J Neurosurg 121:1189–1200, 2014 ©AANS, 2014 Results of immunohistochemical staining for cell cycle regulators predict the recurrence of atypical meningiomas Clinical article Min Soo Kim, M.D.,1 Kyu Hong Kim, M.D., Ph.D.,1 Eun Hee Lee, M.D., Ph.D., 2 Young Min Lee, M.D.,1 Sung-Hun Lee, Ph.D., 3 Hyung Dong Kim, M.D., Ph.D., 4 and Young Zoon Kim, M.D., Ph.D.1 Department of Neurosurgery and Division of Neurooncology, and 2Department of Pathology, Samsung Changwon Hospital, Sungkyunkwan University School of Medicine, Changwon; 4Department of Neurosurgery, Dong-A University Medical Center, Dong-A University College of Medicine, Busan, South Korea; and 3Department of Molecular and Cellular Oncology, The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston, Texas 1 Object. The aim of this study was to evaluate the role of certain cell-cycle regulatory proteins in the recurrence of atypical meningiomas. These proteins were analyzed with immunohistochemical staining to identify predisposing factors for the recurrence of atypical meningiomas. Methods. The authors retrospectively reviewed the medical records of patients with atypical meningiomas diagnosed in the period from January 2000 to June 2012 at the Department of Neurosurgery at Samsung Changwon Hospital and Dong-A University Medical Center. Clinical data included patient sex and age at the time of surgery, presenting symptoms at diagnosis, location and size of tumor, extent of surgery, use of postoperative radiotherapy, duration of follow-up, and recurrence. Immunohistochemical staining for cell-cycle regulatory proteins (p16, p15, p21, p27, cyclin-dependent kinase [CDK] 4 and 6, phosphorylated retinoblastoma [pRB] protein, and cyclin D1) and proliferative markers (MIB-1 antigen, mitosis, and p53) was performed on archived paraffin-embedded tissues obtained during resection. The recurrence rate and time to recurrence were assessed using Kaplan-Meier analysis. Results. Of the 67 atypical meningiomas eligible for analysis, 26 (38.8%) recurred during the follow-up period (mean duration 47.7 months, range 8.4–132.1 months). Immunohistochemically, there was overstaining for p16 in 44 samples (65.7%), for p15 in 21 samples (31.3%), for p21 in 25 samples (37.3%), for p27 in 32 samples (47.8%), for CDK4 in 38 samples (56.7%), for CDK6 in 26 samples (38.8%), for pRB protein in 42 samples (62.7%), and for cyclin D1 in 49 samples (73.1%). Multivariate analysis using the Cox proportional-hazards regression model showed that incomplete resection (HR 4.513, p < 0.001); immunohistochemical understaining for p16 (HR 3.214, p < 0.001); immunohistochemical overstaining for CDK6 (HR 3.427, p < 0.001), pRB protein (HR 2.854, p = 0.008), and p53 (HR 2.296, p = 0.040); and increased MIB-1 labeling index (HR 2.665, p = 0.013) and mitotic index (HR 2.438, p = 0.024) predicted the recurrence of atypical meningiomas after resection. Conclusions. Findings in this study indicated that p16, CDK6, and pRB protein were associated with the recurrence of atypical meningiomas. (http://thejns.org/doi/abs/10.3171/2014.7.JNS132661) Key Words • atypical meningioma • p16 • CDK6 • RB protein • recurrence • immunohistochemistry • oncology M are tumors that arise from meninges of the brain and the spinal cord. They represent approximately 20% of all primary intracranial eningiomas Abbreviations used in this paper: CDK = cyclin-dependent kinase; GTR = gross-total resection; NF2 = neurofibromatosis Type 2; pRB = phosphorylated retinoblastoma; p16 = p16INK4A; RFS = recurrence-free survival; ROC = receiver operating characteristic. J Neurosurg / Volume 121 / November 2014 tumors and are divided into benign, atypical, and malignant subtypes based on histopathological criteria.38 Among these subtypes, atypical meningiomas are reported to account for 20%–35% of all meningiomas and represent an intermediate subtype between benign and This article contains some figures that are displayed in color online but in black-and-white in the print edition. 1189 M. S. Kim et al. anaplastic meningiomas in the WHO classification.6,35,39,49 Although benign meningiomas (WHO Grade I) are generally slow growing and have a low recurrence rate after gross-total resection (GTR),27,45 atypical meningiomas are more locally aggressive and demonstrate more rapid tumor progression. The literature suggests they have a 5-year recurrence rate of approximately 40% in the absence of postoperative radiotherapy.8,19,29,35 Atypical meningiomas are also associated with significantly increased mortality. Although GTR, when possible, is widely accepted as the standard of care for benign meningiomas, a purely neurosurgical approach may be inadequate for atypical meningiomas. Immediate adjuvant radiotherapy is clearly beneficial for malignant meningiomas, while its role for the atypical subtype is still under debate. Nonetheless, postoperative radiotherapy is frequently chosen in cases of atypical meningiomas, despite the absence of clear consensus that this treatment is indicated. There is ongoing debate as to whether atypical meningiomas should receive radiotherapy or whether this treatment should be limited to incompletely resected cases.1,12 Because of their aggressive behavior, atypical meningiomas have an unpredictable outcome, and reported series have included only a few patients.25,34,50 Even after GTR, tumor recurrence has been observed after several years in some 20%–30% of cases.20,44 Thus, a reasonable organized