Trust Headquarters Queens Park Hospital Blackburn Lancashire BB2 3HH Telephone: 01254 293678 Email: [email protected] [email protected] Our Ref: Your Ref: VPB/DH 31 October 2006 Emma Wilkinson Principal Scrutiny Officer Joint LCC & BwD Overview & Scrutiny Committee Lancashire County Council PO Box 78 County Hall PRESTON PR1 8XJ Paul Conlon Principal Scrutiny Officer Joint LCC & BwD Overview & Scrutiny Committee Democratic Services Department Blackburn Town Hall BLACKBURN BB1 7DY Dear Emma & Paul Meeting Patients’ Needs – East Lancashire’s Public Consultation on healthcare services – Joint Lancashire & Blackburn with Darwen Overview & Scrutiny Committee Meeting on 7 November 2006 1 Introduction Thank you for receiving Professor Sir George Alberti at the meeting on 12 October 2006 and for reconvening the committee promptly. The following is a briefing for the committee members in advance of our presentation on 7 November 2006. Both this paper and the presentation on the day are designed to address some of the issues raised during the meeting on 12 October and broadly include: Process to date Why we want to change clinical systems Additional detail regarding the paediatric services Obstetric services OSC_Mtg_7_11_06 Page 1 of 8 Urgent Care Centres and delivering more care closer to home Paramedic emergency services Collaboration between health and social services 2 Process The committee members received a detailed report on the process for this consultation on the 27 June 2006, and via the report from Salford University, so this section will be somewhat abridged. The Boards of the partner organisations approved the ‘Case for Change’ document which illustrated the benefits of reconfiguration in terms of clinical outcomes, financial stability and sustainability of services. The Health Economy Steering Group (HESG) commissioned a widespread review of all acute services across East Lancashire and asked each service to generate a ‘care stream’ report. The reports made it clear that some of the 5 original options were not clinically or financially viable and hence a decision was made to reduce to 2 Service Models – these were consulted upon. The formal public consultation period ran for 16 weeks from 21 March 2006 to 10 July 2006 and over 7800 contacts were made with 1913 responses coming in. Salford University analysed the responses and found that 36.6% of responders choose neither service model A or B, the HESG made it clear that no change was not an option. However, of those who voted for A or B the overall response favoured B. On inspection the difference of votes between Service Model A & B is only 113. Given such marginal differences by public responders the Operational Group felt that the public responses had little impact on deciding for A or B (i.e. it cannot be used as a sole independent indicative factor). The Joint PCT Committee met on 21 September 2006 and unanimously voted to adopt Service Model A. Their decision was accompanied by a number of recommendations which were outlined in a paper previously distributed to members. The National Lead for Emergency Care Access Professor Sir George Alberti kindly visited East Lancashire to analyse the service models at the request of your members and he submitted his feedback to you on the 12 October 2006. This briefing and the presentation to the committee on the 7 November is our last chance to resolve any concerns locally and hence avoid what is potentially a lengthy external review by the independent reconfiguration panel. 3 Why we are seeking to change the clinical models in East Lancashire The Case for Change document has been shared previously and the committee has previously written to express understanding of that case, however, it is perhaps useful to quickly recap the position here. 3.1 We wish to provide safer, higher quality services which are sustainable for a decade and beyond to the whole population of East Lancashire. A key development in delivering this ambition is to separate our emergency inpatients from most of our elective surgery patients. OSC_Mtg_7_11_06 Page 2 of 8 The consequence of admitting emergency patients into a hospital which also cares for elective inpatients is that the emergencies take priority – this has major ‘knock-on’ effects: We currently cancel too many operations (up to 20 patients a week at times) Waiting times are too long in many specialties and Some patients are cared for on wards which are not established for their condition e.g. patients with medical problems cared for on surgical wards Hospital acquired infection rates are higher when elective pre-planned patients are cared for in the same environment as emergency patients By separating emergency inpatients from elective inpatients we expect to see dramatic improvements in these areas. Other expected beneficial effects are that we can; Increase theatre utilisation Reduce the length of hospital stay Simplify the processes for investigations & diagnostic services Develop more opportunities for research