3/30/2009 http://www.wendys.com/ 1 Strategic Management Case Study Tony Gauvin © Tony Gauvin, UMFK, 2009 WENDY’S 2007 OVERVIEW New Mission and Vision External Assessment Industry analysis Opportunities and threats EFE Matrix CPM Matrix Internal Assessment Strengths and weaknesses Financial Condition IFE Matrix Strategy Formulation SWOT Matrix Space Matrix IE Matrix Grand Strategy Matrix Matrix Analysis QSPM Matrix Strategic Plan for the Future Objectives Strategies Implementation Issues © Tony Gauvin, UMFK, 2009 A Brief history of Wendy’s Existing Mission and Vision Existing Objectives and Strategies Current Issues 3/30/2009 Company Overview EPS/EBIT Evaluation Wendy’s 2008 Update 2 KEY FACTS – 2007 5,936 Stores in the US 1274 company owned All 50 states and DC (Maine has 4!) 709 International Stores in 20 countries 376 in Canada 140 company owned 3rd largest hamburger fast food chain Square ground beef hamburgers (never frozen) and Frosties # 1 brand for taste and quality (especially the French Fries ) © Tony Gauvin, UMFK, 2009 3/30/2009 3 KEY DATES 1972: Wendy's franchising begins. 1975: First international restaurant opens in Canada. 1976: Wendy's International, Inc. goes public 1977: Company begins national television advertising. 1978: The 1,000th Wendy's opens in Springfield, Tennessee. 1979: Salad bars are added to Wendy's restaurants. 1981: Thomas makes his first appearance as Wendy's advertising spokesperson. 1984: Famous and award-winning "Where's the Beef?" ad campaign is run. 1986: James W. Near becomes president and COO and launches a major reorganization. 1989: Thomas begins another stint as advertising spokesperson; the Super Value Menu debuts. 1995: Wendy's International acquires Tim Horton's, a Canadian coffee and baked goods chain. 1997: The 5,000th Wendy's restaurant opens in Columbus, Ohio. 2002: Dave Thomas dies; Wendy's International acquires a 45 percent stake in Café Express. 2002: Wendy’s Acquires Baja Fresh 2004: 35th Anniversary of Wendy's 2006 : Wendy’s Spins off Tim Horton’ and Sells Baja Fresh © Tony Gauvin, UMFK, 2009 1969: Dave Thomas opens the first Wendy's restaurant in downtown Columbus, Ohio 3/30/2009 4 EXISTING VISION STATEMENT 3/30/2009 © Tony Gauvin, UMFK, 2009 Our vision is to be the quality leader in everything we do. 5 COMPANY PERSPECTIVES: 3/30/2009 Our guiding mission is to deliver superior quality products and services for our customers and communities through leadership, innovation and partnerships. © Tony Gauvin, UMFK, 2009 Our organization has a strategic vision focused on these core values: •Quality: Freshly-made products and superior service are our passion; consistent excellence is our goal. •Integrity: We keep our promises. All actions are guided by absolute honesty, fairness and respect for every individual. •Leadership: We lead by example and encourage leadership qualities at all levels. Everyone has a role to play. •People Focus: We believe our people are key to our success. We value all members of our diverse family for their individual contributions and their team achievements. Customer Satisfaction: Satisfying internal and external customers is the focus of everything we do. •Continuous Improvement: Continuous improvement is how we think; innovative change provides competitive opportunities. •Community Involvement: Giving back is our heritage. We actively participate and invest in the communities where we do business. •Commitment to Stakeholders: We serve all stakeholders and, through balancing our responsibilities to all, we maximize value to each of them. 6 WENDY’S