Journal of Experimental Psychology: General 2017, Vol. 146, No. 5, 607– 614 © 2017 American Psychological Association 0096-3445/17/$12.00 http://dx.doi.org/10.1037/xge0000297 BRIEF REPORT Investigating the Cognitive Structure of Stereotypes: Generic Beliefs About Groups Predict Social Judgments Better Than Statistical Beliefs Matthew D. Hammond Andrei Cimpian This document is copyrighted by the American Psychological Association or one of its allied publishers. This article is intended solely for the personal use of the individual user and is not to be disseminated broadly. Victoria University of Wellington New York University Stereotypes are typically defined as beliefs about groups, but this definition is underspecified. Beliefs about groups can be generic or statistical. Generic beliefs attribute features to entire groups (e.g., men are strong), whereas statistical beliefs encode the perceived prevalence of features (e.g., how common it is for men to be strong). In the present research, we sought to determine which beliefs— generic or statistical—are more central to the cognitive structure of stereotypes. Specifically, we tested whether generic or statistical beliefs are more influential in people’s social judgments, on the assumption that greater functional importance indicates greater centrality in stereotype structure. Relative to statistical beliefs, generic beliefs about social groups were significantly stronger predictors of expectations (Studies 1–3) and explanations (Study 4) for unfamiliar individuals’ traits. In addition, consistent with prior evidence that generic beliefs are cognitively simpler than statistical beliefs, generic beliefs were particularly predictive of social judgments for participants with more intuitive (vs. analytic) cognitive styles and for participants higher (vs. lower) in authoritarianism, who tend to view outgroups in simplistic, all-or-none terms. The present studies suggest that generic beliefs about groups are more central than statistical beliefs to the cognitive structure of stereotypes. Keywords: stereotypes, generic beliefs, statistical beliefs, social judgment Supplemental materials: http://dx.doi.org/10.1037/xge0000297.supp or statistical beliefs? We investigated this question by using a functional criterion: The type of belief that is central to stereotype structure should be the one that people use in their social judgments, such as expecting an individual to have certain traits based on their group membership. Investigating whether generic beliefs or statistical beliefs are more central to stereotype structure is important because these beliefs have distinct cognitive properties. Most prominently, as we detail below, generic beliefs are less contingent on evidence than statistical beliefs are (Bian & Cimpian, in press; Cimpian, Gelman, & Brandone, 2010; Leslie, 2008). Thus, a clearer understanding of the relative weight of these beliefs in the structure of people’s stereotypes will likely inform the current debate over whether these stereotypes are accurate representations of group characteristics (Jussim, 2012, 2015; Jussim et al., 2015): Stereotype accuracy is possible if statistical beliefs are central to stereotype structure, but in doubt otherwise. What is the cognitive structure of stereotypes? Although social psychologists largely agree that stereotypes are individuals’ “beliefs or generalizations about groups”1 (e.g., Allport, 1954; Ashmore & Del Boca, 1981; Brewer, 1988; Devine, 1989; Fiske, Cuddy, Glick, & Xu, 2002; Judd & Park, 1993; Jussim, Crawford, & Rubinstein, 2015), this definition is underspecified. Cognitive science distinguishes between two types of beliefs about groups: generic and statistical (see Carlson & Pelletier, 1995; Cimpian, 2016; Gelman, 2004; Leslie, 2008; Prasada, 2000). Generic beliefs apply a feature to a group as a whole (e.g., men are strong), whereas statistical beliefs encode the perceived prevalence of a feature among the members of the group (e.g., how common it is for men to be strong). Which are more central to the cognitive structure of stereotypes, generic beliefs Matthew D. Hammond, School of Psychology, Victoria University of