Plant Ecol DOI 10.1007/s11258-014-0332-0 The contribution of understory light availability and biotic neighborhood to seedling survival in secondary versus old-growth temperate forest Fei Lin • Liza S. Comita • Xugao Wang • Xuejiao Bai • Zuoqiang Yuan • Dingliang Xing Zhanqing Hao • Received: 30 November 2013 / Accepted: 1 April 2014 Ó Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht 2014 Abstract Seedling survival plays an important role in the maintenance of species diversity and forest dynamics. Although substantial gains have been made in understanding the factors driving patterns of seedling survival in forests, few studies have considered the simultaneous contribution of understory light availability and the local biotic neighborhood to seedling survival in temperate forests at different successional stages. Here, we used generalized linear mixed models to assess the relative importance of understory light availability and biotic neighborhood variables on seedling survival in secondary and oldgrowth temperate forest in north eastern China at two Communicated by Chris Lusk. Electronic supplementary material The online version of this article (doi:10.1007/s11258-014-0332-0) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users. F. Lin X. Wang Z. Yuan D. Xing Z. Hao (&) State Key Laboratory of Forest and Soil Ecology, Institute of Applied Ecology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Shenyang 110164, China e-mail: [email protected] F. Lin D. Xing University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, China levels (community and guild). At the community level, biotic neighborhood effects on seedling survival were more important than understory light availability in both forests. In both the old-growth and secondary forests, conspecific basal area had a negative effect on seedling survival, consistent with negative conspecific density dependence. At guild levels, the relative importance of light and biotic neighborhood on seedling survival showed considerable variation among guilds in both forests. Available understory light tended to have positive effects on seedling survival for shrub and light-demanding species in the old-growth forest, but negative effects on survival of shade-tolerant seedlings in the secondary forest. For tree species and shade-tolerant species, the best fit models included neighborhood variables, but that was not the case for shrubs, light-demanding, or mid shade-tolerant species. Overall, our results L. S. Comita Smithsonian Tropical Research Institute, Box 0843-03092, Balboa, Ancón, Republic of Panama X. Bai College of Forestry, Shenyang Agricultural University, Shenyang 110866, China L. S. Comita Department of Evolution, Ecology and Organismal Biology, The Ohio State University, 318 W. 12th Ave., Columbus, OH 43210-1293, USA 123 Plant Ecol demonstrate that the relative importance of understory light availability and biotic factors on seedling survival vary with species life-history strategy and forest successional stage. Keywords Canopy openness Density dependence Shade tolerance Species coexistence Temperate forests Introduction Understanding the mechanisms that maintain species diversity is a central goal in community ecology (Chesson 2000; Nakashizuka 2001). A number of different hypotheses have been proposed to explain species coexistence in tree communities (reviewed by Nakashizuka 2001; Wright 2002). One set of hypotheses focuses on the role of the abiotic environment in promoting species coexistence. Specifically, resourcebased niche hypotheses propose that species diversity is a function of heterogeneity in resources or habitats, with different species specializing on different resources or at given levels of resource availability. For plants, this mainly refers to variable light and soil resources (Tilman 1982; Bartels and Chen 2010). The effects of such environmental heterogeneity on seedling establishment, growth, and survival have been widely investigated in the context of species coexistence mechanisms (i.e., the regeneration niche of Grubb 1977). Many studies have found that spatio-temporal heterogeneity of understory light to be a crucial component for tree and shrub regeneration in forest communities (Lieffers and Stadt 1994; Messier 1996; Lieffers et al. 1999; Webb and Peart 2000; Montgomery and Chazdon 2001; Rüger et al. 2009; Mejı́a-Domı́nguez et al. 2012). Even subtle variation in understory light availability can have an important influence on seedling and sapling growth and survival (Clark et al. 1996; Kobe 1999; Nicotra et al. 1999; Svenning 2000; Montgomery and Chazdon 2002; Poorter and Arets 2003). However, some studies have cast doubt on the role of light partitioning in fostering species coexistence (Kunstler et al. 2005; Rüger et al. 2011). In addition to spatial and temporal variation in abiotic resources, species