REVITALIZATION PAN 3/30/2009 © Tony Gauvin, UMFK, 2009 7 WENDY’S COMMITMENT TO QUALITY 3/30/2009 © Tony Gauvin, UMFK, 2009 8 2007 KEY ISSUES 3/30/2009 Largest institutional shareholder, Pelz, attempting to force sale of Wendy’s to Trairc, also owned by Pelz. Pelz also owns Arby’s Under shareholder pressure, sold Tim Horton’s, the number one brand in coffee and doughnuts business even while it was attempting to penetrate the breakfast fast food market. Continue with revitalization plan and commitment to quality? © Tony Gauvin, UMFK, 2009 9 NEW VISION STATEMENT 3/30/2009 © Tony Gauvin, UMFK, 2009 Our vision is to become the number one fast food restaurant in the world. 10 MISSION STATEMENT Customer Products or services Markets Technology Concern for survival, profitability, growth Philosophy Self-concept Concern for public image Concern for employees © Tony Gauvin, UMFK, 2009 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. 3/30/2009 Wendy’s believes the most important issue in the restaurant business is to take care of our customers. (1) As a global company, our goal is to provide our customers with the most enjoyable dining experience possible and be the quality leader in everything we do. (3, 7) Wendy’s has a long tradition of meeting ever-changing consumer tastes and items. As we look ahead, we will build on this tradition by bringing even greater variety, higher quality, more nutritious foods along with fresher menu choices into our restaurants. (2) Wendy’s strives to continuously produce quality foods through food science technology and research. (4) Our company is committed to expanding and growing profits in order to sustain recognition while protecting the environment. (5, 8) Our philosophy is to provide for the needs of all our customers while creating a safe workplace for all employees. (6,9) 11 3/30/2009 © Tony Gauvin, UMFK, 2009 EXTERNAL ASSESSMENT 12 GLOBAL INDUSTRY GROWTH 3/30/2009 © Tony Gauvin, UMFK, 2009 13 US INDUSTRY GROWTH 3/30/2009 © Tony Gauvin, UMFK, 2009 14 GLOBAL INDUSTRY VOLUME 3/30/2009 © Tony Gauvin, UMFK, 2009 15 US INDUSTRY VOLUME 3/30/2009 © Tony Gauvin, UMFK, 2009 16 GLOBAL SEGMENTATION BY TYPE 3/30/2009 © Tony Gauvin, UMFK, 2009 17 US SEGMENTATION BY TYPE 3/30/2009 © Tony Gauvin, UMFK, 2009 18 GLOBAL SEGMENTATION BY LOCATION 3/30/2009 © Tony Gauvin, UMFK, 2009 19 COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE (US & GLOBAL) 3/30/2009 © Tony Gauvin, UMFK, 2009 20 Trademarks are property of respective brands EXTERNAL AUDIT - OPPORTUNITIES 3/30/2009 © Tony Gauvin, UMFK, 2009 1. Burger King is closing more than 180 stores in 2006. 2. 53 percent of household income is spent eating outside of the home. 3. The Canadian dollar is getting a stronger exchange rate resulting in higher EPS from 0.11 in 2004 to 0.15 in 2005 4. Quick Service Restaurants sales have increased by 5 percent in 2006 according to the National Restaurant Association. 5. Burger King's market share dropped from 15.03% in 2000 to 10.95% in 2006. 6. The US Department of Agriculture states that consumption of eating out has risen 3.6 percent from 1990 to 2005 7. The breakfast food industry is a $77.6 billion industry. 8. McDonald’s suffered an $8.5 million lawsuit and a decrease in sales due to not informing customers of transfats in their cooking oils. 21 EXTERNAL AUDIT - THREATS 2. McDonald's new management team is returning them to a sales growth trend. 3. 60 percent of McDonald’s are open 24 hours, worldwide. 