Ecological Indicators 23 (2012) 211–219 Contents lists available at SciVerse ScienceDirect Ecological Indicators journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/ecolind Light thresholds derived from seagrass loss in the coastal zone of the northern Great Barrier Reef, Australia C.J. Collier a,∗ , M. Waycott a,1 , L.J. McKenzie b a b School of Marine and Tropical Biology, James Cook University, Angus Smith Dve, Townsville Qld 4811, Australia Fisheries Queensland, Department of Employment, Economic Development and Innovation, Northern Fisheries Centre, 38-40 Tingira St., Portsmith, Cairns, Qld 4870, Australia a r t i c l e i n f o Article history: Received 2 December 2011 Received in revised form 30 March 2012 Accepted 2 April 2012 Keywords: Seagrass Light requirements Water quality Thresholds Guidelines Halodule uninervis a b s t r a c t There is a world-wide trend for deteriorating water quality and light levels in the coastal zone, and this has been linked to declines in seagrass abundance. Localized management of seagrass meadow health requires that water quality guidelines for meeting seagrass growth requirements are available. Tropical seagrass meadows are diverse and can be highly dynamic and we have used this dynamism to identify light thresholds in multi-specific meadows dominated by Halodule uninervis in the northern Great Barrier Reef, Australia. Seagrass cover was measured at ∼3 month intervals from 2008 to 2011 at three sites: Magnetic Island (MI) Dunk Island (DI) and Green Island (GI). Photosynthetically active radiation was continuously measured within the seagrass canopy, and three light metrics were derived. Complete seagrass loss occurred at MI and DI and at these sites changes in seagrass cover were correlated with the three light metrics. Mean daily irradiance (Id ) above 5 and 8.4 mol m−2 d−1 was associated with gains in seagrass at MI and DI, however a significant correlation (R = 0.649, p < 0.05) only occurred at MI. The second metric, percent of days below 3 mol m−2 d−1 , correlated the most strongly (MI, R = −0.714, p < 0.01 and DI, R = −0.859, p = <0.001) with change in seagrass cover with 16–18% of days below 3 mol m−2 d−1 being associated with more than 50% seagrass loss. The third metric, the number of hours of light saturated irradiance (Hsat ) was calculated using literature-derived data on saturating irradiance (Ek ). Hsat correlated well (R = 0.686, p < 0.01; and DI, R = 0.704, p < 0.05) with change in seagrass abundance, and was very consistent between the two sites as 4 Hsat was associated with increases in seagrass abundance at both sites, and less than 4 Hsat with more than 50% loss. At the third site (GI), small seasonal losses of seagrass quickly recovered during the growth season and the light metrics did not correlate (p > 0.05) with change in percent cover, except for Id which was always high, but correlated with change in seagrass cover. Although distinct light thresholds were observed, the departure from threshold values was also important. For example, light levels that are well below the thresholds resulted in more severe loss of seagrass than those just below the threshold. Environmental managers aiming to achieve optimal seagrass growth conditions can use these threshold light metrics as guidelines; however, other environmental conditions, including seasonally varying temperature and nutrient availability, will influence seagrass responses above and below these thresholds. © 2012 Published by Elsevier Ltd. 1. Introduction Seagrass meadows are a critical element in tropical coastal ecosystems for a number of reasons: they form habitat for diverse fauna and flora and they are food for herbivores, including endangered turtles, dugongs and manatees (Sheppard et al., 2010); they support the productivity of adjacent coral reefs and mangroves ∗ Corresponding author. Tel.: +61 7 4781 5745; fax: +61 7 4725 1570. E-mail address: [email protected] (C.J. Collier). 1 Current address: School of Earth and Environmental Sciences, The University of Adelaide, Adelaide, SA 5001, Australia. 1470-160X/$ – see front matter © 2012 Published by Elsevier Ltd. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolind.2012.04.005 through energy and material subsidies (Heck et al., 2008); and, they support fauna that are critical for the food security of many tropical nations (Unsworth and Cullen, 2010). In addition, their primary productivity drives coastal nutrient cycling (Costanza et al., 1997), they stabilize sediment and they are biochemical and hydrodynamic modifiers of their local environment (Marbà et al., 2006). Their role in the coastal zone is therefore unquestionable and yet, we do not know enough about their basic growth requirements to provide environmental managers with the information needed to protect them, particularly so for tropical seagrass meadows (Waycott et al., 2005). Seagrass loss has become a global concern with accelerating rates of loss over the previous decades placing them amongst 212 C.J. Collier et al. / Ecological Indicators 23 (2012) 211–219 the most threatened habitats in the world (Orth et al., 2006; Waycott