Nonprofit Executive Incentive Pay Steven Balsam Temple University Fox School of Business 1801 Liacouras Walk Philadelphia, PA 19122 [email protected] and Erica E. Harris Rutgers University School of Business - Camden 227 Penn Street Camden, NJ 08102 [email protected] This version: December 2014 Preliminary and Incomplete We would like to thank the following individuals for their helpful comments: Sudipta Basu, Larry Brown, Ivo Jansen, Daniel Neeley, Christine Petrovits, and Andrea Roberts, as well as workshop participants at Drexel University, Rutgers University – Camden, Temple University’s Conference on the Convergence of Managerial and Financial Accounting Research, the University of North Carolina at Charlotte, Villanova University, and the 2014 American Accounting Associations’ Annual and Mid-Atlantic Midyear meetings. 1 Nonprofit Executive Incentive Pay We utilize information only recently disclosed on Form 990 to examine the use and consequences of incentive pay, in the form of bonuses, at US nonprofit organizations. While not used as frequently as in for-profit firms, bonuses are quite common in nonprofits, as we observe them in approximately 57 percent of our firm year observations. Consistent with for-profit research, we find that the existence and amount of bonuses are positively associated with firm size, profitability and competition. However, that bonuses are based on profitability is somewhat surprising and controversial, as many believe nonprofits should not earn profits. Additionally, Resource providers may object to the payment of bonuses as being non-charitable and/or a violation of the non-distribution constraint. Our results in fact suggest that donors and grantors both look unfavorably at the payment of bonuses, as subsequent donations and government grants are negatively associated with the amount of bonus paid. . 2 Nonprofit Executive Incentive Pay I. Introduction Prior research (Baber, Daniel, and Roberts 2002, Brickley and Van Horn 2002, Frumkin and Keating 2010, Hallock 2002, Sedatole, Swaney, Yetman and Yetman 2013) has examined the relationship between pay and performance in nonprofit organizations. However prior to 2008, nonprofits were not required to report incentive compensation separately from total pay. As a result, these prior studies were forced to infer the use of incentive pay. Using detailed compensation data now available from the redesigned Form 990 Schedule J, we test the determinants and consequences of actual incentive compensation in the nonprofit sector. Specifically, our objectives are to understand the setting in which bonuses are paid, as well as the impact of those bonuses on the organizations’ ability to attract funding. The nonprofit sector provides a unique setting for the study of incentive compensation. Given the inability to reduce agency conflicts via equity compensation, nonprofit boards are primarily limited to cash bonuses to provide managers with the incentives necessary to run effective operations.1 Moreover, increased scrutiny of overall nonprofit executive pay from both governmental agencies (IRS 2008, Panel on the Nonprofit Sector 2005) as well as donors (Olson 2007, Buettner 2011, Balsam and Harris 2014) has made the link between incentives and pay especially important in this sector of our economy. We find that larger, more profitable organizations with more available cash pay larger bonuses, while those that rely more heavily on direct donations and government grants award smaller bonuses. We also observe that bonuses are higher for nonprofits in industries with more 1 Incentives to perform well can also arise from increases in base salary. However, it is unclear whether a raise in base pay provides the same incentive to the executive, plus it increases the nonprofits fixed costs. 3 competition from nonprofit, and especially, for-profit organizations. Further, we document that the bonus is related to the compensation setting policies as well as the monitoring environment of the nonprofit organization. Specifically, organizations using compensation consultants and with designated compensation committees, pay larger bonuses, while those that require board approval as well as those with more restricted donations and independent directors, pay smaller bonuses. Perhaps most interestingly, the existence of a bonus is positively associated with the amount of salary, indicating that bonuses are, in general, in addition to, rather than a substitute for, salary. Our finding that the existence and amount of bonus pay is correlated with profitability conflicts with the belief of some (Leone and Van Horn 2005, Krishnan, Yetman, and Yetman 2006, Sedatole et al. 2013) that nonprofits do not actively seek profits. Furthermore, the payment of bonuses may not sit well with certain nonprofit stakeholders, i.e., donors for example, may be less willing to contribute to nonprofits that have enough money to pay bonuses, and/or because they are perceived to be operating in a quasi-for-profit manner. Consequently, we also examine the impact of bonuses on the nonprofits ability to raise funds. Consistent with our conjectures, we find that donations and government grants are negatively associated with the payment of a bonus in the prior year. We also find that donations and government grants are negatively associated with salary and all other compensation, but the associations are significantly more negative for bonus. We proceed as follows. Section II includes background and research question development, section III our model specifications, section IV our sample selection procedures, and section V our empirical analysis. We present additional analyses in section VI and our conclusions in section VII. 4 II. Background 2.1 Use of incentive pay Unlike publicly-traded for-profit organizations, nonprofit organizations are not required to file financial or proxy statements with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Rather, to maintain their tax exempt status they are required to file Form 990 with the Internal Revenue Service (IRS) on an annual basis. Beginning in 2008, Form 990 was revised to provide users with new information, including information on bonuses paid to top executives. In particular, the IRS introduced Schedule J, entitled Compensation Information, which includes two parts. Part one requires the organization to answer eight yes or no questions, with several sub-questions, related to how compensation is determined at the nonprofit organization. Part two is an open response section requiring filers to detail the components of their executives’ pay, including bonus pay.2 Research on executive compensation and its impact on performance is a mainstay of forprofit accounting, economics, finance, and management research. Whereas much of this literature derives from agency theory (e.g. Jensen and Meckling 1976) and the use of incentive compensation to resolve the owner-manager conflict, a competing line of research (e.g. Bebchuk and Fried 2004) argues that observed executive compensation is not an equilibrium outcome, but rather the result of managerial power or rent extraction. Empirically, researchers have endeavored to explain the determinants of compensation (Jensen and Murphy 1990b, Murphy 1985, Tosi, Werner, Katz, and Gomez-Mejia 2000), as well as optimal compensation structure. Jensen and Murphy (1990a) sum it up when they argue “It’s Not How Much You Pay, But How”. 