'How effective is the utilisation of increased street lighting as a situational crime prevention method?‟ Applying social, environmental and economic costs and benefits By Samuel Crayk 5/3/2012 Criminology and Psychology Supervisor: Malcolm Cowburn Abstract This dissertation offers a thematic synthesis of the literature into the effectiveness of increased street lighting as a situational crime prevention method. Research into the effectiveness of street lighting is relatively comprehensive, however much is conflicting and a large proportion has been carried out in America. Studies which have been carried out in England tend to be dated or lack in methodological soundness. It is evident that much poor quality research has been carried out and for this reason when choosing studies strict parameters were necessary. These said parameters will be explained later in the paper. A literature review is employed throughout this paper in the aim to obtain a broad understanding of all research carried out allowing a more conclusive and unbiased evaluation. It was also chosen because of cost, time constraints, and due to there being copious amounts of extensive research available, that only a longitudinal study would have been appropriate. Page 1 It was evident that for every piece of research released came a substantial amount of critiques to the methodology and overall structure. This meant that it allowed the dissertation to take an unbiased, objective stance, with every viewpoint taken into consideration before making an overall conclusion. Contents 1 2 Page Introduction 5 1.1 Aims of the Research 1.2 Structure Methodology 2.1 Research Question 2.2 Literature Review 2.3 Accessing the Literature 2.4 Thematic Synthesis 2.41 Coding 6 6 7 7 7 8 9 10 3 Environmental 11 3.1 Situational Crime Prevention 11 3.11 Rational Choice Theory 12 3.12 Routine Activity Theory 12 3.2 Displacement and Diffusion of Benefits 14 3.3 Crime Prevention through Environmental Design and 15 Defensible Space 3.31 Space Syntax Theory 3.4 Street Lighting as a Crime Attracter 3.41 Vandalism to Street Lighting 3.5 Light Pollution 3.51 Outdoor Site-Lighting Performance 4 Social 16 17 17 18 18 19 4.1 Community Cohesion 19 4.2 Fear of Crime 19 4.21 Lifestyle/ Exposure Theory 4.3 Investment in the Area 21 5.1 Cost-Benefit Analysis 22 5.2 Intangible Costs 22 5.3 Break-even Analysis 23 5.4 Technological Advancements 23 2 22 Page 5 Economic 20 6 Discussion 25 7 Conclusion and Recommendations for Future Practice 26 References 29 Appendices Appendix 1- Space Syntax Theory Research Scope and Procedure 41 Appendix 2- Excess Illuminance 42 Appendix 3- Revised Cost Analysis of K. Painter and D. Farrington‟s 43 Dudley and Stoke-On- Trent Projects Appendix 4- Costs of Crime 44 Acknowledgements Page I would also like to thank my family for all the support and encouragement they have given me during the highs and lows of university life. Without them I would not have had the opportunity to engage in something I am passionate about. 3 I would like to thank my dissertation tutor Malcolm Cowburn for his on-going assistance, guidance and patience throughout the duration of this dissertation. List of Abbreviations Page 4 CABE- The Commission for Architecture and the Built Environment CPTED- Crime prevention through environmental design FOC- Fear of crime OSP- Outdoor Site-lighting Performance RAT- Routine Activity Theory RCT- Rational Choice Theory SCP- Situational Crime Prevention 1.Introduction Contemporary interest in the effectiveness of street lighting was sparked by the influx of crime in America during the 1960‟s. As a result of this increased crime, major street lighting programmes were employed across America in a bid to deter potential offenders. It was first thought to be a success but after a review of the 103 street projects by Tien, O‟Donnell, Barnett, and Mirchandani (1973) it was found that in fact they had shown mixed results. Tien et al (1979) also found many flaws in the projects and consequently established that the findings were not methodologically sound enough to draw a conclusion. This review resulted in an end to the research of street lighting in America for many years but was a catalyst for research in England. Between 1988 and 1990 Katie Painter undertook three projects in London measuring the effectiveness of street lighting on crime. The results of the study showed that street lighting did have a positive effect on crime rates (Painter 1989, 1991); although these projects were carried out with small experimental areas with little sample sizes and thus did not offer statistically significant results. However, the positive impact of street lighting shown did offer a basis to which research could be built on. Page Britain‟s 7.5 million street lights cost an estimated £500 million a year to run (Smirnov 2012). This works out at each light costing between £20 to £40 to run for the year, with many councils having in excess of 100,000. In the face of many spending cuts, up to ¾ of councils are considering turning off or dimming street lights after midnight to slash costs (BBC 2012). In the largest blackout to date, Essex county council turned off 18,000 of its 220,000 street lights, saving an estimated £1.25 million a year (BBC 2010). A spokesman for the police federation forewarned that „the cuts could well mean that back streets and outer areas become a more fertile area for criminals to become active in. Research supports this statement and suggests that the lighter an area is, the safer it is for public safety, pedestrians and indeed motorists‟ (Kelly 2012). 