POSITION PAPER FOR COGNITIVE SYSTEMS AND ROBOTICS ROBOCLUSTER, JANUARY 2011 Position paper on Robotics and Cognitive Systems 2 I NDEX Abstract .................................................................................................................................... 3 Introduction ............................................................................................................................. 4 Research challenges ................................................................................................................. 6 Societal Challenges .................................................................................................................. 9 Competitive challenges ............................................................................................................ 9 State of the art and beyond ................................................................................................... 11 International Trends toward 2020 ......................................................................................... 13 References to European Research programmes ................................................................... 18 Danish competences and interests ........................................................................................ 19 Recommendations/Conclusion .............................................................................................. 22 Position paper on Robotics and Cognitive Systems 3 A BSTRACT This position paper seeks to contribute to the task of DI-ITEK on aligning future Danish ICT research with European research policies and agendas, and tries to outline potential national research contributions to European Research Area (ERA). Since the national research area is relatively small, researcher‟s network and main research partners are just as often international. In consequence it is not possible to point out several national research clusters but to present diverse capacities from the universities involved as well as their main interests. RoboCluster has interviewed leading researchers in the field that we find to have complementary competences. The participating researchers are not composing the whole picture of Danish research but they represent the diversity in Danish research on robotics and cognitive systems. In regard to recommendation for future strategic foci this paper suggest establishment of a national multidisciplinary cognitive center for robotics as an answer to interviewed researchers‟ wish to further coordinate and unite multi disciplinary perspectives on the development of robotics and as a platform to build new core competences in contribution to ERA. Recommendations also concerns application areas which we find to have great notobtained potential. We believe, that in order to push impact of Danish research further - both in a national and European reality - it is necessary to coordinate research more, exploit and develop core competences and through political encouragement increase focus on „post prototype phase‟ and ensure foundations for „testing‟. The way to any robotic breakthrough depends on a pallet of sub competences from product design to an increase in cognitive abilities, but first of all it depends on a test willing approach among end-users and developers in order to reap the benefits of the last years of research. Position paper on Robotics and Cognitive Systems 4 I NTRODUCTION This paper sums up status on robotic research in a Danish academic setting with its relations to cognitive research. Content of this paper is based on interviews, European reports and prior knowledge given to RoboCluster through years of work. The paper provides an overview on the Danish research network, its competences and interests and points out strength positions based on interviews regarding R & D activities. Based on the existing network of the Danish national robotic cluster RoboCluster and its closest partners in research, a line of interviews with researchers has taken direction as a relay in order to follow researchers ways of collaboration and to pursue their interests. New possible ways of bridging interest and research in robotics has thereby appeared in the making of this paper. RoboCluster is, as a national network of innovation funded by the Danish Agency for Science Technology and Innovation, defined by its consortia, the partners‟ activities and interests. The consortia consist of Danish Industrial Robot Association, Technical University of Denmark, Aalborg University, University of Southern Denmark, Kolding School of Design and Danish Technological Institute. 1 The main task of a national network of innovation is to strengthen the collaboration on research, innovation and technological development among industrial partners, knowledge institutions, Advanced Technology Groups and the public sector. Perspectives and contributions from these sectors are included in this paper. Future „break throughs‟ and Danish contributions to European research are given in the following based on 11 qualitative interviews with key researchers‟ answers on the state of the art. Representatives from this multiple disciplinary domain have also given their recommendations on future policy and direction on relevant research. The funding of the current research effort is presented in chapter 7 along with main targets in Danish and European research strategies in this domain. Challenges in the production of this paper centers on: 1 2 3 4 The relatively small amount of experience with EU funding Researchers wish to research rather than participate in these meta descriptions of the field The national research field is neither sufficiently united nor sufficiently specialized in terms of coordinated research areas. www.robocluster.dk Definition from www.wikipedia.co.uk www.oxforddictionaries.com www.oxforddictionaries.com Position paper on Robotics and Cognitive Systems 5 PARTICIPATING RESEARCHERS, COMPETENCES AND INTERESTS Lars Kai Hansen, Professor, Head of Section for Cognitive Systems, Center of Neuro informatics, Danish Technical University Cognitive component analysis, audio and music modeling, functional neuro imaging, molecular brain imaging, intelligent processing of signals Ole Ravn, Associated Professor, Head of section Automation and Control, Department of Electrical Engineering, Danish Technological University Adaptive control, The Adaptive Blockset, Computer aided control engineering, vision-based automation and control, Control of robots and autonomous systems Ole Caprani, Associated Professor, Department of Computer Science, University of Aarhus Play and Learning/edutainment