Tangle Creek Corporate Overview December 2016 Tangle Creek Overview Company Summary Tangle Creek Energy Ltd. is a fully integrated, private energy company differentiated by high margin, light, tight oil & liquids rich natural gas development in central Alberta Tangle raised its initial capital in late 2010 & early 2011 and commenced operations in 2011 A total of $185mm of equity capital was raised at prices from $0.70 to $1.25/share Growth from 0 to 4,000 boe/d and 19 mmboe of reserves was primarily through the drill bit & acquisition of partner interests after de-risking The Company acquired Beringer Energy in August 2016 adding 1,500 boe/d, 12 MMboe of reserves &120 net sections of undeveloped land The Company is backed by top-tier sponsors including ARC Financial and Camcor Board of Directors Capitalization and Operating Summary Capitalization As of Sept 30, 2016 Basic Shares Outstanding MM 226 Current Net Debt $MM $60 Oct Strip Operating Metrics 2014 2015 2016E 2017F Production (Oil & NGL) bbls/d 2,923 2,582 2,632 3,177 Nat Gas Mcf/d 6,050 6,527 10,252 16,554 Total Production boe/d 3,931 3,670 4,163 5,936 Cash Flow $MM $67 $34 $26 $39 CAPEX $MM $62 $71 $25 $40 Period End Debt $MM $43 $60 $69 $61 CFPS $/sh $0.40 $0.20 $0.13 $0.17 Field Netback $/boe $50.95 $26.11 $18.16 $23.55 Corporate Netback $/boe $46.73 $30.13 $22.47 $22.11 2 Executive Team - Introductions Chief Executive Officer Vice President Exploration Vice President Engineering & Chief Operating Officer Chief Financial Officer Glenn Gradeen Alison Essery Cam Virginillo John Pantazopoulos Berkana, Rosetta, Ocelot Conoco-Burlington, Shell Vice President Production Greg Kondro Rosetta, Ocelot PetroBakken, Berens Home Oil Vice President Land Mike McGeough Berens, MarkWest Petro-Reef, Terra Vice President, Drilling & Completions Steve Holyoake EnCana, Berens, Skywest 3 Corporate Operating Snapshot Production (Q4 2016) 5,000 boe/d (53% liquids) Cash Flow (Q4 2016 Annualized – US$46 oil Post Pembina/Alliance) $26 million Forecast 2017 Net Debt (Sept 30, 2016) Forecast to Dec 31, 2016 ($0.13/sh) • $35 - $40mm $60 million (2) (2.2x CF) • est. $69mm (1.7x 2017 CF) Bank Line $100 million P + P Reserves (Jan 1 2016 – combined SAL & GLJ) 31 mmboe (60% light oil & ngls) Est Dec 31, 2016 (see Appendix) Total Land • est. 29 – 32 mmboe 346 (265 net) sections Undeveloped Land 257 (204 net) sections Net Drilling Locations – economic at current strip 90+ 2016 Capital Program $25 million 2017 Capital Forecast Corporate FD&A (Tangle + Beringer basis Dec 31, 2015 reserves) 2016 Operating Netback (prior to hedging – realized & strip) 2016 Corporate Netback (realized, strip & current hedges) (capex<cash flow) • $35-$40 million (capex=cash flow) $17/boe (includes FDC) $18/boe $22/boe (1) Date of strip pricing, Dec 13, 2016, 2016 (2) Excludes ELOC available of $9.7mm 4 Tangle Creek – Corporate Milestones Technical, focused team Dec 2010 – Formation of Tangle Creek Track record of building successful energy businesses 2011 Special expertise in tight rock reservoirs – recognize that rock & geology matter Focused on profitability – building a “bullet-proof” business Q4 2011 – Initial Kaybob test well 2012 • Expertise in growing production volumes, top decile operating 2012 – Proof of concept and Kaybob development margins and maintaining strong