The Real Impact of Regulations on Growth A PROPOSAL PREPARED FOR BIS December 2011 © Frontier Economics Ltd, London. Confidential December 2011 | Frontier Economics i The Real Impact of Regulations on Growth 1 Introduction 1 1.1 Why Frontier? ............................................................................ 1 1.2 Proposal outline ......................................................................... 2 2 Our understanding of your requirements 3 3 Methodology 5 3.1 Overview .................................................................................... 5 3.2 Objective 1 – Comprehensive list............................................... 5 3.3 Objective 2 – Theoretical mechanisms ...................................... 7 Objective 3 – Empirical evidence.......................................................... 8 3.4 Objective 4 – Creating new markets ........................................ 11 3.5 Objective 5 – Alternatives to regulation .................................... 12 3.6 Draft report ............................................................................... 13 3.7 Final report ............................................................................... 14 3.8 Final presentation .................................................................... 14 3.9 Project management ................................................................ 14 4 Team 15 5 Our experience and capabilities 19 6 Quality Assurance 23 7 Pricing Schedule 25 Annex 1 – Insurance Documents 27 Annex 2 – Statement of Non-Collusion 29 Annex 3 – Form of Tender 31 Annex 4 – CVs 33 Contents ii Frontier Economics | August 2017 Confidential The Real Impact of Regulations on Growth Figure 1. Overview of methodology 5 Figure 2. Indicative summary table of empirical analysis1 10 Figure 3. Team overview 15 Figure 4: Pricing schedule 25 Tables & Figures Confidential 1 Introduction 1.1 Why Frontier? December 2011 | Frontier Economics 1 We understand that the purpose of the project is to enable BIS to develop a good understanding of the particular channels through which regulatory changes can have an impact on growth. BIS would also like to understand the ways in which regulation can influence future markets in a positive way and how non-regulatory routes can support growth. The information on each of these issues is to be carried out by means of a literature review. We have selected a small team of experienced economists to complete this project efficiently. Our team includes Professor Nicholas Crafts, a well-known academic expert in understanding the determinants of growth and the role regulations plays in supporting and constraining growth. He is the author of ‘Regulation and Productivity Performance’ (2006, Oxford Review of Economic Policy, vol. 22 no. 2.) We think it is essential that the literature review is: Comprehensive – our team’s experience in conducting literature reviews and having Professor Nicholas Crafts as one of our team members will ensure that the literature review will cover the full spectrum of relevant research. We have developed an approach based on our experience elsewhere to ensure that the relevant peer reviewed papers, working papers, and appropriate grey literature are covered. Based on critical analysis – the main findings from the literature review must be based on a critical analysis. We will identify the strengths and weaknesses in methodologies and data analysis within each of the sources. We put forward a team of experienced economists that can help bring out from the literature the more robust analytical concepts, econometrics as well as the interpretation of the results. Accessible to a wide audience – we will aim to deliver helpful and useful narratives from the critical review. The final report and presentation will communicate our findings in a clear and accessible manner. Our combination of robust economic analysis combined with the ability to apply it quickly and to provide clear answers to policy makers characterises our work. Introduction 2 1.2 Frontier Economics | August 2017 Confidential Proposal outline Our proposal is structured as follows: Section 2 provides our understanding of the research requirement; Section 3 provides our methodology; Section 4 presents our project team, Section 5 provides our relevant experience Section 6 details our quality assurance processes; Section 7 provides our proposed fee and pricing schedule. Details of our insurances are included in Annex 1. Our Statement of noncollusion is contained in Annex 2. Annex 3 provides our Statement of tender. Detailed CVs for each of the team members are provided in Annex 4. Introduction Confidential 2 December 2011 | Frontier Economics 3 Our understanding of your requirements The Coalition Government have clearly put growth high up on the political agenda and are introducing a broad range of measures to stimulate growth. In this context it makes sense to understand whether there are regulations that place too great a drag on growth, and to what extent. The main aim of this study is to gain a greater economic understanding of the ways regulation can hamper growth, and to develop some insight into the magnitude of this potential drag on the economy. BIS would also like to understand what evidence there is of regulation having a positive impact on growth by influencing the development of new markets, and where alternatives to regulation may have more positive consequences for growth. There is a plethora of different types of regulation aimed at different policy goals and designed in different ways. In most cases there will be an economic rationale for regulation and this ought to be based on evidence of a material market failure. It follows that if the regulations are effective they will yield benefits for the economy in economic welfare terms. But it is well understood