Predicting life outcomes – supplemental material 1 Supplemental Materials Vocational Interests Assessed at the End of High School Predict Life Outcomes Assessed 10 Years Later Over and Above IQ and Big Five Personality Traits by G. Stoll et al., 2016, Journal of Personality and Social Psychology http://dx.doi.org/10.1037/pspp0000117 Reliability and Validity of the AIST-R Because the AIST-R is published only in the German language and most readers will not have access to the manual, some additional information about the reliability and validity of the AIST-R—as provided in the test manual (Bergmann & Eder, 2005)—is summarized here. Sample items for each of the six scales of the AIST-R are provided in Table 6. Reliabilities in terms of internal consistency are good. Cronbach’s alphas range from α = .82 for Artistic and Conventional to α = .87 for Social and Enterprising. Re-test reliabilities over a two-day interval range between rtt =.83 for Conventional and rtt =.96 for Realistic. Retest reliabilities over a two-year interval range between rtt =.60 for Conventional and rtt =.75 for Realisitic. The AIST-R shows convergent validity with other inventories measuring vocational interests. For example, the corresponding scales of the AIST-R and the Explorix (Jörin, Stoll, Bergmann & Eder, 2004)—the German adaptation of the Self-Directed Search (Holland, 1985)—show convergent validity, with correlations ranging from r = .62 for Realistic interest and r = .75 for Enterprising interest. In addition, the scales of the AIST-R show moderate associations with the Big Five personality traits as measured with the German version of the NEO-FFI (Borkenau & Ostendorf, 1993). The correlation pattern between the two inventories indicates discriminant validity for the AIST-R in reference to a Big Five measure. In line with meta-analytic results (Larson, Rottinghaus, & Borgen, 2002), the highest associations for males and females were found between Artistic–Openness (r=.50/.62), Enterprising– Predicting life outcomes – supplemental material 2 Extraversion (r=.48/.39), Social–Extraversion (r=.31/19), Investigative–Openness (r=.39/.32), and Social–Agreeableness (r=.34/.31). There are significant gender differences in the RIASEC scales measured by the AISTR. These gender differences correspond to the gender differences typically found in other countries and with different measures of vocational interest. In line with meta-analytic results (Su, Rounds, & Armstrong, 2009), on the AIST-R, men score higher on Realistic (d = 1.40) and Investigative (d = 0.68) interests, whereas women score higher on Artistic (d = 0.72) and Social (d = 0.93) interests. In deviation with meta-analytic results (Su et al., 2009), on the AIST-R, males score higher on Conventional interest than females (d = 0.17). As the AIST-R manual (Bergmann & Eder, 2005) does not provide extensive information about its structural validity, we refer to an independent study that investigated the structure of vocational interest as assessed with the AIST-R in two German samples (Nagy, Trautwein, & Lüdtke, 2010). Structural analyses using two different methods—the randomization test of hypothesized order relations (RTOR) and confirmatory factor analysis (CFA)—show that the AIST-R measures vocational interests according to Holland’s circular representation. CFA analyses also revealed that interest structure is reasonably invariant between high school and university students, but that the configurations for high school females and males differ. In particular, females seem to differentiate less between Realistic and Investigative interests at the end of high school. To eliminate the possibility that a lack of differentiation may affect the interpretation of the six RIASEC interests, we conducted separate structural tests using circular unidimensional scaling (Armstrong, Hubert, & Rounds, 2003) on males and females. The circular unidimensional scaling procedure incorporates three steps: determination of the optimal ordering of the six types, estimation of inflection points in the circular structure, and estimation of the distances between the types in the circular structure (see Armstrong, et al., Predicting life outcomes – supplemental material 3 2003). Provided results include the optimal ordering of the six types, the set of distances between the types in the circular structure that fits the data best, and the amount of variance accounted (VAF) for by the best fitting model. For our data set, results indicate that for both females and males, the optimal circular ordering of