Ole Madsen, Professor, Department of Production, University of Aalborg Automation, robotics, sensors, small batch production Thomas Bak, Professor, Department of Electronic systems, University of Aalborg Automation, control engineering and systems theory, hybrid systems and sensor information fusion, specifically addressed at social intelligent technology, motion control systems Henrik Gordon Petersen, Professor of Applied Mathematics, Southern University of Denmark Technologies for next generation of industrial robots, motion planning Norbert Krüger, Professor, Head of Cognitive Vision Group, Southern University of Denmark Computer vision, biologically-motivated vision, Robotics, cognitive systems, machine learning Kasper Støy, Associated Professor, Mærsk McKinney Møller Institute,Southern University of Denmark Biology inspired multi-robot coordination, modular robots and self-reconfigurable robots Kasper Hallenborg, Associated Professor, Mærsk McKinney Møller Institute, Southern University of Denmark Multi agent system architecture, pervasive computing, welfare technology, agents for ambient assisted living Kim Steenstrup Pedersen, Associated Professor, Department of Computer Science, University of Copenhagen Human motion modeling, 3D tracking and image descriptors Søren Kyllingsbæk, Associate Professor, Center for Visual Cognition, Department of Psychology, University of Copenhagen Mathematical modeling of visual cognition, behavioral experiments, and neuro imaging of visual cognition Position paper on Robotics and Cognitive Systems 6 F IGURE 1: P ARTICIPATING RESEARC HERS R ESEARCH CHALLENGES COGNITION The term cognition (Latin: cognoscere, "to know", "to conceptualize" or "to recognize") refers to a faculty for the processing of information, applying knowledge, and changing preferences. Cognition, or cognitive processes, can be natural or artificial, conscious or unconscious. These processes are analyzed from different perspectives within different contexts, notably in the fields of linguistics, anesthesia, 2 neurology, psychology, philosophy, anthropology, systemic and computer science. In other words cognition covers the mental action or process of acquiring knowledge and understanding through thought, experience, and the senses.3 Cognitive research in relation to robotics can be approached from different points of departure e. g. human sciences and technological sciences. Roughly put, psychologist normally focuses on how the human mind and brain functions, how and why humans perceive and act . Significant contribution to the development of robotics regards basic knowledge on abilities to observe, remember, plan, reason, and make decisions. Technologists‟ research in cognition for robotics is handled through disciplines like machine learning (computation neuroscience), and cognitive engineering as the processing (interpretation) of sensory based input. Cognitive researchers with technological point of departure focus strive to control how the robot interact and 2 3 Definition from www.wikipedia.co.uk www.oxforddictionaries.com Position paper on Robotics and Cognitive Systems 7 understand the real world and succeed in working autonomous among humans guided by sensors. Cross-over researchers are few but most wanted for the further development of artificial cognitive skills for robots. There are still many scientific challenges to be solved, a few components related to them are listed below. From a technological perspective: Robustness of tactile sensors delivering the data for ‘perception’. Vision systems are matured but also need more robustness. Getting mathematic models for visual attention to support the rest of the parts in a robotic system. Storage of gathered input for making qualified decisions. Integration in real life is yet to be seen. Cognitive architectures. From a psychological perspective: Finding good mathematic models of human behavior and transferring the knowledge to the ‘technology side’ Intelligent systems based on self-learning algorithms ROBOTICS Robotics as a “the branch of technology that deals with the design, construction, operation, and application of robots”4 is a broad and multidisciplinary research field since robotic systems draws on many different technologies regardless of it being a virtual or mechanical „artificial agent‟. Cognition Robotics Information/ Technologinal sensor data sciences 4 Moving robotics further into the human sphere characteristics of robot technology tends to change towards ICT systems in general, but remains defined as a mechanism, that replaces human effort through automatic control, be it artificial agents or systems such as social computing/pervasive computing. Embedded software systems striving to make interaction with technological hardware intelligent can in this sense also be considered robot technology.5 On the hardware side of robotics locomotion is striving to renew hardware by making it lighter and more flexible through basic research of modular and cellular robotics. www.oxforddictionaries.com An embedded system is a computer system designed to perform one or a few dedicated function often with real-time computing constraints. It is embedded as part of a complete device often including hardware and mechanical parts. By contrast, a general-purpose computer, such as a personal computer (PC), is designed to be flexible and to meet a wide range of end-user needs.5 In other words, the term „embedded system‟ is “design and build (e.g. a microprocessor) as an integral part of a system or device” (Oxford dictionary) 5 Position paper on Robotics and Cognitive Systems 8 To gain this flexibility development on the software side is inextricably linked to the possibilities on the hardware side. Sensors are used to make robots able to extract information from its surroundings. To expand possible ways in building cognitive abilities for robots in unpredictable environments development in sensor systems are of course crucial. Cognitive vision systems, sonar sensors, dexterous hands and artificial skin still have their way to go. The biggest challenge for robotic researchers and developers concerns the software. Software must be robust, and based on common open standard so that functional modules can be shared instead of being re-invented. Such basis would also enhance further development on robots ability to comprehend and make qualified decisions, even together. For classification of this collective research field EUROP, the European Robotics Technology Platform6 divides robot technology in the following application sectors: Industry, Professional Service, Domestic Service, Security and Space. For a further classification