Realizing Ambisyon Natin 2040 by Dr. Rosemarie Edillon

Rosemarie G. Edillon, PhD.
Deputy Director-General
Policy and Planning, NEDA
1
The Life We Want
2
What Filipinos want
to be
What Filipinos want
to have
What Filipinos want
to do
3
What is a “matatag, maginhawa at panatag na buhay” ?
Own at least
one car
Have enough
money for dayto-day needs
Own a
medium-sized
home
Decent work
All children are
college-educated
Relax with
family and
friends
Business
owner
Able to take
occasional trips
around the
country
4
Owning a car is desired more by the higher SEC, males and working while Es, females and
unemployed would opt for good public transport
Ideas of Life Status - VEHICLE/TRANSPORTATION (Demographics)
SEC
ABC
Total (NET)
AGE
GENDER
AB
C1
C2
D
E
15-19
20-29
30-39
40-50
Male
WORK STATUS
Not
Female Working Working Student
BASE - Total interviews:
Unweighted row
10000
2280
60
493
1727
4784
2936
1511
3057
2967
2465
5002
4998
4927
4058
1015
Weighted
10000
2260
60
482
1717
4820
2921
1978
3211
2594
2217
5032
4968
4653
4042
1305
%
%
%
%
%
%
%
%
%
%
%
%
%
%
%
%
Owns a car, even if only one
62
68
59
67
68
62
57
62
62
62
60
63
61
63
59
64
Can afford good public
transportation
35
28
22
27
28
35
41
35
35
35
37
34
37
34
38
33
Has more than one car
3
5
19
6
4
3
2
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
4
NA
Refused (vol.)
Don't Know (vol.)
*
*
-
-
*
*
*
*
*
-
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
-
-
Higher mention on owning one car in Luzon and Mindanao and good
public transportation in Visayas
Ideas of Life Status - VEHICLE/TRANSPORTATION (Area)
AREA
LUZON VIS MIN
Total (NET) (NET) (NET)
BASE - Total interviews:
Unweighted row
10000
5710
1910
2380
Weighted
10000
5650
1940
2410
%
%
%
%
Owns a car, even if only one
62
65
45
66
Can afford good public
transportation
35
31
53
31
Has more than one car
3
4
2
3
NA
Refused (vol.)
Don't Know (vol.)
*
*
-
*
*
A job with enough salary is desired by Es, males and unemployed while upper
income class want a big business
Ideas of Life Status - OCCUPATION (Demographics)
SEC
AGE
GENDER
WORK STATUS
Total
ABC
(NET)
AB
C1
C2
D
E
15-19
20-29
30-39
40-50
Male
10000
10000
2280
2260
60
60
493
482
1727
1717
4784
4820
2936
2921
1511
1978
3057
3211
2967
2594
2465
2217
5002
5032
4998
4968
4927
4653
4058
4042
1015
1305
Female Working
Not
Student
Working
BASE - Total interviews:
Unweighted row
Weighted
%
%
%
%
%
%
%
%
%
%
%
%
%
%
%
%
Has good source of income or job
that has enough salary for my
needs.
44
40
36
38
41
42
50
44
42
47
44
45
42
44
45
40
Has own business with enough
earnings or revenue for my needs
29
29
27
30
29
30
27
24
30
30
31
27
30
30
29
23
Has own business with high
earnings or revenue
15
18
34
18
18
15
12
14
16
14
16
14
16
15
14
16
Has high level job with big salary
13
13
3
13
13
13
11
18
13
10
10
14
12
12
11
20
*
-
-
*
*
-
*
*
*
*
*
-
*
-
*
*
*
-
*
-
*
*
NA
Refused (vol.)
Don't Know (vol.)