the six types was the RIASEC ordering as specified by Holland. We provide a visual representation of the obtained quasi-circumplex structures for males and females in Figure 1. The numeric values within the circular structures indicate the proportion of the circle represented by the distances between each pair of adjacent types. Comparing the results of the two subsamples indicates that the distances between interest types in the two quasi-circumplex structures are not identical: The distance between Realistic and Investigative was .10 for males and .04 for females, whereas the distance between Social and Enterprising was .10 for males and .23 for females. In addition, the male AIST-R data (VAF = .92) fit the circulant model better than the female AIST-R data (VAF = .76). Nevertheless, the revealed VAF values both exceeded the cutoff value of .60 necessary for a good fit of the quasi-circumplex model (Armstrong, et al., 2003). In addition, VAF values in our sample were comparable to the VAF values for different U.S. racial-ethnic groups on the UNIACT Interest Inventory (Swaney, 1995) and the Strong Interests Inventory (Harmon, Hansen, Borgen, & Hammer, 1994), which ranged from .61 to .95 (Armstrong et al., 2003). These results demonstrate that the AIST-R scales measure vocational interest according to Holland’s structural assumptions. Predicting life outcomes – supplemental material 4 References Armstrong, P. I., Hubert, L., & Rounds, J., (2003). Circular Unidimensional Scaling: A new look at group differences in interest structure. Journal of Counseling Psychology, 50(3), 297–308. doi: 10.1037/0022-0167.50 Bergmann, C., & Eder, F. (2005). Allgemeiner Interessen-Struktur-Test mit Umwelt-StrukturTest (UST-R) —Revision. [General Interest Structure Test and Environmental Structure Test – Revision]. Göttingen, Germany: Beltz. Borkenau, P., & Ostendorf, F. (1993). NEO-Fünf-Faktoren Inventar nach Costa und McCrae. [NEO Five Factor Inventory after Costa and McCrae]. Göttingen: Hogrefe. Harmon, L. W., Hansen, J. C., Borgen, F. H., & Hammer, A. L. (1994). Strong Interest Inventory applications and technical guide. Stanford, CA: Stanford University Press. Holland, J. L. (1985). The self-directed search. Psychological Assessment Resources. Jörin, S., Stoll, F., Bergmann, C., & Eder, F. (2004). EXPLORIX – das Werkzeug zur Berufswahl und Laufbahnplanung. Deutschsprachige Adaptation und Weiterentwicklung des Self-Directed Search (SDS) nach John Holland (Testmanual). [EXPLORIX – the tool for occupational choices and career planning. German adaptation and development of John Holland’s Self-Directed Search (SDS), testmanual]. Bern, Switzerland: Huber. Larson, L. M., Rottinghaus, P. J. & Borgen, F. H. (2002). Meta‐analyses of Big Six interests and Big Five personality factors. Journal of Vocational Behavior, 61(2), 217–239. Nagy, G., Trautwein, U., & Lüdtke, O. (2010). The structure of vocational interests in Germany: Different methodologies, different conclusions. Journal of Vocational Behavior, 76(2), 153–169. doi:10.1016/j.jvb.2007.07.002 Predicting life outcomes – supplemental material 5 Su, R., Rounds J. & Armstrong, P. I. (2009). Men and things, women and people: A metaanalysis of sex differences in interests. Psychological Bulletin, 135, 859–884. doi:10.1037/a0017364 Swaney, K. B. (1995). Technical manual: Revised unisex edition of the ACT Interest Inventory (UNIACT). Iowa City, IA: American College Testing. Predicting life outcomes – supplemental material 6 Table 7. Sample items for the six AIST-R scales Scale Sample items Working with machines or technical devices Realistic Doing physically straining work Investigative Working in an experimental laboratory Dealing with unexplored things Artistic Creating something according to artistic/aesthetic aspects Reading and interpreting poetry/ literature Social Taking care of and supervising other people Teaching or nurturing someone Enterprising Leading a group at work Advertising for something Conventional Doing the bookkeeping/accountancy Collecting, organizing and administering things Note. A person who was raised bilingually translated the sample items into English. Predicting life outcomes – supplemental material 7 Table 8. Logistic Regression Models Predicting Full-Time Employment Model 1 Predictors OR [95% CI] Gender (f = 1) 0.25 Gradea Model 2 p OR [95% CI] [0.18, 0.34] .000 0.24 0.91 [0.79, 1.04] .173 HSES 0.95 [0.83, 1.08] Cognitive ability 1.03 [0.90, 1.18] Model 3 p OR [95% CI] [0.18, 0.33] .000 0.45 0.93 [0.81, 1.08] .343 .418 0.97 [0.85, 1.10] .637 1.04 