therapeutic strategy could be applied if recurrence could be predicted from surgical specimens, and for this reason many authors have investigated the histological indices of proliferative and apoptotic potential in resected tumors, such as bcl-2,3,21 proliferating cell nuclear antigen,3 and Ki 67 cell cycle–specific nuclear antigen.17,24 From these indices, researchers have attempted to establish the nature of the relationship between histological aggressiveness and the recurrence of these meningiomas. The molecular mechanisms underlying the development and progression of meningiomas remain poorly understood. Nevertheless, alterations in the pathways that regulate cell proliferation must be involved. One of the most important of these is the p16INK4A (p16)–cyclin-dependent kinase (CDK)–phosphorylated retinoblastoma (pRB) pathway, which is altered in more than 80% of human cancers.9,48 The p16 coding gene has been found to be homozygously deleted, mutated, or transcriptionally inhibited by methylation in a large number of different human tumor types.31,32,41 Mice lacking p16 are tumor prone and develop multiple types of cancer, particularly after exposure to carcinogens.23,42 Furthermore, RB is functionally inactivated in a range of cancers, either directly by mutations or indirectly through altered expression and/or activity of upstream regulators.13 As stated above, several studies have focused on the role of cell cycle regulators in various types of cancer progression and development. However, cell cycle regulators have not yet been evaluated in meningioma, especially the atypical subtype. In the present study, by immunohistochemically analyzing tumor samples obtained during resection, we aimed to determine the prognostic value of certain cell cycle regulators (CDK4, CDK6, p16, p15, p21, p27, pRB protein, and cyclin D1) in predicting the recurrence of atypical meningioma after resection. We also estimated 1190 the number of mitoses as well as the immunoreactivity of MIB-1 antigen and p53, which are already known to be proliferative markers for predicting the recurrence of meningioma. In addition, we examined other factors predisposing atypical meningioma to recurrence. Methods Patient Collection The study protocol was approved by the institutional review boards of Samsung Changwon Hospital and Dong-A University Medical Center, and all patients or their families provided written informed consent. We conducted a retrospective case study and clinical review of the 353 meningioma patients who had been surgically treated by Drs. K. H. Kim and Y. Z. Kim at the Samsung Changwon Hospital and by Dr. H. D. Kim at Dong-A University Medical Center in the period from January 2000 to June 2012. All patients had undergone radical surgery and had a tumor sample for histopathological diagnosis. Among these cases, we selected the tumors that met the diagnostic criteria for atypical meningioma, as outlined in the 2007 WHO classification.38 The following patients were excluded: 1) those with recurrent atypical meningioma after treatment for a previous benign meningioma; 2) those with multiple intracranial meningiomas, because of the difficulty in evaluating treatment response; 3) those with spinal cord meningioma; 4) those who had undergone preoperative radiotherapy for tumor; and 5) those with ≤ 6 months of follow-up due to follow-up loss. Patient sex, age at the time of surgery, symptoms at diagnosis, tumor location and size, extent of resection, histological grade, use of postoperative radiotherapy, duration of follow-up, and recurrence were retrospectively reviewed for each patient by using the medical records. Neuroradiological Findings of Atypical Meningiomas Tumor size was defined as the largest tumor diameter rounded to the nearest centimeter on Gd-enhanced T1weighted MR images before the initial surgery. Peritumoral edema was estimated by the longest distance from the margin of the tumor on FLAIR images. The locations of tumors were divided into convexity and nonconvexity groups. The extent of resection was categorized as either complete or incomplete. Complete resection was defined as Simpson Grade I or II, and incomplete resection was defined as Simpson Grade III–V. The extent of resection was estimated not only during the operation itself but also on MRI, which was performed immediately after surgery. Recurrence was defined as the presence of new tumor in patients with a completely resected tumor, as judged on the first postoperative MR image, or as evidence of new growth of an incompletely resected tumor on serial postoperative MR images compared with the immediate postoperative MR images. All patients had undergone preoperative MRI. Baseline postoperative MRI was performed immediately after surgery to evaluate the residual mass and then at 3- or 6-month intervals within the first 2 years. To assess tumor J Neurosurg / Volume 121 / November 2014 Cell cycle regulators for atypical meningioma recurrence, serial MRI was performed at 1- to 2-year intervals in asymptomatic patients, but if mass-related symptoms or focal neurological signs developed, MRI was performed immediately. Three neuroradiologists individually conducted radiological reviews to characterize tumors and to determine the presence of a recurrence without any clinical or pathological information on the patients. Therapeutic Strategies for Atypical Meningioma Surgical indications for meningioma were as follows: 1) tumor producing neurological