coexistence in plant communities may be influenced by specialized natural enemies, such as herbivores and pathogens. According to the Janzen-Connell hypothesis (Janzen 1970; 123 Connell 1971), juveniles located near conspecific trees or at high local conspecific densities will suffer higher mortality as a result of natural enemy attack, which limits the relative abundance of any one tree species, and thereby maintains diversity. Many studies have examined the effects of local biotic neighborhoods on seedling survival and found support for negative density dependence (NDD) in both temperate and tropical forests (Clark and Clark 1985; Webb and Peart 1999; Packer and Clay 2000; HilleRisLambers et al. 2002; Queenborough et al. 2007; Chen et al. 2010; Comita et al. 2010; Piao et al. 2013). Resourcebased niche partitioning can result in strong intraspecific competition, which may generate patterns of NDD; however, experimental studies suggest that natural enemies, rather than competition, are likely causing observed negative density-dependent seedling survival in forests (Paine et al. 2008; Mangan et al. 2010). Although typically examined separately, it is likely that both abiotic and biotic factors contribute to seedling survival and play a role in maintaining diversity. Furthermore, recent studies have found that the relative importance of abiotic and biotic factors can vary with time, plant size, and taxonomic scale (Comita et al. 2009; Queenborough et al. 2009; Chen et al. 2010; Wang et al. 2012). In addition, the strength of biotic interactions may vary with abiotic conditions (e.g., Comita et al. 2009, Lin et al. 2012). Thus, it is essential to consider both abiotic and biotic factors when assessing drivers of seedling mortality. Species with different life-history strategies often respond differently to abiotic and biotic factors (Svenning 2000; Hubbell et al. 2001; Gravel et al. 2010). For example, seedlings of shade-tolerant species tend to have higher survival in the shade, whereas seedlings of light-demanding species experience high mortality under low light, but have a strong growth response to canopy openings (Canham 1989; Gravel et al. 2010; Wright et al. 2010). Also, seedlings of shade-tolerant species may be less affected by their local neighborhoods than seedlings of light-demanding species because they are less sensitive to shading, and have long-lived leaves that are less susceptible to pathogen and herbivore attack than shorter-lived leaves of light-demanding species (Coley et al. 1985; Hubbell et al. 2001; McCarthy-Neumann and Kobe 2008). In addition, differences among species in growth form (e.g., tree, shrub) may affect the response Plant Ecol of seedlings and saplings to local biotic and abiotic factors (Hubbell et al. 2001; Bai et al. 2012). The relative importance of abiotic and biotic factors for seedling survival and species coexistence likely also varies with forest age. Differences in forest structure and canopy species composition among forests of different successional stages are associated with differing patterns of understory light availability and seedling establishment (Denslow and Sandra 2000; Guariguata and Ostertag 2001; Peña-Claros 2003; Burton et al. 2009). Furthermore, NDD might be more prominent in mature forests compared to early successional forests (Bruelheide et al. 2011). Thus, it is likely that the relative importance of light availability versus neighbor densities varies with successional stage. Here, we examine potential drivers of seedling survival in two temperate forests that differ in successional stage: a *300 years old mature forest and a nearby secondary forest that regenerated following clear cutting *80 years ago. Our previous studies have shown striking differences in canopy species composition between the two forests (Hao et al. 2008a, b): the mature forest is dominated by an evergreen species (Pinus koraiensis), while the secondary forest is dominated by deciduous species. As a result, the secondary forest likely experiences larger seasonal variation in understory light levels over the course of the year due to community-wide leaf loss in the fall and flushing in the spring. Research had shown that temporal heterogeneity in understory light availability may have a significant effect on seedling regeneration, growth, and carbon gain (Wayne and Bazzaz 1993; Constabel and Lieffers 1996; Gendron et al. 2001), especially in mixed temperate and boreal forests. In this study, we assessed the relative importance of understory light availability and local biotic neighborhood variables for seedling survival, and compared the roles of these drivers between secondary and oldgrowth temperate forests that have different canopy structures. Specifically, we sought to answer the following questions: (1) Is understory light availability or the biotic neighborhood more important