COGNITIVE AND DEMOGRAPHIC FACTORS INFLUENCING THE EXPORT INTENTION OF NASCENT ENTREPRENEURS Charles H. Matthews, University of Cincinnati, USA Imane Khayat, University of Versailles Saint-Quentin, FRANCE Principal Topic Over the last decade, the phenomenon of “International New Ventures” (McDougall and Oviatt, 2003; Oviatt and McDougall, 1994) or “Born Globals” (Rennie, 1993) has been drawing the attention of many researchers and practitioners. In contrast to the traditional models of internationalization (Johanson and Wiedersheim-Paul 1975; Johanson and Vahlne 1977, 1990), firms no longer have to follow the incremental stages pattern before engaging in international operations. The psycho-cognitive characteristics of entrepreneurs have been emphasized to be the driving force for this early internationalization (Maignan and Lukas, 1997; Gupta and Govindarajan, 2002; Zahra and George, 2002; Nummela et al., 2004; Zahra et al. 2005). Yet, the number of empirical studies connecting the cognitive characteristics and global orientation of entrepreneurs is still rather limited and did not examine how cognitive and demographic characteristics can predict the global orientation of entrepreneurs. Furthermore, studies did not consider the intentionality of export in the early process of business creation. Drawn from international entrepreneurship (IE), cognition, and internationalization theories, this study investigates the impact of cognitive, demographic and new venture characteristics on the export intentionality of nascent entrepreneurs. Method Data are obtained from the National Panel Study of Entrepreneurial Dynamics (PSED) database. A multiple regression analysis is conducted to explain to what extend the cognitive and demographic characteristics influence the global orientation of nascent entrepreneurs. New ventures characteristics are used as control variables. Results and Implications Preliminary findings indicate a positive relationship between innovative decision style, challenging personality, risk taking, and export intentionality. Contrary to other studies, internal locus of control is found to be negatively related to nascent entrepreneurs’ export intentionality. Demographic characteristics, age and education attainment of nascent entrepreneurs are also found to have a significant effect on export intentionality. Overall, findings reveal that the main determinants of global entrepreneurship are innovative decision style, challenging and risk taking personality, and orientation toward hi-technology. CONTACT: Charles H. Matthews; [email protected]; (T) 513-556-7123; (F) 513-5565499; College of Business, University of Cincinnati, OH 45221-0165. 1 Introduction A quarter of a century ago, very small firms or micro-businesses were thought to be a marginal phenomenon in developed economies. Nowadays, there is no doubt they have a significant contribution particularly in the global market. In the U.S, micro-enterprises (those with fewer than 20 employees) represent 69% of all U.S. exporting firms (U.S. Department of Commerce, 2003). Whereas firms in the late 80s and early 90s proved themselves in the domestic market before looking abroad, more and more, firms today have a global vision and reach the global market much sooner after their establishment. Consequently, there is an increasing interest in the phenomenon of international new ventures (Knight and Cavusgil, 2004, 1996; Oviatt and McDougall, 1994; Rennie, 1993). International new ventures have been described as the creative process of discovering and exploiting opportunities outside the domestic market from the firm’s inception (Zahra and George, 2002; McDougall and Oviatt 2000; Madsen and Servais, 1997). However, despite this occurrence and the recent progress of research in the field of international entrepreneurship, factors that drive entrepreneurs to go global in the first place, are still not fully understood (Zahra, 2005; Grégoire et al. 2008). Export intension, as an indicator of firms' future international behavior, has being broadly studied among established firms to understand the difference between exporting and non exporting firms (Katsikeas and Piercy, 1993; Aaby and Slater, 1989; Cavusgil 1984; Cavusgil, Bilkey and Tesar, 1979). Moreover, the psycho-cognitive characteristics of entrepreneurs have been emphasized to play an important role on the early internationalization of new ventures (Maignan and Lukas, 1997; Gupta and Govindarajan, 2002; Zahra and George, 2002; Nummela et al., 2004; Zahra et al., 2005). Yet, to our knowledge, no study has focused on the link between the cognitive, demographic and new ventures’ characteristics and export intension of nascent entrepreneurs. Therefore, the purpose of this paper is to offer better understanding in term of antecedents of new ventures internationalization by investigating how selected aspects of cognition, demographic and new ventures’ characteristics influence the export intension of nascent entrepreneurs. To explore this question, the model suggests three levels of analysis with regard to their impact on the export intension: (1) nascent entrepreneurs’ cognitive characteristics, indicated by the locus of control, innovative decision style, challenging personality, risk taking and problem solving skills; (2) demographic characteristics indicated by nascent entrepreneurs’ age and 2 education attainment; (3) and new ventures’ characteristics, represented by sales sources and high-technology. After reviewing the literature on the internationalization behavior, hypotheses are advanced and tested on a sample (N=150) of nascent entrepreneurs with the intension to go global. Method and results are discussed, and finally, suggestions for future research are provided. Internationalization of new ventures Traditional approaches, the Uppsala (Johanson and Vahlne, 1977, 1990; Johanson and Wiedersheim-‐Paul, 1975) and innovation models (I-‐model) (Cavusgil, 1980) have been widely recognized as the most influential research stream in the international literature, mainly in the study of small and medium sized enterprises (SME). These models have two conceptual foundations. The first is based on the incremental progression of firms in the international markets. Johanson and Vahlne (1977) describe this process as a gradual acquisition, integration and use of knowledge about foreign markets. Thus, firms need to increase their knowledge over time to increase their international commitment. The second is the “psychic distance” which means that firms will primarily target markets with a similar culture, language, political system, etc. Empirical studies of stage models have identified a number of different stages firms go through during this internationalization process. These stages ranged from three to nine (Cavusgil, 1984; Czincota, 1982; Reid, 1981; Bilkey and Tesar, 1977). Leonidou and Katsikeas (1996) summarize these studies and conclude to the differences in the nature, number and content of these stages. The Uppsala and I-models have been criticized, however, for their inability to delineate boundaries and explain the process between stages (Andersen, 1993). Moreover, they have been challenged