symptoms, 2) growing tumor observed during regular follow-up, 3) tumor with a size of 3 cm or more, and 4) tumor requiring a differential diagnosis from other malignancies. Patients with completely resected atypical meningiomas who do not receive radiation therapy are closely observed at our institutions. We recommend postoperative radiation therapy in all patients with atypical meningiomas that are not completely resected. At the same time, as we have already mentioned, although postoperative radiotherapy is commonly applied for the remnant atypical meningioma, strong agreement for this course of action has not been established. In cases of recurrent meningiomas, reoperation should be considered as the first choice. Gamma Knife radiosurgery is an alternative treatment modality for small or surgically inaccessible meningiomas and in patients of advanced age or with a high operative risk. Patients who underwent incomplete resection of the tumor were treated with 3D conformal radiotherapy. Total irradiation dose ranged from 50 to 60 Gy (2 Gy per fraction a day, 5 fractions a week), depending on the decision of the radiation oncologist. Immunohistochemical Staining All tissue specimens were examined for cell-cycle regulatory proteins (p16, p15, p21, p27, CDK4, CDK6, pRB protein, and cyclin D1) and proliferative markers (MIB-1 antigen, mitosis, and p53). For this analysis, the labeled streptavidin-biotin method was performed on sections from paraffin-embedded tissues that had been used for pathological diagnoses. The following monoclonal or polyclonal primary antibodies were used: p16 (1:100, Neomark), p15 (1:100, Dako), p21 (1:100, Neomark), p27 (1:100, Neomark), CDK4 (1:100, Santa Cruz), CDK6 (1:100, Santa Cruz), pRB (1:75, Life Technology), cyclin D1 (1:100, Neomark), MIB-1 antigen (1:100, Immunotech), and p53 (1:100 Neomark). Analysis and Interpretation of Immunoreactivity Appropriate positive and negative controls were used throughout the study. Negative controls were obtained by omitting the primary antibody. Sections from normal meninges obtained from autopsy specimens were used as the positive control for p16, p15, p21, p27, CDK4 and 6, pRB protein, and cyclin D1. Ten fields were selected from the regions with the highest concentrations of immunopositive nuclei and examined at high power magnification (×400). Each field corresponded to a total number of cells ranging from 700 to 1000 in relation to the cellularity of the tumor specimen. Areas of necrosis, normal meningeal J Neurosurg / Volume 121 / November 2014 cells, and endothelial cells were excluded from the evaluation. On considering 1000 cells by manual counting, the immunoreactivity of proteins and markers was described as the percentage of immunopositive cells. Mitoses were counted on slides stained with H & E. The mitotic index was defined as the number of mitoses per 10 hpf. Two different neuropathologists (E. H. Lee and D. C. Kim), who were blinded to patient clinical and radiological information, reviewed all slides. There was only one discordant case (1.5%) in both reviews of immunoreactivity, and its immunoreactivity was determined after discussion. Digital images were captured using a microscope (model BX41TF, Olympus) and digital camera (model DP70, Olympus). The purpose of analyzing the immunoreactivity of cell cycle regulators and proliferative markers was to determine whether these markers have an effect on the recurrence of atypical meningiomas. Therefore, we performed receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis on the immunoreactivity of the cell-cycle regulatory proteins and proliferative markers to predict the likelihood of recurrence.11 We tried to determine the threshold of immunoreactivity to the highest possible sensitivity and specificity. Through sensitivity-specificity analysis, the cutoff value (the point at which sensitivity and specificity cross) was determined for each marker, as correlated with recurrence (Table 1). In fact, in the autopsy specimen, all of the cell-cycle regulatory proteins and proliferative markers were immunohistochemically stained below the cutoff value that we had determined. Therefore, based on the cutoff value for the immunoreactivity of each marker, sequential correlation analysis with the recurrence of atypical meningioma was performed. Statistical Analysis Differences between subgroups were analyzed using the Student t-test for normally distributed continuous values and the Mann-Whitney U-test for nonnormally distributed continuous values. The chi-square test was used to analyze categorical variables. To define the cutoff value, the performance of each cell-cycle regulatory protein and proliferative marker as a prognostic factor for the recurrence of atypical meningioma was investigated using ROC curve analysis and sensitivity-specificity analysis. Recurrence-free survival (RFS) was calculated according to the Kaplan-Meier method, and comparisons between groups were performed using log-rank tests. Variables found to be significantly associated with the recurrence of atypical meningiomas in the univariate analyses were then subjected to multivariate analyses. Moreover, several additional variables that have been associated with the recurrence of atypical meningioma in the literature and that we have been interested in were also subjected to multivariate analysis. In the multivariate analysis, the Cox proportional-hazards regression model was used to assess the independent effects of specific factors on the tumor recurrence rate and to define the hazard ratios for significant covariates. Two-sided p values below 0.05 were considered statistically significant. SPSS version 12.0 (SPSS Inc.) was used for the statistical analysis. 