EC Research in the field of climate change
vulnerability, impacts and adaptation
(an update)
Wolfram Schrimpf
Deputy Head of Unit
Climate Change & Natural Hazards Unit
Directorate-General for Research & Innovation
European Commission
5th EIONET workshop on climate change vulnerability
impacts and adaptation
Copenhagen, EEA, 30 June 2011
FP7 research supports the following climate
change-related priorities:
• Understanding, monitoring and predicting climate
change and its impacts
• Providing tools to analyse the effectiveness, costs
and benefits of different policy options for
mitigation and adaptation
• Improving, demonstrating and deploying existing
climate-friendly technologies and developing the
technologies of the future
• Focused on four main thematic areas:
–
–
–
–
Environment (total budget € 1.89 billion)
Energy (total budget € 2.35 billion)
Transport (total budget € 4.16 billion)
Space and Global Monitoring for Environment and
Security (GMES) (total budget € 1.43 billion)
Establishing links with ‘science-users’
POLICY
DEVELOPMENT
DESIGN OF
POLICY
RESEARCH,
SCIENTIFIC PROGRESS,
POLICY INTEGRATION
POLICY
REVIEW
POLICY
IMPLEMENTATION
An integrated approach
Ecosystem
Soil
Water
Nature
Air
Biodiversity
Impacts transpire gradually from the environment into the economies and society
UNDERSTANDING, IMPACTS
Carbo-Extreme (The terrestrial Carbon
cycle under Climate Variability and
Extremes : a Pan-European synthesis)
•
•
•
•
-
-
•
EC funding: EUR 3.3 million, CP, 27 partners
Duration: 48 months (end date: June 2013)
Co-ordinator: Max Planck Institute for Biochemistry, Jena , Germany
Major scientific objectives include:
Improve our understanding of the terrestrial carbon cycle in response to climate variability and extreme
events
Represent and apply this knowledge over Europe with predictive terrestrial carbon cycle modelling
Interpret the model predictions in terms of vulnerability of the terrestrial – in particular soil – carbon pools
under different scenarios and give advice to the European Commission and other stakeholders to
support the development and implementation of climate, soil and ecosystem protection policies
Web site: http://www.carbo-extreme.eu/
MedSeA (Mediterranean Sea Acidification
in a changing climate)
• EC funding: EUR 3.4 million, CP, 16
partners
• Duration: 36 months (01/02/2011)
• Co-ordinator: Universitat Autonoma de
Barcelona, Spain
• Major activities of MedSeA include:
- identify where the impacts of acidification on
Mediterranean waters will be more significant
- generate new observational and experimental
data on Mediterranean organism and ecosystem
- provide best estimates and related uncertainties
of future changes in Mediterranean Sea
- combine scientific and socio-economic analyses
• International partners from Israel, Morocco,
Egypt, Tunisia
• Web-site: http://medsea-project.eu/
MEECE (Marine Ecosystem Evolution in a
Changing Environment)
•
•
•
•
EC funding: EUR 6.5 million, 23 partners
Duration: 48 months (01/09/2008)
Co-ordinator: Plymouth Marine Laboratory UK.
Major activities of MEECE include:
–
–
–
–
•
Improve the knowledge base on marine ecosystems and the way they are
impacted by the many driving forces, either anthropogenic or natural.
Provide input to governmental and non-governmental actors in the
development of innovative tools and strategies for the rebuilding degraded
marine ecosystems, protection and the sustainable use of the sea and its
resources, in the perspective of the ecosystem approach.
Improve the knowledge base for protection and management scenarios aimed
at reconciling the interests of the many economic groups benefiting from the
marine resource (including coastal).
Support to EU Marine Strategy (long term ecological objectives), the EU
Maritime Policy and the EU Common Fisheries Policy (ecosystem approach to
the management of marine resources).
Web-site: http://www.meece.eu
1960
Evaluated Hindcast
2000
Forecast………
2050
2100
ROBIN (Role Of Biodiversity In climate
change mitigatioN)
• EC funding: EUR 7 million, CP-SICA, 12 partners
• Duration: 48 months (foreseen to start 01/11/2011)
• Co-ordinator: NATURAL ENVIRONMENT RESEARCH COUNCIL,
UK
• Major activities of ROBIN include:
–
–
–
–
–
–
Quantify the role of biodiversity in terrestrial ecosystems in South and Mesoamerica in mitigating
climate change;
Quantify local and regional interactions between biodiversity, land use and climate change mitigation
potential and the delivery of other key ecosystem services;
Evaluate the socio-ecological consequences of changes in biodiversity and ecosystem services under
climate change;
Evaluate the effects of current climate change mitigation policies and actions on ecological and
socio-economic conditions;
Analyse the impacts of alternative land-use scenarios (and other mitigation options) aimed at
maximising climate mitigation potential while minimising loss of biodiversity and ecosystem services
and avoiding undesirable ecological and socio-economic effects;
Provide guidance on land-use planning and other climate change mitigation options such as low
carbon strategies and bio-fuel production.