that regulations will create burdens; and the greater weight of these burdens will be on business. There is a legitimate concern that such regulatory burdens are having a significant impact on productive efficiency and hence on growth. A standard public economics analysis of regulations will tend to concentrate on the size of the market failures that are being addressed by a regulation and compare these with the likely economic burdens of regulation in terms of compliance costs to business and non-desirable market distortions. A wider economic perspective will add to this analysis by questioning such things as: whether those implementing the regulations face incentives that can lead to less effective regulation; whether businesses affected by regulation can game them to create incumbent advantages; and whether dynamic effects such as ‘creative destruction’ can be slowed down by regulation. In this proposal we set out how we would go about this study. Our broad approach has been based on ideas we have gathered from a brief analysis of some of the main published articles on the relation between regulation and economic performance. There appears to be two ways we can consider the regulation and economic growth relationship: Firstly, there is the approach which looks like the norm in the literature, where a relatively standard growth model is put forward and this is adapted to include one or a number of indicators of regulatory burden. Estimates of Our understanding of your requirements 4 Frontier Economics | August 2017 Confidential regulatory impacts are provided using regressions based on cross-country data. There is relatively little theoretical foundation to the studies and is it not obvious how the analysis can be applied in a policy context. Nonetheless, some indication of the magnitude of regulatory burdens on growth and in some cases the impact of certain types of regulation can be understood. Secondly, there is a complementary approach that allows for a more microeconomic-based analysis of the impact of regulations. This approach identifies what the key drivers of growth are from the literature and then looks to understand the impact regulation may have on the specific drivers. This allows for a microeconomic-based understanding of how regulations impact on the drivers and also gives greater opportunity to explore studies based UK data. The above broad approach addresses the conceptual framework for developing the evidence for the first three objectives of the study. The remaining two objectives are more difficult to assess at this stage. There is some risk that there will be limited available research in the two areas and particularly on their likely impact on growth. If this were to be the case we would be keen to talk to BIS on how we could provide useful additional information on the two hypotheses both from (i) a theoretical perspective on how they could impact on growth and (ii) some description of the ways in which these approaches are being taken advantage of today. We understand that the aim of the literature review is to provide a robust evidence base to develop high level policy guidance. As a result, the research will highlight those areas of regulation that are likely to have significant impact on growth. Our understanding of your requirements Confidential 3 Methodology 3.1 Overview December 2011 | Frontier Economics 5 Figure 1 provides an overview of our methodology. Details on how we propose to achieve each of the objectives of the literature review are provided in the following sections. Figure 1. Overview of methodology 3.2 Objective 1 – Comprehensive list Objective 1 is aimed at developing a comprehensive list of relevant literature examining the links between regulation and economic growth. Step 1.1 The first step is to define a range of information sources that we will use for the literature search to ensure that our literature search is systematic and Methodology 6 Frontier Economics | August 2017 Confidential comprehensive. We envisage that the list of information sources will include the following: Respected databases for academic literature such as EconLit (the American Economic Association’s electronic bibliography), the International Bibliography of the Social Sciences (IBSS) and the Applied Social Sciences Index, using key word searches. Contact with a list of NGO’s and relevant think-tanks – we can discuss who in particular, but we would expect to include the CBI, TUC, Chambers of Commerce, IPPR, Reform, Policy Exchange amongst others. A list of international organisations such as the OECD, World Bank, International Monetary Fund, particularly to understand if there is work in progress or relatively new working papers etc. Step 1.2 We will check each of the identified information sources for relevant literature that deals specifically with the relationship between regulation and growth – from both the theoretical and empirical perspectives. Based on the initial literature search, we will develop a long list of potentially relevant articles. We will review the summaries and key features of each article on the long list to select a short list of 20-30 articles that we will review in detail. The advantage of this approach is that it provides transparency in the selection of articles. We will work with BIS to agree a set of criteria for shortlisting. Outputs The key output from this task is short list of literature to be reviewed. The lists will contain all relevant source information such as author, date, title, journal/report details, accessibility as well as a brief summary. We will discuss both the long and the short list with BIS to ensure that are agree on the articles that are selected for an in-depth review. Potential risks We have identified the following risks and ways of addressing these risks: Range of literature