THE MILLENNIUM DEVELOPMENT GOALS AND RUSSIA’S NATIONAL PROJECTS: STRATEGIC CHOICES MILLENNIUM DEVELOPMENT GOALS ADAPTED FOR RUSSIA Goal 1. Reduce poverty and eradicate hunger 1. Halve by 2015 the general poverty level and eradicate extreme poverty among non-marginal groups of the population. 2. Provide access to food for the poor. Goals 4 and 5. Reduce maternal mortality and mortality of children under five 13. Increase life expectancy and reduce mortality from major causes. 14. Promote changeover in society to a healthier life style. 15. Reduce the mortality of children under five by at least 50% by 2015, as compared with 1990 (from 21.5 to 11 per 1000). Goal 2. Increase access to education 3. Involve vulnerable groups of the population in education and 16. Reduce maternal mortality by at least 50 % in the period 1990-2015. socialization. 4. Ensure participation in pre-school education of children from low-income families and children residing in rural areas. 5. Reduce the gap in funding and access to general secondary and primary vocational education between and within Goal 6. Combat HIV/AIDS, tuberculosis, and other diseases 17. Halt and begin to reverse the spread of HIV/AIDS. 18. Halt the spread and significantly reduce the spread of tuberculosis (TB) and other socially-based infectious diseases. regions. 6. Update the content of general secondary education towards developing practical skills and application of knowledge. 7. Improve compliance of vocational education with the modern economic environment and labor market . Goal 7. Ensure environmental sustainability 19. Integrate the principles of sustainable development into country policies and programmes and prevent losses of natural resources. 20. Provide the population with sustainable access to safe drinking water. Goal 3. Ensure gender equality and improve the situation of women 8. Eliminate gender inequality in primary and secondary education and at all levels of education by 2015. 9. Ensure equal access to political institutions for women and men. 10. Eliminate discriminatory practices in labor and employment. 11. Create effective mechanisms for preventing violence against women. 12. Reduce the impact of unfavorable socioeconomic factors on health and life expectancy, especially male. 21. Improve people’s living conditions. Goal 8. Participate in global development partnerships adequate to Russian national interests 22. Create of favorable international conditions for elimination of internal obstacles to human capital development and achievement of the MDG+ in Russia. 23. Prioritise assistance by Russia in solution of global problems, whose manifestations inside Russia are particularly acute and damaging. 24. Gradually build-up Russia’s contribution to international development programmes as a donor country. THE MILLENNIUM DEVELOPMENT GOALS AND RUSSIA’S NATIONAL PROJECTS: STRATEGIC CHOICES Institute for Complex Strategic Studies Moscow 2006 This publication was prepared by the Institute for Complex Strategic Studies (ICSS) at the request of the UN Office in the RF and it looks at possibilities of implementing the approaches of the Millennium Development Goals concept, adopted at the UN summit in 2000 and modified for Russia’s context, for further improvement of the quality of National Projects. Intended for civil servants, researchers, teachers and students of higher educational institutions. Project manager: Evgeny V. Pogrebnyak, Head of Research Department, ICSS Authors: Elena S. Kiseleva, Expert, Research Department, ICSS Vera Y. Kononova, PhD (Economics), Expert, Research Department, ICSS Boxes contributors: K.D. Danishevsky, PhD (Medicine), Assistant Professor, School of Public Health, Department of Health Management, Moscow Sechenov Medical Academy; Consultant, Open Health Institute Foundation V.V. Elizarov, PhD (Economics), Director, Centre for Population Studies, Department of Economics, Lomonosov Moscow State University N.L. Khananashvili, Director, Legal Department, ‘No to Alcoholism and Drug Addiction’ Russian charity foundation The authors’ opinions do not necessarily reflect the views of UN system and its institutions. The authors would like to express sincere gratitude to O.S. Vikhansky, PhD (Economics), Professor, Director General, Institute for Complex Strategic Studies; and to their colleagues D.A. Plekhanov, N.M. Churkina, N.V.Shvareva for the invaluable support and contribution to the publication. The authors also express their appreciation for consultations and comments to A.A. Auzan, PhD (Economics), Professor, President of the National Projects Institute ‘Social Contract’; N.Y. Belyaeva, PhD (Law), Professor, Department of Public Policy, State University Higher School of Economics; L.N. Ovcharova, PhD (Economics), Research Director, Independent Institute for Social Policy. Significant support to the project was provided by staff members of the UN system organisations in the Russian Federation: Sietske Steneker, UN Resident Coordinator a.i. in the RF; Kaarina Immonen, UNDP Resident Representative a.i. in the RF; D.S. Mariassin, PhD (Economics), UN Coordination Officer in the RF; Edem Bakhshish, UNDP Assistant Resident Representative in the RF; V.K. Zotikova, Communications Analyst, UNDP in the RF; A.S. Flyugova, UN Coordination Assistant in the RF; E.G. Potapchik, PhD (Economics), WHO National Professional Officer, HCPS Programme; M.V. Semenchenko, PhD (Medicine), UNAIDS Programme Advisor; A.H. Bidordinova, UNAIDS Project Coordinator; Martina Lubova, Senior Employment Expert, ILO Office in Moscow; A.S. Mordovin, UNFPA Programme Associate. The publication has been prepared with the financial support of the United Nations Development Programme (UNDP), United Nations Population Fund (UNFPA) and United Nations Children's Fund (UNICEF) 2 TABLE OF CONTENTS INTRODUCTION .........................................................................................................................................5 I. MILLENNIUM DEVELOPMENT GOALS AND NATIONAL PROJECTS: COMMON AND SPECIFIC FEATURES......................................................................................................6 1.1. National Projects as a new instrument of social policy: advantages, risks, and scope for adjustment ..........................................................................................6 1.2. Approaches to achieving the MDG+ and the goals of the National Projects ...........................................7 1.3. Poverty reduction in the context of MDG+ and the National Projects ....................................................9 II. THE NATIONAL PROJECT “EDUCATION” AND ACHIEVEMENT OF MDG+ .........................................11 2.1. Comparing goals of the National Project “Education” with MDG+ ........................................................11 2.2. Analysis of indicators of education development in the National Project “Education” and MDG+ ........12 2.3. Recommendations on the possible enhancement of the National Project “Education” with regard to MDG+.......................................................................................................14 III. THE NATIONAL PROJECT “HEALTH” AND REALIZING MDG+...........................................................16 3.1. Compliance of MDG+ and the goals of the National Project “Health” ..................................................16 3.2. Public health indicators in the National Project “Health” and MDG+ ....................................................18 3.3. Recommendations on possible enhancement of the National Project “Health” with regard to MDG+ .....19 IV. MEASURES OF DEMOGRAPHIC POLICY IN THE CONTEXT OF NATIONAL PROJECTS AND MDG+ ...............................................................................................20 4.1. An improvement in demographics as a goal of the National Projects and MDG+ ................................20 4.2. Stimulating birthrate – a new national project?....................................................................................21 4.3. Recommendations on enhancing the proposed measures for stimulating the birthrate with regard to MDG+.............................................................................23 V. THE ROLE OF CIVIL SOCIETY IN IMPLEMENTING THE NATIONAL PROJECTS ...................................24 5.1. The involvement of civil society in formulating, implementing and monitoring of the National Projects .....24 5.2. Recommendations on expanding the involvement of civil society in the formulation, implementation and monitoring of the National Projects ....................................................................26 CONCLUSION ...........................................................................................................................................28 3 TABLE OF CONTENTS LIST OF BOXES BOX 1. Millennium Development Goals (MDG) and their adaptation for Russia..........................................5 BOX 2. Contribution of the National Projects into the budget expenditures on education, public health, housing and the agricultural sector.....................................................6 BOX 3. The International experience of implementing national projects and programmes: management and monitoring systems................................................................7 BOX 4. Economic growth and poverty reduction in Russia..........................................................................9 BOX 5. Potential of the National Agricultural Development Project in reducing poverty ............................10 BOX 6. Shortage of skilled professionals in the Russian economy .............................................................14 BOX 7. Halting the spread of HIV within the framework of the National Project “Health” .........................17 BOX 8. Importance of disease prevention in reducing the major causes of death......................................18 BOX 9. International experience with policies aimed at stimulating the birthrate ......................................22 BOX 10. The role of the National Project “Affordable and Comfortable Housing for Russian Citizens” in stimulating the birthrate .........................................................................23 BOX 11. The primary means of government support of NGO activity in Russia..........................................26 BOX 12. Indicators of social involvement...................................................................................................27 4 INTRODUCTION The National Projects launched in Russia in 2006 are an important step toward improving people’s general well-being and quality of life. The decision to implement these National Projects was driven by a need to provide a new impetus for improvements, and greater efficiency in the areas of agriculture, education, housing construction, and public health. To achieve these vital goals of socio-economic Due to the indisputable importance of the National Projects to the country’s further socio-economic development, the government is striving to perfect the National Projects by tapping into domestic potential, as well as international experience. development, additional budgetary funds have been allocated to the National Projects. Direct expenditure improving people’s well-being and increasing their access from the federal budget alone should amount to at least to basic social services. The long-term outlook of MDG+ 120 billion rubles in 2006, and more than 170 billion rubles provides an opportunity to better reflect the strategic in 2007. nature of the measures proposed within the framework of The goals of the National Projects are likely to be achieved the National Projects, to better define the approaches to because there is a high level of political control over their meeting the Projects’ goals, and to improve the system of implementation. The importance of the National Projects to indicators that are used to evaluate the results. current state policy has been shown through the creation of a coordinating body, the Council for National Projects and Demographic Policy under the President of the Russian Federation. The National Projects represent a new tool for implementing social policy. The need to improve existing approaches to decision-making and policy implementation arose from the absence of any similar previous experience coupled with the political significance of the National Projects. The publicity of the National Projects implies that experts and civil society are participating more actively in their formulation, implementation and monitoring. Due to the indisputable importance of the National Projects to the country’s further socio-economic development, the government is striving to perfect the National Projects by tapping into domestic potential, as well as international experience. MDG+ would emphasize the focus of the National Projects toward long-term strategic targets. The Millennium Development Goals as adapted for Russia, commonly known as MDG+, reflect what are currently the most important areas for the overall development of human potential, including of the socially vulnerable population groups. Like MDG+, the National Projects are BOX 1 MILLENNIUM DEVELOPMENT GOALS (MDG) AND THEIR ADAPTATION FOR RUSSIA The Millennium Development Goals (MDG) are a set of indicators proposed by the UN for assessing the efficiency of socio-economic policy in various countries of the world. An essential feature of MDG is the adoption of a timeframe, and specific quantitative indicators, for the achievement of specific goals. The MDG indicators allow to assess the level of socio-economic development in a specific country, analyze the effectiveness of social policy, and compare the results against those of other countries. Owing to differences among countries and the urgency of their various social problems, the choice of specific indicators requires research and analysis to better adapt MDG to the context of a country. The concept of MDG+ introduces a set of measurable MDG-based indicators that have been adapted for Russia. The MDG+ indicators were developed in 2005 by a group of independent experts as part of an initiative of the United Nations Development Program (UNDP), and within the framework of the preparation of the Human Development Report for the Russian Federation. aimed at creating conditions that are conducive to 5 I. MILLENNIUM DEVELOPMENT GOALS AND NATIONAL PROJECTS: COMMON AND SPECIFIC FEATURES The implementation of the National Projects will have a direct impact on people’s quality of life and broaden the potential for human development in Russia. 