balance sheet Kaybob Dunvegan – • Initial hunt for tight oil candidates for horizontal multi-stage • • • • technologies Extensive rock work, petrophysical work & interpretation of depositional environments - Kaybob Dunvegan was top candidate Several 5-15 year old vertical completions confirmed oil potential 21 section TLM farm-in and first test well at 12-16-60-17w5 resulted in 1,000 bopd test rates and confirmation of economics Concurrently with initial drill program - sourced and undertook over 20 additional land deals to “own the play” “Best in Class” operator – a complete full service team • 1st • 1st • • to drill multistage horizontal on Dunvegan Oil Play approval for Dunvegan water flood st 1 approval to increase well density – up to eight wells per section 1st Dunvegan slick-water completion Large land base & proven oil property – in a desirable area In 2016 expanded into Windfall – Mannville LRG play and acquired Beringer Energy Inc. Q1 2011 – Initial Capitalization @ $1/share 2013 2013 – New equity @ $1.25/share and acquisition of TLM Dunvegan assets 2015 – New equity @ $1.25/share and acquisition of Trilogy Dunvegan assets. Drilling of Windfall test wells 2014 2014 – Organic Production Growth to 5,000 boe/d 2015 2016 2016 – Operational Improvements including completions and waterflood – initial development at Windfall 2016 – Corporate acquisition of Beringer Energy & New ELOC negotiated for ~$10mm 2016 – 2017 Positioning with merger or major acquisition 5 Operating Area – West Central Alberta 130 net sections at Kaybob / Windfall Kaybob Ft. McMurray Windfall Grande Prairie Edmonton Calgary 6 Operating area – Between Highway 43 & Hwy 16 between Edmonton & Grande Prairie Windfall Carrot Creek 120 net sections at Carrot Creek 6 Single Well Economics – Play Ranking 180+ Locations (90+ economic) Locations 20+ (net) Plant Gate Nat Gas (C$ / mcf) $20.00 Gas Plant construction (Windfall) and slick water facing on Tier 3 wells (Kaybob) to generate 50%-60% returns 5.6% 18.0% 29.3% 41.5% 54.5% Plant Gate Nat Gas (C$ / mcf) MRF - Carrot Rock Creek Oil IRR US$ / bbl $20.00 $30.00 $40.00 $50.00 $60.00 $1.00 19.1% 29.7% $1.50 13.3% 22.3% 33.2% $2.00 16.3% 25.5% 37.0% $2.50 19.3% 28.9% 40.9% $3.00 10.1% 22.4% 32.4% 44.7% $3.50 13.0% 25.5% 35.7% 48.6% $4.00 15.8% 28.7% 39.3% 52.5% Locations 20+ (net) $1.00 $1.50 $2.00 $2.50 $3.00 $3.50 $4.00 $1.00 $1.50 $2.00 $2.50 $3.00 $3.50 $4.00 MRF - Tier 2 / 4 Dunvegan ($2.1mmcapex) IRR US$ / bbl $20.00 $30.00 $40.00 $50.00 $60.00 $70.00 $80.00 32.1% 54.8% 93.5% 120.8% 149.1% 33.5% 56.6% 95.9% 123.6% 152.3% 34.9% 58.4% 98.2% 126.4% 155.5% 36.4% 60.2% 100.7% 129.2% 158.7% 12.6% 37.9% 62.0% 103.1% 132.0% 161.9% 13.8% 39.3% 63.9% 105.5% 134.9% 165.1% 15.0% 40.8% 65.7% 108.0% 137.7% 168.4% Locations 20 (net) $80.00 47.5% 61.8% 78.8% 95.6% 113.5% 134.8% 154.8% Locations 8 (net) Plant Gate Nat Gas (C$ / mcf) Average prospect 50% to 60% of these improved through newer drilling and completion practices & 1 mi vs ½ mi laterals $1.00 $1.50 $2.00 $2.50 $3.00 $3.50 $4.00 MRF - Windfall Mannville - TCE Gas Plant IRR US$ / bbl $30.00 $40.00 $50.00 $60.00 $70.00 10.1% 19.4% 29.9% 40.0% 9.1% 22.0% 31.6% 42.9% 54.4% 21.1% 34.3% 44.8% 57.5% 70.0% 33.3% 47.8% 59.4% 73.2% 86.5% 45.9% 61.6% 74.4% 89.1% 104.0% 59.7% 77.1% 90.4% 106.7% 122.6% 74.4% 93.1% 107.8% 125.2% 