et al., 2009). The causes of loss are both anthropogenic and natural but most commonly result from reductions in water quality (Waycott et al., 2009). Water quality reductions are particularly devastating to seagrass meadows because losses can be widespread, and chronic. In the Great Barrier Reef (GBR), water quality is a strong driver of ecosystem health and biodiversity (De’ath and Fabricius, 2010). For seagrass meadows, low light levels associated with poor water quality are thought to be the primary factor limiting the growth of coastal seagrasses (Waycott et al., 2005). Because of its strongly influential role in modifying ecosystem processes, there are large watershed and land use management programs in place to improve the quality of water entering the GBR (DPC, 2011). For the localized management of water quality, guidelines indicate levels at which, if exceeded, could result in unacceptable ecosystem harm (GBRMPA, 2009). Exceeding these values should trigger action to minimize harm. In order for guidelines to be developed, basic ecosystem health requirements are needed. We know that light availability is a critical determinant of seagrass growth and abundance (Ralph et al., 2007), however we do not really know how much light is enough for many habitats. As light requirements are not known for many seagrass species, particularly locally-specific thresholds, they are frequently not included in guidelines. Alternatively, guidelines are set against species in different ecosystems for which more data is available, such as coral reefs, under the assumption that they will protect other adjacent habitat, such as seagrass (GBRMPA, 2009; De’ath and Fabricius, 2010). Furthermore, surrogate indicators of light such as turbidity or secchi depth are frequently adopted, but these are difficult to apply in shallow ecosystems, where changing sea level alters the impact of turbidity (Sofonia and Unsworth, 2009). Seagrass meadows are highly dynamic marine habitats and tropical seagrass meadows exemplify their dynamic nature (Waycott et al., 2005). Cycles of meadow development and loss are thought to be a natural part of the system, but have been rarely documented (Birch and Birch, 1984; Campbell and McKenzie, 2004). The frequency and intensity of these cycles in seagrass loss and meadow development are exacerbated by anthropogenic activities, which have increased the stressors on these systems (Grech et al., Fig. 1. Study sites of Green Island, Dunk Island and Magnetic Island in the northern Great Barrier Reef, Australia and the rivers and their water sheds (grey fill) that primarily influence water quality at the study sites. C.J. Collier et al. / Ecological Indicators 23 (2012) 211–219 2011). Tropical seagrass meadows are also complex and spatially variable (Carruthers et al., 2002; Waycott et al., 2011). This makes it difficult to apply standard techniques for the establishment of basic growth requirements. For example, minimum light requirements (MLR) can be determined by measuring light at the long-term depth limit of seagrass meadows (Dennison et al., 1993), but only if the meadow edge is clearly defined and relatively static which is rarely the case in the dynamic seagrass habitats of the GBR. Alternatively, using experimental approaches, light treatments are applied and responses detected, but this approach is limited by treatment resolution (Ruiz and Romero, 2001; Collier et al., 2009; Lavery et al., 2009; Collier et al., in press). The objectives of this work were to measure light levels that indicate integrated and ecologically harmful conditions for tropical seagrass meadows. In this study we utilize the dynamic nature of seagrass meadows to measure light conditions associated with seagrass loss and gain. We measured changes in seagrass cover over four years from 2008 to 2011 and correlated it with three light metrics. This monitoring period was associated with the incremental decline in seagrass cover at two of the three locations, which ended in the complete disappearance of seagrass at the monitoring sites in 2011. 2. Methods 2.1. Study sites Data collection began in 2008 at three island locations in the northern Great Barrier Reef, Australia (Fig. 1). The study sites were located at Magnetic Island (MI, −1.5 m below lowest astronomical tide; −19◦ 10.9, 146◦ 50.6), Dunk Island (DI, −0.9 m below LAT, −17◦ 55.9 146◦ 08.4), and Green Island (GI, −1.2 m below LAT, −16◦ 45.5, 145◦ 58.4) (Fig. 1). The study sites were nearshore reef habitats, with varying degrees of influence from terrigenous run-off. The species composition at the study sites was variable and the only species to occur at all sites was Halodule uninervis, which is common throughout the Indo-west Pacific (Waycott et al., 2004). 2.2. River discharge River discharge data from 1975 to 2011 were obtained for the rivers that have the greatest influence over the study sites (Devlin et al., in press). Data were sourced from the State Government of Queensland, Department of Environment and Resource Management. These are the Mulgrave River, affecting Green Island, the Tully River, affecting Dunk Island, and the Burdekin River, affecting Magnetic Island (Fig. 1). River discharge was totaled for each month and a monthly average from 1975 to 2011, and average from 2009 to 2011 was derived to compare recent discharge (previous 3 years) with the long-term average. 