Marine Chemistry 75 Ž2001. 17–32 www.elsevier.nlrlocatermarchem Seasonal variation in total inorganic carbon and its controlling processes in surface waters of the western North Pacific subtropical gyre Masao Ishii a,) , Hisayuki Y. Inoue a , Hidekazu Matsueda a , Shu Saito a , Katsuhiko Fushimi a , Kazuhiro Nemoto a , Toshihiko Yano b, Hideki Nagai b, Takashi Midorikawa b,1 a Geochemical Research Department, Meteorological Research Institute, 1-1 Nagamine, Tsukuba, Ibaraki 305-0052, Japan b Climate and Marine Department, Japan Meteorological Agency, Tokyo 100-8122, Japan Received 15 June 2000; received in revised form 28 February 2001; accepted 7 March 2001 Abstract Seasonal variation in total inorganic carbon ŽTCO 2 . in surface waters of the western North Pacific Ž1378–1528E. subtropical gyre was analyzed on the basis of measurements of TCO 2 and partial pressure of CO 2 Ž pCO 2 sw.. The controlling processes including vertical mixing, horizontal advection, and net air–sea CO 2 transport, as well as biological activity, were quantified. The seasonal increase in normalized TCO 2 ŽNTCO 2 . from autumn to winter, ranging from 19 to 37 mmol kgy1 in the northern part of the subtropical gyre between 248N and 308N, was predominantly accounted for by the upward supply of TCO 2 due to enhanced vertical mixing. The contribution of horizontal advection, estimated from monthly meridional NTCO 2 distributions and the monthly advection field of the Meteorological Research Institute ŽMRI.’s 3D-ocean general circulation model, was insignificant. Analyses of the mixed-layer NTCO 2 budget revealed that biological activity was playing an important role in the decrease in surface NTCO 2 from winter to summer. Annual net community production reached 48 " 19 gC my2 between 248N and 308N, and 19 " 16 gC my2 between 158N and 238N. q 2001 Elsevier Science B.V. All rights reserved. Keywords: Total inorganic carbon; North Pacific subtropical gyre; Seasonal variability; Net community production 1. Introduction Carbon dioxide ŽCO 2 . in the atmosphere is closely linked to the CO 2 in the ocean, and the ocean has ) Corresponding author. Tel.: q81-298-53-8727; fax: q81-29853-8728. E-mail address: [email protected] ŽM. Ishii.. 1 Present address: Hakodate Marine Observatory, Hakodate 041-0806, Japan. been widely regarded as an important sink for anthropogenic CO 2 Že.g. Takahashi et al., 1997; Rayner et al., 1999.. A long-term increase in the CO 2 partial pressure in surface seawater Ž pCO 2 sw. has been observed in winter along the 1378E meridian in the western North Pacific subtropical gyre; its growth rate since 1984 between 158N and 308N is 1.8 " 0.6 matm yeary1 , which is similar to the growth rate of the atmospheric CO 2 concentration ŽInoue et al., 1995.. 0304-4203r01r$ - see front matter q 2001 Elsevier Science B.V. All rights reserved. PII: S 0 3 0 4 - 4 2 0 3 Ž 0 1 . 0 0 0 2 3 - 8 18 M. Ishii et al.r Marine Chemistry 75 (2001) 17–32 Large seasonal variability of pCO 2 sw has also been documented for this region ŽInoue et al., 1987, 1995; Inoue and Sugimura, 1988; Murata and Fushimi, 1996; Murata et al., 1998.. In winter, pCO 2 sw is lower than CO 2 partial pressure in marine boundary air Ž pCO 2 air. over the western North Pacific subtropical gyre; D pCO 2 Žs pCO 2 sw y pCO 2 air. reaches approximately y60 matm between 258N and the Kuroshio Ž; 348N.. However, D pCO 2 ranges from 0 to 50 matm and exhibits large spatial variability in summer. Therefore, with seasonal variability in mean wind speed taken into account, it has been thought that the western North Pacific subtropical gyre acts as a strong CO 2 sink in winter Ž; y16 mmol my2 dayy1 . and a moderate source in summer Ž; 4 mmol my2 dayy1 .. The pCO 2 sw varies as a function of temperature, salinity, total inorganic carbon ŽTCO 2 . and alkalinity. The large seasonal variation in sea-surface temperature ŽSST., from about 198C in winter to about 308C in summer, is an important factor in the large seasonal variation in pCO 2 sw in this region. However, the amplitude of seasonal variation in pCO 2 sw Žca. 100 matm. is no more than 70% of that calculated from the pCO 2 sw–temperature relationship under conditions of constant salinity, TCO 2 and total alkalinity ŽTA. Žthermodynamic temperature effect: about 4.2% increase in pCO 2 sw per 18C.. Consequently, it has been deduced that the variation in TCO 2 andror TA also has a significant effect on the