建設経済モデルによる建設投資の見通し

ᘓタ⤒῭ࣔࢹࣝ࡟ࡼࡿᘓタᢞ㈨ࡢぢ㏻ࡋ
㸦 2015 ᖺ 10 ᭶ 㸧
ᘓタᢞ㈨ ᖺᗘࡣ๓ᖺᗘẚ‫ڹ‬㸣ࡢ ඙ ൨෇
ᖺᗘࡣ๓ᖺᗘẚ‫ڹ‬㸣ࡢ ඙ ൨෇
ᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨ ᖺᗘ࣭ᖺᗘ࡜ᖺ㐃⥆ࡢ኱ᖜ࡞ῶᑡ
Ẹ㛫ᘓタᢞ㈨ ఫᏯᢞ㈨㸸 ᖺᗘࡣ ᖺᾘ㈝ቑ⛯㥑ࡅ㎸ࡳࡢ཯ືῶ࠿ࡽࡢᣢࡕ┤ࡋ࡟
ࡼࡾቑຍ
ᖺᗘࡣ ᖺᾘ㈝ቑ⛯ࡢ㥑ࡅ㎸ࡳ㟂せ࡟ࡼࡾቑຍ
㠀ఫᏯᢞ㈨ 㸸 ᖺᗘ࣭ ᖺᗘ࡜ࡶ⦆ࡸ࠿࡞ᅇ᚟ࡀ⥅⥆
2015ᖺ10᭶21᪥
㸦୍㈈㸧ᘓタ⤒῭◊✲ᡤ
㸦୍㈈㸧⤒῭ㄪᰝ఍ ⤒῭ㄪᰝ◊✲ᡤ
㸺࠾ၥ࠸ྜࢃࡏඛ㸼
୍⯡㈈ᅋἲே ᘓタ⤒῭◊✲ᡤ
㸦㟁 ヰ㸧03-3433-5011 㸦FAX㸧03-3433-5239
㸦E 㺰㺎㺷㸧[email protected]
◊✲⌮஦ ῝⃝ ඾ᏹ ◊✲ဨ ᰩᒣ ┤அ࣭Ἑ஭ ెே
┠ ḟ
ᘓタᢞ㈨ࡢ᥎⛣ ͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐ ᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨ࡢ᥎⛣ ͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐ ఫᏯ╔ᕤᡞᩘࡢ᥎⛣ ͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐ Ẹ㛫㠀ఫᏯᘓタᢞ㈨ࡢ᥎⛣ ͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐ ࣐ࢡࣟ⤒῭ࡢ᥎⛣͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐ ᘓタᢞ㈨㸦ᐇᩘ㸧ࢹ࣮ࢱ ͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐ ᘓタᢞ㈨㸦ఙࡧ⋡㸧ࢹ࣮ࢱ ͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐͐ ࡣࡌࡵ࡟
ᮏ࣏࣮ࣞࢺࡣࠊࠕᘓタ⤒῭ࣔࢹࣝࠖࢆ⏝࠸ࠊᅜẸ⤒῭ィ⟬㸦ᅄ༙ᮇู GDP ㏿ሗ㸧ࡢ 2015 ᖺ 4̺6 ᭶
ᮇ࣭2 ḟ㏿ሗࢆ㋃ࡲ࠼࡚ண ࡋࡓ 2015㹼2016 ᖺᗘࡢᖺᗘู࣭ᅄ༙ᮇูࡢᘓタ⤒῭ࡢண ⤖ᯝ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ
‫ࡢࣝࢹࣔی‬ᴫせ
ࠕᘓタ⤒῭ࣔࢹࣝࠖࡣࠊᘓタᢞ㈨άືࢆ㟂せືྥࠊ㔠฼࡞࡝࡜㛵㐃࡙ࡅࡓ᪉⛬ᘧయ⣔࡛⾲ࡋࠊ࣐ࢡ
ࣟⓗ࡞ᬒẼࡢືࡁ࡜ᩚྜࡍࡿᙧ࡛ᘓタᢞ㈨ࡢぢ㏻ࡋࢆᥥࡃࡇ࡜ࢆ┠ⓗ࡜ࡋࡓ࣐ࢡࣟィ㔞⤒῭ࣔࢹ࡛ࣝ
࠶ࡿࠋNEEDS ᪥ᮏ⤒῭ࣔࢹࣝࢆ࣮࣋ࢫ࡟ࠊఫᏯᢞ㈨ࠊタഛᢞ㈨ࠊබඹᢞ㈨࡜࠸ࡗࡓᘓタ㛵㐃㒊㛛ࢆ
ᣑ඘ࡋ࡚࠸ࡿࠋ
ࡇ࠺ࡋࡓࣔࢹࣝ໬࡟ࡼࡗ࡚ࠊ㔠⼥㈈ᨻᨻ⟇ࡸᾏእᬒẼࡢኚື࡞࡝࡟ࡼࡾࠊᘓタάື࡟࡝ࡢࡼ࠺࡞ Ἴཬᙳ㡪ࡀཬࡪ࠿ࢆ⡆౽࡟ィ⟬ࡋࡓࡾࠊ㏫࡟ᘓタᢞ㈨ḟ➨࡛ᬒẼࡢ⾜᪉ࡀ࡝ࡢࡼ࠺࡟ኚࢃࡿ࠿ࢆᥗࢇ
ࡔࡾࠊ࡜࠸ࡗࡓࡇ࡜ࡀྍ⬟࡜࡞ࡗ࡚࠸ࡿࠋண ࡣࠊᅄ༙ᮇࢹ࣮ࢱࢆࡶ࡜࡟ྥ࠺ 1㹼2 ᖺࡢࣞࣥࢪ࡛⾜࠺ࠋ
ࡇࢀ࡟ࡼࡾࠊᙜヱᖺᗘࡸḟᖺᗘࡢᘓタᢞ㈨ࡢỈ‽ࠊఙࡧࠊᵓᡂẚ➼࡟ࡘ࠸࡚ࠊᅄ༙ᮇูࡸᖺᗘู࡟ࠊ
ᐃ㔞ⓗ࡞ࢹ࣮ࢱࢆᚓࡿࡇ࡜ࡀ࡛ࡁࡿࠋ
ࡲࡓࠊᮏࣔࢹࣝࡢ୰࡟⤌ࡳ㎸ࢇࡔ⣽ศ໬ࡋࡓᘓタᢞ㈨࠿ࡽࠊࠗᘓタᢞ㈨ぢ㏻ࡋ࠘㸦ᅜᅵ஺㏻┬⥲ྜ
ᨻ⟇ᒁᘓタ⤒῭⤫ィㄪᰝᐊ㸧ᡤⶶࡢᘓタᢞ㈨㢠㸦Ẹ㛫࣭ᨻᗓࠊఫᏯ࣭㠀ఫᏯ࣭ᅵᮌࠊᐇ㉁࣭ྡ┠㸧࡜
ྠᴫᛕࡢࢹ࣮ࢱࢆ⟬ฟࡍࡿࡇ࡜ࡀ࡛ࡁࡿࡼ࠺࡟࡞ࡗ࡚࠸ࡿࠋ
ࡲࡓࠊᮏࣔࢹࣝࡣࠊᘓタᢞ㈨ࡤ࠿ࡾ࡛ࡣ࡞ࡃࠊ⤒῭ᡂ㛗⋡ࠊ≀౯ୖ᪼⋡ࠊ㈤㔠ࠊ௻ᴗ཰┈ࠊ㞠⏝ࠊ
ᅜ㝿཰ᨭ࡜࠸ࡗࡓ࣐ࢡࣟ⤒῭ືྥ࡟㛵ࡍࡿண ࡸࢩ࣑࣮ࣗࣞࢩࣙࣥࢆ⾜࠺ศᯒࢶ࣮ࣝ࡜ࡋ࡚ࡶά⏝
࡛ࡁࡿࠋ
‫ی‬௒ᅇࡢண ࡟࠾ࡅࡿ๓ᥦ᮲௳
ձᑐࢻࣝ෇࣮ࣞࢺࡣࠊ2015 ᖺ 10̺12 ᭶ᮇࢆ 1 ࢻࣝ 122.4 ෇ࠊ2016 ᖺ 1̺3 ᭶ᮇࢆ 1 ࢻࣝ 123.8 ෇ࠊ
4̺6 ᭶ᮇࢆ 1 ࢻࣝ 124.1 ෇ࠊ7̺9 ᭶ᮇࢆ 1 ࢻࣝ 124.3 ෇ࠊ10̺12 ᭶ᮇࢆ 1 ࢻࣝ 124.7 ෇ࠊ2017
ᖺ 1̺3 ᭶ᮇࢆ 1 ࢻࣝ 124.7 ෇࡜ࡋࡓࠋ
ղ↓ᢸಖࢥ࣮ࣝ⩣᪥≀㔠฼ࡣࠊ2015 ᖺ 10̺12 ᭶ᮇ㹼2017 ᖺ 1̺3 ᭶ᮇࢆ 0.08㸣࡜ண ࡋࡓࠋ
‫ی‬௒ᅇࡢண ⤖ᯝ
2015ᖺᗘ 㸦ぢ㏻ࡋ㸧
ᑐ๓ᖺᗘ
ఙࡧ⋡
ྡ┠ᘓタᢞ㈨
㸦༢఩㸸൨෇㸧
2016ᖺᗘ 㸦ぢ㏻ࡋ㸧
ᑐ๓ᖺᗘ
ఙࡧ⋡
496,700
-3.2%
487,400
-1.9%
ྡ┠ᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨
214,400
-8.8%
192,600
-10.2%
ྡ┠Ẹ㛫ఫᏯᢞ㈨
148,200
1.8%
157,800
6.5%
ྡ┠Ẹ㛫㠀ఫᏯᘓタᢞ㈨
134,100
1.3%
137,000
2.2%
ᘓタᢞ㈨䛾᥎⛣㻌
ᘓタᢞ㈨ ᖺᗘࡣ๓ᖺᗘẚ‫ڹ‬㸣ࡢ ඙ ൨෇
ᖺᗘࡣ๓ᖺᗘẚ‫ڹ‬㸣ࡢ ඙ ൨෇
ᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨ ᖺᗘ࣭ᖺᗘ࡜ᖺ㐃⥆ࡢ኱ᖜ࡞ῶᑡ
Ẹ㛫ᘓタᢞ㈨ ఫᏯᢞ㈨㸸 ᖺᗘࡣ ᖺᾘ㈝ቑ⛯㥑ࡅ㎸ࡳࡢ཯ືῶ࠿ࡽࡢᣢࡕ┤ࡋ࡟ࡼࡾቑຍ
ᖺᗘࡣ ᖺᾘ㈝ቑ⛯ࡢ㥑ࡅ㎸ࡳ㟂せ࡟ࡼࡾቑຍ
㠀ఫᏯᢞ㈨㸸 ᖺᗘ࣭ ᖺᗘ࡜ࡶ⦆ࡸ࠿࡞ᅇ᚟ࡀ⥅⥆
ᖺᗘࡢᘓタᢞ㈨ࡣࠊ๓ᖺᗘẚ‫ڹ‬㸣ࡢ ඙ ൨෇࡜࡞ࡿぢ㏻ࡋ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ
ᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨ࡣࠊ2015 ᖺᗘண⟬ࡢෆᐜࢆ㋃ࡲ࠼ࠊ୍⯡఍ィ࡟ಀࡿᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨ࢆ๓ᖺᗘᙜึண⟬ẚ࡛ᶓࡤ
࠸ࠊᮾ᪥ᮏ኱㟈⅏᚟⯆≉ู఍ィ࡟ಀࡿᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨ࢆྠ 10.2%ቑ࡜ண ࡋࡓୖ࡛஦ᴗ㈝ࢆ᥎ィࡋࠊࡲࡓࠊ2014
ᖺᗘ⿵ṇண⟬࡟ಀࡿᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨㢠ࡀ 2015 ᖺᗘ୰࡟ฟ᮶㧗࡜ࡋ࡚ᐇ⌧ࡍࡿ࡜⪃࠼ࠊ๓ᖺᗘẚ‫ڹ‬8.8%࡜ண ࡍ
ࡿࠋ
Ẹ㛫ఫᏯᢞ㈨ࡣࠊᣢᐙࡀ┬࢚ࢿఫᏯ࢚ࢥ࣏࢖ࣥࢺ➼ࡢᕷሙάᛶ໬⟇ࡢຠᯝࡶ࠶ࡗ࡚ᣢࡕ┤ࡋ࡚࠸ࡃࡇ࡜ࠊศ
ㆡ࣐ࣥࢩࣙࣥࡀ 2014 ᖺᗘୗ༙ᮇ௨㝆ࠊ㤳㒔ᅪࢆ୰ᚰ࡟ᣢࡕ┤ࡋ࡚࠸ࡿࡇ࡜࠿ࡽࠊఫᏯ╔ᕤᡞᩘ࡟ࡘ࠸࡚ࡣ๓
ᖺᗘẚ 4.8㸣ቑ࡜ண ࡍࡿࠋ
Ẹ㛫㠀ఫᏯᘓタᢞ㈨ࡣࠊཎἜ౯᱁ୗⴠ➼ࢆ⫼ᬒ࡜ࡋࡓ௻ᴗࡢዲᴗ⦼ࠊ⪁ᮙタഛࡢ᭦᪂㟂せࡢቑ኱➼ࡢせ
ᅉࡣ࠶ࡿࡶࡢࡢࠊ୍᪉࡛୰ᅜ⤒῭ࡢῶ㏿ࡸಶேᾘ㈝ࡢ㕌࠸ືࡁ➼ࡢᙳ㡪ࡶ࠶ࡾࠊタഛᢞ㈨ࡣ⦆ࡸ࠿࡟ᣢ
ࡕ┤ࡋ࡚࠸ࡃ࡜⪃࠼ࡽࢀࠊẸ㛫㠀ఫᏯᘓ⠏ᢞ㈨ࡣ๓ᖺᗘẚ 1.7㸣ቑ࡜࡞ࡾࠊᅵᮌ࢖ࣥࣇࣛ⣔௻ᴗࡢタഛᢞ㈨
ࡶᐤ୚ࡋࠊ඲య࡛ࡣ๓ᖺᗘẚ 1.3㸣ቑ࡜࡞ࡿぢ㏻ࡋ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ
ᖺᗘࡢᘓタᢞ㈨ࡣࠊ๓ᖺᗘẚ‫ڹ‬㸣ࡢ ඙ ൨෇࡜࡞ࡿぢ㏻ࡋ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ
ᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨ࡣࠊᅜࡢ┤㎄࣭⿵ຓ஦ᴗ㈝㸦ᅜ㈝࣭ᙜึண⟬࣮࣋ࢫ㸧ࡣࠊ2016ᖺᗘண⟬ࡢྛ┬ᴫ⟬せồࡢ
ෆᐜࢆ㋃ࡲ࠼ࠊ୍⯡఍ィ࡟ಀࡿᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨ࢆ๓ᖺᗘᙜึண⟬࡛ᶓࡤ࠸࡜ࡋࠊᮾ᪥ᮏ኱㟈⅏᚟⯆≉ู఍
ィ࡟ಀࡿᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨ࡣࠊ᚟⯆ᗇࢆጞࡵ࡜ࡍࡿ㛵ಀ┬ᗇࡢᴫ⟬せồࡢෆᐜࢆ㋃ࡲ࠼ࠊࡑࢀࡒࢀ஦ᴗ㈝ࢆ
᥎ィࡋࠊ๓ᖺᗘẚ‫ڹ‬10.2%࡜ண ࡍࡿࠋ
Ẹ㛫ఫᏯᢞ㈨ࡣࠊ๓ᅇࡢ2014ᖺᾘ㈝ቑ⛯࡛ࠊ୍ᐃࡢ㟂せࡀඛ㣗࠸ࡉࢀ࡚࠸ࡿࡇ࡜ࠊ2017ᖺᾘ㈝ቑ⛯ࡢᙳ㡪
ࢆ⦆࿴ࡍࡿࡓࡵ㉗୚⛯㠀ㄢ⛯ᯟࡢᣑ඘ᥐ⨨ࡀྲྀࡽࢀ࡚࠸ࡿࡇ࡜ࠊ㈚ᐙࡢ┦⥆ቑ⛯ࡢ⠇⛯ᑐ⟇ࡢᙳ㡪ࡢῶᑡ࡟ࡼ
ࡾࠊ2013ᖺᗘ⛬࡛ࡣ࡞࠸ࡶࡢࡢࠊ2017ᖺᾘ㈝ቑ⛯ࡢ㥑ࡅ㎸ࡳ㟂せⓎ⏕ࡀ᝿ᐃࡉࢀࠊఫᏯ╔ᕤᡞᩘ࡟ࡘ࠸࡚ࡣ
๓ᖺᗘẚ4.3%ቑ࡜ண ࡍࡿࠋ
Ẹ㛫㠀ఫᏯᘓタᢞ㈨ࡣࠊ๓ᖺᗘ࡜ྠᵝ࡟⦆ࡸ࠿࡞ቑຍࡀண ࡉࢀࠊẸ㛫㠀ఫᏯᘓ⠏ᢞ㈨ࡀ๓ᖺᗘẚ2.7㸣ቑࠊ
Ẹ㛫ᅵᮌᢞ㈨ࡣྠ1.1%ቑ࡜࡞ࡾࠊ඲య࡛ࡣྠ2.2㸣ቑ࡜ண ࡍࡿࠋ
‫ ە‬ᘓタᢞ㈨ࡢ᥎⛣㸦ᖺᗘ㸧㻌
㸦༢఩㸸൨෇ࠊᐇ㉁್ࡣ2005ᖺᗘ౯᱁㸧
ᖺ䚷ᗘ
2000
2005
2010
2011
ྡ┠ᘓタᢞ㈨
661,948
515,676
419,282
䠄ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙ䜃⋡䠅
-3.4%
-2.4%
-2.4%
ྡ┠ᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨
299,601
189,738
179,820
䠄ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙ䜃⋡䠅
-6.2%
-8.9%
0.3%
䠄ᐤ୚ᗘ䠅
-2.9
-3.5
0.1
ྡ┠Ẹ㛫ఫᏯᢞ㈨
202,756
184,258
129,779
䠄ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙ䜃⋡䠅
-2.2%
0.3%
1.1%
䠄ᐤ୚ᗘ䠅
-0.7
0.1
0.3
ྡ┠Ẹ㛫㠀ఫᏯᘓタᢞ㈨
159,591
141,680
109,683
䠄ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙ䜃⋡䠅
0.7%
4.0%
-10.0%
䠄ᐤ୚ᗘ䠅
0.2
1.0
-2.8
ᐇ㉁ᘓタᢞ㈨
663,673
515,676
400,503
䠄ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙ䜃⋡䠅
-3.6%
-3.5%
-2.7%
ὀ㻕㻞㻜㻝㻠ᖺᗘ䜎䛷䛾ᘓタᢞ㈨䛿ᅜᅵ஺㏻┬䛂ᖹᡂ㻞㻣ᖺᗘ㻌ᘓタᢞ㈨ぢ㏻䛧䛃䜘䜚䚹
432,923
3.3%
186,108
3.5%
1.5
133,750
3.1%
0.9
113,065
3.1%
0.8
407,712
1.8%
2012
452,914
4.6%
197,170
5.9%
2.6
140,944
5.4%
1.7
114,800
1.5%
0.4
432,947
6.2%
2013
䠄ぢ㎸䜏䠅
512,900
13.2%
225,500
14.4%
6.3
157,900
12.0%
3.7
129,500
12.8%
3.2
479,510
10.8%
2014
䠄ぢ㎸䜏䠅
513,000
0.0%
235,000
4.2%
1.9
145,600
-7.8%
-2.4
132,400
2.2%
0.6
466,996
-2.6%
2015
䠄ぢ㏻䛧䠅
496,700
-3.2%
214,400
-8.8%
-4.0
148,200
1.8%
0.5
134,100
1.3%
0.3
448,100
-4.0%
2016
䠄ぢ㏻䛧䠅
487,400
-1.9%
192,600
-10.2%
-4.4
157,800
6.5%
1.9
137,000
2.2%
0.6
432,000
-3.6%
‫┠ྡ ە‬ᘓタᢞ㈨㢠ࡢ᥎⛣㸦ᖺᗘ㸧㻌
ぢ㎸ࡳ Ћ Ѝ ぢ㏻ࡋ
㸦඙෇㸧
70
66.2
60
25%
16.0
51.6
50
20.3
43.3
41.9
14.2
40
11.3
11.0
18.4
30
13.4
13.0
51.3
51.3
13.0
13.2
15.8
14.6
20%
49.7
48.7
13.4
13.7
14.8
15.8
45.3
11.5
14.1
15%
10%
20
30.0
10
19.0
18.0
18.6
19.7
2005
2010
2011
2012
5%
22.6
23.5
21.4
19.3
2013
2014
2015
0%
2016 㸦ᖺᗘ㸧
0
2000
ྡ┠ᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨
ྡ┠Ẹ㛫ఫᏯᢞ㈨
ྡ┠Ẹ㛫㠀ఫᏯᘓタᢞ㈨
ᘓタᢞ㈨ࡢ*'3ẚ㸧
‫┠ྡ ە‬ᘓタᢞ㈨ఙࡧ⋡ࡢ᥎⛣㸦ᖺᗘ㸧
ぢ㎸ࡳ Ћ Ѝ ぢ㏻ࡋ
๓ᖺᗘẚ㸦㸣㸧
14.0
12.0
10.0
8.0
6.0
4.0
2.0
0.0
-2.0
-4.0
-6.0
-8.0
-10.0
-12.0
-14.0
-16.0
2000
2005
2010
ᨻᗓᘓタᐤ୚ᗘ
2011
2012
Ẹ㛫ఫᏯᐤ୚ᗘ
2013
2014
Ẹ㛫㠀ఫᏯᐤ୚ᗘ
2016 䠄ᖺᗘ䠅
2015
ᘓタᢞ㈨㸦ྡ┠㸧ఙࡧ⋡
‫┠ྡ ە‬ᘓタᢞ㈨ࡢ᥎⛣㸦ᅄ༙ᮇ㸧 㸦๓ᖺྠᮇẚ㸧
ᖺᗘ
ᅄ༙ᮇ
ఙ
䜃
⋡
ఙ
䜃
⋡
ᘓタᢞ㈨
ᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨
Ẹ㛫ఫᏯᢞ㈨
Ẹ㛫㠀ఫᏯᘓタᢞ㈨
ᖺᗘ
ᅄ༙ᮇ
ᘓタᢞ㈨
ᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨
Ẹ㛫ఫᏯᢞ㈨
Ẹ㛫㠀ఫᏯᘓタᢞ㈨
4䇲6
7.4%
6.4%
8.4%
7.7%
4䇲6
-1.1%
-0.3%
-3.7%
0.9%
2013䠄ぢ㎸䜏䠅
7䇲9
10䇲12
13.7%
16.6%
18.1%
20.9%
11.2%
13.5%
10.0%
12.1%
2015䠄ぢ㏻䛧䠅
7䇲9
10䇲12
-4.5%
-3.5%
-12.2%
-10.2%
1.9%
4.5%
1.2%
1.8%
1䇲3
14.1%
10.7%
14.6%
20.1%
4䇲6
5.2%
7.5%
3.5%
4.2%
1䇲3
-3.3%
-10.0%
4.2%
1.3%
4䇲6
-3.3%
-12.1%
3.6%
1.4%
2014䠄ぢ㎸䜏䠅
7䇲9
10䇲12
0.2%
-1.3%
5.0%
4.1%
-8.3%
-12.4%
3.1%
2.1%
2016䠄ぢ㏻䛧䠅
7䇲9
10䇲12
-2.0%
-1.3%
-11.9%
-9.5%
7.0%
8.8%
2.2%
2.5%
1䇲3
-2.6%
1.7%
-12.3%
0.2%
1䇲3
-1.2%
-8.2%
6.3%
2.5%
ᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨䛾᥎⛣㻌
㻌
ᖺᗘ࣭ᖺᗘ࡜ᖺ㐃⥆ࡢ኱ᖜ࡞ῶᑡ
ᖺᗘࡢᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨ࡣࠊ๓ᖺᗘẚ࡛ྡ┠‫ڹ‬㸣㸦ᐇ㉁‫ڹ‬㸣㸧ࡢ඙൨෇࡜ண ࡍࡿࠋ