into groups of functionality robots are valued as „autonomous workers‟, robotic co-workers, logistic robots, for surveillance and intervention, exploration and inspection and for education and entertainment. INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION Since the installation of the first industrial robot at General Motors assembly line in 1961 the classic robot (programmable machines), has been a part of the modern industry. Today the industrial market is still by far the biggest in Denmark. Research challenges for industrial robots are currently bin picking, (grasping of flexible objects in uncontrolled environment), precise path planning, compliance control, navigation in unknown production environments and improvement of vision systems in order to develop e. g. autonomous and co-working robots. Future research on industrial robots though lies more in the development of whole production systems where robots are included as part of a „smart factories‟ concept with energy awareness, agile manufacturing and customization. (See more under Trends). This includes focus on modularity and new methods in ICT aggregation.7 Besides smart factories future research concerns a renewal of agricultural production and a paradigm shift in food processing which implies cognitive systems and robots for the purpose of upgrading effective and sustainable food production. PROFESSIONAL SERVICE AND DOMESTIC SERVICE This category embraces a broad range of robotic solutions and application areas and implies for example surgical robots, rehabilitation robots, patient handling robots, cleaning robots, pervasive computing systems (for elderly care) and lawnmower robots. 6 http://www.robotics-platform.eu/cms/index.php http://cordis.europa.eu/fp7/ict/micro-nanosystems/docs/fof-smart-factories-factsheetwp2011_en.pdf 7 Position paper on Robotics and Cognitive Systems 9 There are a range of research challenges in this area since robots in the service sector still are at an incipient stage. The main and fundamental challenge is therefore the handling of the so called human-robot problem. How can robots interact with humans based on mutual understanding on situations and goals. The human-robot problem is reflected in all challenges concerning cognitive robotic systems including sensing, comprehension, intentional understanding of surroundings and decision making. Interplay between these elements is part of the needed answers to questions on safety in this field of application. For „co-working‟, end-users want robots with the assurance of no injury in robothuman collisions. More work is still to be done on technologies enabling humanrobot interaction and detection of proximity, but there is a clear direction emerging within the sector of the development of so called soft robots, not just in material but also in mutual understanding.8 SECURITY AND SPACE (Left out because Denmark is not playing a role in this research field) S OCIETAL C HALLENGES Denmark is challenged by its small workforce, high salaries, high expectations on welfare but little will to take risks. The latter might be changing though due consequences of the global financial crises. Therefore major challenges for Denmark are: Maintenance and redefinition of production in general, such as the rest of Europe. Demographic shifts cause great pressure on welfare services – a redefinition of healthcare includes moving new technological healthcare services into private homes. 9 This causes also ethical challenges in regard to e. g. surveillance and management of now more self supporting patients. Transfer of robot technology from the industrial application area into new generation of hi-tech public hospitals. The aim is to get national SME’s (robot suppliers) involved in this process of opening up a new market, which would strengthen the supplier chain as well as the whole robot eco system. Establishment of sustainable farming and food production Challenges on todays production systems and healthcare systems calls for robot technology as a driver for development of new intelligent methods. C OMPETITIVE CHALLENGES IN REGARDS TO INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION When production moves out of DK/Europe R & D research and knowledge intensive jobs follows. 8 Examples include Shadow (http://www.shadowrobot.com ), Barrett Technology (http://www.barrett.com/robot/index.htm), and KUKA (http://www.kukarobotics. com/en/pressevents/news/NN_060515_Automatica_02.htm) 9 examples of technologies for surveillance involves both intelligent systems outside as well as inside the body (pervasive computing and brain scanning techniques to detect body conditions Position paper on Robotics and Cognitive Systems 10 Robots for new production methods will be a part of a holistic answer to global competition abilities and could be a driver in needed innovation gearing. Due to massive outsourcing DK is challenged on growth and risks losing jobs in general. So in order to keep knowledge and important employment in the country/Europe focus on „smart production‟ is valuable and necessary. This implies progress on e. g. system architectures and integrated communication, control and cognitive capabilities and facilitation of cross-fertilization between academic and industrial research efforts in robotics.10 Normally robots are fitted to huge production volumes. For the needed automation in small production batches better interface is required to ease threshold for workers access to use robots. In Denmark a huge number of SME‟s is doing small batch production and are therefore in some sense used to conditions of competiveness. Nevertheless a lower entrance level for automation of production is needed to make it easier for SME‟s to integrate robots in their production. The Danish robot developer and supplier Universal Robots11 is a good case to show how successful work on interface and lower price fits SME users perfectly. For a true break through open standards are needed. General demands for future production are: Development of a new European model of production systems for the factories of the future (e.g. transformable factories, networked factories, learning factories) depending on different drivers such as high performance, high customization, environmental friendliness, high efficiency of resources, human potential and knowledge creation. ICT-based production systems and high quality manufacturing technologies capable of optimizing their performance with a high degree of autonomy and adaptability for a balanced combination of high accuracy production. Sustainable manufacturing tools, methodologies and processes that have the capability of