Mapping Soil Carbon Stocks in the LULUCF Inventory Janet Moxley, Heath Malcolm, Amanda Thomson, Gwen Buys, Peter Levy, Chris Evans THE LULUCF INVENTORY • Required to meet IPCC, EUMM and KP obligations. • Anthropogenic emissions and removals from land use, land use change and forestry 1990 – date. • Projections to 2050 • Methodology set out in international protocols. • Not emissions from agricultural activity • UK, DA and Local Authority level (+ OTs and CDs). • Not spatially explicit at present. INVENTORY CALCULATIONS • • • • • Activity data x emission factor = emission Detail proportionate to emission Tier 1 IPCC default EFs. National scale AD. Tier 2 regional EFs/AD. Tier 3 modelled EFs and emissions. Detailed spatially explicit AD. SOIL CARBON AND LULUCF Sector category Details SOC stock changes from land use change Currently uses land use change matrix - not spatially referenced. Uses average SOC stocks for each land use and exponential trajectory of change. Long times to equilibrium. SOC Stock change from Forest Management Modelled using FR’s CARBINE model. Difficulties with organic soils SOC Stock change from Cropland Management New requirement. Effect of tillage, plant residue returns, manure inputs. SOC Stock change from Grassland Management New requirement. Difficulties assessing effect of intensification on upland Grassland. CO2 emissions from drained agricultural organic soils To date has only included Cropland in England. More complete activity data now available and will include drained Cropland and improved Grassland UK wide. CO2 emissions from peat extraction. On site emissions from drainage. Off site emissions from horticultural peat. (Fuel peat emissions in Energy sector inventory). CO2 from liming cropland and grassland Uses agricultural lime sales volume. CO2 from carbonate applied. Now reported by Agricultural sector. CO2 and CH4 from wetland drainage and rewetting New requirement. IPCC Wetland Supplement Guidance, but EFs may not be suitable for UK (especially blanket bog), and gaps in activity data. VECTOR APPROACH TO LUC • Time series of areas Time Area Forest Grass 50 40 20 10 1 2 3 4 Crop 0 10 20 20 50 50 60 70 • Matrix From Forest 0 0 0 Grass 10 20 20 Grass To Forest Crop Crop 0 0 50 • Vectors Time 1 2 3 4 1 g g g g 2 c c c c Land use vector 3 g f f f 4 g g f f 5 g g c c 6 g g g c Area 10.0 50.0 10.0 10.0 10.0 10 Spatially-explicit Land Use Change Corine, IACS & FC data Corine Forest cover All data rasterised on a common 100-m OS grid. IACS agricultural data CORINE LAND COVER MAPS 1990 2000 3740000 Cells changed 1990 to 2000 Cells changed 2000 to 2006 3720000 1.0 3700000 0.8 0.6 3680000 0.4 3660000 0.2 0.0 3460000 3480000 3500000 3520000 3540000 2006 100 x 100 km square. 100 m resolution. CORINE LAND USE VECTORS 1990 Top 20 vectors by area Land_cover_in_1990 Pastures Non-irrigated arable land Sea and ocean Natural grasslands Moors and heathland Coniferous forest Pastures Pastures Moors and heathland Discontinuous urban fabric Non-irrigated arable land Complex cultivation patterns Natural grasslands Complex cultivation patterns Coniferous forest Sport and leisure facilities Pastures Land principally occupied by agriculture, with significant areas of natural vegetation Transitional woodland-shrub Broad-leaved forest Pastures 2000 Land_cover_in_2000 Pastures Non-irrigated arable land Sea and ocean Natural grasslands Moors and heathland Coniferous forest Pastures Pastures Moors and heathland Discontinuous urban fabric Non-irrigated arable land Complex cultivation patterns Natural grasslands Complex cultivation patterns Coniferous forest Sport and leisure facilities Pastures Land principally occupied by agriculture, with significant areas of natural vegetation Coniferous forest Broad-leaved forest Pastures 2006 Land_cover_in_2006 Pastures Non-irrigated arable land Sea and ocean Natural grasslands Moors and heathland Coniferous forest Natural grasslands Non-irrigated arable land Natural grasslands Discontinuous urban fabric Pastures Pastures Moors and heathland Non-irrigated arable land Transitional woodland-shrub Sport and leisure facilities Moors and heathland Pastures Coniferous forest Broad-leaved forest Coniferous forest area_km2 1288 1274 1012 744 618 556 501 381 350 305 227 220 211 149 147 94 91 74 59 55 54 (total = 10,000 km2) USE OF LPIS TO ASSESS CL-GL ROTATIONS England Wales CA = Crop Annual, CP = Crop Perennial, F = Forest, FPP = Forest - previously Pasture, GNK = Grass Not Known, GP = Grass Permanent, GT = Grass Temporary and O = Other USE OF IACS LPIS TO ASSESS CL-GL ROTATIONS Actual land use change as proportion of a 1 km square Areas where no change constitutes >75% of a 1 km square WETLAND DRAINAGE AND REWETTING • New requirement to map drainage and rewetting. • ADAS have assessed extent of wetland (histosol) drainage for Cropland and improved Grassland by overlaying LCM and IACS data with soil maps. • Need to map drainage of unimproved “Grassland”. CURRENT ISSUES • • • • Inconsistent data. Non-existent data. Access to data. Deciding what is needed - understanding processes. What data is needed and at what scale? • Communication between researchers. • Computing capacity. • Excessive confidence in mapped data. IMPROVEMENTS FOR THE FUTURE • Vector Approach to report land use change (based upon CORINE and IACS data) • Improved spatial referencing (IACS, CORINE and other datasets) • Inclusion of Wetland Supplement Activity – peatland drainage and restoration • Remote-Sensing potential applications • Soil properties –better consideration of properties such as moisture, carbon and pH • Overlaying with other data – e.g climate, relief. HAPPY WORLD SOILS DAY! THANK YOU FOR LISTENING!
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