4. McDonald's menu is expanding to offer more upscale coffee, and better quality chicken sandwiches 5. Natural disasters are causing vegetables to be in short supply for restaurant industry. When hurricanes Katrina and Rita hit the southeast USA in August and September Wendy’s lost approximately $25 million in sales. 6. Burger King has invested $12 million in their United Kingdom restaurants. 7. Wendy’s has restaurants in only 20 international countries compared to McDonald’s and Burger King who have restaurants in 120 and 65 international countries respectively. 8. Burger King plans to implement a dollar menu for breakfast items. © Tony Gauvin, UMFK, 2009 Where's the beef? A 12 percent increase in beef costs over 2005 reduced Wendy's EPS by 0.07 cents 3/30/2009 1. 22 COMPETITIVE PROFILE MATRIX McDonald’s Burger King Weight Rating Weighted Score Rating Weighted Score Rating Market Share Advertising Global Expansion Product Variety Product Quality Company Image Price Competition Management Experience Customer Service Philanthropy Customer Loyalty Financial Position 0.15 0.13 0.12 0.10 0.08 0.07 0.04 0.06 0.07 0.05 0.08 0.05 2 2 1 4 1 2 3 2 3 2 2 3 0.30 0.26 0.12 0.40 0.08 0.14 0.12 0.12 0.21 0.10 0.16 0.15 4 3 4 3 3 3 3 3 2 4 3 3 0.60 0.39 0.48 0.30 0.24 0.21 0.12 0.18 0.14 0.20 0.24 0.15 2 3 2 3 2 2 3 2 2 1 2 2 TOTAL 1.00 2.16 3.25 Weighted Score 0.30 0.39 0.24 0.30 0.16 0.14 0.12 0.12 0.14 0.05 0.16 0.10 © Tony Gauvin, UMFK, 2009 Critical Success Factors 3/30/2009 Wendy’s 2.22 23 EFE MATRIX Key External Factors Weighted Score Opportunities Burger King is closing more than 180 stores in 2006. 0.04 2 0.08 53 percent of household income is spent eating outside of the home. 0.1 3 0.3 0.08 3 0.24 0.04 3 0.12 0.03 2 0.06 0.02 2 0.04 0.11 3 0.33 0.05 4 0.20 0.04 3 0.12 0.05 1 0.05 0.06 3 0.18 0.07 1 0.07 0.09 2 0.18 0.05 1 0.05 0.07 4 0.28 0.10 1.00 3 0.30 2.60 The Canadian dollar is getting a stronger exchange rate resulting in higher EPS from 2004 to 2005 Quick Service Restaurants sales have increased by 5 percent in 2006 according to the National Restaurant Association. Burger King's market share dropped from 15.03% in 2000 to 10.95% in 2006. The US Department of Agriculture states that consumption of eating out has risen 3.6 percent from 1990 to 2005 The breakfast food industry is a $77.6 billion industry. McDonald’s suffered an $8.5 million lawsuit and a decrease in sales due to not informing customers of trans-fats in their cooking oils. Threats Where's the beef? A 12 percent increase in beef costs over 2005 reduced Wendy's EPS by 0.07 cents McDonald's new management team is returning them to a sales growth trend. 60 percent of McDonald’s are open 24 hours, worldwide. McDonald's menu is expanding to offer more upscale coffee, and better quality chicken sandwiches Natural disasters are causing vegetables to be in short supply for restaurant industry. When hurricanes Katrina and Rita hit the south-east in August and September Wendy’s lost approximately $25 million in sales. Burger King has invested $12 million in their restaurants. © Tony Gauvin, UMFK, 2009 Rating 3/30/2009 Weight Wendy’s has restaurants in only 20 international countries compared to McDonald’s and Burger King who have restaurants in 120 and 65 international countries respectively. Burger King plans to implement a dollar menu for breakfast items. TOTAL 24 3/30/2009 © Tony Gauvin, UMFK, 2009 INTERNAL ASSESSMENT 25 STOCK PERFORMANCE 3/30/2009 © Tony Gauvin, UMFK, 2009 http://moneycentral.msn.com/investor/charts/chartdl.aspx?iax=1&Symbol=WEN 26 INCOME STATEMENT 3/30/2009 © Tony Gauvin, UMFK, 2009 27 BALANCE SHEET 3/30/2009 © Tony Gauvin, UMFK, 2009 28 SELECTED FINANCIAL