ᅜࡢ┤㎄࣭⿵ຓ஦ᴗ㈝㸦ᅜ㈝࣭ᙜึண⟬࣮࣋ࢫ㸧ࡣࠊ2015ᖺᗘண⟬ࡢෆᐜࢆ㋃ࡲ࠼ࠊ୍⯡఍ィ࡟ಀࡿ
ᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨ࢆ๓ᖺᗘᙜึண⟬࡛ᶓࡤ࠸ࠊᮾ᪥ᮏ኱㟈⅏᚟⯆≉ู఍ィ࡟ಀࡿᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨ࢆྠ10.2%ቑ࡜
ண ࡋࡓୖ࡛஦ᴗ㈝ࢆ᥎ィࡋࡓࠋ
ᆅ᪉༢⊂஦ᴗ㈝ࡣࠊᖹᡂ27ᖺᗘᆅ᪉㈈ᨻィ⏬࡛♧ࡉࢀࡓෆᐜࢆ㋃ࡲ࠼ࠊ๓ᖺᗘẚ0.9%ቑ࡜ࡋࡓࠋ
ࡲࡓࠊ2014ᖺᗘ⿵ṇண⟬࡟ಀࡿᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨㢠ࡣ஦ᴗ㈝࡛8,000൨෇⛬ᗘ࡜᥎ィࡋ࡚࠸ࡿࡀࠊࡑࢀࡽࡣ
2015ᖺᗘ୰࡟ฟ᮶㧗࡜ࡋ࡚ᐇ⌧ࡍࡿ࡜⪃࠼࡚࠸ࡿࠋ
ᖺᗘࡢᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨ࡣࠊ๓ᖺᗘẚ࡛ྡ┠‫ڹ‬㸣㸦ᐇ㉁‫ڹ‬㸣㸧ࡢ඙൨෇࡜ண ࡍࡿࠋ
ᅜࡢ┤㎄࣭⿵ຓ஦ᴗ㈝㸦ᅜ㈝࣭ᙜึண⟬࣮࣋ࢫ㸧ࡣࠊ9᭶࡟බ⾲ࡉࢀࡓ2016ᖺᗘண⟬ࡢྛ┬ᴫ⟬せồࡢ
ෆᐜࢆ㋃ࡲ࠼ࠊ୍⯡఍ィ࡟ಀࡿᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨ࢆ๓ᖺᗘᙜึண⟬࡛ᶓࡤ࠸࡜ࡋ࡚ࠊࡲࡓࠊᮾ᪥ᮏ኱㟈⅏᚟
⯆≉ู఍ィ࡟ಀࡿᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨ࡣࠊ᚟⯆ᗇࢆጞࡵ࡜ࡍࡿ㛵ಀ┬ᗇࡢᴫ⟬せồࡢෆᐜࢆ㋃ࡲ࠼ࠊࡑࢀࡒࢀ
஦ᴗ㈝ࢆ᥎ィࡋࡓࠋ
ᆅ᪉༢⊂஦ᴗ㈝ࡣࠊ⥲ົ┬ࡀࡲ࡜ࡵࡓᖹᡂ28ᖺᗘᆅ᪉㈈ᨻࡢㄢ㢟࡛♧ࡉࢀࡓᆅ᪉㈈ᨻ཰ᨭࡢ௬ヨ⟬ࡢ
ෆᐜࢆ㋃ࡲ࠼ࠊ๓ᖺᗘ୪ࡳ࡜ࡋࡓࠋ
๓ᖺᗘ⿵ṇண⟬࡜ᙜึண⟬ࢆ୍య࡜ࡋ࡚⦅ᡂࡋࡓࠕ15࠿᭶ண⟬ࠖࡢຠᯝࡀぢ㎸ࡲࢀࡓ2013ᖺᗘ࣭2014
ᖺᗘ࡜ࡣ␗࡞ࡾࠊ2ᖺ㐃⥆ࡢ኱ᖜ࡞ῶᑡ࡜࡞ࡗࡓࡀࠊᅜ㝿➇தຊࡢᙉ໬ࠊᅜᅵᙉ㠎໬ࠊ㜵⅏࣭ῶ⅏ᑐ⟇ࠊ
⪁ᮙ໬ᑐ⟇࡞࡝ࡢ㔜Ⅼศ㔝࡬ࡢᢞ㈨ࡀ೵ࡍࡿࡇ࡜ࡢ࡞࠸ࡼ࠺㐺ษ࡞ண⟬㓄ศࡀᮃࡲࢀࡿࠋ
࡞࠾ࠊ2015ᖺᗘ⿵ṇண⟬࡟ࡘ࠸࡚ࡣ⧊ࡾ㎸ࢇ࡛࠸࡞࠸ࠋ
‫ ە‬ᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨ࡢ᥎⛣㸦ᖺᗘ㸧
㸦༢఩㸸൨෇ࠊᐇ㉁್ࡣ2005ᖺᗘ౯᱁㸧
ᖺᗘ
ྡ┠ᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨
㸦ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙࡧ⋡㸧
ྡ┠ᨻᗓᘓ⠏ᢞ㈨
㸦ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙࡧ⋡㸧
ྡ┠ᨻᗓᅵᮌᢞ㈨
㸦ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙࡧ⋡㸧
ᐇ㉁ᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨
㸦ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙࡧ⋡㸧
2000
299,601
2005
189,738
2010
179,820
2011
2012
186,108
2014
2015
2016
䠄ぢ㎸䜏䠅
䠄ぢ㎸䜏䠅
䠄ぢ㏻䛧䠅
䠄ぢ㏻䛧䠅
225,500
235,000
214,400
192,600
-6.2%
-8.9%
0.3%
3.5%
5.9%
14.4%
4.2%
-8.8%
-10.2%
40,004
20,527
22,096
21,433
21,779
28,600
26,700
26,700
22,600
-12.0%
-13.9%
-0.1%
-3.0%
1.6%
31.3%
-6.6%
0.0%
-15.4%
259,597
169,211
157,724
164,675
175,391
196,900
208,300
187,700
170,000
-5.2%
-8.3%
0.3%
4.4%
6.5%
12.3%
5.8%
-9.9%
-9.4%
300,719
189,738
170,702
174,080
186,728
209,062
212,045
191,300
168,100
-6.5%
-10.2%
-0.3%
2.0%
7.3%
12.0%
1.4%
-9.8%
-12.1%
ὀ1㸧2014ᖺᗘࡲ࡛ࡢᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨ࡣᅜᅵ஺㏻┬ࠕᖹᡂ27ᖺᗘ ᘓタᢞ㈨ぢ㏻ࡋࠖࡼࡾࠋ
197,170
2013
‫┠ྡ ە‬ᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨ࡢ᥎⛣㸦ᖺᗘ㸧
඙෇
40
ぢ㎸ࡳЋ
๓ᖺᗘẚ
Ѝぢ㏻ࡋ
45%
30%
4.0
20
2.1
2.7
2.9
2.7
2.2
15%
2.3
2.2
2.1
15.8
16.5
17.5
19.7
26.0
20.8
18.8
0%
17.0
16.9
0
-15%
ᨻᗓᅵᮌᢞ㈨
ᨻᗓᘓ⠏ᢞ㈨
ᖺᗘ
ᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨ఙࡧ⋡
‫┠ྡ ە‬ᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨ఙࡧ⋡ࡢ᥎⛣㸦ᅄ༙ᮇ㸧
䠂䠄๓ᖺྠᮇẚ䠅
ぢ㎸ࡳЋ Ѝぢ㏻ࡋ
40.0
30.0
20.0
10.0
0.0
-10.0
-20.0
-30.0
-40.0
4-6
7-9
10-12
1-3
4-6
㻞㻜㻝㻟ᖺᗘ
7-9
10-12
1-3
4-6
㻞㻜㻝㻠ᖺᗘ
7-9
10-12
1-3
4-6
㻞㻜㻝㻡ᖺᗘ
7-9
10-12
1-3
㻞㻜㻝㻢ᖺᗘ
㸦๓ᖺྠᮇẚ㸧
2013 䠄ぢ㎸䜏䠅
ᖺᗘ
ᅄ༙ᮇ
4-6
10-12
1-3
4-6
7-9
10-12
1-3
ᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨
6.4%
18.1%
20.9%
10.7%
7.5%
5.0%
4.1%
1.7%
ᨻᗓᘓ⠏ᢞ㈨
22.2%
35.6%
38.8%
27.1%
-3.7%
-5.9%
-6.7%
-8.9%
ᨻᗓᅵᮌᢞ㈨
4.5%
15.9%
18.7%
8.6%
9.1%
6.6%
5.7%
3.3%
2015 䠄ぢ㏻䛧䠅
ᖺᗘ
ᅄ༙ᮇ
7-9
2014 䠄ぢ㎸䜏䠅
4-6
7-9
2016 䠄ぢ㏻䛧䠅
10-12
1-3
4-6
7-9
10-12
1-3
ᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨
-0.3%
-12.2%
-10.2%
-10.0%
-12.1%
-11.9%
-9.5%
-8.2%
ᨻᗓᘓ⠏ᢞ㈨
9.3%
-3.8%
-1.6%
-1.3%
-17.1%
-16.9%
-14.6%
-13.4%
ᨻᗓᅵᮌᢞ㈨
-1.5%
-13.3%
-11.3%
-11.1%
-11.4%
-11.2%
-8.8%
-7.4% 㻌 ఫᏯ╔ᕤᡞᩘ䛾᥎⛣㻌 㻌
ᖺᗘࡣ ᖺᾘ㈝ቑ⛯㥑ࡅ㎸ࡳࡢ཯ືῶ࠿ࡽࡢᣢࡕ┤ࡋ࡟ࡼࡾቑຍ
ᖺᗘࡣ ᖺᾘ㈝ቑ⛯ࡢ㥑ࡅ㎸ࡳ㟂せ࡟ࡼࡾቑຍ
ఫᏯ╔ᕤᡞᩘࡣࠊ࣮࣐ࣜࣥࢩࣙࢵࢡᚋࡢ 2009 ᖺᗘ௨㝆ࠊ2011 ᖺ 3 ᭶ࡢᮾ᪥ᮏ኱㟈⅏ࡢ᚟⯆㟂せࢆ⤒
