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Predicting the potential distribution of sago palm in Sulawesi Indonesia
Sri Een Hartatik›Akemi ItayaԲŸӔƱӱͱҍԳ›
Chay Asdak›Dicky MuslimԲPadjadjaran UniversityԳ›Hiroshi EharaԲŸӔƱӱͱҍԳ
The potential distribution of sago palm in Sulawesi Indonesia was predicted using Maxent Model.
Presence data from ground survey and literature review were used. Environmental data were got from
WorldClim. The predicted distribution of sago palm area showed strong association with isothermality
mean temperature of driest quarter temperature annual range and maximum temperature of warmest
month.
27
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35
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í ѯԣԲԥ˶ 2013ԶԦʹ 2009 21Գ3H+.Դ˵ԥEЕԥΎȯ0+(Ƒ ӌȩͥ0˝
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ԣOщԴ˝ϝȩͥ5Ҿ˝ҨJ5ɯijE˝ҨJɤɠī3£KȭԎONjӖΆ3ɞɼ"K
0O΍Ά0"K
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ϱϲѷ˙
ŏǻ›͑ǯʰƿ›¨ˇȐ¿›˷Ӷ›̑Śʓӵ›Ʊˏlj¯Բˋ½ҡ˩ƱԳ
2011 ȏ 3 ʺ3΂ͱ (ˋ½ԄīυΪǶŏ΂5µʌ3HKʊǠЖ̐˖5żԖ6ԴΪǶΑĉ
O6!CԴŢƑ3ŔP/Kͤ3ΪǶΑňΏԡȅ6Դµʌ΂ͱȨĚHJԥʊǠϷӖƢ
ŮL.KƑƚ5,/K˃Μκ/6Դ2012 ȏI 2014 ȏ@/ 3 ȏӧ3N(+.Դ
ťȅ5ǯˏ3.ʊǠϷӖ5ϱϲ̼NjOщ+(&5ϬˑԴȅĉ5ŢƑ/&5ʊǠϷӖ5
ԥÖ57I,KD55Դӌ5˦ˏ3.6Դà͘0 .ԥʊǠϷӖOΥ .
K0ʣI32+(
706
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ŏǻ›͑ǯʰƿ›̑Śʓӵ›¨ˇȐ¿›˷Ӷ›Ʊˏlj¯Բˋ½ҡ˩ƱԳ
2011 ȏ 3 ʺ3ͱ!(ˋʜ˃Ʊԅ͔3HK̥̞ђǒԴ@(ˋ½ԄīΪǶυŏ΂5µʌ3H
KʊǠЖ̐˖6à͘0 .Ʊ2͟΁O5 .JԴŢƑ/ӲƥԴӲ˖̧ijϱϲ .щ
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ǍԣOщ+(
36
707 Estimate of groundwater in the western site of Mt. Mihara by the 2013 Typ. Wipha
TheTruong Vu›Satoshi Tsuchiya›Fumitoshi Imaizumi›Okihiro OhsakaԲShizuoka UniversityԳ
In 2013 Izu Oshima island was hit by the torrential rain by the Typhoon Wipha. As a result many
debris flows flew into Motomachi town and a massive sediment disaster were caused. The origin of
debris flows was the shallow landslides that initiated broadly on the mountain slope. In this study we
report the results of rising groundwater level estimated by a saturated-unsaturated flow analysis.
ϓʤ2̍ͯǍԣ3HKǯƑʖԌ3Kˆu˜^5Ϙșäʏ5ѧ̼
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&/Դ˃Μκ/6ƑђӖ0̨ұԴϘșäʏ5ӨäɂOʣI3"K0O΍Ά0 .Դʖ