Neuroticism Model 4 p OR [95% CI] p [0.32, 0.64] .000 0.43 [0.30, 0.61] .000 0.92 [0.79, 1.07] .274 0.94 [0.81, 1.10] .449 .606 0.99 [0.87, 1.14] .902 0.99 [0.87, 1.13] .897 [0.90, 1.19] .605 0.91 [0.78, 1.05] .176 0.91 [0.79, 1.05] .209 1.05 [0.90, 1.22] .574 1.08 [0.92, 1.27] .373 Extraversion 1.10 [0.95, 1.27] .204 1.06 [0.89, 1.25] .529 Openness 0.87 [0.75, 1.01] .063 1.06 [0.88, 1.28] .556 Agreeableness 0.89 [0.78, 1.03] .118 1.00 [0.85, 1.18] .9986 Conscientiousness 1.32 [1.14, 1.53] .000 1.13 [0.96, 1.32] .134 Controls Personality Interests Realistic 1.36 [1.11, 1.67] .003 1.38 [1.12, 1.69] .002 Investigative 1.06 [0.90, 1.25] .485 1.04 [0.87, 1.24] .661 Artistic 0.71 [0.61, 0.83] .000 0.70 [0.58, 0.85] .000 Social 0.74 [0.63, 0.88] .000 0.74 [0.62, 0.88] .001 Enterprising 1.32 [1.10, 1.57] .003 1.28 [1.04, 1.58] .022 Conventional 1.18 [0.98, 1.43] .085 1.16 [0.96, 1.40] .130 PSEUDO R² AIC SBIC a .13 .16 .22 .22 156562.22 156561.20 156574.14 156572.07 157152.24 157151.21 157164.15 157162.09 Note. N = 3,023; Lower final grade indicates higher achievement. Coefficients in bold are statistically significant (p < .05, two-tailed). Predicting life outcomes – supplemental material 8 Table 9. Logistic Regression Models Predicting Unemployment Model 1 Predictors OR [95% CI] Gender (f = 1) 1.34 Gradea Model 2 p OR [95% CI] [1.05, 1.70] .017 1.42 1.39 [1.23, 1.57] .000 HSES 1.04 [0.91, 1.18] Cognitive ability 0.90 [0.79, 1.03] Model 3 p OR [95% CI] [1.09, 1.84] .010 1.07 1.37 [1.20, 1.57] .000 .573 1.02 [0.89, 1.17] .135 0.89 Neuroticism Model 4 p OR [95% CI] p [0.80, 1.43] .643 1.20 [0.88,1.63] .259 1.41 [1.24, 1.60] .000 1.36 [1.19, 1.55] .000 .776 1.02 [0.89, 1.16] .820 1.02 [0.89, 1.163] .793 [0.77, 1.01] .078 0.94 [0.81, 1.08] .360 0.92 [0.80, 1.05] .211 0.92 [0.80, 1.05] .220 0.91 [0.79, 1.06] .226 Extraversion 0.92 [0.81, 1.06] .249 0.94 [0.81, 1.10] .467 Openness 1.28 [1.13, 1.45] .000 1.15 [0.96, 1.38] .123 Agreeableness 0.81 [0.72, 0.92] .001 0.81 [0.70, 0.93] .003 Conscientiousness 0.75 [0.66, 0.86] .000 0.78 [0.68, 0.90] .001 Controls Personality Interests Realistic 0.87 [0.76, 1.01] .063 0.89 [0.77, 1.04] .148 Investigative 1.03 [0.88, 1.19] .745 0.97 [0.82, 1.15] .741 Artistic 1.44 [1.24, 1.68] .000 1.27 [1.03, 1.56] .027 Social 0.88 [0.76, 1.00] .055 0.95 [0.82, 1.09] .441 Enterprising 0.97 [0.81, 1.16] .738 0.95 [0.77, 1.18] .655 Conventional 0.91 [0.78, 1.06] .226 0.99 [0.85, 1.16] .898 PSEUDO R² AIC SBIC a .05 .10 .08 .11 156709.45 156709.59 156712.73 156710.86 157299.47 157299.60 157302.74 157300.88 Note. N = 3,023; Lower final grade indicates higher achievement. Coefficients in bold are statistically significant (p < .05, two-tailed). Predicting life outcomes – supplemental material 9 Table 10. Linear Regression Models Predicting Gross Income Model 1 Predictors β [95% CI] Model 2 p β .000 -0.41 [95% CI] Model 3 p β .000 -0.18 [95% CI] Model 4 p β .012 -0.20 Model 5 p β [-0.34, -0.06] .005 -0.10 [-0.22, 0.03] .121 [-0.20, -0.07] .000 -0.13 [-0.19, -0.08] .000 [95% CI] [95% CI] p Controls Gender (f = 1) -0.46 [-0.57, -0.35] [-0.53, -0.30] [-0.31, -0.04] Gradea -0.13 [-0.19, -0.07] .000 -0.14 [-0.20, -0.08] .000 -0.13 [-0.19, -0.07] .000 -0.13 HSES 0.01 [-0.05, 0.07] .682 0.02 [-0.03, 0.08] .427 0.03 [-0.03, 0.09] .290 0.03 [-0.03, 0.09] .274 0.03 [-0.02, 0.08] .278 .638 -0.01 [-0.06, 0.04] .780 0.01 [-0.04, 0.06] .749 Cognitive ability 0.03 [-0.03, 0.08] .317 0.03 [-0.02, 0.08] .287 -0.01 [-0.06, 0.04] Neuroticism -0.03 [-0.10, 0.04] .346 -0.01 [-0.08, 0.06] .777 -0.02 [-0.08, 0.05] .601 Extraversion 0.98 [0.03, 0.16] .003 0.08 [0.01, 0.15] .025 0.07 [0.00, 0.13] .037 [-0.11, 0.02] .167 -0.05 [-0.11, 0.02] .134 Personality Openness -0.13 [-0.20, -0.07] .000 -0.05 Agreeableness -0.10 [-0.16, -0.03] .003 -0.05 [-0.12, 0.02] .137 -0.04 [-0.11, 0.02] .170 0.10 [0.04, 0.17] .003 0.05 [-0.02, 0.12] .144 0.04 [-0.03, 0.11] .249 Conscientiousness Interests Realistic 0.12 [0.04, 0.19] .002 0.11 [0.04, 0.18] .004 0.06 [0.00, 0.13] .040 Investigative -0.01 [-0.09, 0.05] .606 -0.01 [-0.08, 0.06] .826 -0.02 [-0.08, 0.05] .633 Artistic -0.20 [-0.27, -0.13] .000 -0.16 [-0.23, -0.08] .000 -0.10 [-0.18, -0.03] .005 Social -0.13 [-0.19, -0.06] .000 -0.12 [-0.18, -0.05] .001 -0.06 [-0.13, 0.00] .053 Enterprising 0.20 [0.13, 0.28] .000 0.14 [0.06, 0.23] .001 0.11 [0.02, 0.20] .012 Conventional 0.00 [-0.07, 0.08] .917 0.00 [-0.07, 0.08] .908 -0.03 [-0.10, 0.04] .388 0.94 [0.76, 1.13] .000 Full-time employ. R² .07 .12 .15 .16 .30 AIC 158334.08 158334.08 158334.08 158334.08 159500.09 SBIC 158926.93 158926.93 158926.93 