WSC Radioecology Research Group A new methodology for the assessment of radiation doses to biota under non-equilibrium conditions J. Vives i Batlle, R.C. Wilson, S.J. Watts, S.R. Jones, P. McDonald and S. Vives-Lynch EC PROTECT Workpackage 2 Workshop, Vienna, 27 - 29 June 2007 Introduction Interest in recent years regarding protection of non-human biota Different approaches: Environment Agency R&D 128 FASSET/ERICA RESRAD - Biota, Eden, EPIC-DOSES3D, etc. All have one common theme: Assume equilibrium within the system they are modelling Current work builds on previous work but takes it to the next stage: Non-equilibrium conditions Objectives Model the retention behaviour observed for many organisms and radionuclides. Express model rate constants as a function of known parameters from the literature. Ensure the model automatically reduces to the old CF-based approach in the non-dynamic case. Incorporate dosimetry compatible with FASSET and EA R&D 128 methodologies. Encode the model in a simple spreadsheet which assesses for lists of radionuclides and biota over time. Model Design Fast Release Slow Release Fast Uptake Fast phase Slow Uptake Organism Slow phase Radioactive decay Radioactive decay Environment (seawater) Multi-phasic release Some organisms have fast followed by slow release, represented by two biological half-lives 0.2 0 -0.2 -0.4 Ln (C/C0) Phase 1 -0.6 -0.8 -1 Phase 2 -1.2 -1.4 -1.6 -1.8 0 50 100 150 200 250 Time (h) Typical biphasic retention curve, representing the depuration of 131I from L. littorea (Wilson et al., 2005). 300 Model options Three cases are possible: No biological half-lives known use instant equilibration with a CF (current method). One biological half-life known use simple dynamic 2-compartment model. Two biological half-lives known use fully dynamic 3-compartment model. Flow diagram Water activity Biokinetic database Dosimetry database Calculate initial conditions of the system No Yes 2 TB1/2 known? No At least 1 TB1/2 known? Calculate 2 rate constants from TB1/2s Yes No % retention known? Yes Calculate remaining rate constants for advanced model (3 components) No Slope transition known Yes Calculate remaining rate constants for basic model (2 components) Apply npn-dynamic model using CF Run a loop for series of regular time steps Refresh initial conditions of new time step using solution form previous step Refresh initial conditions of new time step using solution form previous step Write results into the spreadsheet Basic equations dq1 (t ) k12q2 (t ) k13q3 (t ) (k 21 k31 )q1 (t ); q1 (t 0) q1 dt dq2 (t ) k 21q1 (t ) k 23q3 (t ) (k12 k32 )q2 (t ); q2 (t 0) q2 dt dq3 (t ) k31q1 (t ) k32q2 (t ) (k 23 k13 )q3 (t ); q3 (t 0) q3 dt Basic equations General solution: qi (t ) fi q i di f i t qi 2 di f i t e e , i 1,2,3 ( ) ( ) 2 Involves Laplace transformation, algebraic manipulation and some substitutions (, , d’s and ƒ’s are functions of the rate constants). Model parameterisation Initial conditions: V q1 A W ; q2 q3 0 Approximation 1 (organism is a faster accumulator than the medium): k21 << k12 and k31 << k13 Approximation (organism holds less activity than the medium): q1 >> q2 or q3 Consequences Biphasic release: ln 2 ln 2 k12 ; k13 T2 T3 m qB (t ) k 21 k 31 CF lim t V q1 (t ) k12 k13 Simple formulae for all the model constants: 1 ln 2 ln 2 m ln 2 ln 2 k12 ; k 21 CF x ; k13 ; T2 T3 T2 V T3 k31 x (unknown) Calculation of "x" If we know the % retained at time (f100): k 21 CFm ln 2 1 1 k13 V T2 e k12 e k31 CFm ln 2 k 21 V T3 f100 k12 e ; 100 If we know when the release curve closes in to slope of the final phase (factor f ): CFm 1 k 21 k12 1 V 1 f k 21k13 1 k31 k12 1 f 1 k12 ( k12 k13 ) f e ; k13 k12 ( k12 k13 ) f e k13 Sensitivity analysis Basis for the dosimetry Same as EA R&D 128 and FASSET (aquatic) = summation over all nuclides i Corg , Cwater and Csediment = nuclide concs. in Bq kg–1 or Bq m–3 = density of sea water fsolid = solids fraction