in influencing seedling survival? (2) If understory light availability influences seedling survival, in which phase of the growing season does it have the greatest effect? (3) Can life-history strategy be used to predict the relative importance of factors driving seedling survival? (4) Do these relationships differ between early and late successional stages in temperate forests? Materials and methods Study site The study was carried out in a 25 ha (500 m 9 500 m) old-growth, broad-leaved Korean pine (P. koraiensis) mixed permanent forest plot and a nearby 5 ha (250 m 9 200 m) secondary permanent forest plot in the Changbai Nature Reserve, northeastern China. Two pioneer species, poplar (Populus davidiana) and birch (Betula platyphylla), dominate in the secondary forest, but the analyses of size-class distributions indicate that these species will eventually be replaced by mature forest species, such as P. koraiensis and Tilla amurensis (Li et al. 2010). The reserve, established in 1960 along the border of China and North Korea (127°420 –128°170 E, 41°430 – 42°360 N), is one of the largest biosphere reserves in China and has been spared from logging and other severe human disturbances since its establishment in 1960 (Yang and Li 1985). The area has a typical temperate continental monsoon climate with long, cold winters and short, and warm summers. Between 1982 and 2003, mean annual precipitation was 695.3 mm, and mean annual temperate was *3.6 °C with a January (the coldest month) mean of -15.6 °C and a July (the hottest month) mean of 19.7 °C (Zhang et al. 2005). The 25 ha old-growth forest plot was established in 2004 in the most common vegetation type in the region. The common tree species are P. koraiensis, T. amurensis, Quercus mongolica, Fraxinus mandshurica, Ulmus japonica, and Acer mono (Hao et al. 2008a). The 5 ha secondary forest plot was established in 2005, approximately 10 km from the old-growth forest plot, and contains forest that regenerated naturally after clear cutting in the 1930s. The secondary poplar-birch forest is an early successional stage of the broad-leaved Korean pine mixed forest (Hao et al. 2008b). Within the two plots, all individuals C1 cm diameter at breast height (1.3 m above ground; dbh) were mapped, tagged, measured, and identified to species following a standard field protocol (Condit 1998). The second censuses were carried out in 2009 and 2010 for 123 Plant Ecol the old-growth and secondary forest plots, respectively. Detailed descriptions of the two sites are provided in Table S1 (also see Wang et al. 2011; Zhang et al. 2013). heterospecific adults within 10 m of the focal seedling, divided by the distance of each adult from the focal seedling (Canham et al. 2004; Comita and Hubbell 2009): Seedling census A¼ N X BAi =DISTANCEi ; i We established 600 5 9 5 m seedling plots in 2006 in the 25 ha old-growth forest plot, and 120 5 9 5 m seedling plots in 2010 in the 5 ha secondary forest plot (see detailed descriptions in Bai et al. 2012). At each seedling plot, all tree seedlings with DBH \ 1 cm, and shrub and liana seedlings with height B30 cm were mapped, tagged, measured, and identified to species. All seedling plots were recensused annually in August and September. Here, we used seedling data from 2010 to 2011. Understory light availability We characterized understory light availability by measuring canopy openness above 246 seedling plots in the old-growth forest site and 43 seedling plots in the secondary forest site (Fig. S1). The distance between any two focal seedling plots was at least 8 m. We took hemispherical photographs at each chosen seedling plot in three seasons (spring, summer, and autumn) in 2010. We took photographs on May 12–18 during bud burst, on August 19–22 during full leafing, and on October 24–26 with leaves off. Hemispherical photographs were taken in a fixed corner of each seedling plot at a height of 1 m using a Nikon Coolpix 5000 camera with a FC-E8 fisheye lens. The camera was horizontally mounted on a tripod, and the top of photographs was fixed to magnetic north (Montes et al. 2008). We chose homogeneous sky conditions to take photographs and used Gap Light Analyzer software (GLA, version 2.0) to analyze the photos and estimate canopy openness (Frazer et al. 1999). All photographs were analyzed by the same person to minimize variation in threshold selection (Valladares and Guzmán 2006. Biotic factors For each seedling, we summed the number of conspecific and heterospecific seedling neighbors within the seedling plot. We also calculated the sum of the basal area (BA) of conspecific and 123 where i is an individual adult. To eliminate edge effects, we only included seedlings located [10 m from the plot boundary. Data analysis Because canopy openness values were not normally distributed with equal variance, we used Wilcoxon rank sum tests (equivalent to Mann–Whitney tests) to test for the differences in canopy openness between the old-growth and the secondary forest sites in each season. Because of the height at which hemispherical photographs were taken, only seedlings B1 m tall in 2010 were considered as focal seedlings in our analysis. A total of 7017 (tree 77.3 %; shrub 22.7 %) and 878 (tree 60.6 %; shrub 39.4 %) focal seedlings were monitored in the old-growth and secondary forest sites, respectively. We modeled the probability of individual seedling survival from 2010 to 2011 as a function of canopy openness and biotic neighborhood variables, using generalized linear mixed-effects models (GLMM; Zurr et al. 2009) with binomial errors. Biotic neighborhood variables included conspecific and heterospecific seedling density, and basal area of conspecific and heterospecific adult neighbors within 10 m of focal seedlings, as described above. All variables, as well as log-transformed initial seedling height, entered the model as fixed effects. For comparing the relative importance of variables and the difference between two forest types directly, the values of all continuous explanatory variables were standardized by subtracting the mean value of the variable (across all individuals of the two sites in the analysis) and dividing by 1 standard deviation (Gelman and Hill 2006). The mean and range of biotic variables used in the analysis are listed in Table S2. In all models, seedling plot was included as a random effect to account for spatial autocorrelation in mortality of seedlings located within the same plot. In addition, species was included as a random effect to Results Seasonal variation in canopy openness Canopy openness varied significantly during the growing season and was larger in the spring and autumn than in the summer in both sites (Fig. 1). In the spring, canopy openness in the secondary site was significantly lower than in the old-growth site (W = 7,138, p = 0.007), but was significantly higher in the autumn (W = 24, p \ 0.001). In the summer, canopy openness did not differ significantly between the two sites (W = 6,655.5, p = 0.07). Community-level analysis of seedling survival Over the study period, 36.4 % of seedlings survived in the old-growth forest site and 81.6 % of seedlings 40 30 20 10 Canopy openness (%) 50 Old-growth forest Secondary forest 0 account for variation among species in baseline survival rates. To test the relative importance of available understory light and biotic variables for seedling survival in old-growth and secondary forests, four candidate models were constructed: (1) a null model with only seedling height and random effects; (2) a light model in which canopy openness was added to the null model; (3) a biotic model in which biotic variables were added to the null model; (4) a full model including all variables (seedling height, canopy openness, and biotic variables). For models including canopy openness (models 2 and 4), we ran the models separately for each of the three seasons in which canopy openness was measured. We compared models using Akaike’s Information Criterion (AIC: Burnham and Anderson 2002). The model with the smallest AIC value was considered the best fit model, although models within 2 units are generally considered to have equal weight. Seedling survival was analyzed at two different levels in the two sites separately: (1) the community level with all seedlings combined, (2) the guild level, with growth forms (tree and shrub) and shade tolerance guilds (light-demanding, mid shade-tolerant, and shade-tolerant, from Wang et al. 2009) each analyzed separately. All analyses were carried out in R Software (Version 2.15.1; R Core Team, 2012), using the ‘‘lme4’’ package (Bates et al. 2012). 60 Plant Ecol Spring Summer Autumn Fig. 1 Changes in canopy openness with season. Boxplots show median (line), 25th and 75th percentiles (box), the location of the most extreme data points within 1.5 times the length of the box (whiskers) and singular values beyond the whiskers (circles) for canopy openness in the old-growth and secondary forest sites survived in the secondary forest site (Table S3). At the Community level, the biotic model, which included conspecific and heterospecific neighbor densities, was the best fit model for seedling survival in both sites, but could not be statistically differentiated from the full models, which also included light availability (i.e., the difference in AIC \ 2; Table 1). Seedling height showed the strongest positive effect on seedling survival in both sites (Fig. 2). The basal area of conspecific neighbors had a significant negative effect in the old-growth site and a marginally significant negative effect in the secondary site (p = 0.052; Figs. 2, 5). There were no significant effects of conspecific seedling density, heterospecific seedling density or heterospecific