213 Total seagrass cover, as well as the percentage of each species present, were recorded in each quadrat. Mean total percent cover and percent of each species, was generated for each site and each time. Change in percent cover was calculated from one sampling event to another according to the following equation [%CovT 2 − %CovT 1 ] × 100 %CovT 2 (1) where %CovT1 and %CovT2 are the total percent cover at the first and second measurement time in a row. 2.4. Light measurements Photosynthetically active radiation (PAR) was measured continuously at all sites from the start of the measurement period. Light loggers (2 light loggers; Submersible Odyssey Photosynthetic Irradiance Recording System, Dataflow Systems Pty Ltd., New Zealand) were installed at seagrass canopy height. The loggers were attached to a star picket, which held the sensor at seagrass canopy height (∼15 cm from the sediment surface). PAR was recorded every 30 min. Light loggers were calibrated against a certified reference PAR sensor ((LI-CORTM LI-192SB Underwater Quantum Sensor) in controlled laboratory conditions. A custombuilt calibration device held the light loggers a consistent distance from the source light and excluded all external light. The loggers were calibrated before each deployment. Because the light loggers were calibrated in air, a multiplication factor of 1.33 was applied to data to allow for the differences in light absorption properties between air (calibration medium) and water (deployment media) (Kirk, 1994). The light loggers were checked and/or replaced every 6–12 weeks, i.e. on each biological sampling event and at one time in between sampling events. Each light logger had a custom-made wiper unit to keep the sensor clean while deployed. Some fouling of the sensors still occurred, therefore, duplicate light loggers (i.e. two at each site) were deployed resulting in one redundant data set. If one logger or wiper unit failed, data from the other logger was used. Despite this added to effort to ensure continuous light data some data gaps exist where both systems failed for short periods. If minor epiphyte fouling of the light sensor occurred (0–25% of the sensor covered) because the wiper was not working effectively (as opposed to not working at all), the data were corrected. A linear back-calculation was applied to the data to compensate for the light absorbing properties of the epiphytes. A linear calculation was applied, as opposed to an exponential (growth) calculation, as the wiper retards the rate of epiphyte growth even when not working effectively. If epiphyte cover was greater than 25%, the data were excluded in the analysis as there is a reduced confidence in its quality and our ability to make appropriate adjustments. If the sensor was fouled from sediment being deposited on the sensor, the data was also excluded as it was not possible to estimate the rates and dynamics of sediment deposition and removal. 2.3. Seagrass cover 2.5. Describing the light environment Seagrass cover (percent of sediment surface covered in seagrass) was measured approximately every 3 months, or as weather conditions permitted. Seagrass cover was measured on self-contained underwater breathing apparatus (SCUBA). Three parallel transects were established at each site. The start of each transect was permanently marked with a star picket. Percent cover was estimated within a 50 × 50 cm quadrat every 5 m starting from 0 to 50 m (i.e. 11 quadrats per transect; 33 in total for each site) (McKenzie et al., 2001; http://www.seagrasswatch.org/monitoring.html). Transects were 2–3 m apart from each other for logistical purposes of SCUBA diving in often poor visibility and were aligned along the depth contour. 30 min PAR data were converted to total daily irradiance. Daily irradiance was then averaged for the full duration between seagrass percent cover measures (∼3 months). This gave an average daily irradiance (Id ), which was correlated against change in seagrass cover over the same monitoring period. Frequency distributions for Id were calculated with daily irradiance ranging from 0 to 14+ mol m−2 d−1 at increasing increments of 1 mol m−2 d−1 (i.e. number of days <1 mol m−2 d−1 , <2 mol m−2 d−1 , up to 14+ mol m−2 d−1 ). The frequency distribution of Id was calculated for each sampling period of approximately 3 months, i.e. the same duration over which percent cover was measured. The 214 C.J. Collier et al. / Ecological Indicators 23 (2012) 211–219 Table 1 Values of the half-saturation constant (Ek ) and the ambient light intensity when Ek was measured from published and unpublished sources, and the median diurnal peak in irradiance at each site used to derive site adapted Ek value. Location Ek (mol m−2 s−1 ) Light intensity (mol m−2 s−1 ) Reference Mesocosm Mesocosm Mesocosm Mesocosm Mesocosm Mesocosm Mesocosm Mesocosm Mesocosm Mesocosm Mesocosm Mesocosm