1.1. National Projects as a new instrument of social policy: advantages, risks, and scope for adjustment Expanding opportunities for human development. The National Projects are aimed at increasing access to education and public health, boosting socio-economic defined priorities and heighten the responsibility development in rural areas, and providing people with of policymakers in meeting goals. better housing. This means that the implementation of Advantages of the National Projects as a form of the National Projects will have a direct impact government spending. The National Projects on quality of life, as well as the potential as programmes with specific spending targets are for further human development in Russia. The key managed by a special body and are characterized characteristic of the National Projects, in comparison by specific procedures for assessing results. In this regard with existing federal target programmes, is that they the National Projects compare favorably to other forms concentrate resources on a limited number of clearly of targeted expenditures because of the extended powers of the management bodies, high level of political control over spending, public awareness, BOX 2 CONTRIBUTION OF THE NATIONAL PROJECTS INTO THE BUDGET EXPENDITURES ON EDUCATION, PUBLIC HEALTH, HOUSING AND THE AGRICULTURAL SECTOR and personalized responsibility. • Extended powers of the specialized project management bodies. The statute of the Council The expenditures on the National Projects are relatively low, constituting approximately 10 percent of total government spending on the four targeted areas (provided that the federal and regional governments fulfill their financial commitments in 2006). The spending caps reflect the nature of the National Projects as pilot programmes that will need to be refined over the course of their implementation. Funding for the National Projects may be increased if they are shown to be highly successful. MDG+ allow for the adjustment of the goals of the National Projects to comply with the long-term development priorities of the country. for National Projects and Demographic Policy under the President of the Russian Federation gives it the right to obtain information from officials, social organizations, and government agencies of various levels. • implementation. The National Projects correspond to the main social policy initiatives of the President of the Russian Federation. The President acts as the Chairman STRUCTURE OF GOVERNMENT SPENDING IN THE TARGETED AREAS 88 billion roubles in 2006 25 of the Council for National Projects and Demographic National Projects Federal Target Programs not included in the National Projects Budgeted Costs Policy, while the Presidential Administration is responsible for managerial support. • Publicity and personalized responsibility. The Council for National Projects and Demographic Policy is 956 939 comprised of representatives of state bodies, as well 60 as experts and representatives of non-governmental 435 Public Health Education Affordable Housing organizations. Those in charge of carrying out activities 16 57 Agricultural Development Source: ICSS estimates based on the Federal Law "On the Federal Budget of the Russian Federation for 2006" 6 High-level political control over project within the framework of the National Projects have been appointed. Plans are in the works to allow for constructive criticism via telephone hotlines and monitoring not only by the Parliament, but by the general public. The long-term development guidelines formulated by MDG+ lay the groundwork for strengthening the strategic component of the National Projects. Approaches embedded in the MDG+ and indicators for assessing efficiency, may be used in broadening the scope of the National Projects in Russia, as well as customizing the means for their implementation and monitoring. Implementation of the National Projects entails certain risks. The short-term risks of the National Projects are primarily related to the lack of experience in Russia in implementing similar programmes. Results-based programming tools are still new to the Russian budget, despite an expansion of a targeted approach to financing over the past few years. Difficulties are inherent in the coordination of various budgets, something crucial to the success of the projects. The long-term risks of the National Projects arise from the fact that the sustainability of the project results is uncertain. The efficacy of expenses incurred within the framework of National Projects is dependent on the extent to which the funding corresponds to the attainment of long-term goals in agriculture, education, housing and public health. BOX 3 THE INTERNATIONAL EXPERIENCE OF IMPLEMENTING NATIONAL PROJECTS AND PROGRAMMES: MANAGEMENT AND MONITORING SYSTEMS As a rule, project management is carried out by established Programme Implementation Boards that report to the government, but enjoy autonomy in their day-to-day activities. Monitoring of national projects is generally conducted by the coordinating state agencies, which make assessments based on a set of indicators corresponding to the goals of the project. In Denmark, the main body responsible for the management of the National Programme “Digital Northern Denmark” was a Board comprised of an Executive Committee, a Committee of Directors, and Project Groups. The Executive Committee was responsible for day-to-day management, while the Committee of Directors was responsible for ensuring regional support. The implementation of the Project was monitored by the Programme Secretariat, upon whose assessment the Executive Committee and the Committee of Directors based its decisions. Successful projects received broad assistance with publicity and the search for additional sources of funding in order to expand their operations. Less successful projects were re-evaluated with respect to their goals, approaches, and target indicators1. In Brazil, the management of projects within the framework of the Government Programme “Brazil in Action” was carried out by Working Groups comprised of representatives of relevant government ministries, business, research institutions and non-governmental organizations. The Working Groups were headed by Project Managers, who also were state officials. For qualitative monitoring, a special information system was set up providing complete online data on the current status of the projects, and the course of their implementation. The monitoring data provided a basis for the annual project assessment by managers, branch ministries and the Ministry of Planning2. International experience in improving quality of life, reflected in MDG+, can be useful in refining above risks of the National Projects will increase the National Projects and reducing the risks involved opportunities for the development of human in their implementation. Firstly, the long-term potential in Russia. development guidelines formulated by MDG+ lay the groundwork for strengthening the strategic component of the National Projects. Secondly, approaches embedded in the MDG+ and indicators for assessing 1.2. Approaches to achieving the MDG+ and the goals of the National Projects efficiency, may be used in broadening the scope of the National Projects in Russia, as well as customizing Correlation between the goals of the National the means for their implementation and monitoring. Projects and MDG+. The National Projects and MDG+ are Therefore, using MDG+ with a view of reducing the both geared toward reducing poverty and increasing 1 2 See also http://www.detdigitalenordjylland.dk (in English) See also http://www.planejamento.gov.br (in Portuguese) 7 MILLENNIUM DEVELOPMENT GOALS AND NATIONAL PROJECTS: COMMON AND SPECIFIC FEATURES The National Projects and MDG+ are both geared toward reducing poverty and increasing access to resources for human development. TABLE 1. Conceptual differences between the National Projects and MDG+ FEATURES: access to resources for human development. The National Projects, both directly and indirectly, promote a reduction in poverty by raising incomes in agriculture and MDG+ NP Goals Selection + + Approaches to Solutions + ± Resources and Implementation Mechanism + Budget Efficiency (expenditure-based indicators) + Final Efficiency (outcome-based indicators) + ± state-funded organizations. Moreover, they provide the general population with greater access to resources Projects are largely intended to improve the well-being of for education, housing, and public health. people employed in state-funded organizations. The National Projects in Russia are focused on such The conceptual differences between the National MDG+ as increasing access to education, reducing Projects and MDG+ can be seen in their temporal horizons, maternal and child mortality, and combating diseases chosen approaches to solutions, and indicators for assessing including HIV/AIDS, tuberculosis, and other results. social infectious diseases. Moreover, some aspects MDG+ take a long-term view toward improving quality of the National Projects for education of life (by 2015), whereas the National Projects look only two and affordable housing are consistent, to a certain years into the future. This difference explains why the degree, with MDG+ that aim to ensure gender equality approaches to achieving goals in MDG+ and the National and environmental sustainability (see Figure 1). Projects vary. The National Projects and MDG+, however, focus their The National Projects, in contrast to MDG+, are a direct efforts on people with different income levels. extension of government policy heavily supported by the MDG+ aim to raise incomes for the poorest population federal budget. The implementation of the National groups, such as families with many children, the unem- Projects builds on the existing system of government ployed, the disabled, etc. At the same time, the National departments and institutions and is closely tied to the FIGURE 1. Conformity of the National Projects and MDG+ goals National Projects Education Public Health Poverty Reduction Education M D G Gender Equality Public Health Environment Global Partnership 8 Affordable Agricultural Housing Development MILLENNIUM DEVELOPMENT GOALS AND NATIONAL PROJECTS: COMMON AND SPECIFIC FEATURES MDG+ takes a long-term view toward improving people’s quality of life, whereas the National Projects look only two years into the future. This difference explains why the approaches to achieving goals in MDG+ and the National Projects are distinct. framework of the National Projects, poverty reduction is seen as a consequence of increased access to resources for education, housing, and public health. Additionally, the projects include measures aimed at increasing salaries and creating new jobs, both of which would improve the situation of the working poor. Population groups to benefit from poverty reduction measures. MDG+ concept uses a selective management of budgetary resources. As a result, the approach in defining population coverage with poverty means of assessment in MDG+ and the National Projects reduction measures. The MDG+ stipulate that socially are generally different. The indicators for the National vulnerable groups should be the main recipients of Projects are based mostly on expenditures, while those of assistance, based on the overlap of criteria such as income MDG+ are based on outcomes – the real effects following levels, socio-demographics, and place of residence (see implementation (see Table 1). Figure 2). By way of contrast, the National Projects focus Despite their conceptual differences, the overlap in more on increasing access to resources for broad segments ultimate goals allows for the use of MDG+ in strengthening of the population rather than the poverty reduction the National Projects. The concept of MDG+ can serve among specific risk groups. as a foundation for further expansion of the scope of planning in the National Projects. MDG+ can contribute BOX 4 to adjustments in existing approaches, or the adoption ECONOMIC GROWTH AND POVERTY REDUCTION IN RUSSIA of alternatives, as well as the improvement of the set overall efficiency. 