eftec
Economics for the
Environment
Consultancy
Prague
20th January 2014
Ian Dickie, eftec
Economic Impacts of Management
Options for Šumava National Park
eftec
Comparison of Scenarios
• Current management
vs
• Drafted bill with re-zoning
vs
• Expanded wilderness zone
eftec
Key differences in impacts
• There is a biodiversity-economy win-win possible
• Current management not achieving biological or
economic potential
• Re-zoning and built development has costs that reduce
its benefits:
– new ski tourism at expense of lost nature-tourism
– climate change and obligation to compensate for biodiversity
damage could affect its profitability
• Expanded wilderness zone allows development of
nature tourism
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Location and Distribution of Impacts I
• Re-zoning and development benefits:
–
–
–
–
outside investors
foresters mainly from outside region
temporary construction activity
seasonal employees in skiing.
• Some positive impacts will arise locally, but so will
negative impacts of damage to nature-tourism
eftec
Location and Distribution of Impacts II
• Wilderness expansion: emphasis on range of smallscale local services
• Greater proportion of economic benefit stays within
local area
• Different visitor opportunities at different times of
year
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Potential in Nature-tourism Market
• Nature-tourism market is large, growing, competitive
– Eco-tourism predicted to expand to 25% of global tourism market
by 2020 (from 6% in 2010)
• Sumava’s Wilderness is a unique selling point (USP)
– nature and economic objectives can align around an expanded
wilderness area and expanded tourism activity based on it
– Sumava’s wilderness is attracting increasing numbers of visitors:
access points to current wilderness areas are "full" in NP.
– Increasing visitor access in existing area could damage the USP
– Increase visitor access requires enlarged wilderness area
eftec
Thank you!
[email protected]
www.eftec.co.uk
20th January 2014