In situ In situ 57.1 159.7 191.4 199.5 190.7 251.5 331.9 345.4 163.9 426.0 425.2 329.1 601.0 548.3 40.0 140.7 153.6 172.1 270.9 306.0 347.3 361.3 400.0 590.9 638.3 680.8 865.0 998.0 Collier et al. (2011) Collier (unpub.) Collier (unpub.) Collier (unpub.) Collier (unpub.) Collier (unpub.) Collier (unpub.) Collier (unpub.) Collier et al. (2011) Collier (unpub.) Collier (unpub.) Collier (unpub.) Campbell et al. (2007) Campbell et al. (2007) Location Median of maximum light (mol m−2 s−1 ) Site-adapted Ek Green Island Dunk Island Magnetic Island 531.9 409.2 275.1 231.7 229.2 159.7 Data sources: (Campbell et al., 2007; Collier et al., 2011) and C. Collier, unpublished data. proportion of days within each incremental range of Id (% of days) was then correlated against change in seagrass cover over the same sampling period. The range in Id that had the highest correlation with change in percent cover was used to describe light thresholds in terms of frequency of days at or below that irradiance. Hours of saturating irradiance (Hsat ) were calculated for the measurement period (i.e. ∼3 months) using published and unpublished values for the half-saturation constant of seagrass photosynthesis (Ek ). The full set of available Ek data for H. uninervis were collated (Table 1). There is a wide range in the reported Ek values as the photosystems adapt to their light environment (Ralph and Gademann, 2005) and Ek data from high light sites (e.g. Green Island and Lizard Island (Campbell et al., 2007)) were substantially higher than those held under constant low light (Collier et al., 2011). To estimate an appropriate Ek value to apply for each site, the median maximum daily light intensity was calculated for each site. Ek values for the corresponding light intensity were averaged up to the median value. This resulted in a literature-derived Ek value that was tailored to the light conditions of the site. The number of hours above Ek in each day was then calculated (HSat ). This is a species-specific measure that was generated for H. uninervis only, as it was a dominant species and it occurred at all sites. Hsat was therefore correlated against change in H. uninervis abundance only, whereas the other two light metrics were correlated against change in total seagrass abundance. The relationship between change in seagrass cover and the light indices were calculated using linear regression in SPSS 19.0. 3. Results 3.1. River discharge The wet seasons (January–March) of 2009–2011 had elevated discharge from rivers adjacent to the study sites compared to the long-term average (Fig. 2). This was particularly evident in the discharge from the Tully and Burdekin Rivers, which have an influence over the water quality at DI and MI, respectively. Furthermore, Tropical Cyclone Yasi crossed the coast near Tully in the northern GBR on 3rd February 2011. This brought devastating winds and Table 2 Light at the study sites including maximum daily instantaneous irradiance (I InstMax , mol m−2 s−1 ), mean daily instantaneous irradiance (mol m−2 s−1 ) and total daily irradiance (Id , mol m−2 d−1 ) at each site for the duration of the study. Values are means for the duration of the study with standard deviation in parenthesis. GI DI MI I InstMax I InstAv Id 526.8 (187.7) 340.0 (207.2) 280.8 (164.5) 122.8 (53.4) 86.1 (48.9) 61.2 (38.7) 10.6 (4.5) 7.4 (4.2) 5.3 (3.3) heavy rainfall to regions south of Tully, including DI and to a lesser extent, MI. 3.2. Seagrass cover All sites began as healthy, multispecies seagrass meadows. At MI there was substantial seagrass loss with a starting cover of 47%, comprised largely of Cymodocea serrulata and Halodule uninervis, which peaked at 54% in November 2008 and then declined thereafter to 0% in May 2011 (Fig. 3). The DI site had characteristics of a recovering meadow when monitoring began as it was dominated by Halodule uninervis and Halophila ovalis with only few Cymodocea serrulata shoots. At DI, seagrass cover started at 3%, reached 7% in December 2009 and declined to 0% after Tropical Cyclone Yasi (3 February 2011). However, the meadows at DI were in a strongly declining trajectory prior to TC Yasi. The seagrass losses observed at DI and MI, were typical of trends throughout the southern and central GBR over this period (McKenzie et al., in press). The largest declines occurred in the wet season (January–March) or just after the wet season (Fig. 3). Seagrass cover at GI was variable but largely stable over 2008–2011 (Fig. 3). Seagrass cover at GI underwent seasonal declines whereby cover was lowest in winter (around July) and peaked just prior to or early in the wet season. At GI, seagrass cover did not decline by more than 50% at any one time, therefore losses of greater than 50% at the other two sites were taken to be ‘atypical’ (McKenzie et al., 1998) and were used to derive thresholds associated with losses of concern. 3.3. Light Daily irradiance (Id ) at the three sites differed from each other during the measurement period (2008–2011). At GI mean Id was 10.6 mol m−2 d−1 and maximum daily instantaneous irradiance (I InstMax ) was on average 526.8 mol m−2 s−1 (Table 2). Id at DI was lower at 7.4 mol m−2 d−1 on average and I InstMax was 340.0 mol m−2 s−1 . MI had the poorest light conditions with Id being half of GI at 5.3 mol m−2 d−1 on average and I InstMax was 280.8 mol m−2 s−1 . 