158926.93 160144.00 Note. N = 3,023; a Lower final grade indicates higher achievement; Coefficients in bold are statistically significant (p < .05, two-tailed). Predicting life outcomes – supplemental material 10 Table 11. Logistic Regression Models Predicting Marriage Model 1 Predictors OR [95% CI] 1.25 Model 2 p OR [95% CI] [0.95, 1.65] .118 1.23 1.09 [0.97, 1.22] .155 HSES 0.91 [0.80, 1.04] Cognitive ability 1.10 [0.97, 1.25] Model 3 p OR [95% CI] [0.92, 1.65] .169 1.17 1.14 [1.00, 1.30] .054 .171 0.92 [0.80, 1.05] .145 1.12 Neuroticism Model 4 p OR [95% CI] p [0.83, 1.66] .375 1.14 [0.80, 1.62] .477 1.05 [0.93, 1.19] .460 1.10 [0.96, 1.27] .164 .207 0.93 [0.81, 1.08] .342 0.93 [0.81, 1.07] .316 [0.98, 1.28] .099 1.09 [0.96, 1.25] .188 1.12 [0.98, 1.28] .105 0.98 [0.85, 1.13] .811 0.96 [0.83, 1.11] .609 Extraversion 1.01 [0.89, 1.14] .901 1.04 [0.90, 1.21] .589 Openness 0.90 [0.79, 1.03] .113 1.02 [0.85, 1.23] .809 Agreeableness 1.09 [0.95, 1.25] .205 0.97 [0.83, 1.14] .609 Conscientiousness 1.29 [1.11, 1.50] .001 1.26 [1.08, 1.48] .003 Controls Gender (f = 1) Grade a Personality Interests Realistic 1.13 [0.97, 1.31] .130 1.13 [0.97, 1.32] .123 Investigative 0.87 [0.75, 1.02] .090 0.85 [0.72, 1.00] .049 Artistic 0.79 [0.69, 0.91] .002 0.82 [0.68,1.00] .048 Social 1.41 [1.20, 1.66] .000 1.42 [1.19, 1.69] .000 Enterprising 0.82 [0.69, 0.97] .023 0.77 [0.63, 0.94] .010 Conventional 1.29 [1.08, 1.54] .004 1.23 [1.03, 1.48] .025 PSEUDO R² .01 .04 .05 .06 AIC 156647.45 156645.16 156649.06 156647.54 SBIC 157237.46 157235.17 157239.07 157237.55 Note. N = 3,023; a Lower final grade indicates higher achievement; Coefficients in bold are statistically significant (p < .05, two-tailed). Predicting life outcomes – supplemental material 11 Table 12. Logistic Regression Models Predicting Stable Relationship Model 1 Predictors OR [95% CI] Gender (f = 1) 1.31 Gradea Model 2 p OR [95% CI] [1.01, 1.71] .044 1.24 0.97 [0.85, 1.10] .621 HSES 1.03 [0.91, 1.17] Cognitive ability 1.03 [0.91, 1.17] Model 3 p OR [95% CI] [0.94, 1.64] .129 1.52 0.95 [0.83, 1.10] .509 .639 1.03 [0.91, 1.16] .649 1.04 Neuroticism Model 4 p OR [95% CI] p [1.12, 2.04] .006 1.46 [1.06, 2.01] .022 0.98 [0.85, 1.13] .758 0.96 [0.82, 1.12] .582 .664 1.03 [0.91, 1.17] .660 1.03 [0.91, 1.17] .626 [0.92, 1.18] .523 1.02 [0.89, 1.17] .777 1.01 [0.89, 1.16] .854 1.03 [0.73, 1.45] .881 1.02 [0.87, 1.19] .812 Extraversion 1.88 [1.33, 2.67] .000 1.26 [1.09, 1.47] .003 Openness 1.02 [0.78, 1.33] .900 1.08 [0.92, 1.27] .347 Agreeableness 1.06 [0.79, 1.43] .693 1.04 [0.93, 1.16] .525 Conscientiousness 1.16 [0.83, 1.60] .385 1.01 [0.87, 1.19] .863 Controls Personality Interests Realistic 1.09 [0.94, 1.26] .257 1.09 [0.94, 1.26] .250 Investigative 1.03 [0.89, 1.20] .669 1.03 [0.87, 1.21] .766 Artistic 0.86 [0.75, 0.99] .029 0.85 [0.72, 1.01] .068 Social 1.03 [0.88, 1.20] .726 1.00 [0.85, 1.17] .962 Enterprising 1.21 [1.02, 1.43] .029 1.07 [0.88, 1.29] .512 Conventional 0.99 [0.84, 1.18] .931 1.05 [0.87, 1.26] .633 PSEUDO R² AIC SBIC a .01 .03 .02 .04 130729.97 130730.23 130732.71 156817.40 131319.99 131320.24 131322.73 157407.41 Note. N = 3,023; Lower final grade indicates higher achievement; Coefficients in bold are statistically significant (p < .05, two-tailed). Predicting life outcomes – supplemental material 12 Table 13. Logistic Regression Models Predicting whether a Person Had Children Model 1 Predictors OR [95% CI] 1.67 Model 2 p OR [95% CI] [1.24, 2.26] .001 1.63 1.19 [1.05, 1.36] .008 HSES 0.95 [0.81, 1.11] Cognitive ability 1.06 [0.93, 1.22] Model 3 p OR [95% CI] [1.18, 2.25] .003 1.36 1.21 [1.04, 1.39] .011 .497 0.94 [0.81, 1.10] .396 1.06 Neuroticism Model 4 p OR [95% CI] p [0.96, 1.91] .083 1.32 [0.93, 1.89] .123 1.14 [0.99, 1.31] .062 1.16 [0.99, 1.34] .060 .463 0.95 [0.81, 1.11] .512 0.94 [0.80, 1.11] .486 [0.93, 1.22] .381 1.08 [0.93, 1.26] .294 1.08 [0.93, 1.26] .287 0.95 [0.81, 1.12] .567 0.93 [0.79, 1.09] .350 Extraversion 1.11 [0.95, 1.31] .195 1.23 [1.04, 1.45] .016 Openness 1.00 [0.87, 1.16] .979 1.07 [0.88, 1.23] .483 Agreeableness 1.07 [0.93, 1.24] .361 0.92 [0.78, 1.08] .297 Conscientiousness 1.11 [0.96, 1.27] .156 1.13 [0.98, 1.31] .092 Controls Gender (f = 1) Grade a Personality Interests Realistic 1.07 [0.90, 1.28] .455 1.07 [0.89, 1.29] .468 Investigative 0.89 [0.75, 1.05] .163 0.87 [0.72, 1.04] .122 Artistic 0.95 [0.81, 1.13] .572 0.98 [0.80, 1.20] .844 Social 1.46 [1.23, 1.72] .000 1.48 [1.24, 1.76] .000 Enterprising 0.76 [0.62, 0.94] .009 0.64 [0.51, 0.80] .000 Conventional 1.23 [1.02, 1.47] .027 1.28 [1.06, 1.54] .011 PSEUDO