Paddock Wood Succeed Work and Commuting in the Paddock Wood area By Chris Gregory, Paddock Wood Succeed 1. Introduction and Summary In May 2010 Paddock Wood Community Partnership (aka Paddock Wood Succeed) produced a paper on Housing in Paddock Wood which drew attention to a significant shortage of ‘affordable’ (low cost) housing in PW, measured as Council Tax bands A & B – 12.8% of housing stock compared with 18.2% in Tunbridge Wells District and 25.4% for the South East as a whole. This paper is available on the Paddock Wood Succeed website at www.paddockwood.org. The paper therefore called for a much higher level of affordable housing (around 60%) to be included within the future housing plans for PW to remedy this imbalance. The response to this from various bodies raised certain questions as to whether the jobs available in PW would then be commensurate with a higher level of affordable housing. This present paper sets out further findings resulting from careful analysis of the available data from the ONS 2001 Census. The findings refer to (a) the ‘Resident’ Population of Paddock Wood and (b) the ‘Workplace’ or ‘Daytime’ population, and are summarised as follows:– For the resident population of Paddock Wood totalling 8263 persons in 2001:– ● ● ● ● ● more than half (52.6%) are employed (even taking into account children, the unemployed and retired people) compared with 48.6% in the South East as a whole they are less highly qualified than the rest of the South East (46.7% have either no qualifications or less than 5 'O' level passes or equivalent compared with 37.6% for Tunbridge Wells and 41.0% for the South East) and do slightly less high-powered jobs as measured by both socio-economic classification and social grade (24.7% doing semiskilled and unskilled jobs compared with 23.3% for the South East) more than half the employed people living in PW (55.0%) work within 10 km of their homes, compared with 63.1% for the South East they travel further to work on average than the workforce in the South East (estimated average 16.1 km compared with 12.0 km for the South East) 62.0% of the workforce get to work by car or van, 16.0% by train, 9.5% walk to work, less than 1% use buses, compared with 64.9% of workers in the South East travelling to work by car or van, 5.6% by train, 10.0% on foot and 4.4% using buses For the workplace population of Paddock Wood totalling 4533 persons in 2001:– ● ● ● ● they are slightly younger than the resident population (estimated average age 40.1 years compared with 42.2 years for resident population) they do less high-powered jobs than the resident population, especially semi- and unskilled jobs (30.2% routine & semi-skilled compared with 14.7% resident population) most travel further to work than the resident population (travel up to 10 km is similar, but 37.8% travel 10 – 40 km compared with 22.8% of the resident population) a higher percentage (70.1%) travel by car or van than the resident population (62.0%); fewer (4.7%) travel by train than the resident population (16.0%) Since 2001 it is noted that there are a significant number of additional unskilled and semiskilled warehousing jobs within the locality. The main conclusion to be drawn from this study is therefore that there are no inconsistencies between the assertion that much more affordable housing is needed in Paddock Wood, and the kinds of jobs that people in such accommodation might do locally. Chris Gregory, Paddock Wood Succeed 1 Aug 2017 Page 1 of 17 Paddock Wood Succeed 2. People resident in Paddock Wood 2.2. Employment UV01 - Population and Employment Resident Population - Paddock Wood area 4,500 4,000 3,500 Number 3,000 2,500 2,000 1,500 1,000 500 0 Paddock Wood East Paddock Wood West Five Oak Green Matfield Brenchley Lower Teise East Peckham Population 4,156 4,106 2,312 1,612 1,771 1,552 3,140 Employed 2,154 2,190 1,180 786 847 776 1,667 Paddock Paddock Five Oak Matfield Brenchley Lower Wood Wood Green Teise East West 51.8% 53.3% 51.0% 48.8% 47.8% 50.0% East TOTAL Maidstone Tonbridge Tunbridge South Peckham DISTRICT & Malling Wells East DISTRICT DISTRICT 53.1% 51.5% 50.0% 49.3% 48.9% 48.6% England 45.7% Figure 1 Figure 1 shows the main population centres in Paddock Wood and the surrounding area. This area is taken to be the geographical region of Paddock Wood East and West (wards), Capel including Five Oak Green (ward), Matfield, Brenchley, East Peckham (ward), and a rural area that we have called ‘Lower Teise’ consisting of Laddingford, Benover, Claygate and Collier Street – so-named because these places are all linked by the lower section of the River Teise (and we have not discovered a better name). The data shows that in 2001 Paddock Wood, with a total population