Ԍĸӎ 7.0°Ը14.7°5ǍʖԌOӃNj Դ0.21.0 m 5Ӛљ˓5Ǎԣ̍җOѫԴƑђK
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709 ȍ ̶ SAR 0 CS π Ù Ɗ 3 H K ̰ ǭ ǹ Ʃ Ō Ӵ ʖ Ԍ ˨ Ĕ ɝ ъ 5 Ӧ ΂
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CS πÙƊOͳ(ȷƑȩěѵ/6Դ̰ǭǹƩŌӴʖԌ/KƑ"=JƑȩOǔʤ3ěѵ"
K0/KԴǹƩ΂ͱ5ŌӴșOѮá"K06/2&/Դȍ̶ SAR 3HJ
ƑΌ5ƭijOѧ̼"Kɝъ0ϪAţN$.Դ͇ij .KƑ"=JƑ5˨ĔOѯA(˃Μ
κ6έDŽΜκҋїĮӗԲΜκѶԖͼŠԵ22500994Գ3HJǍʚ (2006 ȏԸ2011 ȏƑͮѣ
̼ьʥ)*5qœkOͳ(ȍ̶ SAR ѥˎ3HJԴӣӕΑňӌ3.ƭijўIL
( 3 ύəOǝ҂Ƒ0 (Тλ•œcœ̼Ӗ3HKϨǗ DEM I CS πÙƊOÛљ ԴƑȩ
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Ƒ"=JƑȩOŭ .JԴͭƑѷ˙/6ƑȩEˮҲͣχ3ƭȩўIL(ȍ̶ SAR 0ȷ
Ƒȩěѵ5ϪAţN$3HJԴ͇ij .KƑ"=JƑO˨Ĕ"K0/(
37
710 S ˜ k œ z ” Y ‹ ’ O ͳ . ʅ ȭ ( Ʊ ѿ ǹ  5 ̖ 3 K Λ Τ Ɩ Ǝ Κ ̨
ǐĀɓ˵ԲԊƱӱҡԳ›ϰӶɇԲωƱӱͱŲͰƦԳ›Á̜ʓǞԲԊƱӱҡԳ
Ʊѿǹ5̖3.њʏ5ȅ҈5Zœq˜TWnmY‹’OѫЃ Դ2014 ȏ 8 ʺ 10
ʜ3΂ͱ (ƎΚ̨5̨ij̛ͥOɱK0/(ȴIL(ͷù6 5Դ10Դ15 ήӧӸ/
ʅȭL.JԴƎΚ̨5̨ij̛ͥΡѲ"K0/K@(ԴZœq˜TWnmY‹
’6 8 ʺ 10 ʜ5 6 ʩM5ƎΚ̨΂ͱI 15 ʩ 30 ĖM5ϩ³@/ʅȭ .JԴ&5ӧ
3ͱ!(њʏƅ5ƎΚ̨̞̅0ȱϲӌ5̨͎5̨ij̛ͥOɱ.K/6Ҵ5ƎΚ
̨5̨ij̛ͥ0̨ij¨5Ɵη0âԛ3Ө"KȷƑȩƭļ3,.ѥˎOщ2+(5/ƢŮ
(
711
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ŏʹʫƳӊԲǰӪƱӱҴţҡԳ›ƎǪʰ›ҳƒРlj›Á̜ʓǞԲԊƱӱҡԳ
Ȏɕ 22 ȏ5ϞÌŅǶŝԙ͔ǒ/6Դ҃ԁ3Ò+.ʖԌ3̰ǭǹƩưʏ΂ͱ (5̰
ǭǹƩ5΂ͱƣ6Դ¨śͱǭƟηDzƑȈ5ǧ˝OũB̍́ƚ/΂ͱ (ͤȸK Դ
҃ԁʩ3ʖԌ3ƱӖ3̭ү (ԁ̍15H3ǹƩ˸ˮ3ǖ£ .K3,.6ʣI
/62Դ̰ǭǹƩ5‹YugŠOΘK/5ѶԖ/K&/ÁƅԴ̰ǭǹƩƑO
ũB¨śͱǭƟηƑȈ0 .ԴԊDZΑ˭ŏӋ5Ʊ¹Ǽ̍ϝ˭ŏǼ5̨́ӌOѯԣ̨ƚ0 .Դ
ӯԁʩ5я̨̍5ȾϋͤɂOѣ̼ (ѯԣ̨ƚ6˱ԥϟ 500 mԸ1500 mԴ̨ƚԌηϟ 4.5 km2
5ǯdzƑ/ƄžłȈ5ΛDz̟Dz·ǭOª2ˮɕƑǭ0 ԴȨѰ̨ƚĉ5̰ǭǹƩƑԲϟ
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ĉ3.Դњʏ5Ǥ̨ƚ3,.̨ĔӖH9Ԅ̌ÑǣșԲECԳOѧ̼ Դ̍›ƎΛ5̨
Ĕͤɂ0Ƒȩ›ƑҎˮҲ05ӨäɂOЍǚ (ÇяΆ2Ǥ̨ƚԲϟ 50300 haԳӧ5̊Ҝ
/6ԴşǴ5Ǥ̨ƚ6ȀǴ5Ǥ̨ƚ3̊=.̨̊ӖƱԲş›ȀǴ5ȎƓï6Դ&L'
L 9.1Դ5.4 m3/sec/haԳԴEC ԥ+(Բ142Դ110 µS/cmԳşǴǤ̨ƚ5Aњʏ5̨ƚ˂σ3
.ƎΚ̨Ɵηͣ5ǁƐΡѲL(0IԴşǴǤ̨ƚ/6ǹƩEâԛ3ÒƎΛ̨
ĔȀǴǤ̨ƚ3̊=.HJ΋P/K0ЍIL(ƱǨΆ2ƑҎˮҲ0 .ԴşǴ̨ƚ
řΌԴȀǴ̨ƚ̨LΌ5ˮҲOɭ*ԴƑǭ5÷ʖ6ƑяԌĸӎHJDԥѤ/K0Ѝ
ILK5H2ƑҎˮҲş›ȀǴ5Ǥ̨ƚ5̍›ƎΛ5̨ĔͤɂOџğ .KD
50ЍIL(
38
713 Ÿ Ӕ Α 2 = ȅ с ŏ dz ћ ¬ ҄ ɘ Ǽ 3 K ̷ ȕ Ɵ η ͣ ¨ 5 Í ̨ ̍ 5 ̨ Ĕ ͤ ɂ
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ŸӔΑ2=ȅсŏdzћ¬҄ɘǼ/6̷ȕƟηͣċΰijƖƎΚ̨ԕ΂ .K&5΂
ͱӰ͸Ɯ͂ԁӖ3Ө"KþщΜκ0 .Դ̷ȕƟηͣ¨5Į́̍ӽ¨"K03HK{S
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ͱӰ͸Ɯ͂ԁӖ21OʣI3"K/5ƜΣ02K̨ĔѥˎŒq”3Ө"KþщΜκ0
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