R² .03 .04 .06 .08 AIC 156590.20 156590.04 156593.96 156593.18 SBIC 157180.22 157180.06 157183.97 157183.19 Note. N = 3,023; a Lower final grade indicates higher achievement; Coefficients in bold are statistically significant (p < .05, two-tailed). Predicting life outcomes – supplemental material 13 Table 14. Logistic Regression Models Predicting whether a Person Had Never Had a Relationship Model 1 Predictors OR [95% CI] 0.62 Model 2 p OR [95% CI] [0.42, 0.91] .015 0.59 0.96 [0.78, 1.12] .732 HSES 0.85 [0.69, 1.06] Cognitive ability 1.02 [0.84, 1.24] Model 3 p OR [95% CI] [0.39, 0.88] .009 0.47 1.01 [0.81, 1.27] .910 .158 0.87 [0.69, 1.09] .869 1.02 Neuroticism Model 4 p OR [95% CI] p [0.29, 0.75] .002 0.43 [0.26, 0.72] .001 0.91 [0.72, 1.15] .442 0.97 [0.77, 1.23] .800 .230 0.88 [0.70, 1.11] .279 0.88 [0.70, 1.11] .292 [0.83, 1.24] .884 1.01 [0.82, 1.24] .945 1.05 [0.85, 1.29] .660 1.23 [0.99, 1.53] .064 1.22 [0.96, 1.53] .099 Extraversion 0.62 [0.51, 0.76] .000 0.71 [0.57, 0.89] .002 Openness 0.91 [0.75, 1.11] .369 0.87 [0.67, 1.23] .288 Agreeableness 1.12 [0.90, 1.40] .314 1.00 [0.80, 1.26] .978 Conscientiousness 1.06 [0.86, 1.31] .563 1.18 [0.95, 1.48] .139 Controls Gender (f = 1) Grade a Personality Interests Realistic 1.00 [0.79, 1.26] .984 0.99 [0.78, 1.27] .959 Investigative 0.81 [0.63, 1.04] .094 0.82 [0.63, 1.07] .147 Artistic 1.28 [0.99, 1.66] .063 1.32 [0.95, 1.85] .101 Social 1.13 [0.85, 1.50] .419 1.16 [0.88, 1.54] .292 Enterprising 0.51 [0.38, 0.68] .000 0.64 [0.46, 0.88] .006 1.32 [1.02, 1.72] .037 1.13 [0.87, 1.48] .361 Conventional PSEUDO R² .02 .11 .10 .14 AIC 156030.60 156031.55 156034.07 156032.65 SBIC 156620.61 156621.56 156624.09 156622.67 Note. N = 3,023; a Lower final grade indicates higher achievement; Coefficients in bold are statistically significant (p < .05, two-tailed). Predicting life outcomes – supplemental material 14 Table 15. Linear Regression Models Predicting Health Complaints Model 1 β Predictors [95% CI] Model 2 p β [95% CI] Model 3 p β [95% CI] Model 4 p β [95% CI] p Controls Gender (f = 1) 0.39 [0.28, 0.50] .000 0.35 [0.23, 0.47] .000 0.36 [0.22, 0.49] .000 0.35 [0.22, 0.49] .000 Gradea 0.07 [0.00, 0.12] .019 0.07 [0.01, 0.12] .031 0.07 [0.01, 0.12] .025 0.06 [0.00, 0.12] .048 HSES -0.08 [-0.13, -0.03] .002 -0.08 [-0.13, -0.03] .001 -0.08 [-0.13, -0.03] .001 -0.08 [-0.13, -0.03] .001 Cognitive ability -0.04 [-0.10, 0.01] .127 -0.03 [-0.08, 0.02] .260 -0.04 [-0.09, 0.02] .163 -0.03 [-0.08, 0.02] .303 Neuroticism 0.20 [0.14, 0.26] .000 0.20 [0.14, 0.26] .000 Extraversion -0.05 [-0.12, 0.01] .087 -0.07 [-0.14, -0.01] .023 0.06 [0.01, 0.11] .028 0.04 [-0.02, 0.11] .188 Agreeableness -0.11 [-0.17, -0.06] .000 -0.10 [-0.15, -0.04] .001 Conscientiousness -0.04 [-0.09, 0.02] .187 -0.04 [-0.09, 0.02] .196 Personality Openness Interests Realistic -0.00 [-0.06, 0.01] .980 0.02 [-0.04, 0.08] .529 Investigative -0.01 [-0.07, 0.04] .660 -0.03 [-0.09, 0.03] .309 Artistic 0.11 [0.05, 0.18] .000 0.04 [-0.03, 0.10] .283 Social -0.05 [-0.11, -0.01] .082 -0.03 [-0.09, 0.03] .346 Enterprising -0.02 [-0.09, 0.05] .590 0.06 [-0.03, 0.14] .176 Conventional -0.00 [-0.07, 0.07] .979 -0.02 [-0.09, 0.05] .575 R² AIC SBIC a .06 .14 .07 .14 159034.083 159034.083 159034.083 159034.083 159626.935 159626.935 159626.935 159626.935 Note. N = 3,023; Lower final grade indicates higher achievement; Coefficients in bold are statistically significant (p < .05, two-tailed). Predicting life outcomes – supplemental material 15 Table 16. Linear Regression Models Predicting Health Social Comparison Model 1 Predictors β [95% CI] Model 2 p β [95% CI] Model 3 p β [95% CI] Model 4 p β [95% CI] p Controls Gender (f = 1) -0.22 [-0.33, -0.12] .000 -0.20 [-0.30, -0.09] .000 -0.14 [-0.26, -0.02] .018 -0.15 [-0.27, -0.03] .013 -0.01 [-0.07, 0.04] .597 -0.01 [-0.06, 0.05] .868 -0.02 [-0.08, 0.04] .522 -0.01 [-0.06, 0.06] .894 0.08 [0.03, 0.14] .003 0.09 [0.03, 0.14] .001 0.09 [0.03, 0.14] .001 0.09 [0.03, 0.14] .001 -0.02 [-0.07, 0.03] .478 -0.03 [-0.08, 0.03] .350 -0.03 [-0.08, 0.03] .317 -0.03 [-0.09, 0.02] .255 Neuroticism -0.12 [-0.18, -0.06] .000 -0.12 [-0.18, -0.06] .000 Extraversion 0.05 [-0.01, 0.11] .104 0.05 [-0.02, 0.12] .144 -0.05 [-0.10, 0.01] .113 -0.00 [-0.08, 0.07] .907 Agreeableness 0.05 [-0.01, 0.10] .114 0.04 [-0.03, 0.10] .281 Conscientiousness 0.08 [0.02, 0.14] .013 0.08 [0.01, 0.14] .020 Grade a HSES Cognitive ability Personality Openness Interests Realistic 0.05 [-0.02, 0.11] .148 0.04 [-0.02, 0.10] .209 Investigative -0.01 [-0.08, 0.06] .808 -0.01 [-0.08, 0.07] .814 Artistic -0.13 [-0.19 -0.08] .000 -0.09 [-0.16, -0.02] .014 Social 0.04 [-0.03, 0.10] .268 0.03 [-0.04, 0.10] .393 Enterprising 0.07 [-0.01, 0.14] .077 0.00 [-0.09, 0.09] Conventional -0.03 [-0.10, 0.04] .427 -0.03 [-0.10, 0.05] .941 .522 R² .02 .06 .03 .07 AIC 159208.57 159208.57 159208.57 159208.57 SBIC 159801.43 159801.43 159801.43 159801.43 Note. N = 3,023; a Lower final grade indicates higher achievement; Coefficients in bold are statistically significant (p < .05, two-tailed). Predicting life outcomes – supplemental material 16 Table 17. Logistic Regression Models Predicting Full-Time Employment Male Predictors ORm [95% CI] Gradea 1.07 HSES Cognitive ability Female p ORf [95% CI] [0.78, 1.47] .683 0.91 [0.76, 1.10] 0.97 [0.71, 1.31] .832 0.99 1.11 [0.82, 1.50] .489 Neuroticism 1.30 [0.92, 1.85] Extraversion 1.18 Openness difference p ORf -ORm SE p .328 -0.16 0.20 .421 [0.84, 1.16] .880 0.02 0.18 .909 0.86 [0.73, 1.02] .085 -0.25 0.18 .178 .138 1.02 [0.86, 1.21] .846 -0.28 0.25 .248 [0.82, 1.70] .383 1.02 [0.85, 1.22] .867 -0.16 0.23 .486 0.86 [0.59, 1.24] .412 1.11 [0.89, 1.39] .353 0.25 0.21 .223 Agreeableness 0.98 [0.75, 1.29] .898 1.01 [0.84, 1.21] .913 0.03 0.15 .854 Conscientiousness 1.19 [0.86, 1.63] .292 1.12 [0.94, 1.33] .219 -0.07 0.22 .747 Realistic 1.65 [1.10, 2.49] .015 1.26 [1.00, 1.60] .052 -0.39 0.35 .278 Investigative 1.15 [0.79, 1.67] .461 1.00 [0.82, 1.22] .999 -0.15 0.24 .524 Artistic 0.95 [0.60, 1.51] .827 0.65 [0.52, 0.80] .000 -0.30 0.23 .191 Social 0.80 [0.55, 1.17] .251 0.70 [0.58, 0.86] .001 -0.10 0.17 .572 Enterprising 1.24 [0.82, 1.88] .318 1.30 [1.02, 1.65] .035 0.06 0.31 .847 Conventional 1.51 [0.96, 2.36] .23 .074 1.08 [0.88,1.33] .11 .478 -0.43 0.36 .233 Controls Personality Interests (PSEUDO) R² AIC 155573.766 SBIC 156633.916 Note. N = 3,017; a Lower final grade indicates higher achievement; coefficients in bold are statistically significant (p < .05, two-tailed). Predicting life outcomes – supplemental material 17 Table 18. Logistic Regression Models Predicting Unemployment Male Predictors ORm [95% CI] Gradea 1.52 HSES Cognitive ability Female p ORf [95% CI] [1.20, 1.92] .000 1.28 [1.05, 1.56] 1.04 [0.84, 1.28] .719 1.02 0.97 [0.76, 1.23] .796 Neuroticism 0.91 [0.69, 1.20] Extraversion 0.95 Openness difference p ORf -ORm SE p .016 -0.24 0.24 .318 [0.85, 1.21] .869 -0.02 0.14 .865 0.89 [0.75, 1.05] .171 -0.08 0.14 .565 .504 0.91 [0.77, 1.09] .305 0.00 0.15 .984 [0.71, 1.28] .748 0.94 [0.78, 1.14] .554 -0.01 0.18 .959 0.94 [0.70, 1.27] .691 1.26 [1.01, 1.58] .041 0.32 0.20 .102 Agreeableness 0.73 [0.58, 0.93] .012 0.87 [0.72, 1.05] .146 0.14 0.13 .290 Conscientiousness 0.81 [0.62, 1.07] .141 0.76 [0.63, 0.93] .008 -0.05 0.15 .746 Realistic 0.85 [0.65, 1.03] .219 0.99 [0.81, 1.22] .935 0.14 0.15 .348 Investigative 0.84 [0.63, 1.11] .217 1.03 [0.82, 1.29] .789 0.19 0.17 .248 Artistic 1.46 [1.03, 2.08] .035 1.17 [0.91, 1.50] .228 -0.29 0.29 .312 Social 1.10 [0.82,1.46] .534 0.91 [0.77, 1.08] .283 -0.19 0.18 .311 Enterprising 0.87 [0.61, 1.25] .457 1.00 [0.77, 1.30] .979 0.13 0.20 .520 Conventional 1.00 [0.70, 1.42] .17 .981 0.95 [0.79, 1.14] .09 .557 -0.05 0.21 .818 Controls Personality Interests (PSEUDO) R² AIC 155716.092 SBIC 156776.243 Note. N = 3,017; a Lower final grade indicates higher achievement; coefficients in bold are statistically significant (p < .05, two-tailed). Predicting life outcomes – supplemental material 18 Table 19. Linear Regression Models Predicting Gross Income Male Predictors βm [95% CI] Female βf p [95% CI] difference p βm- βf SE p Controls Gradea -0.08 [-0.18, 0.01] .083 -0.18 [-0.27, -0.10] .000 0.10 0.07 .118 HSES 0.02 [-0.06, 0.10] .669 0.04 [-0.05, 0.12] .374 -0.02 0.06 .744 -0.01 [-0.09, 0.07] .822 -0.01 [-0.09, 0.06] .703 0.00 0.06 .926 Neuroticism 0.02 [-0.08, 0.12] .686 -0.04 [-0.13, 0.05] .425 0.06 0.07 .400 Extraversion Cognitive ability Personality 0.10 [-0.02, 0.22] .107 0.07 [-0.01, 0.15] .088 0.03 0.08 .706 Openness -0.04 [-0.16, 0.09] .571 -0.05 [-0.14, 0.03] .196 0.01 0.08 .809 Agreeableness -0.01 [-0.10, 0.09] .897 -0.09 [-0.19, 0.02] .113 0.08 0.08 .288 0.02 [-0.08, 0.12] .709 0.07 [-0.02, 0.16] .124 -0.05 0.07 .445 0.13 [0.06, 0.20] .000 0.08 [-0.03, 0.20] .147 0.05 0.06 .461 Investigative -0.02 [-0.11, 0.07] .645 -0.01 [-0.11, 0.10] .918 -0.01 0.07 .815 Artistic -0.14 [-0.25, -0.03] .016 -0.16 [-0.25, -0.06] .001 0.02 0.08 .824 Social -0.18 [-0.29, -0.07] .002 -0.09 [-0.18, 0.00] .054 -0.09 0.08 .225 Enterprising 0.17 [0.03, 0.30] .014 0.12 [-0.00, 0.24] .054 0.05 0.09 .601 Conventional 0.02 [-0.11, 0.16] .11 .717 0.01 [-0.09, 0.10] .13 .909 0.01 0.08 .819 Conscientiousness Interests Realistic (PSEUDO) R² AIC 157339.688 SBIC 158402.674 Note. N = 3,017; a Lower final grade indicates higher achievement; coefficients in bold are statistically significant (p < .05, two-tailed). Predicting life outcomes – supplemental material 19 Table 20. Logistic Regression Models Predicting Marriage Male Predictors ORm [95% CI] Gradea 1.06 HSES Cognitive ability Female p ORf [95% CI] [0.85, 1.32] .628 1.12 [0.93, 1.36] 0.85 [0.66, 1.10] .217 0.97 1.13 [0.89, 1.45] .309 Neuroticism 0.93 [0.72, 1.20] Extraversion 0.98 Openness difference p ORf -ORm SE p .237 0.06 0.17 .701 [0.82, 1.15] .745 0.12 0.14 .387 1.10 [0.92, 1.31] .281 -0.03 0.18 .858 .566 0.97 [0.80, 1.18] .773 0.04 0.16 .776 [0.74, 1.30] .876 1.08 [0.88, 1.33] .464 0.10 0.20 .602 1.04 [0.76, 1.41] .815 1.03 [0.81, 1.32] .811 -0.01 0.21 .974 Agreeableness 1.03 [0.81, 1.31] .803 0.93 [0.74, 1.16] .518 -0.10 0.16 .536 Conscientiousness 1.23 [0.96, 1.59] .103 1.26 [1.03, 1.54] .025 0.03 0.21 .896 Realistic 1.31 [1.00, 1.72] .048 1.00 [0.81, 1.23] .997 -0.31 0.22 .157 Investigative 0.77 [0.59, 1.01] .063 0.88 [0.72, 1.09] .243 0.11 0.15 .447 Artistic 0.85 [0.57, 1.27] .418 0.83 [0.67, 1.03] .094 -0.02 0.19 .930 Social 1.31 [0.97, 1.78] .075 1.48 [1.17, 1.88] .001 0.17 0.28 .544 Enterprising 1.01 [0.73, 1.40] .935 0.65 [0.51, 0.84] .001 -0.36 0.19 .054 Conventional 0.98 [0.72, 1.33] .06 .887 1.42 [1.15, 1.77] .08 .001 0.44 0.20 .029 Controls Personality Interests R² AIC 155661.056 SBIC 156721.207 Note. N = 3,017; a Lower final grade indicates higher achievement; coefficients in bold are statistically significant (p < .05, two-tailed). Predicting life outcomes – supplemental material 20 Table 21. Logistic Regression Models Predicting a Stable Relationship Male Predictors ORm [95% CI] Gradea 0.95 HSES Cognitive ability Female p ORf [95% CI] [0.76, 1.19] .655 0.95 [0.78, 1.16] 1.07 [0.88, 1.29] .506 1.03 0.98 [0.81, 1.19] .826 Neuroticism 1.02 [0.81, 1.29] Extraversion 1.28 Openness difference p ORf -ORm SE p .623 0.00 0.14 .987 [0.87, 1.22] .720 -0.04 0.14 .795 1.03 [0.87, 1.23] .715 0.05 0.13 .679 .857 1.03 [0.86, 1.25] .728 0.01 0.15 .934 [0.99, 1.66] .064 1.27 [1.05, 1.54] .016 -0.01 0.22 .961 1.44 [1.14, 1.83] .002 0.85 [0.68, 1.06] .150 -0.59 0.19 .002 Agreeableness 1.00 [0.83, 1.21] .973 1.08 [0.90, 1.29] .393 0.08 0.15 .598 Conscientiousness 1.02 [0.82, 1.29] .837 1.02 [0.83, 1.25] .887 -0.00 0.15 .952 Realistic 1.05 [0.87, 1.27] .623 1.22 [0.96, 1.54] .109 0.17 0.18 .344 Investigative 0.98 [0.76, 1.26] .883 1.05 [0.85, 1.31] .640 0.07 0.17 .665 Artistic 0.77 [0.57, 1.03] .081 0.97 [0.78, 1.21] .788 0.20 0.16 .206 Social 0.83 [0.61, 1.12] .217 1.10 [0.94, 1.33] .352 0.27 0.17 .103 Enterprising 1.18 [0.86, 1.62] .307 1.05 [0.84, 1.37] .716 -0.13 0.24 .592 Conventional 0.83 [0.62, 1.12] .06 .222 1.20 [0.94, 1.54] .06 .148 0.37 0.20 .062 Controls Personality Interests (PSEUDO) R² AIC 155805.632 SBIC 156865.782 Note. N = 3,017; a Lower final grade indicates higher achievement; coefficients in bold are statistically significant (p < .05, two-tailed). Predicting life outcomes – supplemental material 21 Table 22. Logistic Regression Models Predicting Having Children Male Predictors ORm [95% CI] Gradea 0.85 HSES Cognitive ability Female p ORf [95% CI] [0.67, 1.09] .194 1.33 [1.09, 1.61] 1.06 [0.78, 1.45] .701 0.90 1.03 [0.79, 1.35] .812 Neuroticism 1.14 [0.89, 1.46] Extraversion 1.72 Openness difference p ORf -ORm SE p .004 0.48 0.17 .005 [0.75, 1.08] .249 -0.16 0.18 .374 1.09 [0.90, 1.31] .389 0.06 0.18 .776 .296 0.83 [0.67, 1.03] .090 -0.31 0.17 .068 [1.23, 2.42] .002 1.05 [0.85, 1.30] .627 -0.67 0.33 .045 1.53 [1.06, 2.02] .024 0.88 [0.70, 1.10] .248 -0.65 0.30 .029 Agreeableness 0.87 [0.67, 1.36] .308 0.95 [0.77, 1.19] .675 0.08 0.16 .619 Conscientiousness 1.09 [0.84, 1.41] .523 1.18 [0.96, 1.45] .114 0.09 0.21 .650 Realistic 1.13 [0.84, 1.51] .426 1.09 [0.86, 1.40] .470 -0.04 0.21 .885 Investigative 0.73 [0.55, 0.98] .037 0.91 [0.72, 1.15] .428 0.18 0.15 .241 Artistic 1.07 [0.71, 1.63] .741 1.02 [0.79, 1.32] .866 -0.05 0.27 .849 Social 1.24 [0.87, 1.77] .236 1.50 [1.20, 1.89] .000 0.26 0.29 .369 Enterprising 0.62 [0.41, 0.94] .023 0.67 [0.50, 0.88] .005 0.05 0.17 .765 Conventional 1.01 [0.68, 1.49] .14 .979 1.37 [1.10, 1.71] .10 .005 0.36 0.26 .159 Controls Personality Interests (PSEUDO) R² AIC 155579.202 SBIC 156639.353 Note. N = 3,017; a Lower final grade indicates higher achievement; coefficients in bold are statistically significant (p < .05, two-tailed). Predicting life outcomes – supplemental material 22 Table 