is limited – it may be difficult to find relevant literature that estimates the impact of regulation on growth. In order to be prepared for a low return on our search we will use Professor Nicholas Crafts’ knowledge on research in this area to do a targeted second-round search. Methodology Confidential 3.3 December 2011 | Frontier Economics 7 Range of literature is very extensive – there might be a high number of articles on this area. In this case, we will liaise with BIS to define a number of criteria for excluding research to ensure that our shortlisting process is transparent. Objective 2 – Theoretical mechanisms This objective is aimed at identifying and outlining the most prominent theoretical relationships between regulation and growth, critically evaluating different models, and assessing their policy implications. Step 2.1 We will review each of the short listed articles in depth. For each article we will prepare a summary of the theoretical approach used. Step 2.2 We will then compare the conceptual approaches used and we will identify categories. Our critical evaluation will be based on: the validity of the underpinning economic theory; and the applicability of the theory to the UK context. We consider that a robust theoretical mechanism between regulation and growth needs to account for a positive and negative relationship. We will also need to distinguish between changes in economic welfare and changes in productive potential. For example, while a reduction in the number of regulations a business start-up needs to comply with would lower the cost of business start-ups, it is important to remember that the regulation could also have positive impacts – e.g. in food handling regulation may increase the cost of starting up a restaurant but consumers’ knowledge that the regulation exists is likely to help stimulate the market. A theoretical approach that only considers the relationship between compliance costs and growth may therefore not account for any positive growth impacts from regulation. Step 2.3 We will consider the relevant policy implications of the theoretical approaches that are discussed. Theory may be a helpful guide here as it can help us understand the most likely direction of impact and it may also be able to indicate where, and how, different regulations impact. Methodology 8 Frontier Economics | August 2017 Confidential Output As an input to the draft report, we will prepare an outline and analysis of different conceptual approaches. We will also identify the relevant policy implications. Objective 3 – Empirical evidence The objective of this task is to critically review and summarise the findings of the most robust empirical studies on the relationship between regulation and GDP growth or levels. It is important to keep in mind the findings from the theory section when embarking on critical analysis of the empirical evidence. The outputs form the theory section should act as a guide for understanding what is being estimated in the empirical models – and also as a useful criteria for which empirical models are robust insofar as they have a sound theoretical backdrop. Step 3.1 We will review the empirical analysis undertaken in the short-listed articles. As a first step, we will identify for each study: The data set used (including time frame, geographical coverage, etc.); The experimental set-up or econometric tools used (e.g. the type of regression analysis) The statistical significance of the findings and the potential for bias – e.g. endogeneity bias The key results of the empirical study (e.g. a reduction in the regulation indicator from medium to low leads to a 0.03 percentage point increase in annual GDP growth). Step 3.2 We will evaluate the quality of the empirical analysis. We will assess the quality of data used for the analysis and the appropriateness of the econometric analysis. We will also analyse the results and the interpretation of the results to determine whether the analysis can be considered robust. Our preliminary review of the topic has indicated that a range of econometric approaches have been used to estimate the relationship between regulation and growth. The following problems with the empirical analysis appear to be common: Methodology Confidential December 2011 | Frontier Economics 9 The quantity and quality of regulation is often measured imperfectly by relying on surveys such as the Fraser Institute Economic Freedom Index or the World Bank Doing Business Indicators. These measurements include a degree of subjective judgment that needs to be taken into account when interpreting results. Limited data variability across developed economies. The literature seems to suggest that there is a strong relationship between regulation and growth when considering cross-country data that includes countries at different stages of economic development. However, it appears to be more difficult to identify a significant impact of regulation on growth among developed economies. This may partly be due to a lack of variation in the data. Even though there are differences in the quality and quantity of regulations across OECD countries, these may be too small to identify a significant relationship. For each research article that contains an empirical analysis, we will provide a summary of the evaluation. The summary will cover strengths and weaknesses of each of the studies. Step 3.3 We will identify those articles that we consider to contain the most robust analyses. We will then draw out policy implications from these studies. Outputs We will prepare the following inputs for the draft report: Table that provides a description of the features of the empirical analysis (see Figure 2 for an example); Critical analysis of each of the articles that contains the strengths and weaknesses; and Identification of the most robust