for their inappropriateness for service-intensive industries (Liesch and Knight, 1999) and for their limited relevance to apply to the rapid internationalization of ‘knowledge-intensive’ SME (Bell, 1995). A comprehensive view of this phenomenon has been brought by the international new ventures literature. Different labels have been attributed to the early and rapid internationalization of some new ventures: ‘born globals’ (Madsen and Servais, 1997); ‘international new ventures’ (INV) (Oviatt and McDougall, 1994), and ‘knowledge-intensive’ firms (Jones, 1999; Bell, 1995). INV are defined as companies, that from or near founding, have a global focus and commit resources to obtain substantial revenue from international sales (Knight and Cavusgil, 2004; Oviatt and 3 McDougall, 1994). These new ventures are formed by innovative, proactive and risk seeker entrepreneurs (Oviatt and McDougall, 2000) who are stimulated by the advances in information and communication technologies, niche markets and global networks (Knight and Cavusgil, 1996). Indeed, the entrepreneurs’ characteristics such as international experience and global vision have been emphasized to enable the early and rapid internationalization process. Entrepreneurs’ success in the global arena is explained by the quality of opportunities, localization, and their creativity in using modes of exploitation (Zahra et al. 2005). The capacity of entrepreneurs to identify these opportunities and take advantage of localization, technologies, and niche markets cannot be completely understood without taking into account the antecedental cognitive dimension. The role of entrepreneurs’ cognitive process has been mostly neglected in international literature (Liesch et al., 2003). Researchers in the field of international entrepreneurship, however, have been calling for more use of cognitive perspective to enrich our understanding of the mental models that guide and shape internationalization decisions (Zahra et al., 2005; Reuber and Fischer, 1997). In new ventures, entrepreneurs’ global mindset, or cognitive capabilities is a key factor at the core of international success (Levy, 2005; Gupta and Govindarajan, 2002). Thus, their beliefs and perceptions of the environment and international opportunities are likely to influence their choices and actions. The cognitive characteristics of entrepreneurs can explain the initial identification and interpretation of opportunities as well as the processes of representing those opportunities to others and the processes by which representations of opportunity become an outline for managing international operations. Forbes (1999) points out the critical role played by cognitive processes in the formation of new ventures. He notes that the effects of managerial cognition are likely to be more direct and immediate in new venture settings than in the context of larger, more established organizations. Nummela et al. (2004) examining the impact of global mindset on the international success, define it as entrepreneurs’ positive attitude and ability to coordinate international activities and to take into consideration both attitudinal and behavioral aspects. Gupta and Govindarajan (2002) explore how the global mindset helps integrate diversity across cultures and markets. Calori, Johnson and Sarnin (1994) analyze top managers’ cognitive processes in terms of their degree of complexity, in relation to the breadth of business portfolio as well as geographic scope and links firms has with foreign partners. They conclude that CEOs need a high cognitive complexity to 4 cope with the dynamic of the international environment. By extension, we offer the following hypotheses which further explore how selected aspects of cognition, demographic and new venture characteristics influence the export intentionality of nascent entrepreneurs. Research hypotheses The export marketing literature reveals three major research streams on export intention. The first stream focuses on the non-exporting firms that intend to export (Leonidou, 1995; Jaffe and Pasternak, 1994). The second concentrates on the exporting firms that intend to expand their export involvement (Cadogan et al., 2006; Axinn et al. 1995). The third stream of literature distinguishes between the external (Leonidou, 1995; Diamantopoulos et al., 1990) and internal (Albaum et al., 1994; Katsikeas and Piercy, 1993) factor stimulating the export intention. Concerned with the non-exporting firm’s intention to initiate export, this study is mainly driven by internal factors stimulating the export intention. In this context, a few research investigated the non-exporting firms’ intention to enter export markets. Lim et al. (1991) identify four phases in the internationalization process: the awareness, interest, intention and adoption. Entrepreneurs first recognize the export as an opportunity. Then, as well as their interest increase, they develop a positive intention toward the internationalization and finally adopt it. Dosoglu-Guner (2001) studies the export intention of firms with regard to their organizational behavior namely organizational culture and ownership type. Ellis and Pecotich (2001) exploring the export initiation process, reveal the importance of social ties on the perception of the entrepreneurial opportunities. Focusing on the pre-export behavior, Yang, Leone and Dana, (1992) present a model to identify potential exporters among small and medium sized enterprises. Acedo and Jones (2007) are one of the few authors to examine the impact of managerial cognition on the speed of internationalization using ambiguity tolerance, risk perception and international orientation. They conclude that managers with a greater international orientation achieve rapid internationalization. In the same line of these studies and to further the analysis on the export intention, we aim to explain the export intention of nascent entrepreneurs focusing on new ventures that are still in the process of formation and creation. 5 Demographic characteristics Oviatt and McDougall, (2000) emphasized the entrepreneurs’ characteristics as a key factors to the early internationalization. The educational attainment and entrepreneurs’ age have being widely studied as determinants of export performance and export propensity. Evidence on the relationship between the entrepreneurs’ age and internationalization is mixed. While Kaynak and Kuan (1993) report a positive relationship between the entrepreneurs’ age and their international success, Moini (1995) does not establish any significant relationship between the entrepreneurs’ characteristics (age and education) and the degree of export involvement. However, most studies find a negative association between the manager’s age and export intention, propensity, and/or intensity (Suarez-Ortega and Alamo-Vera, 2005; Jaffe et al., 1988; Reid, 1981). Younger entrepreneurs tend to be more cosmopolitan and global minded than the older ones. Based on these last studies, we suggest that more mature entrepreneurs will be more reluctant to go global when starting a business. H1: Nascent entrepreneurs’ age is likely to have a negative impact on their export intention. Most