1.3. Poverty reduction in the context of MDG+ and the National Projects Approaches to poverty reduction in MDG+ and the Economic growth in Russia is not oriented towards eliminating poverty. According to ICSS estimates, in 2005 the increase in real disposable income among 90 percent of the country’s population, even taking into account social transfers, was lower than the average growth in income in the economy taken as a whole. Those whose incomes increased least of all included not only underprivileged citizens, but members of the middle class. As a result, poverty conservation and consolidation of social inequality occurred against a background of overall income growth. National Projects. MDG+ identify as a top priority INCOME DYNAMICS the reduction of extreme poverty among non-marginal 30% 7,9 population groups. MDG+ simultaneously focus on indirect Benefits Granted in 2004 (right scale) means of reducing poverty, such as increased access population groups. In contrast to MDG+, the National Projects do not specify the eradication of poverty as a separate goal. Within the A more precise MDG+ definition for target groups – based on the overlapping factors of income, socio-demographics, and geography – can be incorporated into the National Projects to improve their implementation and effectiveness. Percent to the previous year to human development resources for socially vulnerable Increase of Real Disposable Income in 2005 25% 6,9 21,0% 5,9 20% 4,9 Increase of Real Disposable Income 15% 13,3% 14,3% 9,8% 10% 8,4% 7,6% 7,9% 7,9% 8,5% 9,2% 3,77 8,7% 2,9 2,60 2,35 5% 3,9 2,23 1,98 1,92 1,98 1,9 1,70 1,45 1,00 0% Benefits (percentage of volume for the income group I) of National Project indicators that are used in assessing 0,9 I II III IV V VI VII VIII IX X Incomes Below Subsistence Line Source: ICSS estimates based on the Household Budget Survey, 2005 9 The effectiveness of social programmes can be BOX 5 POTENTIAL OF THE NATIONAL AGRICULTURAL DEVELOPMENT PROJECT IN REDUCING POVERTY measured with regard to the conditions facing socially The National Project aims to create jobs in agriculture, increase access to credit resources, and provide young rural professionals with housing in an attempt to reduce poverty in rural areas. The National Agricultural Development Project provides an example of the impact of socio-economic policies on poverty reduction in population groups identified by territory (in this case, rural areas). Advancements in the breeding of livestock, as one of the National Project measures, create conditions for reducing unemployment and raising incomes. Increased access to credit resources for farms creates conditions for the development of small agribusinesses. Housing provisions aimed at improving the living conditions of more than 30,000 young rural families. This measure is intended to reinvigorate agriculture through skilled personnel as an important contributor to growth in productivity and an increase of the well-being of the rural population. Positive changes linked to the National Project could become a sustainable factor in the reduction of rural poverty if they are backed up by reforms in the agricultural sector and further improvements in social infrastructure. vulnerable groups. Therefore, a more precise MDG+ definition of target groups – based on the overlapping factors of income, socio-demographics, and geography – can be incorporated into the National Projects to improve their implementation and effectiveness. The situation of socially vulnerable groups as an indicator of MDG+ achievement. The monitoring of socially vulnerable population groups, identified on the basis of overlap in poverty profiles, can be used more widely in Russia in assessing the effectiveness of the National Projects from the standpoint of MDG+ achievement. Obtaining data on socially vulnerable groups may require changes to the statistical reporting system, as well as the development of new means of interaction with specific population groups in order to better collect data. FIGURE 2 Overlap of poverty profiles Income Distribution Income per capita Poverty line Poverty in t erms of income Low income group 100% Population Socially vulnerable groups Social and demographic profile of the poverty: • Retired • Disabled • Mothers • Children • Large families • Incomplete families • Other groups Territorial profile of the poverty: Rural area, small towns, less developed territories 10 II. THE NATIONAL PROJECT “EDUCATION” AND ACHIEVEMENT OF MDG+ The measures of the National Project for updating the content of education and improving compliance of education with labour market requirements coincide most fully with the approaches to educational development in MDG+. 2.1. Comparing goals of the National Project “Education” with MDG+ MDG+ approaches to educational development. MDG+ view educational development is seen from a position both of economic importance (in the strengthening of human potential, and an increase in competitiveness) and a condition for human development. and residents from various regions throughout In connection with the above, the main directions of the the country. development of the educational sphere in the context of The MDG+ also contain the separate goal of overcoming MDG+ are the following: gender inequality at all levels of education, something that, • bolstering human potential by updating educational in Russia, signifies a need for raising the level of education content and reorienting it to meet the requirements of among males. the labour market; • Educational development within the framework of increasing access to education at various levels the National Project. The National Project “Education” and for socially vulnerable population groups the MDG+ gives proper weigh to as well as the economic and FIGURE 3. Goals of the National Project “Education” and achievement of MDG+ MAIN ELEMENTS OF THE NATIONAL PROJECT “EDUCATION“ MDG+ Best patterns of national education National Modern education universities and business technologies schools Vocational Pedagogic work education in the in schools army “ Rural school bus“ project Increase Access to Education Involve vulnerable groups of the population in education Additional payment for class supervision Support of talented youth Ensure participation in pre -school education of children from low-income families and children residing in rural areas Vocational education centres in military units School buses for rural areas Reduce the gap in funding and access to education between and within regions Update the content of education towards developing practical skills and application of knowledge Improve compliance of vocational education with the modern economic environment and labour market requirements Encouragement of best teachers Government support for schools and universities introducing innovative education programs Computers and Opening of Internet for two schools and universities universities, and two creation of business education schools resources in the Internet Ensure Gender Equality Eliminate gender inequality in primary and secondary education directly coincide indirectly coincide 11 THE NATIONAL PROJECT “EDUCATION” AND ACHIEVEMENT OF MDG+ A broader access to education for fixed-period and contract military personnel will indirectly promote gender equality in education. the success of the National Project “Education” are as follows: • a possible increase in the gap in funding among educational institutions; • a possible imbalance in the provision of resources social aspects of education. The measures of the National necessary for the successful implementation of specific Project for updating the content of education and improving project initiatives. compliance of education with labour market requirements The chances of an increase in the gap in funding among coincide most fully with the approaches to educational educational institutions are higher when priority is given to development in MDG+ (see Figure 3). the most innovative schools and universities. Such an In the framework of the National Project the updating of approach runs the risk of allocating additional funds educational content is fulfilled through public support to from the federal budget for a limited number of the most schools and universities introducing innovative programmes successful educational institutions, which tend to be situated and developing modern approaches, supplying schools with in the more economically advanced regions of the country. computers and designing educational Internet resources. It can be assumed that encouragement of the best teachers Additionally, educational content naturally will be updated also will apply primarily to advanced schools in towns and through the establishment of national universities in Siberian cities, and not in rural areas. Consequently, discrepancies and South Federal Districts, as well as the opening in logistical support and teachers’ salaries could lead to gaps of business schools in Moscow and St. Petersburg. in the quality of instruction. Elements of the National Project “Education” (particularly The measures of the National Project concerning the provision of material incentives for the best teachers) distance learning and provision of computers and access also can be viewed as one of the important conditions to the Internet are heavily dependent on the proportions necessary for updating curricula and raising the quality of of the support earmarked for accessibility of education instruction. and the updating of educational content. For example, Several aspects of the National Project indirectly are in areas where teachers are neither computer literate, conducive to increasing access to education for socially nor well-versed in modern technologies, the mere supply vulnerable population groups. The awarding of grants to of computers could fall short of producing the expected talented young people, among other things, potentially could results in information technologies. increase the possibilities of getting an education for young The above risks can be eliminated by taking into people from underprivileged families, or those living in consideration the current status of educational institutions remote regions. The introduction of supplementary payments and the peculiarities of the education sphere by region, for class supervision, with the aim of raising the level of work during the phase of competitive selection. In case of a short- at schools, might also have a positive effect on children from fall in funding, provision of additional resources on training, socially vulnerable families. renovation and modern equipment would be required. Measures of the National Project “Education” also aim to develop a system of vocational training in the army, as well as to purchase school buses for rural areas. These measures target specific population groups and reflect MDG+’s orientation on education accessibility for those who, 2.2. Analysis of indicators of education development in the National Project “Education” and MDG+ for various reasons, have limited possibilities to study. It should be noted that broader access to education for fixed-period and contract military personnel will indirectly in education development. To monitor the results promote gender equality in education. of the National Project “Education” expenditure-based Risks inherent to the National Project “Education” may delay satisfying MDG+. The most substantial risks to 12 Expenditure-based and outcome-based indicators indicators are mainly used, unlike MDG+, which propose outcome-based indicators such as increased knowledge THE NATIONAL PROJECT “EDUCATION” AND ACHIEVEMENT OF MDG+ To update the content of education towards developing practical skills and application of knowledge Outcome-Based Indicators ExpenditureBased Indicators Example: NP • Number of universities and schools introducing innovative education • Number of schools having access to Internet • Number of students at universities and business schools • Number of distance programmes purchased MDG+ • Improvement of Russia’s rating in PISA and TIMS assessment • The proportion of unemployed in the total number of vocational school leavers and graduates • The average duration of job search for people aged 16-24 FIGURE 4. Indicators for updating the content of education, and improving compliance of vocational education with the labour market requirements, in MDG+ and the National Project “Education” among students, the average duration of job search by university graduates, etc. The