5 Interest in street lighting has progressed in recent years, it has moved from simply marking out roads to now being used as a crime prevention method and for pedestrian safety. It is now widely cited as a feature that people connect to enhanced safety and thus often results in a reduction of fear of crime (Farrington and Welsh 2002; Loomis, Marshall, Wolf, Runyan and Butts 2002; Painter and Farrington 2001). There is a widely held belief that increased street lighting has a positive effect on crime rates and fear of crime, and prima facie this seems to be the case. However, much of the research falls victim to methodological flaws and practice issues and a considerable amount of research is conflicting (Pease 1999; Farrington & Welsh 2002; Painter 1996; Poyner 1993). Also a large proportion has been carried out in America and those which have been done in England tend to be dated or lack in methodological soundness (Pease, 1997; Ramsey, 1989). It is evident that much poor quality research has been carried out and the threat of publication bias is of considerable concern. This is the notion, as suggested by Chan (1979), that politically funded research may bring about confirmation bias, whereby researchers may reduce unfavourable results to fit with the outcomes expected by the funding agencies. This dissertation will offer a systematic synthesis of the literature, exploring the effectiveness of increased street lighting as a situational crime prevention method from drawing on research by key scholars such as Katie Painter, Ken Pease, Brandon Welsh and David Farrington. The rationale for the choice of subject matter was due to a personal interest in crime prevention. Street lighting specifically was chosen after the increased media coverage of national black out trials and the tendency to overlook its crime prevention ability. 1.1 Aims of the Research The dissertation aims to offer a thematic synthesis of the literature in order to answer the question „'how effective is the utilisation of increased street lighting as a situational crime prevention method? Applying social, environmental and economic costs and benefits‟. This will support or challenge the widely held belief that it is effective in the reduction of crime. It aims to achieve this through exploring the environmental, economical and social costs and benefits of street lighting. It will highlight the relevant theories in order to support arguments made, and will incorporate these within the chapters in order to give the reader a knowledgeable understanding of the theoretical underpinnings of these topic areas. It also aims to identify the key issues and limitations in researching the effectiveness of street lighting and will offer a conclusion and recommendations for further practice. 1.2 Structure Chapter two gives an overview of the methodology and methodological issues present in the research, outlining the strengths and limitations of the chosen method. Chapter three provides an examination into the environmental costs and benefits of street lighting, including an exploration into situational crime prevention and the strengths and limitations of these crime prevention methods. Chapter four offers an analysis into the social costs and benefits of street lighting and highlights the effects of community cohesion and fear of crime on deterring potential offenders. Chapter five presents an outline on the economical costs and benefits of street lighting, highlighting the methods of cost analysis available to researchers and their strengths and limitations in practice. Chapter six provides a discussion of the research, exploring issues raised. Page 6 Chapter seven concludes the findings of the research, offering recommendations for further practice. 2.Methodology Below is an outline of the methodological research techniques used in this paper, with reference to their strengths and limitations and a rationale for the chosen method. First it will be highlighted why there is a need for a research question, and the process that occurred to arrive at the final outcome. 2.1 Research question It is necessary to formulate a research question early in the research design in order to guide and steer the subsequent study and to ensure literature gathered is of relevance (Kennedy 2005). The research question in this dissertation underwent many adjustments as more literature was uncovered. This was due to the realisation that with the copious amount of research, a more concise question was needed to have any real value in the topic area of street lighting and crime. The final research question 'how effective is the utilisation of increased street lighting as a situational crime prevention method? Applying social, environmental and economic costs and benefits' was chosen due to little previous research incorporating all of its aspects and it was felt that this research question would further the knowledge in the field of street lighting and crime prevention. 