basal area. In addition, effects of canopy openness on seedling survival were not significant in any season in either the light or full models for either site. Guild level analysis Growth form: trees versus shrubs For tree species, the biotic model was the best fit model in both sites, but models that contained canopy openness, as well as the null model, were within 2 AIC units (Table 1). Of the individual variables included in the best fit model, only seedling height had a 123 Plant Ecol Table 1 AIC values of the generalized linear mixed models of seedling survival at the community and guild level in the old-growth and secondary forest sites Candidate model Season All species Growth form Tree Shade tolerance Shrub Light-demanding Mid shade-tolerant Shade-tolerant Old-growth site Null (height) 5,046.287 3,930.699 1,052.782 155.7397 1,675.119 2,610.59 Biotic 5,041.015 3,929.248 1,059.227 159.9171 1,679.182 2,604.952 Light Biotic ? light Spring 5,047.172 3,931.733 1,054.596 154.7508 1,676.883 2,609.885 Summer 5,048.277 3,932.28 1,050.193 157.4647 1,676.885 2,612.453 Autumn 5,047.956 3,931.714 1,054.203 152.1882 1,675.653 2,611.778 Spring 5,042.372 3,930.723 1,061.068 158.9842 1,681.148 2,604.738 Summer 5,042.976 3,931.109 1,057.447 161.0302 1,681.158 2,606.946 Autumn 5,042.865 3,930.614 1,060.692 154.836 1,679.922 2,606.361 Secondary site Null (height) Biotic Light Biotic ? light 698.621 694.0393 487.7499 487.3347 215.3485 217.9881 146.0819 151.1586 274.2406 278.9155 243.7506 240.9462 Spring 700.604 489.7463 216.9443 147.8994 276.0438 243.6887 Summer 700.4588 489.633 217.1796 147.4277 275.7566 245.609 Autumn 699.4811 489.2819 216.0741 148.077 276.1431 244.8243 Spring 696.0121 489.3234 219.8636 152.776 280.8557 242.9124 Summer 696.0129 489.2934 219.4152 152.8577 280.8421 242.3297 Autumn 694.9316 488.8428 218.2902 153.1562 280.8961 238.3934 The most likely models are shown in bold significant effect on tree seedling survival (Fig. 3). For shrubs, the light model that included canopy openness in the summer was the best fit in the old-growth site (Table 1). Both seedling height and canopy openness had significant positive effects on shrub survival (Figs. 3, 5). In the second-growth site, the null model was the best fit model, but all of the light models were within 2 AIC units (Table 1). However, none of the individual variables (i.e., seedling height, canopy openness in different seasons) were significant (Fig. 3). Old-growth forest Intercept Secondary forest Model parameters ln Height Conspecific seedling density Heterospecific seedling density Conspecific basal area Shade tolerance guilds Heterospecific basal area -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 Coefficient estimate Fig. 2 Estimated effects (±2 SE) of variables on seedling survival at the Community level for the most likely models (see Table 1) in the old-growth and secondary forest sites. Models were run separately for each forest site (circles old-growth, triangles secondary), but parameter values are presented on a single graph to facilitate comparison. Filled symbols indicate significant effects (p \ 0.05) 123 Results varied among the three shade tolerance guilds. For the light-demanding group, the light model in the autumn was the best fit model in the old-growth site, and both seedling height and canopy openness had significant positive effects on seedling survival (Table 1; Figs. 4, 5). However in the secondary site, the null model was the most likely model, although the light models were all within 2 AIC units (Table 1). There were no significant effects of seedling height or Plant Ecol B A C D ln Height Canopy openness Model parameters Fig. 3 Estimated effects (±2 SE) of variables on seedling survival for the most likely model for each growth form (trees, shrubs). a trees in the old-growth forest site; b trees in the secondary forest site; c shrubs in the old-growth forest site; d shrubs in the secondary forest site. Filled symbols indicate significant effects (p \ 0.05). Note difference in x-axis ranges Conspecific seedling density Heterospecific seedling density Conspecific basal area Heterospecific basal area -1 1 2 3 -5 -2 0 2 -1 0 1 2 -1 1 3 Coefficient estimate canopy openness in any season for light-demanding species in the secondary forest (Fig. 4). For the mid shade-tolerant group, the null model was the best fit model in both sites, with seedling height having a significant positive effect on seedling survival. For both sites, the light models were all within 2 AIC units (Table 1), but effects on canopy openness on survival were not significant. For the shade-tolerant group, the full model with canopy openness in the spring was the best fit model in the old-growth site, but could not be statistically differentiated from the biotic model and the full model with canopy openness in the autumn (i.e., AIC within 2 units). For