studies have reported a positive relationship between the educational level of the manager and degree of international involvement of the firm (Nakos et al., 1998; Axinn, 1988; Reid, 1981). Reid (1981), for example, argued that college and university degree are important in the positive attitude toward export. Leonidou et al., (1998), in a literature review of 46 empirical studies (published between 1960 and 1995) found that the educational level has a positive impact on the international success. Furthermore, research in entrepreneurship, outlined the importance of education in the new venture creation (Davidsson and Honig, 2003; Robinson and Sexton, 1994). Thus, we expect that nascent entrepreneurs when they accomplish a high education level, they have more awareness of the global economy and they can open their minds to many possibilities specifically to start a business in a global market. H2: Nascent entrepreneurs’ greater educational attainment is likely to have a positive impact on their export intention. Cognitive characteristics The impact of the cognitive characteristics of entrepreneurs on the export intension has not received much interest in the literature (Halikias and Panayotopoulou, 2003). However, research 6 on the early-stage entrepreneurship has operationalized several cognitive characteristics of nascent entrepreneurs (Shaver, 2004), which can be related to export behavior. Of those characteristics, five were relevant to our purpose: risk attitude, locus of control, personal realization, problem solving and decision-making style. Considering, the internationalization or export, as an entrepreneurial process that requires entrepreneurial skills (McDougall and Oviatt, 1994), we could justify the following hypotheses, concerning the relationships between the nascent entrepreneurs' cognitive characteristics and their export intension. Risk attitude Risk attitude of international entrepreneurs has been argued to be an important determinant of internationalization (Johanson and Vahlne, 1977). The influence of the positive attitude of entrepreneurs on the initiation of international operations has been strongly supported in the literature (Axinn, 1988; Gupta and Govindarajan, 1984). Halikias and Panayotopoulou (2003) found risk attitude to be a distinguishing feature between born global (INV) and traditional firms. However, other authors do not agree that risk propensity is driving factor to successful international ventures (Moini, 1995; Jaffe et al. 1988). Based on the fact that export activity involves a special risk, we support that the positive attitude of nascent entrepreneurs toward risk will influence their export intention. H3: Nascent entrepreneurs who have greater risk taking attitude will have stronger export intention. Personal realization Attributes such as personal realization (self-challenge), intern locus of control, and tolerance for ambiguity have been argued to determine the entrepreneurial orientation of individuals and thus their international orientation (Zahra et al. 2005). Personal realization is core to the entrepreneurial activity and it can be posited that it regulates the entrepreneurs’ actions and the need to be successful as well as achieve excellence over time (Birley and Westhead, 1994). Dana et al. (2009) use personal achievement as a characteristic and a measure of the proactive entrepreneurial, opportunity focused exporter. While the need for achievement; or realization, was not a significant predictor of export involvement in Halikias’s and Panayotopoulou (2003) study, others have found a positive relationship between the personal realization of entrepreneurs 7 and the new ventures growth (Lee and Tsang, 2001; Davidsson, 1989). In the same line of these last studies, we suggest that the need for personal realization will be stronger within nascent entrepreneurs who intend to start a global business since it is even more challenging process than a domestic business. High achievers are ambitious, competitive, and enjoy the challenge of difficult tasks. H4: Nascent entrepreneurs who have greater personal realization (self-challenge) will have stronger export intention. Locus of control The locus of control refers to individuals' perceptions of success, or failure, as contingent on the control they have over personal events (Rotter, 1966). An entrepreneur with an internal locus of control, basically, believes that the outcomes are the result of his personal initiatives, while an entrepreneur with an external locus of control perceives his life or destiny as beyond his control. Some studies have established a link between the entrepreneurs’ internal locus of control and their propensity to engage in new ventures creation (Gartner, 1985). Miller and Toulouse (1986) report that managers with an internal locus of control may be more innovative and thus better performer than those with an external locus of control. Other research has found a positive relationship between the CEO's internal locus of control and growth (Lee and Tsang, 2001), namely with the export involvement of small firms (Halikias and Panayotopoulou, 2003). By extension, nascent entrepreneurs who believe that they control events are believed to have greater export intention. H5: Nascent entrepreneurs with greater internal locus of control will have stronger export intention. Problem-solving skills Internationalization is a complex operation that requires from entrepreneurs to engage in a heuristic thinking and a careful analysis of situations and events. It parallels the complexity of international entrepreneurs since they cope with heterogeneous cultural, institutional and competitive environments and are tasked with greater information-processing (Sanders and Carpenter, 1998). Problem-solving is the process through which individuals manage and evaluate the information (Govindarajan, 1989). Some studies found that managers who have intuitive problem-solving style, in that, they focus on meanings and relationship between items and allow 8 their unconscious to add on creativity and imagination, have better impact on firms performance (Roth, 1995; Govindarajan, 1989). Calori et al. (1994) found that CEOs of international geographic scope firms have a more complex cognitive structure, and thus better abilities to identify and solve problems than CEOs in firms with only a national scope. In the preoperational environment of nascent entrepreneurs, it is important to identify problem (Ford and Matthews, 2004). Thus, we believe that nascent entrepreneurs with problem-solving skills will have greater incentives to export, or go global. H6: Nascent entrepreneurs who have greater problem solving skills will have stronger export intention. Decision making style Kirton (1976) suggests that there are two different styles of decision making, innovators versus adaptors. Adaptors tend to rely on exciting solution or technologies in their decision-making. They are characterized by their precision, reliability, prudence and by conforming to the method and discipline. Adaptors are concerned with resolving problems rather than finding them. By contrast, innovators break patterns of accepted modes of thought