2 Not all nonprofits are required to provide this additional information. For example a nonprofit with no executive earning more than $150,000 would generally not be required to file Schedule J. 5 In contrast there is much less research on executive compensation in the nonprofit literature. Examples include Oster (1998), Baber et al. (2002), Brickley and Van Horn (2002), Hallock (2002), Frumkin and Keating (2010), and Sedatole et al. (2013). However, because these papers all use data that predates the 2008 Form 990 revision they are unable to directly examine the use of bonus compensation in nonprofits. Rather, by using various independent variables to explain total compensation, they indirectly study the use of pay for performance at nonprofit organizations. While most of these studies find a link between nonprofit pay and performance, Hallock (2002) concludes that “evidence linking pay to performance is only robust when performance is measured as some function of organization size.” There are significant differences between for-profit and nonprofit entities, differences that could impact the use and effectiveness of incentive compensation. In particular, the lack of a residual claimant in a nonprofit organization may accentuate agency problems because equity compensation and ownership requirements, which are used to reduce this conflict by aligning the incentives of managers and owners (Core and Larcker 2002), are unavailable. Therefore, out of necessity, cash incentives play a larger role in nonprofit compensation packages. However, nonprofits must also avoid both the ‘private inurement’ and ‘excess compensation’ provisions of Internal Revenue Code sections 501(c)(3), 4941, and 4958. These provisions prohibit nonprofits from simply distributing net profits to managers and require managerial compensation to be reasonable.3 Additionally, while agency theory suggests that incentive compensation can mitigate the owner-manager conflict by aligning interests in for-profit organizations, a multitude of factors The IRS defines reasonable as: “Reasonable compensation is the value that would ordinarily be paid for like services by like enterprises under like circumstances. Reasonableness is determined based on all the facts and circumstances.” (http://www.irs.gov/Charities-%26-Non-Profits/Exempt-Organization-Annual-ReportingRequirements:-Meaning-of-Reasonable-Compensation). 3 6 complicate this analysis in nonprofits. Nonprofits do not have owners. Rather, they have a variety of stakeholders that include beneficiaries, donors, employees, and volunteers. Consequently, it is not clear whose interests’ nonprofit managers should be aligned with. Should they be aligned with the interests of the recipients of their goods or services? Or should they be aligned with the interests of donors? The board of directors, which nominally controls the incentive setting process, is likely to be more aligned with the interest of donors, as most nonprofits require that board members contribute as part of their service (O’Regan and Oster 2005). Consistent with this Aggarwal, Evans and Nanda (2012) suggest “directors join the board because they value the right to direct the organization to pursue the goals of stakeholders that they represent or activities that they privately value.” As a result, executives’ directives and incentives are extremely opaque in this complex setting, providing further motivation for our study. While causing some control problems, the lack of a residual claimant can, however, provide an advantage to nonprofits in attracting donations given the non-distribution constraint (Hansmann 1980). However, payment of incentive compensation or bonuses might be seen as violating that constraint and consequently lead to lower levels of donations. While not looking at incentive compensation per se, Balsam and Harris (2014) provide evidence that donors withhold contributions to nonprofits following the disclosure of high compensation. Nonprofits are also subject to significant regulation at the state and federal levels, including penalties for excess compensation, which could be triggered by the payment of incentive compensation.4 4 The IRS does not prohibit the payment of bonuses, i.e., prohibitions against the use of incentive pay systems were removed in 1980 (IRS Counsel Memorandum 38283, Revenue Ruling 8122068). However, payments of large bonuses could be deemed as excessive pay by the IRS. 7 Additionally, measuring performance is an important issue in providing the proper incentives. The primary measures of performance in the for-profit literature are market- and accounting-based, as the goal is to maximize shareholder wealth. Publicly traded firms can directly measure the increase in shareholder wealth by examining share price performance, or indirectly by measuring profitability. But how should a nonprofit measure performance? There is no stock price, and while nonprofits do have accounting-based measures, there is no residual claimant to lay claim to the profits. Prior nonprofit research has used a variety of performance measures to explain top executive pay, which include profitability (Brickley and Van Horn 2002), efficiency (Baber et al. 2002), and fundraising (Hallock 2002). Some argue that profits are not an appropriate performance measure and that the goal of most nonprofits is long-run breakeven. For example, Leone and Van Horn (2005) argue that nonprofits do not seek to maximize profits; rather they aim for small profits and to avoid losses. Krishnan et al. (2006) suggest that “To instill trust in the recipient, the providing firm uses the nonprofit form of organization to provide a signal that the firm is not interested in profit maximization, but rather is working to maximize the recipients’ welfare.” Sedatole et al. (2013) go further, suggesting that nonprofits provide incentives to CEOs to expend residual income to increase charitable services and avoid violation of the non-distribution constraint, which they assert requires long-run breakeven. On the other hand, nonprofits need to maintain a financial cushion, e.g., rainy day fund, as well as resources to acquire future capital assets. Thus, boards and donors may not be totally averse to nonprofits accumulating profits. Providing empirical support for this proposition, Chang and Tuckman (1990) find that a large majority of nonprofits earned surpluses in 1983, and that very few had surpluses close to zero. Ultimately it becomes an empirical question as to whether nonprofits seek, and nonprofit executives are rewarded for, 8 profits. Providing an answer to the latter question is a focus of our study and leads to our first formal hypothesis: H1: Bonuses received by nonprofit executives are positively related to net income. The possibility exists that nonprofit executives are rewarded based on other performance measures, e.g., delivery of services (Aggarwal et al. 2012), efficiency (Baber et al. 2012), fundraising (Hallock 2002); either in addition to, or instead of, profit. This leads to our second hypothesis: H2: Bonuses received by nonprofit executives are positively related to performance measures other than net income. Murphy and Zabojnik (2002) in discussing trends in CEO pay argue that market forces “are of first-order importance”. Balsam and Harris (2014) assert nonprofits “compete with other organizations for employee and executive talent.” While nonprofits may attract individuals who are less driven by extrinsic rewards, e.g., labor donation (Handy and Katz 1998), in most cases they need to provide pay packages that are competitive with individuals’ other job opportunities. An empirical question is whether alternative employers include both nonprofit and for-profit entities, and whether these labor markets are distinct (Erus and Weisbrod 2003).5 This leads to our third and fourth hypotheses, which test the response of bonus pay to competition in the labor market for nonprofit executives: H3: Bonuses received by nonprofit executives depend on the competition the nonprofit faces from other nonprofit organizations. H4: Bonuses received by nonprofit executives depend on the competition the nonprofit faces from for-profit organizations. 5 While not directly examining this question, using survey data Roomkin and Weisbrod (1999) find that compensation practices differ between nonprofit and for-profit hospitals, i.e., while for-profit CEOs receive higher bonuses and total compensation, nonprofit CEOs receive higher salaries. 