Self-employment and working in the Philippines is
desired more
Preferred Type of
Occupation
Desired Occupation
Employer in own
family-operated…
47
Self-employed
without any paid…
22
Work for private
establishment
20
Work for government
or government…
20
Work with pay in own
family-operated…
18
Work for private
household
5
6
7
22
12 16
Own business/
livelihood
Work for other
people/company
17 12
12 14 15 20
9
Province
Big city
13
10
Abroad
Base: Total Interviews unwtd/wtd (10000/10000)
32
5
5
20
10 14
35
Philippines
Small house with wide yard is the most preferred dwelling type.
Filipinos are divided in terms of community type preference
Preferred Dwelling Type
Preferred Community to Live In
Small house, wide lot
area
73
Big house, small lot
area
Townhouse/ Duplex
14
7
Rowhouse
3
Apartment
Condo
Town in the
province
33
Big city in like
Manila
30
Small city in
the province
29
2
Farm or
mountain
5
1
Another
country
3
Base: Total Interviews unwtd/wtd (10000/10000)
Small house is more preferred by Es and older group while big house is preferred
by ABCs and younger segments
Preferred Dwelling Type
SEC
ABC
TOTAL (NET)
AGE
AB
C1
C2
D
E
GENDER
15-19 20-29 30-39 40-50
Male
WORK STATUS
Not
Female Working Working Student
BASE - Total interviews:
Unweighted
Weighted
10000
10000
2280
2260
60
60
493
482
1727
1717
4784
4820
2936
2921
1511
1978
3057
3211
2967
2594
2465
2217
5002
5032
4998
4968
4927
4653
4058
4042
1015
1305
%
%
%
%
%
%
%
%
%
%
%
%
%
%
%
%
Small house but with wide lot area
73
63
50
59
65
73
79
62
73
74
79
73
73
75
74
60
Big house but with small lot area
14
18
25
20
17
14
12
21
13
13
11
14
15
13
14
22
Townhouse/ Duplex
7
10
8
10
9
7
5
8
7
6
5
7
7
6
7
9
Rowhouse
3
5
5
5
4
3
3
4
3
4
3
4
3
3
4
3
Apartment
2
2
-
2
2
1
1
2
2
1
1
2
1
2
1
2
Condo
1
3
12
3
2
1
1
2
1
1
1
2
1
1
1
4
Refused
*
*
-
-
*
-
*
-
*
*
-
*
-
*
-
*
Dont Know
-
-
-
*
-
-
*
*
-
-
-
*
-
-
*
-
Vacation abroad is more aspired by higher income class, younger group,
females and students
Ideas of Life Status - VACATION (Demographics)
SEC
AGE
GENDER
WORK STATUS
Total
ABC
(NET)
AB
C1
C2
D
E
15-19
20-29
30-39
40-50
Male
10000
10000
2280
2260
60
60
493
482
1727
1717
4784
4820
2936
2921
1511
1978
3057
3211
2967
2594
2465
2217
5002
5032
4998
4968
4927
4653
4058
4042
1015
1305
%
%
%
%
%
%
%
%
%
%
%
%
%
%
%
%
Occassionally goes on trips in
places in the Philippines
80
74
61
70
76
80
84
74
78
83
84
81
78
82
81
69
Can travel to have vacation in other
country
19
25
39
30
24
19
14
26
21
15
14
18
21
17
18
31
NA
Refused (vol.)
Don't Know (vol.)
*
*
1
*
*
-
*
-
*
*
*
*
*
1
*
1
*
*
*
*
*
1
1
*
1
1
*
1
*
*
1
1
*
1
1
*
1
*
*
1
*
*
*
Female Working
Not
Student
Working
BASE - Total interviews:
Unweighted row
Weighted
Going to vacation abroad skews to VisMin
Total
LUZON
(NET)
VIS
(NET)
MIN
(NET)
10000
10000
5710
5650
1910
1940
2380
2410
%
%
%
%
Occassionally goes on trips in
places in the Philippines
80
84
76
74
Can travel to have vacation in other
country
19
16
21
25
NA
Refused (vol.)
Don't Know (vol.)