RATIOS Industry 7.50 -9.10 42.50 8.89 13.16 26.63 SP-500 8.30 16.00 6.60 13.34 20.14 10.00 23.9 126.3 15.4 0.83 2.52 10.10 24.8 30.4 13.0 2.10 3.02 5.40 21.9 25.9 7.4 2.38 3.39 10.60 20.7 5.1 3.5 20.7 5.5 31.0 12.1 8.1 30.5 12.3 33.8 17.5 12.4 33.5 16.8 3.6 8.5 11.7 © Tony Gauvin, UMFK, 2009 5Yr Net Profit Margin (5-Year Avg.) Wendy’s -0.10 133.80 41.40 3.53 -5.90 13.90 3/30/2009 Growth Rates % Sales (Qtr vs. year ago qtr) Net Income (YTD vs. YTD) Net Income (Qtr vs. year ago qtr) Sales (5-Year Annual Avg.) Net Income (5-Year Annual Avg.) Dividends (5-Year Annual Avg.) Price Ratios Current P/E Ratio P/E Ratio 5-Year High P/E Ratio 5-Year Low Price/Sales Ratio Price/Book Value Price/Cash Flow Ratio Profit Margins Gross Margin Pre-Tax Margin Net Profit Margin 5Yr Gross Margin (5-Year Avg.) 5Yr Pretax Margin (5-Year Avg.) 29 SELECTED FINANCIAL RATIOS 0.71 1.1 1.0 5.0 2.2 9.20 0.69 0.4 0.4 13.9 1.7 3.58 1.19 0.9 0.7 43.3 4.0 16.25 9.5 4.5 5.5 5.6 3.1 3.7 15.1 4.0 5.4 11.1 3.1 4.3 20.8 5.8 7.7 14.5 5.1 6.8 NA NA 31.2 59.0 1.3 3,150 48,925 29.9 34.5 0.7 37,696 343,930 9.5 5.6 0.6 © Tony Gauvin, UMFK, 2009 Debt/Equity Ratio Current Ratio Quick Ratio Interest Coverage Leverage Ratio Book Value/Share Investment Returns % Return On Equity Return On Assets Return On Capital Return On Equity (5-Year Avg.) Return On Assets (5-Year Avg.) Return On Capital (5-Year Avg.) 3/30/2009 Financial Condition Management Efficiency Income/Employee Revenue/Employee Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover Asset Turnover Adapted from www.moneycentral.msn.com 30 TREND ANALYSIS 12/07 12/06 01/06 01/05 12/03 Price/Sales 0.96 1.56 1.25 0.86 0.92 Book Value/ Share $9.20 $10.57 $17.47 $15.26 $15.33 Price/Book 2.83 3.13 1.50 1.22 1.18 Debt/Equity 0.71 0.64 0.26 0.42 0.42 ROE (%) 10.8 3.7 4.1 6.2 6.6 Net Profit Margin (%) 3.5 1.5 3.5 4.2 5.2 ROA (%) 4.8 1.8 2.5 3.3 3.7 Interest Coverage 3.5 1.1 4.1 5.1 5.3 © Tony Gauvin, UMFK, 2009 Date Avg. P/E 34.90 93.80 29.40 19.20 14.50 3/30/2009 Date 12/07 12/06 01/06 01/05 12/03 31 NET WORTH ANALYSIS 3/30/2009 Net Worth Analysis (February 2007 in millions) $1,096 $ 470 $ 2,162 $ 2,001 $1,432 © Tony Gauvin, UMFK, 2009 1. Stockholders’ Equity + Goodwill = 1,011 + 85 2. Net income x 5 = $94 x 5= 3. Share price = $23/EPS 1.00 =$23 x Net Income $94= 4. Number of Shares Outstanding x Share Price = 87 x $23 = Method Average 32 INTERNAL AUDIT -STRENGTHS 3/30/2009 © Tony Gauvin, UMFK, 2009 1. First to introduce non-trans-fat French fries. 2. Improved goodwill from $19 million to $36 million. 3. Owns and operates 2 bakeries as apart of their vertical integration strategy. 4. Maintains industry-leading customer satisfaction scores. 5. World's #3 fast food chain controlling 14% of the fast-food market share. 6. 417 new restaurants in the US & Canada. 7. With healthier food selections such as salads, Wendy’s same-store sales rose 4.7%. 8. 1st to offer the 99 cent value menu. 9. Wendy’s Frescata product line increased sales by 3.2%. 10. The acquisition of Tim Horton’s restaurants increased Wendy’s revenue 31%. 33 INTERNAL AUDIT - WEAKNESS 3/30/2009 © Tony Gauvin, UMFK, 2009 1. Failed marketing strategy led to sales dip in 2005. 2. Last to accommodate changing customer preferences by introducing new products. 3. "The Chili Finger" incident drops sales by 2.5% in 2005. 4. Last food-chain to offer a breakfast menu. 5. Wendy's current strategy only focuses on US & Canada. 