9 In addition to profits, program expenses, efficiency, revenue sources, and competition, we identify several economic and monitoring variables posited to play a role in setting incentive pay in the nonprofit sector. These variables include commonly used variables from the compensation literature such as firm and board size, as well as variables unique to the nonprofit sector such as unrestricted cash and the existence of restricted donations. We also study six new variables included in Schedule J aimed at understanding the compensation setting process used at nonprofit organizations. Using these variables, our study aims to form a comprehensive understanding of the use of nonprofit bonus pay. 2.2 Impact of incentive pay on revenue generation In addition to understanding the determinants of nonprofit incentive compensation, we are also interested in the consequences of using this form of pay. Nonprofits rely on multiple funding sources including direct donations, government grants and program service revenues. In the first two of these funding sources the person providing the funding receives nothing of value in exchange for his or her contribution. According to Emerson (2010) donors “assume that charity leaders work for free or minimal pay and are shocked to see that they earn six figure salaries.” As such he/she may object to their contribution being used to reward executives, and may withhold/reduce future contributions as a result. Balsam and Harris (2014) posit that “government grantors are interested in executive compensation to avoid making grants to charities that have the potential to embarrass them in the political sphere.” In contrast they suggest that patrons, who receive services from nonprofits, are less concerned about executive compensation. Thus far, Balsam and Harris (2014) is the only study to examine this issue empirically, and as with the prior literature, they are limited to studying the impact of total compensation on future donations. While they provide some evidence that donors withhold 10 contributions to nonprofits following the disclosure of high compensation, their findings are limited to nonprofits with sophisticated donors and nonprofits whose compensation is disclosed in the media. This study expands prior research to determine if contributors weigh the forms of compensation differentially in deciding whether and how much to support a nonprofit. In particular we expand on Balsam and Harris (2014) by looking at whether the form of compensation affects future support. Incentive compensation in the form of bonuses confirms that executives are not donating their labor, providing evidence consistent with the nonprofit being run like business, and may signal to some donors that the nonprofit is not in need of contributions if they have excess funds with which to pay a bonus. Anecdotal evidence also suggests in certain situations bonus payments could be politically unpalatable for nonprofits. As an example consider the uproar that ensued when a study conducted by Kaiser Health News and ABC News showed that nonprofit CEOs received bonuses for profit, revenue and other financial goals, nine of whom received million dollar bonuses (Grassley 2013, Hancock 2013); or the uproar when it was disclosed AIG would be paying retention bonuses (Andrews and Baker 2009) when it effectively was a ward of the federal government. Our expectation is that contributors, but not patrons (to adopt the terminology of Balsam and Harris 2014) react more negatively to the payment of bonuses than to other forms of compensation. This culminates in our fifth hypothesis: H5: Executive bonus payments adversely affect subsequent direct donations and government grants. III. Model specification 3.1 Determinants of the use of incentive compensation 11 To examine the factors that explain a nonprofit organizations’ bonus payments we employ a Tobit model, as the dependent variable, Bonus, is bounded from below at zero. Bonus is defined as the log level of bonus payments made to the highest paid executive at the nonprofits in our sample.6 According to the IRS instructions for Schedule J, bonuses include: “payments based on satisfaction of a performance target (other than mere longevity of service), and payments at the beginning of a contract before services are rendered (for example, signing bonus)”. To provide a comprehensive understanding of nonprofit bonus pay, we organize our independent variables into two categories representing the economic and monitoring environments in which our sample organizations operate. See Table 1 for detailed variable definitions. Looking first at the economic factors, we include variables that proxy for size, profitability, services delivered, efficiency, and revenue generated. Research in the for-profit sector has consistently shown (e.g. Balsam 2007 Table 2-4) that the use of incentive compensation increases with firm size. Accordingly, we expect the use of bonuses in nonprofits to increase with nonprofit size. We use the log of total assets (Total Assets) to measure firm size and expect a positive coefficient on this variable.7 Additionally, both the for-profit (e.g., Core, Holthausen and Larcker 1999) and nonprofit (e.g., Brickley and Van Horn 2002) literatures have shown that compensation increases with the performance of the organization. However, as discussed above, a number of other papers (Leone and Van Horn 2005, Krishnan et al. 2006, Sedatole et al. 2013) suggest that nonprofits do not 6 We also require that the executive fit into two of six position codes provided by the Compensation File from the National Center on Charitable Statistics: officer or key employee. The remaining four position codes, which are not mutually exclusive, are: individual trustee or director, institutional trustee, highly-compensated employee, former employee. 7 The results reported below are robust to alternative definitions of nonprofit size such as total revenues as well as number of employees. 12 pursue accounting profitability, which, if true, implies that they would not base incentive compensation on profits. To the extent that profits are not an appropriate measure of performance for a nonprofit, we include program service expenses, revenue generation, and efficiency as alternative performance measures.8 We measure the profitability of a nonprofit as Net Income which is calculated as the difference between total revenues and total expenses.9 Consistent with more profit-oriented organizations (proxied for by the existence of profits) utilizing bonus compensation to incentivize their executives, we expect a positive relationship between Net Income and Bonus. We use Program Service Expenses as an alternative performance indicator which measures the magnitude of program services provided by the organization following Aggarwal et al. (2012). We measure Administrative Efficiency following Frumkin and Keating (2010) as 1 less administrative expenses/total expenses. They argue that the more efficient the charity is perceived to be, the greater the reward to the executive, finding this ratio to be positively associated with compensation, therefore we predict Administrative Efficiency will have a positive relation with Bonus. The executive’s ability to generate revenue is part of his/her job and he/she should be motivated and rewarded for fulfilling this responsibility. However the relationship between compensation and revenue generation can vary depending on the revenue source and prior literature finds mixed results. Looking at the relationship between compensation and donations, Sedatole et al. (2013) find a positive association between compensation and donations, Frumkin and Keating (2010) fail to find a relationship between changes in donations and the level of compensation, Oster (1998) finds that compensation decreases as the percentage of revenue from donations increases and Gaver and Im (2014) find excess CEO compensation is negatively 8 9 Our inferences are unchanged when we include these variables in model (1) individually. We find similar results if we use return on assets (ROA) as our main performance measure. 