Wellington; Andrei Cimpian, Department of Psychology, New York University. The authors acknowledge funding from the National Science Foundation for supporting this work (grant BCS-1530669 awarded to Cimpian) and thank Sapna Cheryan, Andrew Christy, Dov Cohen, Sarah-Jane Leslie, David Miller, Danny Osborne, Becca Schlegel, Susanna Stone, and the University of Illinois Cognitive Development Lab for their helpful feedback as we prepared this manuscript. This research was presented as a poster at the 2017 Convention of the Society for Personality and Social Psychology. Correspondence concerning this article should be addressed to Matthew D. Hammond, School of Psychology, Victoria University of Wellington, Kelburn Parade, P.O. Box 600, Wellington 6012, New Zealand. E-mail: [email protected] 1 Although some theorists define stereotypes as “exaggerated beliefs” about groups (Allport, 1954, p. 191), here we used a definition with no a priori assumptions about accuracy (see Jussim, 2012). We also focused on individual-level stereotypical beliefs rather than stereotypes that exist at the societal level (Judd & Park, 1993), and on explicit rather than implicit stereotypes (e.g., Devine, 1989; Greenwald & Banaji, 1995). 607 608 HAMMOND AND CIMPIAN This document is copyrighted by the American Psychological Association or one of its allied publishers. This article is intended solely for the personal use of the individual user and is not to be disseminated broadly. Generic Versus Statistical Beliefs and Their Relation to Stereotypes The distinction between generic and statistical beliefs has been investigated extensively in cognitive psychology (e.g., Gelman, 2004; Gelman et al., 1998; Hampton, 2012; Khemlani, Leslie, & Glucksberg, 2012; Prasada, 2000), linguistics (e.g., Behrens, 2005; Carlson & Pelletier, 1995), and philosophy (e.g., Leslie, 2008; Sterken, 2015). Generic beliefs map features onto groups holistically, as if each group were an indivisible unit.2 These beliefs do not encode information about the prevalence of features within groups, like statistical beliefs do. Because the truth of generic beliefs is unmoored from statistical facts, generic beliefs are sometimes endorsed on the basis of minimal evidence or, conversely, rejected when there is substantial evidence. For example, people tend to endorse the generic statement that “sharks attack swimmers,” despite the rarity of shark attacks (Leslie, Khemlani, & Glucksberg, 2011; Prasada, Khemlani, Leslie, & Glucksberg, 2013). In contrast, people often disagree with the generic statement that “sharks are female” (Prasada et al., 2013), despite the fact that ⬃50% of category members are female. This same discrepancy between generic beliefs and reality is observed for social groups (e.g., “African Americans are athletic” tends to be endorsed but not “African Americans are right-handed”; Gelman, Taylor, & Nguyen, 2004; Leslie, in press; Tasimi, Gelman, Cimpian, & Knobe, 2016). High prevalence is neither necessary nor sufficient for endorsement of generic beliefs, even though— other things being equal—people are more likely to endorse generic beliefs about prevalent features than rare features (Prasada et al., 2013). Statistical beliefs encode only information about the perceived prevalence of traits. Accordingly, their endorsement is more closely tied to the relevant trait distributions. For example, whether statements such as “over half of African Americans are athletic” or “African Americans are typically athletic” are endorsed is entirely dependent on how common athleticism is perceived to be in this group. This information is both necessary and sufficient for endorsement of a statistical belief. Here, we test the relative weight of generic and statistical beliefs about groups in people’s stereotypes. Prior evidence suggests that generic beliefs are better retained in memory (Cimpian, 2016; Cimpian & Erickson, 2012; Leslie & Gelman, 2012) and easier to reason with (Hampton, 2012; Leslie et al., 2011; Leslie & Gelman, 2012) than statistical beliefs. Accordingly, we predicted that people would rely on generic beliefs more than statistical beliefs in their social judgments, which— given our