of 8263 (ONS dataset UV01), is by far the largest source of employed people, with an average 52.6% of the resident population employed – this is higher than the surrounding conurbations of Maidstone, Tonbridge and Tunbridge Wells and rather higher (52.6% compared with 48.6%) than the South East as a whole. In fact it is perhaps a surprising statistic, that even taking into account children, the unemployed and retired people more than half the resident population of Paddock Wood are in employment. Figure 2 overleaf shows the industries in which the working population of Paddock Wood are employed. This figure shows that the largest industries are Wholesale & retail trade, repairs (almost 20%), Real estate, renting & business activities (13.7%) and Manufacturing (12.4%). Together these three categories account for almost half (45.9%) of all employment. The Table following Figure 2 shows that this is quite similar to the pattern throughout the South East and England as a whole, except that twice as many people in the Paddock Wood area are employed in Financial intermediation (9.6%) than in the South East and, as might be expected, there is more Agriculture, hunting & forestry in Five Oak Green, Matfield, Brenchley and (especially) Lower Teise. From this we conclude that in general the resident workforce of Paddock Wood have similar kinds of employment to the rest of the South East. Page 2 of 17 Paddock Wood Succeed UV34 - Industry of Employment - Percentages Resident Population - Paddock Wood 1,000 900 Number Classified 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 Agricultur e, hunting, forestry Fishing Electricity, Wholesale Hotels & Transport, Financial Mining & Manufactu Constructi gas, water & retail restaurant storage, intermedia quarrying ring on supply trade, s communic tion Real estate, renting, Public Health & Other admin & Education social communit defence, work y, social & PW West 39 0 3 271 17 166 438 74 196 216 290 101 112 166 98 PW East 43 0 4 267 11 155 420 62 181 199 304 92 124 183 106 PW West % 1.8% 0.0% 0.1% 12.4% 0.8% 7.6% 20.0% 3.4% 8.9% 9.9% 13.2% 4.6% 5.1% 7.6% 4.5% PW East % 2.0% 0.0% 0.2% 12.4% 0.5% 7.2% 19.5% 2.9% 8.4% 9.2% 14.1% 4.3% 5.8% 8.5% 4.9% PW Total % 1.9% 0.0% 0.2% 12.4% 0.6% 7.4% 19.8% 3.1% 8.7% 9.6% 13.7% 4.4% 5.4% 8.0% 4.7% Figure 2 UV34 – Industry of Employment – Percentages Resident Population Industry Paddock Paddock Five Oak Matfield Brenchley Lower East TOTAL Maidstone Tonbridge Tunbridge South DISTRICT & Malling Wells Wood Wood Green Teise Peckham East DISTRICTDISTRICT East West Agricultu re, hunting Fishing and Mining forestry& quarrying Manufact uring Electricit y, gas Construc and tion water Wholesal supply e and Hotels retail and trade, Transpor restaura repairs t,ntsstorage Financial and intermedi communi Real ation cations estate, Public renting admin and & Educatio defence, business nsocial activities Health security and Other social communi work Private ty, social househol & Extrads with personal territorial employe services organisat d ions and persons bodies England 2.0% 1.8% 5.0% 4.3% 5.2% 7.4% 1.8% 3.2% 1.8% 1.6% 2.1% 1.4% 1.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.2% 0.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.3% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 12.4% 12.4% 11.1% 9.8% 11.2% 10.3% 14.0% 12.0% 11.5% 13.1% 9.9% 12.1% 14.8% 0.5% 0.8% 0.8% 0.4% 0.5% 0.8% 0.9% 0.7% 0.8% 0.7% 0.5% 0.7% 0.7% 7.2% 7.6% 9.4% 7.7% 8.3% 8.9% 8.1% 8.0% 9.5% 8.3% 7.1% 7.1% 6.8% 19.5% 20.0% 18.7% 14.8% 13.0% 14.9% 18.5% 18.0% 17.9% 17.6% 16.1% 16.3% 16.9% 2.9% 3.4% 2.2% 3.2% 1.8% 5.6% 2.8% 3.1% 4.1% 3.5% 3.7% 4.3% 4.7% 8.4% 8.9% 7.0% 6.2% 5.0% 5.1% 6.8% 7.3% 6.5% 7.2% 6.4% 8.1% 7.1% 9.2% 9.9% 6.6% 10.5% 11.9% 8.1% 7.3% 9.0% 6.0% 7.6% 9.7% 5.1% 4.8% 14.1% 13.2% 13.1% 17.4% 19.2% 15.4% 15.1% 14.8% 13.1% 13.7% 15.6% 15.6% 13.2% 4.3% 4.6% 3.2% 4.8% 3.1% 3.6% 3.5% 4.0% 6.8% 4.7% 3.8% 5.9% 5.7% 5.8% 5.1% 7.4% 5.3% 7.7% 7.3% 6.9% 6.3% 7.1% 7.6% 8.1% 7.8% 7.7% 8.5% 7.6% 9.6% 8.5% 8.2% 7.3% 8.9% 8.4% 9.7% 8.8% 11.0% 9.8% 10.7% 4.9% 4.5% 5.6% 6.2% 4.6% 5.3% 4.8% 5.0% 5.0% 5.1% 5.5% 5.1% 5.