13 related to public donations. Finally, Balsam and Harris (2014) show that donors are sensitive to executive compensation. This last finding suggests that it may not be in the interests of the nonprofit to raise compensation if it wants to maximize donations. Additionally, Gaver and Im (2014) also find that excess CEO compensation is negatively related to funding from government grants. The provision of program services differs from the receipt of donations and government grants, in that patrons receive a service directly from the nonprofit in return for payment. As a result, they do not seem to be as concerned with executive compensation (Balsam and Harris 2014). However, Sedatole et al. (2013) find a positive relation between compensation and program service revenues. Based on this discussion we posit that nonprofits that are heavily reliant on donations will be reluctant to use bonuses. We also expect government grants will dampen the use of bonuses. In contrast, we argue that program service revenues proxy for the business-like operations of the organization and therefore posit a positive relation between Bonus and Program Service Revenues. We further argue that competition for executive services from both for-profits and other nonprofits has the potential to influence the payment of bonuses as well. While the general expectation is that competition for executive services will drive up the price of those services, our predictions are tempered by the fact that we cannot directly measure that competition. Instead our measures of competition gauge both the competition for executive services as well as customers.10 In particular we define Nonprofit competition as the number of nonprofits within a given metropolitan statistical area (MSA)/industry combination, and For-profit competition, as the number of for-profits within the same metropolitan statistical area (MSA)/industry 10 We were able to identify for-profit organizations in the same industry as the nonprofit under examination by using the NCCS NTEE/NAICS/SIC Crosswalk compiled by the National Center for Charitable Statistics which we obtained from http://nccsdataweb.urban.org/kbfiles/786/xwalka.pdf on October 20, 2014. 14 combination. Early research (Hart 1983) in the for-profit realm suggests that product market competition reduces managerial slack and provides incentives that may lessen the need for incentive compensation such as bonuses. However later research finds the results are ambiguous (Scharfstein 1988, Hermalin 1992) or that competition leads to increased incentives (Raith 2003, Karuna 2007). Looking at competition in the hospital industry Erus and Weisbrod (2003) provide mixed evidence as to whether product market competition leads nonprofits to “more closely emulate FPs in terms of use of bonus compensation.” In sum, because we cannot directly measure the competition for an executive’s services and prior research on the impact of product market competition on executive compensation is mixed, we include these two variables in our model, but do not predict their signs. Turning to the monitoring environment of the organization, Jensen and Meckling (1976) argue that an inability to monitor managers effectively leads principals to rely on contingent compensation such as bonuses to align incentives.11 To examine this subject we study measures of the nonprofit compensation environment newly disclosed on the revised Form 990, e.g., items such as the establishment of a compensation committee and the use of compensation consultants; as well as more general variables, i.e., those not specific to compensation, but which also proxy for the organization’s monitoring environment. Line 3 of the new Schedule J of Form 990 requires nonprofit organizations to indicate the method(s) utilized by the organization to set executive pay. Specifically, the IRS requires nonprofits to disclose which, if any, of the following six pay setting mechanisms (described in more detail below) they utilize: existence of a compensation committee, existence of a written employment contract, approval of compensation by the board or compensation committee, 11 A counter-argument, however, is that contingent compensation is only effective if the principal, in this case the board, can monitor the performance metrics and how they are being measured. 15 employment of an independent compensation consultant, use of a compensation survey or study, and reference to Form 990s of other organizations. Nonprofits are not required to use any of these methods, and are not limited to using only one. We operationalize these disclosures in our analysis coding individual responses as one if the organization reports the use of that mechanism and zero otherwise. Compensation Committee refers to the existence of “a committee of the organization's governing body responsible for determining the top management official's compensation package” (2012 IRS Form 990 Schedule J instructions). Written Employment Contract refers to “recent or current written employment agreements” (2012 IRS Form 990 Schedule J instructions). Compensation Approval refers to “the ultimate decision by the governing body or compensation committee on behalf of the organization” (2012 IRS Form 990 Schedule J instructions). We are unaware of any literature examining the impact of the existence of a compensation committee, compensation contracts, or compensation contract approval on the level of compensation.12 Each of these three variables is associated with greater monitoring of executive compensation by the board of directors. Consequently one prediction is that the higher level of monitoring will reduce the need for incentive compensation. However, to the extent that these variables are correlated with the sophistication/business-like operation of the organization, they could be associated with a higher likelihood of using incentive compensation. As a result, we make no prediction as to their impact on the use of bonuses in our sample. Compensation consultant refers to the use of “a person outside the organization who advises the organization regarding the top management official's compensation package” (2012 IRS Form 990 Schedule J instructions). Compensation survey is defined as the organization’s use 12 There is however research on the effect of the independence of the compensation committee on various facets of CEO pay (Anderson and Bizjak 2003, Daily et al.1996, and Newman and Mozes 1999). 