cost-efficiently shaping, handling and assembling products composed of complex 12 and novel materials. Making Human-Robot Interaction more advanced in terms of the level on which interaction occurs (learning by demonstration, anticipation, language) as well as the robustness and reliability of interaction. Cognitive robotic systems can help production industry to meet these necessary demands if competitiveness is to be regained. This concerns the ability to use more advanced sensors, the ability to learn as well as the fruitful interaction of robots and humans. IN REGARDS TO PROFESSIONAL SERVICE AND DOMESTIC SERVICE Demands on robotic agents, in order to benefit from already matured technology, should be met by focusing on cognitive abilities. This implies perceptive abilities in 10 11 12 ICT Work programme 2011-12 6.2 Challenge 2: Cognitive systems and Robotics www.universal-robots.com Challenge 7 ICT for the enterprise and manufacturing http://cordis.europa.eu/fp7/ict/micro-nanosystems/docs/fof-virtual-factories-factsheet-wp2011_en.pdf Position paper on Robotics and Cognitive Systems 11 learning and recognizing objects in realistic scenes, grasping in unconstrained environments, 3D tracking of human motions, dealing with flexible objects and cognitive abilities such as manipulation in unconstrained environments, understanding of human emotions and behaviors. These abilities can path the way for necessary safety in human-robot interaction and thereby further integration of robotics into society. Human agents on the other hand need to be able to relate to factors as design and interface to reach a confidence in robot technology as being a partner. S TATE OF THE ART AND BEYOND Basically robots carry out three functions - they “sense”, “think” and “act” regardless of their purpose. Sensors, path planning, vision, grasping etc. have been a part of the robotics development for many years. Sensing Acting Thinking SENSING A range of sensors are on the market (cameras, tactile sensor, temperature sensors, etc.). All sensors are continuously improved in industrial R & D departments and in research institutions. State of the art is: Fusion sensors, combines input from different sensors, to make the robot more accurate, and to make the robot better to move in an unknown environment. This fusion of data is in constant focus right now, and several EU project focus on this subject. Tactile sensors , this kind of sensor is not developed enough, but will evolve in the next decade. Sensors can be worn by humans for monitoring and self control with health condition. Vision systems, visual sensors: In the last couple of years vision systems has developed quite a lot. Vision systems today are matured, but are still sensitive towards heavily changing light conditions. Many simple vision systems with controlled lighting are successfully integrated in the industry. 13 13 The term tactile sensor usually refers to a transducer that is sensitive to touch, force, or pressure. Tactile sensors are employed where ever interactions between a contact surface and the environment are to be measured and registered. Tactile sensors are usefuin a wide variety of applications for robotics and computer hardware Position paper on Robotics and Cognitive Systems 12 A cognitive vision system depends on cameras (visual sensors), often many sensors, cognition, interpretation software, system integration etc. The biggest challenge right now is the integration of all the components and making it into one intelligent process. Development of vision is the „sense‟ Danish researchers are most involved in. Future robots will need to learn from its sensing. These abilities are challenges of their own but far more robustness on the hard technology is needed since vision systems still are sensitive to lighting. THINKING (PLANNING, PO SITIONING, COGNITION ) Methods are established for well known static environments: Collision free motion planning Task planning for optimal motion (Offline) Simultaneous localization and mapping (SLAM) Autonomous production system should be able to survey itself in terms of self control Grasping abilities on a cognitive level of a 3 year old 14 The research area today is dynamic surroundings where a high level of cognitive abilities is needed for the robots to be able to navigate and behave reasonable. Automated Guided Vehicles, AGVs, is driving safely around among humans today but these robots are only reacting. Future robots must be able to act on its own initiative that is being capable of understanding abstract signals from its surroundings. The big challenge is to make a robot act sensibly on an abstract job description. This includes abilities to collect data in terms of experience gathering and methods for decoding surroundings like semantic analysis. ACTING (GRASPING, HANDLING) Grasping: Bin picking in unstructured environments is solved and so is new opensource grasp simulators developed for rigid elements. Research today regards non rigid objects. Handling: Pick and place problem is solved for uniformed object. Research area is now the handling of mixed object. Research is also being done on „flexible assembly‟ performed by robots with fine motor skills. 14 is a technique used by robots and autonomous vehicles to build up a map within an unknown environment (without a priori knowledg-.e) or to update a map within a known environment (with a priori knowledge from a given map) while at the same time keeping track of their current location. Position paper on Robotics and Cognitive Systems 13 I NTERNATIONAL T RENDS TOWARD 2020 The research fields of robotics will rapidly change towards 2020 and all application areas will grow but some areas more significantly than others. Therefore only the application we find most relevant in terms of Danish competences and societal challenges are described in connection to the following outline. The outline points out development for the major future market segments expected in various robotic applications. Further the figure depicts trajectories of evolution for each key segment across the levels of acceptance, from entry level to mainstream, via the major growth phase15: INDUSTRIAL MANUFACTUR ING IN MEDIUM AND LA RGE ENTERPRISES Development on research areas such as industrial manufacturing in medium and large enterprises will be limited, since value creation of a separate robot unit is limited to either a reduction of cost or an increase of flexibility. This improvement will demand an unrealistic amount of investment. Instead research will focus on holistic solutions such as concepts for „smart factories‟. Such concepts are key points of development and the primary frame for research developments on robotics for industrial purposes. Smart factories covers ICT-enabled intelligent manufacturing where contribution of Information and Communication Technologies (ICT) to manufacturing aims to improve the efficiency, adaptability and sustainability of production systems and 15 JRC Scientific and Technical reports 2010; A Helping hand for Europe: The competitive outlook for the EU robotic Industry. Position paper on Robotics and Cognitive Systems 14 their integration within agile business models and processes in an increasingly globalised industry, requiring continuous change of processes, products and production volumes. Also the further integration of any newly developed ICT into the production lines and the industrial environments requires complementary research and innovation efforts. These integration aspects will play a key role for generating and using smart production systems for factories in different industrial sectors. 