࡚ᅇ᚟ഴྥ࡟࠶ࡿࠋ2013 ᖺᗘࡣ 2014 ᖺ 4 ᭶ࡢᾘ㈝ቑ⛯࡟క࠺㥑ࡅ㎸ࡳ㟂せ࡟ࡼࡾࠊ98.7 ୓ᡞࡲ࡛࡟ቑ
ຍࡋࡓࡀࠊ2014 ᖺᗘࡣ୺࡟ᾘ㈝ቑ⛯㥑ࡅ㎸ࡳࡢ཯ືῶ࡟ࡼࡾࠊ88.0 ୓ᡞ࡟ῶᑡࡋ࡚࠸ࡿࠋ
2014 ᖺᗘࡢ฼⏝㛵ಀูࡢෆヂࡣࠊᾘ㈝ቑ⛯㥑ࡅ㎸ࡳࡢ཯ືῶ࡟ࡼࡾࠊᣢᐙࡀ๓ᖺᗘẚ‫ڹ‬21.1㸣ࠊศㆡ
ᡞᘓࡀྠ‫ڹ‬7.2㸣࡜࡞ࡗ࡚࠾ࡾࠊศㆡ࣐ࣥࢩࣙࣥࡀᘓ⠏㈝ୖ᪼ࡢᙳ㡪࡟ࡼࡿᮾி㒔௨እࡢ㐨ᗓ┴ࡢῶᑡࡀ
኱ࡁࡃྠ‫ڹ‬11.7㸣࡜࡞ࡗࡓࠋ୍᪉࡛㈚ᐙࡢ╔ᕤᡞᩘࡣࠊ2015 ᖺ 1 ᭶ࡢ┦⥆ቑ⛯ࡢ⠇⛯ᑐ⟇ࡢᙳ㡪ࡀ⥅⥆
ࡋ࡚࠸ࡿࡇ࡜࡟ࡼࡾࠊ๓ᖺᗘẚ‫ڹ‬3.1㸣ࡢᚤῶ࡟࡜࡝ࡲࡗࡓࠋ
2015 ᖺᗘࡢఫᏯ╔ᕤᡞᩘࡣࠊᣢᐙࡀ┬࢚ࢿఫᏯ࢚ࢥ࣏࢖ࣥࢺ➼ࡢᕷሙάᛶ໬⟇ࡢຠᯝࡶ࠶ࡗ࡚཯ືῶ
࠿ࡽᣢࡕ┤ࡋ࡚࠸ࡃࡇ࡜ࠊ㈚ᐙࡢ┦⥆ቑ⛯ࡢ⠇⛯ᑐ⟇ࡢᙳ㡪ࡢ⥅⥆ࠊศㆡ࣐ࣥࢩࣙࣥࡀ㤳㒔ᅪࢆ୰ᚰ࡟
ᣢࡕ┤ࡋ࡚ቑຍࡋ࡚࠸ࡿࡇ࡜࠿ࡽࠊ2014 ᖺᗘ࡜ẚ㍑ࡋ࡚ࡢቑຍࢆண ࡋ࡚࠸ࡿࠋ
2016 ᖺᗘࡢఫᏯ╔ᕤᡞᩘࡣࠊ2017 ᖺ 4 ᭶ࡢᾘ㈝ቑ⛯๓ࡢ㥑ࡅ㎸ࡳ㟂せ࡟ࡼࡿ╔ᕤቑࢆண ࡍࡿࡀࠊ
2014 ᖺᾘ㈝ቑ⛯ࡢ㥑ࡅ㎸ࡳ୍࡛ᐃࡢ㟂せࡀඛ㣗࠸ࡉࢀ࡚࠸ࡿࡇ࡜ࡸࠊቑ⛯ࡢᙳ㡪ࢆ⦆࿴ࡍࡿࡓࡵ㉗୚⛯
㠀ㄢ⛯ᯟࡢᣑ඘ᥐ⨨ࡀྲྀࡽࢀ࡚࠸ࡿࡇ࡜ࠊ㈚ᐙࡢ┦⥆ቑ⛯ᑐ⟇ࡢ㟂せࡀᚎࠎ࡟ῶᑡࡍࡿ࡜ண ࡉࢀࡿࡇ
࡜➼࠿ࡽࠊ2013 ᖺᗘ⛬ࡢቑຍ࡛ࡣ࡞࠸࡜ண ࡍࡿࠋ
ᖺᗘࡢ╔ᕤᡞᩘࡣ๓ᖺᗘẚ 㸣ቑࡢ ୓ᡞࠊ
ᖺᗘࡣྠ 㸣ቑࡢ ୓ᡞ࡜ண ࡍࡿࠋ
ᣢᐙࡣࠊ4-8 ᭶ࡢ๓ᖺྠᮇẚࡣ 3.7㸣ቑ࡜ 2014 ᖺ 4 ᭶ᾘ㈝ቑ⛯ࡢ཯ືῶ࠿ࡽᣢࡕ┤ࡋࠊὀᩥఫᏯ኱ᡭ
5 ♫ࡢཷὀ㏿ሗᖹᆒࡶ 2014 ᖺ 10 ᭶௨㝆ࣉࣛࢫ࡟㌿ࡌ๓ᖺྠ᭶ẚ 0.8㹼12.4㸣ቑࠊ㊊ඖࡢ 9 ᭶࡛ྠ 2.2㸣
ቑ࡜࡞ࡗ࡚࠸ࡿࡇ࡜࠿ࡽࠊ2015 ᖺᗘࡢ╔ᕤᡞᩘࡣ๓ᖺᗘẚ࡛ቑຍࢆண ࡍࡿࠋ2016 ᖺᗘࡣࠊ2017 ᖺ 4
᭶ࡢᾘ㈝ቑ⛯ࡢ㥑ࡅ㎸ࡳ㟂せࡀ᝿ᐃࡉࢀࡿࡀࠊ2014 ᖺᾘ㈝ቑ⛯ࡢ㥑ࡅ㎸ࡳ࡜ẚ࡭ࡿ࡜ࠊࡸࡸᑡ࡞࠸࡜ண
ࡍࡿࠋ2015 ᖺᗘࡣ๓ᖺᗘẚ 5.0㸣ቑࡢ 29.2 ୓ᡞࠊ2016 ᖺᗘࡣྠ 8.2㸣ቑࡢ 31.6 ୓ᡞ࡜ண ࡍࡿࠋ
㈚ᐙࡣࠊ4-8 ᭶ࡢ๓ᖺྠᮇẚࡣ 10.3㸣ቑ࡛ࠊ2015 ᖺ 1 ᭶ࡢ┦⥆ቑ⛯ᚋࡶ╔ᕤቑࡀ⥅⥆ࠋ㈤㈚ఫᏯ኱ᡭ
3 ♫ࡢཷὀ㏿ሗᖹᆒࡶ 2014 ᖺ 10 ᭶௨㝆๓ᖺྠ᭶ẚ 4.2㹼16.3㸣ቑࠊ9 ᭶ࡀྠ 8.1㸣ቑ࡛ࠊ┦⥆ቑ⛯ࡢ⠇
⛯ᑐ⟇ࡢᙳ㡪ࡣᚎࠎ࡟ῶᑡࡋ࡚࠸ࡃࡶࡢࡢࠊᙜ㠃ࡣᗏሀࡃ᥎⛣ࡍࡿ࡜⪃࠼ࡿࠋ2016 ᖺᗘࡣࠊᾘ㈝ቑ⛯ࡢ
㥑ࡅ㎸ࡳ㟂せࡀ᝿ᐃࡉࢀࡿࡀࠊ┦⥆ቑ⛯ࡢ⠇⛯ᑐ⟇ࡢᙳ㡪ࡢῶᑡ࡛ࠊቑຍࡣ 2014 ᖺᾘ㈝ቑ⛯᫬ࡼࡾᑡ࡞
࠸࡜ண ࠋ2015 ᖺᗘࡣ๓ᖺᗘẚ 4.8㸣ቑࡢ 37.5 ୓ᡞࠊ2016 ᖺᗘࡣྠ 3.2㸣ቑࡢ 38.8 ୓ᡞ࡜ண ࡍࡿࠋ
ศㆡࡣࠊ4-8 ᭶ࡢ๓ᖺྠᮇẚࡀ 9.6㸣ቑ࡛࠶ࡗࡓࡀࠊ࣐ࣥࢩࣙࣥࡀྠ 25.5㸣ቑࠊᡞᘓࡀྠ‫ڹ‬3.5㸣࡜ࠊ
࣐ࣥࢩࣙࣥࡣᘓ⠏㈝ୖ᪼࡟ࡼࡿ౪⤥ῶ࠿ࡽᣢࡕ┤ࡋ࡚ቑຍࡋ࡚࠸ࡿࡀࠊᡞᘓࡣᾘ㈝ቑ⛯ᚋࡢ཯ືῶ࠿ࡽ
ࡢᅇ᚟ࡀ㐜ࢀ࡚࠸ࡿࠋ࣐ࣥࢩࣙࣥࡢ㈍኎≧ἣࡣࠊ4-8 ᭶ࡢ㤳㒔ᅪ࣭㏆␥ᅪྜィࡢ㈍኎ᡞᩘࡀ๓ᖺྠᮇẚ‫ڹ‬
2.3㸣ࡔࡗࡓࡢ࡟ᑐࡋዎ⣙⋡ࡣᖹᆒ 76.8㸣࡛ࠊዲㄪࡢ┠Ᏻ࡛࠶ࡿ 70㸣௨ୖࢆ㉸࠼࡚࠾ࡾሀㄪ࡛࠶ࡿࠋศ
ㆡ඲య࡜ࡋ࡚ 2015 ᖺᗘࡣቑຍࢆண ࡋ࡚࠾ࡾࠊ2016 ᖺᗘࡣศㆡᡞᘓࡢᾘ㈝ቑ⛯ࡢ㥑ࡅ㎸ࡳ㟂せࡀ᝿ᐃ
ࡉࢀࡿࡀࠊ࣐ࣥࢩࣙࣥࡢᘓ⠏㈝ୖ᪼ࡢᙳ㡪ࡣ௒ᚋࡶṧࡿ࡜⪃࠼ᚤቑࢆண ࠋ2015 ᖺᗘࡣศㆡ඲య࡛๓ᖺ
ᗘẚ 5.4㸣ቑࡢ 24.9 ୓ᡞࠊ2016 ᖺᗘࡣྠ 1.7㸣ቑࡢ 25.3 ୓ᡞ࡜ண ࡍࡿࠋ
ͤ㈍኎ᡞᩘࠊዎ⣙⋡ࡣ㸦ᰴ㸧୙ື⏘⤒῭◊✲ᡤⓎ⾲ࡢ㤳㒔ᅪ࣭㏆␥ᅪࡢ࣐ࣥࢩࣙࣥᕷሙືྥࡢࢹ࣮ࢱࢆྜ⟬
‫ە‬ఫᏯ╔ᕤᡞᩘࡢ᥎⛣㸦ᖺᗘ㸧
㸦༓ᡞ㸧
1,400
1,213.2
ᐇ⦼← →ぢ㏻䛧
1,249.4
1,200
987.3
1,000
819.0
841.2
2010
2011
893.0
962.6
922.7
880.5
800
600
400
200
0
2000
2005
ᣢᐙ
㈚ᐙ
2012
2013
ศㆡ㸦࣐ࣥࢩ࣭ࣙࣥ㛗ᒇᘓ㸧
2014
2015
ศㆡ㸦ᡞᘓ㸧
2016
⤥୚
㸦ᖺᗘ㸧
㸦ᡞᩘ༢఩㸸༓ᡞࠊᢞ㈨㢠༢఩㸸൨෇㸧
ᖺ ᗘ
2000
2005
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
(ぢ㏻䛧)
඲ࠉయ
1,213.2
1,249.4
819.0
841.2
893.0
987.3
880.5
922.7
-1.1%
4.7%
5.6%
2.7%
6.2%
10.6%
-10.8%
4.8%
437.8
352.6
308.5
304.8
316.5
352.8
278.2
292.3
ᣢࠉᐙ
㸦ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙࡧ⋡㸧
-8.0%
-4.0%
7.5%
-1.2%
3.8%
11.5%
-21.1%
5.0%
418.2
518.0
291.8
289.8
320.9
370.0
358.3
375.4
㈚ࠉᐙ
╔
㸦ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙࡧ⋡㸧
-1.8%
10.8%
-6.3%
-0.7%
10.7%
15.3%
-3.1%
4.8%
ᕤ
ᡞ
346.3
370.3
212.1
239.1
249.7
259.1
236.0
248.8
ศࠉㆡ
ᩘ
㸦ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙࡧ⋡㸧
11.0%
6.1%
29.6%
12.7%
4.4%
3.8%
-8.9%
5.4%
࣐ࣥࢩ࣭ࣙࣥ㛗ᒇᘓ
220.6
232.5
98.7
121.1
125.1
125.2
111.8
126.5
㸦ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙࡧ⋡㸧
13.4%
10.9%
44.5%
22.8%
3.3%
0.1%
-10.7%
13.2%
125.7
137.8
113.4
118.0
124.5
133.9
124.2
122.2
ᡞࠉᘓ
㸦ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙࡧ⋡㸧
6.9%
-1.2%
19.0%
4.0%
5.6%
7.5%
-7.2%
-1.6%
202,756
184,258
129,779
133,750
140,944
157,900
145,600
148,200
ྡ┠Ẹ㛫ఫᏯᢞ㈨
㸦ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙࡧ⋡㸧
-2.2%
0.3%
1.1%
3.1%
5.4%
12.0%
-7.8%
1.8%
ὀ1㸧╔ᕤᡞᩘࡣ2014ᖺᗘࡲ࡛ᐇ⦼ࠊ2015࣭16ᖺᗘࡣぢ㏻ࡋࠋ
ὀ2㸧ྡ┠Ẹ㛫ఫᏯᢞ㈨ࡣ2012ᖺᗘࡲ࡛ᐇ⦼ࠊ2013࣭14ᖺᗘࡣぢ㎸ࡳࠊ2015࣭16ᖺᗘࡣぢ㏻ࡋࠋ
ὀ3㸧⤥୚ఫᏯࡣ฼⏝㛵ಀู࡟⾲♧ࡋ࡚࠸࡞࠸ࡀࠊ඲యࡢ╔ᕤᡞᩘ࡟ྵࡲࢀࡿࠋ
㸦ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙࡧ⋡㸧
2016
(ぢ㏻䛧)
962.6
4.3%
316.1
8.2%
387.5
3.2%
253.0
1.7%
123.2
-2.6%
129.8
6.2%
157,800
6.5%
‫ە‬ఫᏯ╔ᕤᡞᩘࡢ᥎⛣㸦ᅄ༙ᮇ㸧
ࠉ
㸦๓ᖺྠᮇẚ㸧
ᖺᗘ
ᅄ༙ᮇ
2013
