Chapter 5 The Basic Economics of Trade in services The basic questions of international trade theory What is the basis of trade? What is the pattern of trade? What are the gains from trade? Comparative advantage The law of comparative advantage shows how mutually beneficial specialization and trade may be driven by relative advantages in production rather than absolute advantages in production. Factor-Endowment Theory A nation will export the commodity whose production requires the intensive use of the nation’s relatively abundant (and therefore, cheap) factor, and import the commodity whose production requires the intensive use of the nation’s relatively scarce (and therefore, expensive) factor. Factor endowment model Comparative advantage according to factor endowment theory Autarky equilibrium Factor endowment model Comparative advantage according to factor endowment theory Post-trade equilibrium Stolper-Samuelson theorem Country A( Capital abundant) Commodity Y Labor intensive Commodity X Capital intensive Export X Import Y Increase the production of X Demand for the factor input Decrease the production of Y Release the factor input Demand for more capital Demand for less labor Supply less capital The price of capital rise Supply more labor The price of labor decrease Bringing theory closer to reality Specific factor theory Looks at the income distribution effects of trade in the short run, when some factor inputs are not mobile among sectors Indicates that workers may be better or worse off, depending on preferences Predicts that owners of factors used in export industries gain from trade, while owners of factors used in import-competing industries will lose from trade Bringing theory closer to reality Relative prices and the specific factor model Intra-industry trade Economies of scale Variety of production Overlapping demands Product life cycle theory Economies of scale Economies of scale as basis for trade quantity International Product Life Cycle 3-12 Theory of FDI OIL theory( Ownership Internalization location)----by Dunning ownership advantage location advantage Internalization advantage What the characteristics of services? Intangible/invisible Un-storable simultaneous production and consumption How services are trade? Modes of trade in service (1) Cross-border (2) Consumption abroad (3) Commercial presence (4) Presence of natural persons The classification of services Range of services covered by the GATS The difference between trade in goods and trade in service cross-border trade is not the most important for trade in service. Services tend to be highly regulated. Barriers to trade in service often serve the dual purpose. Change of supply mode of international trade in services Cross border supply Movement of natural person Consumption abroad Commercial presence Class Discussion According to the OIL theory, what advantages following will decide supply mode of trade in services ? Supply modes of trade in services Cross-border supply Consumption abroad Commercial presence Movement of natural person Ownership advantage Internalization advantage Location advantage Basic economics of trade in service The causes and patterns of trade in services Situation 1:Trade between different countries Comparative advantages Call centers in India provide customer contact services for US firms Nannies from Philippines move to Canada temporarily to provide childcare services Comparative advantage cause the trade in service Differences in factor abundance、technology 、 institution and policies. The price differences create incentives to trade. Gains of trade in services caused by comparative advantage Producers gain from access to a larger market and higher prices. Consumers gain both a wider variety of goods and services and to lower-priced imported goods and services. Welfare effects of service trade Bhawati(1965) Two countries: home and abroad Two factors of production: capital and lawyers One service: legal services which is traded by the movement of lawyers to the location of the consumers. Welfare effects of service trade The effects of trade in services International income distribution If the movement is permanent migration The welfare of those left at home declines by the amount ACE. Welfare of those originally abroad increase by ABD. Welfare of the migrants increase by ADCE. If the movement is temporary and substantial remittance The welfare of home will increase by ADC The welfare of abroad will increase by ABD National income distribution Lawyers remained at home receive higher returns equal to the amount AEMN; capital at home loses by an amount of ACMN; Lawyers who originally worked abroad loses by BPQD; capital abroad benefits by an amount PBAQ. Trade in inputs The argument for gains from trade applies both to goods and services destined directly for final consumers, as well as to those used as an input into production. Imports of producer services can lower costs of firms in the export sector and thereby stimulate exports. Why trade in service can emerge between similar countries? Reasons of trading among the similar countries Increasing returns to scale Sources of increasing returns ■ Fixed costs combined with market niches variety of products available larger market Specialized service viable in a small country ■ Firm-specific intangible assets eg. McDonald’s fast-food franchises. firm-specific fixed costs plant-level fixed costs ■ Agglomeration effects positive externalities 1. Spillover effects across firms. 2. Common pool of specialized labor. 3. Infrastructure which address the needs of a specialized industry. Interaction between scale economies and transportation cost or trade barrier Agglomeration can be self-reinforcing? Gains and distributional effects of agglomeration-driven trade The core area gain from trade and those who live in the periphery may lose from trade. The partial trade liberalization could hurt the periphery. The core does not have an incentive to eliminate all barriers to trade. ■ Networks In some service sectors, the efficiency, quality and benefits to consumers of the services provided depend on access to networks of other consumers and producers. The analysis of benefits of liberalizing trading rules to allow smoother access to international networks is complicated by two important factors. Welfare implications Gains from trade: Greater diversity of services Firms can reap greater economies of scale Transfer of technology and know how Income distribution effects less significant Modes of supply of trade in service Three questions If trade in all modes was unconstrained, how would firms choose to supply services to their foreign customers? Are different modes substitutes or complements? What is the effect of allowing trade via some modes but not others? Asymmetric costs across modes of Supply For many types of services, the costs of provision vary substantially across the different modes of supply. For some services, supply is essentially not feasible via some modes. Rules that allows some modes but not others will favor some countries over others. The rules affecting different modes of supply can be important both in determining which services will be traded, and in determining the distribution of the gains from trade across countries. Modes of supply as Substitutes For some types of services, different modes of supply are substitutes. If the different modes of supply are substitutes, in some cases virtually all of the gains from trade can be realized by opening up just one mode of trade. But, in some cases, when modes of supply are substitutes, restrictions on which modes are available to firms can have important implications. un-perfect substitute different modes have different effects on income distribution Modes of supply as Complements In cases where there are strong complementarities across different modes of supply, fully effective liberalization of service trade requires that all modes be opened up. Services may also be complementary with goods trade. In some cases, the potential gains from goods trade cannot be fully realized without liberalization of service trade.
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