1191 M. S. Kim et al. TABLE 1: Results of ROC curve analysis, sensitivity-specificity analysis, and determination of cutoff values* Marker cell-cycle regulatory protein p16 p15 p21 p27 CDK4 CDK6 pRB cyclin D1 proliferative marker MIB-1 antigen mitosis (/10 hpf) p53 Mean % of IHC Staining Nuclei† AUC Cutoff Value Sensitivity Specificity 24.73 ± 5.36 69.50 ± 9.24 11.32 ± 3.02 41.89 ± 10.83 27.66 ± 5.49 15.37 ± 4.71 23.45 ± 3.88 44.64 ± 12.03 0.682 0.708 0.823 0.694 0.819 0.667 0.731 0.716 27% 73% 13% 43% 30% 17% 25% 48% 60.3 58.9 71.7 90.8 73.8 55.7 68.2 63.5 72.4 84.5 75.3 75.8 80.4 76.1 73.3 73.7 4.74 ± 1.91 6.92 ± 2.48 17.35 ± 4.65 0.882 0.835 0.720 6% 8 20% 73.0 69.9 63.1 86.2 81.4 76.9 * AUC = area under the ROC curve; CDK = cyclin-dependent kinase; IHC = immunohistochemical. † Values expressed as mean ± standard error. Results Patient and Tumor Characteristics From a total of 353 meningioma cases in the defined study period, 67 atypical meningioma patients (39 female, 28 male) were eligible for our analysis. The mean age at diagnosis for these patients was 56.6 years (range 26.4–87.2 years). Sixty-three of the patients (94.0%) had clinical symptoms before diagnosis. The most frequent chief complaints at presentation were headache (33 cases [49.3%]), seizures (13 cases [19.4%]), focal neurological deficit such as motor weakness and dysphasia (11 cases [16.4%]), and altered mentation (6 cases [9.0%]; Table 2). Twenty-nine tumors (43.3%) were located in the convexity regions and 38 (56.7%) in the nonconvexity regions. The mean maximal tumor diameter was 4.38 cm (range 2.45–8.32 cm), and the mean extent of peritumoral edema was 2.05 cm (range 0.00–5.54 cm). All 67 patients had undergone radical resection of the tumor. Complete resection was achieved in 36 patients (53.7%), and incomplete resection in 31 patients (46.3%). The patients with complete resection received no postoperative radiotherapy. Nineteen patients (61.3%) received radiotherapy following an incomplete resection (9 [50.0%] of 18 with Simpson Grade III tumors, 8 [72.7%] of 11 with Simpson Grade IV tumors, and 2 [100%] of 2 with Simpson Grade V tumors). The other 12 patients (38.7%) with incomplete resection refused the postoperative radiotherapy. Results of Immunohistochemical Staining In terms of cell-cycle regulatory proteins, p16 was immunohistochemically overstained above the cutoff value in 44 samples (65.7%), p15 in 21 samples (31.3%), p21 in 25 samples (37.3%), p27 in 32 samples (47.8%), CDK4 1192 in 38 samples (56.7%), CDK6 in 26 samples (38.8%), pRB protein in 42 samples (62.7%), and cyclin D1 in 49 samples (73.1%). In terms of the proliferative markers, immunohistochemical overstaining for MIB-1 antigen was found in 33 samples (49.3%), increased mitosis in 31 samples (46.3%), and immunohistochemical overstaining for p53 in 29 samples (43.30%; Table 2). Recurrences The mean follow-up time from the date of resection was 47.7 months (range 8.4–132.1 months). During follow-up, 26 patients (38.8%) presented with recurrence, all cases occurring more than 1 year postsurgery. The mean time to recurrence was 61.8 months (range 15.6–111.1 months). The actual 5- and 10-year RFSs were 67.8% and 28.3%, respectively. All recurrences occurred at the original site of surgery, and there was no distant metastasis extracranially. In terms of the clinical and radiological characteristics, recurrence occurred in 15 (39.5%) of the 38 patients who were 60 years of age or younger, 13 (46.4%) of the 28 male patients, 16 (42.1%) of the 38 patients whose tumor had a nonconvexity location, 12 (46.2%) of the 26 patients who had a tumor size ≥ 5 cm, 10 (47.6%) of the 21 patients who had a tumor with peritumoral edema ≥ 3 cm, 19 (61.3%) of the 31 patients who underwent incomplete resection, and 22 (45.8%) of the 48 patients who did not receive postoperative radiotherapy (Table 3). Among these characteristics, there was a statistically significant difference in the recurrence rate according to the extent of resection and the presence of postoperative radiotherapy (p < 0.001 and p = 0.042, respectively, chi-square test). There was also a statistically significant difference in the time to recurrence according to the extent of resection and postoperative radiotherapy (p = 0.001 and p = 0.022, respectively, Mann-Whitney U-test). Kaplan-Meier J Neurosurg / Volume 121 / November 2014 Cell cycle regulators for atypical meningioma TABLE 2: Clinicoradiological characteristics and results of immunohistochemical overstaining for markers in 67 atypical meningiomas* Variable Value mean age in yrs (range) male/female chief complaint headache seizure focal neurological deficit altered mentation no clinical symptom tumor location convexity nonconvexity mean maximal diameter in cm (range) mean size of peritumoral edema in cm (range) extent of resection complete resection incomplete resection postop RT yes no IHC overstaining p16 (≥27%) p15 (≥73%) p21 (≥13%) p27 (≥43%) CDK4 (≥30%) CDK6 (≥17 %) pRB (≥25%) cyclin D1 (≥48%) MIB-1 antigen (≥6%) mitosis (≥8/10 hpf) p53 (≥20%) 56.6 (26.4–87.2) 28/39 33 (49.3%) 13 (19.4%) 11 (16.4%) 6 (9.0%) 4 (6.0%) 29 (43.3%) 38 (56.7%) 4.38 (2.45–8.32) 2.05 (0.00–5.54) 36 (53.7%) 31 (46.3%) 19 (28.4%) 12 (17.9%) 44 (65.7%) 21 (31.3%) 25 (37.3%) 32 (47.8%) 38 (56.7%) 26 (38.8%) 42 (62.7%) 49 (73.1%) 33 (49.3%) 31 (46.3%) 29 (43.3%) * RT = radiotherapy. survival analysis for RFS also showed statistically significant differences in the extent of resection (complete vs incomplete: p = 0.002, log-rank test; Fig. 1A) and postoperative radiotherapy (yes vs no: p = 0.022, log-rank test). In terms of cell-cycle regulatory protein, a statistically significant, higher recurrence rate was found (chisquare test) in immunohistochemical understaining for p16 (p = 0.004), overstaining for CDK6 (p = 0.013), and overstaining for pRB protein (p < 0.001). Likewise, there was also a statistically shorter time to recurrence in immunohistochemical understaining for p16 (p < 0.001), overstaining for CDK6 (p < 0.001), and overstaining for pRB protein (p = 0.002), using the Mann-Whitney U-test (Table 3). Kaplan-Meier survival analysis for RFS also showed statistically significant differences in immunohistochemical overstaining versus understaining for p16 J Neurosurg / Volume 121 / November 2014 (p < 0.001, log-rank test), CDK6 (p < 0.001, log-rank test), and pRB protein (p = 0.001, log-rank test; Fig. 1B–D). All proliferative markers showed that immunohistochemical overstaining had a statistically higher recurrence rate (p < 0.05, chi-square test) and a shorter time to recurrence (p < 0.05, Mann-Whitney U-test; Table 3). Kaplan-Meier survival analysis for RFS also showed statistically significant differences in immunohistochemical overstaining versus understaining for MIB-1 antigen (p = 0.007, log-rank test) and p53 protein (p = 0.021, log-rank test) and in the mitotic index (p = 0.013, log-rank test). Univariate Analysis of Factors Predicting Recurrence of Atypical Meningioma In terms of the clinical characteristics, incomplete resection (p < 0.001) and the lack of postoperative radiotherapy (p = 0.030) were both associated with recurrence (Table 4). For the cell-cycle regulatory proteins, univariate analysis showed that immunohistochemical understaining for p16 (p < 0.001) and p21 (p = 0.039) were associated with tumor recurrence. Immunohistochemical overstaining for CDK4 (p = 0.033), CDK6 (p = 0.048), pRB protein (p < 0.001), and cyclin D1 (p = 0.035) were also directly associated with recurrence. In terms of proliferative markers, analysis showed that immunohistochemical overstaining for MIB-1 antigen (p = 0.019), the mitotic index (p = 0.022), and p53 (p = 0.041) were associated with recurrence. Multivariate Analysis of Factors Predicting Recurrence of Atypical Meningioma Multivariate analysis showed that the following factors were independently associated with a higher rate of recurrence: incomplete resection (HR 4.513, p < 0.001; Table 5); immunohistochemical understaining for p16 (HR 3.214, p < 0.001); immunohistochemical overstaining for CDK6 (HR 3.427, p < 0.001), pRB protein (HR 2.854, p = 0.008), and p53 (HR 2.296, p = 0.040); and increased MIB-1 antigen (HR 2.665, p = 0.013) and number of mitoses (≥ 8/10 hpf; HR 2.438, p = 0.024). The factors associated with recurrence in the univariate analysis but not independently associated with a higher rate of recurrence in the multivariate analysis were as follows: no postoperative radiotherapy (p = 0.058); immunohistochemical understaining for p21 (p = 0.054), immunohistochemical overstaining for CDK4 (p = 0.112), and immunohistochemical overstaining for cyclin D1 (p = 0.274). Other factors of interest, such as p15 (p = 0.157) and p27 (p = 0.326), were not associated on multivariate analysis (Table 5). Discussion The purpose of this study was to evaluate the role of cell-cycle regulatory proteins in the recurrence of atypical meningiomas using immunohistochemical staining analysis. To the best of our knowledge, the present study is the largest work of clinical research to use immunohistochemical staining to assess the role of cell-cycle regulatory proteins in the recurrence of atypical meningiomas. 1193 M. S. Kim et al. Fig. 1. Recurrence-free survival curves for the patients with atypical meningiomas. A: Complete resection versus incomplete resection. B: Immunohistochemical understaining (< 27%) versus overstaining ( ≥ 27%) for p16. C: Immunohistochemical understaining (< 17%) versus overstaining (≥ 17%) for CDK6. D: Immunohistochemical understaining (< 25%) versus overstaining (≥ 25%) for pRB protein. Although there was a study showing that p16, CDK6, and pRB were differentially expressed in meningioma cell cultures with a 20-, 30-, and 36-fold difference between the lowest and highest levels of each protein, respectively, that work did not suggest any clinical association.2 Interestingly, this study showed that immunohistochemical staining results for some cell-cycle regulatory proteins (p16, CDK6, pRB) predict the recurrence of atypical meningiomas. In fact, the protein p16 has been noted with regard to potential new prognostic markers for meningiomas. It is encoded by the tumor suppressor gene CDKN2A and is a CDK inhibitor involved in cell cycle arrest via p53-independent mechanisms. One of the mechanisms held responsible for malignant progression in meningiomas is the loss of chromosome 9p, which harbors CDKN2A. Recent publications have reported high frequencies of genetic and epigenetic aberrations of p16 in meningiomas.36,47 CDKN2A deletions have been particularly observed in malignant meningiomas and have been correlated with