Natural Gas Business Overview ° ° Antonio Castro Executive Manager Gas & Energy AGENDA The Brazilian Natural Gas Market Investments in Natural Gas Infrastructure The Role of LNG New Policy for Gas Contracts Natural Gas Integration with Electric System Brazilian Natural Gas Market Brazilian Natural Gas Market – 2012 Supply and Demand 160 Million m3/d @ 9.400 kcal/m3 140 120 134,0 43,9 134,0 (1) 31,1 LNG 30,0 Bolívia 72,9 E&P 100 80 42,1 60 48,3 40 17,5 20 25,3 0 48,0 (2) 5,5 2007 Thermoeletric 2012 Industry (1) Others: vehicular, residencial, commercial, refinaries e fertilizer plants. (2) Considering Maximum Dispatch of every thermoeletric power plant Supply 2012 Others Business Plan 2008-2012 - Investments US$ 112,4 billion US$ 6,7 billion in the Gas and Energy Segment US$ 18,2 billion on the natural gas stream Natural Gas Stream Investiment (Brazil): US$ 18,2 billions Business Segment Investment* 8% 58% 27% 1,4 65,1 5,0 1% 0,1 0,1 1% 2% 1,5 2,6 2,6 4,3 29,6 6,7 2% 4% 4,3 11,6 E&P RTC 26% G&E 6% E&P Petroquímica Petrochemical 1% RTC Distribuição Distribution 63% G&E Corporate Biofuel Nota: Inclui Internacional * US$ 97,4 billions Brazil (87%) and US$ 15,0 billions International (13%) Internacional Distribution Domestic Natural Gas Supply Million m3d 80 Urucu Bacia Campos 70 Uruguá Tambaú Peroá-Cangoá Mexilhão Manati 71,1 Canapu 60 Rio de Janeiro Espadarte Mód II 45,7 50 40 30 Camarupim Cidade de Vitória Golfinho Mód. 2 Lagosta 28 20 Roncador P-52 10 Roncador P-54 Pirapitanga 71,3 64,1 Frade Parque das Conchas Albacora (water injection) Marlim Sul Módulo 3 - P-56 70,8 Espadarte Módulo 3 Jubarte P-57 Barracuda (infill drilling) Cidade Niterói Jabuti (FPSO) Marlim Sul Módulo 2 P-51 Non-associeted natural gas Associated natural gas Marlim Leste P-53 0 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 General view: Production, imports and pipeline grid expansion Pipeline Extension 2003 – 5.804 km Urucu-Coari-Manaus 2006 – 5.877 km + 3.817 km 2007 – 6.511 km Belém 2008 – 7.777 km 2009 – 8.620 km Manaus 2010 – 9.621 km Pilar-Ipojuca Recife Catu – Itaporanga Salvador Cacimbas – Catu Brasília Gasbel II Existing Pipeline Paulinia - Jacutinga Gasduc III Pipeline being implemented Japeri-Reduc Caraguatatuba – Taubaté LNG Terminals Natural Gas Production Basins Gasbol Sul - Expansion Gaspal II / Gasan II Pipeline construction COARI – MANAUS Pipeline CATU – ITAPORANGA Pipeline Tubes for CACIMBAS-CATU Pipeline 0 Realizado Actual 29,9 29,7 31,0 31,2 Nov Dez Jan Planejado Planned Dez Nov Out Set Ago Jul 31,5 2007 Jun Mai Abr Mar 31,5 29,8 Out Fev 29,2 Set 27,1 25,0 Jul 30 Ago 25,1 23,5 Mai Jun 22,8 Abr 5 22,8 10 Mar 15 23,1 25 Fev 21,5 20 Jan Natural Gas imports from Bolivia millions m3/d 2008 Flexible LNG Opportunity The current LNG market scenario allows short term contracts, creating opportunities to this new alternative to import LNG, with reduced fixed costs. Assist on the adjusting of the supply to the Brazilian market characteristics: Steady and continuous supply to the residential, industrial and automotive demand. Flexible supply (guaranteed) to the power plants. Other benefits: Faster implementation. Failure risk mitigation to the natural gas supply due to problems on production and delays on projects under development. Diversification of the import sources of natural gas. Flexible LNG Terminal Concept Pier