2.2 Literature Review There are many different techniques of research, all differing in strengths and limitations. Below is an outline and rationale for the chosen method. This paper will use a secondary qualitative research technique in the form of a critical literature review, in order to thematically analyse the research in the field of street lighting and crime. A literature review is the process of merging information from different studies (Moncrieff 1998) and works on the notion that rather than reinventing the topic area it is far more useful to build on what is already known. According to Neuman (1997), the goals of a literature review is to „demonstrate a familiarity with a body of knowledge and establish credibility; to show the path of prior research and how a current project is linked to it; to integrate and summarize what is known in an area; and to learn from others and stimulate new ideas‟ (pg. 89). By drawing on previous research any conclusions made are subsequently strengthened and by taking information from many different sources it allows the research more generalizability (Sarantakos 2005). Page Whilst secondary research can be very beneficial, there are however many limitations. Due to the large amount of literature available selecting studies to include can be very time consuming. Also, as identified by Riedel (2000), data gathered does not specifically aim to 7 The most advantageous strengths for using a literature based review is it‟s less time consuming than carrying out primary research and it allows the author to gather credible, peer reviewed research which will best contribute to answering the research question. This gives further credibility to the dissertation as it gives the author a better understanding of the direction of previous research and the terminologies used within the field (Sarantakos 2005). answer the research question of the dissertation and therefore is not completely applicable, thus running the risk of taking the data out of the context it was originally intended (Britten et al 2002). Primary research was considered, however previous studies highlighted that a before and after period would be necessary and ideally be at least 12 months to measure emerging issues such as displacement and diffusion of benefits. Therefore, it would be impractical to conduct primary research as only a long term study would offer anything of importance to previous research. If primary research were to be carried out it would also mean that the research question could only be answered for one point in time. Also for primary research a relatively small scale study would have been completed (due to time constraints) and this would have meant generalising or drawing any conclusions from the results would have been impossible. Furthermore, to administer victim and offender self-report surveys would be very time consuming, and due to the nature of the research it could potentially pose many ethical issues. Also, it would be necessary to conduct some research at night potentially putting the researcher into contact with offenders, and for this reason was disregarded. 2.3 Accessing the Literature Information for this paper was gathered from books, policy reports, journal articles and external websites, as well as newspapers and transcript radio reports. There was however a focus on academic scholarly journals as these have been screened to rule out any inaccuracies and are therefore appropriate for professional use. For example it has been found that some journals reject 90% of reports that have been submitted to them for approval (Newman 2006) thus validating the importance of these sources. In selecting literature it was necessary to employ strict parameters. This is due to the need to select few studies from the large quantity available (Adair & Vohra 2003). Studies were chosen when they met these criterions: Due to the need for strict search parameters online databases are an invaluable tool to the researcher as these parameters can be applied with great ease. Databases were chosen if they had extensive coverage of literature, or if they were recommended by the Cambell Collaboration crime and justice group. The databases included: National criminal justice reference service abstracts (NCJRS), sociological abstracts, psychological information, criminal justice abstracts (CJA), JSTOR, ERIC, Applied social sciences index and abstracts (ASSIA) and the centre for problem-orientated policing (POP). In each database certain terms 8 Used street lighting as their main crime prevention method There was an outcome measure of crime Before and after measures were used At least one experimental and one control area Written in English High methodological quality At least 20 crimes measured, as this allows statistical soundness Page were inputted including: Street lighting, luminance, lighting, illumination, natural surveillance, illumination and situational crime prevention. Crime was added to the terms where necessary. Online databases allowed the extensive volume of research to be reduced to a manageable size through the utilisation of concise strict parameters. However, it is important not to rely solely on online databases as many studies are hidden away, never coming to the forefront of the research. This, as stated by Rosenthal (1979), is known as the 'file drawer problem'. Some research carried out by authorities such as the Home Office or, specifically for this paper, lighting companies, can be hidden and unpublished if findings do not conform with their ideologies or policy visions (Torgerson et al 2003), and there is a „ tendency for positive findings to be published rather than negative ones‟ (Knutsson and