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% Page 3 of 17 Paddock Wood Succeed 2.3. Age UV04 - Age Resident Population - Paddock Wood 1,600 1,400 1,200 Number 1,000 800 600 400 200 0 Less than 20 years old 20 to 29 years old 30 to 39 years old 40 to 49 years old 50 to 59 years old More than 59 years old PW West 210 524 643 604 585 443 PW East 179 497 700 529 565 553 PW West % 7.0% 17.4% 21.4% 20.1% 19.4% 14.7% PW East % 5.9% 16.4% 23.2% 17.5% 18.7% 18.3% PW Total % 6.4% 16.9% 22.3% 18.8% 19.1% 16.5% UV04 – Age – Percentages Resident Population Age Range Under 16 16 to 19 years old 20 to 29 years old 30 to 39 years old 40 to 49 years old 50 to 59 years old More than 59 years old Over 74 Paddock Paddock Five Oak Matfield Brenchley Lower East TOTAL Maidstone Tonbridge Tunbridge South DISTRICT & Malling Wells Wood Wood Green Teise Peckham East DISTRICTDISTRICT East West England 20.5% 22.3% 22.4% 19.1% 22.2% 20.2% 18.8% 20.8% 19.6% 21.5% 20.7% 19.9% 20.2% 4.3% 5.1% 4.6% 4.3% 3.9% 3.3% 4.6% 4.4% 4.7% 4.7% 4.6% 4.8% 4.9% 12.0% 12.8% 9.5% 8.7% 5.7% 7.2% 9.2% 10.1% 11.5% 9.8% 10.8% 12.0% 12.7% 16.8% 15.7% 15.1% 12.9% 12.6% 15.0% 14.8% 15.1% 15.2% 16.0% 15.3% 15.4% 15.6% 12.7% 14.7% 15.2% 15.4% 16.8% 16.9% 15.3% 14.9% 14.0% 14.0% 13.9% 13.7% 13.4% 13.6% 14.2% 14.8% 15.9% 17.4% 18.8% 15.8% 15.3% 14.2% 13.7% 13.5% 13.0% 12.6% 13.3% 10.8% 12.8% 16.6% 14.9% 13.5% 14.5% 13.3% 13.4% 13.6% 13.2% 13.2% 13.2% 6.8% 4.5% 5.6% 7.0% 6.4% 4.3% 6.9% 5.9% 7.3% 6.6% 8.0% 8.0% 7.5% Figure 3 The chart in Figure 3 shows the age distribution of the resident working population of Paddock Wood, where there are more in the age range 30 to 39 years than the other age ranges. The Table shows further that this pattern is not very different from the South East and England in general. However there are more in the age ranges 40 to 49 and (especially) 50 to 59 in some of the other centres of population, i.e. Matfield, Brenchley, Lower Teise and East Peckham. From this we conclude that the resident workforce of Paddock Wood is similar in age to the rest of the South East, but younger (possibly by as much as 20 years) than in the surrounding areas. Page 4 of 17 Paddock Wood Succeed 2.4. Qualifications UV24 - Qualifications Resident Population - Paddock Wood 1,800 1,600 Number Classified 1,400 1,200 1,000 800 600 400 200 0 No qual Level 1 (1+ GCSE) Level 2 (5+ GCSE) Level 3 (2+ A-Levels) Level 4 / 5 (Degree) Other qual PW West 854 606 695 264 407 183 PW East 795 564 736 259 440 229 PW West % 28.4% 20.1% 23.1% 8.8% 13.5% 6.1% PW East % 26.3% 18.7% 24.3% 8.6% 14.6% 7.6% PW Total % 27.3% 19.4% 23.7% 8.7% 14.0% 6.8% UV24 – Qualifications – Percentages Resident Population Qualific Paddock Paddock Five Oak Matfield Brenchley Lower East TOTAL Maidstone Tonbridge Tunbridge South DISTRICT & Malling Wells ations Wood Wood Green Teise Peckham East DISTRICTDISTRICT East West England No Qual 26.3% 28.4% 24.9% 24.8% 16.5% 25.4% 27.3% 25.6% 25.5% 25.5% 22.0% 23.9% 28.9% Level 1 18.7% 20.1% 18.7% 15.7% 11.2% 14.2% 17.4% 17.4% 18.5% 18.7% 15.6% 17.1% 16.6% Level 2 24.3% 23.1% 23.5% 22.4% 23.2% 21.9% 23.5% 23.3% 22.5% 22.3% 22.7% 21.2% 19.4% Level 3 8.6% 8.8% 8.0% 10.3% 12.1% 8.9% 8.6% 9.1% 8.3% 8.1% 9.6% 9.2% 8.3% Level 4/5 14.6% 13.5% 18.1% 21.5% 30.9% 22.1% 15.8% 17.7% 17.7% 18.1% 24.3% 21.7% 19.9% Other 6.1% 6.8% 5.2% 6.0% 7.5% 7.4% 6.8% 7.4% 7.3% 5.9% 6.8% 6.9% NB: 7.6% Level 1 = 1+ O-Level/CSE/GCSE/ NVQ level 1 / Foundation level GNVQ Level 2 = 5+ O-Levels/GCSE grades A-C / School Cert / 1+'A' levels/'AS' levels / NVQ level 2 / Int GNVQ Level 3 = 2+ A-Levels/4+ 'AS' levels / Higher School Cert / NVQ level 3 / Advanced GNVQ Level 4/5 = First Degree / Higher Degree / NVQ levels 4/5 / HNC / HND / Qualified Teacher Status / Qualified Medical Doctor / Qualified Dentist / Qualified Nurse/Midwife/Health Visitor Figure 4 The chart in Figure 4 shows the qualifications of the resident working population of Paddock Wood excluding those not classified, where it is seen that nearly half (actually, 46.7% average for all of PW) have either no qualifications or only Level 1 (1+'O' level passes/CSE/GCSE etc). The Table shows the full comparison across the population centres in the area, and with the South East. This shows Paddock Wood to compare unfavourably with the South East where the figure is only 41.0%. The percentage of residents with Level 4 /5 qualifications (First Degree, Higher Degree, etc) is the lowest for Paddock Wood (14.0% average for all of PW) across all population centres (highest Brenchley with 30.9%) and is significantly less than the 21.7% for the South East. This implies that the resident workforce of Paddock Wood is less highly qualified than the rest of the South East. Page 5 of 17 Paddock Wood Succeed 2.5. Socio-economic Classification UV31 - Socio-economic Classification Resident Population - Paddock Wood 1,400 Number Classified 1,200 1,000 800 600 400 200 0 Higher managerial Lower managerial & & professional professional Intermediate occupations Small employers & own account Lower supervisory & technical Semi-routine occupations Routine occupations Never worked / longterm unemployed 47 PW West 308 659 351 187 233 355 294 PW East 263 698 369 244 231 333 210 44 PW West % 12.7% 27.1% 14.4% 7.7% 9.6% 14.6% 12.1% 1.9% PW East % 11.0% 29.2% 15.4% 10.2% 9.7% 13.9% 8.8% 1.8% PW Total % 11.8% 28.1% 14.9% 8.9% 9.6% 