National Project indicators are mainly focused on the funds to be allocated in connection with the facilities to be funded (see Figure 4). MDG+ indicators can serve as long-term guidelines for the assessment of the National Project activities aimed at updating the content of education. Consequently, the attainment of the goals set within the framework of the National Project “Education” is expressed MDG+ indicators as long-term guidelines for by the full allocation of funds to the required number assessing National Project activities. MDG+ indicators of facilities. For example, the indicator characterizing can serve as long-term guidelines for the assessment the development of distance learning is represented by the of the National Project activities aimed at updating the expenditure of 300 million roubles on the purchase of 100 content of education. The use of such indicators would distance-learning programmes in 2006–2007. allow for the monitoring of changes in the quality Efforts to incorporate outcome-based indicators of education, and the relevance of these changes to the in the National Project “Education” would face certain labour market. The indicators also would facilitate difficulties. Firstly, the relatively short duration of the comparisons in educational development internationally. project makes it difficult to assess qualitative changes For instance, MDG+ indicators such as the international in the targeted spheres of education. Secondly, further PISA and TIMS assessment of both student difficulties are likely to be encountered because of the lag knowledge, and the duration of job searches between the time funds are allocated and the time by people between the ages of 16 and 24, a qualitative result is obtained. can be used to measure the success of the National Project “Education” in raising teachers’ wages, The National Project “Education” primarily uses expenditure-based indicators, unlike MDG+, which use outcome-based indicators – such as increased knowledge among students, the average duration of job search by university graduates, etc. disseminating innovative education technologies, and improving the material-technical bases of various educational institutions. In this process, however, it is necessary to take into consideration the time lag between the moment of funding and the completion of project activities. 13 THE NATIONAL PROJECT “EDUCATION” AND ACHIEVEMENT OF MDG+ 2.3. Recommendations on the possible enhancement of the National Project “Education” with regard to MDG+ The National Project “Education” can be augmented with such goals as development of pre-school education and modernization of the system of primary and specialized secondary vocational education. Incorporating additional goals into the National Project “Education” would result in the broader success of MDG+. The Millennium Development Goals adapted for Russia can serve as a strategic guideline for the National of pre-school education assumes heightened importance Project “Education” in regard to long-term goals in light of government efforts to stimulate the birthrate for education development and access to education for in Russia. socially vulnerable groups. To this end the National Project • The modernization of the system of primary “Education” can be augmented with the following goals: and specialized secondary vocational education is • The development of pre-school education for children required in order to meet the needs of the labour market. from low-income families and children living in rural In the current phase of implementation of the National areas. The importance of this goal is buttressed by the Project “Education,” this goal is partially met through the need to provide equal opportunities for the development ongoing efforts aimed at creating vocational education of human capital. Moreover, the development centres in the military forces. Securing access to education for children from socially BOX 6 SHORTAGE OF SKILLED PROFESSIONALS IN THE RUSSIAN ECONOMY Over the past few years, the problem stemming from a shortage of skilled professionals has grown in importance from the standpoint of economic development. The problem manifests itself both in an insufficient level of training, and a chasm between the skills of graduates and the needs of the labour market. The shortage of qualified workers is especially acute in industry, where the demand for skilled technicians and engineers far surpasses the supply. Surveys show that more than 50 percent of employers cite a drop in the level of education among graduates of primary and secondary specialized schools over the past ten years; only 10 percent of employers noted an improvement in the quality of training3. Deterioration of the quality of vocational education is exhibited by the fact that their knowledge and skills do not meet the requirements of the labour market. An outdated material-technical base, coupled with an often substandard level of training among teachers, result in a situation whereby students are taught in accordance with outdated methodologies, and the knowledge they acquire turns out to be inapplicable in practice. A lack of continuity between the skills of graduates and the requirements of the labour market has become increasingly obvious. Some 70 percent of employers point to a shortage of employees possessing the requisite training and skills4. Measures aimed at modernizing the primary and specialized secondary vocational education require better collaboration between the government and the business community. One of the possible solutions might be the establishment of regional centres for training the types of professionals who are in the shortest supply. 3 4 14 vulnerable population groups could become one of the avenues by which aspects of MDG+ are incorporated into the current goals of the National Project “Education”. This goal could receive special attention, for instance, as part of the government programmes providing grants to talented young people. The incorporation of additional goals into the National Project “Education“ would promote the creation of a comprehensive set of measures within the framework of the National Project that would comply with the main strategic directions for reforming the educational system. Measures aimed at improved logistical support for educational institutions should take into consideration, among other things, the prospects of reorganizing the network of educational institutions. Supplemental income for teachers, moreover, should not eliminate the need for changes to the remuneration system in general. Expansion of the set of indicators of the National Project “Education” with regard to MDG+ would result in improvements in monitoring and overall efficiency. The current expenditure-based indicators could be supplemented with outcome-based indicators, including those dealing with the accessibility of various forms of education for socially vulnerable groups. The final results N. Kovaleva, Economics of Education in Russia: Monitoring Results, Narodnoye Obrazovaniye # 10, 2005, p.33 All-Russia monitoring of the social-and-labour sphere, Analytical Records based on 2003 results, Moscow, Sotsionomia, 2004, p.152 THE NATIONAL PROJECT “EDUCATION” AND ACHIEVEMENT OF MDG+ of the National Project may be assessed on the basis of, among other things, the following indicators: • the share of fixed-period servicemen who obtained primary vocational education in the army; • the percentage of contract servicemen who enrolled in higher education institutions; • Securing access to education for children from socially vulnerable population groups could become one of the avenues by which aspects of MDG+ are incorporated into the current goals of the National Project “Education.” the share of rural schools provided with their own vehicles; • the share of rural schoolchildren provided with transportation to and from school; • the share of schoolchildren and college students with state-of-the-art computers; • the percentage of educational institutions with access to the Internet; • the availability of distance learning programmes for schoolchildren, college students, and adults between 24 and 60. The assessment of the dynamics of these indicators requires data on their current values, as well as mechanisms for tracking any changes. Therefore, the expansion of the set of indicators could also require improved depth of education statistics. 15 III. THE NATIONAL PROJECT “HEALTH” AND REALIZING MDG+ 3.1. Compliance of MDG+ and the goals of the National Project “Health” The HIV epidemic is not driving the decline in life expectancy, yet the increased spread of HIV is the cause for alarm. According to official statistics, the HIV incidence rate MDG+ and the goals of the National Project “Health”. in 2005 was twice as high as the rate recorded in 2001, Among the most vital issues addressed by the MDG+ the country’s previous high6. is the low life expectancy caused by high levels of avoidable The National Project “Health” is aimed at curbing negative deaths from non-infectious diseases, and increasing spread trends in life expectancy by improving primary care and building of HIV and AIDS. medical centres that are supplied with modern equipment. The unfavourable dynamics of life expectancy The successful implementation of the most substantial in Russia are determined by a high level of mortality aspects of the National Project “Health” also would be due to cardiovascular diseases and exogenous causes conducive to achieving MDG+. The measures of the National of death, specifically among men of working age. Project on providing medical care during pregnancy and As a result, the mortality of males of working age exceeds delivery, as well as medical screening for newborns, would the level for European Union countries by 4,5 times . help attain the MDG+ related to reducing maternal and child 5 FIGURE 5. Goals of the National Project “Health” and achievement of MDG+ MAIN ELEMENTS OF THE NATIONAL PROJECT “HEALTH“ Ensuring highly specialized medical services Strengthening of primary healthcare MDG+ Increase life expectancy and reduce mortality from major causes Clinical examination Reduce maternal mortality Medical care in pregnancy and delivery period Reduce the mortality of children under five Newborn screening tests Promote changeover in society to a healthier life/style Halt and begin to reverse the spread of HIV and AIDS HIV prevention Halt the spread of tuberculosis (TB ) and other socially -based infectious diseases Hepatitis B and C prevention directly coincide 5 6 16 Opening of new centres , increase of services provision Wage Training/ retraining of increase for primary-care primary-care and physicians/ emergency GPs workers Procurement of equipment for healthcare organizations Immunization indirectly coincide Federal Target Program “Health of the working-age population in Russia for 2004-2015”, Analytic Bulletin of Federation Council of Russian Federation, №24 (217), 2003 Country Report of the Russian Federation on the Implementation of the Declaration of Commitment on HIV/AIDS, January-December 2005, P.4 The successful implementation of the most substantial aspects of the National Project “Health” would be conducive to achieving MDG+. tation of the National Project “Health” include the potential inability to meet goals because of a lack of skilled professionals and an insufficient focus on disease prevention. The lack of highly skilled personnel may reduce the benefits of the construction of new medical centres, and the mortality. Measures aimed at preventing HIV, as well as purchase of new equipment. Additionally, there are diagnostics and treatment of HIV and AIDS, correspond to the substantial gaps in the incomes of general practitioners and MDG+ goal of halting the spread of HIV and AIDS; the pre- specialists, which could lead to a reduction in the number of vention of hepatitis B and C, coupled with an increase in the the former. To reduce the risk of a shortage of highly skilled scope of immunizations, are consistent with the MDG+ goal medical workers, the payment system in the public health of combating socially-rooted infectious diseases (see Figure 5). sector should be amended in favor of raising wages across In addition to the measures that coincide directly with MDG+ in the sphere of public health, the National Project provides for a wide range of activities that also will help promote MDG+. The activities within the framework of the National Projects are intended to address the country’s more vital public health issues, such as the shortage of highly-skilled professionals in outpatient clinics and hospitals, low wages, outdated medical equipment, and lack of ambulances. The National Project “Health” aims to train personnel to better provide primary care, raise wages for medical workers, and replace outdated equipment for outpatient clinics, hospitals, medical-obstetrical offices, and the emergency services. By implementing these measures, the government will improve the quality of care and shift the emphasis in medical treatment from traditional in-patient services