Tilley 2009:2). The use of internet search engines also proved very useful for literature retrieval due to the wealth of information available and the 24 hours a day availability. Another advantage is the extensive availability of work authored by experienced researchers (Bryman, 2004). However, this method of data retrieval is fraught with limitations. For example, there is no control over what is presented online and much information can be of poor quality meaning the researcher has to determine credibility of the source. Manual searching was also performed as all research will not be catalogued online. This can be achieved through searching references and bibliographies and allows the researcher to gather additional sources with relative ease. Books proved very useful, however this method proved very time consuming in pinpointing appropriate material. Many issues were encountered during the collection of data, with the most problematic being the huge quantity available. We live in a multidisciplinary world and therefore it would be costly to the reliability of the research to only select single forms of data retrieval. For this reason it was felt that the methods of data collection noted above allowed the researcher to best gather data whilst limiting time spent. The juxtaposition of online databases and manual searches provided a comprehensive amount of literature to analyse in the field of street lighting and crime. Page Through utilisation of a thematic synthesis, it allows the author to comprehensively synthesise previous research in the field to allow for knowledgeable conclusions and recommendations to be formulated. According to Thomas and Harden (2008) thematic synthesis consists of three stages. First is the „free line-by-line coding of the findings, next is the organisation of these „free codes‟ into related areas to construct „descriptive‟ themes, and finally is the development of these „analytical themes‟ (pg 7). This method allows researchers to „go beyond‟ the primary studies (Britten et al 2002) and develop hypotheses that can be tested. 9 2.4 Thematic Synthesis 2.41 Coding Coding is the process of „assigning units of meaning to the descriptive of inferential information compiled during a study‟ (Miles and Huberman 1994: 56) through „mechanical data reduction and analytical categoration‟ (Newman 2006). „A good thematic code is one that captures the qualitative richness of the phenomenon and which is usable in the analysis, the interpretation, and the presentation of research‟ (Boyatzis 1998:31). Initial coding of the information is an extensive process of „careful and repeated readings of the material. Meaningful units are then identified, highlighted and labelled‟ (Lyons and Coyle 2007). These nodes or categories often start as very descriptive and become more analytical as the research progresses. Preliminary initial coding of the data was undertaken, whereby recurrent themes were pulled. Page 10 It is necessary to condense the large amount of data into smaller units of information in order to make it easier for the researcher to analyse. This was very evident in this paper due to the complexity of the topic area. As more research was uncovered, these categories were relabelled and in some circumstances merged. The refining of these categories is known as „axial coding‟ (Strauss and Corbin 1998), and involves uncovering relationships between nodes. This process uncovered many themes that emerged within the literature. Through a process of merging these themes, three main analytical groupings were identified. These were: social, environmental and economic. It was felt that these best presented the issues that emerged from the literature and gave a good premise for answering the research question. 3. Environmental 3.1 Situational Crime Prevention Arguably the fastest growing form of crime control is that of situational prevention. Situational crime prevention works on the assumption that „for many purposes much crime is best understood as a rational action performed by fairly ordinary people acting under particular pressures and exposed to specific opportunities and situational inducements; and this crime is best prevented by manipulating opportunities and inducements‟ (Clarke, 1980:21). For this reason it is believed that through increasing the risks of engaging in criminal behaviour and reducing the anticipated rewards it will decrease criminal opportunities(Clark 1995). Many criminologists recognise the importance of the relationship between criminal disposition and situational opportunities. Felson and Clarke (1998) in their paper „Opportunity Makes the Thief‟ argue that opportunity is a „root cause‟ of crime and it demonstrates how theories can „assist thinking about crime prevention‟. It also highlights how society and locality can change crime opportunity, and the offender makes decisions in response to these changes (ibid). This indicates that any change in the crime opportunity, whether it be environmental design or otherwise, will produce a change in criminal behaviour. Waller and Okhiro (1978) found that offenders stated they chose targets due to their perceived risks and rewards. Therefore, if opportunities in these areas are reduced it is likely that offenders would be deterred. This can be achieved by increasing potential witnesses, street usage, and the offender‟s perception of a higher likelihood of being caught through methods such as increasing street lighting. Page Imagine the scenario proposed by Nick Tilley and Gloria Laycock: „Suppose all situational controls were to be abandoned; no locks, no custom control, cash left for parking in an open pot for occasional collection, no library check-outs, no baggage screening at airports, no ticket checks at train stations, no traffic lights, etc..., would there be no change in the volume of crime and disorder?