Daniel A. Katzenberger Harvard Extension/January Term ENVR – E-200: Research Methods for Thesis Development January 10, 2016 Homework Assignment #3 Proposal Outline Title Optimizing Indoor Air Quality for Human Health, Cognitive Performance, Building Life Cycle Costs, and Long Term Environmental Sustainability Abstract Place Abstract Here Table of Contents Place TOC Here Introduction Research Significance & Objectives You might just cut and paste your most significance and objective statements here from the most recent version of your slides Significance To improve the lives of people that spend time in buildings. [This section will be expanded in future iterations.] Objectives [will be re-written after Background and Methods sections are completed.] • To determine the optimum feasible ventilation rate(s) for buildings designed for human occupancy based on human health and cognitive performance, economic life-cycle costs, and overall long-term environmental impacts. • To suggest changes to existing building codes, standards, and voluntary green building rating systems to encourage building owners and operators to construct and operate their buildings in a manner that optimizes human health and cognitive performance and building life-cycle costs, while minimizing long-term negative environmental impacts normally associated with increases in outside airflow rates. Background Use subtitles to divide this into sections as part of your outline. Then outline the specific main points or paragraphs you would cover under each topic reviewed, as organized by your subtitles Daniel A. Katzenberger Harvard Extension/January Term ENVR – E-200: Research Methods for Thesis Development January 10, 2016 Homework Assignment #3 Proposal Outline Opening paragraph Describe how many hours, on average, people spend inside buildings today. Describe recent HSPH (Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health) findings about link between CO2 levels and cognitive performance. Describe other human health benefits of improved IAQ (Indoor Air Quality). Describe how current ventilation standards are based on minimum requirements, and that these do not optimize for human health/performance, building location/climate, energy use, etc. Describe the purpose of the minimum airflow rates mandated by ASHRAE 62.1 (i.e., to reduce occupant complaints due to odors, but cite the original source). Describe the up and down history of ventilation rates (e.g. reaction to 1973 oil embargo, follow-up reaction due to sick building syndrome, etc.). See figure on next page for a visual of this. Describe the energy profile of buildings throughout the U.S. (and the world?) Describe how the energy pie is distributed throughout buildings (HVAC, lighting, etc.) Describe how there is a lack of coordination between ventilation rates and energy used for ventilating buildings. (e.g., ASHRAE 62.1 does not address energy, ASHRAE 90.1 does not address ventilation directly, etc.) Finally, describe briefly the connection between green building standards, energy use, and ventilation rates in buildings. Green Building Paragraph Describe the most significant green building standards in the U.S. (e.g., LEED, Living Building Challenge, Green Globes, Title 24, etc.) Describe how each standard addresses ventilation and IAQ within buildings Describe how each standard addresses energy as it relates to IAQ Give an example of LEED, EAp2: Minimum Energy Performance, IEQp1: Minimum Indoor Air Quality, and IEqc2: Increased Ventilation, and how this has been seen by industry as simply a trade-off between one point in IEQc2 vs one point in EAp2 (e.g., more ventilation = more energy). Describe why this is not an optimum solution to the problem at hand. Conclude with a remark about industry needing a better way to determine ventilation rates in buildings, one that optimized not only for energy and for airflow rate(s), but also for human health and cognitive performance, life-cycle costs, and environmental impacts. Previous Studies Paragraph Talk about the three primary studies that have led to this research (all three Harvard School of Public Health papers written in 2015 have been uploaded with this assignment). An example quote follows: “Overall, the initial scientific evidence published to date indicates better measured and perceived indoor environmental quality and health in green buildings versus non-green Daniel A. Katzenberger Harvard Extension/January Term ENVR – E-200: Research Methods for Thesis Development January 10, 2016 Homework Assignment #3 Proposal Outline buildings. For indoor environmental quality, green buildings had lower levels of VOCs, formaldehyde, allergens, ETS, NO2, and PM. Many of these environmental contaminants that have been linked to adverse health effects are explicitly addressed in green building design credits, so these early findings suggest that the design elements targeted at improved IEQ translate to significant reductions in actual exposure.” (2015, “Green Buildings and Health,” Joseph G. Allen, Piers MacNaughton, John D. Spengler, et. at.) Include a quote from the “Cognitive Performance” study that directly addresses the correlation between decreasing CO2 levels in buildings and increased human cognitive performance. This is the study and the quote, when inserted, that will become the primary motivation for this follow-up study. More In-Depth Analysis of ASHRAE 62.1, its history, and