to out-patient services. Unlike MDG+, the National Project “Health” attaches secondary importance to preventive measures and the adoption by society of healthier lifestyles. Unlike MDG+, the National Project “Health” attaches secondary importance to preventive measures and the adoption by society of healthier lifestyles. Those preventive measures that are outlined within the framework of the National Project are mostly related to providing greater health screening and immunization, and not addressing the risk factors that cause diseases. At the same time, international experience shows that healthier lifestyles, and preventive measures that address risk factors, can contribute substantially to reducing mortality. Risks involved in the implementation of the National Project “Health”. The main risks involved in the implemen- BOX 7 HALTING THE SPREAD OF HIV WITHIN THE FRAMEWORK OF THE NATIONAL PROJECT “HEALTH” Spending on the prevention of HIV and AIDS within the framework of the National Project “Health” is 17 times higher than the amount of funds allocated for the same purpose from the federal budget in 2005 (3.1 billion roubles, and 187 million roubles, respectively). The National Project is only one of the prongs of the government’s policy to combat the spread of HIV; most of the measures for HIV prevention fall within the Federal Target Program, “Anti-HIV and AIDS.” This increase in funding will result in better treatment for HIVinfected patients, including antiretroviral therapies, and better means for diagnosing people with HIV (as well as monitoring the effectiveness of treatment). Additionally, the National Project aims to help prevent the spread of HIV among young people and members of socially vulnerable population groups. A vital goal of MDG+ is the reduction of the incidence of HIV and AIDS, and near-universal access to comprehensive programmes for HIV prevention, treatment, and care. This goal is part of the resolution of the 60th UN General Assembly, passed in 2006, that must be achieved by 2010. Addressing this issue will require the establishment in Russia of a coordinating body with broad powers, and the adoption of a national strategy to combat HIV and AIDS (with the means for regular monitoring and assessment). The development of a common national strategy, the identification of priorities, and the setting down of concrete goals in regard to MDG+ would allow for, among other things, the formulation of a list of prospective measures that could be implemented with higher efficiency within the framework of the National Project “Health.” One of the aspects of the National Project that is different from any other instrument of public policy is the wide availability of information about its main tenets, and the stages of its implementation among the population. High-ranking public officials consistently refer to the project in their speeches. A special website is dedicated to the project, and conferences and other events are regularly held to further draw attention to the National Projects. In this regard the prospective scope of the National Project “Health” could entail raising public awareness and undertaking a broad information campaign contributing to stopping the HIV epidemic. 17 THE NATIONAL PROJECT “HEALTH” AND REALIZING MDG+ the board. Moreover, the training and retraining of health care professionals should be undertaken more regularly. 3.2. Public health indicators in the National Project “Health” and MDG+ Strengthening the preventive component of healthcare is based on a growing commitment in the use of preventative MDG+ indicators as long-term guidelines for assessing measures among primary-care professionals. Equal access National Project initiatives. Historically the development of a to integrated preventative and treatment services for system of indicators reflecting the influence of public policy on the all population groups, including the most vulnerable life expectancy of the population has been a complicated issue. (i.e. users of intravenous drugs), is of special importance in The health of the population depends on numerous factors, many combating the spread of socially-rooted infectious diseases. of which cannot be directly influenced by the healthcare system. The shorter the period of time allotted for analysis, the more BOX 8 IMPORTANCE OF DISEASE PREVENTION IN REDUCING THE MAJOR CAUSES OF DEATH difficult it is to assess the effect of policies on the nation’s health. The National Project “Health” will be implemented over the course of two years. Indicators based on expenditure are In contrast to the situations in many poor countries, where low life expectancy is primarily due to high rates of infant and child mortality, the prevailing downward trends in Russia are mostly attributable to premature deaths among men of working age. More than half of 20-year-oldmen in Russia will die before retirement. This is the highest rate in the world. Mortality in Russia can be reduced by taking preventive measures and adopting healthier lifestyles. In doing so, however, it is important to take into consideration not only mortality rates as a reliable source of data, as they do not reflect the impact of the entire range of diseases on people’s lives. It also is important to pay attention to indicators such as quality of life, and healthy life expectancy. Discussions about the causes of the deterioration of the general health in Russia provide no single answer to the question “What can be done to halt the unfavourable trends in mortality?”. While we must recognize the importance of continuing these discussions, we also should note that potential steps toward reversing this trend are imposing higher prices on alcohol and Russia’s accession to the WHO Framework Convention to Combat Smoking. Although such steps are not popular, they are necessary. Almost 70 percent of adult males in Russia smoke. Smoking reduces life expectancy by an average of 10 years. Alcohol also does substantial harm to the health of Russians: at least 40 percent of the deaths among working-age males may be attributed directly to alcohol abuse. Reducing such risks, getting proper nutrition, and staying physically fit also can contribute positively to overcoming crises in health. On the whole, the measures that can be implemented to convert the population to a healthier lifestyle are well-known, and rather simple. At the same time, behavioural theories backed up by science assert that informing people about risk factors is only a first step in changing behaviour. The success of public policy in the areas of disease prevention and promoting healthier lifestyles will depend to a considerable degree on their acceptance by the general public, as well as by members of the business community who are interested in improving employees’ health, and ability to work. K.D. Danishevsky foremost among those currently used to gauge its success. Expenditure-based indicators are not suitable, though, for estimating the potential impact of the proposed measures on the health of the population. For example, the effectiveness of health-screening is assessed in accordance with the allocation of additional funds. Such an approach does not take into account the availability of health screening for population groups at risk of specific diseases. Indicators based on expenditure are foremost among those currently used to gauge the success of the National Project “Health”. Expenditure-based indicators are not suitable, though, for estimating the potential impact of the proposed measures on the health status of the population. MDG+ indicators must be reached by 2015. These indicators (such as the rates of mortality and illness) are orientated toward the overall effectiveness of the healthcare system and the effectiveness of preventive measures on high risk behaviours. Similar indicators are laid out in the National Project “Health,” but they are not tracked by the existing monitoring system. For instance, a target indicator for the prevention of hepatitis B and C is a threefold reduction in the rate of infection. However, effectiveness currently is measured only from the standpoint of allocation of additional funds for the purchase of equipment and medicines. In the long run the outcome-based MDG+ indicators, combined with international experience in assessing the efficiency of national healthcare systems7,8, can be used in Murray C.J.L., Frenk J. A WHO Framework for Health System Performance Assessment. Global Programme on Evidence for Health Policy. World Health Organization. Discussion Paper Series No. 6. 8 Wismar М., Ernst К., Srivastava D. and Busse R. Health Targets and Good Governance. European Observatory on Health Systems and Policies (draft). 7 18 THE NATIONAL PROJECT “HEALTH” AND REALIZING MDG+ Expenditure Based Indicators Example: HIV prevention NP • Number of treated people living with HIV • Budget expenditures MDG+ Outcome Based Indicators • Decrease in number of people living with HIV • Number of new cases of HIV infection registered within the course of a year • Number of HIV infected among pregnant women aged 15-24 years • Frequency of use of condoms • Percentage of persons aged 15-24 with correct knowledge on HIV and AIDS • The percentage of people in late phase of the disease who receive adequate therapy FIGURE 6. Healthcare indicators in the National Project “Health” and MDG+ conjunction with expenditure-based indicators to better toward healthy lifestyles. The successful implementation assess the effectiveness of the National Project. of these measures could potentially reduce illness Indicators of the population coverage by preventive measures. Unlike MDG+, the indicators for and preventable deaths. The adoption of additional goals within the framework judging the effectiveness of preventive measures in the of the National Project will require not only a broader list of National Project “Health” are largely related to the costs of indicators and the creation of special programmes, but treating patients and/or the services rendered. One of the changes to the payment system for medical workers. possible ways to enhance the National Project, based on For example, primary-care physicians might also receive the experiences of MDG+, is by expanding the list additional payments for stressing the value of prevention of target indicators in order to more accurately assess the with their patients. effectiveness of preventative measures. For example, MDG+ help to determine the effectiveness of HIV prevention through an indicator that gauges the percentage of young people (from 15 to 24) with correct knowledge about HIV/AIDS (see Figure 6). Within the framework of the National The main thrusts of the National Project “Health”, with respect to MDG+, can be seen in better preventative primary care and a reorientation of the population toward healthy lifestyles. Project, however, indicators of HIV prevention are limited to the number of people with HIV who have been treated, the amount Expanding the set of indicators of the National of money spent on treatment, and the number of new HIV Project “Health” with regard to MDG+. infections. The use of such indicators is indispensable, yet it is The development of a set of indicators for the National insufficient for high-quality monitoring. For an all-round assess- Project “Health” based on the experience of MDG+ might ment of the measures taken to prevent HIV within the framework consist of introducing indicators that measure short- and of the National Project “Health,” it is worthwhile to expand the list long-term effectiveness in addition to those that already of indicators to include those suggested by MDG+. focus on spending and treatment. Project indicators should promote greater control over the quality of medical services. For example, an indicator used 3.3. Recommendations on possible enhancement of the National Project “Health” with regard to MDG+ to assess the response time for emergencies (from the time a call is received to the time an ambulance arrives at a specified location) might be used in conjunction with an indicator that links emergency medical care to the availability Possible expansion of the National Project “Health” of ambulances. A wider application of indicators that in the context of MDG+. The main thrusts of the National characterize the quality of medical services would further Project “Health”, with respect to MDG+, can be seen in better permit the evaluation of the impact of the National Project preventive primary care and a reorientation of the population on the well-being of the population. 