IceCube: Multiwavelength Approach to Transient Neutrino Point Source Candidates Elisa Resconi, for the IceCube coll. (Max-Planck-Institute for Nuclear Physics, Heidelberg) http://icecube.wisc.edu TeV Particle Astrophysics II 28-31 August 2006. Madison, WI 1 1. Construction of the Neutrino Sample 106 : 1 l F (E, W) n n IceCube event IceCube event Elisa Resconi 2 2. Extraction of Astronomical Information Fn (E, W) = Fatm + Fgalactic + Fextra- galactic Cosmic ray showers in the Earth’s atmosphere: - p, K decay E-3.7 20% uncertainty “diffuse” flux: CR interaction with interstellar gas. “diffuse” flux: p decay from pg interaction with 2.7oK cosmic radiation “point-like”: galactic sources “point-like”: extra-galactic sources TeV-Blazar E-2 ? discussed here E-2 ? See also at this conference: “Implications of neutrino flux limits” J. Becker for IceCube, talk 3 “Search for a Diffuse Flux of TeV to PeV Muon Neutrinos with AMANDA-II” J. Hodges for IceCube, poster Fgalactic(E,W), Fextra-galactic(E,W) point-like sources Ref. M. Ackermann, “The multimessenger approach ..”, Barcelona, 07.06 On-Source = 00-04 Off-Source AMANDA-II preliminary: 2000-2004 (1001 live days), 4282 n from northern hemisphere NoBlind significant analysis excess strategy found Elisa Resconi 4 Multi-wavelength approach: photon light curves used for the improvement in identify possible neutrinos emitted by astronomical sources Synthetic light curve Photon Rate (counts/sec) Nr of n dFatm(t)/dt = 1 / year 3o sky-bin 1 n / day sky-bin ~ 310 -3 1 2000 2001 How can we discriminate these events ? 2002 2003 Time What can we learn from 5 photon observations? 3. Transient Point Sources 1. The photon-neutrino link Selection of neutrino “proxy” waveband 2. Access to photon data Availability / calibration / dead-time correction ….. 3. Analysis of photon data WHAT IS A FLARE ? Elisa Resconi 6 3.1 The photon – neutrino link: HBL (LBL) Synchrotron proton blazar model (ref. A. Mücke et al, Astroparticle Phy, 18 (2003) 593-613) proton pγ (highly magnetized environment) p , n γ γ synchr e, n γ synchr casc. (e±) γ synchr e, n electron γ synchr. X γ γ synchr. casc. (e±) γ synchr LBL HBL P.Giommi et al.,A&A 445, 843-855 (2006) Elisa Resconi 7 X- AND γ-ray HBL γ- ray band X- ray band Interpretation primary electron AND secondary electron (casc.) Data huge amount of data, monitor + high sensitivity Strategy Light curve interpretation define “flares” define periods of high activity Elisa Resconi n emission C O R R E L A T I O N only p, if only synchrotron (no n) sporadic, no monitor, difficult to combine collect all the data available, improve definition of “flare” 8 3.3 Photon data: WHAT IS A FLARE ? Light Curve Interpretation: characteristic flux level(s) impulsive events (flares) statistical studies on the timescales of variability correlated activities across wavebands periods of HE neutrino emission: Construction of an hypothesis test Maximum Likelihood Blocks applied to X- and g-ray light curves [E. Resconi, L. Costamante, D. Franco, E. Flaccomio, A. Gross, icecube/200608002] 9 X-ray: an example All-Sky-Monitor (RXTE), Mkn 421 All-Sky-Monitor, RXTE, 10 years X-ray monitor Elisa Resconi zoom Mkn 421 10 All-Sky-Monitor, Maximum-Likelihood-Blocks Elisa Resconi zoom Mkn 421 11 All-Sky-Monitor, Maximum-Likelihood-Blocks, Characteristic level zoom Mkn 421 Rchar Elisa Resconi 12 Hypothesis test: need to be blind! 1. n sample determined a priori 2. Time periods selected a priori 3. n in the time periods / n atmospheric expected All-Sky-Monitor, Maximum-Likelihood-Blocks, Characteristic level zoom Mkn 421 Elevated levels or flares : ~ 15 % + 3 Rchar Characteristic level (band) Depends on: source + detector Elisa Resconi 13 TeV g-ray: preliminary The light curves are very sporadic Compilation of historical light curves: under construction Mkn 421, Whipple public data, Maximum Likelihood Blocks Elisa Resconi 14 g-ray flux Multi-wavelength: X- vs g-ray “Orphan” region Correlated corridor “Anti-orphan” region X-ray flux, PCA (MLB blocks) Elisa Resconi 15 Future: … transition to a ‘multi-messengers’ approach - IceCube as a ( half ) – All-Sky-Monitor in neutrino: - Filed of view: northern sky - High duty cycle - Idea: use neutrinos in order to trigger gamma-ray telescopes (see E. Bernardini, “The multimessenger approach..” Barcelona, 07.06) - Critical points under discussion: - selection of the sources: the phenomenology is limited - statistical interpretation of possible coincidences: g-ray flare rate, catalogue … - blindness of the data: minimal impact with off-line analysis - Status: TEST run between AMANDA and Magic of 3 months approved. Elisa Resconi 16 Summary Looking in the right direction and in the right moment is a good idea! From existing models: selection of proxy wavebands (HBL discussed) Photon light curves under compilation Photon light curve analysis with a global method (MLB) Selection of periods of possible neutrino emission: global & non arbitrary Next: test on the data Elisa Resconi 17
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