The Practice of Statistics – 9.2 examples I’m a Great Free-Throw Shooter! (page 565) Checking conditions Check the conditions for performing a significance test of the virtual basketball player’s claim. I’m a Great Free-Throw Shooter! (page 556-557) Computing the test statistic In an SRS of 50 free throws, the virtual player made 32. (a) Calculate the test statistic. (b) Find the P-value using Table A or technology. Show this result as an area under a standard Normal curve. One Potato, Two Potato (page 559) Performing a significance test about p The potato-chip producer of Section 9.1 has just received a truckload of potatoes from its main supplier. Recall that if the producer finds convincing evidence that more than 8% of the potatoes in the shipment have blemishes, the truck will be sent away to get another load from the supplier. A supervisor selects a random sample of 500 potatoes from the truck. An inspection reveals that 47 of the potatoes have blemishes. Carry out a significance test at the = 0.05 significance level. What should the producer conclude? STATE: PLAN: DO: CONCLUDE: Nonsmokers (page 562) A two-sided test According to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) Web site, 50% of high school students have never smoked a cigarette. Taeyeon wonders whether this national result holds true in his large, urban high school. For his AP® Statistics class project, Taeyeon surveys an SRS of 150 students from his school. He gets responses from all 150 students, and 90 say that they have never smoked a cigarette. What should Taeyeon conclude? Give appropriate evidence to support your answer. STATE: PLAN: DO: CONCLUDE: Nonsmokers (page 563) A confidence interval gives more info Taeyeon found that 90 of an SRS of 150 students said that they had never smoked a cigarette. We checked the conditions for performing the significance test earlier. Before we construct a confidence interval for the population proportion p, we should check that both n p̂ and n (1 − p̂ ) are at least 10. n p̂ = n (1 − p̂ )= Our 95% confidence interval is Perfect Potatoes (page 565-566) Type II error and power The potato-chip producer wonders whether the significance test of H0: p = 0.08 versus Ha: p > 0.08 based on a random sample of 500 potatoes has enough power to detect a shipment with, say, 11% blemished potatoes. In this case, a particular Type II error is to fail to reject H0: p = 0.08 when p = 0.11. Figure 9.10 shows two sampling distributions of p̂ , one when p = 0.08 and the other when p = 0.11. Figure 9.10 In the bottom graph, the power of the test (shaded area) is the probability that it correctly rejects H0: p = 0.08 when the truth is p = 0.11. In this case, power = 0.7626. The probability of making a Type II error (white area) is 1 − 0.7626 = 0.2374.
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