( U=*$RML$ 8j"P2F ?*C5;6_C U=*$RML$ 8j"P2F -56*&,3 6,W 4' =*$RML$ R,1 R (R=R >[:h3 5$ !B )*"0 5[*K& %6' =( %";e]C .(='( (:+R ?='(8;2& .!B*08& ='HI,b' !"[:F Y&':< ?=R ,h0 ,0 8+=*1 ?='HI ?('4\ U8+=*1 J"K-L& ?='HI56*&,3")':;< >QF (2002)1_j0R= _eD*3 *9Dg0 R ':f;0 *F=*& ?'5[*K&=( ?(*@-A' !B=R (FDI) 8+=*1 J"K-L& ?='HI56*&,3 U?(*@-A' ?('4\ %"0 Y0*K-& ,b' 83=,0 50"!B= R ?(*@-A' >3( 5w"-D %6' 50 5[*K& %6' =( .(4'(,78& 1970-1999V*3 ?',0 %"Fr ?*96,&\ =:#$ 18 4' 5D:]D c"6',0 %";e]C R (='( 8+=*1 J"K-L& ?='HI56*&,3 GH+ =( 8-`a& ,"b*F )*0_"& =:#$ =( ?(*@-A' ?('4\ 5$ !;0*68& ='4*0 R ?(*@-A' S*`b U8O*$ 8D*LD' 56*&,3 V*d %6' *0 .(='( ?(*@-A' !B= ,0 >`a& ,"b*F 8+=*1 ?='HI56*&,3 .!B*08& ,b:& S!& !;j0 =( 8+=*1 J"K-L& ?='HI56*&,3 sO*;& 4' ,-#"0 ?!;& ,h0 =( ('4\ %6' .(,$ =*B' )':F8& U>3' !B i*wD' 4)R,3 y"x:[ R3'!6R' *6=*& ',]C 50 (2005)2'_6:[ %&=:D 5$ !"3= 5w"-D %6' 50 *-6*hD "8]3=,"o ./0 R ?(*@-A' !B= ,0 S'=,K& ,"b*F 83=,0")':;< >QF .CRT7 .(:B8& 8]3=,"o ./0 c6,QF R ?(*@-A' !B= .C*$ 50 ,w;& !"[:F R =*$ ='4*0 =( :@1 50 (*64 S'=,K& %6' 50 !D('( i*wD' (2005U2008) >0:D R( =( 5$ ?'52[*P& =( 2(='_6R,I y"x:[ 4:1 R 5k:0 k*"F*& J"K-L& ?='HI56*&,3 4' 8B*D ?(*@-A' !B= Ur*0 S'=,K& *0 ?*C=:#$ =( 4'!D' 4'."0 S'=,K& 5$ !D!"3= 5w"-D 1. Marta Bengoa, Blanca SanchezRobles 2. Norman V.loayza 3. Ana Maria Ovieda 4.Luis Serven 5. Matthias Busse 6. Juse Luis Groizard (1391 7"$8,9 61 /3"45 /012) !"#$%& '()* +,"-)#. …………….……….……….…96 5$ 8Zj-/& 8w;3(*@-A' ?*CV!& k*3',0 ^6*-D 5$ ('( )*#D 52[*P& %6' .!;$8& (R!Q& '= (FDI) 8+=*1 k*"F*& q3:F 80*/-D' V!& 4' !B 5-O,I,0 .CRT7 %6' =( !B G*/-D' V!&) !B*08& SR*Z-& U(:B8& (*Z-3' .(!B*08& (='_6R,I y"x:[ 4:1 R k:0 9<"=8>, ?4' _$M W3"1 e?# f!$=1 .5 ,b& ?(*@-A' !B= ,0 ?=*"L0 Y&':< 5$ !C(8& )*#D M/-;& ?*C=:#$ =( ?(*@-A' !B= q6',B 83=,0 UV* -B' )'_"& U896_"O 56*&,3 U8+=*1 J"K-L& ?'=HI56*&,3 )'_"& 50 )':F8& Y&':< %6' 5j]+ 4' !B*08& .(,$ =*B' =*$RML$ ?*NO =( S'=,K& )'_"& R ):D*A >"]$*d ?*C=:#$ =( ?(*@-A' !B= ,0 ,b& Y&':< %6' (=:& =( 80,wF S=:X 50 ?'52[*P& *F !B i4r %6',0*;0 .(,"I S=:X G77 !B= s0*F (=R\,0 =:{;& 50 !B (=R\ 5-BHI Y@O =( 5$ !B i*wD' S*K"KQF k*3' ,0 .CRT7 %6' =( .>3' !B (*Z-3' ,64 S=:X 50 (='_6R,I y"x:[ 4:1 R k:0 k*"F*& V!& 4' M/-;& ?*C=:#$ =( ?(*@-A' log GDP it ! c "1DBit "2 log EMPit " 3 log CAPit "4 RULit "5 log FDI it U it (1-1) .0*t -&./ $ 0*i !"# $ %$&'()* +, ! GDPit .2*+3. /* 451 =c .0*t -&./ $ 0*i !"# &#<67# %&89 :3; ! DBit . &#<67# %&89 $ !"# :3; $ =*5>>?; %*/* :A GDP $ =*5>>?; 5@* ! "1 .0*t -&./ $ 0*i !"# $ B&?(,* -*C>. ! EMPit .B&?(,* (G"#) E>F&7D -*C>. ! "2 HIJC>9 :J&.5F ! CAPit HIJC>9 :J&.5F (G"#) E>F&7D -*C>. ! "3 .0*t -&./ $ 0*i !"# $ -!K&) E>L#&D -*C>. ! RULit -!K&) E>L#&D -*C>. $ =*5>>?; %*/* :A GDP $ =*5>>?; 5@* ! "4 .0*t -&./ $ 0*i !"# $ HM &N O>P(7. % *QR:J&.5F -*C>. ! FDI it .HM &N O>P(7. % *QR:J&.5F (G"#) E>F&7D -*C>. ! "5 .0*t -&./ $ 0*i !"# $ BSN* :TLM = U it 97..........G77 %&V !"# $ %$&'()* +, 5A HM &N O>P(7. % *QR:J&.5F < &#<67# =* 5P. 5>@U; HF 5A " 5 $ 0 a " 4 $ 0 a "3 $0 a "2 $0 a "1#0 :# $< H. &`(K&V+, :(95R = !W =&XY&Z. < [>P\; :]>">^ _&F* 5A .+],&A G77 !"#$%& '() *!+,-' ./# 0.1 *#23() .6 :+,&AH. G77 %&V !"# %*5A 2010 -2004 HK&./ b/&A $ %$ <c5A B+. 