141.8% Plant Gate Nat Gas (C$ / mcf) 12.9% 15.3% 17.7% 20.0% $80.00 487.4% 499.2% 511.1% 523.2% 534.9% 546.8% 558.8% Plant Gate Nat Gas (C$ / mcf) $1.00 $1.50 $2.00 $2.50 $3.00 $3.50 $4.00 Locations 47+ (net) $20.00 $30.00 $1.00 4.6% $1.50 8.9% $2.00 3.0% 13.5% $2.50 7.4% 18.3% $3.00 11.6% 23.3% $3.50 16.1% 28.7% $4.00 20.8% 34.6% MRF - Carrot Gething IRR US$ / bbl $40.00 $50.00 $60.00 14.3% 22.8% 33.9% 19.3% 28.5% 40.6% 24.7% 34.8% 47.8% 30.5% 41.5% 55.5% 36.6% 48.4% 63.5% 43.1% 55.9% 71.9% 50.1% 63.7% 80.8% $70.00 45.9% 53.6% 61.8% 70.5% 79.4% 88.8% 98.6% $80.00 54.9% 63.3% 72.2% 81.5% 91.0% 101.1% 111.5% MRF - Pembina Rock Creek Oil IRR US$ / bbl $20.00 $30.00 $40.00 $50.00 $60.00 $70.00 $1.00 14.7% 24.4% 34.3% $1.50 17.1% 27.0% 37.4% $2.00 19.4% 29.7% 40.6% $2.50 21.9% 32.5% 43.6% $3.00 3.7% 15.5% 24.4% 35.2% 46.8% $3.50 6.1% 17.8% 26.8% 38.2% 50.0% $4.00 8.4% 20.1% 29.4% 41.2% 53.3% $80.00 41.9% 45.2% 48.6% 52.1% 55.5% 58.9% 62.4% Locations 8 (net) $70.00 $80.00 40.7% 48.8% 44.7% 53.7% 49.4% 58.1% 53.7% 62.5% 57.7% 67.5% 61.8% 71.8% 66.7% 75.8% MRF - Windfall Mannville - No Gas Plant IRR US$ / bbl $20.00 $30.00 $40.00 $50.00 $60.00 $70.00 $80.00 3.2% 11.1% 17.0% 4.2% 14.6% 23.5% 29.5% 8.1% 16.9% 26.7% 36.0% 43.2% 6.7% 19.2% 28.0% 38.3% 48.8% 56.7% 0.1% 17.9% 30.4% 39.7% 51.3% 62.6% 71.3% 13.5% 28.6% 42.0% 52.4% 64.9% 76.9% 86.2% Plant Gate Nat Gas (C$ / mcf) $20.00 Plant Gate Nat Gas (C$ / mcf) Cost reductions have led to significant improvement in well economics MRF - Tier 1 Dunvegan ($2.1mm capex) IRR US$ / bbl $30.00 $40.00 $50.00 $60.00 $70.00 52.1% 115.4% 182.8% 304.3% 396.7% 55.2% 120.0% 188.9% 312.8% 406.8% 58.3% 124.7% 195.0% 321.4% 417.1% 61.5% 129.4% 201.2% 330.0% 427.5% 64.6% 134.1% 207.4% 338.5% 437.7% 67.9% 138.9% 213.7% 347.2% 448.0% 71.2% 143.7% 220.0% 355.9% 458.4% Locations 72 (net) Plant Gate Nat Gas (C$ / mcf) Locations 6+ (net) MRF - Dunvegan Tier 3 ($2.1mm capex) IRR US$ / bbl $20.00 $30.00 $40.00 $50.00 $60.00 $70.00 $1.00 5.9% 16.5% 27.2% $1.50 6.7% 17.3% 28.0% $2.00 7.5% 18.1% 28.9% $2.50 8.2% 18.9% 29.8% $3.00 9.0% 19.7% 30.7% $3.50 0.2% 9.8% 20.5% 31.6% $4.00 1.0% 10.5% 21.3% 32.5% $80.00 34.9% 35.9% 36.8% 37.8% 38.8% 39.8% 40.7% 7 Production Adds & Drilling Vintages – Production is leveling Wells with 4+ years history are down to 15% declines or less Corporate decline is 25% to 30% Beringer Acquisition 3rd Party Solution Gas Processing Restriction Solution Gas Takeaway Restricti on 2014 Drilling 2012 Drilling 2015 2016 Trilogy Drilling Acquisition TCPL Curtailment Windfall Shut-in 2013 Drilling 35% Prior 12 month 25% Decline 15% 12% 2011 Drilling 8 Kaybob Asset – Operational Improvements have Enhanced Economics & drilling inventory Kaybob Dunvegan represents the bulk of Tangle’s asset value, production & cash flow. Focus has been on improving economics to establish a top tier asset with significant running room: Capital cost reductions have been a game-changer – last two wells drilled were $2.1mm each – all in. Four years ago cost was $4.8mm per well, better technologies, mono-bore designs, internally designed drill equipment have all come together to reduce capital costs over and above the economic climate. For example drill times have been reduced from 15-17 days to 8-9 days. These are real structural changes Opex has been reduced by 40% by