3.4. Seagrass cover and light correlations Change in total seagrass cover correlated significantly with total daily irradiance (Id ) at MI, but not at the other sites (Fig. 4). Increases in seagrass cover occurred at Id ranging from 5 to 8.4 mol m−2 d−1 (Fig. 4, Table 3). At DI and MI – the two sites where substantial seagrass loss occurred – losses of more than 50% were associated with average Id below 8.2 and 5.2 mol m−2 d−1 . At DI, although there was not a significant trend between change in seagrass cover and Id , there were clear distinctions in daily irradiance leading to loss (less than 8.2 mol m−2 d−1 ) and gain (greater than 8.4 mol m−2 d−1 ). There is a small gap in between these thresholds (8.2–8.4 mol m−2 d−1 for which we recorded no change in seagrass cover. At GI, there was considerable overlap in the irradiance leading to loss or gain, and average daily irradiance was always above 7.1 mol m−2 d−1 . C.J. Collier et al. / Ecological Indicators 23 (2012) 211–219 215 Fig. 2. River discharge from the rivers that primarily influence water quality at the study sites. The Mulgrave River, near Green Island, the Tully River near Dunk Island, and the Burdekin River near Magnetic Island showing monthly totals for (2009–2011) in solid lines and long-term monthly average (1975–2011) in dashed lines. Data courtesy of the State Government of Queensland, Department of Environment and Resource Management. Change in seagrass cover was also correlated against frequency of days when daily irradiance was <1 mol m−2 d−1 through to <14 mol m−2 d−1 in 1 mol m−2 d−1 increments (Table 4). At MI, change in seagrass cover correlated highly with frequency of days when daily irradiance was <1 through to <7 mol m−2 d−1 . However, the strongest correlation was for frequency of days (%) below 3–5 mol m−2 d−1 . At DI, change in seagrass cover correlated with frequency of days where daily irradiance was <1 through to <6 mol m−2 d−1 but the highest correlation was for % days below 2–4 mol m−2 d−1 . We based our threshold values on % days below 3 mol m−2 d−1 for both sites (Table 3, Fig. 5), but also describe the threshold values for the other highly correlated light levels. At MI, Id below 3, 4 and 5 mol m−2 d−1 for 18%, 51% and 78% of days or more, was associated with more than 50% loss of seagrass cover. At DI Id below 2, 3 and 4 mol m−2 d− 1 for 10%, 16% and 22% of days were associated with losses greater than 50%. There were also good correlations between change in seagrass cover and hours of light saturated irradiance (HSat , Fig. 6). Change in the cover of H. uninervis correlated with Hsat at MI and DI. Furthermore, there were distinct differences in HSat associated with H. uninervis gain and loss and they were consistent between sites. Gains in H. uninervis at MI and DI occurred above 3.7 and 4.2 h and losses greater than 50% occurred below 3.9 and 4.2 h (Table 2). The GI subtidal site has a similar cut-off associated with gains in H. uninervis (4.5 h), however, there was considerable overlap between light levels associated with gain and loss at GI. GI 60 40 20 Percent cover 0 DI 60 40 20 0 MI 60 40 20 0 Jan Apr Jul 2008 Oct Jan Apr Jul 2009 Oct Jan Apr Jul 2010 Oct Jan Apr Jul Oct Jan 2011 Fig. 3. Total seagrass cover (bold circles) and cover of Halodule uninervis (white triangles) in permanent transects at Green Island (GI), Dunk Island (DI) and Magnetic Island (MI) from 2008 to 2011. 216 C.J. Collier et al. / Ecological Indicators 23 (2012) 211–219 Change in total seagrass cover (%) 200 GI DI MI 150 R = 0.639 p < 0.05 100 R = 0.649 p < 0.05 R = 0.537 p =n.s. 50 0 -50 -100 2 0 4 6 8 10 12 14 0 2 4 Id (mol m-2 d-1) 6 8 10 12 14 0 2 4 Id (mol m-2 d-1) 6 8 10 12 14 Id (mol m-2 d-1) Fig. 4. Change in daily irradiance (Id , mol m−2 d−1 ) reaching seagrass canopy height and change in total seagrass cover between monitoring times (∼3 months) at Green Island (GI), Dunk Island (DI) and Magnetic Island (MI) for the period 2008–2011. 200 GI DI MI Change in seagrass cover (%) 150 100 R=-0.459 p=n.s. R=-0.859 p<0.001 R=-0.714 p<0.01 50 0 -50 -100 0 20 40 60 100 0 80 20 40 60 100 0 80 20 40 60 80 100 Days below 3mol m-2 d-1 (%) Fig. 5. Percent of days when daily irradiance was lower than 3 mol m−2 d−1 and change in seagrass cover between monitoring times (∼3 months) at Green Island (GI), Dunk Island (DI) and Magnetic Island (MI) for the period 2008–2011. 