• International partners from Mexico, Brazil, Bolivia and Guyana
• Web-site: website to come within first 3 months of the project
CATALYST (Capacity development for
hazard risk reduction and adaptation)
•
•
•
•
EC funding: EUR 843,000, Coordinating Action, 7 partners
Duration: 24 months (01/10/2011)
Co-ordinator: SeeConsult GmbH, Germany
Major activities of CATALYST include:
-Bring together scientists, stakeholders and networks to identify
and share the best of knowledge, know-how and practices
related to natural hazard and disaster risk reduction,
including adaptation
- identify gaps in current practises and reinforce existing EU
and international network capacity
IMPACT2C (Quantifying projected impacts
under 2°C warming)
•
•
•
•
EC funding: max EUR 6.5 million (under negotiation), CP-IP, 29 partners
Duration: 48 months
Co-ordinator: Helmholtz-Zentrum Geesthacht (GKSS), Germany
Major scientific objectives include:
-
Provide detailed ensemble based climate change scenarios, plus statistics and derived indices,
tailored to the needs of various sectors, for the time slice in which the global temperature is
simulated to be of 2°C above pre industrial level;
Provide a detailed assessment of risks, vulnerabilities, impacts and associated costs for a broad range
of sectors against the background of socio economic scenarios consistent with development paths
aimed at limiting global warming to 2°C;
Develop an optimal mix of response strategies accounting for the regional differences in adaptive
capacities, distinguishing between those that can be accommodated autonomously and those that
require additional policy interventions.
-
SECTORS
Clustering
CC impacts on water and security
CLIMB / WASSERMed / CLICO:
CLIWASEC (Climate-Water-Security) Cluster of three
projects resulting from a coordinated call of the
Environment and Social Sciences and Humanities
Programmes
Climate induced changes on the hydrology of
Mediterranean basins: reducing uncertainty and
quantifying risk through an integrated monitoring
and modelling system (CLIMB)
Water availability and security in Southern Europe
and the Mediterranean (WASSERMed)
Climate change, hydro-conflicts and human
resources (CLICO)
A critical mass of 44 institutions for an overall EC contribution of
more than 9 M€: 29 institutions from EU (1 AT, 1 CY, 9 DE, 3 ES, 3
FR, 1 GR, 8 IT, 3 UK) - 5 institutions from S&T countries (1 CH, 2 IL,
1 NO, 1 TR) and 10 international institutions (1 CA, 3 EG, 1 ET, 1 JO,
2 PS, 2 TN)
Pictures: CLICO leaflet
DEWFORA (Improved drought early warning and
forecasting to strengthen preparedness and
adaptation to droughts in Africa)
•
•
•
•
EC funding: EUR 3.5 million, CP-SICA, 19 partners
Duration: 36 months (01/01/2011)
Co-ordinator: Deltares, the Netherlands
Major activities of DEWFORA include:
-
•
Assessment of existing drought monitoring and forecasting capacities, mitigation and adaptation practices in Africa
Development of drought indicators related to drought hazard, vulnerability and risk and the influence of climate change
Analysis of drought forecasting at different temporal and geographical scales
Enhanced drought early warning for better decision making and preparedness in Africa
Interaction with stakeholders and dissemination
International partners from Botswana, Egypt, Kenya, Mozambique, South-Africa, Sudan
Web site:
http:www.dewfora.net
DROUGHT-R&SPI (Fostering European
Drought Research and Science-Policy
Interfacing)
•
•
•
•
EC funding: EUR 3.4 million, CP, 9 partners
Duration: 36 months (01/10/2011)
Co-ordinator: University of Wageningen, the Netherlands
Major activities of DROUGHT-R&SPI include:
- Better understanding of drought as a natural hazard, identification of sensitive regions
- Development of case studies to understand past drought events, identify best practices and
possible Disaster Risk Reduction responses
- Improved knowledge on links between drought indicators and impacts in different geoclimatic regions in Europe
- Science-policy dialogue, information sharing and knowledge dissemination
- Development of policy recommendations to support the 2 nd WFD river basin management
plan (2015-2021)
EU Cultural Heritage / PPP-EeB
"Energy efficient Buildings"
Aims to decrease energy consumption and reduce CO2
emissions of buildings across Europe through innovative
technologies, building and district concepts.