16 Danish researchers are involved in this approach to renew and restore national and European production. INDUSTRIAL MANUFACTURING IN SMALL AND MICRO ENTERPRISES Instead development is expected in SMEs use of robotics since many small enterprises will get the opportunity to integrate robots due to lower costs, higher degree of flexibility and hopefully lower threshold for the worker getting to use it. Improvement in interface and further upgrading of skills among workers is crucial for this development. DOMESTIC USE IN ELDERLY CARE SUPPORT Domestic use of robotics in elderly care support is part of the overall term welfare technology which joints smarter working procedures or concepts for service that sets free resources. Welfare technology covers robot technology, tele medicine, itsolutions and intelligent facilities. As for today we have a good example in the vacuum cleaner, but this is only 1 out of a huge product range that will be developed in the next decade. Some very different kinds of products will be „comforting pervasive systems‟, systems that makes self control of the state of your heath/illness possible. Such services are desirable for both a stressed group of care assistants and patients striving to maintain a life with authority and dignity in their own home. Since these implies holistic systems to surround and monitor the elderly conduct there are bigger ethic barriers here than technological ditto. In many cases elderly actually prefers a robot solution to help with e.g. intimate matters instead of a person. This marked will boom due to the demographic changes and high payments on Danish labor. Future populations will live longer and therefore with an increasing number of diseases. We need technology to help the fewer that will have to take care of growing group of senior citizens. General and personalized robots in households require rather complex bodies, high level of cognitive, emotional and learning abilities. 16 http://ec.europa.eu/research/industrial_technologies/pdf/ppp-factories-of-the-future-strategicmultiannual-roadmap-info-day_en.pdf Position paper on Robotics and Cognitive Systems 15 National research strategies support this on many levels and cross disciplinary research are joint in large scale projects as well. MEDICAL AND HEALTHCARE ROBOTICS Robotics for this application area are divided in to two sectors: 1) Primary robotics for direct treatment of patients such as surgery robots and robots for more general handling of patients e.g. human body washing robot. These robots have been developed but will be further in the future, though Danish research does not focus on these medico technical tasks. Instead Danish research revolves around 2) The so called secondary sector which covers all tasks included in the running of a hospital and the attempt to inter link technological solutions. As for today robots solves logistic tasks such as AGVs transporting heavy stuff and transporting blood samples. In the future there will be a whole lot of robots “behind the scenes”. An ongoing research project is a blood sampling robot. This is an example of a solution crossing over two sectors: when a blood sample has been taken by the robot it is to be sent to the lab and test answers should be sent to the person involved/new department. Other intelligent solutions to emerge in the near future are a full automatic central for sterilization, an intelligent pneumatic tube system and a bed making robots. A solution such as a system for automatic dosing of medicine is already at use. Denmark is in a unique position with its limited size, societal challenges, obvious needs for innovative solutions for welfare services with high standards and therefore encouragement to be a „test nation‟ on welfare technology. Furthermore Denmark will make substantial investments in hospitals – building new, renovating and expanding the existing in the coming 10-15 years. The ambition is to make these buildings as intelligent and automated as possible. National research strategies support this on many levels and research effort are coordinated in large scale projects as well. AGRICULTURE AND FOOD PROCESSING Robotic solutions such as milking robots are state of the art, but coming up is new agricultural machinery based on high tech ad on‟s and intelligent technology transferred from other areas of production. Position paper on Robotics and Cognitive Systems 16 Unmanned Vehicles collecting data in the field is possible today but to exploit the full potential adjustments on security as in surveillance of the terrain is under development by Danish researchers. A high technological project is developing the next generations of sprayer booms for agricultural production with the goal to reduce the excessive use of herbicides by at least a factor 10.17 This Intelligent Sprayer Boom combines micro spraying, vision systems and decision making into one system saving time and money for farmers. Other highly innovative national initiatives with the multipurpose of developing a whole new way of growing food, is being projected right now. This means a shift in paradigm towards „vertical farming‟ and includes a high tech multilayer production system for producing food & non-food products positioning Denmark in a leading role in delivering sustainable and novel technologies to the future world food market. Intelligent robotics is central for e.g. logistics and plant nursing in this new method of production. Danish research groups have great experiences with plant nursing robots (Hortibot), a computer assisted slope mowing robot (Casmobot), and a robotic fruit picker is also under development. The Danish Agrobotic Network was launched 