16 of a “study of top management official compensation or functionally comparable positions in similarly situated organizations” (2012 IRS Form 990 Schedule J instructions). Finally, Other 990 Compensation Comparison refers to the use of compensation information presented on Form 990’s of “similarly situated organizations” (2012 Form 990 Schedule J instructions). Several forprofit papers have examined the impact of using a compensation consultant on executive compensation, finding mixed results (see Conyon 2011 for a discussion and summary). However, to the extent that the use of compensation consultant is a proxy for the more businesslike nature of the nonprofit, we expect higher bonus compensation in nonprofits employing compensation consultants. Further, Murphy (1998) relates that the use of surveys may lead to a ratcheting up of compensation as few corporations elect to pay below average compensation. Additionally, Bizjak, Lemmon and Naveen (2008) document the widespread use of benchmarking to set CEO pay. Assuming the same logic applies in the nonprofit sector we would expect the use of a compensation consultant, compensation surveys, as well as the use of other Form 990s as a reference to be associated with higher levels of Bonus. Our model also includes three variables aimed at capturing the general monitoring environment of nonprofit organizations. First, we include Restricted Donations which is a proxy for a more sophisticated and vigilant donor base (Yetman and Yetman 2013). Balsam and Harris (2014) provide evidence consistent with sophisticated donors, as proxied for by the existence of restricted donations, being more likely to monitor and react to executive compensation. Therefore, our expectation is that the level of bonus pay will be inversely related to Restricted Donations. Next we include two board related variables: board size and the percentage of independent directors. While prior for-profit literature (Hermalin and Weisbach 1998) suggests that independent directors are likely to be better monitors, the literature on board size is mixed 17 (Yermack 1996, Coles, Daniel, and Naveen 2008, Boone, Field, Karpoff, and Raheja 2007, Linck, Netter, and Yang 2008). Therefore, while we expect board independence to be inversely related to Bonus, we do not predict the association between board size and Bonus. Finally, we include Unrestricted Cash and Salary as independent variables. The ability of the nonprofit to pay a bonus will to a large extent depend on cash availability. Consequently we measure Unrestricted Cash as cash less restricted donations and expect a positive coefficient. Salary is defined by the IRS as “nondiscretionary payments to a person agreed upon in advance, contingent only on the payee's performance of agreed-upon services (such as salary or fees)” (2012 Form 990 Schedule J instructions). We have no a priori expectations for the coefficient on Salary. While nonprofits need to pay equilibrium compensation, some may be reluctant to use the term bonus. Those nonprofits will thus pay a higher Salary and a lower or no bonus resulting in a negative correlation between Salary and Bonus. Alternatively, to the extent that both high Salary and Bonus are the result of managerial rent extraction (Bebchuk and Fried 2004), we could observe a positive correlation. Consequently, we include Salary as an independent variable but do not make a prediction as to its sign. We also include industry and year fixed effects to control for variations in industry and economic conditions present in our sample. Finally, we use the natural log of all continuous, non-ratio variables, and winsorize all variables at the 1 and 99 percentiles to mitigate the influence of outliers, and cluster standard errors by nonprofit. In sum we explain the level of Bonus using the following Tobit model. Formally: Bonus = β0 + β1Total Assets + β2Net Income + β3Program Service Expenses + β4Administrative Efficiency + β5Direct Donations + β6Government Grants + β7Program Service Revenues + β8Nonprofit Competition + β9For-Profit Competition +β10 Board Approval + β11Written Employment Contract + β12Compensation Committee + β13Compensation Consultant + β14Compensation Survey + β15Other 990 compensation comparison + β16Restricted Donations + β17Board Size + β18 Percentage of Independent Directors + β19Unrestricted Cash + β20Salary + Industry fixed effects+ Year fixed effects +ε (1) 18 3.2 Impact of incentive compensation on funding sources To examine the impact of incentive compensation on funding sources, we again employ a Tobit model, as our dependent variables, Direct Donations and Government Grants, are bounded from below at zero. Our test variables are related to compensation, in particular the payment of Bonus compensation, as well as Salary and Other Compensation. Our expectation is that the coefficient on Bonus will be negative and significant, and significantly less than the coefficients on Salary and Other Compensation. As control variables we include a series of variables which have been found by the prior literature to affect Direct Donations and Government Grants. Tinkelman (1998) and Krishnan and Schauer (2000) both found a positive relation between nonprofit size and support. As a result, we include year-end Total Assets and expect it to be positively associated with Direct Donations and Government Grants. Weisbrod and Dominguez (1986), Posnett and Sandler (1989), Callen (1994), Tinkelman (1998), Khumawala and Gordon (1997), Parsons (2003), Tinkelman and Mankaney (2007), Parsons and Trussel (2008), and Tinkelman (2009) all find that organizational efficiency is associated with the ability to attract donations. We use Administrative Efficiency, as defined above, to measure organizational efficiency and expect it to be positively associated with our dependent variables. Weisbrod and Dominguez (1986) and Tinkelman (1999) find that Fundraising Expenses are positively related to donations, therefore we expect a positive coefficient on this variable. Several studies (Weisbrod and Dominguez 1986; Posnett and Sandler 1989; Callen 1994; Yetman and Yetman 2009) propose that donors refrain from making donations to organizations that have high levels of Government Grants or Program Service Revenue as they feel that the nonprofits’ financial needs are being met from other sources. However, other literature (Okten 19 and Weisbrod 2000; Petrovits et al. 2011, Yetman and Yetman 2013) suggests donors may feel more comfortable contributing to a nonprofit that has other sources of revenue. Consequently, while we include Program Service Revenues in both models, Government Grants in the model explaining Direct Donations and Direct Donations in the model explaining Government Grants, we do not predict the coefficients of these variables. In addition, given that nonprofit revenues are affected by factors correlated with industry and year, we incorporate fixed effects to control for industry and year. Finally, to control for the effect of competition for donations and grants from other nonprofit organizations in the same MSA/industry combinations, we once again include our Nonprofit Competition control variable. Following prior literature (e.g., Parsons and Trussel 2008; Petrovits, Shakespeare and Shih 2011), the control variables are measured with a one year lag. Finally, we use the natural log of all continuous, non-ratio variables, and winsorize all variables at the 1 and 99 percentiles to mitigate the influence of outliers, and cluster standard errors by nonprofit. In sum we examine the impact of the components of the compensation package on the level of Direct Donations and Government Grants using the following Tobit model. Formally: Direct Donations = β0 + β1Salary + β2Bonus + β3Other Compensation + β4Total Assets + β5Administrative Efficiency + β6Fundraising Expenses + β7Government Grants + β8Program Service Revenues+ β9Nonprofit Competition + Industry fixed effects + Year fixed effects + ε (2) Government Grants = β0 + β1Salary + β2Bonus + β3Other Compensation + β4Total Assets + β5Administrative Efficiency + β6Fundraising Expenses + β7 Direct Donations + β8Program Service Revenues + β9Nonprofit Competition + Industry fixed effects + Year fixed effects + ε (3) IV. Sample selection To construct our sample, we begin with the Compensation File compiled by the National Center on Charitable Statistics (NCCS). This dataset is drawn from Schedule J of Form 990 and 20 includes information about compensation components, such as Bonus, which were not separately disclosed previously. Schedule J must be completed by nonprofit organizations that report compensation for any officer, director, or employee with total compensation in excess of $150,000. Because the focus of our study is bonuses, we are restricted to 2008-2011, namely those years for which Schedule J information is available.13 We also restrict our analysis to compensation of the highest paid individual, resulting in 66,201 firm-year observations over the four year period 2008-2011. We merge our Schedule J compensation data with the Statistics of Income (SOI) dataset. The SOI dataset includes financial information for all nonprofit organizations with total assets greater than $50 million plus a stratified random sample of smaller organizations. While the SOI dataset does not include every nonprofit organization for every year, it does reflect “over 90 percent of all nonprofit revenues” according to Yetman and Yetman (2013, 1049). We lose 17,542 firm-year observations for which all model variables are not available. We delete 836 firm-year observations that appear to be obvious outliers and potential errors (e.g., years with negative revenues, see Feng, Ling, Neely, and Roberts 2013) in addition to 12,395 firm-year observations where the highest reported total compensation is less than $150,000.14 As shown in Table 2, this yields a sample size of 35,428 firm-year observations for 11,314 unique nonprofit organizations. For our consequences analysis, we use a one-year lag for the independent variables to allow the dependent variable either donations or government grants time to react, reducing our sample to 25,081 firm-year observations. 