19 IV. MEASURES OF DEMOGRAPHIC POLICY IN THE CONTEXT OF NATIONAL PROJECTS AND MDG+ 4.1. An improvement in demographics as a goal of the National Projects and MDG+ demographic trends continue, Russia’s population will fall by 30 percent over the next 50 years10. Today the decline in population, especially among working-age men and women, Demographic situation in Russia. The decline in is seen as one of the greatest risks to the country’s security population is an extremely critical problem for Russia. and socio-economic growth. A steady fall in population can be observed since 1992, The most pressing issues, in light of the current as a result of a low birthrates and high mortality, especially demographic situation, are the reduction of mortality among working-age males (see Figure 7). Over the past few among working-age people, stimulation of birthrate years the number of deaths has exceeded the number of and adoption of an effective migration policy. In the long births annually by 800,000 to 900,000. Moreover, net run, the achievement of these three objectives will be migration to Russia – which helps offset the drop in population – a prerequisite for sustainable socio-economic development also has been on the decline. In 1994, when the inflow of of Russia. migrants was at its highest, the new arrivals offset 93 percent Approaches to stabilizing the demographic situation. of the natural decrease in population. In 2004, however, The Concept of the Demographic Development of the international migration compensated only 5 percent of the Russian Federation till 2015, a policy paper from 2001, decline. (Migration grew slightly in 2005, now offsetting updated in 2006, that reflects the official position declares 12.7 percent of the natural decrease in population .) the goal of gradual stabilization of the country’s population 9 By early 2006 the country’s population numbers fell to 142.7 million, six million less than in 1992. If the current and formulates demographic policy in the areas of migration health and family. FIGURE 7. Demographic situation in Russia 20 15 per 1000 of population 10 5 0 -5 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 Births Deaths Natural Increase (Decrease) -10 9 10 20 ICSS estimates based on Federal agency on state statistics’ data Population of Russia in 2002. Tenth annual demographic report. Ed. by A.G. Vishnevsky, M. 2004, P. 180 2005 The most pressing issues, in light of the current demographic situation, are the reduction of mortality among working-age people, the stimulation of the birthrate and the adoption of an effective migration policy. medical staff at prenatal clinics and maternity wards in a bid to encourage better care. By and large, the National Project “Health” and MDG+ are similar in their approaches in improving the demographic situation. Both programmes would improve the state of people’s health, increase life expectancy, and reduce maternal and child mortality among. The improvement of the demographic situation requires a migration policy aimed at attracting specific categories 4.2. Stimulating birthrate – a new national project? of people, first and foremost Russians living abroad. An inflow of migrants will slow down the decline in population and provide the economy with extra labour force. An efficient approach to the selection and Proposals of the President of the Russian Federation settlement of migrants, coupled with provisions for stimulating birthrate. The proposals for stimulating the that simplify social adaptation for them and their families, birthrate that were emphasized by the President in his 2006 would reverse brain drain and promote the development annual address to the Federal Assembly could provide of human capital. a foundation for a new National Project. Such an undertaking The National Project “Health” represents one of the steps toward solving these demographic problems. The aspect of would supplement the National Project “Health” addressing the issue of premature death. The measures proposed by the President are as follows: the National Project aimed at reducing avoidable deaths is based on an increase in the effectiveness of the healthcare • increasing family benefits to 1,500 roubles for the first child, system. Even in the short term, the proposed measures for and 3,000 roubles for the second child, for non-working improving primary care are expected to play a positive role in mothers over the first 18 months; family benefits for work- the state of people’s health. However, if the conditions persist ing mothers will be equal to 40 percent of their salaries (but that ultimately result in premature death, these measures not exceeding 6,000 roubles) over the same time period; likely will not have a substantial impact on life expectancy. The National Project “Health” represents one of the steps toward solving the demographic problems. The aspect of the National Project aimed at reducing avoidable deaths is based on an increase in the effectiveness of the healthcare system. • partial reimbursement of the costs of attending pre-school: 20 percent of the average cost for the first child, 50 percent for the second child, and 70 percent for the third child; • awarding at least 250,000 roubles to women who give birth to a second child. This money may be spent when the child reaches the age of three, and only in the following capacities: purchasing housing (partially financed with a mortgage); educating children; The National Project would provide so-called “delivery certificates” to mothers, and screening tests for newborns, in or supplementing mothers’ future pensions. The primary emphasis of the proposed measures is on an effort to bolster their health – a sign of the recognition by increasing monetary benefits and ensuring access to the state of the importance of maternal and child health. pre-school education. This approach takes into consideration After evaluating the early measures proposed to stimulate the decreasing role of benefits in support provided to the birthrate the monetary value of “delivery certificates” will families with children, and the shortage of pre-schools that be increased in 2007 from 7,000 to 10,000 roubles. A portion lately has become manifest. For the first time ever, the of these funds is slated to be used to raise the wages of proposed measures foresee that the amount of benefits and 21 MEASURES OF DEMOGRAPHIC POLICY IN THE CONTEXT OF NATIONAL PROJECTS AND MDG+ Plans to implement the proposed measures within the framework of a separate National Programme (or Project) allows for the long-term development of an comprehensive approach aimed both at empowering women and stimulating the birthrate. The shortage of places in Russian pre-schools is at least 900,000, and growing. At the same time, the fall in the capacity of kindergartens is accompanied by an increase in costs, even though such increases are not always justified by the quality of services provided. Referring to the problem of low birthrates in Russia, the President stressed in his statement contributions toward pre-school education depend on birth the strong interest of the Goverment in improving order (first, second, third child). the demographic situation. His remarks gave rise to a Statistics show that the share of family benefits relative to people’s incomes fell to 0.5 percent in 2004-2005, down from 1.6 percent in 1996. In general, government spending experts and the general public. Plans to implement the proposed measures within on family benefits amounts to less than 0.3 percent of GDP. the framework of a separate National Programme (or (UNICEF recommends spending in a range of 2.5 percent to Project) allow for the long-term development of an com- 3.5 percent of GDP, depending upon the level of child prehensive approach aimed both at empowering women, poverty and the total number of children ). and stimulating the birthrate. The special status of a 11 BOX 9 INTERNATIONAL EXPERIENCE WITH POLICIES AIMED AT STIMULATING THE BIRTHRATE The primary tenets of policies intended to increase birthrates can include the following: • financial support to families (i.e. family benefits, tax rebates to families with children, housing subsidies, targeted loans to subcategories of families, and grants for education); • assistance to working parents (i.e. temporary leave for mothers and fathers upon the birth of a child, improvement in pre-school education, and special employment privileges for women, such as working at home, working part-time, and flexible work schedules). The formulation of demographic policies in the second half of the 20th century involved diversity in principles, theoretical approaches, and practical measures for supporting families with children. A few countries, such as France, and parts of Eastern Europe and the former Soviet Union, sought to boost the birthrate and the general population. Experts are currently very cautious in judging the effectiveness of policies aimed at stimulating birthrates. Policy failures often are attributed to efforts to achieve positive results on the cheap, whereas demographic behaviour only can be influenced by a coordinated set of steps that are large-scale, and long-term, in nature. Quantitative assessments were not undertaken to establish the scale and amount of spending required for such policies to be effective. However, calculations show that a 25 percent increase in the total amount of family benefits resulted in a 4-percent increase in total fertility rate, or 0.07 more children12, in industrialized European countries. The experience of European countries shows that a high level of spending on, family benefits combined with additional measures of support to families with children, can be conducive to increasing the 11 12 22 lively discussion about the proposed measures among birthrate. In countries where the level of government spending on families was high (more than 2 percent of GDP) throughout the 1980s and 90s (and stretching into the early 2000s), an increase could be seen in the birthrate; the level of the increase in births subsequently remained steady, or experienced an insignificant drop. In France, for example, where spending on family benefits constituted 2.85 percent of GDP, there was an increase in the total fertility rate from 1.71 in 1995, to 1.89 in 2003. In Denmark, where assistance to families stands at 3.77 percent of GDP, the total fertility rate rose from 1.45 in 1985, to 1.76 in 2003. At the same time, in Spain and Italy, where spending on families with children bottoms out at less than 1 percent of GDP, the respective indicator remains the lowest in Europe and was around 1.2 - 1.3. An analysis of family policy in Europe has shown that allowances play a positive role in stimulating the birthrate in instances where a set of measures provides for substantial support for families with children. The experience of Sweden confirms that one of the most important factors influencing the birthrate is the opportunity for women to combine work with raising children. In the 1980s, the Swedish approach to ensuring gender equality in incomes had a positive impact on the birthrate. About 83 percent of working-age women in Sweden were employed and the employment among women was one of the highest in the world. Thus, the increase in the birthrate was due to a combination of factors: a favourable economic situation, a low rate of unemployment, improved working conditions, and family policy focused on working mothers and fathers. V.V. Yelizarov Family benefits: international standards and international experience, Moscow, 2003, P. 73-74 A.H.Gauthier, J.Hatzuis. Family Benefit and Fertility: an Econometric Analysis. Population Studies, N° 51, 1997 MEASURES OF DEMOGRAPHIC POLICY IN THE CONTEXT OF NATIONAL PROJECTS AND MDG+ BOX 10 THE ROLE OF THE NATIONAL PROJECT “AFFORDABLE AND COMFORTABLE HOUSING FOR RUSSIAN CITIZENS” IN STIMULATING THE BIRTHRATE The expansion of the National Project on providing young families with affordable housing also will influence the program aimed at stimulating the birthrate. One of the aspects of the National Project on housing entails the granting of subsidies (at least 35 percent of the cost of the average accommodation in the respective housing markets) to young couples without children. A subsidy of at least 40 percent would be extended to families with one or more children. Currently, subsidies stipulated for the purchase of housing are aimed at improving the living conditions of some 30 percent of young families in need. However, the granting of subsidies is not fully consistent with the goal of stimulating the birthrate. For example, the birth of a second child (and subsequent children) does not constitute grounds for granting families additional housing subsidies. The number of potential programme participants is limited, too, because young families are defined as those in which the parents are less than 30 years old. The birthrate could be stimulated within the framework of the measures of the National Project “Affordable and Comfortable Housing for Russian Citizens” by increasing this age limit to 35 years, and granting additional subsidies in the event of the birth of a second child, and of subsequent children. 