seasonal pCO 2 sw variation in this region ŽInoue et al., 1995.. A significant contribution of variation in TCO 2 andror TA to the seasonal variation in pCO 2 sw in the subtropics has also been suggested for the southwestern Indian Ocean ŽGoyet et al., 1991; Poisson et al., 1993; Metzl et al., 1998. and for other regions in the Pacific Ocean ŽStephens et al., 1995; Wong et al., 1995; Landrum et al., 1996. from the apparent pCO 2 sw–SST relationships. Large seasonal variations in TCO 2 in the upper water columns of the subtropics have been observed at ocean time-series stations in the northwestern Sargasso Sea off Bermuda ŽKeeling, 1993; Michaels et al., 1994; Bates et al., 1996. and in the central North Pacific off Hawaii ŽWinn et al., 1994, 1998.. In contrast, seasonal TCO 2 variation in the subtropics was suggested to be insignificant in the tropical limbs of the subtropical gyre in the central North and South Pacific ŽWeiss et al., 1982.. It is important that we characterize the spatial and temporal variation in oceanic CO 2 parameters and their controlling processes in all the oceans in order to evaluate the present status of net air–sea CO 2 transport and related phenomena in the carbon cycle, as well as to enable prediction of future changes in response to anthropogenic perturbations and climate change. Seasonal and interannual dynamics of CO 2 parameters including TCO 2 have, however, been documented only for limited regions of the global oceans; the processes controlling pCO 2 sw variation in the vast subtropics have yet to be understood. We measured TCO 2 and pCO 2 sw, along with hydrographic properties, in surface waters of the western North Pacific subtropical gyre Ž1378–1528E. between the equatorial region and the Kuroshio Ž; 348N. during five cruises conducted between July 1994 and October 1997. In this paper, we report our results on the meridional distribution and seasonal variations of these parameters of CO 2 chemistry in surface waters. We then analyze the monthly distribution of surface NTCO 2 between 158N and 308N along 1378E by coupling the observational results with the empirical relationships between pCO 2 sw and SST given by Inoue et al. Ž1995. and data sets of monthly SST and sea-surface salinity. The roles of vertical mixing, horizontal advection, air–sea CO 2 transport, and biological activity on the seasonal variation in surface NTCO 2 are also quantified on the basis of a simple transport model and a calculated budget of monthly NTCO 2 changes. Our study provides an overview of seasonal variation in surface NTCO 2 and the controlling processes that have a significant effect on the seasonal variation in pCO 2 sw in the western North Pacific subtropical gyre. 2. Methods We measured surface pCO 2 sw and TCO 2 along transects in the western North Pacific once in summer, twice in autumn, and twice in winter ŽFig. 1.. Cruises RY9407 Žwhich was identified as the WOCE section P9 one-time cruise ŽKaneko et al., 1998.., M. Ishii et al.r Marine Chemistry 75 (2001) 17–32 Fig. 1. Map of sampling sites for total inorganic carbon in surface seawater along the transects of RY9407 ŽJuly 9 to August 18, 1994. Ž`., KH-94-4 southbound leg ŽNovember 24–28, 1994. Ž'., KH-94-4 northbound leg ŽFebruary 6–12, 1995. Žq., RY9701 ŽJanuary 24 to February 1, 1997. ŽI., and RY9709 ŽOctober 20–31, 1997. Žl.. Approximate positions of the major oceanic currents are superposed, but they vary with time. STCC: subtropical countercurrent; NEC: north equatorial current; NECC: north equatorial countercurrent. RY9701, and RY9709 were conducted aboard the Japan Meteorological Agency’s RrV Ryofu-maru, and cruise KH-94-4 was made aboard the University of Tokyo’s RrV Hakuho-maru. Underway pCO 2 sw measurements were made using a showerhead-type equilibrator and non-dispersive infrared gas analyzer described by Inoue and Sugimura Ž1992. and Inoue Ž1999.. TCO 2 was measured by coulometric analysis ŽJohnson et al., 1985, 1987. using an automated CO 2 extraction unit ŽIshii et al., 1998. and a coulometer Žmodel 5012, UIC, USA.. For quality control, we used the Certified Reference Material ŽCRM. for TCO 2 analysis Žbatches 20, 25, 35. provided by Dr. A.G. Dickson 19 of Scripps Institution of Oceanography and a reference material we prepared from a batch of western North Pacific oligotrophic water by a similar method to that of Dickson Ž1991.. Precision Ž"1s . of analysis was estimated to be "1.1 mmol