where it stands today… e.g., The following figure shows the history of ASHVE/ASHRAE ventilation rates, 1900 – 2001. Note the drop in 1981 in response to the 1973 oil embargo. Note also the significant increase in 1989 as a result of sick building syndrome (and possibly related lawsuits). Figure Source: http://tc43.ashraetcs.org/docs/Presentation_2003_KC_Kohloss.pdf (This link is broken; however, I will cite the actual paper that includes this figure after I retrieve it from my computer in Minnesota. Before I am finished with this proposal I plan on updating this figure through ASHRAE Standard 62.1-2013, which is the most recent version of the standard; with a new version due in 2016.) Bring It All Together Daniel A. Katzenberger Harvard Extension/January Term ENVR – E-200: Research Methods for Thesis Development January 10, 2016 Homework Assignment #3 Proposal Outline At this point I will begin to bring all of the pieces together, sum up what has already been said, and then propose the research. o People spend a majority of their times in buildings o Buildings can have both positive and negative effects on people and on the environment. o Building codes and standards have typically been written in silos, without detailed consideration of interactive effects (e.g., between ventilation codes and energy codes, especially as related to building locations/climate). o New research suggests that we should revisit our ventilation standards; e.g., we might want to consider increasing outside airflow rates in order to reduce inside CO2 levels to increase occupants’ health and cognitive performance. o However, this should be done in the context of what we know about IAQ and human health, ventilation and energy, energy and costs, energy and the environment, etc. o The purposes of this study and this paper are to Determine where we are today in terms of ventilation standards, green building standards, and existing buildings’ ventilation performance. Determine what is working in terms of improving IAQ (mention quick examples, e.g., LEED IEQc2, CO2 control of outside air, energy recovery, etc.) Analyze actual building IAQ performance to learn if we operate our buildings as the original designer intended. Determine if IAQ should/could be improved based on our most current scientific understandings. If so, determine if there is an optimized ventilation rate and/or control strategy (or control strategy design standard that might be based on local climate, energy sources, etc.) that maximizes human health and cognitive performance while minimizing overall lifecycle costs (possibly including savings from human performance listed above) and environmental impacts. Note-to-self for future consideration: When considering the LCC of increased ventilation, consider who is paying for the building design and operation (building owner and operator) vs. who benefits from the increased ventilation rates (building occupants and tenants). This is not a trivial consideration since owners may be reluctant to pay for improvements that benefit only the tenants financially. Daniel A. Katzenberger Harvard Extension/January Term ENVR – E-200: Research Methods for Thesis Development January 10, 2016 Homework Assignment #3 Proposal Outline Research Question/Hypothesis Select a model for presenting your main research questions and/or hypotheses. For instance, you might have an overall research question, then two or more specific hypotheses that illustrate the main predictions your research will address. Question: As stated in “Green Buildings and Health,” (PDF submitted with this assignment) “…the initial scientific evidence published to date indicates better measured and perceived indoor environmental quality and health in green buildings versus nongreen buildings.” One question that this my research hopes to address is, what contributes to this finding? One possibility is that green buildings might provide more outside air than a non-green building. This might be the case because green building certification programs set a minimum ventilation standard (typically ASHRAE Standard 62.1, which is the industry minimum standard of care), and also because green building certification programs require an independent third party review of the pre-green-certified construction documents. Because ASHRAE Standard 62.1 is the industry minimum of care that most HVAC system designers use (may need a source for this statement) it may be the independent third party review that results in design changes that correlate with an increase in outside air being delivered to the buildings. Stating this in hypothesis form… Hypothesis #1: Independent third party reviews of ASHRAE 62.1-2007 ventilation rate procedure calculations positively correlate with increased design outside airflow rates being specified for buildings. The null hypothesis being that there is no correlation between independent third party reviews and increases in outside airflow rates being specified in buildings. However, even if we reject the null hypothesis in H1 (as we might expect to do), it would be helpful to verify that the design outside airflow values specified in buildings also result in actual differences in indoor air quality (as measured using CO2 concentrations or actual building ventilation airflow rates) within the completed and occupied buildings. Stating this is hypothesis form… Hypothesis #2: Measured indoor air CO2 