USING RESEARCH TO INFORM THE CITY REGIONS DEBATE By Claire Richmond Definitions of ‘city region’ are not difficult to come by. The term has been used since the 1950s by land-use planners and economists to mean not just the administrative area of a recognisable city or conurbation, but also smaller urban centres and rural areas in its broad sphere of influence. Identifying the extent of a specific ‘city region’ proved a different matter. Whilst we don’t pretend to have emulated the academic studies that have gone before us, we have brought clarity to debate in a limited time period with minimal funds. Background The city regions research arose out of the Three Cities project, a collaboration of Derby, Leicester and Nottingham City Councils, Nottingham East Midlands Airport and other key partners working to bring about sustainable economic development. Those involved were aware that the Three Cities had a vital role to play, representing the major urban areas in the East Midlands, but the extent of their importance was unknown. The Policy and Information Team in the City Development Department of Nottingham City Council were asked to map the city regions to inform debate, and to help answer such questions as ‘how many people rely on our services?’, ‘what do we have to offer investors?’ and ‘which authorities do we need to work with to maximise the Region’s contribution to national economic growth?’. The relevant factors Desk based research quickly showed current academic and policy thinking 1 to be broadly in agreement on the key determinants, i.e. housing markets and migration retail catchments commuting patterns transport connections and travel times In 1997 Coombes et al2 identified city regions using such indicators. This analysis was based on 1991 Census results so it was decided that more recent data for each key determinant should be mapped using ArcGIS software. In order to enable comparison consistent boundary definitions from independent sources were used where possible. Housing markets and retail catchments The timing proved fortunate for viewing the city region from the perspective of both of these. The East Midlands Regional Assembly and East Midlands Regional Housing Board had commissioned research to determine which local authorities should jointly conduct Housing Market Assessments (HMAs)3. In the process of doing this sub-regional housing markets were identified, defined as areas in which 70% of all houses moves were contained. They drew on data on household movements, travel to work patterns and employment concentrations (from the 2001 Census), and on consultation. Each of the Three Cities have major shopping centres due for expansion. Therefore much work had already been done4 to define current city centre catchments in order to demonstrate how the proposals would increase these. Unfortunately the three catchments had been drawn up in different ways, with the result that each accounted for a different percentage of the respective city centre’s spend. However they all came within ten percentage points of each other, so it was decided that these catchments would satisfy the purposes of the study. D:\81911860.doc Figure 1 Retail Catchments of the Three Cities Sources: JHD Advisors 2002, GMA Planning 2002, Roger Tym and Partners 2003. Transport connections and commuting The frequencies of bus services during the morning rush hour were used to indicate transport connections. Most of the information was already available from major bus operators or easily accessible on the web. Boundaries were drawn around the main locations to give an impression of the distances covered, with the caveat that this by no means implied all locations contained by these boundaries were as well served as the main towns. The commercial nature of bus service provision gives an indication of demand for connections, and so the importance of cities to their surrounds. It was thought that bus travel might be less important in Derby and Leicester in the morning than in Nottingham due to good train services. This might have suggested that focusing on buses alone would produce artificially small catchment areas for those cities. However, examination of Census figures showed a relatively low number of commuters actually travelling by train to Derby and Leicester, so restricting the analysis to buses was not considered to introduce any bias. D:\81911860.doc Figure 2 Frequency of Bus Services to Nottingham Sources: Trent Barton 2005, Nottingham City Transport 2005 Unfortunately Travel to Work Areas (TTWAs) have become dated. In the absence of a revised national set the old ones were mapped with added commentary on changing local factors. In Nottingham for example, the Census tells us that more people are travelling into the City to work and people are travelling greater distances. Coupled with the bus connection information taken for rush hour, this was the best indication that could be determined in the time available. Getting the message across The mapped boundaries showed the extent of the city regions for each of the different factors. These are each relevant for different purposes, and there has not as yet been any attempt to merge the different definitions in to one definitive set of city regions. Nor was it possible to show all the boundaries on one map, because of the volume of information. However, presenting the maps sequentially and maintaining similar colours, styles and scales D:\81911860.doc maximised the visual impact. The layer files were used to extract a range of approximate statistics including population5, households6 and workplace jobs7. A reference map was also produced with district boundaries and urban areas (as defined in the 2001 Census) to aid understanding of the political dimension, which many found informative in its own right. What the research revealed Nottingham’s city region was consistently more populous than those of Derby and Leicester. Leicester was second largest on all bar transport, where Derby’s reach was greater due to frequent connections to Nottingham. Retail catchments were greater than the TTWAs, indicating a larger geographical draw for some types of shopping (perhaps a weekly trip) than for work (a more regular journey). The bus connection data showed the largest areas, partly due to the crude method and lack of indication of volume of patronage. Detailed work currently being undertaken as part of the Department for Transport’s Accessibility Planning may present scope to explore this issue further. Of more importance for policy was that the city regions, however defined, were all significantly larger than the respective administrative borders. Indeed, the Nottingham city region was consistently more populous even than the Sub-regional Strategic Partnership area which is the basis for our economic development and transport planning. Taking the Nottingham retail catchment as an example, the research demonstrates that our services could affect 1.24m people across 15 authorities, not just the local authority’s 274,000 residents. Even the TTWA, one of the least populous versions of the city region, indicates our economic development affects (and is dependent upon) at least seven other authorities. The work is therefore challenging the way we plan and deliver services. The research has also helped to demonstrate linkages between the Three Cities, both to the three authorities and to neighbouring districts. It revealed some overlap of city regions, primarily for retail and transport. This was most evident between Nottingham and Derby, and to a lesser extent between Nottingham and Leicester. Connections between Derby and Leicester were minimal. 2001 Census data showed commuting between the three local authorities was still at a relatively low level (and the extent of connections between other authorities and between businesses has yet to be determined). Whilst this implies that the benefits of scale afforded by the Three Cities working together have yet to be fully exploited, it does show potential. As a result a different policy approach to that of other Regions is now being pursued, that of economic development through a polycentric city region comprising distinct conurbations with shared objectives. For further information, please contact Claire Richmond at Nottingham City Council ([email protected]) 1 Examples include City Region Boundary Study, Derek Halden Consultancy, Scottish Executive Central Research Unit, 2002 and Our Cities Are Back, Third Report of the Core Cities Working Group, 2004 2 Localities and City Regions, Coombes M.G., Wymer C., Atkins D. and Openshaw S, 1997 3 Identifying the Sub-Regional Housing Markets of the East Midlands, DTZ Pieda Consulting, January 2005. Eagle Centre – Derby, Retail Appraisal Report, JHD Advisors for Westfield Shoppingtowns Limited, February 2002; Leicester City Retail Capacity Study, Roger Tym and Partners August 2003. Central Leicestershire Retail Study, September 2003; Broadmarsh – Nottingham, Retail Appraisals, JHD Advisors in association with GMA Planning for Westfield Shoppingtowns Limited, May 2002. 4 5 ONS 2003 Mid-Year Estimates, and ONS Mid-2002 Experimental Ward Estimates where necessary 6 2001 Census 7 2003 Annual Business Inquiry D:\81911860.doc
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