and development within the emergency care and elective surgical fields and Build up our teaching and training capabilities. Further, there is a growing national trend for senior doctors to specialise in specific areas of surgery or medicine, which enables them to develop their skills and expertise. This is known as sub-specialisation and evidence shows that it produces better results for patients. Too many elective services are currently provided outside East Lancashire, such as some paediatric surgery to Manchester and some specialist cancer surgery to Preston. We want to retain and indeed increase the range of services in East Lancashire and to do this we need our senior doctors to sub-specialise. In order that they do enough procedures to retain their experience, many of the Royal Colleges suggest that a population base of approximately 500,000 is needed to do this; the population of East Lancashire is approximate to this. The centralisation of level 3 neonatology and obstetrics will also benefit from the greater population base from which the patients are drawn. 3.2 To summarise the financial rationale, the Trust will achieve financial balance by 2008 but carries considerable risk of non-achievement, however once financial balance is achieved the process is required to start again. Implementation of the reconfiguration will help mitigate the risk of the delivery of the financial recovery plan and enables the Trust to maintain a sustainable service into the future. The Trust financial recovery plan was prepared in advance of the clinical services review and is a standalone document. The risk of non-delivery is considerable; the clinical services review does three things, namely; Facilitates the delivery of high quality services Mitigates risk of not delivering the financial recovery plan Enables sustainability The Financial Recovery Plan facilitates the delivery of high quality services by; Positioning the Trust so that it is able to support the clinical services with their ambitions to continually develop and become leaders in their fields Creating an environment for attracting the best doctors, nurses and other therapists and staff OSC_Mtg_7_11_06 Page 3 of 8 Enabling the Trust to have freedom to develop a service locally that currently is provided out of area It mitigates risk by; Delivery of planned activity in a managed way. Enables more effective management of medical staffing budget. Reductions in locum medical staffing expenditure is a key component of the recovery plan Enables more effective use of theatres Enabling medical rotas to be planned more effectively The financial recovery plan brings the trust into financial balance by 2007/08, however beyond 2007/08 the Trust will be required to manage the impact of; Working Time Directive for medical staff Reduction in the elective tariff as the impact of independent sector drives down cost and Foundation Trusts become more competitive Loss of transitional support for PFI schemes The need to create resources from service change due to significant reduction growth funding for the NHS 3.3 The NHS is facing a number of pressures for change including system reform, shortages in key staff, advances in healthcare and technology. This means current configuration of services across the NHS is not sustainable or fit for the future. Over the past twenty years the average age of the population of East Lancashire has been increasing and this trend will continue for at least the next fifteen years. Although people are living longer they are not remaining healthy. On average for every 2 years of increased lifespan, one year is a healthy year of life and one is a year of ill-health. The net result of these changes is a population with increasing health needs and a reduced number of people aged 16-45 that are able to provide a community support base. It is clear that the existing pattern of services is not appropriate for the changing population and it is unlikely to be sustainable in the future because of a shortage of the skilled workforce necessary. This factor contributes to our case for change. In acknowledging these pressures, critical choices have to be made. Do we ‘wait and see’ how the environment changes or do we proactively engage with our public about reconfiguring their healthcare. We also believe that doing nothing will result in the loss of services delivered locally in East Lancashire. This is why we have designed the proposals being put before you, which were produced by the clinical and management staff together. No change is also not an option because of the reforms facing us including the introduction of ‘Choice;’ ‘Payment by Results’ and the imminent new labour laws from the European Commission which limits the hours further our medical staff can work each week. OSC_Mtg_7_11_06 Page 4 of 8 4 Some additional details regarding the paediatric services The Overarching Paediatric Service Model for East Lancashire as previously described will comprise of: Inpatient paediatrics