4. Discussion occurred. We identified three different light metrics that correlated with changes in seagrass cover and we identified critical thresholds associated with seagrass loss and gain. Exceedance of these thresholds occurred at two out of the three monitoring sites (MI and DI) during successive wet season events that led to seagrass loss. This study presents a unique approach to identifying light thresholds from real-time changes in subtidal seagrass cover, among a variety of locations where complete seagrass loss had Change in H. univeris cover (%) 200 GI DI MI 150 100 50 R = 0.349 p > n.s. R = 0.704 p < 0.05 R = 0.686 p < 0.01 0 -50 -100 0 1 2 3 4 5 HSat (Hrs) 6 7 8 0 1 2 3 4 5 HSat (Hrs) 6 7 8 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 HSat (Hrs) Fig. 6. Mean HSat (∼3months) and change in the cover of H. uninervis over the same duration at Green Island, Dunk Island and Magnetic Island during the period 2008–2011. C.J. Collier et al. / Ecological Indicators 23 (2012) 211–219 Table 3 Light thresholds associated with seagrass loss (more than 50% loss) or gain at the three monitoring sites from January 2008 to May 2011 for total seagrass cover compared to daily irradiance (Id ) and days below 3 mol m−2 d−1 , and change in Halodule uninervis cover compared to mean hours of light saturated photosynthesis (Hsat ). Bold type indicates a significant correlation between change in seagrass cover and the light metric. Note that at Green Island there were no losses greater than 50%. Id (mol m−2 d−1 ) Location Max light levels leading to >50% loss – Green Island Dunk Island 8.2 Magnetic Island 4.0 Id (mol m−2 d−1 ) Location % of days below 3 mol m−2 d−1 H. uninervis (HSat ) – 15.9 18.1 – 4.2 3.9 Days above 3 mol m−2 d−1 H. uninervis (HSat ) Minimum light levels associated with seagrass gain 9.7 5.3 Green Island 8.4 10.8 Dunk Island 5.0 16.7 Magnetic Island 4.5 4.2 3.7 Bold type indicates that the relationship between seagrass cover and the light metric was significantly correlated (Figs. 4–6). The ‘thresholds’ identified in this study, are light levels required for the long-term survival of these tropical seagrass meadows, identified during ‘real-time’ loss of seagrass. Complete loss of seagrass after the wet season in 2011 occurred at DI and MI. These two sites showed clearly defined light levels that were associated with either seagrass loss or gain, i.e. losses occurred at very low light intensities that caused dramatic seagrass loss (i.e. greater than 50%) over the sampling periods. We suggest that for these sites, low light was probably the main cause of seagrass loss, given the good correlation between change in seagrass cover and our measured light indices. However, at DI and MI, low light periods tended to occur during the wet season when other flood-related impacts could also contribute to the stress (e.g. reduced salinity (Touchette, 2007). In contrast, at Green Island, there were periods of seagrass loss and gain that followed seasonal cycles (i.e., minimum cover in winter). Thus the fluctuations in seagrass cover did not result in any more than 50% loss at any time and were not associated with specific light levels. Despite this, Id at GI was significantly correlated with seasonal change in seagrass cover, suggesting that even in habitats with relatively clear water, light is an important environmental driver. There are a number of ways to derive light thresholds, including experimental manipulation of the light environment (in situ or in aquaria) (Grice et al., 1996; Thom et al., 2008; Collier et al., in press), derivation of compensation irradiance using O2 fluxes Table 4 Pearson correlation co-efficient (two-tailed) between percent of days within an increasing range (in mol m−2 d−1 increments) of daily irradiance (Id ) and change in total seagrass cover 3. Id range 0–1 0–2 0–3 0–4 0–5 0–6 0–7 0–8 0–9 0–10 0–11 0–12 0–13 0–14 Green Island Dunk Island Magnetic Island R2 p R2 p −0.436 −0.245 −0.459 −0.522 −0.609 −0.602 −0.532 −0.559 −0.539 −0.585 −0.600 −0.511 −0.502 −0.512 n.s. n.s. n.s. n.s. n.s. n.s. n.s. n.s. n.s. n.s. n.s. n.s. n.s. n.s. −0.661 −0.837 −0.859 −0.827 −0.744 −0.761 −0.63 −0.496 −0.172 −0.088 0.085 0.036 −0.111 0.079 <0.05 <0.01 <0.01 <0.01 <0.05 <0.05 n.s. n.s. n.s. n.s. n.s. n.s. n.s. n.s. R2 −0.622 −0.621 −0.718 −0.834 −0.772 −0.664 −0.616 −0.534 −0.597 −0.376 0 p <0.05 <0.05 <0.01 <0.001 <0.01 <0.01 <0.05 n.s. n.s n.s n.s 217 (photosynthesis–irradiance curves) (Masini and Manning, 1997; Thom et al., 2008) and maximum depth penetration (Dennison, 1987; Collier et al., 2007; Thom et al., 2008). In this paper, we outline an alternative approach, where the dynamic changes in seagrass abundance (i.e. loss and gains) were correlated with light metrics over the same duration. The benefits of this approach are that thresholds were recorded during real reductions in light. This allows natural features of the light environment to be captured such as changes in light colour, diurnal variation of incoming irradiance resulting from incoming solar insolation and tidal changes in sea level. This allows comparison with associated impacts such as increased run-off, elevated nutrients, and lower salinity (e.g. Devlin and Brodie, 2005). Furthermore, changes measured throughout the year will incorporate seasonal variability (e.g. changes in water temperature), accounting for these effects. This approach also measured meadow-scale responses and therefore removed “scaling-up” issues of small-scale experimental approaches. Disadvantages of our approach relate to the potential for other environmental changes associated with riverine discharge to cause changes in seagrass abundance