and action and use creative arrangement and procedures to make a decision. They are problem and solution finders; forwardlooking; and tend to challenge traditional situations. Johnson, Danis and Dollinger (2008) found that innovators nascent entrepreneurs, in general, have greater growth expectations for their firms than adaptors. Moreover, several studies have supported the positive relationship between CEOs’ openness to innovation and adoption of innovative practices (Daellenbach et al., 1999; Souitaris, 2001). Cavusgil (1980) argues that export behavior is an innovation adoption process since it involves a new process of decision making and information gathering. Thus, we expect global nascent entrepreneurs to have innovative decision-making style. H7: Nascent entrepreneurs who have innovative decision-making style will have stronger export intention. New ventures’ characteristics High-technology International entrepreneurship research attributes the internationalization of global entrepreneurs mainly to the high-tech characteristic of the new ventures (Madsen and Servais, 1997; Knight 9 and Cavusgil, 1996; Bell, 1995). Moreover, several studies pointed out the role of knowledge and innovation in determining export behavior (Roper and Love, 2002; Wakelin, 1998). Roper and Love (2002) establish a positive relationship between having an innovative product and the probability and propensity to export. Bell et al. (2003) argue that knowledge-intensive firms have more proactive approach and often target difficult markets. Even more, technology has been found to be a determinant of export performance (Zou and Stan, 1998; Aaby and Slater, 1989). In consistence with these studies, we expect that new ventures in high-technology business will influence nascent entrepreneurs’ choice to go global. H8: Nascent entrepreneurs who expect to have a hi-tech business will have stronger export intention. Customer diversity In this study, customer diversity indicates new ventures that expect to build a relationship with a large population of customers. In doing so, they are able to leverage the risk of depending on a few customers. Literature is silent regarding the effect of customer diversity on the export intentionality. In an attempt to broach this issue, we suggest that nascent entrepreneurs who expect to have a diversified scope of customer portfolio will have a greater export intension. Looking for more diversification of their customer base, they may intend to look further than the domestic market. H9: Nascent entrepreneurs who expect to have greater customer diversity will have stronger export intention. Method Sample Selection and Data Collection Procedure This study uses data from the Entrepreneurship Research Consortium Panel Study of Entrepreneurial Dynamics I (ERC/PSED I), a national panel study of nascent business entrepreneurs. Data in the ERC/PSED were collected from 830 randomly selected nascent business entrepreneurs. Both telephone interview and mail surveys methods were used. The survey took place from 1998 to 2003. Reynolds (2000) provides a detailed description of this database’s development and content. To identity nascent entrepreneurs, they were asked the following question during the initial telephone screening interview: “Are you, alone or with 10 others, now trying to start a new business?” Respondents who answered “yes” were then asked if they were willing to participate in more extensive investigation. Over 780 NEs went on to complete the phone and mail portions of the survey. Of 559 NEs who completed the question on export intension, 151 answered as well questions related to cognitive, demographic and new ventures’ variables. Variables and Measures Export intention Some authors have measured the export intention as a dichotomous (yes/no) single item indicant asking whether or not firms intend to export (Axinn et al. 1995; 1988). Other authors have used multiple items to determine whether or not firms intend to export, plan to initiate export in the next two year and whether they intend to utilize excess resources (Yang et al. 1992). Jaffe and Pasternak (1994) have used a five-point Likert scale ranging from “no intention” to “very high intention”. For the purpose of this study, we used percentage of expected international customers, nascent entrepreneurs were asked: “Within the first three to four years, what percentage of your customers do you expect to be international, that is, outside the United States?” We believe that using a quantitative variable to measure the export intention will provide more information about the intensity of export intention. Explanatory variables Explanatory variables and items related to each variable are presented in appendix I. The Sales source is measured quantitatively through the percentage of sales expected form the three largest customers. Hi-technology business is coded as dichotomous (1) when the respondent was considering its new ventures to belong to hi-tech business and (0) when answered “no.” The Locus of control is operationalized by a three-item five point Likert-scale statements that investigate respondents’ assessment of the control they have over their friendship, plans and work. A high score means that respondents have an internal locus of control. Personal realization is measured through two-item five-point Likert scale ranging from great extent (5) to no extent (1). Three-item five-point Likert scale is used to measure the Problem solving. For decision style variable, one question is asked to determine whether nascent entrepreneurs have an innovative, adaptive decision style or both. Respondents who answered that they prefer to “do 11 things better” where classified as adaptors, those who answered that they prefer to “do things differently” where classified as innovators. Regarding risk attitude, one question from the mail survey was used to capture the nascent entrepreneurs’ degree of risk attitude, “I enjoy the challenge of situations that many consider ‘risky’.” The response scale was anchored by completely true (5) to completely untrue (1). Items in the scale were coded again into dichotomous variables. Because of the high level of correlation between these variables, we chose the “Mostly untrue” item to estimate the impact of risk on the model. A negative coefficient is then expected, in that, high negative score will imply a greater degree of risk preference. The demographic variables, age and education attainment, are operationalized as shown in Appendix I. Results and discussion Multiple regression is used to explain to what extent the cognitive, demographic and new ventures characteristics explain the global orientation of nascent entrepreneurs. Table I provides the summary statistics for the explanatory variables. The matrix for the independent variables shows five correlations statistically significant at (p<0.001): a- correlation between the nascent entrepreneurs’ age and education (r= -0.145); b- correlation between the self-challenge and locus of control (r=0.216); c- correlation between the decision style and education (r=0.190); dcorrelation between self-realization and high-tech business (r=0.29); correlation between problem solving and education (r=-0.124). Because of the high degree of correlation, six models were specified using each of these correlated variables at a time. Table II reproduces results of the regression analysis in terms of the effect of age, education attainment, national sale and technological characteristic of the new business, locus of control, self-challenge, problem solving skills, adaptation/innovation decision styles. The interaction term is integrated to study the impact of the interaction between the innovative decision-making style and personal realization of NE on the export intention. All six models are statistically significant (the probability of F ratio is less than 0.001 in most models) with an R2 ranging from 0.08-0.18. Table III shows the results of tests of a “no-constant model” with dummy variables, examining the impact of different levels of education and decision styles on export intention of NE. The R2 for model 7 and 8 are respectively 0.23 and 0.16. 