kgy1 in RY9407, "2.5 mmol kgy1 in KH-94-4, "1.6 mmol kgy1 in RY9701, and "1.0 mmol kgy1 in RY9709. Differences in our analytical results for the CRMs from their certified values were y0.7 " 1.4 Ž1 s . mmol kgy1 during these cruises. During cruises RY9407, RY9701 and RY9709 of RrV Ryofu-maru, surface seawater was pumped up continuously from the bottom of the ship Ž; 5 m depth. and analyzed hourly for pCO 2 sw. In RY9407 and RY9701, discrete samples for TCO 2 analysis were taken from Niskin bottles on a CTDrrosette sampler together with samples for the analysis of salinity and other dissolved components such as nutrients, and were analyzed on board immediately. In RY9407, a vertical profile of TCO 2 was also obtained at each hydrographic station. In RY9709, samples for TCO 2 analysis were taken from the seawater pumped up continuously from the bottom of the ship. They were poisoned with mercuryŽII. chloride and analyzed after the cruise in the laboratory on land. In cruise KH-94-4 of RrV Hakuhomaru, surface seawater pumped up continuously from the bottom of the ship Ž; 5 m depth. was used for the underway concurrent analyses of pCO 2 sw and TCO 2 , which were made twice every 1.5 h, and for SST and salinity measurements that were recorded at 1-min intervals. We calculated TA in surface seawater from pCO 2 sw, TCO 2 , temperature and salinity using the solubility of CO 2 in seawater given by Weiss Ž1974., dissociation constants of carbonic acid given by Roy et al. Ž1993. and equilibrium constants for other acids and bases recommended in DOE Ž1994.. 3. Results 3.1. Meridional distribution and seasonal Õariation in NTCO2 Analytical results of TCO 2 and calculated values of TA were normalized to a constant salinity Ž S s 35. 20 M. Ishii et al.r Marine Chemistry 75 (2001) 17–32 in order to remove the influence of variation in precipitationrevaporation. Figs. 2 and 3 show the summer–autumn and winter meridional distribution of NTCO 2 , pCO 2 sw, NTA, temperature, and salinity in surface waters. In summer ŽJuly–August 1994., surface NTCO 2 decreased gradually from 1945 mmol kgy1 at the northern edge of the north equatorial countercurrent around 58N down to 1932 mmol kgy1 at 178N, and then began to increase northward up to 1960 mmol kgy1 at 308N ŽFig. 2Ža... Surface NTCO 2 in the stream of the Kuroshio at 32.88N Ž1945 mmol kgy1 . was distinctly lower than that at 308N. In winter ŽFebruary 1995., surface NTCO 2 again decreased gradually from 1960 mmol kgy1 at the northern edge of the NECC at around 58N down to 1945 mmol kgy1 at 158N ŽFig. 3Ža... Between 158N and 208N, surface NTCO 2 was fairly constant, but Fig. 2. Summer and autumn distributions in surface seawater of the western North Pacific of Ža. total inorganic carbon normalized at S s 35 ŽNTCO 2 .; Žb. partial pressure of CO 2 Ž pCO 2 sw.; Žc. total alkalinity normalized at S s 35 ŽNTA.; Žd. temperature; and Že. salinity. Symbols denote sampling sites shown in Fig. 1. M. Ishii et al.r Marine Chemistry 75 (2001) 17–32 21 Fig. 2 Ž continued .. increased sharply northward from 208N to reach 1995 mmol kgy1 at around 308N immediately to south of the Kuroshio. The meridional distribution of surface NTCO 2 in early February 1995 was in agreement with that in late January 1997, within the uncertainty of the analysis and in spite of their differences in longitude, salinity, and year of sampling. The only exception was at 108N where a large negative temperature anomaly was observed in January 1997 at depths shallower than 100 m due to a cyclonic eddy caused by a stationary tropical cyclone ŽJMA, 1997.. There was a significant seasonal variation in the distribution of surface NTCO 2 . In the southern part of the subtropical gyre between 78N and 208N where a northward gradual decrease was observed, surface NTCO 2 in winter was approximately 10 mmol kgy1 higher than that in summer ŽTable 1.. In the northern part of the gyre where a northward increase was observed, surface NTCO 2 in winter was also higher than that in summer and their difference became larger in higher latitudes Žapproximately 30 mmol kgy1 at 308N.. In autumns ŽNovember 1994 and October 1997., surface NTCO 2 was comparable to values in summer or between those in summer and in winter. The zone of the surface NTCO 2 minimum observed to be around 158N in winter, moved a few degrees north in summer. 