analyses and their policy implications. Methodology 10 Frontier Economics | August 2017 Figure 2. Indicative summary table of empirical analysis1 1 Note that the table is for illustrative purposes, we have not fully reviewed the article. Methodology Confidential Confidential December 2011 | Frontier Economics 11 Potential risks We have identified the following risk and ways of addressing this risk: Lack of detail – empirical studies may not provide all the information required to assess the quality of the analysis. For example, some studies may omit a detailed description of the dataset or key parameters. In cases where we consider the analysis to be of significance, we could contact the study team to obtain additional information on the analysis (if available). We discussed in Section 2 how we would want to explore empirical models that went beyond simply adding a regulations intensity measure to a standard growth model. We would want to extend the analysis to see if richer information can be obtained by looking at studies that examine the impact of regulations on key drivers of growth. 3.4 Objective 4 – Creating new markets The objective of this task is to identify and assess examples in the literature where regulations have created growth by signalling future customer preferences. We will review all of the shortlisted articles with this objective in mind. Where articles refer to this mechanism of creating growth through regulation, we will assess the robustness of the arguments by considering the counterfactual. While it can be argued that regulations in some cases have signalled future consumer preferences, it is important to clearly identify how growth would have developed in absence of the regulation. Outputs We will draft a separate analysis on the evidence of regulation stimulating growth by creating markets for new products. This will include an overview of the evidence as well as a critical evaluation. Potential risks We have identified the following risks and ways of addressing these risks: Lack of transparency – as the counterfactual is essential to determine whether regulation has an impact on growth by creating new markets, the studies may lack information on the counterfactual. In some cases, it may also not be straightforward to identify how markets would have developed in absence of regulation. In cases where we consider the evidence to be of great importance, we can consult with some of Frontier’s regulatory experts in the relevant area. Methodology 12 3.5 Frontier Economics | August 2017 Confidential There is some risk that there will be limited available literature on the likely impact on growth. If this were to be the case we would be keen to talk to BIS on how we could provide useful additional information on the hypothesis both from (i) a theoretical perspective on how regulation can impact on growth in this way and (ii) some description of the ways in which the approach is being taken advantage of today. Objective 5 – Alternatives to regulation The aim of this objective is to highlight examples in the literature comparing the impact of nonregulatory alternatives to regulation on growth compared to traditional regulatory approaches. We will review the short-listed literature for comparisons of the impact of nonregulatory alternatives and traditional regulation on growth. Non-regulatory alternatives include self-regulation, co-regulation, information and education and economic instruments which may be implemented using a range of tools such as codes of conduct, voluntary agreements or labelling. These alternatives might be expected to have a more positive effect on economic growth when compared to traditional regulation if they free up business time from dealing with administratively burdensome regulation and allow more time to be focused on productive activities. To fully understand the effect of non-regulatory alternatives on economic growth compared to traditional regulation, studies would need to compare what has happened to economic growth with the introduction of a non-regulatory alternative with what might have been expected to happen otherwise (the counterfactual). Since many factors influence the growth of a sector, let alone growth across the economy, it will be very important that studies attempt to control for all of the other changes that may have coincided with the change in approach. We will therefore focus our research on identifying studies that consider the counterfactual. Output We will draft a separate analysis on the evidence of on the impact of nonregulatory alternatives on growth compared to traditional regulation. This will include an overview of the evidence as well as a critical evaluation. Potential risks We have identified the following risks and ways of addressing these risks: A lack of studies that compare the impact of non-regulatory alternatives to regulation and traditional regulation on growth. Due to Methodology Confidential December 2011 | Frontier Economics 13 the likely difficulties of isolating the effects of non-regulatory alternatives on growth, there may be few studies that seek to achieve this. If this is the case, we may need to draw together the lessons from less robust papers but clearly highlight the key caveats and where further work would be required. It may also be possible to draw on evidence contained with papers that do not address the question of the effect on economic growth directly. For example, if a paper looked at the effect of the alternative on business productivity we could use a conceptual map to link this to the likely effects on growth. If there is a lack of robust evidence we would be keen to talk to BIS on how we could provide useful additional information on the hypothesis both from (i) a theoretical perspective on how regulation can impact on growth in this way and (ii) some description of the ways in which the approach is being taken advantage of today. 