13 The NCCS is in the process of digitizing more recent years at this time. Our results are robust to including observations with compensation less than $150,000. However, given that firms are not required to complete Schedule J below this threshold, and that voluntary disclosers may differ from those required to disclose, we limit our analysis to organizations that are required to disclose this information. 14 21 Table 3 provides the industry and year distributions for our full and bonus samples. As shown in panel A of Table 3, Hospitals make up the largest category, at 26 percent of our sample. This is followed by Human services (18 percent), Health (17 percent), Education (12 percent), Universities (10 percent) and Arts, culture, and humanities (five percent). Finally, the classification “Other industries,” which consists of Environment, International, Mutual benefit, Public & Societal benefit, and Religion, makes up approximately 12 percent of the sample. We also observe that the percentage of executives receiving bonuses varies across industries, with executives in Hospitals receiving bonuses most often, 80 percent of the time, and those in Education receiving bonuses least often, 39 percent of the time. As shown in panel B, our sample is fairly evenly distributed between the four sample years, with mean bonus pay trending upward over the four year period. V. Results 5.1 Descriptive Statistics Table 4 provides descriptive statistics for the dependent and independent variables in our model. We include the percentage of the sample that reports non-zero values for each variable as a means of understanding the use of these sources in our sample. We find that over half (57 percent) of our nonprofit year observations report paying bonuses. Further, the mean Bonus is $91,863, with a maximum of almost $8 million (untabulated). We also find that Bonus is a small fraction of total revenue, which has a sample mean (median) of $125 million ($30 million), or total assets with a sample mean (median) of $239 million ($69 million). Finally we note the very large negative mean figure for Unrestricted Cash of approximately -$26 million; indicating that on average sample firms have little unrestricted cash on hand. 22 Turning to our bonus and non-bonus sample descriptive statistics, we note that Salary is significantly (p-value < 0.000) greater in nonprofits that pay bonuses. In particular, the mean (median) Salary in nonprofits that pay bonuses is about $447,000 ($362,030) versus $ 291,627 ($232,149) in nonprofits which do not. We also document significant differences between our treatment and control firms with respect to the majority of our remaining test and control variables. We examine, but do not tabulate, the correlations among the independent variables. Consistent with prior literature, size (Total Assets) is significantly correlated with the majority of the other control variables. For example, the highest correlation is the Spearman correlation of 0.54 between Total Assets and Program Service Revenues. While there are some significant correlations, those correlations are of relatively low magnitude and the corresponding Variance Inflation Factors are less than two, which suggest that multicollinearity is not a problem. 5.2 Determinants of bonus In Table 5 we analyze the determinants of nonprofit bonuses. As expected we find that larger organizations pay higher bonuses. In support of hypothesis one we also find that more profitable nonprofits pay higher bonuses as the coefficient on Net Income is positive and significantly different from zero. In terms of our alternative performance measures, we find the coefficients on Program Service Expenses, a measure of services delivered, as well as Administrative Efficiency, a measure of the efficiency with which those services are delivered, are both insignificantly different from zero. Similarly we do not find that “fundraising success” leads to higher bonuses, as we find an insignificant coefficient on Program Service Revenues, and negative and significant coefficients on Direct Donations and Government Grants. Thus we do not find support for hypothesis two. 23 Turning from performance to competition we find the coefficients on both Nonprofit and For-profit Competition to be positive and significant, consistent with executive bonuses increasing with the competition for their services. Additionally we find that the coefficient on For-profit Competition to be statistically greater than that on Nonprofit Competition (p-value <0.000). Thus we find support for hypotheses three and four. Related to the six compensation setting practices we find that the existence of Board Approval reduces the amount of the bonus, while the existence of a Compensation Committee, the hiring of a Compensation Consultant, and the use of a Compensation Survey all are associated with an increase in the bonus amount, i.e., are positive and significant. With respect to the monitoring environment, we find that organizations with more sophisticated donors (Restricted Donations), and more independent boards (Percentage of Independent Directors) pay lower bonuses, although find no effect for Board Size. We do find, as expected, that the availability of cash leads to higher bonuses. Finally, the coefficient on Salary is positive and significant, indicating that the Bonus is in addition to, not in place of, Salary. In addition to our Bonus findings, column II presents very similar results when we define our response variable as a ratio of bonus to total pay. That is, our results are identical with the addition of a significant coefficient on our additional performance measure, Program Service Expenses, and the loss of significance on Compensation Survey. Columns III and IV of Table 5 present determinants models for Salary and Other Compensation. Here we note that these components are not significantly related to Net Income our main performance measure, indicating that salary and other compensation mechanisms are not related to executive performance. We do find that salary is positively related to Program Service Expenses 24 suggesting that salary is more closely tied to the scope of the services provided by the organization. 