5J/ %!dY* EJ&eK $ log GDPit ! 9 / 4 %0/00014DBit 1/01log EMPit 0/ 21log CAPit 0/0024RUL 0/0076log FDI it %1 it %2 (9/7) (-1/69) (16) (6/6) (4/65) (3/89) R2 ! 0/ 99 2 F ! 3411 D %W ! 1/ 17 R ! 0/ 99 4.13 56.) *'.7' (89:; .1-6 2 B+. ( R ) f+, gJ+X; h>>X; 6J5i h>]jLV .EF* % !k; &A [A&Z. f+, $ <c5A 6J*5i 0&L; E.S1 .EF* 6F&]. B+. 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HK&)59 . 9. About doing business 2009 a world banka 2008 10. Busse, mattias and Juseluisgroizard(2005), ‘FDI, Regulation and Growth’ , An Amprical Analysis. 11. Busse, mattias and Juseluisgroizard(2008), ‘FDI, Regulation and Growth’ , An Amprical Analysis. 12. Doing business 2010(islamicrepablik of iran)aworld banka2009 13. Loayza Norman V; Oviedo, Ana María And Servén, Luis, (2005) , The Impact Of Regulation On Growth And Informality: Cross-Country Evidence , World Bank’s Latin America. 14. Morrisset P. (2000), “Foreign Direct Investment to Africa: Policiesalso matter”, Trans-national Corporation, Vol. 9(2), PP: 107-125. 15. Ngowi H. P. (2001), “Can Africa Increase its Global Share ofFDI?”, West African Review, Vol.2(2): PP:1 – 22 103..........G77 %&V !"# $ %$&'()* +, 5A HM &N O>P(7. % *QR:J&.5F < &#<67# =* 5P. 5>@U; HF 5A 16. Rivlin P. (2001). Economic Policy and Performance in the Arab World,London: Lynne Renner. 17. www.worldbank.org 18. WWW.UNCTAD.org (1391 7"$8,9 61 /3"45 /012) !"#$%& '()* +,"-)#. …………….……….……….…104 :56$8T Redunda nt Fixed Effects Test cross-section fixed effects Tests Pool: FIXED Prob. 0.0000 d.f. Statistic Effects Test (18,71) 839.51075 8 Cross-section F Cross-section fixed effects test equation: Dependent Variable: LOG(GDP?) Method: Panel EGLS (Cross-section weights) Date: 06/24/12 Time: 12:42 Sample (adjusted): 2006 2010 Included observations: 5 after adjustments Cross-sections included: 19 Total pool (balanced) observations: 95 Use pre-specified GLS weights White cross-section standard errors & covariance (d.f. corrected) WARNING: estimated coefficient covariance matrix is of reduced rank Prob. Coefficien t-Statistic Std. Error t Variable 0.0000 0.2258 0.0000 0.0000 13.61823 -1.219732 25.62202 5.346622 0.384098 0.021181 0.029417 0.000545 5.230732 C -0.025835 LOG(EMP?) 0.753730 LOG(CAP?) 0.002913 RUL?(-1) 105..........G77 41@!AB+ !; 4;1<7=- >?! "# $9!1: 8(.7*/ 4!-56231/" 0 !1+0)*+ ,-!"./ "(%&' $ !"# 0.8277 0.5635 0.218259 0.000325 7.10E-05 DB? -0.579887 0.008372 -0.004855 LOG(FDI?(-2)) Weighted Statistics 32.1677 Mean dependent 8 var 0.806688 10.6400 S.D. dependent var 0.795828 5 15.7070 Sum squared resid 0.420099 2 0.03435 6 Durbin-Watson stat 74.27916 0.000000 R-squared Adjusted squared R- S.E. of regression F-statistic Prob(F-statistic) Unweighted Statistics 25.4541 Mean dependent 0 var 0.819495 R-squared 0.02728 9 Durbin-Watson stat 12.47493 Sum squared resid (1391 7"$8,9 61 /3"45 /012) !"#$%& '()* +,"-)#. …………….……….……….…106 Correlated Random Effects - Hausman Test Pool: FIXED Test cross-section random effects Prob. Chi-Sq. d.f. Chi-Sq. Statistic 0.0004 5 22.582591 Cross-section random Test Summary Cross-section random effects test comparisons: Prob. Var(Diff.) Random Fixed Variable 0.0049 0.0000 0.1270 0.6814 0.0359 0.027284 0.000281 0.000000 0.000000 0.000018 0.344935 0.214719 0.004905 -0.000136 0.027822 0.809817 LOG(EMP?) 0.138020 LOG(CAP?) 0.003945 (RUL?