The effects of governance modes on affordability, sustainability and the efficiency of water services in three transition countries Managed by the Metropolitan Research Institute Team: Armenia: Lilit Melikyan, Armenia, associate consultant/researcher Hungary: József Hegedüs, Andrea Tönkő (MRI), Mária Papp and Gábor Péteri, consultants Romania: Adriana Pienaru and Afrodita Popa (A&A Expert Advice) Metropolitan Research Institute 1 Research policy problem Transition from a centrally-planned society towards a market-based, democratic society – new governance structure How does the governance structure influence the operation of different sectors (for example, of the water sector)? Are there any causal relations between the governance model and the social/economic output of the sector? Metropolitan Research Institute 2 Governance matters!!! 1. Definitions of governance: • „good governance” (WB approach) • „power” structure (institutional economics) Metropolitan Research Institute 3 Unbundling: step 1 (privatization and decentralization) Governance: Robust typology Outcomes · Affordability · Sustainability · Service quality Institutional economics: Unbundling the water sector Step 1. Metropolitan Research Institute 4 Unbundling: step 2 (governance factors independently from the robust model) Incentives/Motives Outcomes Type of Governance Accountability (Robust typology) · · · Affordability Sustainability Service quality Rule of Law Metropolitan Research Institute 5 Unbundling step 3: external factors (“soft” exogenous variables) Incentives/Motives Legal framework Intergovernmental fiscal relations International Agencies (globalization) Outcomes Type of Governance Accountability (Robust typology) · · · Affordability Sustainability Service quality Rule of Law Metropolitan Research Institute 6 Unbundling: step 4 – external factors (hard exogenous variables) Economic Development Incentives/Motives Legal framework Intergovernmental fiscal relations International Agencies (globalization) Type of Governance Outcomes Accountability (Robust typology) · · · Technological factors Affordability Sustainability Service quality Geographical factors Rule of Law Metropolitan Research Institute 7 Transaction cost replaced the outcome indicators – the final analytical model Level of service provider Soft external factors Economic Development Incentives/Motives Legal framework Intergovernmental fiscal relations International Agencies (globalization) Type of Governance Accountability (Robust typology) Transaction cost · Economic (slack economy) · Social (externalities) Technological factors Geographical factors Rule of Law Institutional arrangment of service provider Hard external factors Methodology: case studies, limited number of cases Metropolitan Research Institute 8 Main hyphotheses Hypothesis 1. The governance type, according to the “robust” model based on decentralization and privatization, does not influence the transaction cost in itself. Hypothesis 2. Changes in the transaction cost depend on three highlighted governance factors: incentive structure, accountability relations, and the rule of law. Hypothesis 3. There is a very close connection between the exogenous governance factors (institutional environment), and the three governance factors Metropolitan Research Institute 9 “Unbalanced growth” may distort the governance structure of the water sector and risk long-term sustainability Economy and infrastructure Balanced and unbalanced growth theories “Reverse” unbalanced growth theory Affordability and subsidy programs Metropolitan Research Institute 10 Thank you for your attention!!!
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