concentrations (or ventilation system outside airflow rates) in certified green buildings negatively correlate (CO2 levels being inversely proportional with increased outside airflow ventilation rates, e.g., more outside air results in lower inside CO2 levels) with increased outside airflow rates specified in the building green-certified construction documents. The null hypothesis being that there is no correlation between the outside airflow rates specified in the construction documents and the resulting CO2 levels measured in the completed and occupied buildings. Hypothesis #1 asks whether green buildings are designed to provide at least (or more than) ASHRAE Standard 62.1-2007 (may want to enlarge scope to include more recent version(s) of 62.1) minimum ventilation rates and hypothesis #2 asks if indoor air quality, as measured using indoor CO2 concentrations, is correlated with the design specification of the ventilation system. If we determine that independent third party review results in Daniel A. Katzenberger Harvard Extension/January Term ENVR – E-200: Research Methods for Thesis Development January 10, 2016 Homework Assignment #3 Proposal Outline increased design ventilation rates and if we also conclude that the measured CO2 concentrations in the finished buildings correlate with the specified values, then we might conclude that the improvement in indoor air quality, at least in part, is a result of the independent third party review of the ventilation rate procedure calculations. Buildings not seeking green building certification are not required to submit to an independent third party review of the ventilation rate procedure calculations; therefore, these buildings may end up with inadequate ventilation simply because they did not participate in an independent third party review of their ventilation calculations. Confounding factors to consider are: green building certification programs also have a construction and post-construction commissioning component, which acts as a further quality control check of the ventilation rate procedure calculations confirmed earlier in the design process, some buildings are provided with scheduled outside air, CO2 control of outside air, night-time cooling, economizer modes which increase outside air when this results in free cooling, etc. The final study design must take into account these confounding factors to ensure that the study results are correct for the building type(s), location(s), and HVAC system variables selected. Assuming that the outcome of H1 and H2 concludes (not exactly the right word) that buildings are being operated to meet their design specifications (or possibly even if they are not), the following follow-up questions might be addressed by this study. Question 1: How much might outside airflow rates be increased in the buildings included in this study, based on the equipment types and sizes included in the project? For example, suppose a building is achieving an indoor CO2 concentration of 1,000 ppm, how much additional outside air could the HVAC systems bring into the building without affecting internal comfort conditions, and what would be the resulting concentration of CO2 after making this adjustment? How might the outside air temperature and humidity readings affect this throughout a typical meteorological year (i.e., more outside air would be expected to be possible during spring and fall without affecting system performance, whereas less outside air would be expected to be possible during peak heating and peak cooling conditions when HVAC systems are already operating at maximum design levels)? [In an ideal world, I would like to make these adjustments, measure the indoor air quality, and measure the increase in energy use; however, given the schedule, scope, and budget for this work, making such aggressive changes to an existing building is not likely.] Question 2: How much additional heating and cooling equipment capacity would be required to increase the outside airflow rate(s) even further, in 10% increments, up to 100% outside air? For example, if the original building is supplying 20% outside air during peak heating or cooling modes, how much additional heating or cooling capacity would be required to increase the outside airflow rate to 30%, 40%, etc., up to 100%? Daniel A. Katzenberger Harvard Extension/January Term ENVR – E-200: Research Methods for Thesis Development January 10, 2016 Homework Assignment #3 Proposal Outline Question 3: How much would equipment and construction costs be estimated to increase to provide increasing outside airflow rates as specified in question 2 (possibly for both the existing/study buildings and also the same buildings remodeled as new buildings)? Question 4: How much would energy costs and combustion related emissions (e.g, coal burning at the electric power plant) be estimated to increase to provide increasing outside airflow rates as specified in question 2? This question covers both energy costs and environmental impacts related to increased energy use. This may be split up into two questions, for clarity. Question 5: Given the findings of “Associations of Cognitive Function Scores with Carbon Dioxide, Ventilation, and Volatile Organic Compound Exposures in Office Workers: A Controlled Exposure Study of Green and Conventional Office Environments,” (copy submitted with this assignment) which showed significant cognitive performance