short1194 ened survival.5,36,43 On the other hand, Barker et al.4 were unable to demonstrate p16 loss in their meningioma cases. Results of the only other immunohistochemical study on p16 in meningiomas are in line with the theory of malignant progression and CDKN2A loss, as the data indicated high p16 positivity in benign forms and those without recurrence.22 However, there is a report suggesting a result in opposition to ours in terms of the expression of p16: Terzi et al.46 reported that Ki 67 and p53 labeling indices as well as overexpression of p16 were strongly associated with decreased RFS in a univariate analysis. In their study, the fact that immunohistochemical overexpression of Ki 67 and p53 were factors predicting meningioma recurrence agrees with our results, whereas their finding that the immunohistochemical overexpression of p16 predicts recurrence in meningiomas directly opposes our results. Note, however, that their immunohistochemical analysis was focused on histological grading of the meningioma, and thus benign, atypical, and malignant meningiomas were all included in J Neurosurg / Volume 121 / November 2014 Cell cycle regulators for atypical meningioma TABLE 3: Time to recurrence in 67 patients with atypical meningioma, according to the clinicoradiological characteristics and results of immunohistochemical staining for markers Variable No. of Reccurences (%) Mean Time to Recurrence (mos)* p Value† 15/38 (39.5) 11/29 (37.9) 57.9 ± 11.7 67.2 ± 13.4 0.889 13/28 (46.4) 13/39 (33.3) 56.3 ± 10.3 67.4 ± 12.0 0.475 10/29 (34.5) 16/38 (42.1) 63.4 ± 10.5 60.0 ± 10.2 0.548 14/41 (34.1) 12/26 (46.2) 72.9 ± 13.2 64.5 ± 9.9 0.462 16/46 (34.8) 10/21 (47.6) 59.8 ± 8.7 65.1 ± 10.2 0.617 7/36 (19.4) 19/31 (61.3) 91.3 ± 15.0 45.1 ± 17.3 <0.001 4/19 (21.1) 22/48 (45.8) 78.1 ± 12.8 50.8 ± 11.2 0.022 7/44 (15.9) 19/23 (82.6) 85.3 ± 6.6 35.5 ± 5.5 <0.001 6/21 (28.6) 20/46 (43.5) 74.0 ± 10.4 55.1 ± 5.1 0.192 6/25 (24.0) 20/42 (47.6) 75.9 ± 9.4 52.5 ± 5.4 0.079 10/32 (31.3) 16/35 (45.7) 68.7 ± 8.1 53.4 ± 6.2 0.201 19/38 (50.0) 7/29 (24.1) 53.9 ± 6.2 68.6 ± 7.7 0.103 14/26 (53.8) 12/41 (29.3) 33.8 ± 5.1 75.3 ± 6.3 <0.001 24/42 (57.1) 2/25 (8.0) 47.6 ± 5.2 94.5 ± 7.3 0.002 22/49 (44.9) 4/18 (22.2) 56.1 ± 5.1 78.5 ± 11.2 0.283 19/34 (55.9) 7/33 (21.2) 44.8 ± 4.9 79.8 ± 7.8 0.007 age in yrs ≤60 >60 sex male female location convexity nonconvexity max tumor diameter in cm <5 ≥5 peritumoral edema in cm <3 ≥3 complete resection yes no postop RT yes no IHC staining for p16 ≥27% <27% IHC staining for p15 ≥73% <73% IHC staining for p21 ≥13% <13% IHC staining for p27 ≥43% <43% IHC staining for CDK4 ≥30% <30% IHC staining for CDK6 ≥17% <17% IHC staining for pRB ≥25% <25% IHC staining for cyclin D1 ≥48% <48% IHC staining for MIB-1 antigen ≥6% <6% (continued) J Neurosurg / Volume 121 / November 2014 1195 M. S. Kim et al. TABLE 3: Time to recurrence in 67 patients with atypical meningioma, according to the clinicoradiological characteristics and results of immunohistochemical staining for markers (continued) Variable No. of Reccurences (%) Mean Time to Recurrence (mos)* p Value† 18/31 (58.1) 8/36 (22.2) 45.3 ± 5.3 76.4 ± 7.7 0.015 16/30 (53.3) 10/37 (27.0) 46.2 ± 6.1 75.0 ± 7.4 0.034 proportion of mitotic cells ≥8/10 hpf <8/10 hpf IHC staining for p53 ≥20% <20% * Values expressed as mean ± standard error. † Mann-Whitney U-test. Boldface type indicates a statistically significant value. In fact, the prognostic role of cell-cycle regulatory proteins and proliferative markers has been established for several cancer types. In particular, several studies have documented the role of RB protein in the prognosis and progression of malignant brain tumors such as glioblastoma.7,14,16 Among these works, the study by Hilton et al.16 suggested that glioblastomas showing widespread immunohistochemical expression of RB protein have a better prognosis than those without this feature, which is different from our results. However, the authors did not their study. Furthermore, their cutoff value for the overexpression of p16 was 10%, which was different from our cutoff of 27%. Additionally, they did not exclude cytoplasmic staining of p16. Because it is a CDK inhibitor, p16 is presumed to function in the nucleus, which is where it is located in normal cells. Cytoplasmic staining is therefore considered nonspecific or controversial. In our study, only nuclear staining for p16 was considered. Therefore, it is impossible for us to make a direct comparison with our results. TABLE 4: Univariate analysis of factors predicting recurrence among 67 atypical meningiomas after resection, Cox proportional-hazards regression analysis Recurrence Variable no. of cases clinical characteristic age >60 yrs male sex nonconvexity location max tumor diameter ≥5 cm peritumoral edema ≥3 cm incomplete resection no postop RT immunohistochemical staining for markers p16† p15‡ p21† p27‡ CDK4‡ CDK6‡ pRB protein‡ cyclin D1‡ MIB-1 antigen‡ no. of mitoses‡ p53‡ Yes Univariate Analysis No HR 95% CI p Value* 26 41 11 (42.3%) 13 (50.0%) 16 (61.5%) 12 (46.2%) 10 (38.5%) 19 (73.1%) 22 (84.6%) 18 (43.9%) 26 (63.4%) 22 (53.7%) 14 (34.1%) 11 (26.9%) 12 (29.3%) 26 (63.4%) 1.279 1.389 1.221 1.352 1.369 6.055 2.177 0.537–2.021 0.642–2.136 0.473–1.969 0.664–2.041 0.708–2.029 3.417–8.663 1.466–2.888 0.836 0.708 0.879 0.724 0.713 <0.001 0.030 7 (26.9%) 6 (23.1%) 6 (23.1%) 10 (38.5%) 19 (73.1%) 14 (53.8%) 24 (92.3%) 22 (84.6%) 19 (73.1%) 18 (69.2%) 16 (61.5%) 37 (90.2%) 15 (36.6%) 19 (46.3%) 22 (53.7%) 19 (46.3%) 12 (29.3%) 18 (43.9%) 27 (65.9%) 15 (36.6%) 13 (31.7%) 14 (34.1%) 0.312 0.657 0.504 0.684 2.071 1.839 7.142 2.020 2.634 2.613 1.973 0.117–0.507 0.756–1.301 0.382–0.896 0.705–1.421 1.429–2.713 1.179–2.499 5.362–8.922 1.298–2.742 1.535–3.733 1.477–3.749 1.295–2.651 <0.001 0.424 0.039 0.572 0.033 0.048 <0.001 0.035 0.019 0.022 0.041 * Boldface type indicates a statistically significant value. † Understaining. ‡ Overstaining. 