12 13 0.34 0.14 0.33 36.85 7-Risk1 8-Hi-Tech business 9-Customer diversity 2.7 4-Self-challenge 6- Decision style 4 3-Locus of Control 2.59 0.13 2-Education Attainment 5-Problem Solving 39.78 1-Age of NE Mean 33.42 0.47 0.35 0.47 0.7 1.21 0.58 0.33 10.93 SD -0.0078 0.8271 0.1397 0.8824 0.5461 -0.0819 0.0056 0.0552 0.3129 -0.0309 0.0643 0.0226 0.0011 0.0405 0.0643* 0.0157 0.8571 -0.1139* -0.0803* 0.3067 0.0032 0.0072 -0.0342 0.3808 0.05 -0.1172* -0.0287 2 -0.078 0.0001 0.1454* 1 0.3716 0.0414 0.1751 0.0586 0.0002 -0.1235* 0.755 0.0105 0.0965 0.0554 0.0001 0.2164* 3 0.0663 0.0849 0.0001 0.2906* 0.0001 -0.1357* 0.1587 0.0472 0.1642 -0.0464 4 Correlation of independent variables (N=151) Table I 0.9535 -0.0027 0.9004 -0.0054 0.2069 0.0423 0.9245 -0.0032 5 0.7722 0.0111 0.4634 0.0261 0.0404 -0.069 6 8 0.7245 0.1301 0.0164 0.0583 0.7407 0.0143 7 The first hypothesis states that nascent entrepreneurs’ age has a negative impact on their export intention. Hypothesis1 is strongly supported across the six models. NEs’ age is negatively linked to their export intention. Mature NEs are less likely to export or go global. This finding is consistent with Luostarinen and Gabrielsson (2002), who reported that born-global founders are young and active. Results in Model 4 (Table II) show a significant relationship between NEs’ education attainment and export intentionality. High-school diploma predicts the export intentionally. Model 7 (Table III) also confirms the importance of high school diploma in determining the export intentionality of NE. Yet, Indeed, in both regressions high school diploma appears to affect in great way the intentionality to go global. Davis and Harveston (2000) argue that the more entrepreneur-founder are educated, the greater the extensiveness of internationalization. It’s surprising that in our study NEs with high school diploma are the most likely to have a global orientation. Therefore, hypothesis 2 is rejected. Considering the cognitive characteristics, hypothesis 3, stating that nascent entrepreneurs who have greater risk taking attitude will have stronger export intention, is confirmed in both models 5 and 6 (Table II). Risk taking attitude is a predictor of the export intention of NEs. Hypothesis 4 considering the effect of the personal realization of NEs on the export intention is also confirmed. Nascent entrepreneurs who have greater personal realization will be more challenging and will have stronger export intention. However, hypothesis 5, predicting that NEs with internal locus of control will have greater export intention is not confirmed. Through the six models (Table II), the coefficient estimate was negative and significant. This result came as a surprise given the common-sense expectation that NEs who believe they have control over their outcomes would be more interested in going global. The possible explanation would be that NEs who expect to go global may be conscious of the institutional, political and economic factors related to foreign markets that go beyond their control. Furthermore, NEs awareness of the ambiguity related to their international orientation may reduce their certitude about the control they can have over the internationalization. According to Acedo and Jones (2007), tolerance to ambiguity determines the proactivity of international entrepreneurs. TABLE II 14 Results of Multiple Regression Analysis for Nascent entrepreneurs demographic and cognitive characteristics Variables Model 1 Model 2 Intercept term 9.595* 20.412** 15.764* 1-Age of NE -0.132* -0.142* -2.902* 2-Education Attainment (high school) 3-Locus of Control 4-Self-challenge and realization 5-Problem Solving -1.129 Model 3 Model 4 Model 5 9.27* 20.560*** 19.11*** -0.129* 5.157* -2.996* -2.411* -1.431* -0.135* -3.250** -3.246** -3.663† -3.342† -0.001 -0.001 1.712** -1.133 6-Adaptation/innovation Decision style 3.21* 7-Risk1 8-National sale -0.001 9-Hi-Tech business 4.925*** 4.871*** Interaction term 4*6 -0.001 -0.002 5.108*** 5.239*** 1.20** R² 0.10 0.17 F Mean VIF 5.44*** 1.00 4.96*** 1.03 0.08 3.57** 1.03 0.16 5.46*** 1.01 Model 6 4.750** 0.14 1.144** 4.91*** 1.04 5.33*** 1.04 0.18 *** Significant at 0.001 **Significant at 0.01 *Significant at 0.05 †Significant at 0.1 15 TABLE III Results of Multiple Regression with Standardized Coefficients (Education Attainment and Decision Style) Variables Sale Model 7 0.005 Model 8 0.006 Locus of control -1.804 -1.98 Education Attainment 4 12.75* (graduate) Education Attainment 3 8.589 (college) Education Attainment2 9.439† (some college) Education Attainment 1 15.114** (High school) Decision style (innovation) 13.402* Decision style (adaptation) 9.625† Decision style (both) 8.493 R² 0.23 6.39*** F 0.16 5.60*** *** Significant at 0.001 **Significant at 0.01 *Significant at 0.05 †Significant at 0.1 Hypothesis 6 examined the impact of NEs’ problem solving skills on the export intention. Results did not support our argument. This variable is not significant in models 1 and 2. Problem solving skills are not a determinant of NEs interest in internationalization. Considering the relationship between the innovative decision style of NEs and their export intention (hypothesis 7), model 5 confirms our hypothesis. Moreover, model 8 shows a strong significant (p<0.05) positive coefficient (13.402). It also shows a weak relationship between the adaptive decision style and export intention. NEs need an innovative decision style to be interested in the internationalization since it implies a break with the traditional way of doing business first in the domestic market and then gradually exploring foreign markets. However, NEs may also need the precision, reliability and prudence of adaptive decision style to manage 16 the international operations. According to Johnson, Danis and Dollinger (2008) innovators and adaptors may benefit from collaboration or partnership to overcome the disadvantages related to each of their decision-making style. With regard to new ventures’ characteristics, the high-technology industry is a determinant factor in the NEs internalization (hypothesis 8). This variable was positively significant (p<0.001) through all tested models. This confirms the IE literature