IMPROVE Algorithm for Estimating Light Extinction Draft Recommendations to the IMPROVE Steering Committee Current IMPROVE Algorithm bext 3 f ( RH ) Sulfate 3 f ( RH ) Nitrate 4 Organic Carbon 10 Elemental Carbon 1 Fine Soil 0.6 Coarse Mass 10 Assumptions include that • Six particle component terms plus a constant Rayleigh scattering term are sufficient for a good estimate of light extinction; • Constant dry extinction efficiency terms for each of the six particle components works adequately for all locations and times; and • Light extinction by the individual particle components can be adequately estimated as separate terms (like externally mixed components). Reasons for Revision • Regional Haze Rule utilizes the IMPROVE algorithm for calculating the RHR index – Haze index is in deciview (a logarithmic transformation of light extinction) – Calls for improvement in 20% worst haze to natural levels by 2064 – Rate of progress for each 10-year SIP period is linear between current and natural haze levels – So haze estimates need to be good at the upper and lower extremes, should have no fixable biases and should include all important contributions even if exclusively from natural sources 350 300 IMPROVE Bsp 250 200 150 100 50 0 0 50 100 150 200 Measured Bsp 250 300 350 Recommended Revised IMPROVE Algorithm (Changed terms are in Bold Font) bext 2.2 fS(RH) Small Sulfate 4.8 fL(RH) Large Sulfate 2.4 fS(RH) Small Nitrate 5.1 fL(RH) Large Nitrate 2.8 Small Organic Carbon 6.1 Large Organic Carbon 10 Elemental Carbon 1 Fine Soil 1.7 fSS(RH) Sea Salt 0.6 Coarse Mass RayleighScattering( S ite Specific) 0.33 NO2(ppb) where L arge Sulfate Total Sulfate Total Sulfate, for Total Sulfate 20 20 Large Sultate Total Sulfate, for Total Sulfate 20 Small Sulfate Total Sulfate Large Sulfate and nitrate and organic are split using the same process Split Component Extinction Efficiency Model for Sulfate, Nitrate, and Organic components Split of Small & Large Sulfate Concentrations versus Total Sulfate Concentration Overall Extinction Efficiency vs. Total Mass 30 5 4.5 4 Dry Extinction Efficiency Component Sulfate Concentration 25 20 15 3.5 3 2.5 2 1.5 10 1 0.5 5 0 0 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 Sulfate concentration (ug/m 3) 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 Sulfate concentration (ug/m3) • Small size dominates at low concentrations, while large size dominates at high concentrations • Small size is likely young aerosol produce by homogenous gas to particle processes. • Large size is likely aged aerosol involving cloud processing. • Composite dry extinction efficiency varies linearly from 2.2 to 4.8m2/g • Small: Dg = 0.2μm & g = 2.2 • Large: Dg = 0.5μm & g = 1.5 • Different size distributions dictate different water grow function, f(RH) Water Growth Curves 10 9 8 7 f(RH) 6 fS(RH) fL(RH) Original fSS(RH) 5 4 3 2 1 0 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 Relative Humidity (% ) 70 80 90 100 Other New or Revised Terms • Organic Compound Mass to Organic Carbon Mass Ratio changed from 1.4 to 1.8 • Sea Salt = 1.8 x [Chlorine] and has its own water growth term fSS(RH). Important at coastal locations • Rayleigh Scattering is calculated for the monitoring site elevation and annual mean temperature and integer rounded. Ranges from 8Mm-1 at 10,000’ to 12Mm-1at sea level • NO2 light absorption in the visible is included for sites that have such data (not routinely available at IMPROVE sites) 350 Split Component Method Bsp 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 0 50 100 150 200 Measured Bsp 250 300 350 Normalized Bias for all data 1 0.8 0.6 Current 0.4 New 0.2 0 Overall Top 20% Mid 60% Bottom 20% -0.2 Bias = (estimated – measured)/measured Normalized Bias for MANE-VU Sites Normalized Bias for CENRAP Sites 1 0.8 0.7 0.8 0.6 0.5 0.6 0.4 Current 0.3 New New 0.2 0.2 0.1 0 -0.1 Current 0.4 0 Overall Top 20% Mid 60% Bottom 20% Overall Top 20% Mid 60% Bottom 20% -0.2 -0.2 Normalized Bias for VISTAS Sites Normalized Bias for WRAP Sites 0.7 1.2 0.6 1 0.5 0.8 0.4 0.3 Current 0.6 Current 0.2 New 0.4 New 0.1 0.2 0 -0.1 -0.2 Overall Top 20% Mid 60% Bottom 20% 0 -0.2 Overall Top 20% Mid 60% Bottom 20% Implementation Steps for Regional Haze Rule Application • IMPROVE Steering Committee approval – 11/05 • Calculation of water growth functions for monthly & annual averaged conditions for each monitoring site – SAIC task-1 to 2 months • Recalculation of current (5-year baseline) and natural haze levels – VIEWS-1 month • EPA modifies the regional haze guidance, so states can choose – 6 to 12 months • VIEWS will support both versions of the algorithm for the foreseeable future
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