1196 J Neurosurg / Volume 121 / November 2014 Cell cycle regulators for atypical meningioma TABLE 5: Multivariate analysis of predisposing factors for recurrence of atypical meningioma, Cox proportional-hazards regression analysis Variable HR 95% CI p Value* extent of resection (incomplete vs complete) postop RT (no vs yes) IHC staining for p16 (<27% vs ≥27%) IHC staining for p15 (<73% vs ≥73%) IHC staining for p21 (<13% vs ≥13%) IHC staining for p27 (<43% vs ≥43%) IHC staining for CDK4 (≥30% vs <30%) IHC staining for CDK6 (≥17% vs <17%) IHC staining for pRB protein (≥25% vs <25%) IHC staining for cyclin D1 (≥48% vs <48%) MIB-1 index (≥6% vs <6%) mitotic number (≥8 vs <8) IHC staining for p53 (≥20% vs <20%) 4.513 2.106 3.214 1.783 2.143 1.415 1.988 3.427 2.854 1.628 2.665 2.438 2.296 2.872–6.154 0.981–3.231 2.012–4.416 0.934–2.632 0.972–3.004 0.859–1.971 0.981–2.995 2.437–4.417 1.839–3.869 0.839–2.417 1.425–3.905 1.273–3.603 1.194–3.398 <0.001 0.058 <0.001 0.157 0.054 0.326 0.112 <0.001 0.008 0.274 0.013 0.024 0.040 * Boldface type indicates a statistically significant value. separate RB protein into phosphorylated and unphosphorylated forms. Thus, the data from unphosphorylated RB proteins were intermingled with those from pRB proteins, which accounts for the different results. As mentioned earlier, pRB protein is important for transit into the S phase in the cell cycle. Therefore, interpretation of their results is limited. Clinically, recurrence rates vary between studies, depending on both the duration of follow-up and the number of patients studied. An analysis of some of these studies has shown that the patient’s age at diagnosis,20 complete resection or GTR,30 and postoperative radiotherapy20,33 are invariably associated with lower risks of atypical meningioma recurrence. As regards the extent of resection, which is a significant independent predictive factor of recurrence in atypical meningiomas as well as in meningiomas overall, many authors have reported similar results. The RFS rates have been reported as 62%–93% at 5 years after GTR and 25%–63% after subtotal resection.15,18,28 Results in the present study—those obtained through KaplanMeier survival analysis and the Cox proportional-hazards regression model—correspond well with these findings, suggesting that the most important factor in determining the likelihood of meningioma recurrence is the extent of tumor resection. In this study, postoperative radiotherapy was not an independent factor predicting the recurrence of atypical meningiomas in the multivariate analysis (Cox proportional-hazards regression model), and it showed only a tendency to predict a recurrence (p = 0.058). However, statistically significant, lower recurrence rates (chi-square test) and a longer time to recurrence (Mann-Whitney Utest and log-rank test) were found in the atypical meningioma patients who had received postoperative radiotherapy. In fact, many authors advocate adjuvant radiotherapy for the treatment of malignant meningiomas regardless of the extent of resection because of the extremely high rate J Neurosurg / Volume 121 / November 2014 of local recurrence.10,40 However, the optimal treatment for atypical meningiomas is still controversial. Atypical meningiomas are rare tumors often integrated with benign or malignant histologies when analysis is performed. A few studies have reported the outcomes and prognostic factors for solitary atypical meningiomas, but the results are inconsistent.1,20,26 Some investigators favor the early addition of postoperative radiotherapy even after GTR to achieve better local control.1,20 Others argue that the role of postoperative radiotherapy remains unclear.26,44 Therefore, more data are essential to establish the optimum postoperative treatment in patients with atypical meningioma. Despite inconsistent reports regarding the benefit of postoperative radiotherapy in atypical meningioma, a combined treatment approach using resection followed by postoperative radiotherapy has been commonly applied given this tumor type’s high recurrence rate and poor prognosis. As shown in our results, the completeness of resection is a well-known prognosticator of the local recurrence of high-risk meningiomas. Despite the contributions this study makes to the literature, it has several limitations. First, its main limitation is the inherent bias introduced by its retrospective nature. Indeed, it is difficult to provide sufficient statistical power from such a small number of patients (26) with a recurrence to prove reliable results. We attempted to reduce this bias by collecting patient data from complete medical and radiological records and by recruiting patients who had been treated using the same protocol. Although the pathological slides and radiological images were independently reviewed by multiple investigators, without any information on the patients to reduce the bias, we cannot say clearly that no bias originated from this retrospective study. Thus, to improve this weakness, the conclusions drawn from our data need further validation through prospective and randomized clinical trials in a larger number of cases. Second, we analyzed the cell cycle regulators only at the protein level by using immunohistochemical staining. 