Terrestrial carbon fluxes and pools simulated with diurnal variability in both photosynthesis and respiration Bakr Badawy*, Vivek Arora**, Joe Melton**, Ray Nassar* * ** Climate Research Division, Environment Canada, Toronto, Canada Climate Research Division, Environment Canada, Victoria, Canada The World Weather Open Science Conference, August 16-21, 2014 Montreal Introduction: Global Carbon Cycle Pre-industrial Atmosphere Reco 120 GPP 120 Land GPP Reco : Gross Primary Production : Ecosystem Respiration Based on IPPC-AR4 2007Units: PgC/year (Pg =1 x 1015 g) 70 70 Ocean Introduction: Global Carbon Cycle Industrial Atmospheric Growth of CO2 4.1 ± 0.1 Land-use 1.1 ± 0.7 Fossil Fuel 7.7 ± 0.5 Reco 120 Atmosphere GPP 120 2.4 ±1.0 Calculated as the residual of all other flux components Land GPP Reco : Gross Primary Production : Ecosystem Respiration 90 90 2.3 ± 0.4 Average of 5 models Ocean Residual carbon sink ??? Based on IPPC-AR4 2007Units: PgC/year (Pg =1 x 1015 g) Anthropogenic CO2 emission (2000-2009) from Global Carbon Project 2010; Updated from Le Quéré et al. 2009 EC‐CAS Residual carbon sink (budget, spatio-temporal variability)? Measurements ( i.e. Eddy flux measurements, Forest Inventory) Models ( i.e. Bottom-up, Top-down ) Courtsy: Saroja Polavarapu To learn/understand model errors and uncertainties Process understanding Land Model The Canadian Terrestrial Ecosystem Model (CTEM) The Canadian Terrestrial Ecosystem Model (CTEM) It is a dynamic vegetation model that grows vegetation from bare ground It provides time-varying vegetation structural attributes to CLASS It provides net fluxes of CO2 between the land and the atmosphere Courtesy: Vivek Arora CTEM and CLASS coupling Courtesy: Vivek Arora Current vs Target Current Target Resolution ~3.75o 0.9o Forcing CRU+NCEP GEM Output - GPP (30 mins) - Re (daily) Sub-daily NEE (3 hrs) (30min or 3 hrs) R Rhh Rdd Tmin Tmean Tmax T Simulating sub‐daily fluxes Switch Half‐hourly Tair and Tsoil Half‐hourly GPP & Re Spin‐Up Simulations Spin-up simulation (total of 400 years) to equilibrium Began with globally uniform CO2 of 286.37 ppm (pre-industrial year 1861) Vegetation fractional coverage corresponding to year 1861 Forced with 1901-1940 CRU-NCEP climate, used repeatedly Two simulations performed: 1. CTEM-dd: respiratory fluxes are modeled at daily time step 2. CTEM-hh: respiratory fluxes are modeled at 30-min time step Fluxes & carbon pools 400 years Geographical patterns of the simulated fluxes Rh (gC/m2/yr) Ra (gC/m2/yr) CTEM‐dd CTEM‐hh Diff. Values are 40‐year average at the end of the pre‐industrial spin‐up GPP (gC/m2/yr) Geographical patterns of carbon pools Soil C mass (KgC/m2) Veg. biomass (KgC/m2) CTEM‐dd CTEM‐hh Re‐tuning of model parameters is required Diff. Values are 40‐year average at the end of the pre‐industrial spin‐up Max. LAI (m2/m2) Re‐tuning of model parameters Re‐tuning the respiration rate parameters for (leaf, stem, root, litter, and soil) After Tuning: Geographical patterns of Carbon pools Soil C mass (KgC/m2) Veg. biomass (KgC/m2) CTEM‐dd CTEM‐hh Diff. Values are 40‐year average at the end of the pre‐industrial spin‐up Max. LAI (m2/m2) After Tuning: Geographical patterns of the simulated fluxes Rh (gC/m2/yr) Ra (gC/m2/yr) CTEM‐dd CTEM‐hh Diff. Values are 40‐year average at the end of the pre‐industrial spin‐up GPP (gC/m2/yr) transient climate simulations Time-varying global mean CO2 concentration Time varying climate data (1861-2009 CRU-NCEP) Vegetation fractional coverage corresponding to year 1861 Two simulations performed: 1. CTEM-dd: respiratory fluxes are modeled at daily time step 2. CTEM-hh: respiratory fluxes are modeled at 30-min time step Preliminary results Geographical patterns of the simulated fluxes Rh (gC/m2/yr) Ra (gC/m2/yr) CTEM‐dd CTEM‐hh Diff. Values are 40‐year average at the end of the simulation period GPP (gC/m2/yr) Half‐hourly fluxes (2009) Land Total Equator NH Land SH Land NEE Reco GPP Seasonal Cycle of NEE (2009) Mean NEE (PgC/year) CT = -4.54 SiB = -0.06 CTEM_hh = -3.75 CTEM_dd = -3.67 Interannual Variability of NEE Mean NEE (PgC/year) CT = -5.771 CTEM_hh = -3.715 CTEM_dd = -3.733 Conclusions CTEM is modified, so both photosynthesis and respirations sub-modules operate at a time step of 30 min Simulating respiration at a 30-min time step changed the equilibrium states of primary carbon pools and fluxes re-tuning of model parameters. The same situation will happen with changing climate forcing or grid resolution Simulating respiration with half-hourly temperature or daily mean temperature (ignoring the nonlinear response of respiration to temperature) almost the same. BUT might not be the case for regional simulation with higher spatial resolution NEE seasonal cycle from CTEM is shifted by 1 month check phenology module Thank you Daily Rh (2009) (1) NDL‐EVG (4) BDL‐EVG‐CLD (3) BDL‐EVG (5) BDL‐EVG‐DRY Fluxes vs Climate (JJA) for BDL‐EVG Rh Ra GPP SDPRM-inv Total Flux = Fland + Fff + Focean Introduction Objectives Ocean flux : Takahashi et al (2009) Fossil Fuel emission: EDGAR version 4.0 (2009) Model Framework SDPRM Equations SDPRM Results NEE = Reco − GPP Conclusion Part1 SDPRM-inv Equations SDPRM-inv Results Conclusion Part2 Outlook 21/28 FNEE (R pri Pi ( R0 ,E,K ,LAI ) R P i P ) (GPPPFTpri i i P j ( PFT ,VPD 0,Tmin ) GPP P j j 24 parameters are optimized (time-independent) 3 parameters / 7 Plant Functional Type (PFT) 3 parameters (globally) A-priori fluxes with small temporal-scale variability process-understanding P ) j Simulated global values of primary carbon pools and fluxes from a pre-industrial spin-up Values are 40‐year average at the end of the pre‐industrial spin‐up Modeled 40-year zonally-averaged fluxes Values are 40‐year average at the end of the pre‐industrial spin‐up Modeled values of primary daily fluxes for the last 20 years of the spin-up run Amazon broadleaf evergreen W-EU Crop C3 E-US broadleaf cold deciduous SDPRM: Results – Climate limitations – IAV of GPP GPP = f (VPD, Radiation, Temperature) Introduction Objectives Model Framework SDPRM Equations SDPRM Results Conclusion Part1 VPD limitation Temperature limitation SDPRM-inv Equations SDPRM-inv Results Conclusion Part2 Outlook 16/28 Radiation limitation Geographic distribution of potential climatic constraints to plant growth derived from long-term climate statistics SDPRM: Results – Climate limitations -- Reco Introduction Objectives Model Framework SDPRM Equations SDPRM Results Temperature contribution to the IAV of Reco Conclusion Part1 SDPRM-inv Equations SDPRM-inv Results Conclusion Part2 Outlook 18/31 Precipitation contribution to the IAV of Reco
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