BREAKING THE BARRIERS TO FOOD AND WATER INSECURITY Chandra A. Madramootoo P.Eng. Dean, Faculty of Agricultural and Environmental Sciences McGill University Founding Chair, McGill Conferences on Global Food Security World population expected to be around 9 billion by 2050 Developing countries in Asia and the Pacific will need to increase food production by up to 77% One in three people on every continent affected by water scarcity Limited land base for food production expansion Climate extremes Global Irrigated and Rainfed Cropland Statistics • 1,500 million ha of global cropland • 275 m ha irrigated (17%) • Irrigated lands produce 40% of world’s food • 1,250 m ha of rainfed lands producing 60% of the world’s food (Pardey, 2009) (Source: FAOSTAT, 2013) Wheat Yield Gap - ICARDA Closing the Yield Gap Crop traits Germplasm CO2 Radiation Temperature Climate Water Nutrients Weeds Pests Disease Soils Biotic Stresses Viruses, bacteria, fungi, pathogens, parasites, pests, weeds Abiotic Stresses Water, drought, heat Genomics Assisted Breeding High throughput facility for genome sequencing and bioinformatics How to get Modern Varieties to Farmers? Cultivar Release by Decade in SSA (Source: CGIAR ISPC, 2014) Number of Improved Maize Varieties Released by Decade and Origin (Source: CGIAR ISPC, 2014) Sustainable intensification for greater food security: • Higher level of management • Improved agronomic inputs • Integrated systems management to protect biodiversity and environmental quality Relative Yield Losses in Maize Crops in Sub-Saharan Africa (Source: Gibbon et al., 2007) TOTAL FACTOR PRODUCTIVITY (TFP) • Availability of research and extension services • Availability of credit • Institutional support • Government policies • Markets and prices • Physical infrastructure servicing the agricultural sector • Roads, railways, ports • Transportation services • Labour availability and quality • Educational services and skills training Influence of Total Factor Productivity on Agricultural Growth (Source: Fuglie, 2012) Impact of Total Factor Productivity on Agricultural Output by Region (Source: Fuglie, 2012) Hypothesis of Hope Innovations in Climate Change Mitigation • Sequester carbon • Reduce GHG emission • Improve soil productivity Conservation Agriculture An integrated systems approach to water, soil, carbon and fertilizer management Invest in water savings technologies Application of sensor technology & models VRI Prescription 28
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