PLAY SPOTLIGHT: GETTING READY FOR WHEN THE EAGLE FORD SOARS Stephen Morgan, Vice President THE INDUSTRY DOWNTURN – WE KNOW THE STORY Significant outspend of cash flow Highly levered balance sheets Analysts attach high trading multiples to companies with increased production Wall Street rewards aggressive growth Cheap capital permits an over leveraged market Nov 2014 - Saudi Arabia declines to cut production The downturn begins THE DAMAGE Oil prices dropped to 18-year low U.S. rig count falls from 1,913 to a low of 404 U.S. production declines 12% 90 producers and 83 service companies declare bankruptcy Industry wide layoffs “The Great Crew Change” in flux POSITIONED TO “WEATHER THE STORM” Disciplined financial management Conservative business practices Focus on core competencies Manageable asset inventory Recurring revenue business model MANAGING THE DOWNTURN Cutting Cost without sacrificing service: Reduce non-essential personnel Leverage in-house talent Lower 3rd-party expenses Optimize technical expertise Work the numbers Creating value Short-term incentives for long term commitments Aggressively seeking value-added optimization opportunities Becoming our customers go-to consultant TRANSTEX TREATING PREPARED FOR THE UPTURN PEOPLE: OUR MOST IMPORTANT ASSET Retained skilled work force Continued emphasis on technical training & education Multi-disciplined roles Deliver value for our customers STAYING ENGAGED With our customer With our industry With our team A BRIGHTER FUTURE New technologies and improved methodologies drive economic development at significantly lower oil prices Bloomberg reports that select parts of the Eagle Ford are profitable at $30 per barrel NEW WELL OIL PRODUCTION PER RIG Barrels per day in the first full month 1400 1200 1000 800 600 400 200 0 Bakken Eagle Ford 2013 Source: EIA 2014 2015 Permian 2016* NATURAL GAS OUTLOOK EIA's forecast of total natural gas consumption averages 76.4 Bcf/d in 2016 and 77.1 Bcf/d in 2017, compared with 75.2 Bcf/d in 2015. In 2016, increases in total natural gas consumption are mainly because of electric power sector use of natural gas, which is expected to increase by 5.4%. Forecast industrial sector consumption of natural gas increases by 2.3% in 2016 and by 1.0% in 2017. Natural gas use positioned to overtake coal this year for the first time ever (EIA). U.S. power producers consumed a seasonal record amount of natural gas in June, up 9% from a year earlier, while coal shipments are down by more than 25% year to date (Association of American Railroads). UNTAPPED NATURAL GAS OPPORTUNITY Mexican imports of U.S. gas have skyrocketed 92% since 2008 Export capacity projected to grow to over 7 billion cubic feet per day (Bcf/d), Mexico could start taking 10% of U.S. production—in a very short time frame, The main growth in Mexico's appetite for natural gas is expected to come from the power sector. The CFE (Federal Electricity Commision) is reporting 1,600 MW of fuel oil to natural gas plant conversions for 2016. In addition, over 12 GW of new build combined cycle power plants are anticipated by 2020. Mexico is shifting its dependence on fuel oil and imported LNG towards natural gas, but since its domestic gas production is in decline, US gas will be a big part of its energy future By 2020, power generation could account for almost 2.0 Bcf/d of additional Mexican demand. TRANSTEX TREATING HANDLING ALL YOUR GAS TREATING & PROCESSING NEEDS Stephen Morgan [email protected] www.transtextreating.com 713-654-4440
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