14.3% 10.4% 1.9% UV31 – Socio-economic Classification – Percentages Resident Population aged 16 to 74 SocioPaddock Paddock Five Oak Matfield Brenchley Lower East TOTAL Maidstone Tonbridge Tunbridge South economic Wood DISTRICT & Malling Wells Wood Green Teise Peckham East class DISTRICTDISTRICT East West Higher mgt Lower mgt Intermedi ate Small/self occupati employer ons Lower supervis Semiroutine Routine occupati occ ons Never worked England 11.0% 12.7% 12.3% 15.2% 19.1% 16.9% 12.1% 13.3% 12.4% 12.8% 14.8% 14.0% 11.4% 29.2% 27.1% 27.2% 28.7% 33.5% 29.5% 27.4% 28.5% 27.8% 27.7% 30.0% 27.5% 24.9% 15.4% 14.4% 12.2% 10.6% 10.4% 9.7% 13.6% 13.2% 13.8% 13.8% 12.5% 13.4% 12.6% 10.2% 7.7% 13.8% 17.7% 16.5% 16.9% 11.1% 12.0% 10.3% 10.1% 11.5% 10.1% 9.3% 9.7% 9.6% 9.2% 6.9% 5.1% 5.7% 9.9% 8.7% 9.0% 9.2% 7.6% 8.9% 9.4% 13.9% 14.6% 12.2% 10.7% 9.7% 9.9% 14.2% 12.9% 13.7% 14.0% 13.1% 13.8% 15.5% 8.8% 12.1% 11.3% 8.5% 4.5% 9.1% 9.4% 9.6% 10.4% 10.2% 8.2% 9.5% 12.0% 1.8% 1.9% 1.9% 1.7% 1.2% 2.4% 2.1% 1.9% 2.5% 2.2% 2.3% 2.8% 5.0% Figure 5 Figure 5 above shows the socio-economic classification for residents of Paddock Wood aged 16 to 74, excluding those not classified. Of those classified the largest group is seen to be the Lower managerial and [lower] professional occupations which includes technical and supervisory occupations. The Table shows that the percentage of Higher managerial and professional occupations is lower (average 11.8% for all of PW) than for the South East (14.0%), whilst Intermediate, Lower supervisory & technical and Semi-routine occupations are all slightly higher. The percentage of those doing semi-skilled and unskilled jobs totals to 24.7% for PW and 23.3% for the South East. From this we conclude that the resident workforce of Paddock Wood do slightly less high-powered jobs than in the rest of the South East. Page 6 of 17 Paddock Wood Succeed 2.6. Approximated Social Grade UV50 - Approximate Social Grade - Percentages Resident Population - Paddock Wood 2,200 2,000 1,800 Number Classified 1,600 1,400 1,200 1,000 800 600 400 200 0 PW West AB C1 C2 D E 830 993 496 514 360 786 1,097 521 437 453 PW West % 26.0% 31.1% 15.5% 16.1% 11.3% PW East % 23.9% 33.3% 15.8% 13.3% 13.8% PW Total % 24.9% 32.2% 15.7% 14.7% 12.5% PW East UV50 - Approximated Social Grade - Percentages Resident Population Socio- Paddock Paddock Five Oak Matfield Brenchley Lower East TOTAL Maidstone Tonbridge Tunbridge South DISTRICT & Malling Wells economic Wood Wood Green Teise Peckham East DISTRICTDISTRICT Group East West NB England AB 23.9% 26.0% 25.0% 27.1% 39.4% 33.8% 23.6% 27.0% 26.1% 26.6% 28.9% 26.4% 22.2% C1 33.3% 31.1% 31.2% 35.7% 35.1% 30.6% 32.7% 32.6% 32.2% 30.8% 33.3% 32.1% 29.7% C2 15.8% 15.5% 16.5% 11.0% 8.7% 13.7% 16.6% 14.7% 15.0% 14.7% 12.6% 14.0% 15.1% D 13.3% 16.1% 16.3% 12.6% 7.3% 11.9% 14.0% 13.6% 13.7% 14.1% 12.7% 14.1% 17.0% E 13.8% 11.3% 11.0% 13.7% 9.4% 10.0% 13.1% 12.0% 13.1% 13.7% 12.5% 13.4% 16.0% AB - Higher & Intermediate Mgt C1 - Supervisory, clerical, lower mgt C2 - Skilled manual D - Semi & unskilled manual E - Benefits, unemployed Figure 6 When the socio-economic classification in Figure 5 is transposed into the familiar socioeconomic groups A to E, Figure 6 is obtained. The Table shows that this compares very favourably with the South East as a whole, but with slightly fewer in the AB group (24.9% for all of PW compared with 26.4% in the South East) and slightly more in the C2 group (15.7% for all of PW compared with 14.0% in the South East) and D group (14.7% for all of PW compared with 14.1% in the South East). This is entirely consistent with Figure 5 and again suggests that the resident workforce of Paddock Wood do slightly less high-powered jobs with associated lifestyle than in the rest of the South East. Page 7 of 17 Paddock Wood Succeed 2.7. Distance Travelled to Work UV35 - Distance Travelled to Work Resident Population - Paddock Wood 1,400 Number Travelling 1,200 1,000 800 600 400 200 0 Work mainly at Less than 2km or from home 2km to less than 5km 5km to less than 10km 10km to less than 20km 20km to less than 30km 30km to less than 40km 40km to less than 60km 60km and over No fixed place of work 100 PW West 183 404 102 578 301 67 75 329 46 PW East 214 384 97 432 410 65 73 312 38 126 PW West % 8.4% 18.4% 4.7% 26.4% 13.7% 3.1% 3.4% 15.0% 2.1% 4.6% PW East % 9.9% 17.8% 4.5% 20.1% 19.0% 3.0% 3.4% 14.5% 1.8% 5.8% PW Total % 9.1% 18.1% 4.6% 23.3% 16.4% 3.0% 3.4% 14.8% 1.9% 5.2% UV35 – Distance Travelled to Work Resident Population Distance Paddock Travelled Wood to Work East Mainly at 9.9% home Less than 17.8% 2km 2km to 4.5% 5km 5km to 20.1% 10km 10km to 19.0% 20km 20km to 3.0% 30km 30km to 3.4% 40km 40km to 14.5% 60km 60km 1.8% and over No fixed 