Environmental politics Building regimes to facilitate cooperation Process of regime building Strengthening Bargaining Fact finding Issue definition Issue definition Agenda created: by one+ states • Sweden & acid rain 1972 by an IGO • UNEP (UN Environmental Program) and Ozone Depleting Substances 1977) by NGOs • In UN Preparatory Commission for UN Conference on Environment & Development Fact finding Sometimes coordinated by IGO May be challenged and bargained UNEP set up coordinating committee to evaluate scientific research on ozone Bargaining Outcomes depend on strength of coalitions Usually a lead group & veto group If consensus not reached: regime may go ahead without key players … but will be weak eg Acid Rain and US veto Strengthening Continuous process Science may help “Protocol” to set targets/timetable Convention Review: “Conference of parties” to push for stronger action Ozone Depletion 1985 Vienna Convention 1987 Montreal Protocol “far-reaching restrictions” “precautionary principle” Industrial countries agreed to cut CFCs in half by 1998 Agreed to freeze making and use of HCFCs by 1992 Still strengthening 1997 9th review of protocol: Montreal celebrating 10th anniversary but 1996 Antarctic hole bigger than ever focus on illegal trade in ODS worries about underfunding crediting UNEP ex-Pres Tolba 1999 Beijing In favour of ozone regime Solutions, described in simple terms cut cfc production Clear compliance mechanisms monitor production and trade • 1/5 CFC trade in black market in 1995 Effective leadership Tolba External shocks or crises Image of ozone layer + cancer rates “warming” /climate change A weaker image Clearly exponential But proof of human cause? Climate regime? No simple solutions CO2 emissions linked to overall economic activity can measure fossil fuel production & use But low targets and weak compliance Kyoto Protocol 1997 “3rd Conference of the Parties to the Framework Convention on Climate Change” COP 3 Global climate, but sovereign interests Divided opinions Divided states (North-South) Inter-State politics Lead “state” emerging in EU Two veto coalitions: LDCs • [especially India & China] JUSCANZ • Japan, US, Canada, Australia, New Zealand Internal state politics Bureaucratic divisions US EPA Canadian Dept of Env Opposed by Departments of Industry, Trade, etc. Federal divisions Alberta and “voluntary” corporate code Main Results of COP 3 Kyoto industrialized countries to cut by 5.2% from 1990 levels between 2008-2012 National targets differentiated +8 for Australia, -8 for Europe Trading in emissions credits allowed Clean Development Mechanism (CDM) Allows companies to get credits for clean energy projects in LDCS Lack of results No LDCs commitments to reduce No reporting, enforcement, penalties Reductions agreed too low to have effect! Rules/cap needed for emissions trading Results of COP 6 (Hague) November 2000 Pronounced a failure by President Pronk (Dutch Env) Canada in the spotlight No agreement on Technology transfer “best practices” in domestic policies Compliance & enforcement Land use, land use change and forestry [LULUCF] The “carbon sinks” argument See the IISD website on COP 6 and others Have to hope science is wrong Or put faith in public opinion Money/taxes must be found to compensate South Links: this ppt http://plato.acadiau.ca/COURSES/POLS/Grieve/climate politics.ppt UNEP conventions WMO World Meteorological Org IPCC intergovernmental panel on climate change WWF World Wildlife Fund Greenpeace Sierra Club INGOs
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