3.6 Draft report Based on all the inputs from Objectives 1 to 5, we will prepare a draft report for BIS’ review. Our report will present the information and analysis in a clear and accessible form. In consultation with BIS, we envisage the draft report to contain the following: 1. Introduction Background and project objective Methodology Report outline 2. Theoretical mechanisms linking regulation and growth Overview of research reviewed Critical analysis Policy implications 3. Empirical studies linking regulation and GDP Overview of empirical studies reviewed Critical analysis Policy implications 4. Evidence on regulation stimulating new markets 5. The impact on growth of regulatory alternatives 6. Conclusions Methodology 14 3.7 Frontier Economics | August 2017 Annex A – Long list of research articles Annex B – Summary tables for empirical analysis Confidential Final report After BIS’ review of the draft report, we will address all comments in the final version of the report. 3.8 Final presentation We will prepare a final presentation on the key findings and conclusions of the literature review. The presentation will be focused on the key outcomes of the literature search and will identify the policy implications. 3.9 Project management We will undertake this project in close collaboration with BIS. Our approach to project management is based on regular communication to create a “no surprises” environment. Our project manager will provide fortnightly updates on progress in the form of a short email followed by a phone call to discuss any outstanding issues. We have allowed for two progress meetings in addition to the inception meeting, as we think it is important for BIS to be involved in all the key decision making points during the project. Methodology Confidential 4 December 2011 | Frontier Economics 15 Team We have selected a small team of experienced economists to undertake the literature review as this ensures consistency across the review of different articles. It also allows each team member to have an in-depth involvement in the project. Figure 3 provides an overview of our proposed team structure. A more detailed description of the relevant experience of each team member is provided below. Figure 3. Team overview Michael Ridge, Project Director Michael Ridge is Director and Chief Operating Office at Frontier and leads its Public Policy Practice. He has over 20 years of experience working at the highest levels of government, helping to apply economics rigorously but pragmatically to inform policy development. During his career, he has worked with all UK government departments on various aspects of public policy development. He has been at the forefront of developing best practice in regulation, evaluation and assessment for government policies. This includes work for the BERR, the National Audit Office, the Audit Team 16 Frontier Economics | August 2017 Confidential Commission as well as all major central government departments, including HM Treasury. Earlier in his career he worked in a high-powered research environment at the Institute for Fiscal Studies, University of Oxford and Brunel University. He has published academic papers in leading journals, including the Economic Journal and the Journal of Public Economics. Michael will be responsible for the overall quality of our outputs. He will provide inputs on the methodology and review all outputs. Professor Nicholas Crafts – Expert advice Nicholas Crafts is Professor of Economics Director of the ESRC Research Centre on Competitive Advantage in the Global Economy (CAGE) at the University of Warwick, and a renowned academic expert on economic growth. He has published many papers in academic journals and has also contributed to research by the International Monetary Fund and the World Bank, including key articles and papers on the links between regulation and economic growth. His main fields of interest are long-run economic growth, British economic performance and policy in the 20th century, the industrial revolution, and the historical geography of industrial location. Professor Crafts will provide advice on how to approach each of the objectives and will review the outputs. Annabelle Ong – Project Manager Annabelle is a Consultant at Frontier Economics with 6 years’ experience in economic consulting. Annabelle has provided advice to governments in the UK Australia, New Zealand, and Singapore. Annabelle is experienced in developing advice on regulatory and policy issues in a range of sectors. She has developed and applied a range of analytical frameworks (including econometric approaches) to assess regulation and policy across sectors. Annabelle is experienced in managing complex projects. She is able to deliver well-structured reports and presentations that are easily accessible by a wide audience. Annabelle has undertaken literature reviews on a number of topics including: The costs and benefits of non-regulatory initiatives to reduce CO2 in transport; Performance measurement of national transport regulation in Australia (including methods of how to verify costs and benefits from regulatory impact statements); and Methods for valuation of life for transport economic appraisal. Team Confidential December 2011 | Frontier Economics 17 Annabelle will be the day-to-day project manager for this project and will conduct a large part of the research and analysis. Ashley Kurtz - Researcher Ashley Kurtz joined Frontier Economics as an Analyst in 2008 and works primarily in its Public Policy, Transport and Water practices. She has particular expertise in cost assessment and economic appraisal, and has worked on a number of major impact evaluation studies for UK government departments. Prior to joining Frontier, Ashley was an