5.8% place Outside 0.1% the UK Ave 16.1 Dist Paddock Five Oak Matfield Brenchley Lower East TOTAL Maidstone Tonbridge Tunbridge South DISTRICT & Malling Wells Wood Green Teise Peckham East DISTRICTDISTRICT West England 8.4% 12.3% 15.6% 17.1% 17.4% 12.0% 11.9% 10.1% 10.0% 11.4% 9.9% 9.2% 18.4% 9.0% 8.3% 8.5% 9.8% 12.4% 13.7% 19.0% 16.2% 22.1% 20.4% 20.0% 4.7% 16.0% 9.9% 7.1% 8.8% 8.9% 7.7% 17.9% 13.6% 14.8% 17.6% 20.1% 26.4% 26.4% 26.5% 16.1% 13.7% 20.2% 22.0% 13.3% 17.5% 11.4% 15.2% 18.2% 13.7% 10.6% 9.4% 18.4% 19.7% 21.4% 16.4% 13.3% 13.5% 10.4% 13.7% 15.2% 3.1% 4.4% 4.2% 2.7% 3.6% 5.0% 3.7% 5.5% 5.9% 4.8% 6.7% 5.3% 3.4% 3.9% 3.7% 3.1% 3.0% 3.0% 3.4% 2.8% 5.4% 3.6% 3.6% 2.4% 15.0% 10.4% 13.1% 18.7% 14.8% 9.9% 13.6% 8.9% 10.6% 12.4% 3.9% 2.2% 2.1% 1.7% 1.8% 2.4% 1.4% 1.6% 1.8% 3.2% 1.8% 3.1% 3.6% 2.7% 4.6% 5.3% 7.5% 5.3% 7.5% 5.0% 5.6% 5.7% 5.3% 5.6% 5.1% 4.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.4% 0.4% 0.6% 0.3% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 16.1 13.8 15.0 18.0 16.0 14.3 15.6 13.6 14.7 14.8 12.0 10.1 Figure 7 Figure 7 shows the distance travelled to work for people who were aged 16 to 74 and in employment in 2001. Of those living in Paddock Wood (4344 people):– 397 (9.1%) worked at home 788 (18.1%) travelled up to 2 km 199 (4.6%) travelled from 2 to 5 km 1010 (23.3%) travelled from 5 to 10 km. Page 8 of 17 Paddock Wood Succeed Therefore a total of 55.0% of people were working within 10 km of their homes – this compares with totals ranging from 57.3% for Tonbridge District, through to 63.1% for the South East and 67.5% for England as a whole. It is therefore interesting to note that well over half the working population of Paddock Wood work within 10 km of their homes. Average distances were also estimated by multiplying the percentages above by the midpoint values in each distance band, and these show that the average distance travelled by people living in Paddock Wood is some 16.1 km compared with 12.0 km for the South East. From this we conclude that the resident working population of Paddock Wood travel approximately 34% further to work than the workforce in the South East. Specifically only some 725 people (16.7%) travelled over 40 km ~ including 84 people (1.9%) travelling over 60 km (where London is approximately 65 km from Paddock Wood) ~ compared with 12–15% for Tonbridge / Maidstone / Tunbridge Wells Districts, 7.5% for the South East and 4.9% for England. This again confirms what we already know, that people who live in Paddock Wood travel further to work than most others in the South East. Of course some of this may have changed since 2001. 2.8. Method of Travel to Work Figure 8 below then shows how the resident working population of Paddock Wood get to work. By far the largest number travel by car (56.4% for all of PW) plus another 5.6% who travel as a passenger in a car or van. Next largest (16.0% for all of PW) travel by train. 9.5% of the resident population walk to work. From this we observe that 62.0% of the resident working population of Paddock Wood get to work by car or van, either driving or as a passenger. UV39 - Method of Travel to Work - Percentages Resident Population - Paddock Wood 3,000 Number Classified 2,500 2,000 1,500 1,000 500 0 Works mainly at/from home U/ground, metro, light rail, tram Train Bus, minibus or coach Taxi or minicab Motorcycle, scooter, moped Bicycle On foot Other PW West 183 0 368 20 3 1,234 PW East 214 0 328 13 0 1,213 128 22 26 201 5 115 18 34 211 PW West % 8.4% 0.0% 16.8% 0.9% 0.1% 6 56.3% 5.8% 1.0% 1.2% 9.2% 0.2% PW East % 9.9% 0.0% 15.2% 0.6% PW Total % 9.1% 0.0% 16.0% 0.8% 0.0% 56.4% 5.3% 0.8% 1.6% 9.8% 0.3% 0.1% 56.4% 5.6% 0.9% 1.4% 9.5% 0.3% Driving car or Passenger in van car or van Figure 8 Page 9 of 17 Paddock Wood Succeed UV39 – Method of Travel to Work – Percentages Resident Population Method Paddock Paddock Five Oak Matfield Brenchley Lower East TOTAL Maidstone Tonbridge Tunbridge DISTRICT & Malling Wells of Travel Wood Wood Green Teise Peckham DISTRICTDISTRICT East West Mainly at 9.9% 8.4% 12.3% 15.6% 17.2% 17.3% 12.0% 11.9% 10.1% 10.0% 11.4% home U/ground 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.4% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% Metro,etc South East England 9.9% 9.2% 0.2% 3.2% Train 15.2% 16.8% 8.6% 13.0% 15.5% 10.0% 8.5% 13.0% 6.1% 9.7% 12.3% 5.6% 4.2% Bus, etc 0.6% 0.9% 1.8% 1.5% 1.4% 0.8% 2.2% 1.2% 4.3% 2.7% 2.5% 4.4% 7.5% Taxi/mini cab 0.0% 0.