Modification to the FIDIC EPC/Turnkey Contract to allow for geotechnical risk sharing Sean Renecke, Project Manager, GIBB, South Africa Presentation Overview Background and Information on the Kabompo Gorge Hydropower Project Reasons for selection of the Contract form The Risk Sharing Mechanism selected Results from the Risk Sharing Mechanism Observations Conclusion Background to the Project In 2008, the Copperbelt Energy Corporation Plc (CEC), conducted a feasibility study for the Project Amanzi Consultants JV, contracted to compile the Feasibility study, GIBB – the lead consultant Expression of interest EOI called for in October 2010 17 submissions were received 5 were invited to tender Amanzi JV - Contracted to complete the Technical Adjudication of the bids by 6 June 2012 and currently assisting with negotiations Description of the Project and the current status Location • Situated in the North-Western Province of the Republic of Zambia • Kabompo River flows entirely within Zambia Description • 40MW Hydro Project, comprising a 50 m high dam, significant underground works and E&M Equipment Contractual • The scheme is being developed under a concession agreement Status • Preferred EPC Contractor identified –negotiations in progress Reasons for selecting the FIDIC Contract as the preferred form of Contract CEC does not have its own standard form of Contract The FIDIC and NEC3 suites of contracts were both considered CEC has experience with the FIDIC contracts and it has been used extensively in the region Two options were considered The FIDIC Conditions of Contract for EPC / Turnkey Projects (Silver Book) 1 2 FIDIC Conditions of Contract for Construction (Red Book) Employer Contractor Lender Selection of the FIDIC EPC /Turnkey Form of Contract Significant interest in the Project from potential Contractors Geological and Hydrology risk Silver book requires less input from the Employer than the Red Book High degree of certainty of the Contract price Silver Book allows for supervision by the Employer’s Personnel so that the quality of the work can be monitored The Risk Sharing Mechanism selected The risk of highly inflated prices or of not receiving any responses to a tender enquiry was recognized The Red Book and other similar contracts do make provision for varied ground conditions by defining a range of excavation and rock support classes The bidder is required to price both the time related charges and quantity proportional costs for each class A variation of this mechanism, based on an accepted geological classification system, could be used and incorporated into the Silver book Application of the Risk Sharing Mechanism The base case would provided an indication as to cost and time variation for the various rock quality grades and excavation depths The actual geological conditions will be assessed, with the classification to be agreed between the Contractor and Employer If actual geology meets the base case , there is no variation in time and cost When there is a difference between the base case and the actual conditions, this difference is used to determine the percentage change in contract price and duration This allows for both a positive or negative adjustment in the contract price and duration The Contract also allows for the maximum Re-measurable price adjustment percentage to be agreed on upfront Tunnel Base Case Defined the various rock quality grades assumed for various sections of the tunnel The rock quality grades were rated from A to E, where A is good and E is extremely poor, based on the Rock Tunnel Quality Index (Q) The estimated percentage of excavation within each rock quality grade was then determined The Contractors had to allocate both time related and non-time related costs to the various rock quality grades specified in the base case Dam Excavation Base Case It was based on foundation excavation levels recommended in the feasibility report, for a specific Dam type and alignment Based on an evaluation of borehole core logs obtained during geotechnical investigations - feasibility study The Alternative Re-measurable price was based on the Excavation base case and could be adjusted The Contractors could not increase the remeasurable price where actual conditions at the Site are caused by the activities of the Contractor This Table shows the foundation excavation variances Variance in Actual Depth of Dam Foundation Excavation compared to Excavation Base Case (Metre) +2 +1 -1 -2 - 3 to - 5 - 5 to - 10 - 10 to - 15 > - 15 Cost Variation for the Tunnel Base case, based on the information supplied Cost Variance (US Dollars) Contractor B Contractor A Likelihood of Occurrence Slightly better than base case Base case Slightly worse than base case Significantly worse than base case moderate There is a chance that this may be the case high More than an even chance of occurring moderate There is a chance that this may be the case low Small likelihood but this could happen Very poor to extremely poor throughout very low Not expected to happen Ground Conditions Encountered Throughout the Scheme Extremely poor throughout extremely low Virtually impossible Results of the Dam Excavation Base Case based on information supplied by the Contractors Observations from Risk Sharing Positives Risk sharing proposed a good balance between the EPC/Turnkey contract and a suitable risk sharing mechanism Obtaining two prices the Employer could quantify the risk premium Interpretation by Contractors Contractors application of the risk sharing mechanism Risk Sharing not considered The difference between the All Risk Price and the Remeasurable Price obtained was marginal The bids were also close to the feasibility study cost estimate Contractors appetite for Risk No high premium placed on the All Risk Price Contractors preferred to carry the geotechnical risk Conclusion Its was acknowledged that some type of risk sharing mechanism may be required for successful development of this Hydropower scheme under the EPC/ Turnkey contract Two prices allowed the Employer to analyse and select the least risk options and also understand Contractors perception of risk Inclusion of a risk sharing mechanism must be clearly and thoroughly defined and explained in Tender Documents, for all Parties involved Thank You for Listening Typical FIDIC form of contract selection process The FIDIC Silver book Advantages All risk is carried by the Contractor The Contractor will price for the risk taken Contract Price higher than under other forms of contract Silver Book Disadvantages Where there is a substantial amount of underground works, few or no bids will be submitted bids submitted will be qualified Employer has little control over the quality of construction more risk of latent defects and high maintenance costs The FIDIC Red book The Construction price should be significantly lower Advantages Contractor does not need to price the risk of unforeseeable conditions Engineering costs are lower as only one design is prepared, rather than the review of multiple designs Red Book Disadvantages The Employer takes substantial risk, particularly the risk of unforeseeable physical conditions and design risk The Risk Sharing Mechanism selected
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