Four-step approach (1)
Assess vulnerability
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Imprint
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the field of international cooperation for sustainable
development.
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Ilona Porsché, GIZ; Michael Scholze, GIZ
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Udo Höggel, Michael Scholze, Alexander Fröde, Nana Künkel,
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Jennifer Frankel-Reed, Barbara Fröde-Thierfelder, Ilona Porsché
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Ilona Porsché, Barbara Fröde-Thierfelder
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necessarily reflect the views of the editors.
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Terms of use
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The four-step approach:
the basic adaptation planning process (1)
 The systematic process deals with all questions relevant for
planning adaptation.
 Going one step at a time avoids mental blocks due to the overcomplex challenge.
 The four-step approach of the project is crucial to orient strategic
planning. This is the step before operational planning.
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The four-step approach:
the basic adaptation planning process (2)
Four steps:
1. Assess vulnerability
2. Identify adaptation options
3. Select adaptation measures
4. Develop an M&E framework
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Rationale
Objective
 First step of planning adaptation
 Analyse the system of interest’s vulnerability
and define areas with need for action
Importance
 Establishes the basis for developing solutions:
an agreed identification of problems
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Terminology
 System of interest
(human, natural, economic)
 Sensitivity
 Adaptive capacity
 Exposure/Climate signal
 Impacts
 Biophysical
 Socio-economic
 Vulnerability/need for action
Exposure
Sensitivity
Potential
Impact
Adaptive
Capacity
Vulnerability
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Exercise (1a)
Context
 Update South State Water Program (State Water Authority (SWA),
Ministry of Water (MoW), Ministry of Agricultutre (MoA))
 Development funding will be allocated for priority activities
to improve water management under climate change
 SWA has established an advisory group to support
the integration of climate change adaptation
in the revision of the South State Water Programme
 your working group
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Exercise (1b)
 SWA has decided to focus the revision on two key areas, that
correspond with the National Development Plan (NDP)
 Increased and diversified agricultural production and rural incomes
 Safe drinking water supply and sanitation
 Exhibits
 Introduction to South State
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Exercise (2a)
Your task, Part 1
 Gather information necessary for Part 2
 Take stock of recent situation in the system of interest
 Use Matrix 3 and 4:
 In the first column brainstorm the natural
and social assets and relevant actors within the system.
 In Column A, list climatic changes already experienced.
 In column B, consider if and how the system of interest’s actors
and assets are currently sensitive to climate variability.
 In column C, elaborate factors influencing the system’s current
adaptive capacity.
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Exercise (2b)
Your task, Part 2
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Deals with the future;
Analyse potential impacts of climate change
Define the vulnerability and need for action
Use Matrix 5 and 6:
 In column D, identify the key climate change signals
to which the system is likely to be exposed
 In column E, brainstorm the potential impacts
to the biophysical part of the system
 In column F, brainstorm socio-economic impacts
 In column G, rate where there is need for action
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Exercise (3)
Results
 (please specify)
Logistics
 Case work*
 Presentation of results (please specify how)*
 Reflection*
*Please use your own examples here.
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Example –
Climate change vulnerability in rural India
Local context
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1/3 of geographic area is drought or flood prone
High temperatures, and highly seasonal rainfall
1/5 of GDP is from agriculture
61% of land area is in agriculture
60% of rural population with livelihoods in natural resources
Current incentives support unsuitable crops
86% of freshwater withdrawal is for agriculture
Source: World Bank () Climate Change Impacts in Drought and Flood Affected Areas: 2008 Case Studies in India
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Title
Text
This slide is not part of the original version of the training material. It was added by [please insert institution].
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Guidelines for climate change vulnerability assessment
Vulnerability Sourcebook provides
step-by-step guidance to conduct
vulnerability assessments
Repeat VA over time to monitor
progress in vulnerability reduction
Ideally allows statements such as
„vulnerability reduced by x% over
time period Y“
Need to analyse if & how intervention
lead to vulnerability reduction
Download
Study & factsheets
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