‟ (2002:31) 11 Situational crime prevention has many criticisms on its effectiveness. These include: it is far too simplistic in nature, it has not been seen to work, it often displaces crime, it promotes a „big brother‟ society, it blames the victim, and it fails to recognise the root causes of criminal behaviour (Clark 2005). Eck (1993) also describes the „initial deterrence theory‟. This is the notion that the initial deterrence effects of crime prevention decreases over time as offenders understand its workings. For these reasons many criminologists feel that simply reducing opportunity is an ineffective crime prevention method. For example it may be ineffective in certain circumstances such as for the „professional‟ criminal or highly motivated offenders. It has also been suggested that expressive crimes are influenced by reductions in opportunity more than instrumental crime (Esbesen and Huizinga 1990). To answer this question it is important to look at the opportunistic theories of crime. Criminological theories tend to centre on distant factors such as biological makeup and social and psychological processes. The cause of this is a lack of focus on the interaction between the individual and the setting. This therefore leaves space for those theories which address the importance that situational opportunity has on determining an individual‟s behaviour. It was not until the advancements in theoretical understanding and the introduction of such theories, that situational crime prevention re-emerged as a respected crime prevention method. Felson and Clarke identify 10 principles of crime opportunity theories which include: opportunities play a role in causing all crime, crime can be prevented by reducing these opportunities, reducing crime opportunities does not usually displace crime, and focused opportunity reduction can produce wider declines in crime (Felson and Clarke 1988). These theories will be explain in further detail below. 3.11 Rational Choice Theory The first opportunistic theory covered is the Rational Choice Theory (RCT). It works on the assumption that offending is „purposive behaviour designed to benefit the offender in some way‟ (Felson & Clarke 1998:56). „This entails making decisions amongst alternatives‟ (McLaughlin & Muncie 2001:24). Research has found that the perceived costs of crime, specifically the perceived certainty of formal sanctions and arrest, heavily influence the cognitive decision making process of offending (Nagin & Paternoster 1994). Rather than street lighting acting as a physical barrier to crime, it works on the hypothesis that altering offender and resident attitudes and behaviour will result in crime deterrence effects. For example research has shown that an increase in street lighting can lead to increased street usage (Jacobs 1961), and an increase in community cohesion (Cooper & Innes 2009). Both these mechanisms increase the numbers of witnesses and thus increase the offender‟s perceived risks of being identified. A limitation of rational choice theory is it works on the presumption that crime is instrumental. It therefore does not explain expressive crimes such as vandalism and joyriding, and nonrational motives for crims such as moral, emotional and pathological. These crimes are less likely to be deterred by increased street lighting as it‟s unlikely that they will undergo any rational thinking. This therefore demonstrates the need for a more comprehensive theory to explain how street lighting acts to alter offender behaviour. One such theory is the Routine Activity Theory and is highlighted below. Page Routine Activity Theory (RAT) underpins SCT in that it suggests that changing opportunities act to deter offenders from engaging in criminal behaviour. Proposed by Lawrence Cohen and Marcus Felson (1979), Routine Activity Theory is an extension on RCT in that it assumes offenders make rational decisions. It proposes that for successful offending an 12 3.12 Routine Activity theory intersection of three criterions has to be present in space and time, resulting in a conductive environment for crime. These are: a suitable target, a motivated offender and absence of a capable guardian. Cohen et al (1981) describes capable guardianship as „the effectiveness of persons or objects in preventing violations from occurring‟ (pg 507), and Felson (2002) argues the most effective guardians are simply witnesses. Felson later amended the original theory to include a fourth criterion. This was labelled the „intimate handler‟ and describes another person who can enforce informal social control. A principle known as VIVA is used to determine how suitable a target is. VIVA consists of four criteria. These are value, inertia, visibility and accessibility. However it should be noted that what constitutes a suitable target is very subjective and varies enormously between offenders. The increased luminance from street lighting can result in higher street use and, it can be argued, increased