Carrier Ship Regasification Vessel LNG GUANABARA BAY TERMINAL Includes the construction of a LNG jetty, with 2 berths, inside the Bay. Regasification capacity of up to 14MMm³/d and delivery to the grid through a 16km pipeline (submarine + on-shore). Terminal Location at Guanabara Bay LNG Terminal Pier Construction PECEM TERMINAL Regasification capacity of up to 7 MMm³/d and delivery of Natural Gas to the grid through a 20km pipeline. Pecem Port PECÉM JETTY #2 ASSEMBLAGE OF THE FIRST LOADING ARM REGAS Vessels Golar Winter Golar Spirit Delivery: May, 2009 Delivered on: June 11th, 2008 Max. Send-out: 14 MMm³/d Max. Send-out : 7 MMm³/d Storage Capacity: 138,000 m³ Storage Capacity: 129,000 m³ LNG Supply Agreements Master Agreements – MSA (short term / spot arrangement) • Price and volume to be negotiated • Executed with Nigeria LNG (NLNG), Sonatrach, Total, Suez, Endesa, BG, Mitsui, Marubeni, Sumitomo and Shell • Other 20 potential suppliers – under negotiations • Optimization of the supply for the LNG terminals • Contracts are hybrid model between MSA (short term/spot) and SPA (long term) security + flexibility Firm Supply Agreements • First Cargo – BG Group • Terminal Commissioning Cargo – BG Group • Flexible Supply for 2008 onwards (Possibility of Cancellation and guaranteed supply) New Natural Gas Contract Modalities Firm Inflexible: This cathegory bears a firm supply, with a delivery warranty from the supplier. Firm Flexible: Natural gas delivery can be suspended for a while (*), during which it will be replaced with another fuel, mostly commonly fuel oil. Interruptible: If necessary, delivery can be suspended for a while (*). There will be no fuel replacement in this case, but prices in this cathegory reflect that. Preferential (Thermal Power Plants) In this cathegory, consumers (thermal power plants only) have the option to buy the natural gas when they will be consuming, subject to a previous notice. (*) natural gas is alocated to thermoeletric dispatch Natural Gas Distribution Participation in 20 LDCs (total = 27). Market-share in 2007 = 45% GASAP 37,3% GÁS DO PARÁ GASMAR 23,5% GASPISA 37,25% 41,5% CIGÁS 83,0% 41,5% 41,5% 41,5% 41,5% 41,5% 41,5% 34,46% 34,46% 40% 49,0% 100,0% 37,4% 32,0% 24,5% 41,0% 49,0% Source: Abegás Integration between Natural Gas and Power Generation Production Process Imports Distribution Natural Gas Consumers Regulated by ANP Thermal Power Plants Electricity Consumers Regulated by ANEEL Hidro Power Plants Distribution Transmission Petrobras Power Generation Units Termoceará 220 MW 17 Thermal Power Plants: 5,1 mil MW Jesus Soares Pereira 340 MW DUAL-FUEL Juiz de Fora 84 MW Barbosa Lima Sobrinho 386 MW DUAL-FUEL Luís Carlos Prestes 252 MW Fernando Gasparian 370 MW Araucária 484 MW UNDER Euzébio CONSTRUCTION Rocha 370 MW Sepé Tiaraju 160 MW DUAL FUEL Petrolina 128 MW (fuel oil) Termocabo 48 MW (fuel oil) Rômulo Almeida 138 MW Bahia I 31 MW (fuel oil) Celso Furtado 185 MW Aurel. Chaves 226 MW Mário Lago 922 MW Gover. Leonel Brizola 1.043 MW UNDER CONSTRUCTION Final Comments Huge investments throughout the Natural Gas chain Need for supply and demand adequacy (strong influence from thermal power plants dispatching) LNG and new Natural Gas Contracts aiming at flexibility Thank you very much for your Attention CHALLENGE IS OUR ENERGY
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