consolidating batteries, boring the Athabasca River, renegotiation trucking and third party charges and bringing field staff on the payroll Declines are better understood, with steep initial and long term declines down to 15% to 20% on wells older than 30 months. Corporately we are at 30% or less including Beringer While Tier 1 wells were always highly economic (200%+ IRR at US$50 oil), the reduced costs combined with better completions result in Tier 2 single well economics of 60% IRR or better – moving these ~50 locations into top tier vis-à-vis industry Improving the drilling inventory. Improved hybrid slick water fracturing has opened up new regions for moving some of the 75 Tier 3 locations into Tier 2 or better. Further economic enhancements are being planned with successful response on the pilot water-flood This is a significant, top tier asset with considerable growth potential yet 9 OPEX – Top Decile Among Liquid Peers OPEX / Transportation / BOE - Liquids Producers Fiscal 2016 (NBF Research) $30.00 $25.00 includes $2.00 Transportation Costs $20.00 $15.00 $11.25 $10.00 $5.00 $0.00 VII TCE RRX TVE SKX BTE MQL PGF RE TOO PWT MEI SPE AEI ZAR SOG10 Cash Flow - Top Decile Among Peers CF / BOE - All Producers Fiscal 2016 (NBF Research) $35.00 $30.00 $25.00 $20.00 $18.84 $15.00 $10.00 $5.00 $0.00 SOG PMT MEI CKE ZAR PNE PWT PGF CQE BBI MQL TOO BXE POU CR AEI PPY KEL SRX TET DEE BTE NVA BIR RE AAV VII TVE SKX RMP LXE TCE SPE RRX 11 Ongoing Continuous Improvement #1 - Cost Improvements - A Game-Changer Year over year reductions in costs and improved economics driven by improved efficiencies OPEX / Transportation ($ / boe) $18.00 $16.04 $16.00 $14.56 45% reduction in drill times $14.00 $14.23 $13.69 Q4 - $1.00 / boe increase due to Alliance Gas Transportation $13.63 $12.80 $12.00 $11.95 $12.18 $11.75 $11.64 $10.83 $10.51 $10.92 $11.34 $11.27 $10.79 $10.29 $10.00 $8.00 $6.00 $4.00 $2.00 $0.00 Q4 - 2011 Q1 - 2012 Q2 - 2012 Q3 - 2012 Q4 - 2012 Q1 - 2013 Q2 - 2013 Q3 - 2013 Q4 - 2013 Q1 - 2014 Q2 - 2014 Q3 - 2014 Q4 - 2014 Q1 - 2015 Q2 - 2015 Q3 - 2015 Q4 - 2015 55% reduction in total capex/well 55% reduction in Drilling costs 12 Operational Performance – 4+ Years History - Cost reductions = Improving economics Tier 1 – IP 365 = 222 boe/d (35 wells) Tier 2 – IP 365 =117 boe/d (23 wells) All Wells Tier 3 – IP 365 = 65 boe/d (16 wells) Type Curve Economics - MRF Tier 1 Type Curve - $2.1mm Capex, EUR 280 mbbls oil 375 mboe WTI $45 $55 $65 Capital ($MM) $2.1 $2.1 $2.1 Payout (yrs) 0.8 0.6 0.5 IRR (%) 161 285 460 NPV10 ($MM) $4.1 $5.6 $6.9 F&D ($/boe) $5.75 $5.67 $5.62 Recycle Ratio (times) 4.9 6.2 7.5 1st Yr Capital Efficiency ($/boe/d) $9,930 $9,930 $9,930 Recycle Ratio (times) 2.5 3.3 4.0 1st Yr Capital Efficiency ($/boe/d) $17,115 $17,115 $17,115 Tier 2 Type Curve - $2.1mm Capex, EUR 150 mbbls oil 195 mboe WTI $45 $55 $65 Capital ($MM) $2.1 $2.1 $2.1 Payout (yrs) 2.2 1.4 1.0 IRR (%) 38 67 103 NPV10 ($MM) $1.3 $2.2 $3.1 F&D ($/boe) $11.31 $10.99 $10.81 13 Field Development Plan – Tiers 1, 2 & 4 Economic at Strip – 55 Locations (March 31, 2016) Recent drilling and interpretation has led to the upgrading of multiple Tier 3 wells to Tier 2 Two Tier 1 wells drilled in November – reduces inventory from 8 to 6 14 Slickwater Application – Expanding the Sweet Spots 04-30-60-18w5 – On-stream