the best fit model, seedling height had a significant positive effect on survival and conspecific seedling density and basal area of conspecific adult neighbors had marginally significant positive and negative effects, respectively (p = 0.055 and 0.068, respectively) (Fig. 4). For shade-tolerant species in the secondary forest site, the full model with canopy openness in the autumn was the best fit model. Canopy openness and heterospecific seedling density both had significant negative effects on survival, while seedling height had a significant positive effect. Basal area of conspecific adult neighbors had a marginally significant negative effect (p = 0.056); Figs. 4, 5). Discussion Variation in understory light availability with season and forest type Our results clearly demonstrated seasonal variation of light availability (i.e., canopy openness) in both forests, but differences in canopy openness between the two forests changed with season. Seasonal variation of canopy openness within and between forests was mainly influenced by phenology, tree species composition, and stand age (Smith 1982; Brown and 123 Plant Ecol understory light availability and result in changing patterns with successional stage, particularly in temperate and boreal forests. Parker 1994; Messier et al. 1998). In the spring, the old-growth forest tended to have larger canopy openness values than the secondary forest. One possible reason is that the trees in the secondary forest put out leaves earlier or faster than those in the oldgrowth forest. In the summer, trees in both forests are in full leaf, which resulted in similar values of canopy openness. In the autumn, however, the old-growth forest had lower canopy openness than the secondary forest likely because of the higher abundance of evergreen adult coniferous trees (mainly Korean pine) in the old-growth forest than in the secondary forest. These results are similar to patterns of seasonal variation in understory light availability reported for a boreal forest in North America, where differences between younger and older forests were also due to differences in the abundance of evergreen species (Constabel and Lieffers 1996). Together with our results, this highlights how species composition, particularly the abundance of deciduous versus evergreen species, can influence temporal variation in A Relative importance of understory light availability and biotic factors for seedling survival At the community level, we found that the biotic neighborhood had a stronger impact on seedling survival than understory light availability in both the old-growth and secondary forests. In particular, we found a significant negative effect of conspecific adult neighbors on seedling survival, consistent with the Janzen-Connell hypothesis (Janzen 1970; Connell 1971). This hypothesis was originally proposed to explain the maintenance of diversity in tropical forests. However, our results, along with other recent studies (e.g., HilleRisLambers et al. 2002, Bai et al. 2012, Johnson et al. 2012), suggest that conspecific negative density dependence also plays a role in structuring temperate forests. B C D E F 1 3 -10 -4 ln Height Model parameters Canopy openness Conspecific seedling density Heterospecific seedling density Conspecific basal area Heterospecific basal area -1 1 3 5 -2 0 2 -1 1 3 -1 1 3 -1 1 Coefficient estimate Fig. 4 Estimated effects (±2 SE) of variables on seedling survival for the most likely model for each shade tolerance guild (light-demanding, mid shade-tolerant, shade-tolerant). a lightdemanding guild in the old-growth forest site; b light-demanding guild in the secondary forest site; c mid shade-tolerant guild 123 in the old-growth forest site; d mid shade-tolerant guild in the secondary forest site. e shade-tolerant guild in the old-growth forest site; f shade-tolerant guild in the secondary forest site. Filled symbols indicate significant effects (p \ 0.05). Note differences in x-axis ranges Plant Ecol C D E 0.6 1.2 0.8 0.6 0.80 11 14 0.4 0.55 0.84 0.0 Conspecific basal area 0.90 0.75 0.65 0.88 0.15 0.92 0.25 0.85 B 0.05 Probability of survival A 26 17 Canopy openness (%) 30 34 Canopy openness (%) 35 45 55 10 40 70 Canopy openness Heterospecific seedling (%) neighbors Fig. 5 The strength of the effects of variables (except seedling height) that had significant impacts on the probability of survival for seedlings based on parameter values from the best fit models at the community level and for specific guilds. a effect of conspecific neighbors, defined as the summed distanceweighted basal area of conspecific trees C1 cm DBH within 10 m of the seedling plot, at the community level in the oldgrowth forest site. b effect of canopy openness on shrubs in the old-growth forest site. c effect of canopy openness on the lightdemanding guild in the old-growth forest site. d effect of canopy