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.3% 0.2% 0.3% 0.4% 0.5% Car / van 56.4% 56.3% 64.2% 59.5% 54.4% 59.3% 61.9% 58.6% 60.7% 60.2% 52.9% 59.2% 54.9% 5.3% 5.8% 5.3% 4.6% 4.1% 3.1% 6.4% 5.3% 5.7% 5.5% 5.1% 5.7% 6.1% 0.8% 1.0% 0.9% 1.1% 0.7% 1.3% 1.2% 1.0% 0.9% 1.2% 0.8% 1.1% 1.1% Bicycle 1.6% 1.2% 1.8% 0.4% 0.7% 0.6% 1.9% 1.3% 1.2% 1.7% 1.2% 3.1% 2.8% On foot 9.8% 9.2% 4.3% 3.5% 4.7% 6.8% 5.4% 7.0% 10.2% 8.2% 12.8% 9.9% 10.0% Other 0.3% 0.2% 0.5% 0.4% 0.4% 0.8% 0.5% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% Passeng er in car Motorcycle Figure 8 Table The Table above shows the complete results for all the population centres in the Paddock Wood area, where the corresponding proportion getting to work by car or van (62.0%) is less than the average for the South East (64.9%), whilst the proportion travelling is by train (16.0%) is much higher than in the South East generally (5.6%). The number travelling on buses, minibuses and coaches is 0.8% for all of Paddock Wood compared with 4.4% for the South East, which perhaps suggests that many people find the local bus service non-viable. 2.9. Hours Worked UV41 - Hours Worked Resident Population - Paddock Wood 2,000 1,800 Number Classified 1,600 1,400 1,200 1,000 800 600 400 200 0 1 to 2 hours 3 to 5 hours 6 to 15 hours 16 to 30 hours 31 to 37 hours 38 to 48 hours 49 to 59 hours 60 hours and over PW West 5 31 181 327 343 889 263 151 PW East 4 29 172 314 318 910 265 142 PW West % 0.2% 1.4% 8.3% 14.9% 15.7% 40.6% 12.0% 6.9% PW East % 0.2% 1.3% 8.0% 14.6% 14.8% 42.2% 12.3% 6.6% PW Total % 0.2% 1.4% 8.1% 14.8% 15.2% 41.4% 12.2% 6.7% Figure 9 Page 10 of 17 Paddock Wood Succeed UV41 – Hours Worked – Percentages Resident Population Hours Paddock Paddock Five Oak Matfield Brenchley Lower East TOTAL Maidstone Tonbridge Tunbridge South DISTRICT & Malling Wells Worked Wood Wood Green Teise Peckham East DISTRICTDISTRICT East West England 1–2 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.4% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.2% 3–5 1.3% 1.4% 1.3% 2.7% 1.3% 1.5% 0.5% 1.3% 1.0% 1.0% 1.3% 1.0% 1.0% 6 – 15 8.0% 8.3% 7.5% 8.3% 9.6% 8.2% 8.0% 8.2% 7.9% 8.2% 8.3% 7.7% 7.2% 16 – 30 14.6% 14.9% 18.0% 13.9% 16.4% 14.7% 17.7% 15.7% 15.4% 16.0% 15.6% 15.7% 16.3% 31 – 37 14.8% 15.7% 12.8% 11.6% 11.5% 10.0% 13.7% 13.6% 15.6% 15.1% 15.1% 16.1% 18.2% 38 – 48 42.2% 40.6% 39.8% 41.5% 34.4% 38.6% 42.1% 40.5% 40.5% 40.6% 40.1% 41.4% 40.9% 49 – 59 12.3% 12.0% 13.6% 12.6% 16.6% 15.6% 11.2% 12.9% 12.3% 12.3% 12.7% 11.3% 10.1% 60+ 6.6% 6.9% 7.0% 9.2% 10.1% 10.9% 6.5% 7.6% 7.2% 6.6% 6.7% 6.5% 6.2% Figure 9 Table Figure 9 and its corresponding Table above show the number of hours worked per week by the resident workforce in Paddock Wood. The chart and table above show that by far the largest group (41.4% for all of PW) work from 38 to 48 hours per week. However the Table also shows that the percentage who work from 38 to 48 hours per week is not very different from the South East as a whole, the biggest difference being the percentage who work 49 to 59 hours a week (12.2% for all PW compared with 11.3% for the South East). However 15.6% to 16.6% of people who live in Brenchley and Lower Teise work 49 to 59 hours per week, which is much more than the average for the South East. From this we conclude that the resident population in Paddock Wood work similar hours to workers generally in the South East, but less than those living in Brenchley and Lower Teise. 3. People who work in Paddock Wood There are fewer datasets on the ONS website for people who work in Paddock Wood (the ‘workplace’ or ‘daytime’ population). However the following comparisons are possible:– Age (UV75) Socio-economic Classification (UV76) Approximated Social Grade (UV78) Distance Travelled to Work (UV80) Method of Travel to Work (UV37) Page 11 of 17 Paddock Wood Succeed 3.1. Age UV75 - Age Workplace Population - Paddock Wood 1,600 1,400 1,200 Number 1,000 800 600 400 200 0 Less than 20 years old 20 to 29 years old 30 to 39 years old 40 to 49 years old 50 to 59 years old More than 59 years old PW East 180 664 855 721 651 272 PW West 62 215 277 280 272 84 PW East % 5.4% 19.9% 25.6% 21.6% 19.5% 8.1% PW West % 5.2% 18.1% 23.3% 23.5% 22.9% 7.1% PW Total % 5.3% 19.4% 25.0% 22.1% 20.4% 7.9% Figure 10 Figure 10 shows the age distribution of the workplace population of Paddock Wood. When this is aggregated and compared with the resident workforce in PW the chart below (Figure 11) is obtained. This shows that the workplace population is slightly younger than the resident population ~ 2–3 percentage points up in the age groups up to 59, but 8.6% down for the 60+ age group. Age - Percentages Resident vs Workplace Population 30% 25% Percentages 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% Less than 20 years old 20 to 29 years old 30 to 39 years old 40 to 49 years old 50 to 59 years old More than 59 years old Workplace 5.3% 19.4% 25.0% 22.1% 20.4% 7.9% Resident 6.4% 16.9% 22.3% 18.8% 19.1% 16.5% Figure 11 Page 12 of 17 Paddock Wood