GAUSSIAN COMPARISON LEMMA 1. Gaussian Comparision Lemma Lemma 1.1. Let G : Rn → R be a bounded, twice continuously differentiable function with bounded derivatives ∂G(x) ∂G(x) Gi (x) = 1 6 i 6 n and Gij = 1 6 i, j 6 n. ∂xi ∂xi ∂xj If X ∼ Nn (0, ΣX ) and Y ∼ Nn (0, ΣY ) are normal random vectors then Z 1 n 1 X E G(Y) − E G(X) = ∆ij E Gij (Xt ) dt 2 0 i,j=1 where ∆ij = E Yi Yj −E Xi Xj = (ΣY − ΣX )ij and Xt ∼ Nn (0, Σt ) with Σt := (1−t) ΣX +t ΣY . Proof: Assume without loss of generality that X and Y are independent. For each t ∈ [0, 1] define the random vector Xt = (1 − t)1/2 X + t1/2 Y and the associated function ϕ(t) = E G(Xt ). Note that X0 = X, X1 = Y, and that Xt ∼ Nn (0, Σt ), where Σt is defined as in the statement of the lemma. Thus Z 1 E G(Y) − E G(X) = ϕ(1) − ϕ(0) = ϕ0 (t) dt, 0 and it suffices to show that for each t ∈ (0, 1) phipr0 ϕ0 (t) = (1.1) n 1 X ∆ij E Gij (Xt ). 2 i,j=1 1/2 To this end, fix t ∈ (0, 1) and note that Xt is distributed as Σt Z where Z ∼ N (0, I) is a standard normal random vector with independent components. To simplify notation, let 1/2 At := Σt . It follows from our regularity assumptions and the chain rule that " n # X d d d E G(At Z) = E G(At Z) = E Gi (At Z) (At Z)i ϕ0 (t) = dt dt dt i=1 phipr1 (1.2) = n X (A0t )ij E (Zj Gi (At Z)) , i,j=1 A0t where denotes the entry-by-entry derivative of the matrix At . Fix i, j for the moment and define the function Hij (s) := E Gi (At Zs ) where Zs := (Z1 , · · · , Zj−1 , s, Zj+1 , · · · , Zn ). Date: April 2017. 1 2 GAUSSIAN COMPARISON LEMMA It follows from a simple conditioning argument and Gaussian integration by parts that GIP (1.3) E [Zj Gi (At Z)] = E [Zj Hij (Zj )] = E Hij0 (Zj ). By another application of the chain rule, n X d d Hij0 (s) = E Gi (At Zs ) = E Gik (At Zs ) (At Zs )k ds dt k=1 = n X (At )jk E Gik (At Zs ). k=1 Thus, as Z1 , . . . , Zn are independent, E Hij0 (Zj ) = n X (At )jk E Gik (At Z). k=1 Combining this last equation with (1.2), we find that n n X X 0 ϕ (t) = E Gik (At Z) · (A0t )ij (At )jk phipr2 = (1.4) i,k=1 n X j=1 E Gik (Xt ) · (A0t At )ik . i,k=1 atsq Recalling that At = and A0t are symmetric, 1/2 Σt , (1.5) (A2t )0 = A0t At + At A0t = A0t At + (A0t At )T . it is easy to see that (A2t )0ik = (Σt )0ik = ∆ik . Furthermore, as At Fix 1 6 i < k 6 n. Continuity of the second partial derivatives ensures that Gik = Gki , and therefore E Gik (Xt ) · (A0t At )ik + E Gki (Xt ) · (A0t At )ki = E Gik (Xt ) (A0t At )ik + (A0t At )ki = E Gik (Xt ) (A2t )0ik = E Gik (Xt ) ∆ik , where the penultimate equality follows from (1.5). A similar argument shows that (A0t At )ii = ∆ii /2. Thus (1.1) follows from (1.2), and the proof is complete. GAUSSIAN COMPARISON LEMMA eq:g1 :biv-norm-tail eq:zzr0 eq:zzr1 eq:zzr2 3 1.1. Further Reading: Gaussian Tail Bounds. Let Φ̄(x) = 1 − Φ(x) where Φ(x) is the cumulative distribution function of the standard Gaussian distribution. Recall that for x > 0, 1 2 Φ̄(x) 6 √ e−x /2 . (1.6) 2πx The proof of Theorem ?? requires an inequality for the probability that two correlated Gaussian random variables each exceeds a common threshold. Lemma 1.2. Let (Z, Zρ ) be jointly Gaussian random variables with mean 0, variance 1, and correlation E(ZZρ ) = ρ ∈ (−1, 1). Then for any u > 0, (1 + ρ)2 p (1.7) P(Z > u, Zρ > u) 6 exp −u2 /(1 + ρ) . 2πu2 1 − ρ2 Proof of Lemma 1.2. Fix u > 0. When ρ > 0 the proof follows from known inequalities in the literature (see R. Willink, Bounds on the bivariate normal distribution function, Comm. Statist. Theory Methods 33 (2004), pp.2281-2297). Here we consider the case ρ < 0. Note p that we may write Zρ = ρZ + 1 − ρ2 Z 0 , where Z 0 is a standard Gaussian random variable independent of Z. By conditioning on the value of Z, it is easy to see that Z ∞ u − ρt . (1.8) P(Z > u, Zρ > u) = Φ̄ (g(t)) φ(t) dt where g(t) = p 1 − ρ2 u Now define r 1−ρ 2 η= and h(x) = ex /2 Φ̄(x). 1+ρ √ 2 /2 0 x As h (x) = x e Φ̄(x) − 1/ 2π, inequality (1.6) implies that h(x) is decreasing for x > 0. It follows from equation (1.8) that Z ∞ 2 (1.9) P(Z > u, Zρ > u) = e−g(t) /2 h(g(t)) φ(t) dt u Z ∞ 6 h(g(u)) 2 /2 e−g(t) φ(t) dt u Z ∞ = h(ηu) 2 /2 e−g(t) φ(t) dt, u where in the last step we have used the fact that g(u) = ηu. Routine algebra and a change of variables establishes that Z ∞ Z ∞ 1 (t − ρu)2 −g(t)2 /2 −u2 /2 √ exp − e φ(t) dt = e (1.10) dt 2(1 − ρ2 ) 2π u u p 2 1 − ρ2 e−u /2 Φ̄(ηu). = Combining (1.9), (1.11), and inequality (1.6) yields the bound (1.7), as desired.
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