2014
7-9
10-12
13.5%
12.9%
12.2%
19.7%
ఙ
15.8%
15.8%
ࡧ
12.4%
-0.5%
⋡
࣐ࣥࢩ࣭ࣙࣥ㛗ᒇᘓ
14.2%
-12.3%
ᡞࠉᘓ
10.7%
11.1%
2015䠄ぢ㏻䛧䠅
ᖺᗘ
ᅄ༙ᮇ
4-6
7-9
10-12
඲ࠉయ
7.6%
7.9%
2.9%
ᣢࠉᐙ
2.2%
5.3%
7.0%
ఙ
㈚ࠉᐙ
5.3%
16.9%
0.7%
ࡧ
ศࠉㆡ
18.8%
-1.3%
3.1%
⋡
࣐ࣥࢩ࣭ࣙࣥ㛗ᒇᘓ
52.2%
-3.6%
8.3%
ᡞࠉᘓ
-6.4%
0.8%
-1.6%
ὀ㸧2014ᖺᗘࡲ࡛ᐇ⦼ࠊ2015࣭16ᖺᗘࡣぢ㏻ࡋࠋ
඲ࠉయ
ᣢࠉᐙ
㈚ࠉᐙ
ศࠉㆡ
4-6
11.8%
14.9%
10.8%
11.6%
11.7%
11.5%
1-3
3.4%
-2.7%
18.8%
-7.4%
-11.5%
-3.1%
4-6
-9.3%
-19.3%
5.5%
-16.0%
-29.0%
-2.5%
1-3
0.5%
5.8%
-3.8%
1.8%
2.5%
1.1%
4-6
-0.5%
3.0%
4.8%
-12.0%
-24.6%
3.5%
7-9
10-12
-13.6%
-13.8%
-23.8%
-27.9%
-5.7%
-6.8%
-11.2%
-5.1%
-13.1%
4.1%
-9.4%
-12.2%
2016䠄ぢ㏻䛧䠅
7-9
10-12
4.9%
10.4%
10.7%
19.0%
-0.3%
5.2%
7.2%
8.4%
10.3%
5.8%
4.5%
11.0%
1-3
-5.4%
-10.1%
-4.4%
-2.3%
-0.6%
-4.0%
1-3
2.0%
-1.9%
3.5%
4.6%
3.5%
5.7%
Ẹ㛫㠀ఫᏯᘓタᢞ㈨㸦ᘓ⠏㸩ᅵᮌ㸧ࡢ᥎⛣
ᖺᗘ࣭ ᖺᗘ࡜ࡶẸ㛫㠀ఫᏯᘓタᢞ㈨ࡣ⦆ࡸ࠿࡞ᅇ᚟ࡀ⥅⥆
4-6 ᭶ᮇࡢᐇ㉁Ẹ㛫௻ᴗタഛ㸦ෆ㛶ᗓࠕᅜẸ⤒῭ィ⟬ࠖ2 ḟ㏿ሗ್㸧ࡣ๓ᖺྠᮇẚ 1.5㸣ቑ࡜࡞ࡗࡓࠋ
ཎἜ౯᱁ୗⴠ➼ࢆ⫼ᬒ࡜ࡋࡓ௻ᴗࡢዲᴗ⦼ࠊ⪁ᮙタഛࡢ᭦᪂㟂せࡢቑ኱➼ࡢせᅉࡣ࠶ࡿࡶࡢࡢࠊ୍᪉࡛
୰ᅜ⤒῭ࡢῶ㏿ࡸಶேᾘ㈝ࡢ㕌࠸ືࡁ➼ࡢᙳ㡪ࡶ࠶ࡾࠊタഛᢞ㈨ࡣ⦆ࡸ࠿࡟ᣢࡕ┤ࡋ࡚࠸ࡃ࡜⪃࠼ࡿࠋ
2015 ᖺᗘࡢᐇ㉁Ẹ㛫௻ᴗタഛࡣ๓ᖺᗘẚ 2.8㸣ቑࠊ2016 ᖺᗘࡣ๓ᖺᗘẚ 4.1㸣ቑ࡜ண ࡍࡿࠋẸ㛫௻ᴗ
タഛᢞ㈨ࡢ࠺ࡕ⣙ 2 ๭ࢆ༨ࡵࡿᘓタᢞ㈨ࡣࠊୗグࡢ㏻ࡾ⦆ࡸ࠿࡞ᅇ᚟ࡀ⥅⥆ࡍࡿ࡜ண ࡍࡿࠋ
ᖺᗘࡢẸ㛫㠀ఫᏯᘓタᢞ㈨ࡣࠊ๓ᖺᗘẚ 㸣ቑࡢ 13 ඙ 4,100 ൨෇࡜࡞ࡿぢ㏻ࡋ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ2015
ᖺᗘࡢ╔ᕤᗋ㠃✚ࡣ๓ᖺᗘẚ࡛ࠊ஦ົᡤࡣ‫ڹ‬0.5㸣ࠊᗑ⯒ࡣ‫ڹ‬1.0㸣ࠊᕤሙࡣ 3.0㸣ቑࠊ಴ᗜࡣ 0.5㸣ቑ࡜
࡞ࡿぢ㏻ࡋ࡛ࠊẸ㛫㠀ఫᏯᘓ⠏ᢞ㈨඲య࡛ࡣ๓ᖺᗘẚ 1.7㸣ቑ࡜ண ࡍࡿࠋࡲࡓẸ㛫ᅵᮌᢞ㈨࡟ࡘ࠸࡚ࡣࠊ
㕲㐨࣭㏻ಙ࣭࢞ࢫ࡞࡝ᅵᮌ࢖ࣥࣇࣛ⣔௻ᴗࡢタഛᢞ㈨ࡀሀㄪ࡟᥎⛣ࡍࡿ࡜ࡳࡽࢀࡿࠋ
ᖺᗘࡢẸ㛫㠀ఫᏯᘓタᢞ㈨ࡣࠊ๓ᖺᗘẚ 㸣ቑࡢ 13 ඙ 7000 ൨෇࡜࡞ࡿぢ㏻ࡋ࡛࠶ࡿࠋࡇࡢ࠺
ࡕᘓ⠏ᢞ㈨ࡣࠊ๓ᖺᗘẚ 2.7㸣ቑࠊᅵᮌᢞ㈨ࡣྠ 1.1㸣ቑ࡜ண ࡍࡿࠋ
஦ົᡤࡣࠊᮾி㒔ᚰࢆ୰ᚰ࡟✵ᐊ⋡࣭㈤㈚ᩱࡣᨵၿഴྥ࡟࠶ࡾࠊ௒ᚋࡶᗏሀࡃ᥎⛣ࡍࡿࡶࡢ࡜ࡳࡽ
ࢀࡿࠋ2015ᖺᗘࡣᮾி㒔ᚰࢆ୰ᚰ࡟኱つᶍ࢜ࣇ࢕ࢫ╔ᕤࡣᚤῶࡍࡿ࡜ண᝿ࡉࢀࡿࡀࠊ2016ᖺᗘࡣᅇ
᚟ࡍࡿࡶࡢ࡜ࡳࡽࢀࡿࠋ
ᗑ⯒ࡣࠊ᪂つฟᗑࡼࡾࡶࠊ᪤Ꮡᗑࡢᨵ⿦ࢆ㔜どࡍࡿືࡁࡀぢࡽࢀࡿ࡯࠿ࠊᾘ㈝⪅࣐࢖ࣥࢻࡶᣢࡕ┤ࡋ
࡟㊊㋃ࡳࡀࡳࡽࢀࡿࠋ኱ᗑἲୖࡢᒆฟ≧ἣࡶ๓ᖺᗘᐇ⦼ࢆୗᅇࡗ࡚࠾ࡾࠊ╔ᕤᗋ㠃✚ࡶ㕌࠸ືࡁࡀ⥆࠸
࡚࠸ࡿࠋ
ᕤሙࡣࠊᾏእᣐⅬ࡛ࡢ⏕⏘㈍኎ࡀᐃ╔ࡋ࡚࠸ࡿࡀࠊ㊊ඖࡢ╔ᕤᗋ㠃✚ࡣዲㄪ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ෇Ᏻᇶㄪࡢ⥅⥆
ࡸゼ᪥እᅜேࡢᾘ㈝ቑ኱࡟ࡼࡿᅜෆᅇᖐࡢືࡁ࡟ຍ࠼ࠊἲேῶ⛯࡞࡝ࡢ᪋⟇࡟ࡼࡾࡇ࠺ࡋࡓືࡁࡀᮏ᱁
໬ࡍࡿྍ⬟ᛶࡶᮇᚅࡉࢀࠊ௒ᚋࠊ╔ᕤᗋ㠃✚ࡣሀㄪ࡟᥎⛣ࡍࡿ࡜ࡳࡽࢀࡿࠋ
಴ᗜࡣࠊᑠ኎ྛ♫ࡢᐇᗑ⯒࡜࢜ࣥࣛ࢖ࣥࢫࢺ࢔ࡢ㈍኎࣭ὶ㏻ࢳࣕࢿࣝࢆ⤫ྜࡍࡿ࣒࢜ࢽࢳࣕࢿࣝᡓ␎
࡟ࡼࡿ᪂ࡓ࡞≀ὶ⥙ࡢᩚഛࡶ㐍ࢇ࡛࠾ࡾࠊ≀ὶᣐⅬࢆ᪂タࡍࡿືࡁࡣ౫↛࡜ࡋ࡚⥆ࡃ࡜ࡳࡽࢀࡿࡀࠊ㊊
ඖࡢ╔ᕤᗋ㠃✚ࡣࡸࡸఙࡧᝎࢇ࡛࠸ࡿࠋ
Ẹ㛫㠀ఫᏯᢞ㈨ࡣࠊ௒ᚋࠊ2020ᖺᮾி࢜ࣜࣥࣆࢵࢡ࣭ࣃࣛࣜࣥࣆࢵࢡࢆぢ㎸ࢇࡔᢞ㈨ࢆྵࡵࠊ⦆ࡸ࠿
࡞ᅇ᚟ࡀ⥅⥆ࡍࡿ࡜ᛮࢃࢀࡿࡀࠊᾘ㈝⪅࣐࢖ࣥࢻࡸᾏእ⤒῭➼ࡢືྥ࡬ࡢὀどࡀᘬࡁ⥆ࡁᚲせ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ
‫ە‬Ẹ㛫㠀ఫᏯᘓタᢞ㈨ࡢ᥎⛣㸦ᖺᗘ㸧
(༢఩:൨෇ࠊᐇ㉁್ࡣ 2005 ᖺᗘ౯᱁)
ᖺᗘ
ྡ┠Ẹ㛫㠀ఫᏯᘓタᢞ㈨
ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙࡧ⋡
ྡ┠Ẹ㛫㠀ఫᏯᘓ⠏ᢞ㈨
ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙࡧ⋡
ྡ┠Ẹ㛫ᅵᮌᢞ㈨
ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙࡧ⋡
ᐇ㉁Ẹ㛫௻ᴗタഛ
ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙࡧ⋡
2013
2014
2015
2016
䠄ぢ㎸䜏䠅
䠄ぢ㎸䜏䠅
䠄ぢ㏻䛧䠅
䠄ぢ㏻䛧䠅
2000
2005
2010
2011
2012
159,591
141,680
109,683
113,065
114,800
0.7%
4.0%
-10.0%
3.1%
1.5%
12.8%
2.2%
1.3%
2.2%
93,429
92,357
69,116
69,618
72,402
84,200
86,300
87,800
90,200
129,500
134,100
137,000
-0.5%
3.4%
-9.5%
0.7%
4.0%
16.3%
2.5%
1.7%
2.7%
66,162
49,323
40,567
43,447
42,398
45,300
46,100
46,300
46,800
2.5%
5.3%
-10.9%
7.1%
-2.4%
6.8%
1.8%
0.4%
1.1%
649,864
705,989
648,763
680,053
688,082
715,473
718,864
738,794
769,086
4.8%
4.4%
3.8%
4.8%
1.2%
4.0%
0.5%
2.8%
4.1%
ὀ1㸧2014ᖺᗘࡲ࡛ࡢྡ┠Ẹ㛫㠀ఫᏯᘓタᢞ㈨ࡣᅜᅵ஺㏻┬ࠕᖹᡂ27ᖺᗘ ᘓタᢞ㈨ぢ㏻ࡋࠖࡼࡾࠋ
ὀ2㸧2014ᖺᗘࡲ࡛ࡢᐇ㉁Ẹ㛫௻ᴗタഛࡣෆ㛶ᗓࠕᅜẸ⤒῭ィ⟬ࠖࡼࡾࠋ
132,400
‫ە‬Ẹ㛫㠀ఫᏯᘓタᢞ㈨ఙࡧ⋡ࡢ᥎⛣㸦ᅄ༙ᮇ㸧
ぢ㎸䜏䊹
㸣๓ᖺྠᮇẚ
䊻ぢ㏻䛧
30.0
25.0
20.0
15.0
10.0
5.0
0.0
-5.0
4-6
7-9
10-12
1-3
4-6
2013ᖺᗘ
7-9
10-12
1-3
4-6
2014ᖺᗘ
ྡ┠Ẹ㛫㠀ఫᏯᘓタᢞ㈨
ᖺᗘࠉ
ᅄ༙ᮇ
ྡ┠Ẹ㛫㠀ఫᏯᘓタᢞ㈨
ྡ┠Ẹ㛫㠀ఫᏯᘓ⠏ᢞ㈨
ྡ┠Ẹ㛫ᅵᮌᢞ㈨
ᐇ㉁Ẹ㛫௻ᴗタഛ
ᖺᗘࠉ
ᅄ༙ᮇ
ྡ┠Ẹ㛫㠀ఫᏯᘓタᢞ㈨
ྡ┠Ẹ㛫㠀ఫᏯᘓ⠏ᢞ㈨
ྡ┠Ẹ㛫ᅵᮌᢞ㈨
ᐇ㉁Ẹ㛫௻ᴗタഛ
7-9
4-6
0.9%
1.7%
-0.6%
1.5%
1-3
4-6
2015ᖺᗘ
ྡ┠Ẹ㛫㠀ఫᏯᘓ⠏ᢞ㈨
4-6
7.7%
11.0%
2.0%
-0.2%
