NS4960 Spring Term 2017 Burnell and Simon Chapter 2 Introduction to U.S. Energy Security Policy Values, Choices and Needs Outline • U.S. Energy Policy Pre-WWII • Evolution of values • Main policies • U.S. Energy Policy Post WWII • Increased vulnerabilities • Energy security concerns • Main energy security policies • Energy and National Security Goals • Complementary Aspects • Current Landscape • Increased concern over climate change • Needs and Choices • Tools to achieve goals 2 Overview I • On the surface U.S. energy policy seems quite haphazard and in a continual state of flux • Great number of policies by which U.S. seeks to achieve energy security • Large number of actors are involved in nation’s energy policy • However a degree of order exists in that a series of agreements or settlements are continually being produced and built upon 3 Overview II • The policy process is a reflection of core elements • Societal values – which continually evolve • Energy needs – which continually grow • Feasible policy choices – offers opportunities and constraints • Core elements all interact with one another to produce the system through which the U.S. • Produces, • Acquires, and • Consumes electricity 4 Energy Policy Pre-WWII I • Evolution of Energy Values and Energy Policy in the US – pre WWII • Aiming for, and achieving energy abundance and affordability for all country’s citizens • In particular serving those, • those living in relative poverty, • distant rural areas, and • experiencing adverse consequences of energy poverty • At same time these social equity and economic opportunity goals pursued without abandoning free market capitalism 5 Energy Policy Pre-WWII II • Energy policies in early decades of 20th century based on these multiple sometimes competing goals, particularly during the Great Depression • Government in 1930s committed to take responsibility for the individual welfare of citizens and provide direct relief to individuals on hard times • To that end national energy policies such as • Rural Electrification Act of 1936 • Bonneville Project Act of 1937, and • Tennessee Valley Authority of 1933 • Sought to extend reach of electric power grid to communities that had been largely left out of the electric energy market. 6 Energy Policy Pre-WWII III Other actions: • Breakup of Standard Oil Corporation in 1911 • Enhanced regulation of the oil industry in the 1930s and 1940s • Sought to stabilize supplies and prices • Public Utility Holding Company Act of 1935 • Sought to protect the market by diminishing the reach and power of key companies in oil and electric power sectors • Goal for prices and energy resources to be more stable and produced in an environment of some degree of competition 7 Energy Policy Pre-WWII IV • These policies were based on a supply-focused view energy security • Adequate supply was to be measured by more than total quantity of energy but also by • Geographical distribution, and • Affordability • Policies bridged the gap between the aim of • Fair access and • Sole reliance on energy market mechanisms • To allocate energy resources 8 Energy Policy Pre-WWII V • Public policy helped expand he conception of energy security • Energy became more than strictly a • “Marketable good” that existed only in the private realm, • More of a “marketable public good" with elements of public interest calculations • Public and social benefits of energy came to be increasingly incorporated into logic and formation of public policy • Energy security itself has come to be understood as a public good 9 Energy Policy Post-WWII I • When WWII ended US emerged as energy superpower • In postwar era up to 1970s US • Almost energy self-sufficient while • Being one of the world’s largest producers and exporters of oil • Energy prices low and rapid growth of energy consumption • Oil priced at $2-3 per barrel began displacing coal in electricity production • What consumers saw was plentiful, affordable energy fueling remarkable economic growth 10 Energy Policy Post-WWII II • Appeared as if US had achieved its energy security goals of abundance and affordability with little effort beyond discovery of ever more supplies • What the country valued with respect to energy and these aims were part of larger objective of maintaining • American prosperity and • Nation’s global military and political power • Energy policy during period reflected belief that supplies were virtually endless and prices would always stay low 11 Energy Policy Post-WWII III • A system of federal and state controls on oil suppliers kept domestic producers and consumers pretty much satisfied. • Texas Railroad Commission exercised exercising effective control over domestic supplies and prices • Operated with agreement of • Producers who benefitted from high prices compared to international markets and • Consumers who received reliable supplies at affordable prices 12 Energy Policy Post-WWII II • Reciprocal Trade Act Amendments of 1955 empowered President to restrict the import of a commodity if imports harmed national security • In 1959 President invoked import restriction clause and limited oil imports • Other major development in this period was birth of nuclear power industry • Congress supported industry which could provide addional electricity in already flooded market • Atomic Energy Act of 1954 began development of civilian nuclear power industry and • Price Anderson act 1957 provided the indemnification to nuclear plant owners in event of major disasters from civilian reactors providing electrical power 13 Energy Policy Post-WWII III Looking for Reliability • Conditions soon changed • Vulnerabilities of American energy system first apparent in 1965 with massive blackout in Northeast – left 30 million without power • Prevailing assumption that the electrical grid would always work was cast into serious doubt • Vulnerabilities in electric power soon repeated in oil sector • Oil embargo or 1973-74 demonstrated how widespread