claiming the importance of technology and knowledge as a main explanation of the early internationalization of entrepreneurs (Madsen and Servais, 1997; Knight and Cavusgil, 1996; Bell, 1995). However, our final hypothesis (hypothesis 9) predicting that the source sale will influence the export intention of NEs, did not find any support through all the models. The scope of the customer portfolio does not determine the internationalization choice of NEs. As shown in Table II, the impact of the interaction term on the export intention was also tested. The joint effect for the innovative decision-making style and personal realization of NEs is strongly significant (p<0.01). Thus NEs with innovative decision style and stronger personal realization are more likely to go global than those who are adaptors with weak personal realization. Conclusion In this study, we sought to examine the antecedents of NEs’ export intention. Using a broad sample (N=150) of global nascent entrepreneurs, we focused on understanding what are the cognitive, demographic and new ventures’ characteristics that determine their intention to go global. The role of the cognitive characteristics in the explication of the early internationalization has received little attention in the international entrepreneurship literature. Thus, this paper contributes to the advancement of our knowledge of the early internationalization phenomenon in two ways. First, by integrating international marketing and IE theories and by applying cognitive measure from NEs literature; second, by focusing on two level analysis, the individual age, education and cognitive characteristics as well as the new ventures’ hi-technology and sales source. This paper provides a rich explanation of the entrepreneurs’ interest in internationalization at the early processes of their business formation. 17 Results show that young, risk-taking entrepreneurs with a strong personal realization and innovative decision-making style who operate in hi-technology business are more likely to go global. Acedo and Jones (2007), and Acedo and Florin (2006) in their study of the cognitive characteristics pointed out the role played by positive risk perception in increasing the new ventures’ international commitment. Interestingly, our findings suggest that NEs with an internal locus of control are less likely to be interested in internationalization. The ambiguity and incertitude related to the internationalization may inhibit NEs with strong internal locus of control. The impact of education attainment in NEs’ export intention was as well unexpected. The high-school diploma appears to predict the internationalization of NEs. The possible explanation is that NEs with high-school diploma may look for many possibilities to find a competitive business idea, in that they may include the alternative of the internationalization. Overall, these results disagree with previous studies where firms are less likely to be interested in the internationalization unless they experience and accumulate knowledge in the domestic markets (Welch and Wiedersheim-Paul, 1980; Johanson and Vahlne, 1977). Indeed, entrepreneurs can intend to go global from the inception (McDougall, Shane and Oviatt, 1994) while developing their business plan. Thus, internationalization does not happen by chance, it is a rather a result of a set of factors that include the new ventures’ domain of activity and entrepreneurs’ cognitive structure and demography. This study provides some potential insight for government organizations and agencies focused on the export promotion in recognizing and training international entrepreneurs. It is apparent that entrepreneurs with export intentions have certain cognitive and demographic characteristics and that they may benefit from an appropriate training program. For example, having an innovative decision-making style may be important to go global but may present some disadvantage when managing international operations. Having external assistance with an adaptive style may help balance the decision-making process. Furthermore, helping entrepreneurs having a positive representation of international opportunities may reduce their negative risk attitude and enhance their internal locus of control. The first limitation of this study is that, even though, results of regression analysis were statistically significant, models explained no more than 19 percent of the variance of the export intention. The purpose of this study was to determine whether the cognitive, demographic and new ventures’ characteristic have an influence on the export intention of NEs, rather than 18 identifying the best predictors of export intention. This suggests that other variables (e. g. international experience of NEs, professional network of NEs) may be important to consider as well as the cognitive, demographic and new ventures characteristics. We believe, however, that our model predicts the effect of the most variables involved in the early internationalization of NEs. Research may extend our finding by considering additional contributing variables to the model. The second limitation is the cross-sectional design used in this study. Although the PSED database provides a longitudinal survey, we based our analysis on the first wave of survey. In order to verify the stability of NEs export intention through the three other waves, we run a test and the test was positive. Future research may further the analysis by including the other waves to compare how the cognitive characteristics may change and how this change may influence the export intention of NEs. In this study, we focused on determining the cognitive, demographic and new ventures’ characteristics underpinning the export intention of NEs. Although the intention is an important phase in the achievement of the internationalization process (Lim et al., 1991), the adoption phase of this process may be considered as a necessary future research line. 19 References Aaby, N. E. and Slater, S. F. (1989), “Management influences on export performance: A review of the empirical literature 1978-88,” International Marketing Review, Vol. 6 No. 4, pp. 7-25. Acedo, F. J. and Florin, J. (2006), “An entrepreneurial cognition perspective on the internationalization of SMEs,” Journal of International Entrepreneurship, Vol. 4, pp. 49-67. Acedo, F. J., and Jones, M. V. (2007), “Speed of internationalization and entrepreneurial cognition: insights and a comparison between international new ventures, exporters and domestic firms,” Journal of World Business, Vol. 42, pp. 236-52. Albaum, G., Strandskov, J., Duerr, E. and Dowd, L. (1994), International marketing and export management, Reading, Mass, Addison-Wesley. Andersen, O., (1993), “On the Internationalisation Process of Firms: A Critical Analysis,” Journal of International Business Studies, Vol. 24, No 2, pp. 143-155. Axinn, C. N. (1988), “Export performance: do managerial perceptions make a difference?” International Marketing Review, Vol. 3 No 2, pp. 61-71. Axinn, C. N. Savitt, R. Sinkula, J. M. and Thach, S. V. (1995), “Export Intention, Beliefs, and behaviors in Smaller Industrial Firms,” Journal of international Business