3.2. Meridional distribution and seasonal Õariation in pCO2 sw and NTA In summer ŽJuly–August 1994., pCO 2 sw was comparable to pCO 2 air in the southern part of the subtropical gyre south of 208N, and was significantly higher than pCO 2 air north of 208N ŽFig. 2Žb... The D pCO 2 reached its maximum of 53 matm at around 278N. Between 208N and 278N, pCO 2 sw had a tendency to increase northward with increasing surface NTCO 2 . However, pCO 2 sw decreased with decreasing SST between 278N and 308N. In winter Žin February 1995 and in January 1997., pCO 2 sw was comparable to pCO 2 air south of 128N ŽFig. 3Žb... At the north of 128N, pCO 2 sw decreased 22 M. Ishii et al.r Marine Chemistry 75 (2001) 17–32 gradually toward the north with decreasing SST. The D pCO 2 at around 308N immediately south of the Kuroshio was largely negative Žy40 to y65 matm., indicating a remarkable CO 2-undersaturation of surface water, in spite of the highest surface NTCO 2 . These results are consistent with previous reports ŽInoue et al., 1987, 1995; Murata and Fushimi, 1996. that have demonstrated the significant seasonal vari- ability in pCO 2 sw in the western North Pacific subtropical gyre. In contrast with the distinct variation in surface NTCO 2 and pCO 2 sw, spatial and temporal variation in surface NTA was small and within the uncertainty of the analysis Žsee Table 1, Figs. 2Žc. and 3Žc... The uniformity of surface NTA in the subtropics has been reported by Millero et al. Ž1998. on the basis of Fig. 3. Winter distributions in surface seawater of the western North Pacific of: Ža. total inorganic carbon normalized at S s 35 ŽNTCO 2 .; Žb. partial pressure of CO 2 Ž pCO 2 sw.; Žc. total alkalinity normalized at S s 35 ŽNTA.; Žd. temperature; and Že. salinity. Symbols denote sampling sites shown in Fig. 1. M. Ishii et al.r Marine Chemistry 75 (2001) 17–32 23 Fig. 3 Ž continued .. their worldwide determinations by titration. The NTA we calculated from TCO 2 and pCO 2 sw Ž2316 meq kgy1 on average. was larger than that reported by Millero et al. Ž1998. Ž2300 meq kgy1 .. The reason for this discrepancy is not clear. Since the TArTCO 2 ratio in surface water of the western North Pacific subtropical gyre is large Ž1.17–1.20., this discrepancy might be due to uncertainty in the dissociation constants of carbonic acid used for the calculation ŽLee et al., 1997.. Table 1 Averages of salinity-normalized Žat S s 35. total inorganic carbon ŽNTCO 2 . and total alkalinity ŽNTA. and partial pressure of CO 2 in surface waters of the southern part and northern part of the western North Pacific subtropical gyre; mean " 1 s Žnumber of measurements. Cruise Month Year NTCO 2 Žmmol kgy1 . NTA Žmeq kgy1 . pCO 2 sw Žmatm. 7–208N 24–308N 7–208N 24–308N 7–208N 24–308N 1955 " 8 Ž3. 2322 " 4 Ž3. 2316 Ž1. 350.4 " 5.5 Ž154. 341.9 " 11.1 Ž74. 344.4 " 3.0 Ž51. 380.1 " 8.6 Ž69. 332.4 " 5.8 Ž36. 336.3 " 9.7 Ž26. 2312 " 6 Ž26. 2315 " 0 Ž2. 335.2 " 9.3 Ž78. 333.4 " 13.0 Ž85. 308.1 " 3.6 Ž31. 300.7 " 2.6 Ž41. Summer and autumn RY9407 July–Aug KH-94-4 Nov RY9709 Oct 1994 1994 1997 1937 " 4 Ž7. 1939 " 4 Ž53. 1940 " 2 Ž6. 1954 Ž1. 2318 " 3 Ž7. 2316 " 4 Ž26. 2319 " 2 Ž6. Winter KH-94-4 RY9701 1995 1997 1948 " 3 Ž60. 1949 " 8 Ž3. 1978 " 11 Ž26. 1973 " 13 Ž2. 2317 " 4 Ž60. 2313 " 1 Ž3. Feb Jan–Feb 24 M. Ishii et al.r Marine Chemistry 75 (2001) 17–32 4. Discussion expressed as a function of surface NTCO 2 at time t and the change in NTCO 2 : 4.1. Effects of seasonal Õariation in SST and surface NTCO2 on pCO2 sw NTCO 2 Ž t q 1 . s NTCO 2 Ž t . q DNTCO 2 Ž t . As presented in Section 3.2, variation in surface NTA was small in the western North Pacific subtropical gyre. Therefore, spatial and seasonal variation in pCO 2 sw in this basin was basically attributable to the combined effect of the variations in SST and surface NTCO 2 , and somewhat to variation in salinity. As surface NTCO 2 was lower in summer than in winter, the effect of seasonal NTCO 2 variation on pCO 2 sw counteracted the thermodynamic effect of seasonal SST variation. In the southern part of the subtropical gyre between 78N and 208N, the difference in SST between summer and winter was 3.5 " 1.58C and that in surface NTCO 2 was 13 " 6 mmol kgy1 . Computation of CO 2 chemistry for these changes shows that the effect of seasonal variation in SST was significant, but about 50% of the variation was compensated for by that in surface NTCO 2 . In the northern part of the gyre between 208N and 308N, the difference in surface NTCO 2 and SST between summer and winter was 