growing reliance on oil, particularly from Middle East had created huge liabilities and costs for consumers • Prices quadrupled, and stagflation set in. 14 Energy Policy Post-WWII IV • Oil embargo and rapid price increase led to an equally rapid change in the political climate in the US • New York Times characterized the embargo as “political and economic warfare.” • Developments prompted change – an expansion in American energy security goals • Not just abundance and affordability but now • Reliability and • Diversification • Reliability involved assurance energy supplies would be available when called upon 15 Energy Policy Post-WWII V • Diversification involved dual elements of reducing America’s reliance on foreign energy sources • Shift away from heavy reliance on Middle East and • Diminishing the role of oil for civil and commercial transportation and electricity generation. • Systematic rethinking of energy policy resulted in • Series of new energy-related public policies to address deficiencies • Creation of a federal Department of Energy to develop and coordinate a comprehensive national energy strategy and policy 16 Energy Policy Post-WWII VI • Congress passed legislation such as • Energy Policy and Conservation Act of 1975 (EPCA) and • National Energy Act of 1978 • Both included measures to • Increase energy supplies and • Promote energy efficiency • EPCA established • a mandate by which cars and trucks sold in US had to meet fuel efficiency tests • Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) in 1975 • Designed to mitigate temporary supply disruptions through holding large stocks of oil in salt domes • Now holds about 137 days of oil imports 17 Energy Policy Post-WWII VII • To help offset use of oil, ethanol was promoted • Energy Tax Act of 1978 provided subsidies to ethanol producers • Before subsidy eliminated in 2011 producers of ethanol received 40 to 60 cents a gallon • Subsidy for production of advanced biofuels such as cellulosic ethanol was not phased out in 2011 • Congress also protected domestic market with a tariff of $.54 gallon on ethanol imports – mainly sugarcane derived ethanol from Brazil 18 Energy Policy Post-WWII VIII • Electric power sector – goals of reliability and diversification also part of new legislation • Power Plant and Industrial Fuel Use Act • Mandated utilities move away from using oil as a source of their fuel – started movement towards domestic coal • Natural Gas Policy Act – diminish regulatory controls on both price and transport of natural gas • Public Utilities Regulatory Policy Act (PURPA) allowed qualifying electrical generation facilities not owned by utilities to sell power to the utilities – and forced utilities to purchase the power. • Allowed for new market actors • Encouraged renewables 19 Energy Policy Post-WWII IX • Environmentalism and Concern for Sustainability • About time goals reliability and diversity came in 60s and 70s so did energy security goals of • Cleanliness and • Sustainability • Harm that had already been done to air and water quality brought on legislation to reverse and limit future damage • National Environmental Policy Act (NEPA) of 1969 • Environmental Protection Agency in 1970 • Clean Air act of 1970 • Clean Water act of 1972 • All redefined the meaning of energy security in the U.S. 20 Energy Policy Post-WWII X • In recent years focus now includes concern for the climate and limiting the release of greenhouse gases • U.S. generally supportive of global movements with regard to climate change and renewable energy development • May change with Trump administration 21 Energy and National Security I • Energy and National Security • Pursuit of energy security should not conflict to greatly with other major values such as national security • Since 1973 oil embargo been concern about national security implications of America’s patterns of energy use • Especially oil supplies from the Middle East • Growing energy demands of China • Global competition for energy resources • Potential impacts of global climate change on conflict beween and within states and • Uncertain impacts of America’s growing oil and natural gas production – instability in oil producing countries, declining currency values 22 Energy and National Security II • Impacts of U.S. energy needs on its domestic and foreign policies are numerous • Massive military presence in the Middle East since 1990 • Iraq and Afghanistan have cost hundreds of billions of dollars and death or harm to thousands of servicemen • While energy needs not responsible directly role of energy central in both conflicts • Iraq’s invasion of Kuwait prompted American response to ensure Iraq would not control ever larger share of exports 23 Energy and National Security III • No accident that major energy legislation passed either in wake of or in midst US military actions in Middle East • Energy Policy Act of 1992 • Energy Policy Act of 2005 and • Energy Independence and Security Act of 2007 • American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009 (energy provisions section) • All in part responses to growing realization that oil dependence had adversely (and increasingly) impacted security in the US. • All have sought to encourage expanded production and use of alternative energy and fossil fuels (clean coal, unconventional oil and gas) • Also addressed efficiency and reliability of the electric power grid 24 Energy and National Security IV • Resulted in numerous actions • Maintaining production and use of bio fuels with a goal of producing 36 billion by 2022 • Appropriating billions of dollars for the development of carbon capture – clean coal • Offering loan guarantees for the development of nuclear power plants – though after Japan accident, unlikely to be a major resurgence of nuclear in the short term • Extending tax credits for renewable energy technologies leading to widespread small scale installation of solar and wind power in US. • Providing permits