5.3 Impact of incentive compensation on funding sources In addition to understanding the types of nonprofit organizations utilizing incentive pay Table 6 presents results which suggest the consequences of this pay type. In particular, we define our bonus test variable as the percentage of bonus pay to total compensation as a means of quantifying the use of incentive pay and show the impact of this ratio on various performance measures. We focus on the six performance measures defined previously: net income, program service expenses, administrative efficiency, program service revenues, direct donations, and government grants. In the first three columns of Table 6 we observe that future net income, program service expenses, and program service revenues are positively associated with the percentage of total pay at risk. That is, we find that organizations that pay a larger portion of their executives’ compensation in the form of bonus have higher future Net Income, Program Service Revenues, and produce more mission related activities (Program Service Expenses). We do not find that bonus has any impact on one-year-ahead administrative efficiency. Turning to our revenue source variables, we find that the ratio of bonus to total pay has a significant negative impact on future Direct Donations.15 We fail to find a significant impact on one-yearahead Government Grants, but do note a negative coefficient on this test variable. VI. Additional Analyses 15 We note that this finding is stronger than that of Balsam and Harris (2014) who fail to find an association between total compensation and subsequent donations for their overall sample, i.e., they only find their result for nonprofits whose compensation is disclosed in the media and nonprofits with sophisticated donors. While we cannot definitively reconcile these two differing results we note that they use change model whereas we use a log levels model, and more importantly the sample selection criteria in the two studies differ. That is, this project focuses on organizations reporting total compensation in excess of $150k required to file schedule J) while Balsam and Harris (2014) incorporate firms of all size. Finally our samples are also drawn from different time periods. Balsam and Harris (2014) look at nonprofits from 2002 through 2008, we study 2008 through 2011. 25 6.1 Impact of for-profit competition on selection of performance measures in bonus contract As noted above, there is debate over whether nonprofit managers should be incentivized to report higher net income. At the same time nonprofit compensation packages have to be competitive with those in the for-profit sector, especially for those executives with opportunities to work in for-profits. Table 5 in fact shows that the existence of for-profit competition significantly increases the bonus amount. In this section we examine the impact of for-profit competition on the performance measures used in the bonus contract. We create a new indicator variable, no for profit competition that takes the value of one if the nonprofit does not face forprofit competition and zero otherwise. We then interact that variable with Net Income to see whether it affects the weight applied to Net Income. In untabulated analysis we find a negative and significant coefficient on this interaction, as well as finding the sum of Net Income plus Net Income*no for profit competition is insignificantly different from zero. Thus nonprofits without for profit competition do not appear to use profitability as a performance measure. 6.2 Concentration of executive power One of the regularities of the for-profit literature is that executives who are also board chair receive higher levels of compensation (Mallette, Middlemist and Hopkins 1995, Sridharan 1996, Core et al. 1999, and Conyon and Murphy 2000), which could be considered payment for additional services rendered or rent extraction. While we do not have the identity of the board chair, our data does allow us to determine if the highest paid executive also sits on the board, as well as the number of positions that individual holds, e.g., CEO and President is two positions. In untabulated analyses we rerun models (1) and (2) incorporating an indicator variable taking the value of 1 if the highest paid executive is also listed as a director, and then, separately, incorporating a discrete variable for the number of positions (within the organization) held by 26 that individual. In our determinants model we observe that the coefficients on the newly added variables are positive and significant, i.e., they increase the bonus amount. More importantly, we find that the signs and significance levels on the remaining coefficients are almost identical to those reported earlier. Thus, while the concentration of power in the highest paid executive does appear to increase the amount of that bonus, it does not appear to affect the relationship between bonus and the primary variables we study. VII. Conclusions Using data available from the redesigned Form 990 Schedule J, we test the determinants and consequences of bonuses in the nonprofit sector. We generally find that larger, more profitable organizations are more likely to award higher levels of bonus compensation. We also find that competition from both nonprofits and for-profit organizations increase bonus compensation, consistent with competition for the executives’ services driving up equilibrium compensation. Given that our findings, that the existence and amount of bonus pay is correlated with profitability, conflicts with the belief of some (Leone and Van Horn 2005, Krishnan et al. 2006, Sedatole et al. 2013) that nonprofits do not actively seek profits, we further investigate this issue. We find that nonprofits that have for-profit competition do indeed reward their top executives based on profitability, but that non-profits without for-profit competition do not. In looking at the consequences of nonprofit compensation we find that bonuses tend to be negatively associated with lower future donations and government grants. 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The Accounting Review 88(3): 1041-1067. 33 Table 1 – Variable Definitions Dependent Variables Log of highest paid executive bonus Log of highest paid executive base compensation Log of highest paid executive total compensation less Other Compensation bonus less salary Bonus to Total Compensation Bonus / Total Compensation Economic Independent Variables Total Assets Log of year-end Total Assets Net Income Log of (Total Revenues – Total Expenses) Program Service Expenses Log of Program Service Expenses Administrative Efficiency 1- (Administrative Expenses / Total Expenses) Direct Donations Log of Direct Donations Government Grants Log of Government Grants Program Service Revenue Log of Program Service Revenues Log of frequency of organizations in same Metropolitan Nonprofit competition Statistical Area (MSA)/industry combination as sample firm, where industry is measured using NTEE Log of frequency of organizations in same Metropolitan For-profit competition Statistical Area (MSA)/industry combination as sample firm, where industry is measured using NAICS Monitoring Independent Variables = 1 for organizations reporting that the board or Board approval compensation committee is responsible for approving executive compensation = 1 for organizations reporting the use of a written Written employment contract employment contract = 1 for organizations reporting the use of compensation Compensation committee committee = 1 for organizations reporting the use of other Form Other 990 comparison 990s to set executive compensation = 1 for organizations reporting the use of a compensation Compensation consultant consultant to set executive compensation = 1 for organizations reporting the use of a compensation Compensation survey survey to set executive compensation Log of total permanent and temporarily restricted Restricted Donations donations Board Size Log of board size Percentage of Independent Directors = Independent board members / Board size Unrestricted Cash Log of total cash less restricted donations Bonus Salary 34 Table 2 – Sample Selection By Firm-year observation Schedule J observations available for analysis from NCCS compensation database 2008-2011 Less: Observations for which all model variables are not available Less: Obvious outliers (total revenue, total expenses, total assets less than zero) Less: Observations with Total Compensation less than $150,000 (not required to file Schedule J) 66,201 -17,542 -836 -12,395 Firm-year observations 35,428 Firm-year observations with bonus schemea 20,358 Percentage firm-year observations with bonus schemea 57.46% By Unique Firm Unique nonprofit firms Unique nonprofit firms with bonus schemea Percentage unique nonprofit firms with bonus schemea 11,314 6,292 55.61% Firms paying a bonus in 1 year 1,824 Firms paying a bonus in 2 years 1,348 Firms paying a bonus in 3 years 1,389 Firms paying a bonus in 4 years 1,731 We define bonus scheme as organizations that either report the use of contingent compensation or report non-zero bonus pay to their top executive in any of the four years in our sample. a 35 Table 3 – Sample Distribution Panel A: Industry distribution Industry group Arts, culture, and humanities Education Universities Hospitals Health Human services Other industries (environment, international, mutual benefit, public & societal benefit, religion) Total Frequency % Firm-years with bonus 1,638 4,320 3,596 9,423 5,908 6,233 5% 12% 10% 26% 17% 18% 665 1,664 1,426 7,511 3,910 3,024 % Firmyears with bonus 41% 39% 40% 80% 66% 49% 4,310 12% 2,158 50% 35,428 100% 20,358 57% Panel B: Year distribution Year Frequency % 2008 2009 2010 2011 Total 8,081 9,314 8,796 9,237 35,428 23% 26% 25% 26% 100% Firm-years with bonus 4,520 5,420 5,262 5,156 20,358 % Firm-years with bonus 56% 58% 60% 56% 57% Mean bonus amount $82,313 $82,525 $97,742 $104,034 $91,863 36 Table 4 – Descriptive Statisticsb % firmFull Sample Bonus Sample years (N=35,428) (N=20,358) reporting non-zero Mean Median Mean Median values Salary 99% 380,721 290,000 446,673 362,030 Bonus 44% 91,863 0.0 159,864 50,000 Other Compensation 36% 209,418 49,245 305,662 78,308 Bonus to Total Compensation 44% 0.07 0.00 0.13 0.10 Total Revenue 100% 125,827,509 30,110,337 175,185,440 44,429,618 Total Assets 100% 239,618,436 69,117,667 306,578,444 84,825,639 Net Income 99% 5,161,989 748,750 7,521,084 1,240,896 Program Service Expenses 99% 105,025,060 23,573,577 146,125,591 35,286,533 Administrative Efficiency 0.85 0.85 0.88 0.88 99% Direct Donations 86% 10,494,994 1,039,496 11,055,469 744,815 Government Grants 47% 6,903,943 0.0 7,223,135 0.0 Program Service Revenue 87% 102,477,856 17,451,110 149,202,561 28,448,946 Nonprofit Competition 58% 90.1 33.0 82.7 32.0 For-Profit Competition 8% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 Board Approval 79% 0.8 1.0 0.8 1.0 Written Employment Contract 34% 0.3 0.0 0.3 0.0 Compensation Committee 57% 0.6 1.0 0.6 1.0 Compensation Consultant 38% 0.4 0.0 0.5 0.0 Compensation Survey 67% 0.7 1.0 0.7 1.0 Other 990 Compensation Comparison 26% 0.3 0.0 0.3 0.0 Restricted Donations 72% 43,823,480 1,524,806 45,664,320 927,876 Board Size 100% 20.1 16.0 19.1 15.0 Percentage of Independent Directors 97% 85% 94% 82% 90% Unrestricted Cash 59% -26,055,383 510,726 -22,497,124 1,384,076 See Table 1 for variable definitions. bValues in the table represent raw values, i.e., unlogged and unwinsorized. Non-Bonus Sample (N=15,070) Mean 291,627 0.0 79,402 0.00 59,150,086 149,162,440 1,975,097 49,502,524 0.86 9,737,851 6,472,747 39,357,649 99.9 0.1 0.8 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.6 0.3 41,336,698 21.4 90% -30,862,221 T-test p-value Median 232,149 0.0 30,905 0.00 20,328,226 55,255,466 347,182 16,104,573 0.88 1,530,590 0.0 9,544,609 34.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2,851,418 17.0 100% 5,386 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0008 0.0300 0.2633 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0472 0.3031 0.0000 0.0000 0.0391 37 Table 5 – Determinants of Nonprofit Compensation Dependent Variable: defined in column heading Predicted sign Bonus Salary Other Compensation Bonus to Total Compensation Coefficient p-value Coefficient p-value Coefficient p-value Coefficient p-value 3.406*** 0.000 0.396*** 0.000 0.000 0.987 -0.030* 0.071 0.720*** 0.003 0.003 0.607 -0.006* 0.067 0.009 0.103 0.072*** 0.000 0.242** 0.033 -0.771*** 0.000 -0.065 0.164 0.435*** 0.000 0.812*** 0.000 0.510*** 0.000 0.142*** 0.001 -0.012*** 0.006 0.305*** 0.000 -0.922*** 0.000 -0.015*** 0.000 -0.495*** 0.000 0.021*** 0.000 0.002*** 0.000 0.002* 0.057 -0.017 0.325 -0.001*** 0.003 -0.001*** 0.000 0.000 0.903 0.002** 0.014 0.022*** 0.003 -0.069*** 0.000 -0.005 0.230 0.030*** 0.000 0.075*** 0.000 0.005 0.341 -0.002 0.625 -0.001*** 0.002 -0.005 0.251 -0.064*** 0.000 0.001*** 0.003 0.019*** 0.000 YES YES 35,428 0.3209 0.000*** -28.297*** 11.214*** 0.000 0.000 0.885*** 0.094*** + Total Assets 0.000 0.000 0.078*** 0.000 + Net Income 0.000 0.296 0.057 0.017*** Program Service Expenses + 0.321 0.000 -0.636 -0.128*** + Administrative Efficiency 0.434 0.000 -0.051*** -0.005*** ˗ Direct Donations 0.009 0.000 -0.079*** 0.000 Government Grants 0.000 0.784 0.014 0.002*** + Program Service Revenues 0.503 0.001 0.110** 0.015*** ? Nonprofit Competition 0.011 0.000 1.212*** 0.103*** ? For-Profit Competition 0.002 0.000 -3.607*** -0.197*** ? Board Approval 0.000 0.000 -0.261 -0.013** ? Written Employment Contract 0.245 0.046 1.715*** 0.078*** ? Compensation Committee 0.000 0.000 3.948*** 0.192*** + Compensation Consultant 0.000 0.000 0.472* 0.027*** + Compensation Survey 0.092 0.001 -0.057 0.016** + Other 990 Compensation Comparison 0.820 0.024 -0.030* -0.004*** ˗ Restricted Donations 0.074 0.000 -0.075 0.088*** ? Board Size 0.701 0.000 -2.970*** -0.552*** Percentage of Independent Directors 0.000 0.000 0.056*** -0.001 + Unrestricted Cash 0.000 0.109 1.266*** Salary ? 0.000 Industry fixed effects YES YES Year fixed effects YES YES N 35,428 35,428 Adjusted R2 0.0525 0.0310 Model p-value 0.000*** 0.000*** *significant at 10% level, **significant at 5% level, ***significant at 1% level (two-tailed). See Table 1 for variable definitions. Constant ? YES YES 35,428 0.0337 0.000*** 38 Table 6 – Impact of incentive compensation on future performance Dependent Variable: defined in column heading Predicted sign Constant ? Lagged Bonus/Total Compensation ? Lagged Salary/Total Compensation ? Lagged Total Compensation ? Lagged Total Assets + Lagged Administrative Efficiency + Lagged Government Grants ? Lagged Direct Donations ? Lagged Program Service Revenues ? Lagged Fundraising Expenses + Lagged Net Income ? Nonprofit Competition + Net Income Program Service Exps Program Service Revs Administrative Efficiency Direct Donations Government Grants Coefficient p-value Coefficient p-value Coefficient p-value Coefficient p-value Coefficient p-value Coefficient p-value -11.697*** 0.000 2.540*** 0.001 -0.785 0.115 -0.114 0.496 1.076*** 0.000 -0.645 0.359 0.025** 0.040 0.075*** 0.000 0.113*** 0.000 0.003 0.840 -3.712*** 0.000 0.338*** 0.002 0.325*** 0.000 0.176*** 0.000 0.533*** 0.000 6.271*** 0.000 0.034*** 0.000 0.051*** 0.000 0.143*** 0.000 -0.006*** 0.005 0.002* 0.097 0.097*** 0.000 -7.934*** 0.000 1.066** 0.046 0.869** 0.014 0.290** 0.029 0.761*** 0.000 2.197*** 0.002 0.164*** 0.000 -0.091*** 0.000 2.394 0.103 -1.187** 0.011 -0.194 0.489 -0.643*** 0.000 0.737*** 0.000 1.579*** 0.003 0.096*** 0.000 -28.480*** 0.000 -1.308 0.275 0.976 0.206 -0.598** 0.031 -0.086 0.505 5.136*** 0.000 -0.047*** 0.000 0.049*** 0.000 -0.273*** 0.000 0.144*** 0.000 0.005 0.263 0.000 0.907 -0.001 0.504 0.001** 0.012 0.822*** 0.000 0.000 0.563 0.000 0.106 0.000 0.488 0.000 0.212 0.000** 0.018 0.000*** 0.007 -0.050*** 0.000 0.429*** 0.000 0.025*** 0.000 -0.055*** 0.008 0.529*** 0.000 0.564*** 0.000 0.286*** 0.000 0.044*** 0.004 -0.449*** 0.000 YES YES 24,190 -0.8825 0.000*** YES YES 24,190 0.0410 0.000*** YES YES 24,190 0.0359 0.000*** YES YES 24,190 0.0732 0.000*** -0.097** 0.012 Industry fixed effects YES YES Year fixed effects YES YES N 24,190 24,190 Adjusted R2 0.0732 0.0126 Model p-value 0.000*** 0.000*** *significant at 10% level, **significant at 5% level, ***significant at 1% level (two-tailed). See Table 1 for variable definitions. 39
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