improvements when decreasing inside CO2 concentrations from 1,400 ppm to 945 ppm to 550 ppm, what level(s) of CO2 concentrations are feasible to achieve in the buildings included in the study based first on technical limitations of the existing equipment, but then based on financial life-cycle-cost issues that take into account equipment costs, operational costs, and estimated improvements in human performance (as discussed in “Economic, Environmental and Health Implications of Enhanced Ventilation in Office Buildings”)? Daniel A. Katzenberger Harvard Extension/January Term ENVR – E-200: Research Methods for Thesis Development January 10, 2016 Homework Assignment #3 Proposal Outline Specific Aims You can revise and add to the list you included in your slides. The more specific these show the set of research tasks you need to complete, the better H1: H2: Q1: Q2: Q3: Q4: Collect LEED documentation on a subset of LEED buildings that have been certified and constructed in the U.S. Analyze the LEED documentation related to ventilation calculations to determine if there are relationships between presubmission (preliminary) and postsubmission (final) calculations. Summarize the findings of the LEED documentation review. Collect field measurements of IAQ parameters of all or a subset of buildings from H1 Compare the field measured data to the final LEED submission data from H1 and determine if there are relationships between the design intent (LEED documentation) and field operations (field measurements). Summarize the findings of the field work. Based on the results of H1 and H2, and based on the HVAC equipment included in the buildings, determine how much outside air can be increased without exceeding the capacity of the equipment installed in the building. Determine how much additional capacity would be required to increase outside airflow rates even further, beyond the capacity of the existing equipment in the building, up to and including equipment that could supply 100% outside air while maintaining thermal comfort conditions throughout the buildings and throughout the year. Estimate the equipment, construction, and maintenance costs associated with adding or modifying building HVAC equipment in order to meet the additional requirements as determined in Q2. Estimate the annual operating (energy) costs associated with adding or modifying building HVAC equipment and operating it in order to meet the additional requirements as determined in Q2. Also translate this additional energy use into emissions values for determining the environmental impact of changing the study variables. Daniel A. Katzenberger Harvard Extension/January Term ENVR – E-200: Research Methods for Thesis Development January 10, 2016 Homework Assignment #3 Proposal Outline Q5 Analyze the results of H1, H2, and Q1 – Q4 to determine if there is an optimum amount of outside air based on human heath, cognitive performance, equipment life-cycle costs, and environmental impacts. [Note that this last bit is not yet clear in my mind, and will depend to some extent on the findings of the hypotheses and questions above; however, I can envision an optimized system that would include energy recovery, CO2 controls, and climate and season specific programming that would allow an increase in outside air to improve human health and cognitive performance while also minimizing energy costs and associated combustion emissions; in other words, a system that maximized outside air intake while meeting cost and environmental impact parameters, as yet to be determined.] Methods Research Design Outline the main elements of the research design that specifies how you are addressing your research question/hypothesis and specific aims. Where is your data coming from and what is your overall research approach? Following is an overall plan for my research, not specifically written as aims or methods, but more just a general summary of things that I think I need to accomplish. Aims were already included above, and methods follow: First, I will collect publically available data on a subset of LEED certified buildings in the U.S. From this subset, I will determine a random sample size of buildings to include in the study I will then request LEED specific data from each of the buildings from the building owners and/or project teams. I will analyze the provided data as outlined in Methods, below. I will summarize conclusions for H1 Then I will select all or a smaller subset of the buildings for field verification. I will send data-logging equipment (or request reports from the building management system, if applicable) to determine actual building ventilation system performance. I will use the collected data to compare actual building ventilation system performance to the original design specification, and describe any correlations, differences, etc. I will summarize conclusions for H2 For the remaining questions (Q1 – Q5, so far), I will create virtual models of all or a subset of the buildings from H2 and run models to answer the questions presented related to ventilation system performance, HVAC system installation and operation costs (installation costs will be estimated based on building Daniel A. Katzenberger Harvard Extension/January Term ENVR – E-200: Research Methods for Thesis Development January 10, 2016 Homework Assignment #3 Proposal Outline standards, e.g., “Means” or vendor quotes and operation/energy costs