Chapter 6 Public Opinion the Media What is Public Opinion? • Framers intended that the government should follow public opinion only in regard to broad goals Definition …the expression of attitudes about government and politics These were intended to serve as a check on public opinion: • • • • • representative government federalism separation of powers Bill of Rights independent judiciary Measuring Public Opinion • direction – preferences for or against a particular issue – place on the line • salience – how central is it to your daily concerns • intensity – how strong is your preference on a particular issue • stability – how consistent are your preferences over time • informational support – how much knowledge do you have about the issue Why do we distrust the federal government? • trust steadily declined since the 1960s • rose briefly during the Reagan years The Origins of Political Attitudes • political socialization – the process by which individuals come to adopt the attitudes, values, beliefs, and opinions of their political culture Agents of Political Socialization • family – greatest impact – number of people describing themselves as independents has risen – reason for decline in party identification • proportionally a larger # of younger voters • younger voters less likely to be partisan • religion – liberal Catholic, Jewish – conservative Protestants – since the 1960s, Evangelical Christians have become more attached to Republicans • Education – attending college tends to make one more liberal (more of an impact now because more people are going to college) – social science professors tend to be the most liberal • political elites – liberal are more liberal – conservatives are more conservative – the two groups differ even though they often have roughly the same income • gender gap – differences in political views between women and men – existed for a long time – not always been large enough to make a difference – benefitted Republicans in the 1950s, but women’s vote tends to benefit Democrats today • occupation – becoming less important as an explanation of political opinion because more people with college education • race – has become more important in explaining political attitudes – Blacks have become the most consistently liberal group within the Democratic Party • region (geography) – many white southerners shifted from Democratic to Republican party in recent years – Democratic party now based in the North Political Ideology • liberal – wants the government to do more to help improve lives • conservative – personal action rather than government programs improve lives • pure liberals – both economic and social issues • pure conservatives – both economic and social issues • libertarians – conservative on economic issues, liberal on social ones • populists – liberal on economic issues, conservative on social issues Polling • poll –mechanism that is used to measure and analyze public opinion 5 elements that make up the various dimensions of public opinion polling 1. person interviewed must be a random sample of the entire population – any given voter must have an equal chance of being interviewed 2. questions must be comprehensible – subjects must have some knowledge and some basis on which to form an opinion 3. questions must be asked fairly – without the use of loaded or emotional words 4. answer categories offered to a person must be carefully considered 5. not every difference in answers is a significant difference Sampling error – difference between the results of two surveys or samples Margin of Error (MoE) – degree of accuracy of a poll – +3% 3 Roles the National Press Play 1. gatekeeper – influence what subjects become national issues, and for how long 2. scorekeeper – help make political reputations – note who is “mentioned” 3. watchdog – close scrutiny of political figures Rules Governing the Media • Freedom of the Press – radio and TV need a government license to operate, newspapers and magazines do not – FCC issues licenses – radio must renew every seven years – TV must renew every five years 5 techniques politicians use to shape the media 1. press officers – release information that shapes the news 2. targeting the 6pm news 3. spin control 4. leaks, flattery, ideology 5. rewards and penalties Chapter 7 Political Parties Interest Groups Political Party • organizations created for the purpose of winning elections and governing once in office • group that seeks to elect candidates to public office • Constitution does not mention political parties • Decentralization - candidates in most states selected by the voters in primary elections, not by party leaders. 1st Political Parties • Democratic Republicans – Thomas Jefferson • Federalists – Alexander Hamilton Jefferson Hamilton National Party Structure • national convention – every 4 years to nominate a presidential candidate and to ratify a party platform • national committee – runs party affairs between national conventions • congressional campaign committee – party committee in Congress that provides funds to members who are running for reelection or to would be members running for an open seat • national chairman – paid, full-time manager of a party’s day-to-day work – elected by the national committee Money • federal money – money raised to support campaigns of candidates running for federal office – amounts regulated by federal law • soft money – money raised by political parties for activities other than directly supporting a federal candidate • get-out-the-vote drives • party advertising not linked to a particular name • advertising on behalf of party issues – not regulated Political Machine • a party organization that recruits its members by the use of tangible incentives Two-Party System • single-member districts – legislative districts from which one representative is chose • plurality of votes – to get elected, you just need to get the most votes, not a majority Interest Groups • definition – organizations that seek to influence the making of public policy – a private group which attempts to influence government policies to protect the interests of the group Public Interest Lobby • group whose goals will principally benefit nonmembers • work for the common good Activities of Interest Groups • provide information to Congress and bureaucrats – legislators must take positions on issues they are not full informed on – most valuable when it concerns a fairly narrow, technical issue Strategies used by Lobbyists • insider strategy – work closely with a few key members of Congress • outsider strategy – grassroots strategy – used most recently – mobilizing citizens to contact the government Lobbying • practice of influencing public decisions for private purposes • communication with legislators and other government officials to try to influence their decisions • lobby all three branches – legislative – executive – judicial Money • Political Action Committees (PACs) – political fund-raising arm of corporations, unions, or interest groups – over half sponsored by corporations – can give no more than $5,000 to any candidate – purpose is to gain access • revolving door – government officials getting lucrative jobs in private industry after they leave government Regulating Interest Groups • 1946 – Federal Regulation of Lobbying Act – little practical effect • 1995 – Lobbying Disclosure Act – tightened registration and disclosure requirements • interest group activity is protected by the 1st Amendment as a form of political speech Chapter 8 • Campaigns and Elections https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YmCDaXeDRI4 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vs5ORK8RLWk – Kennedy https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EU-IBF8nwSY – Reagan https://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_embedded&v= YfkNEq1XioE - Recent Compared with European Democracies, the US has: • large number of offices filled by election • political parties are weak and not accountable for the actins of elected officials • lower public participation in elections • large # of interest groups that affect the process Political Participation • • • • • voting join political organizations or interest groups contribute money write members of congress talk politics with friends and neighbors 40% of Americans either do not participate in politics at all or limit that participation strictly to voting Why do people participate? – main reason is civic duty Who Participates? • Well educated • Higher income • Increase in all forms of participation except voting • African Americans participate less than whites **Important Note: Elected officials tend to be better informed and more in agreement with the opinions of those who are the most active. Historical Voting Patterns • major changes – 15th Amendment – African-Americans the right to vote – Voting Rights Act of 1965 • literacy tests abolished • federal examiners • dramatic change in participation – 19th Amendment • women the right to vote in 1920 • no dramatic change – 26th Amendment • lowered voting age to 18 • youth vote less than expected Voter Turnout • decline in voter turnout in 20th century may be more apparent than real because of voting fraud in the past (ballot stuffing). VAP • voting age population • low turnout when compared to other countries VEP • voting eligible population • removes ineligible voters from calculations Registered Voters • people who are registered to vote (US Citizen, 18 yrs old by election day, no felonies and not mentally incapacitated). • when compared to other nations, US turnout of registered voters to vote is high • Why is registration low? – entire burden of registering has fallen on the citizens Election 2012 November 6, 2012 - Uniform Election Date Authority conducting elections First Day to File for Place on General Election Ballot (for cities and schools ONLY) (filing deadline for other political subdivisions may vary) 2 County Clerk/Elections Administrator/ Local political subdivisions July 21, 2012 (Even though the first day to file falls on a Saturday, this does not require the filing authority to hold weekend office hours to receive candidate applications.) Last Day to Order General Election (or Special Election on a Measure) 2 Last Day to File for Place on General Election Ballot (for local political subdivisions ONLY) 2 August 20, 2012 (NEW LAW: 78th day before election day) First Day to Apply for Ballot by Mail (does not apply to FPCA) Last Day to Register to Vote September 7, 2012 First Day of Early Voting Last Day to Apply for Ballot by Mail (Received, not Postmarked) Last Day of Early Voting August 20, 2012 (NEW LAW: 78th day before election day) October 9, 2012 (Tuesday, which is next business day after Columbus Day) October 22, 2012 (Monday, which is next business day after statutory deadline) October 30, 2012 (Received, not Postmarked) November 2, 2012 http://votetexas.gov/voting/who#students Two reasons why turnout is lower than in other democratic countries 1. politics not as important to Americans as it is to citizens of other countries 2. political parties do not mobilize voters and get them to the polls with the same efficiency as do many European parties Political Campaigns • features of our political system that have contributed to the rise of personal rather than party-run campaigns – primary elections – political funds and jobs under control of candidates and office-holders, not party leaders – public financing of presidential campaigns – ability to reward followers with jobs in the hands of elected officials rather than a party boss – increased reliance on mass media for campaigning – decline in party identification Strategy • tendency of states in recent years to frontload primaries and caucuses – earlier in the year – this increases their importance Kinds of Elections • general – election used to fill an office • primary – election prior to the general election in which voters select the candidates who will run on each party’s ticket Types of Primaries • open – decide when you vote as to which party’s primary you want to vote in • closed – you must declare in advance as to which party’s primary you wish to vote in • blanket – you can vote for candidates of different parties – Democrat for one office; Republican for another (Washington and Alaska) • runoff – held when not candidate gets a majority of the votes in the first primary – candidates with top two vote counts run against each other • presidential primary – held to pick delegates to the presidential nominating conventions Using Television • spots – short television advertisements used to promote a candidate – https://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_embedded&v=JLoU nRchJPE – https://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_embedded&v=_6z5 zC8W2Mk • visuals – campaign activity that shows up on the news (usually news worthy activity). • debates – no evidence to show they have made a difference since 1984 – viable candidates Retrospective Voting – based on what the party had done in the recent past – backward-looking Prospective Voting – voting for a candidate because of what they want to do after the election – forward-looking Party Realignments – shift in the popular support of one or both parties – 5 in US history Blue States – Democrats usually win Red States – Republicans usually win split-ticket voting – voting for candidates of different parties straight-ticket voting – voting for candidate of one political party only party-column ballot – ballot listing all candidates of a single party under the name of that party – encourages straight-ticket voting office-block ballot – ballot listing all candidates for a given office under the name of that office – encourages split-ticket voting – also known as Massachusetts Ballot Who supports the Democrats? – minorities – unions – working class Who supports the Republicans? – business and professionals – Socio-economically disadvantaged whites – African Americans are the most loyal Democratic voters. – Hispanic vote is split between Cuban-Americans (Republican) and Mexican Americans (Democrat). Elections and Money • “Money is the mother’s milk of politics” • 1972-2004 presidential candidate have officially spent the same amount because they have accepted money from the federal government • no limit on what congressional candidates can spend • PACs – organizations that raise money for candidates – Political fundraising arm of corporations, unions, and interest groups. – limited to $5,000 • individuals – $2,000 to individual candidate – $10,000 to PAC • independent expenditures – political money raised and spent by an organization on behalf of a candidate – done without the direction of or coordination with the candidate • soft money – money raised by political parties for activities other than directly supporting a federal candidate • matching funds – money given by the federal government to match, under certain conditions, money raised by each presidential candidate – $3 check off on income tax • 527s – tax exempt organizations set up to raise money for political campaigns that are not regulated by campaignfinance laws • internet – one way to bypass federal rules on campaign finance is to solicit money over the internet
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