2009 as part of a program with the main objective to further expand the corporation and development within the multidisciplinary agro-robotic field.18 Another Nordic innovation project is User-centric Mobile Information Management in Automated Plant Production. This collaboration is a platform in which agricultural and ICT knowledge from the Nordic countries are combined to form a common system concept for information management in mobile plant production working environments, where 19 automation can be used to bring more efficiency. An example of a European project, where Danish research is contributing, is FutureFarm, funded by the EU as part of the Seventh Research Framework Programme. The project is about meeting the challenges of the farm of tomorrow by integrating Farm Management Information Systems to support real-time 20 management decisions and compliance to standards. To summon up Danish researchers have matured technologies for this application area during the last years of collaboration and time is now to reap the fruits and open up traditional methods to new intelligent solutions. End users as farmers and gardeners are waiting. TECHNICAL TRENDS IN COGNITIVE SYSTEMS AND ROBOTICS The scheme below outlines the most likely development on research and technologies in the next decade. The scheme is divided into cognition-related subjects and more hardware related subjects. Looking at „natural language 17 18 19 20 http://hoejteknologifonden.dk/projektgalleri/projektgalleri/den_intelligente_sproejtebom/ www.agroboticnetwork.dk http://www.nordicinnovation.net/prosjekt.cfm?Id=1-4415-286 http://www.futurefarm.eu/ Position paper on Robotics and Cognitive Systems 17 processing‟, robots will only be able to speak simple phrases in 2015, but most likely be able to speak up to 100 words in 2020. Cognition Innovation Natural language processing for human interaction 2015 Simple phrases 2020 Reliable 100 word vocabulary Higher Cognitive Ability, common sense, human logic Laboratory only Pilot projects Human Interaction – Robots – human working together IRL. Laboratory Limited pilot projects Edutainment Toys Simple projects Humanoids Laboratory Limited pilot projects Human interfacing via thoughts and nerve control Laboratory Limited pilot projects especially with elderly and disabled Innovation New power supplies, solar, fuel cells etc. 2015 Pilot projects 2020 Limited use New Sensors, touch sensitive skin, tactile Pilot scale projects Limited use Soft Robots which can adapt shape Laboratory Only in special applications Self reconfiguration robots that can morph with hardware e.g. self repair Laboratory Limited self repair Robotics /Embedded systems Source21 Indeed, systems pertaining to any of these areas have to understand their respective dynamic environments, whether these call for navigation, grasping and manipulation, interaction with people, or simply the recognition and description of real or virtual objects and scenes. Embedded systems will be everywhere in the future. Therefore challenges and demands on embedded software systems are to make separate devices capable of communicating unassisted with other intelligent devices in order to find the best solution to a given task. Each embedded system will have to be integrated to selforganizing networks called cyber physic systems.22 21 22 The Strategic Research Agenda for Robotics in Europe, 07/2009 http://www.comon.dk/nyheder/Danske-og-kinesiske-forskere-sammen-om-indlejret-software1.378297.html Position paper on Robotics and Cognitive Systems 18 R EFERENCES TO E UROPEAN R ESEARCH PROGRAMMES ICT-AGRI is the acronym for the ERA-NET which has the full title “Coordination of European Research within ICT and Robotics in Agriculture and Related Environmental Issues”. The overall goal of ICT-AGRI is to strengthen the European Research Area and develop a common European research agenda concerning ICT and robotics in agriculture. NMP - Nanosciences, Nanotechnologies, Materials and New Production Technologies. The core objective of the theme is to improve the competitiveness of European industry and generate the knowledge needed to transform it from a resourceintensive to a knowledge-intensive industry. ICT Challenge 2: objective 2.1 Cognitive Systems and Robotics ICT Challenge 5: ICT for Health, Ageing Well, Inclusion and Governance This challenge addresses advanced ICT research for sustainable high-quality healthcare, demographic ageing, social and economic inclusion, and the governance of our societies. ICT Challenge 7: ICT for the Enterprise and Manufacturing 23 The ICT contribution to this initiative aims at improving the efficiency, adaptability and sustainability of manufacturing systems as well as their better integration within business processes in an increasingly globalised industrial context. PPP =>Research => Industrial technologies => Factories of the future The "Factories of the Future" is one of the three Public-Private Partnership included in the Commission's recovery package to support the manufacturing industry in the development of new and sustainable technologies. The objective is to help EU manufacturing enterprises, in particular SMEs, to adapt to global competitive pressures by improving the technological base of EU manufacturing across a broad range of sectors.24 ARTEMIS Embedded Computing Systems (ARTEMIS)25 AAL - The Ambient Assisted Living Joint Programme ERC - The European Research Council 23 http://cordis.europa.eu/fp7/ict/micro-nanosystems/docs/fof-smart-factories-factsheetwp2011_en.pdf 24 http://ec.europa.eu/research/industrial_technologies/factories-of-the-future_en.html 25 www.artemis-ju.eu/ Position paper on Robotics and Cognitive Systems 19 Its main aim is to stimulate scientific excellence by supporting and encouraging the very best, truly creative scientists, scholars and engineers to be adventurous and take risks in their research. The scientists are encouraged to go beyond established frontiers of knowledge and the boundaries of disciplines. The ERC complements other funding activities in Europe such as those of the national research funding agencies, and is a flagship component of the 'Ideas Programme' of the European Union's Seventh Research Framework Programme (FP7). Being 'investigator-driven', or 'bottom-up', in nature, the ERC approach allows researchers to identify new opportunities and directions in any field of research, rather than being led by priorities set by politicians. This approach ensures that funds are channeled into new and promising areas of research with a greater degree of flexibility. D ANISH COMPETENCES AN D INTERESTS Since Denmark is a small research nation „strength