The Economics of multinationals: Theory of Vertical FDI Lessons 1 and 2 Giorgio Barba Navaretti Gargnano, June, 11-14 2006 Objectives and background • OBJECTIVES – Investigate different forces affecting the choice of fragmenting production – Investigate effects of production fragmentation • BACKGROUND – Simplified version of Helpman (1984) adding VFDI to HO => FPE – Extension in the spirit of Feenstra and Hanson (1996) => Not necessarily FPE Setting • Production is split in two stages: components (c) and assembly (a). • Perfect competition • Two factors, labour and capital, used in both stages with prices in country i wi and ri • Constant returns to scale, so unit cost functions for each stage are c(wi, ri) and a(wi, ri). • Production of one unit of a uses one unit of c (no substitution between c and primary factors) • Trade costs are incurred on shipping final products and components Cost functions Cost of a unit of output delivered to country k if components are produced in country i and final assembly takes place in j: Bijk = c(wi , r i ) ij + a(w j , r j ) jk c a iic = iia = 1 and for i j, ijc , ija 1 When do firms fragment production? • • • • Countries 1 and 2. 1 is North, has higher wages 1 has advantage in integrated production Assembly is labour intensive (carried out in 2 if production is fragmented) • Trade costs same in both directions Trade costs and production regimes Assembled product trade costs, a c( w , r ) 1 1 c B111 , B222 : Self sufficiency. B111 , B122 : All compnts country 1. Assembly in both. + a( w2 , r2 ) a = c( w1 , r1 ) + a(w1 , r1 ) HFDI VFDI B121 ,B122 : All compnts country 1 All assembly country 2 c( w , r ) 1 F Combined increases in c and a 1 c(w1 , r1 ) + a(w1 , r1 ) a = c(w2 , r2 ) + a(w2 , r2 ) export B111 , B112 : All production in country 1 c + a(w2 , r2 ) = c( w1 , r1 ) + a( w1 , r1 ) a . Components trade costs, c Figure 4.1: Assembly labour intensive; country 1 high wage Trade costs and effects on trade Value added. Value of trade. Value of trade Value added in country 1 Value added in country 2 VFDI HFDI Trade costs, c, a Figure 4.2: Assembly labour intensive; country 1 high wage Effects: fragmentation and factor prices in partial equilibrium Figure 1. Integrated vs. Fragmented production w C I II AA CC A’A’ I’I’ C’C’ C’ 1 (w1,r1) A => p = a(w,r)+c(w,r) => p = a (w,r) + c(w1,r1) => p = a (w1,r1) + c(w,r) => p’ = a (w,r) + c(w1,r1) => p’ = a (w,r) + c(w,r) => p = a (w2,r2) + c(w,r) I’ 3(w3,r3) A A’ 2(w2,r2) C A’ I’ C’ I r Fragmentation in general equilibrium • Extension by Helpman and Helpman and Krugman of the H-O model to include FDI • 2 countries, 2 goods, 2 factors model • Qs: • Under what circumstances does FDI occur? • What is the effect of FDI on factor prices? a =1 and c=1 (free trade in components) or = 4 (no trade in components) • Endowments of factors in countries 1 and 2 L1, K1, L2, K2 • One sector is manufacturing (divided in components and assembly) which has fixed factor intensities • The rest of the economy is sector Y: employs the entire endowment minus factors employed in M Fragmentation in general equilibrium, other assumptions Output and mkt clearing factor prices in Y: M Yi = Y Li LM , i , Ki Ki M Y Li LM i , Ki Ki wi = , Li M Y Li LM i , Ki Ki ri = . K i •DEMAND: •Incomes in each country are the sum of the returns to the two factors, wiLi + riKi, i = 1, 2. •Consumers have identical homothetic preferences •Goods have the same price in both countries => Trade is only driven by international differences on the supply side L2 O2 m2 K1 M c c’ y2 c E E’ m1 K2 Y y1 L1 O1 Figure 4.4: Production and FPE. Fragmentation and factor price convergence How to explain the Nafta paradox (skill premium rising in Mex and US - Feenstra Hanson)? Ki - Ki M Y1 w1/r1 B I Y2 IIA IIB A w2/r2 O Li - Li M Figure 4.5: Relocation and factor prices Fragmentation and factor prices in general equilibrium L2 O2 B (-, -) K1 a (-, +) (+, -) (+, +) M ( 0, 0 ) Y c (-, +) c (+, +) (+, -) a K2 (-, -) L1 O1 Figure 4.6: Change in wage rental ratio, (country 1, country 2). Effects on skill structure when firms are heterogeneous Barba Navaretti, Bertola Sembenelli, 2006 Main issues • Vertical investment depend on transport costs and relative factor costs • The effects of VFDI on factor prices depends on the relative factor intensities of M’s activities and on the relative factor endowments of countries
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