4.3. Recommendations on enhancing the proposed measures for stimulating the birthrate with regard to MDG+ Additional measures aimed at stimulating the birthrate with regard to MDG+. References to the available international experience could prove useful when formulating a National Program, or Project, aimed at stimulating the birthrate. In this context, the MDG+ concept allows, inter alia, for the introduction of amendments that would strengthen pre-schools and ensure gender equality in the labour market. Measures to reduce discrimination of women in the labour market should focus on shrinking the gap in incomes, providing employment guarantees, and ensuring the payment of a significant part of salary in case of pregnancy and the birth of a child. MDG+ view the strengthening of pre-school education as necessary for providing equal opportunities to children from families of various social groups. In the context of measures aimed at stimulating the birthrate, access to pre-school education becomes an important factor in enabling women National Project focused on the demographic issues to work and, therefore, in preserving the requisite levels would ensure additional means of political control over of income. decision-making, and improved interaction among the federal and regional governments. Conditions conducive to the successful implementation of the proposed measures. The effectiveness of the measures aimed at stimulating the birthrate will depend on how well they are supported The MDG+ concept allows, inter alia, for the introduction of amendments that would strengthen pre-schools and ensure gender equality in the labour market. by and coordinated with the general socio-economic policy. Living standards, as well as access to healthcare and education, are important factors that influence the decision to have children. In order to attain the goal of encouraging Russian families to have at least two children, the measures proposed by the President should be backed up by socio-economic policies that are aimed at improving people’s well-being and quality of life. The availability of housing is an important factor that also influences the decision to start a family. At present, young couples are granted subsidies in order to purchase housing within the framework of the National Project “Affordable and Comfortable Housing for Russian Citizens”, which should have a positive impact on the birthrate in the future. 23 V. THE ROLE OF CIVIL SOCIETY IN IMPLEMENTING THE NATIONAL PROJECTS 5.1. The involvement of civil society in formulating, implementing and monitoring of the National Projects Participation of NGOs in formulating the National Projects. At present collaboration between government officials and civil society in the National Projects is ensured by a system of cooperation. At the federal Owing to their political significance and public impor- the Council for National Projects and Demographic tance, the National Projects have laid the groundwork for the Policy under the President of the Russian Federation, broader involvement of civil society in implementing social which includes representatives from NGOs policy. The active participation of NGOs and businesses in and the business community, as well as the Commission the National Projects would increase the efficiency of social The National Projects have laid the groundwork for the broader involvement of civil society in implementing social policy. policy and improve people’s quality of life and contribute to the realization of MDG+. The main avenues for such participation would comprise joint participation in formulating programmes, providing services, and monitoring the National Projects, according to the 2005 on Issues of Civil Society Development and Public National Human Development Report “Russia in 2015: Participation in the Implementation of National Projects Development Goals and Policy Priorities”. within the Public Chamber were established. Similar A basic scheme of the interaction among government advisory bodies were created at the regional and local officials, NGOs, and the business community in the design levels. Public hearings, conferences, forums, and implementation of the National Projects is represented and round-tables increased in frequency nationwide. in Figure 8. Citizens began to use channels of direct communication FIGURE 8. The role of NGOs and the business community in the National Projects President Council for National Projects and Demographic Policy Public Chamber Coordinating, advisory deliberative, expert bodies Business Associations Federal, regional and municipal authorities NGO Agencies and organizations social services providers Social services (health and education) Citizens 24 Business NGOs and businesses can assist the government in providing services in the areas of education and public health, and even assume control over those functions that the government fails to carry out effectively. services. Grassroots contact with citizens enables NGOs to obtain information that cannot be gathered in full by government officials. Another potentially important contribution of NGOs to the National Projects is the establishment of communication channels among various government officials, as the lack of coordination among was recognized as one with authorities, including questions and letters to of the shortfalls of the National Projects. Work of the the official National Projects website. Congress of Municipal Associations of the Russian NGOs and businesses as providers of services for Federation, which unites 43 municipal associations, the National Projects. NGOs and businesses can assist the is a successful example in this area. National Projects government in providing services in the areas of education Implementation Commissions were established under the and public health, and even assume control over those auspices of the Congress, and heads of the commissions functions that the government fails to carry out were included in the Council for National Projects and effectively. By way of example, the activities of Demographic Policy under the President of the RF. Perspectiva, the Regional Public Organization of Support Constraints on the participation of NGOs in the for People with Disabilities, help the government better National Projects. At present any positive effect from serve the disabled by providing education and the participation of NGOs in the National Projects is limited employment; the organization promotes collaboration because most NGOs lack experience, funds, and cannot unite among the disabled, employers, and educational in their efforts to lobby for their interests. In addition, institutions. the predominant system of government institutions and lack Potential gains from the participation of NGOs and of tradition of involving the civil society in decision-making businesses in the implementation of the National are having a negative impact on the implementation Projects could be seen in the quality and targeting of of the National Projects. services, thereby allowing for the pinpointing of social policy toward specific socially vulnerable population groups. For example, Yest Mneniye (There is an Opinion), an independent non-governmental research centre in the city of Chelyabinsk, is participating There is a special need for dialogue between the government and civil society at the regional and municipal levels, where social issues are more closely addressed. in the National Project “Health.” The organization’s programme, Positive Influence, helps reduce In the advisory bodies NGOs and business community the incidence of HIV among prison inmates, generally have fewer seats than government representatives. one of the groups most susceptible to HIV. Moreover, NGOs do not always represent the interests It should be noted that there are still few government of those social groups that are most in need of support. grants and contracts that delegate powers to NGOs for Public hearings and direct channels of communication often the delivery of social services. A lack of transparency in are ineffective, partially because their procedures are the process for awarding the available grants and contracts underdeveloped. does not allow for competition among NGOs. In the course of monitoring the National Projects, one There is a special need for dialogue between the government and civil society at the regional and municipal levels, of the most important avenues for NGO involvement is where social issues are more closely addressed. Despite a ensuring feedback between the people, as the consumers of mutual interest in constructive dialogue, the participation services, and the officials responsible for administering these of NGOs in formulating social policy is limited. 25 THE ROLE OF CIVIL SOCIETY IN IMPLEMENTING THE NATIONAL PROJECTS 5.2. Recommendations on expanding the involvement of civil society in the formulation, implementation and monitoring of the National Projects • more precise procedures of public hearings would encourage a transition from discussion to concrete action; • the increased use of methods to involve civil society in political decision-making at the regional and municipal levels. NGO involvement in the decision-making process the National Projects will promote a transition from the the fact that the main measures of the National Projects have funding of institutions to the funding of the services they already been agreed upon, the capabilities of NGOs should provide, as well as encourage competition in the market for be taken into account in the future planning and potential social services. For example, the involvement of NGOs could expansion of the National Projects based on the following be conducive to the deregulation of housing and communal approaches: services market; NGOs could provide consultation on • NGO representation should be increased among govern- housing and communal services reform and train heads ment advisory bodies; of homeowners’ associations. To achieve such positive NGOs that represent the interests of groups that are most effects, it is necessary to: in need of social services should be involved more closely • • in the work of advisory bodies; BOX 11 13 delegate to NGOs the delivery of services through government grants and contracts; THE PRIMARY MEANS OF GOVERNMENT SUPPORT OF NGO ACTIVITY IN RUSSIA The experience of countries with highly integrated elements of civil society shows that collaboration between NGOs and the government can be both effective and productive. The government of Great Britain annually strikes agreements with the National Association of NGOs on collaboration in the social sector; in many countries, NGOs provide services that are paid for directly from a country’s budget. In contrast to developed countries, the role of NGOs in Russia remains insufficient. In 1997 the NGO contribution to GDP was tantamount to 2 percent. Today, the contribution stands at approximately 1 percent. By way of comparison, the contribution of NGOs to GDP is approximately 15.3 percent in the Netherlands, 7.54 percent in the United States, 6.8 percent in Great Britain, and 4 percent in Germany13. NGOs play a limited role in the formulation and implementation of the National Projects. Collaboration in Russia between NGOs and the government, especially at the federal level, usually comprises one-time events on discussion of the National Projects. Meanwhile, nationwide, NGOs and government officials at the regional and municipal levels have been amassing a rich track record of collaboration. For example, in the city of Perm, approximately one third of the city’s budget is allocated via contracts; this system has helped save about 30 million roubles in budgetary resources. Several dozen of regions (including Perm, Tyumen, Krasnodar, Chita, St. Petersburg, Moscow, Saratov, among others) have successfully allocated funds by awarding grants prescribing the involvement of NGOs (in expert and volunteer capacities) in implementing socio-economic policy. At present, the size of the grants are small, constituting no more than 300,000 rubles. The total amount of funds allocated to NGOs via grants varies in proportion to the size of the city, or the region – from several hundred thousand in some places, to up to 15 million roubles in Moscow. 