25 " 13 mmol kgy1 and 8.5 " 3.58C, respectively. In this region, compensation for pCO 2 sw variation due to the thermodynamic effect of SST variation by variation in surface NTCO 2 was 30% on average. It is evident from these estimations that the variation in surface NTCO 2 , as well as the variation in SST, is an important factor in the seasonal variation in pCO 2 sw, hence for the net air–sea CO 2 flux, in the western North Pacific subtropical gyre. AD V DNTCO 2 Ž t . s DNTCOVM Ž t. 2 Ž t . q DNTCO 2 4.2. Processes controlling the seasonal Õariation in surface NTCO2 Temporal variation in surface NTCO 2 at a given site in the subtropics is potentially attributable to the following four factors: NTCO 2 change due to physical dynamics of the upper layer of the ocean such as . and horizontal advecvertical mixing Ž DNTCOVM 2 AD V . Ž tion DNTCO 2 , NTCO 2 change due to net CO 2 transport across the air–sea interface Ž DNTCO 2AS ., and NTCO 2 change due to biological activity Ž DNTCO 2BIO .. Surface NTCO 2 at time t q 1 can be Ž 1. where q DNTCO 2AS Ž t . q DNTCO 2BIO Ž t . Ž 2. In the following subsections, we present the monthly distribution of surface NTCO 2 along 1378E as deduced from the results of the observations and climatological data sets. We then discuss the importance of each component in Eq. Ž2. for the seasonal variation in surface NTCO 2 . 4.2.1. Monthly meridional distribution of surface NTCO2 along 1378E Our observations of surface NTCO 2 in the western North Pacific subtropical gyre, made five times in different months between 1994 and 1997 ŽFigs. 2Ža. and 3Ža.., are insufficient to discuss the processes controlling its seasonal variation. Therefore, we attempted to deduce the monthly distribution of surface NTCO 2 by combining the results of the observations with climatological data sets. First, we evaluated pCO 2 sw at each 18 latitude along 1378E for each month from monthly SST data ŽJMA, 1993. and the empirical relationships between pCO 2 sw normalized at the year 1990 and SST ŽTable 3 in Inoue et al., 1995.. The calculation was made for the zones between 148N and 318N where the correlation coefficients for pCO 2 sw vs. SST were larger than 0.9. The monthly meridional distributions of pCO 2 sw along 1378E obtained were then translated into monthly meridional distributions of surface NTCO 2 in the unit of mmol kgy1 on the assumption, derived from the observations, that surface NTA remains constant Ž2316 meq kgy1 . over time and space. Normals of the monthly SST ŽJMA, 1993., monthly sea surface salinity ŽWOD, 1998., and equilibrium constants for CO 2 solubility ŽWeiss, 1974. and for the carbonate system in seawater ŽRoy et al., 1993. were also used for the calculations. The computed monthly surface NTCO 2 distribution ŽFig. 4. was consistent with the observed surface M. Ishii et al.r Marine Chemistry 75 (2001) 17–32 25 in the formation of the Subtropical Mode Water ŽMasuzawa, 1969; Suga and Hanawa, 1990.. Therefore, surface NTCO 2 would be affected by the entrainment of subsurface water in the course of deepening of the mixed layer. We estimated the contribution of vertical mixing to the variation in . with a simple entrainsurface NTCO 2 Ž DNTCOVM 2 ment model ŽFig. 5.. DNTCOVM in the unit of mmol 2 kgy1 monthy1 between two successive months t and t q 1 is expressed as DNTCOVM 2 Ž t. s Fig. 4. Seasonal variation in the computed surface NTCO 2 Žmmol kgy1 . in the western North Pacific subtropical gyre along 1378E. Hz z MLŽ tq1 . MLŽ t . NTCO2 Ž July, z . r Ž July, z . yNTCO 2 Ž t , ML . r ML Ž t . 4 d zrz ML Ž t q 1 . NTCO 2 ŽFigs. 2Ža. and 3Ža.. and reproduced the observational results that Ž1. the meridional gradient was larger in winter, reaching ca. 50 mmol kgy1 between 178N and 308N in February; Ž2. there was larger seasonal variation in higher latitudes, with an amplitude reaching ca. 35 mmol kgy1 at 308N; and Ž3. a shallow trough was present between 158N and 208N in February, which moved northward in summer. The computed values for the meridional gradient between 208N and 308N in summer Ž20 mmol kgy1 . and for the amplitude of seasonal variation between 158N and 188N Ž3 to 5 mmol kgy1 . were somewhat smaller than the observational values. These discrepancies may be explained by error in the computed NTCO 2 Ž"5 mmol kgy1 . due to error in the regression analysis of pCO 2 sw on SST and potentially by the interannual variability in surface NTCO 2 . In addition, the