thus limiting a more direct interpretation of change being caused by light reduction alone. However, we can infer from the good correlations at DI and MI that light was a very dominant factor. In contrast, experimental approaches would enable manipulation of individual factors such as light, albeit using artificial light reducing conditions. Our approach was not limited by treatment resolution to the same extent as during experimental manipulations; however, the method is restricted to light levels that occurred between sampling events. As a result there was not always a close overlap between light levels associated with gain and those with >50% loss. For example, at MI, >50% loss occurred at Id <4.0 mol m−2 d−1 while gains occurred at >5.0 mol m−2 d−1 . We would not necessarily expect these values to overlap exactly, given the loss is for >50% while gains are for any increase in seagrass abundance; however, we are left with a gap and a potential margin of error. Furthermore, significant loss of seagrass in these communities takes around 1.5 months (Collier et al., 2011), while our sampling frequency was every 3 months. Therefore, significant changes may have occurred within a portion of the measured intervals, although light metrics were derived from the entire 3 month duration. Despite these potential drawbacks, we have derived thresholds using three light metrics that are relatively consistent between MI and DI – the two sites where loss occurred – providing a robust starting point for ongoing refinement of thresholds. In addition to the detection of thresholds for the decline of seagrass cover, we were able to detect light thresholds associated with gains in seagrass abundance. These were: 5 mol m−2 d−1 at MI; 15.9 and 18.1 days below 3 mol m−2 d−1 at DI and MI and 3.7 and 4.2 Hsat at DI and MI. This is an important and applied outcome of this study as these are useful targets against which to set water quality guidelines to enable seagrass growth. Achieving these light levels will not necessarily assure gains in seagrass abundance as other environmental factors, such as water temperature, nutrient availability and disturbance regime are critical in affecting seagrass growth rates (Udy et al., 1999; Rasheed, 2004; Collier et al., 2011). However, as light is typically the primary growth limitation, if light levels can be achieved through management actions the first step in providing conditions for potential gains in seagrass abundance will be met. Because of this we would recommend that environmental managers use light levels associated with gains as a guideline value, rather than those associated with loss. 4.1. Daily irradiance Light levels associated with seagrass gain ranged from 5 mol m−2 d−1 at MI, to 8.4 mol m−2 d−1 at DI (though not 218 C.J. Collier et al. / Ecological Indicators 23 (2012) 211–219 significantly correlated to seagrass change at DI). This is slightly lower than the minimum light requirements identified for H. uninervis (the dominant species that also occurred at all sites) in the Gulf of Carpentaria in northern Queensland (Longstaff and Dennison, 1999) which was 9–12 mol photons m−2 d−1 (equating to 14–19% surface light) based on Id at the deepest edge of the meadow. However, in the field study of Longstaff and Dennison (1999), the meadows were intertidal and very shallow (0.1 m below lowest astronomical tide) and in these environments very large peaks in instantaneous irradiance can occur during low tide. These peaks increase mean Id but do not necessarily contribute equally to net carbon gain due to photosynthetic down-regulation, photosynthetic damage in high light or carbon limitation (Ralph and Gademann, 2005; Beer et al., 2006). Low light-adapted plants are particularly inefficient at high light intensities and so extremely high light levels, though contributing to Id do not translate into photosynthetic gain (Ralph and Gademann, 2005). Therefore, it is not surprising that the apparent MLR for very shallow turbid environments would be higher than those from subtidal habitats. The contribution of high peaks in instantaneous irradiance to averaged light conditions is probably one of the reasons that Id was not the most highly correlative metric derived here. 4.2. Frequency of low light days The strongest correlation with change in seagrass cover was found for the percent of days below 3 mol photons m−2 d−1 . At very low light levels, photosynthetic carbon gains are insufficient to meet respiratory requirements and so net carbon gain falls below the compensation point (Lee et al., 2007; Ralph et al., 2007). Seagrass plants make some adjustments to the efficiency with which they capture light and convert it to chemical energy (Ralph et al., 2007), however the effectiveness of this in improving photosynthetic carbon gain is limited and so plants will also draw on carbohydrate reserves to support respiratory and growth requirements (Collier et al., 2009). As low light conditions are prolonged, growth rates slow and plants drop leaves and shoots, thus reducing their abundance (Ralph et al., 2007; Collier et al., in press). This is relatively