Economist at the Department of Finance in Canada, where she analysed developments in the U.S. economy, with a focus on the developments in housing and financial sector reform. Ashley holds a Masters in Economics from Queen’s University at Kingston, where she subsequently pursued doctoral studies. Ashley will contribute to the research and analysis. Team Confidential 5 December 2011 | Frontier Economics 19 Our experience and capabilities Frontier Economics has an excellent track record of supplying high quality economic analysis in the public sphere. All economists at Frontier are educated to a minimum of Master’s degree level, and many have pursued doctoral research. Our high standards of analysis allow us to attract a number of leading academics as Associates, whom we draw upon to support our work and to act as peer reviewers. With respect to this study, we have substantial experience in critically analysing academic papers, and in developing useful narratives from the analysis to support policy development. Nearly all of Frontier’s studies will begin with an understanding of the strengths and weaknesses in the literature in the field and use this as a base for advice to clients. A large part of the work carried out at Frontier involves analysis of regulations in some form or another. We have a number of ex-GES economists who have either been involved in developing guidance in Departments for regulatory impact assessments, or have carried out assessments for particular regulations. Typical examples include: Analysis of the impact of environmental regulation on companies costs. Estimating the compliance costs of changes to London Taxi regulations on drivers and vehicle providers’ costs. Analysis of planning constraints on the housing market. We have recently been advising the government on parts of its growth strategy. Our worked looked at the gains to the economy from better coordinated infrastructure planning and the impact of telecommunications on economic growth. Recent relevant examples for Frontier’s work include: BIS Frontier undertook an economic analysis to understand the circumstances under which market studies and market investigations are likely to result in significant changes for consumers, exploring all aspects of market failure, including competition issues and the effect of government regulations. Evidence for the reviews was obtained from a desk based literature review of publicly available information and interviews with OFT and BIS staff involved in the market studies. See Frontier’s report for BIS at: http://www.bis.gov.uk/assets/biscore/consumer-issues/docs/10-921evaluation-impact-of-enterprise-act.pdf BERR The impact of regulation: Frontier was commissioned to develop the approach to the ex post analysis of the cumulative impact of government Our experience and capabilities 20 Frontier Economics | August 2017 Confidential regulation. This included an application of the analysis to selected consumer and competition regulations and legislation. As part of wider efforts to decrease the burden of regulation, this project developed a detailed methodology for the ex post evaluation of regulations and applied it to selected regulations. See the published report at: http://www.berr.gov.uk/files/file35725.pdf, which fed into wider government efforts to reduce the regulatory burden. HM Treasury An economic analysis to feed into the Prime Minister and Chancellor’s launch of the “Plan for Growth” in November 2011, concentrating specifically on the economics of interdependencies across different areas of infrastructure, and the potential impacts on growth caused by those interdependencies. Frontier’s work provided specific recommendations for government action to drive growth from this part of the economy, evaluating systemic risks and opportunities in UK infrastructure using a number of case studies to explore the subject and to draw out ‘lessons learned’ that can be identified as generic conditions under which risks or opportunities could potentially exist. See HMT’s report at: http://cdn.hm-treasury.gov.uk/national_infrastructure_plan291111.pdf Health and Safety Executive Frontier undertook an empirical analysis of the effect of health on aggregate income and individual labour market outcomes. This included the development of a detailed econometric framework, estimation of results, and presentation of those results to statistical, health and policy audiences. The project estimated both macroeconomic growth equations to investigate the link between GDP growth and aggregate health measures, and also microeconomic wage and employment equations to estimate the links between specific health conditions, the probability of being employed and wages of those who are employed. See Frontier’s report at: http://www.hse.gov.uk/research/rrhtm/rr639.htm Department for Culture, Media and Sport As part of the Communications Review, Frontier undertook a high profile analysis of the links between investment in telecommunications sectors and wider economic growth. The econometric analysis was based on the development of a growth framework and statistical analysis of the role of certain types of investment in growth. The econometric analysis could then be used to forecast the future impact on growth of investment in this area. Our work included exploring how some forms of regulation can be shown to constrain the ability of the sector to contribute to growth in a range of ways. Frontier’s report: http://www.culture.gov.uk/publications/8421.aspx Our experience and capabilities Confidential December 2011 | Frontier Economics 21 Legal Services Board A project exploring the role that special bodies play in the delivery of legal services and the risks this may pose to effective regulation. Frontier undertook an investigation into the role of special bodies (such as Citizens