computed surface values of NTCO 2 shown in Fig. 4 were 2–15 mmol kgy1 lower than those observed during 1994–1997 Žsee Figs. 2Ža. and 3Ža... Since the empirical relationships between pCO 2 sw and SST were determined on the basis of the pCO 2 sw values normalized to the year 1990 by correcting for the increasing trend of pCO 2 sw, the offset in the computed surface NTCO 2 is a reflection of the increasing trend of pCO 2 sw. 4.2.2. Vertical mixing The northwestern part of the North Pacific subtropical gyre has a deep mixed layer in winter due to the strong East-Asian monsoon and it results rr ML Ž t q 1 . Ž 3. where z ML Ž t . and z MLŽ t q 1. are the depths of the mixed layer at month t and at month t q 1, respectively; NTCO 2 ŽJuly, z . and r ŽJuly, z . are the NTCO 2 in mmol kgy1 and the density of seawater in Fig. 5. A schematic representation of the one-dimensional entrainment model. The depth of the mixed layer z ML varies according to the climatological data Žsee text.. At a depth below the mixed layer, the NTCO 2 in July was assumed to be maintained until the depth became incorporated into the mixed layer in the following months. When the mixed layer deepens, subsurface water between the base of the mixed layer at month t Ž z ML Ž t .. and the base of the deepened mixed layer at month t q1 Ž z ML Ž t q1.. Žshaded area., which is richer in NTCO 2 , is incorporated into the mixed layer. 26 M. Ishii et al.r Marine Chemistry 75 (2001) 17–32 kg my3 at a depth z in July, NTCO 2 Ž t, ML. and r ML Ž t . are those in the mixed layer at month t; and r ML Ž t q 1. is the density of seawater in the mixed layer at month t q 1. During months when the depth of the mixed layer is unchanged or becomes shallower, DNTCOVM was assumed to be negligible. 2 Monthly variation in the mixed layer depth was taken from Hanawa and Hoshino Ž1988., Suga and Hanawa Ž1990., and Fukasawa Žprivate communication. Žthese comprise the same data set shown in ŽFig. 9 in Inoue et al., 1995.. The vertical profile of NTCO 2 in July at each 18 latitude was evaluated from the vertical temperature profile along 1378E in July from climatological data ŽJMA, unpublished data. and the relationship between NTCO 2 and temperature, which was derived from the observations in July 1994 during cruise RY9407 ŽWOCE P9. ŽFig. 6.. along 1378E The monthly variation in DNTCOVM 2 is shown in Fig. 7Ža.. From February through Au- Fig. 6. Vertical sections of Ža. temperature Ž8C. and Žb. NTCO 2 Žmmol kgy1 . in the top 300 m along WOCE P9 observed during July 19 to August 18, 1994. M. Ishii et al.r Marine Chemistry 75 (2001) 17–32 27 Fig. 7. Seasonal variation in DNTCO 2 Žmmol kgy1 monthy1 . in the western North Pacific subtropical gyre along 1378E due to Ža. vertical mixing, Žb. horizontal advection, Žc. air–sea CO 2 transport, and Žd. biological activity. 28 M. Ishii et al.r Marine Chemistry 75 (2001) 17–32 gust, DNTCOVM was mostly set at zero because the 2 depth of the mixed layer is unchanged or becomes shallower. However, from September through January when the mixed layer deepens, there were significant contributions of DNTCOVM in the north2 ern part of the subtropics. Between 248N and 308N where the thickness of the mixed layer is 30 m in mid-summer but deeper than 140 m in mid-winter, the total DNTCOVM from September through Jan2 uary was estimated to average 31 " 6 mmol kgy1 . The uncertainty was estimated by changing the depth of the mixed layer by "5 m, i.e. the resolution of the mixed layer depth in the climatological data. 4.2.3. Horizontal adÕection Since the contours of monthly SST are almost parallel to longitude and pCO 2 sw distributions show little longitudinal variation ŽInoue et al., 1995; Murata and Fushimi, 1996. in the northern part of the western North Pacific subtropical gyre, we assumed that surface NTCO 2 was also longitudinally uniform and considered only the meridional component of the horizontal advection. Temporal variation in surface NTCO 2 due to horizontal advection at month t Ž DNTCO 2AD V Ž t .. is expressed by the product of horizontal advection velocity Ž Õ Ž t .. in the unit of m monthy1 and the meridional gradient of surface NTCO 2 ŽENTCO 2rE y . t in mmol kgy1 my1 : DNTCO 2AD V Ž t . s yÕ Ž t . Ž ENTCO 2rE y . t Ž 4. The meridional component of the velocity for horizontal advection Õ Ž t . was taken from the monthly advection field of the Meteorological Research Institute’s 3D-ocean general