10-12
2013䠄ぢ㎸䜏䠅
7-9
10-12
10.0%
12.1%
13.4%
15.6%
4.2%
6.2%
1.2%
3.0%
2015䠄ぢ㏻䛧䠅
7-9
10-12
1.2%
1.8%
2.1%
2.1%
-0.5%
1.3%
3.1%
3.6%
7-9
10-12
1-3
2016ᖺᗘ
ྡ┠Ẹ㛫ᅵᮌᢞ㈨
1-3
20.1%
23.8%
13.8%
10.8%
4-6
4.2%
4.4%
3.7%
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
1.2%
1.4%
2.8%
4-6
1.4%
1.7%
0.9%
4.0%
ᐇ㉁Ẹ㛫௻ᴗタഛ
㸦๓ᖺྠᮇẚ㸧
2014䠄ぢ㎸䜏䠅
7-9
10-12
1-3
3.1%
2.1%
0.2%
3.4%
2.4%
0.4%
2.6%
1.7%
-0.3%
1.4%
0.2%
-1.4%
2016䠄ぢ㏻䛧䠅
7-9
10-12
1-3
2.2%
2.5%
2.5%
2.5%
3.1%
3.4%
1.4%
1.3%
0.9%
3.9%
4.0%
4.3%
ὀ㸧2015ᖺ4-6᭶ᮇࡲ࡛ࡢᐇ㉁Ẹ㛫௻ᴗタഛࡣෆ㛶ᗓࠕᅜẸ⤒῭ィ⟬ࠖࡼࡾࠋ
‫ە‬Ẹ㛫㠀ఫᏯᘓ⠏╔ᕤᗋ㠃✚ࡢ᥎⛣㸦ᖺᗘ㸧㻌
༢఩༓੍
ᖺᗘ
஦ົᡤ╔ᕤᗋ㠃✚
ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙࡧ⋡
ᗑ⯒╔ᕤᗋ㠃✚
ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙࡧ⋡
ᕤሙ╔ᕤᗋ㠃✚
ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙࡧ⋡
಴ᗜ╔ᕤᗋ㠃✚
ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙࡧ⋡
㠀ఫᏯ╔ᕤᗋ㠃✚ィ
ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙࡧ⋡
2000
2005
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
䠄ぢ㏻䛧䠅
䠄ぢ㏻䛧䠅
7,280
6,893
4,658
5,039
5,315
4,819
5,097
5,072
5,250
-4.2%
-4.4%
-26.8%
8.2%
5.5%
-9.3%
5.8%
-0.5%
3.5%
11,862
12,466
5,727
5,173
7,403
8,326
7,112
7,041
7,076
-17.9%
9.7%
4.1%
-9.7%
43.1%
12.5%
-14.6%
-1.0%
0.5%
13,714
14,135
6,405
7,168
8,203
7,890
7,482
7,706
7,822
37.6%
6.8%
17.6%
11.9%
14.4%
-3.8%
-5.2%
3.0%
1.5%
7,484
8,991
4,234
5,361
6,248
6,842
8,003
8,043
8,203
11.2%
16.3%
6.1%
26.6%
16.6%
9.5%
17.0%
0.5%
2.0%
59,250
65,495
37,403
40,502
44,559
47,679
45,013
45,498
46,473
2.0%
3.8%
7.3%
8.3%
10.0%
7.0%
-5.6%
1.1%
2.1%
ὀ㸧㠀ఫᏯ╔ᕤᗋ㠃✚ィ࠿ࡽ஦ົᡤࠊᗑ⯒ࠊᕤሙࠊ಴ᗜࢆ᥍㝖ࡋࡓṧవࡣࠊᏛᰯࠊ⑓㝔ࠊࡑࡢ௚࡟ヱᙜࡍࡿ㹿
䝬䜽䝻⤒῭䛾᥎⛣ 㻌
ᖺᗘ࣭ ᖺᗘ࡜ࡶ࡟ᬒẼࡀ⦆ࡸ࠿࡟ᅇ᚟ࡍࡿぢ㏻ࡋ
2015 ᖺᗘࡣࠊබⓗᅛᐃ㈨ᮏᙧᡂࡣ 2014 ᖺᗘ࡜ẚ㍑ࡋ࡚ῶᑡࡍࡿ࡜ண ࡉࢀࠊಶேᾘ㈝࡞࡝ࠊࡇࡢ࡜
ࡇࢁ୍㒊࡟㕌࠸ືࡁࡶぢࡽࢀࡿࡀࠊࠕ⥭ᛴ⤒῭ᑐ⟇ࠖ࡞࡝ࡢྲྀࡾ⤌ࡳ࡟ࡼࡿ㞠⏝࣭ᡤᚓ⎔ቃࡢᨵၿࠊཎ
Ἔ౯᱁ୗⴠ࡟ࡼࡿ௻ᴗ཰┈࡞࡝ࡢᢲୖࡆࡸタഛᢞ㈨ࡢᣢࡕ┤ࡋࡀண ࡉࢀࡿࡇ࡜࠿ࡽࠊ⤒῭ࡢዲᚠ⎔ࡀ
㐍ᒎࡍࡿ୰࡛ࠊᬒẼࡀ⦆ࡸ࠿࡟ᅇ᚟ࡍࡿぢ㏻ࡋ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ
2016 ᖺᗘࡶࠊᖺᗘᚋ༙࡟ࡣ 2017 ᖺ 4 ᭶࡟ணᐃࡉࢀ࡚࠸ࡿᾘ㈝ቑ⛯࡟ࡼࡾಶேᾘ㈝ࡸఫᏯᢞ㈨ࡀ㥑ࡅ
㎸ࡳ㟂せࡢᙳ㡪ࡶຍࢃࡾࠊ⦆ࡸ࠿࡞ᅇ᚟ࡀ⥆ࡃぢ㏻ࡋ࡛࠶ࡿࠋ୍᪉࡛බⓗᅛᐃ㈨ᮏᙧᡂ࡟ࡘ࠸࡚ࡣࠊ2015
ᖺᗘ࡜ẚ㍑ࡋ࡚ῶᑡࡍࡿࡇ࡜ࡀண ࡉࢀࡿࠋ
ୗ᣺ࢀࣜࢫࢡ࡜ࡋ࡚ࡣࠊ୰ᅜࡸࡑࡢ௚᪂⯆ᅜ⤒῭ࡢඛ⾜ࡁࠊཎἜ౯᱁ୗⴠࡢ⏘Ἔᅜ➼࡬ࡢᙳ㡪➼࡟ࡘ
࠸࡚␃ពࡍࡿᚲせࡀ࠶ࡿࠋ
ᖺᗘࡢᐇ㉁⤒῭ᡂ㛗⋡ࡣࠊ๓ᖺᗘẚ 㸣ቑ࡜ண ࡍࡿࠋබⓗᅛᐃ㈨ᮏᙧᡂࡣ๓ᖺᗘẚ‫ڹ‬6.8㸣
㸦GDP ᐤ୚ᗘ‫ڹ‬0.3㸣࣏࢖ࣥࢺ㸧ࠊẸ㛫ఫᏯࡣ 1.5㸣ቑ㸦ྠ 0.0㸣࣏࢖ࣥࢺ㸧ࠊẸ㛫௻ᴗタഛࡣ 2.8㸣ቑ㸦ྠ
0.4㸣࣏࢖ࣥࢺ㸧࡜ண ࡍࡿࠋ
ᖺᗘࡢᐇ㉁⤒῭ᡂ㛗⋡ࡣࠊ๓ᖺᗘẚ 㸣ቑ࡜ண ࡍࡿࠋබⓗᅛᐃ㈨ᮏᙧᡂࡣ๓ᖺᗘẚ‫ڹ‬12.1㸣
㸦GDP ᐤ୚ᗘ‫ڹ‬0.5㸣࣏࢖ࣥࢺ㸧ࠊẸ㛫ఫᏯࡣ 5.0㸣ࡢቑຍ㸦ྠ 0.1㸣࣏࢖ࣥࢺ㸧ࠊẸ㛫௻ᴗタഛࡣ 4.1㸣
ࡢቑຍ㸦ྠ 0.6㸣࣏࢖ࣥࢺ㸧࡜ண ࡍࡿࠋ
‫ࡢ῭⤒ࣟࢡ࣐ ە‬᥎⛣㸦ᖺᗘ㸧
㸦༢఩㸸൨෇ࠊᐇ㉁್ࡣ 2005 ᬺᖺ㐃㙐౯᱁⾲♧㸧
ᖺᗘ
ᐇ㉁GDP
ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙࡧ⋡
ᐇ㉁Ẹ㛫᭱⤊ᾘ㈝ᨭฟ
ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙࡧ⋡
ᐤ୚ᗘ
ᐇ㉁ᨻᗓ᭱⤊ᾘ㈝ᨭฟ
ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙࡧ⋡
ᐤ୚ᗘ
ᐇ㉁Ẹ㛫ఫᏯ
ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙࡧ⋡
ᐤ୚ᗘ
ᐇ㉁Ẹ㛫௻ᴗタഛ
ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙࡧ⋡
ᐤ୚ᗘ
ᐇ㉁බⓗᅛᐃ㈨ᮏᙧᡂ
ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙࡧ⋡
ᐤ୚ᗘ
ᐇ㉁ᅾᗜရቑຍ
ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙࡧ⋡
ᐤ୚ᗘ
ᐇ㉁㈈㈌㺙㺎㺩㺼㺛ࡢ⣧㍺ฟ
ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙࡧ⋡
ᐤ୚ᗘ
ྡ┠GDP
ᑐ๓ᖺᗘఙࡧ⋡
2000
4,767,233
2.0%
2,750,555
0.3%
0.2
839,598
4.8%
0.8
200,798
-0.1%
0.0
649,864
4.8%
0.7
350,705
-6.1%
-0.5
3,408
-110.2%
0.8
-20,874
102.6%
0.0
5,108,347
0.8%
2005
5,071,580
1.9%
2,925,785
1.9%
1.1
923,628
0.4%
0.1
183,450
-0.7%
0.0
705,989
4.4%
0.6
241,128
-6.7%
-0.3
8,072
-46.3%
-0.1
83,487
56.0%
0.6
5,053,494
0.5%
2010
5,127,203
3.5%
2,997,207
1.6%
0.9
978,863
2.0%
0.4
125,337
2.2%
0.1
648,763
3.8%
0.5
207,145
-6.4%