functional criterion— would signify that generic beliefs are more central to the structure of stereotypes. Moreover, if generic beliefs are a relatively loweffort way of approaching the social world, then we predict that generic beliefs should be relatively more privileged in stereotyped judgments for individuals who rely on low-effort, “all-or-none” reasoning. Evidence for the primacy of generic over statistical beliefs in stereotypes would bear on theories of stereotype content, including the current debate concerning whether stereotypes accurately represent reality (see Jussim, 2012). Given that people’s estimates of the prevalence of various group traits are close to objective benchmarks, some argue that stereotypes are accurate (e.g., Jussim, 2012, in press; Jussim et al., 2015). This argument, however, assumes that people’s stereotypes are statistical, encoding preva- lence. However, if statistical beliefs are less central to the cognitive structure of stereotypes than generic beliefs (whose relationship to the evidence is more tenuous), then uncertainty remains about the accuracy of stereotypes. The Present Studies We conducted four studies to test our hypothesis that generic beliefs about stereotypical group–trait pairings (e.g., men–strong) are stronger predictors of participants’ social judgments than their statistical beliefs are. We provided a broad test of this hypothesis. First, we assessed two types of social judgments that have critical down-stream consequences for social evaluations and interactions: par-ticipants’ expectations (Studies 1—3) and explanations (Study 4) for the traits of unfamiliar others (see Brewer, 1988; Dar-Nimrod & Heine, 2011; Devine, 1989; Fiske et al., 2002; Judd, James-Hawkins, Yzerbyt, & Kashima, 2005; Keller, 2005). Second, we compared social and nonsocial stimuli to test whether the primacy of generic beliefs in people’s judgments is a uniquely social phenomenon (Study 3). Finally, we explored individual-difference moderators (Studies 2– 4). We expected that social judgments would rely more on generic beliefs, and less on statistical beliefs, for participants who exhibited (a) intuitive rather than analytical thinking (Frederick, 2005; Kahneman, 2011) or (b) showed high authoritarianism, and thus reasoned about outgroups in simplistic, all-or-none terms (e.g., Altemeyer, 1996; Sidanius & Pratto, 1999). Study 1 Method Data and analytic syntax are available on the Open Science Framework (https://osf.io/s6zab/). Detailed information about measures, results, and excluded participants is provided in the online supplementary materials (OSM). Participants. Ninety-seven individuals (55% women), aged 20 – 83 (M ⫽ 36.54, SD ⫽ 13.18), were recruited via Amazon’s Mechanical Turk (MTurk; see Buhrmester, Kwang, & Gosling, 2011) for $0.90. Eligibility required living in the United States and holding a ⬎65% successful completion rate on MTurk. All studies included an attention check: estimating the percentage of Cauca-sians who are humans. A total of 2,917 ratings comprised the data, exceeding power recommendations for multilevel models (Hox, 1998; West, Ryu, Kwok, & Cham, 2011). Materials and procedure. We identified 27 common stereotypes from prior research (see Table 1 and OSM for details) and assessed generic and statistical beliefs following standard practice (Cimpian, Brandone, & Gelman, 2010; Khemlani et al., 2012). Participants rated each stereotype on each measure below. Orders of measures and stereotypes were randomized, and participants completed a 1-min distracter task between measures. 2 Note that believing all group members possess a feature is a statistical belief. Generic generalizations are cognitively distinct from universally quantified generalizations (e.g., all, every) or other broad-scope quantified generalizations (e.g., most, typically; see Carlson & Pelletier, 1995; Gelman, 2004; Leslie, 2008). 609 COGNITIVE STRUCTURE OF STEREOTYPES Table 1 The Items Used in Studies 1– 4 (in Generic Form) This document is copyrighted by the American Psychological Association or one of its allied publishers. This article is intended solely for the personal use of the individual user and is not to be disseminated broadly. Study 1 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. 