of wet sediment (0.4). int ext DCCtotal ,i and DCCtotal,i = DCCs in Gy h–1 per Bq kg-1 C se diment f solidC se diment dry (1 f solid ) C water fsediment , fsurface and fwater = fractions of time in different media int H int ernal Ciorg DCCtotal ,i i water f f C surface surface sediment ext i Ci H external f sediment f water DCCtotal,i 2 2 i Model inputs Biokinetic Parameters Current data defaults from literature User can edit with site-specific data Model Outputs Reference organisms Nuclides Phytoplankton 99Tc Zooplankton 125I, 129I Macrophyte 134Cs Winkle 238Pu, 239Pu Benthic mollusc 241Am Small benthic crustacean Large benthic crustacean Pelagic fish Benthic fish & & 131I 137Cs & Weighted and un-weighted external and internal doses and activity concentrations within biota produced 241Pu Validation 129I activity in winkles: comparison with model by Vives i Batlle et al. (2006) 99Tc activity in lobsters: comparison with model by Olsen and Vives i Batlle (2003) Results - Long term assessment Annual time steps 1.00E+01 Total weighted dose rate (µGy h-1) Benthic mollusc 1.00E+00 1.00E-01 1.00E-02 1.00E-03 Large benthic crustacean Dynamic model Equilibrium model 1.00E-04 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 Time (year) Pu benthic mollusc - TB1/2 = 474 days Tc large benthic crustacean - TB1/2 = 56.8 & 114 days Results - Short term assessment Daily time steps (a) Macrophyte 7 Dynamic model Weighted dose rate (µGy h-1) 6 Equilibrium model 5 4 3 2 1 Date Tc in macrophytes - TB1/2 = 1.5 & 128 days 99 28 /0 8 /1 9 99 20 /0 5 /1 9 99 09 /0 2 /1 9 98 01 /1 1 /1 9 98 24 /0 7 /1 9 98 15 /0 4 /1 9 98 05 /0 1 /1 9 97 27 /0 9 /1 9 97 /1 9 /0 6 19 11 /0 3 /1 9 97 0 Results - Short term assessment Daily time steps (b) Winkle 0.8 Dynamic model Weighted dose rate (µGy h-1) 0.7 Equilibrium model 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 Date Tc in winkles - TB1/2 = 142 days 99 28 /0 8 /1 9 99 20 /0 5 /1 9 99 09 /0 2 /1 9 98 01 /1 1 /1 9 98 24 /0 7 /1 9 98 15 /0 4 /1 9 98 05 /0 1 /1 9 97 27 /0 9 /1 9 97 /1 9 /0 6 19 11 /0 3 /1 9 97 0 Time-integrated doses Test Time period Sellafield discharges 1952 - 2005 (short-term test) (50 y) Organism Winkle Benthic fish Benthic Crust. (long-term test) TB1/2 (d) % difference 137 0.86 64.7 0.00 0.00 99 Cs 137 Cs 56.8, 114 -1.48 239 Pu 474 8.63 Jul 1997 – Jun 1999 Macrophyte 99 Tc 1.5, 128 -7.1 (700 d) Winkle 99 142 -16.6 25 Jan - 7 Mar 1998 Winkle 99 1.5, 128 -37.1 (40 d) 99 142 -78.3 Benthic mollusc Seawater at Drigg Nuclide Macrophyte Tc Tc Tc Tc differences between the integrated dose rates obtained from the two approaches increase with slowness of response of the organism to an input of radioactivity, due to the smoothing effect of the dynamic method. Conclusions Successfully production of a dynamic model that makes assessments to biota more realistic Simple, user-friendly spreadsheet format similar to R&D 128 Model is rigorously tested and validated against CF and dynamic research models Can be edited with site-specific data Expandable for extra nuclides and organisms References Vives i Batlle, J., Wilson, R.C., Watts, S.J., Jones, S.R., McDonald, P. and Vives-Lynch, S. Dynamic model for the assessment of radiological exposure to marine biota. J. Environ. Radioactivity (submitted). Vives i Batlle, J., Wilson, R. C., McDonald, P., and Parker, T. G. (2006) A biokinetic model for the uptake and release of radioiodine by the edible periwinkle Littorina littorea. In: P.P. Povinec, J.A. Sanchez-Cabeza (Eds): Radionuclides in the Environment, Volume 8. Elsevier, pp. 449 – 462. Olsen, Y.S. and Vives i Batlle, J. (2003). A model for the bioaccumulation of 99Tc in lobsters (Homarus gammarus) from the West Cumbrian coast. J. Environ. Radioactivity 67(3): 219-233. Acknowledgements The authors would like to thank the Nuclear Decommissioning Authority (NDA), UK, for funding this project.
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