*
*
1
*
*
*
2
1
1
*
1
BASE - Total interviews:
Unweighted row
Weighted
Ideas of Life Status – VACATION (Area)
13
The Life We Want
Matatag
•
•
Living together with family
Time with family and
friends (work/life balance)
Maginhawa
•
•
•
•
Freedom from hunger
and poverty
Guaranteed mobility
Secure home ownership
Travel and vacation
opportunities
Panatag
•
•
•
Resources adequate for
day-to-day needs and
unexpected expenses
Security of place
Passive income during
retirement
14
Filipinos are generally optimistic about
the future
General Future
CONFIDENT
NOT CONFIDENT
NET CONFIDENCE
90
10
80
87
12
75
41
Education
Health
83
16
67
80
19
61
39
33
33
28
49
50
48
50
47
9
3
9
3
13
3
Achieving Desired
Life Status
Achieving
Personal
Aspirations
Definitely not confident
14
5
Filipinos Will
Family
Have High Standard Will Have Good
of Living
Health
Somewhat not confident
Base: Total Interviews unwtd/wtd (10000/10000)
79
21
58
16
5
Ability to
Pay for Medical
Expenses
Somewhat confident
90
10
80
House
89
11
78
48
44
41
45
8
2
9
2
Education of
Children
Ability
to Buy A House
Definitely confident
What is a “matatag, maginahwa at panatag na buhay”?
5,000
P 120,000
Gross Monthly Income
25,000
Income Tax
Own one car
10,000
40,000
Have enough money
for day-to-day needs
30,000
Own a medium-sized
home
All children are
college-educated
4,000
Relax with family
and friends
6,000
Able to take occasional
trips around the country
16
Thousands
Labor Income and Consumption Stream,
Per Capita Values, Local Currency (Thousands), 1997
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Age
Consumption
http://www.ntaccounts.org/web/nta/show/Country%20Summaries. Accessed 7May 2016
Labor Income
70
80
90+
Majority can only recover from small unexpected expenses.
Biggest hindrance to saving are debts, illness and calamities.
Current Constraints to Saving Money
Can recover from
small expenses but
can't recover from
big expenses
Can't recover even
from small expenses
66
11
Base: Total Interviews unwtd/wtd (10000/10000)
NOT
HINDRANCE
22
SMALL
HINDRANCE
Can recover from big
expenses
BIG
HINDRANCE
Ability to Recover from
Unexpected Expenses
Lots of loans
57
18
25
Illness in the family
54
21
25
Unexpected expenses caused by disasters
53
21
26
Small salary
49
25
25
High cost of goods
47
31
23
Lack of capital for business or livelihood
46
29
25
High cost of everyday transportation
44
31
25
Finding a secure job
29
35
36
Hospitals are already accessible at present.
However, 59% will be worried about hospital bills.
Whether Have Access to Hospital
There is a road and public
transportation and we can afford it
Whether Worried About
Hospital Bills
81
There is a road and public
transportation but we cannot afford it
2
13
16
26
There is no road and public
transportation
1
Haven't been there yet, don't know
where it is
1
None of the above
1
59
Total
Definitely will worry
Will worry
Will worry a little
Will not worry
Base: Total Interviews unwtd/wtd (10000/10000)
Illegal drugs is the most salient security issue
Agreement on Statements
About Peace and Security
AGREE
DISAGREE
NET
AGREEMENT
Fear of Insurgencies
The barangay officials can be trusted to maintain
the safety of my community
81
18
63
The Philippine justice system is effective at
protecting the rights of the citizens
75
23
52
The court's treatment towards the poor and the
rich is not fair
73
25
48
My community is not safe from crime
70
29
41
In my community, the police cannot be fully
trusted
66
31
35
My community is safe from illegal drugs
52
46
6
Have small worry
Have big worry
No worry
Base: Total Interviews unwtd/wtd (10000/10000)
47
36
17
Enabling Social Policy
Lifelong learning
Demographic Dividend,
Secure old-age
Work/life balance
Security of place
Family planning
Adult marriage/healthy
children
Comprehensive sexuality
education
Access to SBA
Work/life
balance policies
Health-worker training
Incentives to save
Health systems
Laws/policies on violence
and discrimination
Social safety net policies
Decent Employment
School
ADOLESCENT GIRL
Strengthening Child
health investments
Child marriage
Youth policies
Life-long learning
Leaving school
Repeat pregnancies
Child illness and death
Maternal morbidity (or death)
Informal work
Insecurity and displacement
Source: UNFPA, A Value Proposition for the Demographic Dividend. http://esaro.unfpa.org/sites/esaro/files/pub-pdf/UNFPA%20%20Demographic%20Dividend%20Value%20Proposition.pdf Accessed: 6 May 2016
Missed Demographic Dividend,
insecure old-age
Vision for Country
“By 2040, the Philippines shall be a prosperous,
predominantly middle-class society where no one is poor.