openness on the shade-tolerant guild in the secondary forest site. e effect of heterospecific seedling neighbors, calculated as the number of heterospecific seedlings occurring within the same 5 9 5 m quadrat as the focal seedling, on the shade-tolerant guild in the secondary forest site Although many studies have demonstrated that understory light availability has significant effects on seedling survival in temperate forests (e.g., Osunkjoya et al. 1992; Kobe 1999; Beckage and Clark 2003), we found that understory light availability did not have a significant effect on seedling survival at the community level at our sites. Rather, the impacts of understory light availability appear to vary among species that differ in ecological strategy. Specifically, we found significant effects of light availability when examining ecological guilds separately (discussed below), suggesting that light does play a role in structuring the temperate forest communities studied here. negative density dependence as forest succession proceeds (Chazdon 2008). While the seedling community in both forests showed similar responses to abiotic and biotic variables, seedling survival was substantially higher in the secondary forest than in the old-growth forest (81 vs. 36 %, respectively). This may be due in part to a higher abundance of deciduous trees, which allows more light to reach the forest floor over the course of the year (Osunkjoya et al. 1992). Thus, while spatial variation in light availability may not impact seedling survival within each forest, the large difference in light availability between forests, particularly in the autumn, may explain differences in seedling survival between the two forests. Differences in survival between the two forests could also reflect differences in the biotic neighborhoods. Specifically, the maximum conspecific neighbor densities encountered were much larger in the old-growth than the secondary forest (Table S2), which would lead to lower seedling survival based on our model results. Differences in drivers of seedling survival in oldgrowth versus secondary forest At the community level, we found little difference between the old-growth and secondary forest in terms of the dominant drivers of seedling survival. In both forests, the biotic model was the best fit model, and no significant effects of light availability on communitywide seedling survival were detected. In both forests, we found a negative effect of conspecific basal area on seedling survival, although this effect was only marginally significant in the secondary forest. This may reflect a trend of increasing importance of Variation among ecological guilds We found considerable differences among ecological guilds in the factors driving seedling survival. Tree seedlings in both forests were predominantly impacted by the biotic neighborhood, while shrub seedlings 123 Plant Ecol were more strongly impacted by understory light availability than biotic neighborhood variables in the old-growth forest. This is consistent with the study of Bai et al. (2012), which similarly found that biotic factors had no effect on shrub seedling survival. Instead, they found limited support for a role of topographic and edaphic factors in driving shrub seedling survival in the Changbaishan old-growth forest. Our study demonstrated that canopy openness also influences shrub seedling survival. However, in the secondary forest, seedling survival of shrubs was not significantly affected by understory light. This may be because the higher overall canopy openness in the secondary forest creates a favorable environment for shrubs throughout the site, reflected by the very high survival of shrub seedlings in the secondary forest site (91 %; Table S3). When examining the shade tolerance guilds separately, we found that available understory light was a crucial habitat factor in both forests. As expected, survival of light-demanding species in the old-growth forest was positively influenced by understory light availability. Interestingly, we found that canopy openness in the spring and summer did not significantly affect survival of light-demanding seedlings; only autumn canopy openness had an effect. This suggests that light-demanding seedlings growing beneath trees of deciduous species that lose their leaves in the autumn had better survival than those growing beneath evergreen species that retained their leaves. This would also explain why we failed to detect significant effects of canopy openness on survival of light-demanding seedlings in the secondary forest, which is dominated by deciduous species, and therefore, would have high canopy openness throughout the site in the autumn. These results support the idea that some understory plants can survive through additional photosynthetic production at high light levels in the autumn due to leaf loss of canopy