Do Interviewers Influence Respondent Propensity to ‘Satisfice’? Gosia Turner, Prof Patrick Sturgis, Prof Chris Skinner [email protected] AAPOR 67th Annual Conference - May 17-20, 2012 1 NCRM is funded by the Economic and Social Research Council Cognitive aspects of survey • • • • • • • • • • • Selecting first response alternative that seems ‘reasonable’ Agreeing with assertions Endorsing status quo ‘Straightlining’ (same answer on the rating scale) Saying ‘Don’t know’ Mental ‘coin-flipping’ Heaping Comprehension Retrieval Judgement Response NCRM is funded by the Economic and Social Research Council SATISFICING 2 1 Satisficing • Difficulty of the task – Questionnaire design – Difficulty of the question • Respondent’s ability to do the task – Cognitive skills (proxy: education) • Respondent’s motivation to do the task – Interest in and familiarity with the subject – External circumstances – Interviewer effect (motivating, assistance given, social desirability) NCRM is funded by the Economic and Social Research Council 3 Heaping • When respondent is rounding to ‘some commonly used measure’ or ‘neat’ value: – Behavioral frequency questions • How many cigarettes a day? (8 10/1 small pack a day) – Duration/distance questions • How long to drive to work? (36 minutes 40 min/half an hour) – Income/spending questions • What is your annual income? (31,450 30,000/32,000) • Histograms show apparent spikes or ‘heaps’ at certain values NCRM is funded by the Economic and Social Research Council 4 2 Data used: • National Travel Survey (2002-2008) – Household level • Information on interviewer (paradata) – Administrative information – Admin block • Middle Super Output Areas (MSOA) characteristics (derived from Census 2001) NCRM is funded by the Economic and Social Research Council 5 How long…? • ‘How long would it take (me) to walk to the nearest railway station’? • ‘How long would it take (me) to get to the nearest shop selling groceries on foot or by public transport, using whichever is the quickest?’ • In total 3 ‘transport’ items and 6 ‘amenities’ items. • Strong evidence of heaping: NCRM is funded by the Economic and Social Research Council 6 3 Nearest grocery store 10000 9000 8000 7000 6000 5000 4000 3000 2000 1000 0 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 40 45 50 55 60 7 NCRM is funded by the Economic and Social Research Council Nearest hospital 2500 2000 1500 1000 500 0 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 NCRM is funded by the Economic and Social Research Council 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90 8 4 Do interviewers ‘satisfice’? • Evidence from the process data (paradata): – How long did it take to place and explain the diary? – How long did it take to pick up and check the diary(ies)? • Visible heaps at the multiples of 5 minutes 9 NCRM is funded by the Economic and Social Research Council How long did it take to pick up and check the diary(ies)? 8000 7000 6000 5000 4000 3000 2000 1000 0 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 NCRM is funded by the Economic and Social Research Council 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90 10 5 Research question • Do heaping interviewers encourage heaping behavior among their respondents? NCRM is funded by the Economic and Social Research Council 11 Methods • Constructed ‘heaping’ indicators for respondents and interviewers • Multilevel multinomial ordered x-classified model (estimated using MlwiN and MCMC) – Interviewer and area effect separated – Control for area and respondent characteristics – Control for remoteness NCRM is funded by the Economic and Social Research Council 12 6 Heaping indicator • If the reply is a multiple of 5 then score ‘1’ / ‘0’ otherwise • For the respondent: average taken over 3 transport items and average taken over 6 amenities items • Two dependent variables are ordered discrete variables with four categories: – – – – High heapers Medium heapers Low heapers No heapers • For the interviewer: average taken over 2 admin block items and then over all interviews conducted – continuous independent variable 13 NCRM is funded by the Economic and Social Research Council Distribution of the dependent variables: 55.7% 54.9% 30.9% 25.9% 16.8% 11.9% 1.5% High heapers Medium heapers Transport NCRM is funded by the Economic and Social Research Council Low Heapers 2.5% No heapers Amenities 14 7 1. Interviewer random effect • Interviewer’s effect on the satisficing variables: – Transport • interviewer related variance – 5.3% • area related variance – 7.2% – Amenities • interviewer related variance – 7.3% • area related variance – 4.2% NCRM is funded by the Economic and Social Research Council 15 2. Interviewer’s characteristics • Include: – NTS experience (number of NTS administrations) – Age in 2010 – Gender • None of them affect the transport satisficing variable • Male interviewers encourage less heaping than female interviewers on the amenities satisficing variable NCRM is funded by the Economic and Social Research Council 16 8 3. Effect of interviewer’s heaping Transport: Logit (probability of being a high heaper) = -1.656 + 0.664 x Int.Heapingl + hjkl Amenities: Logit (probability of being a high heaper) = -0.246 + 0.666 x Int.Heapingl + hjkl Interviewer heaping indicator ranges from 0.16 to 1; average 0.831 17 NCRM is funded by the Economic and Social Research Council Predicted probabilities of being a high heaper 60.2% 57.5% 52.1% 46.5% 17.5% 0.16 24.6% 20.8% 0.5 Transport 0.831 26.7% 1 Amenities X axis – the interviewer heaping indicator NCRM is funded by the Economic and Social Research Council 18 9 Conclusions • Interviewers influence respondent’s satisficing behaviour measured by heaping • Interviewer’s characteristics in general do not influence the respondent’s satisficing • Interviewer’s own satisficing behaviour affects (increases) respondent’s satisficing • Implications for survey practice NCRM is funded by the Economic and Social Research Council 19 10
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