Our peoples will enjoy long and healthy lives, are smart
and innovative, and will live in a high-trust society”
Government Action
Fiscal Policy
Monetary Policy
Regulatory Policy
What will it take?
Fiscal Policy
 Sound macroeconomic fundamentals
 Strategic fiscal spending program including
tax and nontax investment incentive program
 to address capacity constraints,
 increase competitiveness,
 encourage innovation,
 reduce inequality,
 build up resiliency
Competitive Enterprises Needed
Housing and Urban
Development
 Construction
 Construction-related
manufacturing
 Housing developmentrelated manufacturing
 Utilities (EGW)
Manufacturing




Food processing
Housing related
Construction related
Transport
manufacturing
 Other manufacturing
Connectivity





Roads and bridges
Port
Airport
Transport (cars)
Communication
25
Competitive Enterprises Needed
Education Services


Formal education
Re-tooling services
Health services
Tourism-related services
Financial services



Consumer financing
Enterprise financing
Insurance
Savings mobilization
Countryside development Agricultural development
26
What will it take?
Monetary and Financial Policy
 Low and stable inflation rate
 Monetary policy that is supportive
of growth
 Financial inclusion
What will it take?
Regulatory Policy
 Promote competition (ease of entry, level
playing field)
 Reduce externalities
 Reduce the cost of doing business
 Ensure consumer protection
 Ensure justice, security and peace
From vision to action
PDP 2017-2022
PDP 2023-2028
PDP 2029-2034
PDP 2035-2040
Vision
• Requires strong ownership and buy-in by
stakeholders and the country’s leaders over
the next 25 years
• Each plan must build on previous plan, not
change it unnecessarily
• Needs and preferences may change over time
• Unexpected developments may arise (e.g.
climate, science & technology)
From vision to action
By 2040, Philippines will be:
20232028
20172022
20292034
20352040
1. A prosperous, predominantly
middle-class society where
no one is poor;
2. A healthy and resilient
society;
3. A smart and innovative
society, and
4. A high trust society.
31
Matatag,and
Maginhawa
Panatag na
Buhay
Comprehensive
EnablingatEconomic
and
Social Policy
3,000
5,000
Own one car
30,000
40,000
Have enough money
for day-to-day needs
12,000
30,000
Own a medium-sized
home
P 120,000
70,000
P
Gross Monthly Income
5,000
10,000
All children are
college-educated
16,000
25,000
Income Tax
1,000
4,000
Relax with family
and friends
3,000
6,000
Able to take occasional
trips around the country
32
Priority Sectors
Housing and Urban
Development
 Construction
 Housing design
 Urban planning
 Utilities (EGW)
Manufacturing
• Food processing
• Housing related
• Construction related
• Transport mfg
• Other manufacturing
Connectivity
 Roads and bridges
 Port
 Airport
 Transport service
 Communication
33
Priority Sectors
Education Services
 Formal education
 Re-tooling
services
Health services
Tourism-related
services
Financial services
 Consumer financing
 Enterprise financing
 Insurance
• Savings mobilization
Countryside
development
Agricultural development
Monetary and Financial Policy
 Low and stable inflation rate
 Monetary policy that is supportive
of growth
 Financial inclusion
Regulatory Policy
 Promote competition (ease of entry,
level playing field)
 Reduce the cost of doing business
 Ensure consumer protection
 Ensure justice, security and peace
From vision to action
PDP 2017-2022
PDP 2023-2028
PDP 2029-2034
PDP 2035-2040
Vision
• Requires strong ownership and buy-in by
stakeholders and the country’s leaders over
the next 25 years
• Each plan must build on previous plan, not
change it unnecessarily
• Needs and preferences may change over time
• Unexpected developments may arise (e.g.