Research, Vol. 32 No 1, pp. 49-55. Bell, J. (1995), “The Internationalization of Small Computer Software Firms. A Further Challenge to "Stage" Theories”. European Journal of Marketing, Vol. 29, No 8, pp. 60-75. Bell, J., McNaughton, J., Young, R., and Crick, D. (2003), “Towards an integrative model of small firm internationalisation,” Journal of International Entrepreneurship, Vol. 1, pp.339362. Bilkey, W.J. and Tesar, G. (1977), “The export behavior of smaller-sized Wisconsin manufacturing firms. Journal of International Business Studies, Vol. 8, pp.93-98. Birley, S. and Westhead, P. (1994), “A taxonomy of business start-up reasons and their impact on firm growth and size,” Journal of Business Venturing, Vol. 9, No. 1, pp. 7-31. Cadogan, J. W., Cui, C.C., Morgan, R.E., Story, V.M., (2006), “Factors facilitating and impeding the development of export market-oriented behavior: A study of Hong Kong manufacturing exporters,” Industrial marketing management, Vol. 35, pp. 634-647. Calori R., Johnson G. and Sarnin P., (1994), “CEOs' cognitive maps and the scope of the organization,” Strategic Management Journal, Vol. 15, pp. 437-457. Cavusgil, S. T. (1980), “On the Internationalization Process of Firms,” European Research, Vol. 8, pp. 273-280. Cavusgil, S. T. (1984), “Differences among exporting firms based on their degree of internationalization,” Journal of Business Research, Vol.12, pp.195-208. Czincota, M (1982), Export development strategies: US promotion policies. New-York: Praeger Publishers. Daellenbach, U. S., McCarthy, A. M. and Schoenecker T. S. (1999), “Commitment to Innovation: The Impact of Top Management Team Characteristics” R&D Management, Vol. 29, pp. 199-209. Dana, L. P., Hamilton, R. T. and K. Wick (2009), “Deciding to export: exploratory study of Singaporean entrepreneurs,” Journal of International Entrepreneurship, Vol. 7, pp.79-87 Davidsson, Per and Honig, B. (2003), “The role of social and human capital among nascent entrepreneurs,” Journal of Business Venturing, Vol. 18, No 3, pp. 301-331. 20 Diamantopoulos, A., Schlegelmilch, B. B., and Allpress, C. (1990), “Export marketing research in practice: a comparison of users and non-users,” Journal of Marketing Management, Vol. 6, No 3, pp.257– 273. Dosoglu-Guner, B. (2001), “Can organizational behavior explain the export intention of firms? the effects of organizational culture,” International Business Review, Vol. 10, pp. 71-89. Ellis, P. and Pecotich, A. (2001), “Social factors influencing export initiation in small and medium-sized enterprises,” Journal of Marketing Research, Vol. 38, No 1, pp. 119-130. Forbes, D. P. (1999), “Cognitive approaches to new venture creation” International Journal of Management Review, Vol.1, pp. 415-439. Ford, M. W. and Matthews, C. H. (2004), “Individual problem solving,” in William, B. Gartner et al. Handbook of entrepreneurial dynamics: the process of business creation, Sage Publications. Gartner, W. B. (1985), “A conceptual framework for describing the phenomenon of new venture creation” Academy of Management Review, Vol. 10, pp. 696-706. Govindarajan, V. (1989), “Implementing competitive strategies at the business unit level: Implications of matching managers to strategies” Strategic Management Journal, Vol. 10, No 3, pp. 251-69. Grégoire, D. A., Williams, W. D. and Oviatt, B. M. (2008), “Early Internationalization Decisions for New Ventures: What matters?” Babson College Entrepreneurship Research Conference (BCERC), Frontiers of Entrepreneurship Research. Gupta, A. K. and Govindarajan, V. (2002) “Cultivating a Global Mindset. Academy of Management Executive, Vol. 16, No 1, pp.116 – 126. Halikias, J. and Panayotopoulou, L. (2003),“Chief Executive Personality and Export Involvement,” Management Decision, Vol. 41, No 4, pp. 340-349. Jaffe, E.D., Pasternak, H. and Nebenzahl, I. (1988), “The Export Behaviour of Small Israeli Manufacturers,” Journal of Global Marketing, Vol. 2, No 2, pp. 27-49. Jaffe, E.D., Nebenzahl, I.D. and Pasternak, H. (1988), “The Export Behaviour of Small and Medium-Sized Israeli Manufacturers,” Journal of Global Marketing, Vol. 2, No 2, pp.27-51. Johanson, J and J. Vahlne (1990), “The mechanism of internationalization,” International marketing review, Vol. 7, No 4, pp.11-24. Johanson, J and Vahne, J-E (1977), “The Internationalization Process of the Firm: a Model of Knowledge Development and Increasing Foreign Market Commitments,” Journal of International Business Studies, Vol. 8, No 1, pp.23-32. Johanson, J. and F. Wiedersheim-Paul (1975), “The internationalization of the firm - four Swedish cases,” Journal of Management Studies, Vol. 12, No 3, pp.305-322. Jones, M.J. (1999), “Internationalization of small high-technology firms,” Journal of International Marketing, Vol. 7, No 4, pp.15-41. Katsikeas, C. S., and Piercy, N. (1993),” Long-term export stimuli and firm characteristics in a European LDC,” Journal of International Marketing, Vol. 1, No. 3, pp.23-47. Kaynak, E., and Kuan, W.K.Y. (1993) “Environment, strategy, structure, and performance in the context of export activity: An empirical study of Taiwanese manufacturing firms’’, Journal of Business Research, Vol. 27, No. 1, pp.33-49. Kirton, M. (1976), “Adaptors and innovators-Description and measure,” Journal of Applied Psychology, Vol. 61, pp. 622–629. Knight, G.G. and Cavusgil, S.T. (1996), “The born global firm: A challenge to traditional internationalization theory,” Advances in International Marketing, Vol. 8, pp.11–26. 21 Knight, G.A.and Cavusgil, S.T. (2004), “Innovation, Organizational Capabilities, and the BornGlobal Firm,” Journal of International Business Studies, Vol. 35, No. 2, pp.124-141. LaMont, J. K., Danis, W. M. and Dollinger, M. J. (2008), “Are You an Innovator or Adaptor? The Impact of Cognitive Propensity on Venture Expectations and Outcomes,” New England Journal of Entrepreneurship. Vol. 11, No. 2, pp. 29-46. Liesch, P. and G. Knight (1999). “Information internationalization and hurdle rates in small and medium enterprise internationalization”. Journal of International Business Studies, 30, pp. 383-394. Lee, D. Y. and Tzang, E. W. K. (2001), “The effects of entrepreneurial personality, background and network activities on venture growth,” Journal of Management Studies, Vol. 38, pp. 583 602. Leonidou, L. C. and Katsikeas, C. S. (1996), “The export development process: An integrative review of empirical models,” Journal of international business studies, pp. 517-551. Leonidou, L. C., Katsikeas, C. S. and Piercy, N. F. (1998), “Identifying Managerial Influences on Exporting: Past Research and Future Directions,” Journal of International Marketing, 6 (2), 74-102. Leonidou, L.C., (1995), "Export Stimulation Research: Review, Evaluation and Integration,” International Business Review, Vol. 4, No. 2, pp. 133-156. Levy, O. (2005), “The Influence of Top Management Team Attention Patterns on Global Strategic Posture of Firms,” Journal of Organizational Behavior, Vol. 26, No 7, pp.797-819. Liesch, P. W., Welch, L. S., Welch, D., McGaughey, S. L., Petersen, B. and Lamb, P. (2003) “Evolving strands of research on firm internationalization: An Australian-Nordic perspective’’, International Studies of Management and Organization, Vol. 32, No. 1, pp.1635. Lim, J.