-0.3
-1,357
-97.3%
1.1
171,665
46.5%
0.8
4,805,275
1.4%
2011
5,146,943
0.4%
3,039,745
1.4%
0.8
990,681
1.2%
0.2
129,361
3.2%
0.1
680,053
4.8%
0.6
200,543
-3.2%
-0.1
-12,854
847.2%
-0.3
122,625
-28.6%
-1.0
4,741,705
-1.3%
ὀ㸧2014 ᖺᗘࡲ࡛ࡣෆ㛶ᗓࠕᅜẸ⤒῭ィ⟬ࠖࡼࡾࠋ
2012
5,198,024
1.0%
3,094,893
1.8%
1.1
1,005,783
1.5%
0.3
136,782
5.7%
0.2
688,082
1.2%
0.2
202,642
1.0%
0.0
-12,889
0.3%
0.0
85,711
-30.1%
-0.8
4,746,357
0.1%
2013
5,306,173
2.1%
3,171,956
2.5%
1.5
1,021,607
1.6%
0.3
149,527
9.3%
0.3
715,473
4.0%
0.5
223,601
10.3%
0.5
-36,844
185.9%
-0.5
72,641
-15.2%
-0.5
4,830,750
1.8%
2014
5,258,604
-0.9%
3,073,984
-3.1%
-1.9
1,025,806
0.4%
0.1
132,101
-11.7%
-0.4
718,864
0.5%
0.1
227,994
2.0%
0.1
-12,113
-67.1%
0.5
112,135
54.4%
0.6
4,907,868
1.6%
2015
2016
㸦ぢ㏻ࡋ㸧
㸦ぢ㏻ࡋ㸧
5,297,459
0.7%
3,080,102
0.2%
0.1
1,042,168
1.6%
0.3
134,033
1.5%
0.0
738,794
2.8%
0.4
212,600
-6.8%
-0.3
-10,134
-16.3%
0.0
120,376
7.3%
0.2
4,990,213
1.7%
5,376,832
1.5%
3,126,931
1.5%
0.9
1,053,549
1.1%
0.2
140,726
5.0%
0.1
769,086
4.1%
0.6
186,796
-12.1%
-0.5
-12,634
24.7%
-0.0
132,858
10.4%
0.2
5,055,976
1.3%
‫ࡢ῭⤒ࣟࢡ࣐ ە‬᥎⛣㸦ᅄ༙ᮇ㸧
㸦㸣࣏࢖ࣥࢺࠊ๓ᖺྠᮇẚ㸧
ぢ㏻ࡋ
ᐇ⦼
8.0
7.0
6.0
5.0
4.0
3.0
2.0
1.0
0.0
-1.0
-2.0
-3.0
-4.0
-5.0
-6.0
-7.0
-8.0
4-6
7-9
10-12
1-3
4-6
2013ᖺᗘ
7-9
10-12
1-3
4-6
2014ᖺᗘ
7-9
10-12
1-3
2015ᖺᗘ
4-6
7-9
10-12
1-3
2016ᖺᗘ
ᐤ୚ᗘ࣭Ẹ㛫᭱⤊ᾘ㈝ᨭฟ
ᐤ୚ᗘ࣭ᨻᗓ᭱⤊ᾘ㈝ᨭฟ
ᐤ୚ᗘ࣭Ẹ㛫ఫᏯ
ᐤ୚ᗘ࣭Ẹ㛫௻ᴗタഛ
ᐤ୚ᗘ࣭බⓗᅛᐃ㈨ᮏᙧᡂ
ᐤ୚ᗘ࣭ᅾᗜရቑຍ
ᐤ୚ᗘ࣭㈈㈌㺙㺎㺩㺼㺛ࡢ⣧㍺ฟ
ᐇ㉁*'3ᡂ㛗⋡㸦㸣㸧
ࠉࠉࠉ๓ᖺྠᮇẚ
ᖺᗘ
ᅄ༙ᮇ
ᐇ㉁㹅㹂㹎ᡂ㛗⋡
ᐤ୚ᗘ࣭Ẹ㛫᭱⤊ᾘ㈝ᨭฟ
ᐤ୚ᗘ࣭ᨻᗓ᭱⤊ᾘ㈝ᨭฟ
ᐤ୚ᗘ࣭Ẹ㛫ఫᏯ
ᐤ୚ᗘ࣭Ẹ㛫௻ᴗタഛ
ᐤ୚ᗘ࣭බⓗᅛᐃ㈨ᮏᙧᡂ
ᐤ୚ᗘ࣭ᅾᗜရቑຍ
ᐤ୚ᗘ࣭㈈㈌㺙㺎㺩㺼㺛ࡢ⣧㍺ฟ
ᖺᗘ
ᅄ༙ᮇ
ᐇ㉁㹅㹂㹎ᡂ㛗⋡
ᐤ୚ᗘ࣭Ẹ㛫᭱⤊ᾘ㈝ᨭฟ
ᐤ୚ᗘ࣭ᨻᗓ᭱⤊ᾘ㈝ᨭฟ
ᐤ୚ᗘ࣭Ẹ㛫ఫᏯ
ᐤ୚ᗘ࣭Ẹ㛫௻ᴗタഛ
ᐤ୚ᗘ࣭බⓗᅛᐃ㈨ᮏᙧᡂ
ᐤ୚ᗘ࣭ᅾᗜရቑຍ
ᐤ୚ᗘ࣭㈈㈌㺙㺎㺩㺼㺛ࡢ⣧㍺ฟ
4-6
1.4
1.1
0.5
0.2
-0.0
0.1
-0.4
-0.2
4-6
0.8
0.2
0.3
-0.1
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.1
2013
7-9 10-12
2.2
2.3
1.4
1.4
0.4
0.3
0.3
0.3
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
-0.5
-0.4
-0.1
-0.5
2015㸦ぢ㏻ࡋ㸧
7-9 10-12
0.8
0.8
0.1
0.1
0.3
0.3
0.1
0.1
0.4
0.5
-0.4
-0.4
0.1
0.2
0.2
0.0
1-3
2.4
2.0
0.0
0.4
1.7
0.4
-0.7
-1.3
4-6
-0.4
-1.8
-0.0
-0.1
0.3
0.2
1.1
-0.2
1-3
0.6
0.1
0.4
0.1
0.4
-0.4
-0.2
0.3
4-6
1.2
0.6
0.3
0.0
0.5
-0.5
-0.5
0.6
2014
7-9 10-12
-1.4
-1.0
-1.9
-1.5
0.0
0.1
-0.4
-0.5
0.2
0.0
0.1
0.1
0.3
-0.2
0.2
1.1
2016㸦ぢ㏻ࡋ㸧
7-9 10-12
1.6
1.5
0.7
0.7
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.2
0.5
0.5
-0.5
-0.5
0.1
0.3
0.5
0.2
1-3
-0.8
-2.5
0.2
-0.5
-0.2
0.0
1.0
1.2
1-3
1.6
1.5
0.1
0.1
0.7
-0.5
-0.1
-0.4
ᘓタᢞ㈨㸦ᐇᩘ㸧
䠄ྡ┠䠅
ᖺࠉࠉࠉᗘ
⥲ࠉࠉࠉィ
㸯㸬ᘓࠉ⠏
(1)ఫࠉᏯ
ࠉࠉᨻ ᗓ
ࠉࠉẸ 㛫
(2)㠀ఫᏯ
ࠉࠉᨻ ᗓ
ࠉࠉẸ 㛫
㸰㸬ᅵࠉᮌ
(1)ᨻࠉᗓ
ࠉࠉ(㺏)බඹ஦ᴗ
ࠉࠉ(㺐)ࡑࡢ௚
(2)Ẹࠉ㛫
⥲ィࠉᨻᗓ
෌ ࠉࠉࠉẸ㛫
ᘓ⠏ࠉᨻᗓ
ࠉࠉࠉẸ㛫
ᥖ ᅵᮌࠉᨻᗓ
ࠉࠉࠉẸ㛫
ࠉ
༢఩㸸൨෇
2011
432,923
224,801
138,400
4,650
133,750
86,401
16,783
69,618
208,122
164,675
138,544
26,131
43,447
186,108
246,815
21,433
203,368
164,675
43,447
2012
452,914
235,125
145,769
4,825
140,944
89,356
16,954
72,402
217,789
175,391
149,656
25,735
42,398
197,170
255,744
21,779
213,346
175,391
42,398
ྡ┠
2013
2014
2015
512,900
513,000
496,700
270,700
258,600
262,700
164,600
152,000
153,600
6,700
6,400
5,400
157,900
145,600
148,200
106,100
106,600
109,100
21,900
20,300
21,300
84,200
86,300
87,800
242,200
254,400
234,000
196,900
208,300
187,700
170,700
182,500
165,500
26,200
25,800
22,200
45,300
46,100
46,300
225,500
235,000
214,400
287,400
278,000
282,300
28,600
26,700
26,700
242,100
231,900
236,000
196,900
208,300
187,700
45,300
46,100
46,300
ぢ㎸䜏䊹 䊻ぢ㏻䛧
䠄ᐇ㉁䠅