positions‟ are determined by other factors than the amount of clustering research groups. Danish research groups are engaged in various technologies, each research group with different foci and disciplinary combinations. Competences and interests are primarily on sensing and perception, learning, motion planning, locomotion, navigation, surveillance and system integration 1) systemic integration of sub systems into whole production systems, 2) multi agent software systems for care services for example. Most of these sub areas ads up to the development of improving the human-robot interaction. Research activities and competences are to some degree divided between the universities involved. At Aalborg University research on process and system integration for the purpose of future production methods is dominant. Research on design of whole flexible production systems happens „close to industry‟. Research in human-robot interaction with specific focus on decoding of human intensions social intelligent technology is also being carried out. At University of Southern Denmark research clusters around agricultural robotics, motion planning and cognitive vision systems. The approach is here „close to industry‟. Basic research in alternative physic constructions of modular robot bodies that are less sensitive, more robust and less injuring is far ahead. At Aarhus University robots for the purpose of „Play and Learning‟/edutainment is dominant. Focus is to challenge everyday people on their comprehension of technology through experience technology be it art, toys or other. A close collaboration with LEGO is going on. At Technical University of Denmark the Section for Cognitive Systems develops information processing between man and computer, with a particular focus on the signals they exchange – audio, imagery, behavior – as well as the opportunities these signals offer for modeling and prediction. The research is based on statistical machine learning and signal processing, on quantitative analysis of digital media and text, on mobility and complex networks, and on cognitive psychology. These technologies for comprehension of human behavior are interesting perspectives on the human-robot interaction. Position paper on Robotics and Cognitive Systems 20 Robot steering, navigation and sensor fusion for autonomous systems is also a dominant part of research at DTU. The Center for Visual Cognition (CVC) at the Department of Psychology of the University of Copenhagen is currently a unit (Center for Integrated Visual Attention Research) under the Center of Excellence Programme of the University of Copenhagen. CVC is a world-leading research unit in the study of human visual cognition. The research at the Center comprises both experimental and theoretical studies, including the development of mathematical models of human visual perception, attention, and short-term memory. To visualize the competences on the universities following scheme is made: Aalborg University University of Southern Denmark Technical University of Denmark Cognition Sensing and perception Motion planning Navigation Surveillance System Integration GOOD GOOD GOOD GOOD GOOD GOOD EXCELLENT GOOD EXCELLENT GOOD OK GOOD EXCELLENT GOOD GOOD OK OK GOOD Aarhus University Play and Learning GOOD GOOD Copenhagen University - EXCELLENT EXCELLENT OK = the university has competences, but no major focus. Good = the university has projects and researchers in the area. Excellent = the university has world class research and projects in the area. Blank = none or only little research. Since research in welfare technology is so highly profiled and yet still on an early stage many Danish initiative such as educations and research projects are being launched. These efforts will gather and get to be coordinated during the next years. Regardless of the purpose be it welfare or production, robots need cognitive abilities and social awareness and applications areas in DK are developed enough to use cognitive systems for welfare, agriculture and industry. POSSIBLE BREAKTHROUGHS Whether it regards cellular robotics or cognitive vision researchers are cautious in predicting future break throughs. A breakthrough though could happen through extensive collaboration between human sciences and robotics. Comprehension of context can be transferred to technological sciences via mathematic algorithms and push research in cognitive robotics further. In regard to modular robots break throughs can happen in the redefinition of flexible production systems, entertainment/toy industry or for the development of welfare robots not physical dangerous to humans. Position paper on Robotics and Cognitive Systems 21 Integration of sub technologies into system architecture are expected but still not realized. Serious breakthrough will happen when open standards are demanded and the integration of sub technologies is possible. Technology for the farming industry has matured the last 10 years in a way that has created great interest from farmers and gardeners. Sustainable production methods regardless of application area will come in focus. But demographic and environmental challenges has an obvious push effect on research since they both demand fundamental changes in our healthcare system and food production. This will dominate the agenda years to come. S WOT A N A L Y S I S O F T H E N A T I O N A L P O S I T I O N S I N R O B O T I C S STRENGTHS Many unic robotic solutions are integrated in SMEs RoboCluster – research cluster as a platform for national coordination and knowledge transfer to the industry. Initiator of cross-disciplinary and sectoral research projects. Modular robot technology Cognitive vision systems System architecture - holistic approach for developing new production methods and welfare technology GTS‟ (Governmental Technological Services) secures impact of the collaboration between universities and companies Non-hierarchic structure in society provides good premises for innovation. Denmark is a test-willing country with a population open to use of new technologies. WEAKNESSES Foundations and councils does not encourage sufficiently to national collaboration. No distinct educational profile divided between the universities nor research groups Not too many competitive core competences. Forces lie in scientific/interdisciplinary approach and non-hierarchic culture Conditions connected to the small size of Denmark OPPORTUNITIES Increased familiarity and coordination among research groups on the five engaged universities. Split of research into either basis research or fast applicable research developed with eye for industrial stakeholders, new national production