1197 M. S. Kim et al. Although the molecular and genetic alterations underlying the progression of meningiomas are still poorly understood, cytogenetic studies have indicated that atypical and anaplastic meningiomas frequently show complex numerical and structural aberrations involving several chromosomes associated with cell cycle regulators. Therefore, given our limited focus on cell-cycle regulatory proteins, our study cannot explain all the mechanisms in the genetic and molecular biological processes involved. Third, we did not deal with neurofibromatosis in these meningiomas. However, accompanying conditions, such as neurofibromatosis Type 2 (NF2), can also contribute to prognosis. Patients with NF2 are known to have meningiomas at a relatively younger age and an increased chance of multicentricity, findings that have been confirmed by subsequent research.46 Moreover, a higher incidence of NF2 has been reported in patients with WHO Grade II and III meningiomas.37 Perry et al. also noted a higher incidence of atypical and malignant meningiomas in patients with NF2. Another interesting finding from the Perry study was the greater loss of p16 in patients with NF; that is, 70% of NF cases showed p16 loss. Nevertheless, we did not exclude the possibility of interference by NF2 in our cases. The fourth limitation is that we did not examine all the cell-cycle regulatory proteins that may be implicated. The cell-cycle control system is a cyclical biochemical device constructed from a set of interacting proteins that induce and coordinate proper progression through the cycle, and includes the cyclins, CDKs, and their CDK inhibitors. However, we studied a specific aspect of the cellcycle control system, especially the transmission from G1 to the S phase. This may have biased the interpretation of our results, because some interactions between regulatory proteins were not considered. Finally, despite the interpretation of sample immunoreactivity by two different neuropathologists, we are unsure if the results are absolutely correct because the interpretation of many immunohistochemical stains is qualitative and subjective. Proper interpretation of most immunohistochemical stains depends to some extent on estimating antigen content and in establishing cutoff levels between positive and negative results. Reasonable reproducibility from run to run is essential for these cutoff levels to work. Additionally, threshold levels require adjustment to methodology, in particular to method sensitivity. For this reason, we used specificity-sensitivity testing to determine the optimal cutoff level. However, to ensure reproducibility, additional studies are necessary. Conclusions In this study, we investigated the prognostic value of several cell-cycle regulatory proteins in predicting the recurrence of atypical meningiomas after resection. We found that p16, CDK6, and pRB protein are associated with the recurrence of atypical meningiomas. We also confirmed that proliferative markers, such as the MIB-1 labeling index, mitotic index, and p53, have a significant association with the recurrence of atypical meningiomas. Additionally, incomplete resection was associated with a 1198 higher recurrence rate. Nonetheless, further studies using sophisticated and systemically developed molecular biology techniques are required to examine this meningioma subtype further, especially to characterize the genetic process underlying the recurrence of atypical meningiomas. Acknowledgments The authors thank Yun Gyu Song, M.D., and Ha Young Lee, M.D. (Department of Radiology, Samsung Changwon Hospital), and Sun Sup Choi, M.D. (Department of Radiology, Dong-A University Medical Center), for their review of the neuroradiological images; Young Wook Kim, M.D. (Department of Biostatistics, Samsung Changwon Hospital), for assistance with the statistical analysis; Hyeon Wook Lee, M.D. (Department of Pathology, Samsung Changwon Hospital), and Dae Chul Kim, M.D. (Department of Pathology, Dong-A University Medical Center), for performing the immunohistochemical staining; and Young Min Choi, M.D. (Department of Radiation Oncology, Dong-A University Medical Center), for delivering the radiotherapy detailed in this work. Disclosure This study was financially supported by a Samsung Biomedical Research Institute grant (SMR-112171). The authors report no conflict of interest concerning the materials or methods used in this study or the findings specified in this paper. 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Yamasaki F, Yoshioka H, Hama S, Sugiyama K, Arita K, Kurisu K: Recurrence of meningiomas. Cancer 89:1102–1110, 2000 Manuscript submitted December 2, 2013. Accepted July 17, 2014. Please include this information when citing this paper: published online August 22, 2014; DOI: 10.3171/2014.7.JNS132661. Address correspondence to: Young Zoon Kim, M.D., Ph.D., Department of Neurosurgery and Division of Neurooncology, Samsung Changwon Hospital, Samsung Medical Center, Sungkyunkwan University School of Medicine, 158 Paryong-ro, Masanhoewon-gu, Changwon 630-723, Korea. email: [email protected]. J Neurosurg / Volume 121 / November 2014
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