Individual historic buildings (castles, churches and
mansions)
Groups of buildings
3ENCULT (FP7-EeB) Efficient ENergy for EU
Cultural Heritage
Aims to develop solutions for improving the energy efficiency
of historic buildings in urban areas
•Tools for the diagnosis
• Passive and active retrofit solutions
• Monitoring and control devices
Duration: 42 months
11 European Countries
Start Date: 1st October 2010
Project Coordinator: EURAC (IT)
Project Web Site: http://www.3encult.eu
Healthy Futures (Health, environmental change and
adaptive capacity: mapping, examining and
anticipating future risks of water-related vectorborne diseases in eastern Africa)
•
•
•
•
EC funding: EUR 3.3 million, CP-SICA, 15 partners
Duration: 48 months (01/01/2011)
Co-ordinator: THE PROVOST FELLOWS & SCHOLARS OF THE COLLEGE OF
THE HOLY AND UNDIVIDED TRINITY OF QUEEN ELIZABETH NEAR DUBLIN
Major activities of Healthy Futures include:
-Database construction with socio-economic, land use, climate and diseases data from eastern Africa
-Vulnerability mapping in eastern Africa
-Disease transmission relationship and dynamic modeling for Malaria, Rift Valley Fever and Schistosomiasis
-Development of decision support tools
-Dissemination and knowledge transfer
•
International partners from Tanzania, Kenya, Rwanda, South-Africa
Work Programme 2012
Cooperation Theme 6 Environment
(including climate change)
Work Programme 2012
Challenge 6.1 Coping with climate change
Overall aim
• To create a more effective interface between climate change knowledge, social
and economic systems and the policy-making process
In particular, the call will explore:
• The key knowledge gaps in climate science that may allow reliable seasonal-todecadal predictions, paving the way to the future development of climate services
• The economic opportunities the costs and the impacts associated to the development of
a low carbon, resource efficient and climate resilient society and economy, by:
– Improving the energy-economy-climate modelling tools for assessing costs and
impacts of mitigation pathways
– Improving our capability of assessing the full costs and benefits of adaptation
strategies
– Exploring the best mix of economic and non-economic instruments that may
complement the EU Emission Trading System in order to reach the 2050 GHG
reduction targets
• The opportunities, risks, feasibility and policy implications of geo-engineering
Indicative budget: 55 M€
Work Programme 2012
Challenge 6.1 Coping with climate change
ENV.2012.6.1-1
Seasonal-to-decadal climate predictions towards climate services
Goals:
• The improvement of seasonal-to-decadal climate predictions at regional and
local scale to satisfy the needs and requirements of various stakeholders and
economic sectors at European level, in view of future climate services.
Proposals should address:
• Key problems and uncertainties to advance our understanding of critical
processes in the climate system at different scales
• It should take into account trends, feedbacks, teleconnections and threshold
levels of the earth climate system or its compartments; should make use of
existing climate information and observations and may conduct field
experiments where necessary to close knowledge gaps
• Proposals may focus on specific knowledge gaps which undermine short term
climate predictions and should demonstrate the degree by which they will
contribute to the improvement of the reliability, precision and accuracy of short
term climate predictions at various scales
Work Programme 2012
Challenge 6.1 Coping with climate change
ENV.2012.6.1-1 (cont.)
Expected impact:
• More reliable seasonal-to-decadal climate predictions
• Improved preparedness and resilience of society to changing climate conditions
and high risk patterns from seasons to years ahead
• Reduced costs of emergency interventions
• Better market preparation, higher business continuity (e.g. agriculture,
transport)
• European contribution to the WMO Global Framework for Climate Services
• New business opportunities for SMEs
Additional information:
• Collaborative Project
• Two-stage evaluation. One or more proposals can be selected
• Projects linked through a coordination mechanism defined during the
negotiation stage
• Cooperation with international initiatives and non-EU partner is encouraged
• Max. EU contribution per project <9 M€
Work Programme 2012
Challenge 6.1 Coping with climate change
ENV.2012.6.1-3
Strategies, costs and impacts of adaptation to climate change
Goals:
• Building of a comprehensive knowledge base to identify appropriate adaptation
options, to assess their full costs and to support the development of medium
and long-term adaptation strategies at national, regional and local scales
Proposals should address (not exhaustive):
• Development of methods and tools to assess climate impacts, vulnerability,
risks.
• Bottom-up assessments of full economic costs and benefits at sector level;
aggregation to EU and national level
• Inter-linkages of adaptation policies with other policies
• International cooperation
• Participation of stakeholders
Work Programme 2012
Challenge 6.1 Coping with climate change
ENV.2012.6.1-3 (cont.)