trees, and that these characteristics tend to be more acute in old-growth forests than in earlier successional forests (Messier et al. 2009). In contrast to light-demanding species, shadetolerant species tended to show reduced seedling survival at higher understory light levels. This was particularly true in the secondary forest site in the autumn, when canopy openness was highest, again highlighting the importance of light availability at the end of growing season. This result is contrary to 123 results from a number of studies that have found higher light levels usually enhance seedling survival, even for shade-tolerant species (e.g., Kobe et al. 1995; Lusk and Del Pozo 2002; Montgomery and Chazdon 2002). However, very high light levels have been found to result in decreased seedling survival (e.g., Comita et al. 2009). Shade-tolerant seedlings in particular may be negatively impacted under high-light conditions due to strong competition from light-demanding species or to photoinhibition (Krause et al. 2001). Seedling survival of shade-tolerant species was also influenced by the biotic neighborhood. In the oldgrowth forest, the density of conspecific seedling neighbors showed a marginally significant positive effect on survival. This effect is likely due to a habitat effect, rather than facilitation: for species with habitat preferences, recruitment will be high at sites with conditions that promote survival of that species, resulting in high conspecific seedling densities. If conditions remain beneficial for survival, those high density sites will have high survival, resulting in a positive correlation between conspecific density and survival. If effects of habitat preference on seedling survival were greater than those of density-dependent natural enemies, survival could have a positive relation with conspecific seedling density, potentially masking negative impacts of conspecific neighbors (Comita and Hubbell 2009). In the secondary forest, among biotic factors, only heterospecific seedling neighbors had a significant effect on seedling survival for shade-tolerant species, with survival negatively impacted by heterospecific seedling density. This likely reflects the fact that shade-tolerant seedlings are weaker competitors than light-demanding seedlings in high light environments (Walters and Reich 1996; Valladares and Niinemets 2008). Limitations The present work has some limitations. First, sample size in our analysis is relatively limited, which may influence the possibility to detect significant effects of factors, particularly in the secondary forest. Second, only one oldgrowth forest and one secondary forest were included, limiting the generalizations that can be drawn. Third, we only examined drivers of survival over a single year. It is possible that the main drivers of seedling survival vary over time, with periodic events such as mast seeding or Plant Ecol severe storms having strong impacts on seedling dynamics in some years. Thus, long-term data are needed on seedling dynamics. Finally, other factors, such as soil pH, nutrient availability, water availability and pathogen, and insect attack, which may affect seedling survival were not explicitly included in the analysis. Conclusion Few studies have explored the response of seedling survival to understory light availability and local biotic neighborhood variables simultaneously within forests of different successional stages, even though this information is necessary to understand successional dynamics. In our study, although there was significant variation in canopy openness, we found that understory light availability did not explain seedling survival at the community level in either site. Rather, the biotic neighborhood played a relatively more important role in driving seedling survival at the community level, with negative impacts of conspecific neighbors on seedling survival, consistent with negative density dependence. However, the relative importance of understory light availability varied dramatically among guilds, with different guild level effects in the old-growth and secondary forest sites. Overall, our results suggest that variation in species life-history traits, along with negative density dependence, could contribute to coexistence and drive patterns of succession in temperate forests. Acknowledgments This work was supported by the National Natural Science and Foundation of China (41101188, 31370444, and 41301057) and State Key Laboratory of Forest and Soil Ecology (LFSE2013-11). We thank Dr. Jiaojun Zhu for his valuable suggestions for methods. We thank Dr. Simon Queenborough for assistance with the figures. We also thank Liwei Wang, Ji Ye, Buhang Li, Zhaochen Zhang, Xu Kuang, Houjuan Song, Guodong Liu, Baizhang Song and Zhenshan Li for their assistance with the data collection. 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