Feb 22, 2016 – Tier 3 to Tier 2 + Tier 1 Type Curve Tier 2 Type Curve 15-04-60-17w5 – On-stream Mar 15, 2016 - Tier 3 to Tier 2 Tier 3 Type Curve 15 Tangle Dunvegan Slickwater Application 15-04-60-17 Slickwater Frac 14-04-60-17 Foam Frac 16 Ongoing Continuous Improvement #2 - Slickwater Application – Improving Inventory Green = Proved Undeveloped Red = Probable Undeveloped Orange = Uneconomic PUD Black = Q1 2016 Drills 9 Gross (8.9 Net) PUDs Assume Type 2 @ 195 mboe = 1.73 mmboe 4-30-60-18w5 – On-stream Feb 22, 2016 15-04-60-17w5 – On-stream Mar 15, 2016 17 Continuous Improvement #3 - Dunvegan Waterflood - EOR under MRF should be a game-changer 18 sections with 175 mmbbls OOIP Secondary Recovery – 10-15 mmbbls Reserves increase could reach 50% to 90% Reserve Additions at $2.50/bbl 10-18 Injector Conversion 1/2 section pilot Good Response after 8 months • GOR Decreasing • Oil Rate Increasing • No Water Breakthrough from Hz Injector 13 Windfall & Carrot Creek/Pembina – Expanding Scope to Oily & LRG Mannville/Jurassic Stacked Deep Basin Lower Mannville targets & upper Jurassic targets Oil & gas pools (‘Ostracod’, ‘Ellerslie’, Rock Creek) and secondary dry gas (Spirit River, Bluesky, Gething) Detailed technical review - uncovering high potential oily opportunities Active drilling by Velvet and Vermillion, year-round access and good infrastructure 65 net sections at Windfall, 120 net sections at Carrot Creek/Pembina Current focus on expanding scale & scope of the plays, improving technology applications & on cost efficiencies Lower Mannville is 2,000 to 2,300 m deep; typical 1 mile horizontal well legs 19 Windfall Development – 10+ Section Oily Area – 14-32 Basis Third well drilled at 45-58-17w5 (October 2016 – completed Nov 2016 – initial clean-up flow similar to 14-32 – currently on build-up) 2017 plan is for two additional scoping wells – then a development including gas plant Drilling program and gas plant currently under review Proposed gas plant site provides access to either Nova or Alliance First well - 9-14-58-17 produces 11.5 mmcf/d of natural gas with ~200 bbl/mmcf of water Nova and 3rd party lines Alliance Section 8 acquired Oct 2016 2017 locations Nova Third well - 4-5-58-17 Q4 2016 Proposed gas plant site Second well -14-3257-17 2.5mmcfd sales + 180 bbl/d oil and NGL’s 20 Windfall Development – Single Well Economics and 3 year - 10 Well Program 3 Year development program Includes 10 wells, 10 mmcfd gas plant & infrastructure Current data indicates 11 low risk sections (22 wells) & additional 8 moderate risk Total 20 out of 65 net sections – 30% of lands currently considered prospective MRF SemCams Single Well Gas Plant Single Well 10 Well/Gas Plant Project Total Field NPV10 Ex Capital Strip (17-08-2016) IRR NPV 10 (%) (M$C) MBOE Gas (%) 605 74 12 628 6,255 74 74 68 33 High (29-08-2016) IRR NPV 10 (%) (M$C) P/I 10% P/O (Years) MBOE % Gas (%) 148 1.0 4.9 615 74 33 4,117 25,090 2.2 1.6 1.5 3.4 631 6,298 74 74 99 50 70,719 P/I 10% P/O (Years) 1,839 1.5 2.4 5,819 41,652 2.7 2.0 1.2 2.8 87,281 Notes 1. Capex = 3.5 M$C/well 2. Gas Plant = $10.125M$C (including Water Disposal) $ 45,629 3. Total Capital Cost ($m) = 3. Does not include 14-32 and 9-14 wells 4. Using modernized royalty regime 21 Carrot Creek – Acquired August 2016 120 net sections in corporate acquisition Extensive