10. 11. 12. 13. 14. 15. 16. 17. 18. 19. 20. 21. 22. 23. 24. 25. 26. 27. African Americans are athletic African Americans are musical African Americans are undisciplined African Americans are violent Asians are ethnocentric Asians are hardworking Asians are intelligent Asians are introverted Caucasians are racist Doctors are hardworking Doctors are intelligent Jewish people are cheap Jewish people are ethnocentric Jewish people are intelligent Lawyers are competitive Lawyers are dishonest Lawyers are greedy Men are assertive Men are intellectual Men are logical Men are self-reliant Politicians are dishonest Teachers are hardworking Teachers are intelligent Women are compassionate Women are honest Women are sensitive Studies 2, 3, and 4 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. 10. 11. 12. 13. 14. 15. 16. 17. 18. 19. 20. 21. 22. 23. 24. 25. 26. 27. 28. 29. 30. Asian people are bad drivers Asian people are good at math Asian people are smart Black people are athletic Black people are lazy Black people are unintelligent Black people are violent Blondes are dumb British people have bad teeth Fat people are lazy French people are snobs Irish people are alcoholics Jewish people are cheap Jewish people are rich Men are selfish Men are strong Mexicans are hard-working Mexicans are lazy Muslims are terrorists Native Americans are alcoholics Politicians are liars Poor people are lazy Redheads have a temper Rock stars do drugs Southerners are ignorant Teenagers are irresponsible White people are racist White people are rich Women are delicate Women are unintelligent Note. Stereotypes in Study 1 were selected from prior research on stereotype endorsement. Stereotypes in Studies 2, 3, and 4 were generated by an independent sample of participants. See online supplemental materials for item means and standard deviations. Generic beliefs. Participants rated their agreement with the generic form of each stereotype (e.g., “Doctors are intelligent:” ⫺3 ⫽ Strongly Disagree to 3 ⫽ Strongly Agree). Statistical beliefs. Participants estimated a percentage for each stereotype (e.g., “What percentage of doctors are intelligent?” 0 –100 sliding scale).3 Social judgments— expectations. Participants rated the likelihood that an unfamiliar group member had each stereotypical trait (e.g., “Suppose that Person Y is a doctor. Is Person Y intelligent?” ⫺3 ⫽ Very Unlikely to 3 ⫽ Very Likely). Results Analytic strategy. In all studies, we tested the relative contribution of statistical beliefs and generic beliefs to social judgments by entering them simultaneously in multilevel models. Models accounted for the interdependence of each participant’s ratings across items and each item’s ratings across participants. We used Bayesian estimation with diffuse priors in Mplus 7.2 (Muthén & Muthén, 1998-2012), cross-classifying participants with items. (Results were also replicated using maximum-likelihood analyses; see OSM.) The 95% credibility intervals reported below are distributions that contain the most likely parameter value with 95% probability. Bayesian p values are the smaller proportion of the posterior parameter’s distribution relative to zero. Accordingly, these p values have a maximum of .5 and signal significant evidence for the presence of an effect under a threshold of .025 (for reviews, see Gelman, Carlin, Stern, & Rubin, 2003; Kruschke, Aguinis, & Joo, 2012; Muthén, 2010). Across studies, variables were standardized to account for scale differences. Table 2 presents descriptive statistics and correlations. What predicts social judgments? Both statistical beliefs ( ⫽ .315, CI [.277, .354], p ⬍ .001) and generic beliefs ( ⫽ .514, CI [.476, .552], p ⬍ .001) predicted unique variance in participants’ expectations about unfamiliar individuals’ traits.4 Supporting our hypothesis, participants’ generic beliefs were more strongly predictive of their expectation judgments than their statistical beliefs were (b ⫽ ⫺.199, CI [–.269, ⫺.129], p ⬍ .001). In supplementary analyses, the results reported above held when we looked separately at stereotypes about race/ethnicity (12 items), gender (seven items), and profession (eight items; see Table 1), and were not moderated by participants’ tendency to provide 3 A pilot study (see OSM) investigated a different type of statistical belief—the prevalence of a trait relative to other groups (i.e., distinctiveness). However, the distinctiveness of traits did not predict social judgments beyond generic and statistical beliefs about absolute prevalence. 