Succeed 3.2. Socio-economic Classification UV76 - Socio-economic Classification Workplace Population - Paddock Wood 1,400 Number Classified 1,200 1,000 800 600 400 200 0 Higher managerial/ prof Lower managerial/ prof Intermediate occupations Small employers/self empl Lower supervisory/ tech Semi-routine occupations Routine occupations Never worked/long-term unempl PW West 107 348 125 168 124 129 162 0 27 PW East 359 752 250 260 465 502 650 0 105 PW West % 9.2% 29.9% 10.7% 14.4% 10.7% 11.1% 13.9% 0.0% 0.0% PW East % 11.1% 23.2% 7.7% 8.0% 14.4% 15.5% 20.1% 0.0% 0.0% PW Total % 10.6% 25.0% 8.5% 9.7% 13.4% 14.3% 18.5% 0.0% 0.0% Not classified Figure 12 Figure 12 shows the Socio-economic classification for the workplace population of Paddock Wood. When this is aggregated and compared with the resident workforce in PW the following chart (Figure 13) is obtained. Socio-economic Classification - Percentages Resident vs Workplace Population 30% 25% Percentages 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% Higher managerial/ prof Lower managerial/ prof Intermediate occupations Small employers/self empl Lower supervisory/ tech Semi-routine occupations Routine occupations Never worked/longterm unempl Workplace 10.6% Resident 11.8% 25.0% 8.5% 9.7% 13.4% 14.3% 18.5% 0.0% 28.1% 14.9% 8.9% 9.6% 14.3% 10.4% 1.9% Figure 13 Figure 13 clearly shows the workplace population of Paddock Wood do less highpowered jobs than the resident population, with 32.8% in semi-skilled and unskilled occupations compared with 24.7% for the resident population. Page 13 of 17 Paddock Wood Succeed 3.3. Approximated Social Grade UV78 - Approximate Social Grade - Percentages Workplace Population - Paddock Wood 1,600 1,400 Number Classified 1,200 1,000 800 600 400 200 0 AB C1 C2 D E PW West 270 413 230 276 3 PW East 700 991 554 1,096 3 PW West % 22.7% 34.6% 19.3% 23.2% 0.3% PW East % 20.9% 29.6% 16.6% 32.8% 0.1% PW Total % 21.4% 31.0% 17.3% 30.2% 0.1% Figure 14 Figure 14 shows the approximate social grade for the workplace population of Paddock Wood (aged 16 to 74, in employment) there being a marked difference with D – semi- and unskilled manual grades between Paddock Wood East and West, presumably reflecting the predominance of warehousing jobs in PW East. When this data is aggregated and compared with the resident population, Figure 15 is obtained, which clearly shows a much larger proportion of semi- and unskilled workers working in Paddock Wood than living in PW. Approximate Social Grade - Percentages Resident vs Workplace Population 35% 30% Percentages 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% AB - Higher & Int Mgt C1 - Supervisory, clerical, lower mgt C2 - Skilled manual D - Semi & unskilled manual Workplace 21.4% 31.0% 17.3% 30.2% 0.1% Resident 24.9% 32.2% 15.7% 14.7% 12.5% E - Benefits, unempl Figure 15 Page 14 of 17 Paddock Wood Succeed 3.4. Distance Travelled to Work UV80 - Distance Travelled to Work Workplace Population - Paddock Wood 1,000 Number Travelling 800 600 400 200 0 Work mainly at or from home Less than 2km 2km to less than 5km to less than 5km 10km 10km to less than 20km 20km to less than 30km 30km to less than 40km 40km to less than 60km PW West 283 218 81 182 233 98 55 22 PW East 340 578 18 232 535 694 425 210 101 228 PW West % 23.8% PW East % 10.2% 18.3% 6.8% 15.3% 19.6% 8.2% 4.6% 1.8% 1.5% 17.3% 6.9% 16.0% 20.8% 12.7% 6.3% 3.0% PW Total % 13.7% 6.8% 17.6% 6.9% 15.8% 20.5% 11.5% 5.8% 2.7% 5.4% 60km and over UV80 – Distance Travelled to Work Workplace Population Distance Paddock Travelled Wood to Work East Mainly at 10.2% home Less than 17.3% 2km 2km to 6.9% 5km 5km to 16.0% 10km 10km to 20.8% 20km 20km to 12.7% 30km 30km to 6.3% 40km 40km to 3.0% 60km 60km 6.8% and over Ave 16.1 Dist Paddock Five Oak Matfield Brenchley Lower East TOTAL Maidstone Tonbridge Tunbridge South DISTRICT & Malling Wells Wood Green Teise Peckham East DISTRICTDISTRICT West England 23.8% 28.7% 16.4% 15.9% 15.7% 17.2% 15.8% 13.6% 18.3% 13.2% 8.9% 15.5% 18.9% 22.3% 21.4% 20.0% 6.8% 17.0% 9.4% 8.5% 17.8% 14.6% 18.4% 20.2% 15.3% 17.5% 24.4% 17.6% 15.5% 13.2% 15.7% 18.3% 19.6% 14.5% 25.0% 20.6% 17.5% 15.8% 14.1% 15.3% 8.2% 6.2% 7.5% 10.2% 6.2% 7.5% 6.1% 5.4% 4.6% 1.7% 3.2% 4.9% 3.0% 4.9% 2.8% 2.4% 1.8% 0.4% 3.2% 2.5% 3.5% 2.4% 2.4% 2.2% 1.5% 0.8% 2.0% 4.3% 1.9% 1.9% 3.3% 2.7% 10.2 7.2 11.9 13.3 10.3 10.3 10.1 9.7 Figure 16 Figure 16 shows the distances travelled to work for the workplace population of Paddock Wood (aged 16 to 74, in employment) – this shows a considerable difference between those working in PW East and PW West, which is reflected in the estimated average distances travelled, i.e. 16.1 km and 10.2 km respectively. A significant factor is that some 23.8% of the workforce in PW