6. Tim Horton's 50/50 joint venture causes 50% drop in income from Tim Horton's. 7. Since the passing of Dave Thomas in 2002, Wendy's lost their opinion leader who helped to create "TOMA." 34 IFE MATRIX Rating Weighted Score 0.08 0.07 4 3 0.32 0.21 0.09 4 0.36 0.05 4 0.20 0.02 0.01 3 3 0.06 0.03 0.1 0.05 4 4 0.40 0.20 0.02 3 0.06 0.03 4 0.12 0.08 1 0.08 0.05 2 0.10 0.1 0.04 0.06 1 2 1 0.10 0.08 0.06 0.07 2 0.14 0.08 1.00 1 0.08 2.60 Strengths First to introduce non-trans-fat French fries. Improved goodwill from $19 million to $36 million. Owns and operates 2 bakeries as apart of their vertical integration strategy. Maintained industry-leading customer satisfaction scores. World's #3 fast food chain controlling 14 percent of the fast-food market share. 417 new restaurants in the & . With healthier food selections such as salads, Wendy’s same-store sales rose 4.7 percent. 1st to offer the 99 cent value menu. Wendy’s Frescata product line increased sales by 3.2%. The acquisition of Tim Horton’s restaurants increased Wendy’s revenue by 31 percent. Weaknesses Failed marketing strategy led to sales dip in 2005. Last to accommodate changing customer preferences by introducing new products. "The Chili Finger" incident drops sales by 2.5 percent in 2005. Last food-chain to offer a breakfast menu. Wendy's current strategy only focuses on US & . Tim Horton's 50/50 joint venture causes 50 percent drop in income from Tim Horton's. Since the passing of Dave Thomas in 2002, Wendy's lost their opinion leader who helped to create "TOMA." TOTAL © Tony Gauvin, UMFK, 2009 Weight 3/30/2009 Key Internal Factors 35 3/30/2009 © Tony Gauvin, UMFK, 2009 STRATEGIC FORMULATION 36 SWOT MATRIX Expand research and development function, strategic insights, and operations innovation by 25 percent (S1, O4). Introduce a full menu and a 99 cent super value menu for breakfast in all restaurants in order to capitalize on $77 billion breakfast industry (W4,O7). Open 200 new Wendy’s franchises stores in the US and Canada to gain market share in the fast food industry (S6, O5). Wendy Thomas will become the new opinion leader for Wendy’s and create TOMA and help generate sales in the breakfast industry (W7, O7). Display on all food packaging and in all restaurants that we use non-trans fat oils to cook our foods (S1, O8). Wendy’s will take advantage of the fact that 53 percent of household income is spent eating outside the home to increase sales of their foods (W1, O2). Launch a direct marketing campaign for Wendy’s new breakfast menu (W1, O8). © Tony Gauvin, UMFK, 2009 WO Strategies 3/30/2009 SO Strategies 37 SWOT MATRIX Continue to focus on providing customers healthier food options and not just expanding the menu (S7, T4). Expand the research and development function, strategic insights, and operations innovation (W1, W2, T2). Implement a full breakfast menu and a 99 cents breakfast menu in all their restaurants (S8, T8). Backward integrate: Acquire a farm that main crop is vegetables specifically lettuce, onion, and tomato By implementing longer operating hours such as 24 hour restaurants, Wendy’s will improve customer convenience and satisfaction (S4, T3). © Tony Gauvin, UMFK, 2009 WT Strategies 3/30/2009 ST Strategies Expand global operations by 40 percent over next three years (W5, T7). 