Thermal Plant Data and Assumptions TEPPC – Data Work Group Call Tuesday, September 29, 2015 2 Overview • Review of “Thermal Plant” Data and Assumptions • Generator Cost Parameters – Guidance from Intertek-APTECH • • • • Startup and Cycling Cost Variable O&M Ramping Penalty Final assumptions for forced outage rates • How to apply Ramp Rate Penalty in GridView? • Better alignment with historic Operation 3 Intertek-APTECH Data • WECC – TEPPC joint with NREL hired Intertek-APTECH Engineering in response to stakeholders concerns about the increased cycling and ramping of thermal generation in recent studies, due to the increased penetration of variable generation. • The APTECH data formatted for TEPPC that impacts the dispatch decision included: – Hot, warm, and cold start costs • Load follow/ramping cost impacts • Base-load Variable Operation and Maintenance (VOM) costs • Base Load and Cycling Costs: • APTECH agreed for use of low-end cost data in public domain with some exception given “typical” values for large coal plants. The reason for just low-end data is a hedge for APTECH to protect their business. 4 Definition of “Buckets” • Costs aggregated into seven plant groups – Small subcritical coal plants (35-300 MW) – Large subcritical coal plants (300-900 MW) – Large supercritical coal plants (500-1300 MW) – Combined Cycle Units (CT, ST, HRSG) – Simple Cycle Large Frame CT – Simple Cycle aero-derivative CT (LM 6000) – Gas-fired steam plants (50-700 MW) 5 Better Alignment with Historic Operation Kevin Harris 6 Production Cost Model • What is a Production Cost Model (PCM) – It economically commit and dispatch supply to serve load of the modeled footprint – There are no hard constraints – Everything is evaluated as a cost ($) – The objective is to mimic utility or market operations 7 The Rules The rules of Production Cost Modeling • Single owner dispatch – Everything is evaluated as a cost ($) – WECC is composed of 38 balance areas each optimizing their supply to economically serve their load and contractual obligations • A modeler can only layer in constraints to mimic a desired behavior – Backcasting provides a know behavior to mimic – What inaccuracies are you willing to accept? 8
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