circulation model ŽObata, submitted for publication. and averaged over the mixed layer depth. In this model, advection in the surface layers is basically the Ekman flow constrained by the monthly wind stress given by Hellerman and Rosenstein Ž1983.. The meridional gradient of surface NTCO 2 at each latitude was derived from the monthly distributions of surface NTCO 2 Žsee Fig. 4. for the zones between 158N and 308N. In the surface layer Ž0–2.8 m., the meridional component of the Ekman flow often exceeds 0.1 m sy1 and has significant effect on horizontal transport of the surface water in the northern part of this region. However, the thickness of the Ekman boundary layer is confined to the top ca. 20 m, and when the lateral flow including geostrophic flow was averaged over the mixed layer, its meridional component was usually smaller than 0.05 m sy1 . Consequently, estimates of DNTCO 2AD V Ž t . exceeded "3 mmol kgy1 monthy1 only at the northern limb of the gyre; usually horizontal advection had a minor effect on the seasonal variation in NTCO 2 ŽFig. 7Žb... 4.2.4. Air–sea CO2 exchange The western North Pacific subtropical gyre has been well studied with regard to pCO 2 sw and pCO 2 air. The net CO 2 flux across the air–sea interface Ž FCO 2Ž t .. has been estimated on a monthly basis using the gas transfer coefficient given by Tans et al. Ž1990. and climatological wind data ŽInoue et al., 1995.. We computed the change in NTCO 2 due to air–sea CO 2 exchange Ž DNTCO 2AS Ž t . in the unit of mmol kgy1 monthy1 . from FCO 2Ž t . Žin mmol my2 monthy1 ., mixed layer depth z ML Ž t ., and density in the mixed layer r ML Ž t .: DNTCO 2AS Ž t . s FCO 2Ž t . rz ML Ž t . rr ML Ž t . Ž 5. Uncertainty in these estimates would primarily arise from the uncertainty in the gas exchange coefficient for the calculation of FCO 2Ž t ., which was assumed arbitrarily to be 50%. Estimates of DNTCO 2AS Ž t . ranged between y4 and q6 mmol kgy1 monthy1 ŽFig. 7Žc... In summer, the northwestern part of the North Pacific subtropical gyre is a moderate source of atmospheric CO 2 Žsee Fig. 2Žb.., hence DNTCO 2AS Ž t . is negative. In contrast, it becomes a significant sink for CO 2 in winter and spring Žsee Fig. 3Žb... Therefore, DNTCO 2AS Ž t . becomes positive and opposes to the decreasing tendency of surface NTCO 2 in these seasons. 4.2.5. Biological actiÕity The contribution of biological activity to the monthly changes in surface NTCO 2 Ž DNTCO 2BIO Ž t . in the unit of mmol kgy1 monthy1 . was estimated by balancing the DNTCO 2 Ž t . budget for each month ŽFig. 7Žd..: DNTCO 2BIO Ž t . s DNTCO 2 Ž t . y Ž DNTCOVM 2 Ž t. qDNTCO 2AD V Ž t . q DNTCO 2AS Ž t . . Ž 6. M. Ishii et al.r Marine Chemistry 75 (2001) 17–32 Subsequently, monthly net community production ŽNCPŽ t . in the unit of molC my2 or gC my2 . in the mixed layer was computed by integrating DNTCO 2BIO Ž t . over the mixed layer: NCP Ž t . s DNTCO 2BIO Ž t . z ML Ž t . r ML Ž t . Ž 7. Although the NCP thus evaluated is subject to large uncertainty, the northwestern North Pacific subtropical gyre is shown to be productive from winter to spring ŽFig. 8.. The pattern of temporal and spatial variation in NCP is fairly consistent with that of chlorophyll derived from satellite imagery such as CZCS and SeaWiFS, which shows higher levels of chlorophyll Ž) 0.1 mg my3 . to the north of 258N from November through April than in other months ŽIshizaka, 1993.. The mean annual NCP, which should be equivalent to the mean net annual production of organic matter, showed a significant meridional variation, i.e. 48 " 19 gC my2 yeary1 between 248N and 308N and 19 " 16 gC my2 yeary1 between 158N and 238N ŽTable 2.. More than 90% of the production occurs during the 6 months from November through April. The mean annual NCP between 158N and 308N was 32 " 17 gC my2 yeary1 , comparable to the net annual production of organic matter in the upper 100 m of the ocean at station ALOHA near Hawaii Ž19 " 11 to 32 " 20 gC my2 yeary1 ; Emerson et al., 1997.. This study agrees to their conclusion that the organic carbon flux in the subtropical ocean has been underestimated, and may be responsible for a signifi- Fig. 8. Seasonal variation in net community production ŽgC my2 monthy1 . in the mixed layer in the western North Pacific subtropical gyre along 1378E. 29 Table 2 Net community production in the mixed layer and net primary production in the western North Pacific subtropical gyre