owned infrastructure makes gassier asset attractive – however – focused on oilier areas 27.5 net locations and 11.4 net contingent locations in Lower Mannville/Jurassic fluvial and tidal sandstones and Jurassic Rock Creek/Niton shoreface sandstones Petrophysical review of Lower Mannville complete - cores and cutting samples from area wells interpreted to ensure high-grading of locations Expect Lower Mannville to be liquids - rich gas based on older vertical production in the region – initial locations offset vertical wells that produced or tested oil. Rock Creek will generally be oily with ½ mile laterals Two wells planned for Q4 2016 – three wells planned in 2017 with some contingencies Further Multi-zone Potential Secondary zones in Viking, Notikewin, Gething , Ostracod 22 Carrot Creek – Land Base / Infrastructure Carrot Creek Land Base: 120 Net Sections Average WI – 84% Carrot Creek Infrastructure: 02-26-52-12 Gas Plant – 73% 10-29-53-10 Gas Plant – 100% 15 mmcf/d net capacity (40% utilized) Firm Service – 7.1 mmcf/d rises to 11.5 mmcf/d in 2018 9-12-52-12 Q4 2016 23 Carrot/South-Pembina – Locations (Mannville purple; Rock Creek green). Contingent (grey) Land Rights Bullhead to Fernie Rock Creek 13-16-49-11 Drilling Q4 2016 Rock Creek Production Proactive Hedging Plan Tangle Creek maintains a proactive hedging program – 50% - 60% of 2017 physical total developed oil volumes (net of royalties) & ~65% of net gas volumes are currently hedged through a combination of swaps and collars Plan to continue as production volumes increase - unhedged volumes will be protected through regular program of layering contracts every quarter. Target is 60% to 70% of physical production Following table shows % of base production (current production declined) hedged – gross – before deduction of royalties (add 5% to 10% for volumes net of royalties) % of Production Hedged Q4 - 2016 Q1 – 2017 Q2 - 2017 % of Total - Crude Oil 66% 53% 49% % of Total - Nat Gas 51% 55% 49% Q3 - 2017 58% 49% Q4 - 2017 58% 45% Q1 - 2018 38% 24% Q2 - 2018 39% 18% Q3 - 2018 30% 12% Q4 - 2018 30% 12% 25 A Look Into 2017 Solid Margins - 2017 CF stable at $35 to $40mm with free cash flow above maintenance CAPEX to grow production >10% per year Free cash flow – can maintain current production with ~$20mm per year CAPEX Low cost structure – (opex ~$10/boe) ensures sustainable – total cash costs ~C$17 / boe (includes opex, transportation, G&A, E&E, interest) Shipper on Alliance (firm service) and firm on Pembina Peace (liquids) – unique among juniors ensures lower costs, higher realized pricing and minimal downtime due to pipeline constraints Disciplined - CAPEX ~ Cashflow improves liquidity & dry powder for acquisitions Production Maintenance – In 2016 while CAPEX ~ cash flow as declines further reduce to 20% - 30% / annum – maintain production while not depleting inventory IRR / NPV Positive Drilling – Tier 1 and Tier 2 Dunvegan drilling inventory expanding with new technologies - economic at current strip Hedging program – crucial to protecting cash flows and capital programs Hedging gains funded 33% of 2016 CAPEX program allowing for modest deleveraging and growth Upside Exposure & Optionality – WTI price increase to US$60 / bbl increases cash flow to $47mm with debt / CF of <1.0x by Q3 – 2017 Opportunity to accelerate