centralised onto the Royal Blackburn site Neonatal Intensive Care Unit centralised onto the Burnley General site Children’s Observation & Assessment Units on both main sites in Burnley & Blackburn – the options for the operations of the BGH unit is currently being assessed (see below) Day case surgery on both main hospital sites Outpatient services on both main hospital sites Improved Children’s Hospital @ Home Service across the footprint of East Lancashire An Urgent Care Centre at the BGH site receiving minor injuries and ailments (which must be able to safely stabilise the unexpected serious pathologies which self present) The senior clinicians (Doctors and Nurses) are central to determining the requirements for paediatric care in Burnley. The main determining factors are; Demand for non-elective paediatric care via GP’s & the proposed Urgent Care centres Medical staffing rotas based on above (and to an extent the RN capacity) Chosen service models e.g. Consultants / Nurse clinicians / junior doctors input etc based on above We know that there will be a ‘walk-in’ facility seeing adults and children with minor injuries & illnesses. Equally we can expect some of those patients who walk-in to need stabilisation and transfer to the emergency hospital in Blackburn, bypassing the BGH COAU. A number of options are being assessed: Option 1 – 24 / 7 COAU at Burnley General Hospital The COAU operates 24 hours per day / 7 days per week Maximum expected LOS is approximately 12 hours (usually much less) Option 2 – 9am to 6pm COAU at Burnley General Hospital The COAU operates during office hours 7 days per week Maximum expected LOS is approximately 12 hours (usually much less) Option 3 – 10am to 11pm COAU at Burnley General Hospital The COAU operates from 10 am until 11pm 7 days per week – this correlates with the maximum shift allowed under new EWTD’s. Maximum expected LOS is approximately 12 hours (usually much less) The department is currently analysing the impact each of these service options would have on the basis of a) travelling for families and b) the medical staffing requirements. OSC_Mtg_7_11_06 Page 5 of 8 5 Maternity Services The National Institute for Health and Clinical Excellence (NICE) published its draft guidance on intrapartum care for consultation on the 23rd June 20061. There has been media interest in the guidance statements on place of birth, specifically regarding perinatal mortality. The document begins with the ‘Key priorities for implementation: planning place of birth’: ‘Women should be offered the choice of planning birth at home, in a midwifery-led unit or a consultant-led unit. Before making their choice, women should be informed of the potential risks and benefits of each birth setting’ Amongst the long list of risks and benefits of birth in consultant led units, at home, and in standalone or alongside birthing centres, the document goes on to state: ‘there may be a lower risk of perinatal mortality when care is delivered in a consultant led unit’. The evidence statement to support this is as follows: ‘There is poor quality evidence on maternal and infant outcomes for standalone midwifery-led units. When compared with planned birth in consultant-led units, the available data show a reduction in analgesia use with an increase in vaginal birth and intact perineum rates. Women are more satisfied with their experience of childbirth in stand alone midwifery units. However, perinatal mortality may be higher than in consultant-led units, even when taking into consideration the poor quality of the evidence and extrapolation from healthcare settings in different countries.’ This statement has been graded D2, the lowest level of evidence. The evidence is based on one study from Norway, where the geography and organisation of maternity care differs from the UK. Because of the paucity of evidence, our Medical Director (an Obstetrician) suspects that there will be an abundance of feedback to NICE on this, however mild the statement is. The document gives detailed guidance on clinical governance structures including agreed criteria for women planning to give birth in each setting. 1 Intrapartum care: care of healthy women and their babies during childbirth National Collaborating Centre for Women’s and Children’s Health Commissioned by the National Institute for Health and Clinical Excellence Final Draft for Consultation 23 June 2006 – 29 August 2006 2 D Evidence level 3 or 4, or Extrapolated evidence from studies rated as 2+, or Formal consensus OSC_Mtg_7_11_06 Page 6 of 8 6 Care Closer to peoples homes The government White Paper ‘Our Health, Our Care, Our Say’ signals the shift of services from hospital to community settings and our public consultation reflects this strategy. Both Burnley General Hospital and The Royal Blackburn Hospital have a future but the old Victorian estate is inappropriate, we have numerous new premises built or being built across the towns and parishes of East Lancashire. Discussions are progressing regarding