23. Logistic Regression Models Predicting Never Having Had a Relationship Male Predictors ORm [95% CI] Gradea 0.93 HSES Cognitive ability Female p ORf [95% CI] [0.67, 1.30] .673 1.05 [0.75, 1.46] 0.75 [0.55, 1.02] .064 0.98 1.10 [0.79, 1.53] .568 Neuroticism 1.07 [0.70, 1.63] Extraversion 0.86 Openness difference p ORf -ORm SE p .773 0.12 0.23 .608 [0.71, 1.37] .921 0.23 0.20 .239 1.04 [0.79, 1.38] .771 -0.06 0.23 .803 .761 1.25 [0.94, 1.66] .120 0.18 0.31 .546 [0.64, 1.17] .332 0.59 [0.42, 0.83] .003 -0.268 0.17 .115 0.69 [0.48, 1.01] .054 1.12 [0.77, 1.62] .560 0.426 0.26 .099 Agreeableness 1.07 [0.83, 1.37] .620 0.95 [0.69, 1.31] .750 -0.117 0.20 .550 Conscientiousness 1.17 [0.84, 1.64] .361 1.13 [0.83, 1.54] .447 -0.040 0.27 .881 Realistic 0.86 [0.62, 1.20] .387 0.96 [0.63, 1.47] .852 0.10 0.25 .699 Investigative 0.97 [0.68, 1.39] .867 0.76 [0.54, 1.09] .133 -0.21 0.21 .331 Artistic 1.24 [0.75, 2.05] .398 1.19 [0.80, 1.77] .385 -0.05 0.37 .894 Social 1.38 [0.88, 2.17] .158 1.05 [0.76, 1.46] .761 -0.33 0.34 .334 Enterprising 0.43 [0.27, 0.70] .001 0.74 [0.47, 1.18] .211 0.31 0.21 .128 Conventional 2.08 [1.27, 3.41] .20 .004 0.77 [0.52, 1.14] .21 .187 -1.31 0.55 .018 Controls Personality Interests (PSEUDO) R² AIC 155017.123 SBIC 156077.273 Note. N = 3,017; a Lower final grade indicates higher achievement; coefficients in bold are statistically significant (p < .05, two-tailed). Predicting life outcomes – supplemental material 23 Table 24. Linear Regression Models Predicting Health Complaints Male Predictors βm [95% CI] Female βf p [95% CI] difference p βm- βf SE p Controls Gradea 0.01 [-0.07, 0.09] .810 0.10 [0.02, 0.18] .016 -0.09 0.05 .098 HSES 0.02 [-0.06, 0.10] .618 -0.15 [-0.21, -0.09] .000 0.17 0.05 .001 -0.04 [-0.13, 0.04] .284 -0.01 [-0.08, 0.06] .762 -0.03 0.06 .543 Neuroticism 0.13 [0.03, 0.22] .011 0.24 [0.17, 0.32] .000 -0.11 0.06 .067 Extraversion -0.11 [-0.21, -0.01] .038 -0.05 [-0.12, 0.03] .224 -0.06 0.06 .339 0.06 [-0.05, 0.17] .318 0.06 [-0.03, 0.14] .220 0.00 0.08 .990 Agreeableness -0.02 [-0.09, 0.06] .649 -0.16 [-0.23, -0.08] .000 0.14 0.06 .010 Conscientiousness -0.10 [-0.18, -0.03] .007 0.02 [-0.06, 0.09] .710 -0.12 0.06 .034 0.01 [-0.08, 0.10] .833 0.04 [-0.05, 0.13] .382 -0.03 0.06 .636 Investigative -0.07 [-0.18, 0.03] .166 -0.01 [-0.08, 0.06] .774 -0.06 0.06 .336 Artistic -0.05 [-0.17, 0.08] .462 0.07 [-0.02, 0.16] .139 -0.12 0.08 .149 Social -0.04 [-0.14, 0.07] .506 0.00 [-0.08, 0.09] .935 -0.04 0.07 .592 Enterprising 0.04 [-0.09, 0.17] .559 0.05 [-0.05, 0.16] .308 -0.01 0.08 .851 Conventional 0.01 [-0.10, 0.12] .07 .874 -0.03 [-0.12, 0.06] .16 .489 0.04 0.07 .584 Cognitive ability Personality Openness Interests Realistic R² AIC 158015.149 SBIC 159078.134 Note. N = 3,017; a Lower final grade indicates higher achievement; coefficients in bold are statistically significant (p < .05, two-tailed). Predicting life outcomes – supplemental material 24 Table 25. Linear Regression Models Predicting Health as a Social Comparison Male Predictors βm [95% CI] Female βf p [95% CI] difference p βm- βf SE p Controls Gradea 0.04 [-0.04, 0.13] .314 -0.06 [-0.14, 0.03] .174 0.10 0.06 .084 HSES 0.10 [0.02, 0.17] .015 0.08 [0.01, 0.14] .031 0.02 0.05 .689 -0.01 [-0.10, 0.08] .765 -0.05 [-0.13, 0.02] .173 0.04 0.06 .537 Neuroticism -0.11 [-0.21, -0.01] .039 -0.12 [-0.20, -0.04] .005 0.01 0.07 .881 Extraversion 0.04 [-0.07, 0.16] .441 0.06 [-0.03, 0.15] .205 -0.02 0.07 .856 Openness 0.02 [-0.11, 0.14] .807 -0.02 [-0.11, 0.07] .686 0.04 0.08 .653 Agreeableness 0.06 [-0.03, 0.15] .174 0.02 [-0.07, 0.11] .670 0.04 0.06 .472 Conscientiousness 0.07 [-0.03, 0.17] .174 0.09 [0.01, 0.17] .033 -0.02 0.06 .735 -0.02 [-0.11, 0.07] .696 0.10 [0.01, 0.19] .038 -0.12 0.07 .073 Cognitive ability Personality Interests Realistic Investigative 0.03 [-0.08, 0.14] .609 -0.04 [-0.14, 0.06] .432 0.07 0.07 .360 Artistic -0.05 [-0.17, 0.08] .470 -0.11 [-0.19, -0.03] .009 0.06 0.07 .381 Social -0.01 [-0.12, 0.10] .914 0.05 [-0.04, 0.13] .304 -0.06 0.07 .433 Enterprising 0.02 [-0.14, 0.17] .850 -0.01 [-0.12, 0.10] .830 0.03 0.09 .777 Conventional -0.00 [-0.13, 0.13] .05 .978 -0.05 [-0.14, 0.05] .07 .363 0.05 0.08 .612 R² AIC 158209.741 SBIC 159272.726 Note. N = 3,017; a Lower final grade indicates higher achievement; coefficients in bold are statistically significant (p < .05, two-tailed). Predicting life outcomes – supplemental material 25 Males Females VAF = .92 VAF = .67 Figure 1: Circular unidimensional scaling results for the male (left) and female (right) subsample.
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