drilling, increase production, add to reserves and grow cash flow Expand Dunvegan and Evaluate Windfall 26 2016 / 2017 TCE Cash Flow – Back to Growth! Forecasted production of 5,900 boe/d with a “Cash flow ~ CAPEX” budget in fiscal 2017 Liquids production remains > 50%, with majority (> 85%) of liquids being light oil Forecasted 47% increase in cash flow (27% increase in CFPS), with debt reducing to $61mm due to equity draw end of Q2 - 2017 Ability to add additional 2-3 wells (500 boe/d / annum) to capital budget should prices rise to US$60 / bbl, which would push exit 2017 volumes to ~7,000 boe/d and grow cash flow to > $46mm Q4 - 2016 5,000 53.1% 2,632 Fiscal 2016 4,100 59.0% 2,454 Q1 - 2017 5,900 54.1% 3,218 Q2 - 2017 6,100 55.6% 3,434 Q3 - 2017 5,500 54.2% 2,978 Q4 - 2017 6,100 50.2% 3,082 Fiscal 2017 5,900 53.5% 3,177 Revenue (Before Hedging) Revenue (After Hedging) Hedging Gain Field NOI CF From Ops $16,346,090 $16,717,662 $371,572 $8,602,227 $6,443,418 $52,111,859 $58,519,451 $6,407,592 $27,673,471 $26,300,387 $21,375,300 $20,611,750 -$763,550 $12,614,456 $9,503,717 $22,927,530 $22,142,055 -$785,476 $13,839,203 $10,552,400 $20,236,424 $19,442,317 -$794,107 $12,023,618 $9,059,070 $21,404,682 $20,628,974 -$775,707 $12,553,223 $9,611,214 $85,943,936 $82,825,096 -$3,118,840 $51,030,499 $38,726,401 CAPEX CAPEX (excluding acquisitions) $15,300,000 $15,300,000 $25,092,961 $25,092,961 $12,700,000 $12,700,000 $800,000 $800,000 $11,650,000 $11,650,000 $14,850,000 $14,850,000 $40,000,000 $40,000,000 Quarter End Debt (exc MTM) Quarter End Debt / Annualized CF $69,537,959 2.70x $69,537,959 2.64x $72,734,242 1.91x $53,281,841 1.26x $55,872,771 1.54x $61,111,557 1.59x $61,111,557 1.58x Share Count / Equity Drawn 226,574,672 203,524,672 226,574,672 230,885,783 239,508,005 239,508,005 234,119,116 $0.114 $0.129 $0.168 $0.183 $0.151 $0.161 $0.165 Production (Boe/d) % Liquids Liquids (bbls/d) Annualized CPFS 27 2017 TCE Cash Flow Sensitivity Analysis Forecasted cash flows of > $39mm with + / - US$5 / bbl change in oil price resulting in ~$5mm of CF Upside to cash flow and potential for production growth exists as US$5 / bbl increase in commodity prices potentially supporting the drilling of 2 incremental wells (300 - 400 boe/d incremental production) Balance sheet remains strong and capital programs can be adjusted to ensure financial strength 2017 hedges focused on wide collars providing opportunity if prices rise above strip Nat Gas Price ($ / mcf) 2017 capital program includes 4 Dunvegan, 3 Windfall, 2 Carrot Creek and 1 Gething wells, $6mm for the expansion of our waterflood project and $2mm towards the construction of a new natural gas plant $38.7 $40.00 $42.50 $45.00 Fiscal 2017 Cash Flow Price of Oil (US$ / bbl) $47.50 $50.00 $52.50 $55.00 $2.50 $25.0 $26.6 $28.1 $29.7 $32.2 $34.8 $37.3 $39.9 $42.4 $45.0 $47.6 $2.75 $25.7 $27.3 $28.9 $30.4 $32.9 $35.5 $38.0 $40.6 $43.1 $45.7 $48.3 $3.00 $26.4 $28.0 $29.6 $31.1 $33.6 $36.2 $38.7 $41.3 $43.8 $46.4 $49.0 $3.25 $27.1 $28.7 $30.3 $31.9 $34.3 $36.9 $39.4 $42.0 $44.6 $47.1 $49.7 $3.50 $27.8 $29.4 $31.0 $32.6 $35.0 $37.6 $40.1 $42.7 $45.3 $47.8 $50.4 $3.75 $28.5 $30.1 $31.7 $33.3 $35.7 $38.3 $40.8 $43.4 $46.0 $48.5 $51.1 $57.50 $60.00 $62.50 $65.00 28 2017 Production Summary Annual Average 5,938boe/d Base 2016 Wedge Q4 - 2016 Wells Q1 - 2017 