4 Measuring expectations as likelihoods (i.e., statistical judgments) provides a conservative test of our hypothesis that generic beliefs are more predictive of social judgments than statistical beliefs. 610 HAMMOND AND CIMPIAN Table 2 Descriptive Statistics and Correlations Across Measures in Studies 1– 4 This document is copyrighted by the American Psychological Association or one of its allied publishers. This article is intended solely for the personal use of the individual user and is not to be disseminated broadly. Studies Study 1 1. Statistical Beliefs 2. Generic Beliefs 3. Social Judgment (Expectation) 4. Social Desirability Study 2 1. Statistical Beliefs 2. Generic Beliefs 3. Social Judgment (Expectation) 4. Authoritarianism 5. Cognitive Style Study 3 (Social items) 1. Statistical Beliefs 2. Generic Beliefs 3. Social Judgment (Expectation) 4. Authoritarianism 5. Cognitive Style Study 4 1. Statistical Beliefs 2. Generic Beliefs 3. Social Judgment (Biological expl.) 4. Authoritarianism 5. Cognitive Style Mean (SD) 1 2 3 4 60.79 (22.96)a .73 (1.35)b .71 (1.25)b 6.95 (3.10)c — .73ⴱ .70ⴱ .03 — .76ⴱ .01 — ⫺.01 — 37.89 (26.52)a 39.91 (29.25)a ⫺.21 (1.48)b ⫺1.36 (1.36)b 1.65 (1.13)d — .72ⴱ .66ⴱ .13ⴱ ⫺.03ⴱ — .70ⴱ .20ⴱ ⫺.01 — .10ⴱ ⫺.02 — ⫺.19ⴱ 39.61 (26.37)a 42.60 (29.34)a ⫺.24 (1.47)b ⫺1.33 (1.07)b 1.74 (1.07)d — .72ⴱ .67ⴱ .28ⴱ ⫺.17ⴱ — .71ⴱ .17ⴱ ⫺.08ⴱ — .15ⴱ ⫺.06ⴱ — ⫺.18ⴱ 34.60 (25.25)a 35.41 (29.63)a ⫺2.12 (1.46)b ⫺1.52 (1.10)b 1.72 (1.13)d — .73ⴱ .26ⴱ .17ⴱ ⫺.05ⴱ — .29ⴱ .17ⴱ ⫺.01 — .15ⴱ ⫺.01 — ⫺.21ⴱ Note. Superscripts represent scale of measurement. a 100-point sliding scales. b ⫺3 to 3 Likert-type scales. c 0 to 13 scale. d 0 to 3 scale. See Tables 4 and 5 in the online supplemental materials for descriptive statistics for the nonsocial items in Study 3. ⴱ p ⬍ .05. socially desirable responses, assessed at the end of the study (see OSM). Study 2 In Study 2, we (a) assessed the generalizability of effects by using new stereotypes elicited from an independent sample of participants, (b) measured generic and statistical beliefs using identical response formats, and (c) explored cognitive style and authoritarianism as moderators. Because generic beliefs require lower effort and are more absolute than statistical beliefs, we expected them to be more closely related to social judgments for people with intuitive (vs. analytic) cognitive styles (Frederick, 2005) and for people higher in authoritarianism (Altemeyer, 1996; Sidanius & Pratto, 1999). Method Participants. The sample size, 185 individuals (68% women; ages 18 –78, M ⫽ 37.13, SD ⫽ 13.11), was increased to provide sufficient power for the moderation tests, and provided 5,499 ratings. Procedure and materials. Study 2 matched Study 1 except that (a) participants rated stereotypes generated by an independent MTurk sample (n ⫽ 33; see Table 1 and OSM for full details); (b) we assessed generic beliefs with the same sliding-scale format as we used for statistical beliefs (Strongly Disagree to Strongly Agree); and (3) we assessed two moderators. Moderator— cognitive style. An adapted version of the Cognitive Reflection Test (Frederick, 2005; see OSM) was administered. High scores indicated deliberative, analytical thinking. Moderator—authoritarianism. We averaged responses (␣ ⫽ .88) to short-form scales (six items each) of right-wing authoritarianism (e.g., “It is always better to trust the judgment of the proper authorities in government . . .”; Altemeyer, 1996) and social dominance orientation (e.g., “Inferior groups should stay in their place”; Sidanius & Pratto, 1999). These measures were combined to assess a simplistic, authoritarian orientation toward social groups. (Similar patterns of moderation emerged using separate scales.) Results Analytic strategy. In