38 FS Conservative Aggressive 6 5 4 SPACE MATRIX 3 2 CA -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 1 2 3 4 -1 -2 5 6 IS 3/30/2009 1 -3 -5 -6 Defensive Competitive Advantage (CA) Market Share Product Quality Customer Loyalty Technological know-how Control over Suppliers and Distributors Competitive Advantage (CA) Average Financial Strength (FS) Return on Assets (ROA) Leverage Net Income Income/Employee Inventory Turnover Financial Strength (FS) Average -2 -2 -2 -3 -2 Industry Strength (IS) Growth Potential Financial Stability Ease of Entry into Market Resource Utilization Profit Potential -2.2 Industry Strength (IS) Average 4 3 3 3 6 3.8 Environmental Stability (ES) Rate of Inflation Technological Changes Price Elasticity of Demand Competitive Pressure Barriers to Entry into Market Environmental Stability (ES) Average x-axis: -2.2 + 4.6 = 2.4 y-axis: 3.8 + -2.8 = 1.0 ES 5 5 3 5 5 4.6 Competitive © Tony Gauvin, UMFK, 2009 -4 -2 -1 -2 -6 -3 -2.8 39 GRAND STRATEGY MATRIX 3/30/2009 Rapid Market Growth Quadrant II Quadrant I Strong Competitive Position Quadrant III © Tony Gauvin, UMFK, 2009 Weak Competitive Position Quadrant IV Slow Market Growth 40 BCG MATRIX Two Possible Divisional Analysis Vectors Geographic Store ownership No difference in Growth rates or Market share by location All stores whether they are owned by the company or by franchisees compete in the same market No value in producing a BCG matrix Wendy’s is somewhere between a Question Mark and a Star © Tony Gauvin, UMFK, 2009 3/30/2009 41 IE MATRIX EFE Scores Weak 1-1.99 I II III IV V VI VII VIII IX Medium 2-2.99 Low 1-1.99 © Tony Gauvin, UMFK, 2009 High 3-4 Strong 3-4 3/30/2009 Hold and Maintain IFE Scores Average 2-2.99 42 MATRIX ANALYSIS IE SPACE GRAND COUNT x 1 Backward Integration x 1 Horizontal Integration x 1 x 2 x 1 x 2 Market Penetration x Market Development Product Development x Concentric Diversification x x 2 Conglomerate Diversification x x 2 Horizontal Diversification x x 2 x 1 Joint Venture ® 2008, Tony Gauvin, UMFK Forward Integration 7-Apr-08 Alternative Strategies Retrenchment Divestiture Liquidation 43 POSSIBLE STRATEGIES Promote a healthier menu for Breakfast, Meals and late night snacks Market penetration, product development & related diversification Expand the research and development functions, strategic insights and operation innovation Product development & diversification ® 2008, Tony Gauvin, UMFK 7-Apr-08 44 QSPM Strategic Alternatives Promote a healthier menu. Weight Expand the research and development function, strategic insights, and operations innovation. 0.08 AS 4.00 TAS 0.32 AS 2.00 0.07 ---- ---- ---- ---- Owns and operates 2 bakeries as apart of their vertical integration strategy. Maintained industry-leading customer satisfaction scores. 0.09 ---- ---- ---- ---- 0.05 2.00 0.10 4.00 0.20 0.02 0.01 ------- ------- ------- ------- 0.1 0.05 4.00 2.00 0.40 0.10 3.00 3.00 0.30 0.15 World's #3 fast food chain controlling 14 percent of the fast-food market share. 417 new restaurants in the & . With healthier food selections such as salads, Wendy’s same-store sales rose 4.7 percent. 1st to offer the 99 cent value menu. Wendy’s Frescata product line increased sales by 3.2 percent. TAS 0.16 0.02 4.00 0.32 2.00 0.16 The acquisition of Tim Horton’s restaurants increased Wendy’s revenue by 31 percent. Weaknesses Failed marketing strategy led to sales dip in 2005. 0.03 ---- ---- ---- ---- 0.08 ---- ---- ---- ---- Last to accommodate changing customer preferences by introducing new products. "The Chili Finger" incident drops sales by 2.5 percent in 2005. 0.05 3.00 0.15 4.00 0.20 Last food-chain to offer a breakfast menu. Wendy's current strategy only focuses on US & . Tim Horton's 50/50 joint venture causes 50 percent drop in income from Tim Horton's. Since the passing of Dave Thomas in 2002, Wendy's lost their opinion leader who helped to create "TOMA." SUBTOTAL 0.1 0.04 0.06 ---2.00 ---- ---0.08 ---- ---3.00 ---- ---0.12 ---- 0.07 ---- ---- ---- ---- 0.08 1.00 ---- ---1.15 ---- ---1.13 © Tony Gauvin, UMFK, 2009 Strengths First to introduce non-trans-fat French fries. Improved goodwill from $19 million to $36 million. 