ᖺࠉࠉࠉᗘ
⥲ࠉࠉࠉィ
㸯㸬ᘓࠉ⠏
(1)ఫࠉᏯ
ࠉࠉᨻ ᗓ
ࠉࠉẸ 㛫
(2)㠀ఫᏯ
ࠉࠉᨻ ᗓ
ࠉࠉẸ 㛫
㸰㸬ᅵࠉᮌ
(1)ᨻࠉᗓ
ࠉࠉ(㺏)බඹ஦ᴗ
ࠉࠉ(㺐)ࡑࡢ௚
(2)Ẹࠉ㛫
⥲ィࠉᨻᗓ
෌ ࠉࠉࠉẸ㛫
ᘓ⠏ࠉᨻᗓ
ࠉࠉࠉẸ㛫
ᥖ ᅵᮌࠉᨻᗓ
ࠉࠉࠉẸ㛫
2016
487,400
270,600
162,900
5,100
157,800
107,700
17,500
90,200
216,800
170,000
147,800
22,200
46,800
192,600
294,800
22,600
248,000
170,000
46,800
༢఩㸸൨෇
2011
407,712
213,387
131,568
4,429
127,139
81,819
15,893
65,926
194,325
153,758
129,359
24,399
40,567
174,080
233,632
20,322
193,065
153,758
40,567
2012
432,947
226,986
140,984
4,675
136,309
86,002
16,318
69,684
205,961
165,735
141,318
24,417
40,226
186,728
246,219
20,993
205,993
165,735
40,226
ᐇ㉁
2013
2014
2015
479,510
466,996
448,100
255,359
237,750
239,900
155,454
139,862
140,800
6,351
5,915
5,000
149,103
133,947
135,800
99,905
97,888
99,100
20,621
18,641
19,400
79,284
79,247
79,700
224,151
229,246
208,200
182,090
187,489
166,900
157,763
164,119
147,000
24,327
23,370
19,900
42,061
41,757
41,300
209,062
212,045
191,300
270,448
254,951
256,800
26,972
24,556
24,400
228,387
213,194
215,500
182,090
187,489
166,900
42,061
41,757
41,300
ぢ㎸䜏䊹 䊻ぢ㏻䛧
2016
432,000
243,300
147,400
4,600
142,800
95,900
15,700
80,200
188,700
147,800
128,400
19,400
40,900
168,100
263,900
20,300
223,000
147,800
40,900
㸨ᐇ㉁್ࡣ2005ᖺᗘ౯᱁
ᘓタᢞ㈨㸦ఙࡧ⋡㸧
䠄ྡ┠䠅
ࠉ
༢఩㸸㸣
ྡ ┠䚷
ᖺࠉࠉࠉᗘ
⥲ࠉࠉࠉィ
㸯㸬ᘓࠉ⠏
(1)ఫࠉᏯ
ࠉࠉᨻ ᗓ
ࠉࠉẸ 㛫
(2)㠀ఫᏯ
ࠉࠉᨻ ᗓ
ࠉࠉẸ 㛫
㸰㸬ᅵࠉᮌ
(1)ᨻࠉᗓ
ࠉࠉ(㺏)බඹ஦ᴗ
ࠉࠉ(㺐)ࡑࡢ௚
(2)Ẹࠉ㛫
⥲ィࠉᨻᗓ
෌ ࠉࠉࠉẸ㛫
ᘓ⠏ࠉᨻᗓ
ࠉࠉࠉẸ㛫
ᥖ ᅵᮌࠉᨻᗓ
ࠉࠉࠉẸ㛫
2011
2012
3.3
1.7
2.6
-9.8
3.1
0.4
-0.9
0.7
5.0
4.4
6.4
-5.1
7.1
3.5
3.1
-3.0
2.2
4.4
7.1
2013
4.6
4.6
5.3
3.8
5.4
3.4
1.0
4.0
4.6
6.5
8.0
-1.5
-2.4
5.9
3.6
1.6
4.9
6.5
-2.4
2014
13.2
15.1
12.9
38.9
12.0
18.7
29.2
16.3
11.2
12.3
14.1
1.8
6.8
14.4
12.4
31.3
13.5
12.3
6.8
2015
0.0
-3.2
-4.5
1.6
-7.7
1.1
-4.5
-15.6
-7.8
1.8
0.5
2.3
-7.3
4.9
2.5
1.7
5.0
-8.0
5.8
-9.9
6.9
-9.3
-1.5
-14.0
1.8
0.4
4.2
-8.8
-3.3
1.5
-6.6
0.0
-4.2
1.8
5.8
-9.9
1.8
0.4
ぢ㎸䜏䊹 䊻ぢ㏻䛧
ࠉ
䠄ᐇ㉁䠅
2016
-1.9
3.0
6.1
-5.6
6.5
-1.3
-17.8
2.7
-7.4
-9.4
-10.7
0.0
1.1
-10.2
4.4
-15.4
5.1
-9.4
1.1
༢఩㸸㸣
ᐇ ㉁䚷
ᖺࠉࠉࠉᗘ
⥲ࠉࠉࠉィ
㸯㸬ᘓࠉ⠏
(1)ఫࠉᏯ
ࠉࠉᨻ ᗓ
ࠉࠉẸ 㛫
(2)㠀ఫᏯ
ࠉࠉᨻ ᗓ
ࠉࠉẸ 㛫
㸰㸬ᅵࠉᮌ
(1)ᨻࠉᗓ
ࠉࠉ(㺏)බඹ஦ᴗ
ࠉࠉ(㺐)ࡑࡢ௚
(2)Ẹࠉ㛫
⥲ィࠉᨻᗓ
෌ ࠉࠉࠉẸ㛫
ᘓ⠏ࠉᨻᗓ
ࠉࠉࠉẸ㛫
ᥖ ᅵᮌࠉᨻᗓ
ࠉࠉࠉẸ㛫
2011
1.8
0.3
1.2
-11.0
1.7
-1.0
-2.3
-0.7
3.5
2.9
4.8
-6.3
5.7
2.0
1.7
-4.4
0.9
2.9
5.7
2012
2013
6.2
6.4
7.2
5.6
7.2
5.1
2.7
5.7
6.0
7.8
9.2
0.1
-0.8
7.3
5.4
3.3
6.7
7.8
-0.8
2014
10.8
12.5
10.3
35.9
9.4
16.2
26.4
13.8
8.8
9.9
11.6
-0.4
4.6
12.0
9.8
28.5
10.9
9.9
4.6
2015
-2.6
-4.0
-6.9
0.9
-10.0
0.7
-6.9
-15.5
-10.2
1.4
-2.0
1.2
-9.6
4.1
0.0
0.6
2.3
-9.2
3.0
-11.0
4.0
-10.4
-3.9
-14.8
-0.7
-1.1
1.4
-9.8
-5.7
0.7
-9.0
-0.6
-6.7
1.1
3.0
-11.0
-0.7
-1.1
ぢ㎸䜏䊹 䊻ぢ㏻䛧
2016
-3.6
1.4
4.7
-8.0
5.2
-3.2
-19.1
0.6
-9.4
-11.4
-12.7
-2.5
-1.0
-12.1
2.8
-16.8
3.5
-11.4
-1.0
䠄ཧ⪃䠅
㻌
ྡ┠ᘓタᢞ㈨䛸 GDP ẚ䛾᥎⛣㻌
㸦඙෇㸧
90
20%
㻤㻠㻚㻜
ྡ┠ᘓタᢞ㈨
඙෇
ྡ┠ᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨
80
18%
ᘓタᢞ㈨ࡢ*'3ẚ㸣
ᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨ࡢ*'3ẚ㸣
㻝㻣㻚㻠㻑
16%
70
14%
60
12%
㻠㻥㻚㻣඙෇
㻠㻤㻚㻣඙෇
50
10%
㻝㻜㻚㻜㻑
40
㻥㻚㻢㻑
㻟㻡㻚㻞
㻟㻞㻚㻟
඙෇
8%
඙෇
30
㻢㻚㻣㻑
ᘓタᢞ㈨
䛾㻳㻰㻼ẚ
䝢䞊䜽᫬ 㻝㻣㻚㻠㻑
䊻㻥㻚㻢㻑
㻣㻚㻜㻑
6%
㻞㻝㻚㻠඙෇
㻝㻥㻚㻟඙෇
20
㻠㻚㻟㻑
㻟㻚㻤㻑
10
0
2%
0%
92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16㸦ᖺᗘ㸧
ぢ㎸ ぢ㎸ ぢ㏻ ぢ㏻
ὀ1)2014ᖺᗘࡲ࡛ࡢGDPࡣෆ㛶ᗓࠕᅜẸ⤒῭ィ⟬ࠖ࡟ࡼࡿࠋ࡞࠾ࠊ1992㹼93ᖺᗘࡣ㺀ᖹᡂ12ᖺᇶ‽㸦93SNA㸧㺁㺂
1994ᖺᗘ௨㝆ࡣ㺀ᖹᡂ17ᖺᇶ‽㸦93SNA㸧㺁࡟ࡼࡿࠋ
ὀ2)2014ᖺᗘࡲ࡛ࡢᘓタᢞ㈨ࡣᅜᅵ஺㏻┬㺀ᖹᡂ27ᖺᗘᘓタᢞ㈨ࡢぢ㏻ࡋ㺁࡟ࡼࡿࠋ
ὀ3)2015ᖺᗘ௨㝆ࡣࠊ㸦୍㈈㸧ᘓタ⤒῭◊✲ᡤࠕᘓタ⤒῭ࣔࢹࣝ࡟ࡼࡿᘓタᢞ㈨ࡢぢ㏻ࡋ㸦2015ᖺ10᭶㸧ࠖ࡟ࡼࡿࠋ
4%
ᨻᗓᘓタᢞ㈨
䛾㻳㻰㻼ẚ
䝢䞊䜽᫬ 㻣㻚㻜㻑
䊻㻟㻚㻤㻑