easy to demonstrate under constant low light conditions using experimental mesocosms. In natural conditions, light is highly variable and so very low light days may be interspersed with days when light levels are increased. This study has shown that, the percentage of days within specific ranges of Id correlates well with changes in seagrass abundance and can make a useful environmental indicator of impacts to seagrass meadows. Percentage of days below 3 mol photons m−2 d−1 correlated strongly with change in seagrass cover at MI and DI. If there are more than 15.9–18.1% of days below 3 mol photons m−2 d−1 then some seagrass loss can be expected, while 10.8–16.7% of days below 3 mol photons m−2 d−1 could lead to more than 50% loss of seagrass. There were reasonable correlations with days below 5, 4, 2 and 1 mol m−2 d−1 also. At the lower end of this range, i.e. frequency <2 mol photons m−2 d−1 , these extreme low light conditions are less frequent, and they may not be as useful in applied situations. The cause of site variability in mean Id and percent of days below Id between MI and DI remains unclear, however there are a number of possibilities. There were slight differences in the species composition at these sites. Early during the monitoring phase there was around 50% Cymodocea serrulata at MI, whereas DI was dominated by H. uninervis. This might account for some of the differences when looking at total change in seagrass abundance. However, most of the significant loss occurred when H. uninervis was dominant, so there may be population-level differences in the sensitivity of H. uninervis. It is not uncommon for species specific levels of adaptability to limit the capacity of plants to respond to changing environmental conditions. This adaptability is sometimes referred to as phenotypic plasticity and has been rarely measured in seagrasses. The sites could also vary in a number of other environmental features not captured here, including nutrient availability, exposure to salinity, sediment types, etc. Furthermore, this data set was based on seagrass monitoring at intervals over ∼3 months between 2008 and 2011. Therefore, it captured net change in abundance over the measured 3 month time intervals. There may have been more temporal variability that was not captured by the sampling frequency used here. Higher frequency of monitoring and an extended duration of monitoring should reveal if similar thresholds occur among sites. 4.3. HSat There was good correlation between change in seagrass abundance and hours of saturating irradiance (HSat ). This metric also showed very good consistency between sites. HSat differentiates between light limited and light saturated photosynthesis (Ralph and Gademann, 2005). In contrast, total daily light can be ‘swamped’ by high light intensities that can occur in the middle of the day but do not necessarily translate into increased photosynthesis as described above (Ralph et al., 2002; Ralph and Gademann, 2005; Beer et al., 2006). Adding to their more precise nature, HSat are developed from Ek values and are species-specific. This is important because different seagrass species have different minimum light requirements (Lee et al., 2007). Unfortunately due to complete seagrass loss at these sites we were unable to develop site-specific Ek , so they were generated from published and unpublished data from other studies. Greater than 4 Hsat was required for gains in H. uninervis. This is similar to findings for Halodule wrightii, in which 3–8 Hsat was required for seagrass growth (Dunton, 1994). Higher but more variable Hsat values have been reported for Zostera species, including 5.2 h (Thom et al., 2008), 7 h (Zimmerman et al., 1997) and 10 h (Dennison and Alberte, 1985; Dennison, 1987; Ruiz and Romero, 2001, 2003). Cumulative Hsat has also correlated well with seagrass responses (Lavery et al., 2009), but this metric could not be explored here as the time interval between sampling events was not always exactly the same duration and therefore cumulative indices could be skewed by the variable time intervals. Although Hsat did result in precise and consistent thresholds, the downside of using Hsat in guidelines, in an applied sense (e.g. for the environmental regulation), is that ideally you do need to have locally-generated Ek . If resources are available we would recommend that future monitoring include the measurement of a site-specific Ek values in order to generate locally-specific Hsat for inclusion as light thresholds. 5. Conclusions This study has identified three light metrics that can be used to describe changes in seagrass abundance. These thresholds can be applied as guideline trigger levels by environmental managers aiming to achieve optimal seagrass growth conditions. However, achieving these light levels would not necessarily lead to gains in seagrass, because, for example, there are natural cycles of loss associated with seasonal variability as seen at GI. Furthermore, there are other site-specific factors that also limit seagrass growth including nutrient availability. 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