Studies 2 and 3, we capitalized on a strength of Bayesian analysis by setting informative priors based on estimates from Study 1 (with variances multiplied by four; see Muthén, 2010). This approach accumulates evidence rather than repeatedly assuming a null hypothesis. Nonetheless, across studies, the expected results also emerged with diffuse priors (see OSM). What predicts social judgments? Participants’ expectations about individuals’ traits were predicted by both their statistical beliefs ( ⫽ .329, CI [.304, .354], p ⬍ .001) and their generic beliefs ( ⫽ .458, CI [.433, .484], p ⬍ .001). Again supporting our hypothesis, generic beliefs were significantly more predictive of social judgments (b ⫽ ⫺.129, CI [–.175, ⫺.084], p ⬍ .001). Moderators. Cognitive style moderated the relationship of statistical beliefs (p ⫽ .008), but not generic beliefs (p ⫽ .358), with social judgments (see OSM for more detail and additional analyses). As expected, analytical thinkers’ social judgments (⫹1 SD; b ⫽ .366, CI [.324, .408], p ⬍ .001) were more closely related 611 COGNITIVE STRUCTURE OF STEREOTYPES This document is copyrighted by the American Psychological Association or one of its allied publishers. This article is intended solely for the personal use of the individual user and is not to be disseminated broadly. to their statistical beliefs than were intuitive thinkers’ judgments (⫺1 SD; b ⫽ .296, CI [.257, .335], p ⬍ .001). Authoritarianism moderated the relationship of both generic and statistical beliefs with social judgments (ps ⫽ .001). As expected, high-authoritarian participants’ judgments (⫹1 SD; b ⫽ .521, CI [.478, .565], p ⬍ .001) were more strongly related to their generic beliefs than were low-authoritarian participants’ judgments (⫺1 SD; b ⫽ .428, CI [.389, .467], p ⬍ .001). Moreover, highauthoritarian participants (b ⫽ .283, CI [.242, .324], p ⬍ .001) relied on statistical beliefs less than low-authoritarian participants (b ⫽ .379, CI [.339, .419], p ⬍ .001). Study 3 In Study 3, we (a) assessed statistical beliefs with a simpler question, and (b) compared social and nonsocial stimuli. Research on generic beliefs has seldom compared these domains systematically (although, see Tasimi et al., 2016), so we did not have strong a priori predictions about whether the primacy of generic beliefs would extend to judgments about nonsocial stimuli. Method Participants. Two hundred fourteen individuals (54% women; ages 18 –71; M ⫽ 35.13, SD ⫽ 11.10) provided 5,800 ratings. Procedure and materials. Procedures matched Study 2, except that (a) we simplified the wording for statistical beliefs: “Out of all of the [category members], how many [have this feature]?” (sliding scale ranging from None to All); and (b) we randomly assigned participants to rate social (n ⫽ 98) or nonsocial (n ⫽ 96) stimuli. The nonsocial stimuli (e.g., “barns are red,” “ducks lay eggs”) were adapted from Khemlani et al. (2012; see OSM). Results What predicts social and nonsocial judgments? Social judgments. Both statistical beliefs ( ⫽ .330, CI [.299, .362], p ⬍ .001) and generic beliefs ( ⫽ .451, CI [.420, .483], p ⬍ .001) predicted participants’ expectations about the traits of individual people. As in Studies 1 and 2, generic beliefs were a significantly stronger predictor of social judgments (b ⫽ ⫺.121, CI [–.176, ⫺.065], p ⬍ .001). Nonsocial judgments. Both statistical beliefs ( ⫽ .605, CI [.574, .636], p ⬍ .001) and generic beliefs ( ⫽ .322, CI [.292, .353], p ⬍ .001) predicted expectations about the features of individual artifacts and animals. In contrast to social expectations, statistical beliefs were a significantly stronger predictor of participants’ nonsocial expectations (b ⫽ .283, CI [.227, .338], p ⬍ .001). Thus, it seems that generic beliefs are particularly influential when people make predictions about social (vs. nonsocial) targets, at least given the items tested here. Moderators. Social judgments. Cognitive style moderated the relationship of generic beliefs (p ⬍ .001), but not statistical beliefs (p ⫽ .163), with participants’ judgments of social others. Analytic thinkers’ expectations (b ⫽ .401, CI [.359, .444], p ⬍ .001) were less reliant