3/30/2009 Key Internal Factors 45 QSPM Promote a healthier menu. Weight 0.04 53 percent of household income is spent eating outside of the home. 0.1 The Canadian dollar is getting a stronger exchange rate resulting in higher EPS from 2004 to 2005 0.08 Quick Service Restaurants sales have increased by 5 percent in 2006 according to the National Restaurant Association. Burger King's market share dropped from 15.03% in 2000 to 10.95% in 2006. 0.04 The US Department of Agriculture states that consumption of eating out has risen 3.6 percent from 1990 to 2005 The breakfast food industry is a $77.6 billion. McDonald’s suffered an $8.5 million lawsuit and a decrease in sales due to not informing customers of trans-fats in their cooking oils. Threats Where's the beef? A 12 percent increase in beef costs over 2005 reduced Wendy's EPS by 0.07 cents AS TAS AS TAS ---2.00 ---- ---0.20 ---- ---3.00 ---- ---0.30 ---- 0.03 ------- ------- ------- ------- 0.02 0.11 ------- ------- ------- ------- 0.05 3.00 0.15 4.00 0.20 0.04 0.24 ---0.10 2.00 ---3.00 0.16 ---0.15 McDonald's new management team is returning them to a sales growth trend. 0.05 60 percent of McDonald’s are open 24 hours, worldwide. 0.06 3.00 ---2.00 0.07 2.00 0.14 4.00 0.28 0.09 ------- ------- ------- ------- 4.00 ---- 0.36 ---- 3.00 ---- 0.27 ---- McDonald's menu is expanding to offer more upscale coffee, and better quality chicken sandwiches Natural disasters are causing vegetables to be in short supply for restaurant industry. When hurricanes Katrina and Rita hit the southeast in August and September Wendy’s lost approximately $25 million in sales. Burger King has invested $12 million in their restaurants. Wendy’s has restaurants in only 20 international countries compared to McDonald’s and Burger King who have restaurants in 120 and 65 international countries respectively. Burger King plans to implement a dollar menu for breakfast items. 0.05 0.07 0.10 SUBTOTAL 1.13 1.27 SUM TOTAL ATTRACTIVENESS SCORE 2.28 2.40 © Tony Gauvin, UMFK, 2009 Opportunities Burger King is closing more than 180 stores in 2006. Expand the research and development function, strategic insights, and operations innovation. 3/30/2009 Key External Factors 46 3/30/2009 © Tony Gauvin, UMFK, 2009 FUTURE PLANS NEW 47 OBJECTIVES Increase Market Share Grow franchise ownership Quality control through backwards integration and process managemenat Expand meal and food offerings © Tony Gauvin, UMFK, 2009 Objectives listed in 2006 Revitalization plan and Commitment to Quality still apply for the next three years 3/30/2009 48 RECOMMENDATIONS Total Cost = $50,000,000 © Tony Gauvin, UMFK, 2009 Promote a healthier menu and these changes will increase Wendy's sales. $10,000,000 Expand the research and development function, strategic insights, and operations innovation by 25 percent. $15,000,000 Introduce a full menu and a $.99 menu for breakfast in all restaurants in order to capitalize on the $77.6 billion breakfast industry. $5,000,000 Acquire a farm that's main crop is vegetables, which will allow Wendy’s to offer vegetarian items, eliminate the cost and reduce the risk of vegetable shortage. $20,000,000 3/30/2009 49 3/30/2009 © Tony Gauvin, UMFK, 2009 IMPLEMENTATION 50 EPS/EBIT ANALYSIS # Shares Outstanding: 87M # Shares Needed: 1,173,913 EBIT Interest EBT Taxes EAT # Shares EPS EBIT Interest EBT Taxes EAT # Shares EPS Common Stock Financing Recession Normal