Science Strategy and Context: A Study of the Global Top 50 Chemical Firms Mark Rerek April 3, 2001 Introduction Science strategy can be examined through an examination of a Company’s externally published research portfolio Assume a capability in a given area of science is necessary to utilize that science internally for technology development Total portfolio indicates the degree of scanning a Company believes is necessary Examine Top 50 global chemical companies (Chem Eng News July 26, 2000) using the Science Model® Eighteen Companies With Membership in Few or No Research Communities Company Sales Rank Company Sales Rank Tour Total 12 Norsk Hydro 36 Huntsman Corp. 14 Reliance Industries 37 Henkel 16 Praxair 39 Dainippon Ink & Chemicals 20 Eastman Chemical 41 Air Liquide 21 ENI 43 PPG Industries 29 Borealis 44 Equistar 30 Formosa Plastics 47 Sabic 32 Lyondell 48 BOC 34 SKW 49 Thirty Two Companies that Participate in Significant Numbers of Research Communities Company Sales Company Rank Sales Rank Company Sales Rank BASF 1 Sumitomo 13 Union Carbide 28 Dupont 2 Mitsui Chem 15 Rohm & Haas 31 Bayer 3 Aventis 17 Monsanto 33 Dow Chem 4 GE 18 Novartis 36 ExxonMobil 5 Solvay 19 Air Products 38 ICI 6 DSM 22 Celanese 40 Shell 7 Mitsubishi 23 Asahi Chemical 42 Akzo Nobel 8 Clariant 24 Honeywell 45 Degussa-Huls 9 Toray 25 Roche 46 BP Amoco 10 Ciba 26 Chevron 50 Elf Aquitaine 11 Rhodia 27 0 (40)Celanese (24)Clariant (26)Ciba (50)Chevron (28)Union Carbide (12)Elf Aquitaine (9)Degussa-Huls (8)Akzo Nobel (27)Rhodia (15)Mitsui Chem (38)Air Products (25)Toray (19)Solvay (31)Rohm&Haas (13)Sumitomo (17)Aventis (42)Asahi (10)BP Amoco (4)Dow Chem (6)ICI (22)DSM (45)Honeywell (23)Mitsubishi (7)Shell (18)GE (1)BASF (33)Monsanto (5)ExxonMobil (3)Bayer (44)Roche (2)Dupont (36)Novartis Total Communities Top 32 Global Firms: Total Research Communities 1800 1600 1400 1200 1000 800 600 400 200 Structure Of Global Science: 1999 Biochemistry Chemistry/Physics Performance Low Biomedicine High Economics Chemistry/Physics: Additional Detail ENTOMOL ECOLOGY J ZOOL PLANT PHYSIOLOGY PHYSREV D ASTROPHYS J J MATH ANAL APPL T AM MATH SOC AQUACULTURE PARASITOL INVENT MATH DISCRETE MATH LECT NOTES COMPUT SC IEEE T AUTOMATIC CONTROL IEEE T SIGNAL PROCESSING Performance Low High Chemistry/Physics: Additional Detail J SOLID STRUCTURES MAT SCI ENG A-STRUCT ENVIRON TOXICOL CHEM DAIRY SCIENCE J CHEM PHYS ANAL CHEM JACS COLLOID MACRO MOL PHYS REV B APPL PHYS LETT GEO PHYSICS Chem/Phys Central Network Performance APPL OPTICS Low High CHEM ENG SCI Chemistry/Physics:Additional Detail Drill Down to Central Node LINEAR TECH PHYS LETT+ FLUID PHASE ALGEBRA APPL EQUIL J THERM ANAL CALORIM J CHEM PHYS J MED CHEM OIL GAS SCI TECH J AM CHEM SOC J AM CHEM SOC and APPL PHYS LETT drive central Network PHYS REV B APPL PHYS LETT J CATAL COLLOID NUCL INSTRUM METH A MACRO MOL LIQ CRYST Performance Low High 25% of Global Science Model Communities IEEE T MICROWAVE THEORY Conclusions on Context Importance of Chemistry and Physics to each other Strong relationship between Agricultural Science and the Chemistry/Physics world Lack of strong relationships to Biochemistry world Implies difficulty in going from chemistry-based science to pharmaceutical science based in biochemistry There are fewer opportunities in Chemistry than Biochemistry The place to look for new breakthrough opportunities is in high performing areas of physics that can be leveraged in chemistry Chemistry Disciplines in Subsequent Analyses J AM CHEM SOC MACROMOLECULES J MED CHEM J CHEM ENG SCI J CHEM TOXICOL LIQ CRYST J SOLID STRUCTURES J CHEM PHYS ANAL CHEM J COLLOID INTERFAC SCI J THERM ANAL CALORIM MAT SCI ENG A SOLIDS J CATAL Blue = outside central node Total Research Communities for Top Ten Chemical Companies in Sales 1200 Biochem & Biomed Phys Comms Chem Comms 1000 800 600 400 (10)BP Amoco (9)DegussaHuls (8)Akzo Nobel (7)Shell (6)ICI (5)ExxonMobil (4)Dow Chem (3)Bayer (2)Dupont 0 (1)BASF 200 0 (40)Celanese (24)Clariant (26)Ciba (50)Chevron (28)Union Carbide (12)Elf Aquitaine (9)Degussa-Huls (8)Akzo Nobel (27)Rhodia (15)Mitsui Chem (38)Air Products 1000 (25)Toray 1200 (19)Solvay 1400 (31)Rohm&Haas (13)Sumitomo (17)Aventis (42)Asahi (10)BP Amoco (4)Dow Chem (6)ICI (22)DSM (45)Honeywell (23)Mitsubishi (7)Shell (18)GE (1)BASF (33)Monsanto (5)ExxonMobil (3)Bayer (44)Roche (2)Dupont (36)Novartis Total Communities Top 32 Firms: Total Research Communities 1800 1600 Biochem & Biomed Physics Chemistry 800 600 400 200 Biochem & Biomed Physics (5)ExxonMobil (3)Bayer (44)Roche Chemistry (2)Dupont 1800 1600 1400 1200 1000 800 600 400 200 0 (36)Novartis Total Communities Top Five Firms: Total Research Communities 0 (19)Solvay (31)Rohm&Haas (13)Sumitomo (17)Aventis (42)Asahi (10)BP Amoco (4)Dow Chem (6)ICI (22)DSM (45)Honeywell (23)Mitsubishi (7)Shell (18)GE (1)BASF (33)Monsanto Total Communities Next Fifteen Firms: Total Research Communities 400 350 Biochem & Biomed 300 Physics 250 Chemistry 200 150 100 50 0 (40)Celanese (24)Clariant 80 (26)Ciba 100 (50)Chevron (28)Union Carbide (12)Elf Aquitaine (9)DegussaHuls (8)Akzo Nobel (27)Rhodia (15)Mitsui Chem (38)Air Products (25)Toray Total Communities Remaining 12 Firms: Total Research Communities 120 Biochem & Biomed Physics Chemistry 60 40 20 Research Portfolios: Diversified versus Focus Diversified: Seven broadly diversified Seven Chemical firms aspiring to Pharmaceuticals Five Petrochemicals Focused: Ten Chemistry Two Pharmaceutical One Physics 0 (25)Toray (19)Solvay (50)Chevron (40)Celanese (42)Asahi (9)Degussa-Huls (45)Honeywell (15)Mitsui Chem 300 (24)Clariant 350 (26)Ciba (28)Union Carbide (12)Elf Aquitaine (27)Rhodia (13)Sumitomo (8)Akzo Nobel (17)Aventis (18)GE (44)Roche (38)Air Products (23)Mitsubishi (10)BP Amoco (31)Rohm&Haas (33)Monsanto (4)Dow Chem (7)Shell (3)Bayer (6)ICI (22)DSM (1)BASF (5)ExxonMobil (36)Novartis (2)Dupont Chemistry Communities Top 32 Firms: Total Chemistry Communities 450 400 4 Companies over 200 9 Companies over 100 250 17 Companies over 50 200 150 100 50 Relationship Between Chemical Sales and Number of Chemical Research Communities Number of Chemical Research Communities 500 400 r2 = 0.85 Slope = 15.3 300 Novartis 200 r2 = 0.95 Slope = 7.2 100 groups significantly different (P<.001) by Tukey Test 0 0 5 10 15 20 Chemical Sales ($b) 25 30 35 The Relationship Holds Using log Scales 2.8 log Total Chemistry Communities r2 = 0.73 2.6 Novartis 2.4 2.2 r2 = 0.87 2.0 1.8 1.6 groups significantly different (P<.001) By Tukey Test 1.4 1.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.2 log Chemical Sales 1.4 1.6 Conclusions on Chemical Sales and Number of Research Communities There is a definite correlation between chemical sales and number of research communities for the 32 firms participating in research communities Two strategies: one group participates in twice as many communities as the other For the Global Top 50, there are three strategies including a minimal participation in research communities Three degrees of absorptive capacities Speculation on Three Levels of Absorptive Capacities Minimal participation = r&D approach Improvement is necessary for the future Achieved through internal focus 1X participation = R&D approach Invention is necessary for the future Balance between internal and external 2X participation = R2&D approach Innovation is necessary for the future External focus because world of science is much bigger than we are Science Strategy Conclusions An examination of the Global Top 50 Chemical Firms through the Science Model® reveals some very interesting information on diversification and research strategies in chemistry Broad set of Diversification Strategies Three Science Strategies within Chemistry Acknowledgement Data from Center for Research Planning
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