(-1)) -0.000119 DB? 0.018959 LOG(FDI?(-2)) Cross-section random effects test equation: Dependent Variable: LOG(GDP?) Method: Panel Least Squares Date: 06/24/12 Time: 12:43 Sample (adjusted): 2006 2010 Included observations: 5 after adjustments Cross-sections included: 19 Total pool (balanced) observations: 95 Prob. Coefficien t-Statistic Std. Error t Variable 0.0000 0.0000 0.0035 0.0043 8.645931 4.474369 3.020682 2.949771 1.532234 0.180990 0.045692 0.001337 13.24759 0.809817 0.138020 0.003945 C LOG(EMP?) LOG(CAP?) RUL?(-1) 107..........G77 41@!AB+ !; 4;1<7=- >?! "# $9!1: 8(.7*/ 4!-56231/" 0 !1+0)*+ ,-!"./ "(%&' $ !"# 0.6843 0.0459 -0.408272 0.000291 -0.000119 DB? 2.031523 0.009332 0.018959 LOG(FDI?(-2)) Effects Specification Cross-section fixed (dummy variables) 25.4541 Mean dependent 0 var 0.998737 0.85745 4 S.D. dependent var 0.998328 3.64910 Akaike info criterion 0.035066 1 3.00391 1 Schwarz criterion 0.087304 Hannan-Quinn 3.38839 criter. 197.3323 6 0.92992 6 Durbin-Watson stat 2440.613 0.000000 R-squared Adjusted squared R- S.E. of regression Sum squared resid Log likelihood F-statistic Prob(F-statistic) (1391 7"$8,9 61 /3"45 /012) !"#$%& '()* +,"-)#. …………….……….……….…108 Dependent Variable: LOG(GDP?) Method: Pooled EGLS (Cross-section weights) Date: 06/24/12 Time: 12:45 Sample (adjusted): 2006 2010 Included observations: 5 after adjustments Cross-sections included: 19 Total pool (balanced) observations: 95 Linear estimation after one-step weighting matrix White cross-section standard errors & covariance (d.f. corrected) WARNING: estimated coefficient covariance matrix is of reduced rank Prob. Coefficien t-Statistic Std. Error t Variable 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0950 0.0002 9.710560 16.35630 6.616970 4.656715 -1.691927 3.898599 0.969514 0.062341 0.032503 0.000533 8.77E-05 0.001875 9.414526 C 1.019661 LOG(EMP?) 0.215070 LOG(CAP?) 0.002484 RUL?(-1) -0.000148 DB? 0.007309 LOG(FDI?(-2)) Fixed Effects (Cross) -0.053821 _ALG—C 1.163930 _ARG—C -1.772855 _BAN—C 0.232141 _COL—C 0.857574 _DOM—C -0.130446 _EGY—C -1.920893 _IND—C -1.216988 _INDO—C -0.242673 _IRA—C -0.089990 _MOR—C 0.103411 _PER—C 109..........G77 41@!AB+ !; 4;1<7=- >?! "# $9!1: 8(.7*/ 4!-56231/" 0 !1+0)*+ ,-!"./ "(%&' $ !"# 1.272737 _SAU—C 2.157784 _SIN—C -0.504056 _THA—C 0.664001 _TUN—C 1.552409 _URU—C 0.786650 _VEN—C -1.688020 _VIE—C -1.170894 _PAK—C Effects Specification Cross-section fixed (dummy variables) Weighted Statistics 32.1677 Mean dependent 8 var 0.999096 10.6400 5 S.D. dependent var 0.998803 0.07345 4 Sum squared resid 0.032165 1.17003 5 Durbin-Watson stat 3411.578 0.000000 R-squared Adjusted squared R- S.E. of regression F-statistic Prob(F-statistic) Unweighted Statistics 25.4541 Mean dependent 0 var 0.998594 R-squared 0.80174 Sum squared 3 Durbin-Watson stat 0.097197 resid (1391 7"$8,9 61 /3"45 /012) !"#$%& '()* +,"-)#. …………….……….……….…110
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