on generic beliefs than intuitive thinkers’ expectations (b ⫽ .516, CI [.473, .559], p ⬍ .001). Similarly, authoritarianism was a significant moderator for generic (p ⬍ .001), but not statistical (p ⫽ .043), beliefs: The relationship between generic beliefs and expectations of social others was stronger for individuals high in authoritarianism (b ⫽ .569, CI [.501, .627], p ⬍ .001) than for people low in authoritarianism (b ⫽ .383, CI [.326, .462], p ⬍ .001). Nonsocial judgments. Cognitive style moderated the relationship of both generic and statistical beliefs with participants’ nonsocial judgments (ps ⬍ .013). Consistent with earlier patterns, analytic thinkers’ expectations about nonsocial stimuli (b ⫽ .251, CI [.205, .297], p ⬍ .001) showed a weaker relationship with generic beliefs than did intuitive thinkers’ expectations (b ⫽ .324, CI [.280, .366], p ⬍ .001). Moreover, analytic thinkers’ expectations about nonsocial stimuli (b ⫽ .685, CI [.642, .729], p ⬍ .001) were more strongly related to their statistical beliefs than were intuitive thinkers’ expectations (b ⫽ .547, CI [.504, .590], p ⬍ .001). Authoritarianism was not a significant moderator (ps ⬎ .06), which was unsurprising given the nonsocial context. Study 4 In Study 4, we extended our predictions to another consequential social judgment: participants’ biological explanations for the stereotypical traits of social others. These explanations often foster ingroup favoritism and outgroup antipathy (Dar-Nimrod & Heine, 2011). Method Participants. One hundred seventy-seven individuals (67% women; ages 18 –75; M ⫽ 37.32, SD ⫽ 12.80) provided 5,258 ratings. Procedure and materials. Study 4 was identical to Study 2, except that the social judgments were participants’ biological explanations for stereotypical traits, e.g., “Person Y is Asian and is smart. To what extent is Person Y’s being smart due to their biology?” (⫺3 ⫽ Not at All to 3 ⫽ A Great Deal). Results What predicts social judgments? Both statistical beliefs ( ⫽ .086, CI [.044, .127], p ⬍ .001) and generic beliefs ( ⫽ .174, CI [.133, .215], p ⬍ .001) predicted greater endorsement of biological explanations. Again, generic beliefs were a significantly stronger predictor than were statistical beliefs (b ⫽ ⫺.088, CI [–.164, ⫺.013], p ⫽ .011). Moderators. Cognitive style moderated the relationship of generic beliefs (p ⫽ .003), but not statistical beliefs (p ⫽ .232), with social judgments. As expected, intuitive thinkers’ endorsement of biological explanations for stereotypical traits (b ⫽ .235, CI [.180, .290], p ⬍ .001) was more strongly predicted by their generic beliefs than was analytic thinkers’ endorsement (b ⫽ .127, CI [.071, .183], p ⬍ .001). Authoritarianism moderated the relationship of generic beliefs (p ⬍ .001), but not statistical beliefs (p ⫽ .269), with social judgments. As expected, high-authoritarians’ biological explanations (b ⫽ .255, CI [.201, .309], p ⬍ .001) were more closely related to their generic beliefs than were low-authoritarians’ explanations (b ⫽ .108, CI [.053, .161], p ⬍ .001). 612 HAMMOND AND CIMPIAN This document is copyrighted by the American Psychological Association or one of its allied publishers. This article is intended solely for the personal use of the individual user and is not to be disseminated broadly. General Discussion We examined the cognitive structure of stereotypes by testing whether their generic or statistical aspects were more predictive of social judgments. Across four studies, generic beliefs were consistently the stronger predictor of people’s expectations and explanations for the traits of social others. Thus, although in principle stereotypes consist of both generic and statistical beliefs about groups, our evidence suggests that generic beliefs are more central to stereotype structure—the more powerful and active component of stereotypes. Generic beliefs may be primary in stereotyping in part because they are cognitively easy (e.g., Cimpian, 2016; Leslie, 2008), consistent with the idea that stereotypes serve to simplify the social world (e.g., Bodenhausen, 1990). Although the patterns of moderation differed across studies, people with more intuitive (vs. analytic) cognitive styles generally relied more on generic beliefs and less on statistical beliefs in their judgments. Exploratoryanalysis results described in the OSM suggest that generic beliefs were also more influential in older versus younger participants, arguably because information-processing resources decrease with age (e.g., Salthouse, 2015). The simplistic, one-dimensional quality of generic beliefs is also likely to be a reason they were more prominent in the judgments of people with authoritarian tendencies, who tend to be hostile toward outgroups (e.g., Altemeyer, 1996). The heightened prominence of generic beliefs for participants with less-than-rational and authoritarian dispositions has implications for stereotype accuracy. If the core components of stereotyping were the product of cognitive processes that veridically tracked reality (e.g., Jussim, 2012), then generic beliefs should be overweighted by participants with more rational thinking dispositions. The fact that they were instead relatively overweighted in the judgments of participants with low-effort, rigid thinking styles is further evidence against a close match between stereotypes and reality. This work also contributes to theories on stereotype content, which have so far identified the dimensions of Warmth and Competence as fundamental (Fiske et al., 2002; Judd et al., 2005). Incorporating the generic–statistical distinction into this theorizing could present several advantages. For example, the generic content of stereotypes may explain why evidence fails to falsify them (e.g., Chambers, Graham, & Turner, 2008; Cimpian et al., 2010) and why stereotypes are often accompanied by essentialist overtones (e.g., Cimpian & Markman, 2011; Cimpian & Salomon, 2014; Rhodes, Leslie, Saunders, Dunham, & Cimpian, in press), which in turn foster prejudice and discrimination (Dar-Nimrod & Heine, 2011). More broadly, generic and statistical ways of reasoning about categories differ in terms of how resource-intensive they are, how early they develop, and how robust the resulting memory traces are (for a summary, see Cimpian, 2016), which have as-yet unexplored consequences for stereotype content and processes. The generic–statistical distinction is relevant to applied issues as well, such as reducing intergroup prejudice. If generic beliefs are more central to stereotyping, then interventions to reduce prejudice that target the generic component of stereotyping (e.g., considering multiple group memberships; Prati, Crisp, Meleady, & Rubini, 2016) should be more effective than interventions that target the statistical component (e.g., presenting stereotype-disconfirming evidence; Weber & Crocker, 1983). Future work could test this prediction by comparing the effectiveness of prejudice-reduction interventions aimed at the generic versus the statistical elements of stereotypes. Finally, Study 3 suggested that the privileged role of generic beliefs in people’s judgments might be a uniquely social phenomenon. One potential explanation for this domain difference is the difference in the attributes typically represented about social and non-social categories. Social stereotypes are often about psychological traits such as being intelligent, hot-tempered, or shy (e.g., Fiske et al., 2002), which are inherently more ambiguous than many of the attributes represented about nonsocial categories (e.g., whether a barn is red; see supplemental Table 5). As a result, encoding and using statistical information may be more feasible for nonsocial categories, and— conversely— generic beliefs may be uniquely privileged for social stereotypes because the complexities encoun-tered in this domain force greater reliance on cognitive shortcuts. In sum, this work introduced the key distinction between generic and statistical beliefs and illustrated the primacy of generic beliefs in the cognitive structure of stereotypes. This distinction adds to theory on stereotype content, suggesting new ways of thinking about stereotype accuracy. References Allport, G. W. (1954). The nature of prejudice. Cambridge, MA: Perseus Books. Altemeyer, B. (1996). 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