will be based on local energy rates), and other variables included in the study. If a pattern emerges that suggests a design process might be necessary to optimize the building, then I will summarize this design process to include ventilation system design in relation to building type, size, location, energy/fuel sources, etc. Methods Outline your methods of collecting data, selecting samples, and analyzing data. Define variables you will use in analyses, and your approach to analyzing data or models. These might be tests of statistical hypotheses or comparing different scenarios in spreadsheet models, for instance. Be sure your methods address all your specific aims. H1 Determine a subset of buildings to analyze, beginning with a randomly selected subset of buildings that have gone through the LEED certification review process. Request from and obtain copies of the design presubmission (preliminary) LEED documentation and the design final LEED documentation for (list specific credits here, but at a minimum, IEQp1, IEQc2, if applicable, and EAp2, if available. Others may be of interest as well) from building owners and/or project design teams (building owners preferred). Sort the subset of buildings by LEED strategies pursued (e.g., IEQp1: Minimum Indoor Air Quality Performance vs IEQc2: 30% Increased Ventilation, etc.) Calculate the outside airflow rates per person, per square foot, and as a percentage of the design supply airflow rates for all HVAC units providing outside air to the building. Do this for both the presubmission documentation and the final review documentation. Calculate what the anticipated indoor CO2 level is expected to be based on the final VRP calculations, based on ASHRAE 62.1 methodology. Statistically determine if there is a correlation between the presubmission (preliminary) VRP calculations and the final submission VRP calculations. [I anticipate that the final submission calculations will show increased outside airflow rates compared to the presubmission (preliminary) calculations. If so, this would confirm (probably not the correct word) that the GBCI LEED certification review (third party independent review) does results in project teams increasing outside airflow rates, and that projects not receiving a third party review may be provided with lower ventilation rates compared to a LEED building. Summarize results for H1. H2 Determine a random subset of buildings to analyze from H1, or select all, depending on the size and final study scope. Request permission to collect data on ventilation system performance. Daniel A. Katzenberger Harvard Extension/January Term ENVR – E-200: Research Methods for Thesis Development January 10, 2016 Homework Assignment #3 Proposal Outline Collect data on indoor air CO2 concentrations or actual ventilation rates as measured at the outside air intake, or both. Collection will be via site installed CO2 and temperature data-loggers, field measurements of outside airflow rates at the HVAC system level, or using outputs from the building management control system computer, if one exists (and has been recently calibrated). Compare all collected data with the design documentation collected in H1. Statistically determine if there is a correlation between the final building design specifications and the actual building performance. If differences are found, further study may be suggested to find the cause of the differences (e.g., incorrect installation, post-construction changes made by the building manager, etc.) [It is anticipated that the findings will show a variance between the design outside airflow values and the actual field measured data, so a follow up study may be necessary to determine the cause of any differences.] Q1 – Q5: Create computer and/or spreadsheet models, as needed, to model the systems and answer the questions. Estimate equipment purchase, installation, and maintenance costs. Model energy profiles and estimate energy operational costs based on building location, climate, local utility rates, etc. (e.g., buildings in Malibu, which has a mild climate, generally require less heat for ventilation than, say, a building in Ely, MN, which has an arctic-like climate.) From the previous models, determine energy related atmospheric emissions resulting from each model. Summarize all aspects of the models including ventilation rate(s) achieved/achievable, resulting performance in terms of human health and cognitive performance (as compared to HSPH study outcomes), building lifecycle cost analysis related to the proposed changes, and environmental impacts associated with any proposed changes. Review the data from all simulations to determine if there is an optimum ventilation rate that would maximize ventilation while also minimizing costs and negative environmental impacts. [This is the tricky part, and I am not sure what the data will show. I am hoping that there might be a multi-variable analysis that will show some statistical relationship between the different variables, and that an “optimum” solution might present itself. I won’t really know if this is true until I collect the data and run the models.] Research Limitations TBD Research Schedule TBD Daniel A. Katzenberger Harvard Extension/January Term ENVR – E-200: Research Methods for Thesis Development Bibliography TBD January 10, 2016 Homework Assignment #3 Proposal Outline
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