Advice Bureaus, charities, community interest companies) in the market for legal services and the impact on them of changes to the regulatory regime created by the Legal Services Act 2010. We combined evidence from an in-depth literature review with a series of case study interviews with economic principles to identify the potential risks to the regulatory objectives, drawing out the consequent implications for the framework of regulation and future work. See Frontier’s report at: http://www.legalservicesboard.org.uk/news_publications/latest_news/pdf/ rep_lsb_special_bodies_final_report_07_07_11_stc.pdf Our experience and capabilities Confidential 6 December 2011 | Frontier Economics 23 Quality Assurance Over the past few years, Frontier (and, specifically, its Public Policy practice) has worked for all major UK government departments, the European Commission and numerous other EU Governments and their agencies. Our continued good reputation for the delivery of high quality, robust and timely analysis that is useful to policy-makers reflects our quality assurance process and the level of commitment we bring to projects. We operate an internal quality assurance process to safeguard the output produced for clients. It ensures that work delivered to clients is properly verified and meets our high quality standards. There are three elements to this process: Director oversight: all projects are overseen by a Director at Frontier. They are ultimately responsible for the delivery of outputs to the specifications required by the client. Internal quality assessment: each project includes an internal QA Role that is filled by a senior member of the firm who is not part of the project team. They read through major outputs and provide comments to the project team to ensure all our work meets the same high quality standards. Academic quality assessment: Frontier teams include a leading academic to ensure all material is vetted by an expert who is fully independent of the project team and the company. As stated in Section 4 above, Michael Ridge will provide Director oversight for this project and will be responsible for the overall quality of our outputs, and will review all outputs to ensure transparency, consistency of quality– both across this project as well as in-line with Frontier’s standards, and to the satisfaction of BIS’s specifications and expectations. Within the direct project team itself, we also have quality assurance processes in place. They guarantee the integrity of the data collection and analysis. Depending on the circumstances, they include: bespoke confidentiality agreements: willingness to sign agreements to maintain the confidentiality of data, this includes IT processes that are in place to ensure access only to those authorised; data handling procedures: specific procedures for manipulating primary data to ensure that all results are fully verifiable and traceable back to the original primary data sets; and report clarity: all our reports are proof read before being released. The proof reading focuses particularly on the clarity of the presentation of ideas. It aims to ensure that the particular audience for the report Quality Assurance 24 Frontier Economics | August 2017 Confidential fully understands the analysis and its implications, regardless of their familiarity with economic or other concepts used in the research. Finally, Frontier ensures its quality through the staff that it hires. As a specialist microeconomic consulting firm, we hire people with graduate degrees in microeconomics. We advertise widely across Europe and our staff come from all over the EU and beyond, reflecting our search for the best people available. They are then provided with on-going training to ensure skills are kept up todate. Quality Assurance Confidential 7 December 2011 | Frontier Economics 25 Pricing Schedule We propose to undertake the literature review for a total of £20,000 (excluding VAT). The Pricing Schedule below shows our daily fee rates and number of days proposed for the project amounting to a total of £31,500. Given the topicality of this subject area and the opportunity for Frontier to build on this work for future projects, we are prepared to discount to a fixed fee of £20,000. Figure 4: Pricing schedule DESCRIPTION OF SERVICE FIRM FIXED PRICE Management, staff & support staff and their respective man-days: Name & Position Cost p d (a) Michael Ridge No of days (Actual cost at usual rates) £ 2,400 1 (£2,400) (QA Director) (b) Nicholas Crafts £ 1,200 3 (£3,600) (Academic Expert) (c) Annabelle Ong £20,000 £ 1,000 15 £700 15 (£15,000) (Project Manager) (d) Ashley Kurtz (£10,500) (Researcher) (Total: £31,500) Sub-total/total consultancy cost £20,000 Production of interim and final reports Not applicable Any other costs (please state) Not applicable Overheads and Profit Not applicable TOTAL LUMP SUM PRICE (excl. VAT) £20,000 Pricing Schedule Confidential December 2011 | Frontier Economics 27 Annex 1 – Insurance Documents Annex 1 – Insurance Documents Confidential December 2011 | Frontier Economics 29 Annex 2 – Statement of Non-Collusion Annex 2 – Statement of Non-Collusion Confidential December 2011 | Frontier Economics 31 Annex 3 – Form of Tender Annex 3 – Form of Tender Confidential December 2011 | Frontier Economics 33 Annex 4 – CVs Annex 4 – CVs Frontier Economics Limited in Europe is a member of the Frontier Economics network, which consists of separate companies based in Europe (Brussels, Cologne, London & Madrid) and Australia (Brisbane, Melbourne & Sydney). The companies are independently owned, and legal commitments entered into by any one company do not impose any obligations on other companies in the network. All views expressed in this document are the views of Frontier Economics Limited. 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