-S., T. Sharkey, and K. Kim, (1991), “An Empirical Test of Export Adoption Model,” Management. International Review 31 (1), 51-62. Luostarinen and Gabrielsson, M. (2002), “Globalization and global marketing strategies of born globals in SMOPECs,” Paper proposal submitted for the Annual Conference of the European International Business Academy. Madsen, T.K. and Servais, P. (1997), “The Internationalisation of Born Globals - An Evolutionary Process?” International Business Review, Vol.6, No. 6, pp.1-14 Maignan, I. And Lukas B. (1997), “Entry Mode Decisions: The Role of Managers’ Mental Models,” Journal of Global Marketing, Vol. 10, No. 4, pp.7-22. McDougall, P.P. and Oviatt, B.M. (2000), “International entrepreneurship: The intersection of two research paths,” Academy of Management Journal, Vol. 43, pp. 902–908. McDougall, P. P. and Oviatt, B. M. (2003), “Some fundamental issues in international entrepreneurship,” Coleman White Paper Series, 2, 1–27. Retrieved June 2005, from http://www.usasbe.org Miller, D. and Toulouse J.M. (1986), "Chief executive personality and corporate strategy and structure in small firms,” Management Science, pp.1389-1409. Moini, A.H. (1995), “An Inquiry into Successful Exporting: An Empirical Investigation Using a Three Stage Model,” Journal of Small Business Management, Vol. 33, pp.9-25. Nakos, G., Brouthers, L. E., and Brouthers, K. D. (1998), “The Impact of Firm and Managerial Characteristics on Small and Medium-Sized Greek Firms' Export Performance,” Journal of Global Marketing, Vol. 11, No. 4, pp. 23-47. 22 Nummela, N., Saarenketo, S. and Puumalainen, K. (2004), “Global mindsets and cognitive shift in a complex multinational corporation,” Strategic Management Journal, Vol. 19, Vol. 2, pp. 97-114. Oviatt, B.M. and MacDougall, P.P. (1994), “Toward a theory of international new ventures,” Journal of International Business Studies, Vol. 25, No. 1, pp. 45-64. Reid, S. (1981), “The decision maker and export entry and expansion,” Journal of International Business Studies, Vol. 12, pp.101-112. Rennie, M. W. (1993), “Global competitiveness: Born global,” McKinsey Quarterly, Vol.4, pp. 45-52. Reuber, R., and Fischer, E. (1997), “The Influence of the Management Team’s International Experience on the internationalization Behaviours of SMEs,” Journal of International Business Studies, Vol. 28 No. 4, pp.807-816. Reynolds, P. D. (2000), “National panel study of U.S. business startups: Background and methodology”. In J. A. Katz (Ed.), Advances in entrepreneurship, firm emergence, and growth: Databases for the study of entrepreneurship, Vol. 4, pp. 153-228. Greenwich, CT: JAI Press, Inc. Robinson, PB and Sexton, EA (1994), “The effect of education and experience on selfemployment success,” Journal of Business Venturing, Vol. 9, No 2, pp. 141-156. Roper, S. and Love, J.H. (2002), “Innovation and export performance: evidence from the UK and German manufacturing plants’’, Research Policy, Vol. 31, pp.1087-1102. Roth, K. (1995), “Managing international interdependence: CEO characteristics in a resourcebased framework,” Academy of Management Journal, Vol. 38, pp. 200-231. Rotter, J. B. (1966), “Generalized expectancies for internal versus external control of reinforcement” Psychological Monographs, Vol. 80, No 609. Sanders, W. and Carpenter M. (1998), “Internationalization and firm governance: The roles of CEO compensation, top team composition, and board structure,” Academy of Management Journal, Vol. 4, pp.158-178. Shaver, K.G., (2004), “Overview of the Cognitive Characteristics of the Entrepreneurs” in William, B. Gartner et al. Handbook of entrepreneurial dynamics: the process of business creation, Sage publications. Souitaris, V. (2001), “External communication determinants of innovation in the context of a newly industrialized country: a comparison of objective and perceptual results from Greece,” Technovation, Vol.21, No.1. Suárez-Ortega, S.M. and Alamo-Vera, F.R. (2005) “SMEs’ Internationalisation: Firms and Managerial Factors,” International Journal of Entrepreneurship Behaviour and Research, Vol. 11, No. 4, pp. 258-279 Wakelin, K. (1998), “Innovation and export behaviour at the firm level’’, Research Policy, Vol. 26, No. 7/8, pp. 829-870. Yang, Y.S., Leone R. P. and Alden D. L. (1992), “A marketing expansion ability approach to identify potential exporters,” Journal of Marketing, Vol. 56, pp.84-96. Zahra, S. and George, G. (2002), “Culture and its consequences for entrepreneurship,” Entrepreneurship Theory and Practice, pp.5-8. Zahra, S., Korri, J.S., and Yu, J. (2005), “Cognition and international entrepreneurship: Implications for research on international opportunity recognition and exploitation,” International Business Review, Vol. 14, pp. 129-146. 23 Zahra, S.A. (2005), “Entrepreneurial risk taking in family firms,” Family Business Review, Vol. 18, No. 1, pp. 23-40. Zou, S. and Stan, S. (1998), “The Determinants of Export Performance: A Review of the Empirical Literature between 1987 and 1997,” International Marketing Review, Vol. 5, No 5, pp. 333-356. APPENDIX I Definition of explanatory variables New ventures’ Characteristics NE Demographic Characteristics Variables Sale source Item Q296 High-Tech Q301 (recoded) SCREENYRQ202 Q343 (recoded) (00 01 02=1) (03 04 05=2) (06 07=3) (08 09=4) Age Education NE Cognitive Characteristics Locus of Control mean(QL1h QL1i QL1j) Personal realization (selfchallenge) mean(QG1C QG1M) 24 Description What percentage of your sales, income, or fees would you expect to get from your three largest customers? Would you consider this new business to be hi-tech? How old are you? What is the highest level of education you have completed so far? 00. Up to eighth grade 01. Some high school 02. High school degree 03. Tech. or voc. degree 04. Some college 05. Comm. college degree 06. College degree 07. Some graduate training 08. MBA, MA, MS degree 09. LLB, MD, PhD, EDD degree How accurately (untrue/true) these statements would describe you? -I have no trouble making and keeping friends - When I make plans I am almost certain to make them work - When I get what I want, it is usually because I worked hard for it To what extent (no /great) is the following reason important to you in establishing this new business? -To be innovative and in the forefront of new technology - To develop an idea for a product How often (very often/never) does the following happen? -I face new, complex, or unpredictable situations - I feel overloaded, pushed to my physical or mental limits - When confronted with a difficult problem I tend to delay a decision so I can collect more information Problem Solving mean(QJ2a QJ 2b REQL1r) Decision Style Q327 (recoded) If someone asked you which kind of person you are, would you say that you preferred “doing things better” or “doing things differently?” 1. Doing things better 2. Doing things differently 3. Both Risk 1 QL1Q The following statements can be used to describe most people. How accurately would they describe you? I enjoy the challenge of situations that many consider “risky” 1- Completely untrue 2. Mostly untrue 3. It depends 4. Mostly true 5. Completely true 25
© Copyright 2026 Paperzz