or export/sale Emerging market: Novel robotic controlled sustainable production systems Safe human-robot interaction based on cognitive abilities THREATS Slow readjustment among suppliers (from industry to welfare technology) Still a missing link between SME‟s and researchers Lack of coordination can lead to less competitive core competences Poor conditions for entrepreneurship Position paper on Robotics and Cognitive Systems 22 NATIONAL STRATEGIES THAT SUPPORT T HE RESEARCH Solid financial support is given on a regular basis to Governmental Technological Services (GTS) to secure transfer of research knowledge to Danish companies and convert it into actual development and integration of intelligent technological solutions. Main focus in Danish research strategies according to the three main funds are predominantly on usage/integration of robotics in to real life and using robots as agents for problem solving and discovering new ways of meeting societal needs. Danish National Advanced Technology Foundation 26, is supportive of new technological solutions for the international market, development of new markets, big business potential, research and innovation with emphasize on interplay between business and research partners. The Danish Council for Technology and Innovation supports corporation and dissemination of knowledge between researchers, research and educational institutions, technological service institutes and companies. The Danish Council for Production and Technology and Business Innovation Fund are also relevant foundations where the aim is to promote growth, employment and export by supporting business opportunities within green growth and welfare. Nevertheless there are critics from the completed interviews pointing at: The lack of focus on cognitive systems in DK The lack of calls who gather researchers on the national scene The lack of focus on „post-prototype phase‟ R ECOMMENDATIONS /C ONCLUSION In the coming year‟s national initiatives will focus heavily on environmental sustainability, food and food production, health and new ways to future welfare services. This correlates well with EU strategies and prioritizations. On these grounds and on the basis of Danish interests and competences RoboCluster suggest that Danish research will be able to contribute considerably to competitive European development in mainly two applications areas: 1. Agriculture and food processing 2. Welfare technologies/care support for domestic and public use Ad 1) In the effort to meet demands on green production Denmark, as a high tech developed agricultural country, has great focus on new sustainable production methods. Many high tech research projects are launched and completed, and demands from farmers and gardeners on intelligent solutions are great. 26 http://hoejteknologifonden.dk/ Position paper on Robotics and Cognitive Systems 23 Ad 2) Due to good national funding possibilities, great political attention and will to maintain welfare services Denmark is on level with technological development with priority to multidisciplinary collaboration with professionals and managements from the care sector. National funding is given to studies focused on for instants pervasive computing for elderly care support or chronic patients in own home. The approach considers social perspectives on technological care support in a holistic perspective where psychological effects are studied as another angle to the development of man-machine interaction.27 Regardless of the recommended application areas researchers have pointed out the following cases to be of great importance in connection to future research in the field of cognitive systems and robotics: In order to increase focus on the very applications it is necessary to focus on whole systems and total integration and by doing so break frontiers into new application areas or markets. Part solution should be replaced by focusing either on basic research or total architecture of systems. This prioritization should be backed up politically by foundations, councils and national coordination between the universities. As in a European context Danish research effort also needs a more applicable focus to connect closer with industrial stakeholders and society as such. Danish research is ‟good enough‟ on R & D but needs to be focused further on „post prototype phase‟ with testing, usage in new fields of applications and commercialization. – Poor possibilities of Danish funding contradict Denmark being a test willing country. Councils such as European Research Council 28 are popular among Danish researchers due to manageable administration of the funding in contrast to funding from the 7th framework. Critics about call texts that are too broad and too general is put forth and seen as part of why funding can be hard to achieve. New cross-over research is called for to study better interaction and intimacy between technologies and humans as such. The pedagogic perspective in regard to user interface, robots for education, robots for entertainment, and thereby reaching greater confidentiality with technology and interactive systems. For robots to break-through barriers to new application areas, e. g. the elderly care sector, user-friendly robots and interface should be developed based on studies of learning processes, work culture and product psychology. On a national research level there is a wish among researchers to do more cross- over research in regard to development of future cognitive systems and 27 www.partnerskabetunik.dk & www. Intellicare.dk The ERC is established by the European Commission and funded through the EU 7th Research Framework Programme 28 Position paper on Robotics and Cognitive Systems 24 robotics. This should be possible and still pay attention to core competences. As recommendation for new national prioritization we suggest a platform to unit national research relevant to cognitive robotic systems for close interaction with humans. This could be a Cognitive Research Center multidisciplinary in its approach and we believe such a multidisciplinary research center could contribute in a unique way to European Research Area providing alternative answers to learning aspects and safety. Artificial cognitive systems are at the junction of the cognitive, ICT, and natural sciences: Design: National Center for Applied Cognitive Robotics Technological Product psychology Sciences: Pedagogic interface Robotics and ICT Human sciences: Neuroinformatics Psychology Semantics EDITORS Marianne Sandgaard, Project Coordinator at RoboCluster Bjarke Hassert Nielsen, Cluster Manager at RoboCluster
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