West work mainly at home, compared with only 10.2% in PW East. And although similar numbers travel up to 10 km to work, 49.6% of the workforce travel further than 10 km to PW East compared with 35.8% to PW West (compared with 28.7% for the South East), showing again that people who work in Paddock Wood travel further to work than those in the South East generally. When the data is aggregated and compared with the resident population, Figure 17 is obtained. Page 15 of 17 Paddock Wood Succeed Distances Travelled to Work - Percentages Resident vs Workplace Population 25% Percentages 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% Works mainly at or from Less than 2km home 2km to less than 5km 5km to less than 10km 10km to less than 20km 20km to less than 30km 30km to less than 40km 40km to less 60km and over than 60km Workplace 13.7% 17.6% 6.9% 15.8% 20.5% 11.5% 5.8% 2.7% 5.4% Resident 9.1% 18.1% 4.6% 23.3% 16.4% 3.0% 3.4% 14.8% 1.9% Figure 17 Figure 17 shows a comparable number travelling up to 10 km to work for the resident population (55.1%) compared with the workplace population (54.0%), but for those travelling from 10 – 40 km a much larger number of the workplace population (37.8% ) compared with the resident population (22.8% ), although the chart is skewed for the resident population by the long distance commuters (40 – 60 km). From this we conclude again that overall the workplace population of Paddock Wood travel further to work than the resident population. 3.5. Method of Travel to Work UV37 - Method of Travel to Work - Percentages Daytime Population - Paddock Wood 3,000 Number Classified 2,500 2,000 1,500 1,000 500 0 U/ground, Works mainly metro, light at/from home rail, tram Train Bus, minibus or coach Taxi or minicab Driving car or Passenger in van car or van Motorcycle, scooter, moped Bicycle On foot Other Not currently working PW West 183 0 42 8 3 775 67 16 14 80 3 819 PW East 214 10 170 102 16 2,116 235 32 64 376 8 869 PW West % 15.4% 0.0% 3.5% 0.7% 0.3% 65.1% 5.6% 1.3% 1.2% 6.7% 0.3% PW East % 6.4% 0.3% 5.1% 3.1% 0.5% 63.3% 7.0% 1.0% 1.9% 11.2% 0.2% PW Total % 8.8% 0.2% 4.7% 2.4% 0.4% 63.8% 6.7% 1.1% 1.7% 10.1% 0.2% Figure 18 Page 16 of 17 Paddock Wood Succeed Figure 18 above shows how the daytime population of Paddock Wood travel to work – of those working (since this population includes people who do not work) the majority (70.4%) travel by car or van, either driving or as a passenger. 10.1% travel on foot and 8.8% work from home. When the data is aggregated and compared with the resident population, Figure 19 is obtained:– Method of Travel to Work - Percentages Resident vs Daytime Population 70% 60% Percentages 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Works mainly at/from home U/ground, metro, light rail, tram Daytime 8.8% Resident 9.1% Train Bus, minibus or coach Taxi or minicab 0.2% 4.7% 2.4% 0.4% 63.8% 0.0% 16.0% 0.8% 0.1% 56.4% Motorcycle, scooter, moped Bicycle On foot Other 6.7% 1.1% 1.7% 10.1% 0.2% 5.6% 0.9% 1.4% 9.5% 0.3% Driving car or Passenger in van car or van Figure 19 Figure 19 shows that amongst the daytime population a higher percentage (70.1%) travel by car or van than the resident population (62.0%), with fewer travelling by train, whilst the proportions working mainly at home or walking to work are about the same. 4. Conclusions The data from the 2001 Census shows that there was a workforce of some 4000+ people commuting into Paddock Wood each day to work, at least 30% of whom were unskilled (by implication with low wages), and travelling 10 – 30 km to work, typically by car. Since then we know that many additional semi- and unskilled warehousing jobs have been added to the local economy. These factors give rise to some optimism that if there were additional affordable housing in PW, this housing would be taken up. The main conclusion to be drawn from this study is therefore that there are no inconsistencies between the assertion that much more affordable housing is needed in Paddock Wood, and the kinds of jobs that people in such accommodation might do locally. Chris Gregory Paddock Wood SUCCEED 1 Aug 2017 Endnote 1 – The Paddock Wood Area is taken to be the entire geographical region consisting of Paddock Wood East and West (wards), East Peckham (ward), Capel and Five Oak Green (ward), Matfield, Brenchley and a rural area we have called ‘Lower Teise’ which includes Laddingford, Benover, Claygate and Collier Street – so-named because these latter places are all linked by the lower section of the River Teise. By including all these centres of population it is intended to gather a more complete picture than simply of Paddock Wood in isolation. Page 17 of 17
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