climate, science & technology)
From vision to action
By 2040, Philippines will be:
20232028
20172022
20292034
20352040
1. A prosperous, predominantly
middle-class society where
no one is poor;
2. A healthy and resilient
society;
3. A smart and innovative
society, and
4. A high trust society.
38
AmBisyon Natin 2040
BY 2040,
The Philippines will be a prosperous, predominantly middle
class society where no one is poor.
– Per capita income will increase by at least three-folds.
– Majority will enjoy a middle-class lifestyle.
– There will be equality in opportunities; poverty will be
eradicated.
•
A prosperous, predominantly middle-class society where no
one is poor;
Sustain rapid growth; eradicate
poverty; reduce inequality;
promote knowledge-driven growth
20232028
20172022
20292034
20352040
Rapid growth; reduce inequality;
expand the middle-class; improve
efficiencies; transition to knowledgedriven growth
Reduce poverty in all dimensions; eradicate extreme poverty;
improve efficiencies
Provide basis for demographic dividend; reduce inequality; reduce poverty in all
dimensions; higher output and productivity; connectivity
40
AmBisyon Natin 2040
BY 2040,
Our peoples will live long and healthy lives.
– Life expectancy at birth will be increased to at least 80
years.
– Individuals and communities will be resilient to natural
shocks.
– Individuals and communities will be resilient to man-made
shocks, including political and economic shocks.
A healthy and resilient society
Promote healthy lifestyle, maintain
expanded coverage and access to health
care, , encourage wealth build-up and
diversification, expand insurance cover
20232028
20172022
20292034
20352040
Promote healthy lifestyle, maintain
expanded coverage and access to health
care, encourage wealth build-up and
diversification, expand insurance cover
Reduce morbidity due to NCD; expand coverage of universal
health care, Encourage wealth build-up, promote insurance cover
Reduce IMR, U5MR, MMR, malnutrition rate, morbidity due to CD, expand access to health care,
RH program,Promote income and wealth diversification
42
AmBisyon Natin 2040
BY 2040,
Our peoples will be smart and innovative.
– The Philippines will be a major player in the global
knowledge economy.
– Innovative products and processes will originate from the
Philippines that will then offer high quality goods and
services at competitive prices.
A smart and innovative society
Sustain learning opportunities;
encourage R&D, creativity and
innovation
Improve IPR framework; encourage STI
Access to education, increase learning opportunities;
increase tech adoption; strengthen IPR framework
Continue education reforms in K-12, begin reforms in higher education
Increase access to education (K-12, higher education); promote technology adoption
44
AmBisyon Natin 2040
BY 2040,
Our peoples will live in a high trust society.
– There will be security in all places of the country.
– Our people will fully trust government because it is clean,
efficient and service-oriented.
– Our society will be a caring society.
– There will be lasting peace in the country.
A high trust society
Citizens living in peace and
harmony; Proud of their national
identity
20232028
20172022
20292034
20352040
Maintain harmony in diversity;
maintain peace and order; Maintain
national unity; Cultivate national
pride
Promote harmony in diversity; maintain peace and order;
Promote national unity; create national brand
Build trust in government; enforce peace and order; resume peace talks;
Create social and cultural awareness; values formation
46
Photo credits:
National Economic and Development Authority
Asia-Pacific Policy Center
http://www.bworldonline.com/content.php?section=Nation&title=highway-patroltakes-charge-of-choke-points-along-edsa-today&id=114777
48