EURO4M Météo-France motivations and contributions Teams involved DClim (Direction de la Climatogie) – Service in charge of the climatological data including the database, quality control, monitoring of the climate, climatological products, R&D studies. – P.I : Anne-Laure Gibelin CNRM/GAME (Research department) : WP2.3 – GMAP : Numerical weather prediction group : numerical weather prediction models, assimilation for weather forecast. P.I. : Eric Bazile – GMME : Mesoscale group : Mesoscale meteorology, surface processes, mesocale analysis, surface assimilation. P.I. : Eric Martin, Jean-François Mahfouf Background models/applications Météo-France has a long experience in surface modelling and derived applications Need to upgrade the current near surface variable analyses (coop. NWP consortia) Surface Scheme : ISBA (1989), SURFEX (2003) Snow Schemes : 4 snow shemes of varying complexity in SURFEX (2010), CROCUS (1989) to be included in SURFEX Surface analysis : CANARI (Europe : 2009), SAFRAN (Alps : 1991, France : 2003) Assimilation : Operational screen-level and soil analyses in the global ARPEGE model since 1998 and in the ALADIN-France LAM since 2009 Coupling surface analysis with SVAT for monitoring : Snow model CROCUS for avalanches (1991), ISBA and the hydrological model MODCOU (SIM, 2003), Carbon Fluxes (GMES Geoland project) The CANARI analysis system • • • • • • 2D optimum interpolation scheme Spatialisation of T2m, RH2m, SST and snow depth from surface observations (SYNOP,BUOYS) Background : NWP short-range forecasts (ARPEGE, ALADIN,AROME) Structure functions : homogeneous and isotropic Advantages : robust, cheap and developed within an operational NWP software environment Weaknesses : unrealistic features over montains and near coastlines The analysis system SAFRAN Analysis on « homogenous » zones Explicitely account for altidudinal gradient All conventional observations used, radiative model for radiation terms Structure functions rely on zoning Advantages : altitudinal gradient, all variables to force a surface model Weaknesses : choice of the zones, artificial limits Ébauche ARPEGE between zones, 1200mZmaxi radiation estimates 900m 600m Z mini 300m k=4 k=3 k=2 1000 2000 3000 4000 Précipitations Température Vent Humidité Neige 0 Evolution of the number of obs./day From 1958 to 2008 Nombre d'observations par jour Background / reanalyses and monitoring 50 years reanalyses were made over France (based Precip. on ERA40/SAFRAN). Soil wetness Drought analysis discharge 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2003 : Heat wave (soil wetness) 1976 : Drought (precipitations) Precip. Soil wetness discharge Simulated SWI of 1st of April compared to the climatology Contribution to EURO4M DClim (Direction de la Climatogie) : WP1.1 – Provide regional datasets for the project – Development and improvement of the control procedures to provide additional information about data quality : • Time, spatial, inter parameter consistency • focus on the control of precipitation dataset (rain gauge) by using radars and/or additional data • look at the possibility to apply the same quality control procedures for all datasets in the project – Strong experience in Data Rescue and homogenization activities CNRM/GAME (Research department) : WP2.3 & WP2.4 – Development of a 2D surface analysis sofware based on previous software (SAFRAN, MESAN, CANARI) – coupling with a surface scheme in order to produce derived variables, in particular snow cover, soil moisture, discharge and validations – Validation in France and other areas – Validation on well-instrumented tests sites EURO4M impacts Synergy with other projects – GMES Geoland : land surface monitoring (carbon - coordinated by CNRM/GAME) – SAF/land : contribution of CNRM/GAME to downward solar radiation and snow albedo – SAF/Hydro : contribution of DClim and CNRM/GAME to validations – HyMeX : need 2D surface analysis at the scale of the mediterranean Improved capability of surface monitoring at large scale – Offline applications (snow, soil wetness, fire hasard, …) – NWP (assimilation, improved surface fluxes) – …
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