Wells Q3 - 2017 Wells Q4 - 2017 Wells Total BOE/D % of Total 4,500 75.6% 775 13.0% 350 5.9% 300 5.0% 25 0.4% 29 The Vision To create a “must own” growth producer with the capital, cash flow, balance sheet and assets to create long-term shareholder value & multiple expansion Position the company with a best in class balance sheet to exploit both existing and new opportunities that create long-term shareholder value Disciplined approach to debt – maintain top quartile debt to cash flow Disciplined consolidation strategy for assets in a core fairway with specific technical attributes Methodically develop the asset base with a focus on the highest return projects Execute a balanced capital program to deliver on conservative growth targets Continued conservative approach to forecasting and guidance Growth within cash flows Deliver 10% to 20% per year production growth – i.e. steady CFPS growth at strip Continuously improve market following & cost of capital through communication and careful, consistent execution of the business plan Provide investors with significant potential returns by delivering consistent per share growth of production, reserves, cash flow, and net asset value 30 Acquisition Opportunities Currently Under Review Entity 2P 2017 % Oil Reserve Production & boed NGL mmboe Estimated Cost $mm 6,000 55% 30 6,700 30% 50 $270 12,700 42% 80 $270 50% 20 $97 15,500 44% 100 $367 Tangle Creek Large Target Acquisitions - Moving toward PubCo Two Targets under review Total TCE + Large Targets Strategic Acquisitions - Enhancing existing operations Five Targets under review Total TCE+Large+Strategic 2,800 Internal Projects - Waterflood + Windfall + Maintenance 2,800 Four internal projects 18,300 Total Unrisked Potential 45% 45% 6 106 $45 $412 31 Tangle Creek – Corporate Summary Efficient and Effective Light Oil & Gas Producer Best in class revenues, operating costs & netbacks, combined with low FD&A and Recycle Ratios Capital costs reduced 50% BEFORE 2015 price adjustments by service companies Proven Organic Growth Capacity 1st to identify & implement Kaybob Dunvegan horizontal technologies – including new drilling and completions applications and EOR Organic growth over 3 years from 0 to 4,000 boe/d (Q4 2014) 75% light sweet crude with over 460 mmbbls OIP on Tangle Kaybob Lands Most active, experienced Dunvegan oil operator Opportunistic Acquirer With Strong Balance Sheet Focus on quality, operating margins, economics and running room Since inception, completed $130mm in acquisitions while keeping debt / cash flow under 2x Over $50mm of acquisitions in 2015 including undeveloped land 69 net light oil sections in Kaybob acquired through 30 separate transactions Counter cyclically acquired 80 net sections on two plays in 2015 (Kaybob and Windfall) Acquired Beringer Corporate (120 net sections) in August 2016 – adding 1,500 boed and supplementing Windfall play On the hunt for material acquisitions - move into next tier of production & development 32 Contact: Tangle Creek Energy Ltd Glenn Gradeen CEO John Pantazopoulos CFO d: +1 (403) 648-4901 m: +1(403) 618-0434 d: +1 (403) 648-4903 m: +1(403) 828-8084 [email protected] [email protected] 1400, 715 – 5th Ave S.W. Calgary, AB T2P 2X6 TANGLE CREEK ENERGY December 2016 Logo Placement
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