Boom 50,000,000 200,000,000 500,000,000 0 0 0 50,000,000 200,000,000 500,000,000 17,500,000 70,000,000 175,000,000 32,500,000 130,000,000 325,000,000 89,173,913 89,173,913 89,173,913 0.36 1.46 3.64 70 Percent Stock - 30 Percent Debt Recession Normal Boom 50,000,000 200,000,000 500,000,000 1,050,000 1,050,000 1,050,000 48,950,000 198,950,000 498,950,000 17,132,500 69,632,500 174,632,500 31,817,500 129,317,500 324,317,500 88,521,739 88,521,739 88,521,739 0.36 1.46 3.66 Recession 50,000,000 3,500,000 46,500,000 16,275,000 30,225,000 87,000,000 0.35 Debt Financing Normal 200,000,000 3,500,000 196,500,000 68,775,000 127,725,000 87,000,000 1.47 Boom 500,000,000 3,500,000 496,500,000 173,775,000 322,725,000 87,000,000 3.71 © Tony Gauvin, UMFK, 2009 $ Amount Needed: 50M Stock Price: $23 Tax Rate: 35% Interest Rate: 7% 3/30/2009 70 Percent Debt - 30 Percent Stock Recession Normal Boom 50,000,000 200,000,000 500,000,000 2,450,000 2,450,000 2,450,000 47,550,000 197,550,000 497,550,000 16,642,500 69,142,500 174,142,500 30,907,500 128,407,500 323,407,500 87,652,174 87,652,174 87,652,174 0.35 1.46 3.69 51 OTHERS ISSUES Labor Turnover What about the Internet?? Can we use it? Cultural issues with International Stores Where to locate © Tony Gauvin, UMFK, 2009 Management training Quality training 3/30/2009 Where the others fats food restaurants exist Near high traffic locations Public relations 52 3/30/2009 © Tony Gauvin, UMFK, 2009 EVALUATION 53 EVALUATION MATRIX Kaplan and Norton’s Balanced Score Card Annual Reports Continuous improvement Financial Customer Operations Employees Financial © Tony Gauvin, UMFK, 2009 3/30/2009 Independent Analysis Market share Brand awareness http://www.qualitysolutions.com/images/balance.jpg 54 Area of Objectives Measure or Target Time Expectation Primary Responsibility Customers 1 Satisfaction Customer Survey results Yearly Marketing Department 2 Brand Identity Industry Reports Yearly Marketing Department Employees 1 Quality training # TQM session Yearly COO 2 Employee Satisfaction Survey Yearly Human resources Operations/Processes 1 Productivity Sales/man-hour increase 5% Quarterly COO 2 Quality # Defective/stale products reduced 1% Quarterly COO # of recyclable containers Quarterly COO # of ethics training sessions Yearly Human resources 1 Sales and expenses reports 2% sales increase 1% expense reduction Quarterly CFO 2 better than Industry Avg, Yearly CFO Business Ethics/Natural Environment 1 Waste reduction 2 Ethics Training Financial Ratio analysis Stock prices continue to fall through 2007 and 2008 Income and revenues are down McDonalds and Burger King revenues are up Began rollout of breakfast menu with lukewarm results Maintainsed 3RD Place in Market share Pelz’s Triarc buys out Wendy’s for $2.34 billion in stock swap in April of 2008 Combine with Arby’s to form Wendy’s Arby’s Group ® 2009, Tony Gauvin, UMFK 30-Mar-2009 2008 UPDATE http://www.wendysarbys.com/ Maintained as separate Brands 56 INFORMATION SOURCES International Directory of Company Histories, Vol. 47. St. James Press, 2002. Graphics from www.wendys.com Wendy’s International, Inc Form 10-K Sec filing for 2007 Wendy’s International- 2007 Case Notes by Forest David of Francais Marion University Datamonitor Global Fast Food Industry Profile 2008 US Fast Food Industry Profile 2008 Wendy’s International, Inc. Company Profile 2008 © Tony Gauvin, UMFK, 2009 3/30/2009 Value Line Investment Surveys Restaurant Industry 2009 Wendy’s Arby’s 2009 Analyst reports TheStreet.com CL King & Associates 57
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