26 The involvement of NGOs in the implementation of should start in the earliest phases of policymaking. Despite In order to promote a more vigorous collaboration between government and NGOs, work should be carried out in the following areas: • public discussions, and public hearings on policies of social importance; • the establishment of a legal framework for allocating budgetary funds directly to NGOs that provide social services and implement specific government policies; • the drafting and passage of a government policy in support of NGO activity. The following measures may be proposed to bolster government support of NGOs: • the implementation of a set of pilot projects within the framework of socially relevant areas of NGO activity; • the promotion and development of a system for training professionals (including NGO personnel) responsible for collaboration between the federal and local governments; • the revision of regulations governing the NGO activity to ensure their involvement in the delivery of social services on the basis of public bidding (competitive contracts), namely, the amendment of the Budget and Tax Codes of the Russian Federation. This would permit the allocation of budgetary resources to NGOs that provide social services and balance the scales of taxation for governmental (municipal) and non-governmental organizations; • the establishment of the means to encourage citizens to volunteer for NGOs by legally extending social, economic and labour rights to volunteers; • the recruitment of businesses and business associations, to participate in programmes oriented toward social investment via endowments and non-economic conduits for charity. N.L. Khananashvili The Role of the Non-Commercial Sector in Russia’s Economic Development, Urban Economy Institute Foundation, http://ruc.logincee.org THE ROLE OF CIVIL SOCIETY IN IMPLEMENTING THE NATIONAL PROJECTS The involvement of NGOs in the implementation of the National Projects will promote a transition from the funding of institutions to the funding of the services they provide, as well as encourage competition in the market for social services. • • increase the transparency of the distribution of public funds mostly through one-time acts of charity or by procuring some public goods and services. Focus should be shifted from involvement in single events to devising social policy with the participation of the business community. The necessary conditions for such a shift are: • improving the regularity of financing, for example, by and benefits via methods that invite scrutiny from experts; establishing endowments, as provided for in legislation improve the system of funding NGOs involved in the expected to be passed in 2007; delivery of services either via government grants • expanding non-financial forms of business involvement and contracts, or the establishment of foundations. in various social organizations, such as boards of trustees Monitoring of the National Projects through the of universities; involvement of NGOs. It is necessary to establish a system that • increasing awareness in the business community of the incorporates NGOs in the monitoring of the implementation of financial requirements of programmes that are integral to the National Projects. The Public Chamber proposed a way to the success of the National Projects. This can be achieved involve NGOs in such monitoring. According to the proposal, by providing information via fairs and stocks of social hearings will be conducted quarterly at the local level and the projects, emerging in regions and municipalities; findings will then be conveyed to the federal government via • encouraging the business community to provide public the Public Chamber. This proposal first will be tested in one assistance. NGOs can play a role through public region to determine if it should be adopted in other regions. expressions of gratitude. For example, in the city of In short, government support of NGO activities will Saratov, the Regional Children’s Charity Foundation, enhance the roles they play in the formulation, Savva, staged a competition among sponsors and donors implementation and monitoring of the National Projects. called “Virtue Has Names”. The ultimate aim of the contest, however, was to encourage the business One example of governmental support for NGOs can be community to help vulnerable segments of the population; seen in the competition among the organizations for resources administered by the Public Chamber of the Russian Federation this year. Budgetary funds in the amount of 250 million roubles • To take advantage of the analytical and management skills of the business community to help develop social policy. will be allocated to NGOs. An identical amount of money will be distributed to plenipotentiary representatives in federal districts. BOX 12 INDICATORS OF SOCIAL INVOLVEMENT Merging public resources. The emergence of foundations comprised of the contributions of various donors (i.e. businesses, government, local residents, non-profit organizations, etc.) may serve as one of the mechanisms for pooling resources from all sectors. Foundations award grants to NGOs, and are managed by boards of directors that reflect the makeup of the communities in which they are located. Such foundations help to develop a common strategy for community development, as well as the implementation of the National Projects. Recommendations for increasing the involvement of the business community in the National Projects. At present, the business community participates in the National Projects The government support of the activities of NGOs will enhance the roles they play in the formulation, implementation and monitoring of the National Projects. The effectiveness of government policy toward NGOs may be assessed on the basis of indicators of social involvement, which include the following: • total number of NGOs; • number of NGOs involved in various phases of the National Projects; • number of people involved in NGO activities, both on a paid and voluntary basis (from various social groups); • number of activities and projects in which NGOs are involved; • number of times NGOs are mentioned in mass media (the ability of NGOs to influence public opinion); • the extent to which the government adopted resolutions from public hearings; • the total amount of money obtained by NGOs from various sources; • the number of services delivered through NGO participation (by sector); • NGO contribution to GDP; • NGO contribution to the realization of target indicators of the National Projects. The assessment of the role of individual NGOs can be made more objective by introducing a reciprocal rating system among NGOs. 27 CONCLUSION The National Projects are a promising new instrument of social policy from the standpoint of achieving the Millennium switch from expenditure-based to outcome-based monitor- Development Goals (MDG) in Russia. The activities carried out ing. Such a switch would allow for greater control over the within the framework of the National Projects either directly quality of the services rendered, and influence on the behav- contribute to the achievement of the MDG adapted for Russia iour of personnel working in the spheres of education and (MDG+) or create the conditions that lay the groundwork for public health. their implementation. Furthermore, the MDG+ concept can A new avenue for the realization of MDG+ in Russia be used to expand the opportunities for human development could open up over the course of the implementation within the framework of the National Projects. of the National Project in the area of demographic policy. Firstly, the long-term objectives spelled out in MDG+ A set of measures must be formulated to stimulate create a basis for strengthening the strategic component the birthrate. The MDG+ concept allows for the introduction in the National Projects. The MDG experience in establishing of measures that would ensure gender equality in the strategic goals can be used in formulating additional goals labour market, and strengthen pre-school education by aimed at increasing access to education and healthcare, improving early access to children from families of various especially for socially vulnerable population groups. In the social strata. area of education, such additional goals could entail the International experience in increasing the modernization of primary and secondary vocational involvement of civil society, reflected in MDG+, can be education, as well as better access to pre-school education applied to the National Projects. The main areas of for the socially vulnerable. In the area of public health, a involvement of institutions of the civil society might broadening of the scope of the National Project might encompass the development of programmes, consist of promoting prevention among primary care the participation in delivering services to people, and the physicians and reorienting people toward healthier lifestyles. monitoring of the projects. The involvement of NGOs in Secondly, the approaches proposed by MDG+ for meet- 28 and quality of education and healthcare, could enable a these processes would contribute to further development ing goals and using indicators to assess efficiency could be of advisory bodies in governmental organizations. It also adopted as a means for customizing the implementation would spark a transition from funding institutions, to mechanism and improving the monitoring of the National funding the services that they provide. NGOs can respond Projects in Russia. The indicators used by the National more quickly to feedback from people on the quality and Projects are primarily expenditure-based, not outcome- accessibility of social services. In this context, it is necessary based. Outfitting the National Projects with the relevant to support the initiatives calling for an increase in the MDG+ indicators, such as those reflecting the accessibility involvement of NGOs in the National Projects. MAIN PRIORITIES OF THE NATIONAL PROJECTS IN RUSSIA National Project ‘Education’ 1. Developing the best models of education • Support to innovative universities and schools, best teachers and talented youth 2. Introducing modern technologies to education • Supplying schools with computers and providing access to Internet 3. Creating world-class national universities and business schools • Universities in Siberian and South Federal Districts, as well as business schools in Saint-Petersburg and Moscow region. 4. Raising the level of teaching in schools • Supplementary payments for class supervision 5. Developing the system of vocational education in the army • Broader access to education for fixed-period and contract military personnel 6. ‘Rural school bus’ Project • Measures to support regions of the RF in purchasing vehicles for rural schools National Project ‘Health’ 1. Developing primary healthcare • Wage increase and training of primary-care physicians and GPs • Procurement of equipment and vehicles for healthcare organizations • HIV prevention and treatment • Newborn screening tests and introduction of ‘delivery certificates’ • Clinical examination for working population, healthcare for senior persons and pensioners 2. Providing the population with state-of-the-art medical care • Opening of new medical centres National Project ‘Affordable and Comfortable Housing for Russian Citizens’ 1. Making housing more accessible • Granting of subsidies to young families to purchase housing, mortgage insurance 2. Expanding mortgage lending • Governmental support through Public corporation ‘Agency of mortgage credit’ 3. Increasing housing construction/modernizing the infrastructure of public utilities • Improvement of municipal infrastructure 4. Meeting public commitments on providing housing for certain population groups • Introduction of state housing certificates • Housing improvement for veterans and disabled persons National Project ‘Agricultural Development’ 1. Hastening developments in animal husbandry • Crediting of construction and modernisation of cattle-breeding farms • Supply of cattle and equipment through the system of federal leasing 2. Developing small-scale farming • Granting of subsidies for interest rate, development of rural credit cooperation • Development of mortgage credit infrastructure • Development of storage, processing and sale enterprises 3. Providing affordable housing to young professionals in rural areas • Granting of subsidies to young specialists to purchase housing The Millennium Development Goals customized for Russia (MDG+) and the National Priority Projects are both aimed at reducing poverty and improving access to resources for human development. In this publication the authors assess the potential for applying the concepts of MDG+ to the National Projects as a new social policy tool in Russia. ■ Use of MDG+ for improving the National Projects The long-term guidelines spelled out in MDG+ could augment the strategic component of the National Projects, enhance the quality of implementation, and improve monitoring ■ How can the focus of the National Projects be broadened to better address poverty reduction challenges? To increase the targeted nature of social policy it is possible to use the MDG+ approach that calls for identifying social groups by income overlap, socio-demographics and territory profiles of poverty ■ How can MDG+ contribute to the development of the National Projects ‘Health’ and ‘Education’? Following the MDG+ approach, the additional goals of the National Projects could include modernization of primary and secondary vocational education, and increased role of prevention in public health, complemented by indicators of access of the general population, as well as specific social groups, to human development resources ■ MDG+ and measures for stimulating the birthrate The focus of MDG+ is on the factors that influence decisions to have children such as gender equality in the labour market, and improved pre-school education ■ National Projects and civil society The concept of MDG+ reveals the potential for more active involvement of non-governmental organizations and the business community in formulating, implementing, and monitoring the National Projects © United Nations Office in Russian Federation
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