the Rossendale Hospital Project. We currently know that many of our services which we currently run out of the two DGH’s can safely and rightly be taken into premises closer to the people e.g. dermatology, sexual health, musculoskeletal triage, cardiac & stroke rehabilitation and many more. Another example of this principle is the current and proposed use of our Emergency Departments. The vast majority of unscheduled care is important, yet minor in clinical severity and the development of Urgent Care Centres across a number of sites in East Lancashire is proposed. The BGH site will run a 24/7 service as will the one at Blackburn, others will operate to strategic times of peak demand. We have previously written to the committee about the types of patients and the numbers involved, yet it is worth reiterating that we expect the UCC’s to take over 85% of the current workload that goes to the A&E departments. 7 Emergency Paramedic Service The ambulance service has a shift system where a paramedic is assigned on every vehicle. There are occasions during sickness that lead to double technician crews on vehicles but these are backed up by ‘floating’ paramedic rapid response vehicles on the M65 – the current position is that approximately 90% of ambulances have a paramedic on the vehicle. The proposals outlined for East Lancashire are to be implemented over the medium to long term and this allows for additional paramedic training to achieve the 100% paramedics on ambulances that we desire. With regard to ambulance responses times in East Lancashire, vehicles are moved around the county using a system of ‘dynamic deployment’ today, which essentially means the control centre in Preston manipulate the location of vehicles using satellite navigation and the vehicles are moved according to demand. East Lancashire has 48-49 vehicles during daytime peak times and around 35 during the night when it is quieter. Under the proposals, with 2 extra vehicles, the same system will apply and we expect response times to be maintained. It is worth noting again that treatment in ambulances has progressed over the last 15 years – clot busting drugs are given either in home or in ambulances for patients with a heart attack. They carry more quality equipment, a wider spectrum of drugs than in years gone by and their skills are increasing all the time. With regard to the “golden hour” – a lot of what is needed for the patient during that hour can be achieved in the ambulance. OSC_Mtg_7_11_06 Page 7 of 8 8 Collaboration with other statutory partners, voluntary sector etc The Meeting Patients Needs is a whole systems transformational change project which impacts upon the patient pathways in primary, secondary, tertiary and social care sectors. It is deliberately focussed on the hospitals sector in the main; however it is the first step towards a wider transformation of how we deliver services across the health and social care systems. We recognise that the patient does not necessarily care which organisation is delivering a service; only that it works in smooth alignment to the other organisations and that when a patient or client is referred between practitioners the interface is untroubled. Equally our staff wish for an interface that they can rely on, which helps them move patients between services without fear of endless letters / paperwork and phone calls. The leadership of the implementation programme for Meeting Patients Needs will comprise of senior officers from all health & social care sectors, and the project streams will include practitioners from each sector. Concerns previously raised by committee members and put to us as recommendations by the Joint PCT Committee will be managed and mitigated by having such a collaborative approach. 9 Conclusion We submit to you that Service Model A is deliverable, and has been designed by clinicians who are dissatisfied with the current health and social care system and have an outstanding ambition to create the best service for their patients. These same clinicians (as well as Professor Sir George Alberti) argue that the clinical outcomes of their patients will be better if we adopt the proposed Service Model. We have justifiable reasons for expecting the medium to longer term financial position in East Lancashire to be improved as a result and we can equally justify a serious risk to the future of many local services if we do not change. The opportunity to transform a public sector business such as ours is rarely found, the alignment of better clinical outcomes, better value for money and a more secure and sustainable future exists within this proposal. The implementation of the proposed changes will be monitored closely over time to ensure we are getting the benefits we seek, and we shall only move a service once clinically safe to do so. Yours Sincerely Val Bertenshaw / Declan Harte On behalf of the - Meeting Patients Needs Operational Group OSC_Mtg_7_11_06 Page 8 of 8
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