along 1378E Latitude Net community production ŽgC my2 . Net primary productiona ŽgC my2 . Nov–April May–Oct Annual Annual 24–308N 44"17 15–238N 19"14 15–308N 30"15 a 4"6 0"8 2"7 48"19 109 19"16 59 32"17 Longhurst et al., 1995. cant part of the global-ocean biological organic carbon pump. 4.2.6. Importance of each process to the seasonal Õariation in surface NTCO2 The contributions of vertical mixing, horizontal advection, air–sea CO 2 transport and biological activity to the seasonal decrease in surface NTCO 2 from February to August and to its seasonal increase from September to January are summarized in Table 3. Values listed in Table 3 are the means for the zone between 248N and 308N, where the largest seasonal variation in surface NTCO 2 was observed. One development in this study is the description of variability in the meridional distribution and its use for estimating the effect of horizontal advection. However, as long as the mixed-layer-averaged advection field from the 3D-ocean general circulation model is used, its effect on seasonal NTCO 2 variation is minor. The decrease in surface NTCO 2 Žy25 " 5 mmol kgy1 . from winter to summer could be partitioned basically into net CO 2 transport from the atmosphere Ž13 " 7 mmol kgy1 . and biological production Žy35 " 15 mmol kgy1 .. Although net CO 2 transport from the atmosphere to the ocean is mainly attributable to the effect of temperature on the solubility of CO 2 , this result suggests that biological production is playing an important role in reducing CO 2 emission to the atmosphere in summer. The increase in surface NTCO 2 Ž25 " 5 mmol y1 . kg from summer to winter is mainly explained by enhanced vertical mixing Ž31 " 6 mmol kgy1 .. In this estimate, the seasonal evolution of the vertical NTCO 2 profile below the mixed layer has not been well constrained. This is another source of error in M. Ishii et al.r Marine Chemistry 75 (2001) 17–32 30 Table 3 Changes in NTCO 2 Žmmol kgy1 . from winter to summer and from summer to winter in surface seawater of the western North Pacific subtropical gyre along 1378E Period DNTCO 2 DNTCOVM 2 DNTCO 2ADV DNTCO 2GAS DNTCO 2BIO 24–308N Feb–Aug Sep–Jan Annual y25 " 5 25 " 5 1a 1"1 31 " 6 32 " 7 y3 " 2 0"1 y3 " 3 13 " 7 5"3 18 " 9 y35 " 15 y11 " 15 y46 " 19 15–238N Feb–Aug Sep–Jan Annual y5 " 5 5"5 1a 1"1 8"4 9"5 1"1 0"1 y1 " 2 5"3 3"2 8"4 y11 " 10 y6 " 12 y18 " 11 a Calculated from the long-term increase in pCO 2 sw ŽInoue et al., 1995.. estimating the contribution of vertical mixing, which should be minimized through future observations. between 158N and 238N. More than 90% of the production occurred November through April. 5. Conclusions Acknowledgements We have presented the results of the observations on the seasonal variation in oceanic CO 2 in the northern part of the western North Pacific subtropical gyre and inferred the processes controlling the seasonal variation in surface NTCO 2 there. The main conclusions can be stated as follows. Ž1. In this region, meridional and seasonal variability in pCO 2 sw in surface seawater is mainly determined by the variability in temperature and surface NTCO 2 . The amplitude of seasonal variation in surface NTCO 2 was 19–37 mmol kgy1 in the northern part of the subtropical gyre between 248N and 308N. It compensated for about 30% of the effect of seasonal variation in SST on seasonal variation in pCO 2 sw. Ž2. Decreases in the surface NTCO 2 from winter to summer are ascribed to biological production. They are partly compensated for by net CO 2 transport from the atmosphere. Increase in the surface NTCO 2 from summer to winter is explained by entrainment of subsurface water in the course of mixed layer deepening. Horizontal advection has only a minor effect on the seasonal variation in surface NTCO 2 . Ž3. The mean annual net community production in the mixed layer was 48 " 19 gC my2 yeary1 between 248N and 308N and 19 " 16 gC my2 yeary1 We thank Drs. K. Kawaguchi and M. Terazaki, the chief scientists of the KH-94-4 cruise, and the officers and crew of the RrV Hakuho-maru and RrV Ryofu-maru for their help on board. We also express our appreciation to Dr. I. Kaneko, Mr. M. Fujimura and Mr. A. Obata for their helpful suggestions and for providing the output of the MRI 3D-ocean general circulation model. The thoughtful comments of anonymous reviewers were most helpful in revising the manuscript. 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