Expected impact:
• Enlargement of the databases of socio-economic data related to climate change
impacts, vulnerability and adaptation (input to the Clearing House Mechanism)
• Better quantification of the social and economic costs and benefits for the
sectors and policy areas mentioned in the Adaptation White Paper
• Improved integration of adaptation research into decision making,
mainstreaming adaptation in sectoral EU policies
Additional information:
• Collaborative Project
• Two-stage evaluation. One or more proposals can be selected
• Projects linked through a coordination mechanism defined during the
negotiation stage
• Max. EU contribution per project <6 M€
Work Programme 2012
Challenge 6.4 Protecting citizens from environmental hazards
Overall aim
• To develop innovative knowledge and applicable tools aiming at risk reduction
from environmental hazards, including extreme and sudden large catastrophic
events, as well as noxious elements present in the environment that may affect
human health
In particular, the call will explore:
• How to improve the resilience of societies to major catastrophic events
through new risk-management partnerships
• The establishment of long-term monitoring experiments in geologically active
zones, as European contribution to the international “Supersite” initiative
• How to integrate large amounts of environmental exposure and human
health data – the concept of “exposome”
Indicative budget: 42 M€
Work Programme 2012
Challenge 6.4 Protecting citizens from environmental hazards
ENV.2012.6.4-1
Improving the resilience of society to catastrophic natural hazards
through new risk-management partnerships
Goals:
• To strengthen the economic and societal resilience to potential
catastrophic disasters and to improve preparedness, prevention and
mitigation through more appropriate risk assessment and new management
schemes.
Proposals should address:
• For key representative geological and/or hydro-meteorological hazards,
the development of new probabilistic hazards and risk scenarios and
improve the methodologies for pan-European risk assessment and for
estimating disaster impacts
• New ways of risk governance and management responses: there is the
need to improve or redefine the respective roles or possible forms of
partnerships between the private sector including the (re)insurance and
finance sectors, the relevant authorities and stakeholders.
Work Programme 2012
Challenge 6.4 Protecting citizens from environmental hazards
ENV.2012.6.4-1 (cont.)
Expected impact:
• Contribution to a new pan-European harmonised risk assessment scheme
• Elaboration of a new risk management governance approach
• Support to EU relevant policies and to the UN Disaster Risk Reduction Hyogo
framework for action.
• Reduction of risks of major economic losses through innovative non-structural
mitigation measures and new public-private partnerships on financial and
insurance schemes
Additional information:
• Collaborative Project
• Two-stage evaluation. One or more proposals can be selected
• Projects linked through a coordination mechanism defined during the
negotiation stage
• Max. EU contribution per project <6 M€
Work Programme 2012
Challenge 6.4 Protecting citizens from environmental hazards
ENV.2012.6.4-2
Long-term monitoring experiment in geologically active regions of
Europe prone to natural hazards: the Supersite concept
Goals:
• Long-term monitoring and study of European land reference sites in high-risk
seismic and volcanic areas to provide a better scientific understanding of the
occurrence of those natural hazards, contributing to the international
‘Supersite’ initiative.
Proposals should address:
• Select few core sites in Europe as focal points for large geographical regions,
linking together observations and end users in the framework of the risk
management cycle
• Develop and demonstrate the next generation of geo-hazards
monitoring/observing systems
• Establish comprehensive natural hazards observatories in collaboration with the
relevant industrial sectors and SME's.
• To run a monitoring pilot phase as a European supersite demonstrator.
Work Programme 2012
Challenge 6.4 Protecting citizens from environmental hazards
ENV.2012.6.4-2 (cont.)
Expected impact:
• Increased European technical know-how for the monitoring of geological
disasters and contribution to the development of the relevant European
industrial sector
• Improved use of observations and related information to inform policies,
decisions and actions associated with disaster preparedness and mitigation.
• Improved access to observations and related information to facilitate warning,
response and recovery to disasters.
• Increased communication and coordination between national, regional and
global communities in support of disaster risk reduction
• Contribute with other ‘Supersites’ to GEOSS and to the GEO 2012-15 work plan
Additional information:
• Collaborative Project
• Two-stage evaluation, One or more proposals can be selected
• Projects linked through a coordination mechanism defined during the
negotiation stage
• Max. EU contribution per project <6 M€, EU contribution to SME >15%
Further information
• General information on environmental research
http://ec.europa.eu/research/environment/index_en.htm
• CORDIS
http: //cordis.europa.eu/fp7/environment/home_en.html
• Participants portal
http:
//ec.europa.eu/research/participants/portal/page/home