and royalty payment relief for deepwater drilling in Gulf of Mexico 25 Energy and National Security V • (actions contd.) • Deregulating markets in natural gas and electricity to increase supplies and make energy markets more efficient and responsive • Exempting oil and gas production from certain provisions of • Safe Drinking Water Act • The Clean Water Act and the • Clean Air Act • To allow for the speedy development of fracking and horizontal drilling • Investing billions of dollars in “smart grid” demonstration projects to modernize and better secure the nation’s electric power grid and • Create an Advanced Research Projects Agency for Energy to support development of new innovative energy technologies 26 Current Landscape I • Evolution of US energy policy has been characterized by ongoing redefinition of the concept of energy security • All federal legislation along with numerous other executive agency actions has promoted objective of diminishing vulnerabilities • Result – substantial convergence of values in which concerns about • National security • Economic prosperity • Environmental protection and • Long-term sustainability • All point to specific energy policy choices 27 Current Landscape II • Achieving energy security is seen as a key element in achieving a variety of objectives with regard to • National security • Economic and • Environmental • Net result for American political process is that • Defense and foreign policy • Environmental policy • Economic policy and • Energy policy • All found considerable common ground in the idea of the advancement of energy security. 28 Current Landscape III • Still longstanding values that characterized past • Abundance and • Availability • Continue to receive important support in public policy along with recently established elements of energy security • Strong element of “path dependency” • Established patterns and practices of energy production, delivery and consumption cannot be easily or quickly altered in country of 300 million people • Decisions made in past regarding energy policy now place limits on range of policy options available or timeframe in which they can be achieved. 29 Current Landscape IV • Politics of energy in US still heavily reflects strength of oil and gas industries • Policies to promote production and use of coal, oil and natural gas in spite of their detrimental environmental impact remain essential parts of US energy policy • Currently the most glaring example of apparent disconnect in energy policy is gap between goals of environmental protection and sustainability and actual energy use. • While level of renewable energy usage greater than in past it remains small proportion of total amount of energy being used in US and worldwide • Solar and wind power combined for less than 5% of US electricity generation in 2014. 30 Needs and Choices I • Currently the most glaring example of apparent disconnect in energy policy is gap between goals of environmental protection and sustainability and actual energy use. • While level of renewable energy usage greater than in past it remains small proportion of total amount of energy being used in US and worldwide • Solar and wind power combined for less than 5% of US electricity generation in 2014. 31 Needs and Choices III • For the future energy policy will continue to come in three different forms: • Supply expansion • Seeks to determine the extent to which policy measures affect the expansion of different forms of energy supply • Assumes energy needs are growing and that this demand for energy needs to be met • Problem not energy shortages – a wide variety of energy resources available – • Difficulty is converting these resources into usable energy 32 Needs and Choices IV • Focus of this framework is on barriers of conversion • Technical (statutory or regulatory) • Economic • Environmental • Geographical or • Political • How to overcome them through policy solutions • Financing • Tax incentives • Direct appropriations • Demonstration projects • Statutory or regulatory mandates 33 Needs and Choices V • Demand Management and Reduction • Focuses on policy measures to reduce the use of energy through energy efficiency and conservation • Assumes • Energy needs are growing and • New supplies are necessary • But new supplies are likely not to be sufficient. • Because so much energy is wasted through overconsumption and inefficiency policy focus on reducing demand and enhancing efficiency 34 Needs and Choices VI • Measures include • Incentives (tax credits and rebates for energy efficient equipment) • Consumer education (energy rating information on appliances) • Technological development (smart grid demand management software and hardware) • Mandates (building code standards) and • Reducing barriers to lifestyle changes that would result in reduced energy usage (city planning that would encourage walking and biking over driving 35 Needs and Choices VII • Cost Analysis • Approach based on analysis of costs and reflects understanding that best energy resources are those that minimize the costs associated with their production and use. • Costs can be defined • Narrowly in terms of financial cost to consumers (gallon of gasoline) and taxpayers (government appropriations and tax expenditures) or • More broadly – environmental, national security and social costs • Such an approach seeks to capture not only the expected costs but also the unintended costs of energy resources and the government policies involving them. 36 Needs and Choices VIII • Textbook largely pursues a combination of the first and third approach • As government seeks to enact energy policy support for various legislation and regulations meant to achieve desired set of aims • As implementation proceeds both the expected and unexpected costs of pursuing a certain initiative become apparent • Demonstrate the delimma that is inherent in a pursuit of energy security 37
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