numbers of potential victims accessible for offenders. It also gives the potential offender better visibility to determine how vulnerable and suitable a potential target may be. Once it is understood what factors need to be present to result in a conductive criminal environment methods can be put into practice to shape these to decrease criminal opportunity. Street lighting acts to alter this by means of increasing the number and efficacy of social guardianship. This is achieved through the resulting increases in law abiding citizens present in the area and increase in visibility. Greater visibility allows potential victims to assess situations at a further distance and with greater detail in order to determine whether an aggressive, defensive or avoidance reaction is needed (Raynham and Saksvikronning 2003). It can also be beneficial for witnesses as more of the details of the offender can be observed. Both these can deter offenders due to the improvement of guardianship. Page Another critique to opportunity theories is that they place equal influence on factors such as the perceived risk, accessibility of the target and perceived gains; however this may not be the case. For example if the perceived gains for committing crime are high then offenders are likely to go to greater lengths, down playing other factors such as risks. Determinist theories of crime would also predict that situational crime prevention in innefective due to the belief that the criminal‟s behaviour is inevitable and by blocking criminal opportunities street lighting can cause the offenders to move their delinquent behaviour elsewhere. This is known as displacement and is explained in further detail below. 13 It is also argued by Felson (1983) that law abiding citizen‟s routine activities „ set the stage for spatial and temporal patterns of illegal activities‟ (pg 665) and thus crime is a constant inevitability. It is suggested that these routine activities that can lead them to increasingly come into contact with potential offenders, and consequently cause a convergence in time of a suitable target, a motivated offender and a lack of guardianship (Fattah 1991). This is especially true for young people who generally spend more time engaging in non-household activities at night (Cohen & Felson 1979; Hindelang, Gottfredson & Garofalo 1978). However, this emphasis on routine activities and risk of victimisation has come under much scrutiny for its victim blaming nature (Miethe et al 1987). 3.2 Displacement & Diffusion of Benefits A key critique of situational crime prevention is the issue of displacement. Displacement is the notion that „the foreclosure of one type of criminal opportunity will simply shift the incidence of crime to different forms, times and locales‟ (Repetto 1976:167). „Studies of displacement tend to assume rational decision making on the part of the offender‟ (Hessling 1994:119) and as RCT predicts „offenders will displace their prevented crimes when the benefits for doing so outweigh the costs‟ (Felson & Clarke 1998:26-27). Repetto (1976) identified five types of displacement. These are: temporal, tactical, target, spatial and functional. As a result of the implementation of street lighting primarily spatial and functional displacement occurs. Spatial displacement describes the situation in which an offender commits the same crime but in a different area, and functional displacement occurs when the offender commits a different type of crime than was intended. Bar and Pease (1990) added to this list by suggesting a sixth category, which they named perpetrator displacement. This is the notion that due to an opportunity to commit crime being so appealing, that different offenders will commit the same crime in the same area repeatedly. This sixth type supports the use of street lighting in these problem areas and concurs with the ideas of rational choice and routine activity theory. Displacement has been reported in many early studies (e.g Press 1971; Tyrpak 1975) but recent studies have failed to observe the rates once shown and often find no evidence of displacement occurring at all. Guerette & Bowers (2009) assessed displacement among 102 evaluations of situational crime prevention initiatives. They concluded that crime does not simply relocate once a situational prevention method is employed; rather it is more likely a diffusion of benefits would occur. They also found that when displacement was evident it tends to be less than the gains achieved by the situational intervention (ibid). These findings are consistent with previous reviews of displacement (Eck, 1993; Barr and Pease, 1990). Repetto (1976) suggests that some crimes are so opportunistic that prevention in one locale will not lead them to commit crime in another. Many offenders commit crime due to an opportunity arising, and moving to commit crime in another area means the offender will have to actively seek these criminal opportunities. Page Clarke and Weisburd (1994) proposed the term „diffusion of benefits‟ and defined it as „the spread of the beneficial influence of an intervention beyond the places which are directly targeted, the individuals who are the subject of control, the crimes which are the focus of intervention or the time periods in which an intervention is brought‟ (Clarke & Weisburd 1994 pg 169). Diffusion works in two ways; diffusion through discouragement, and diffusion through deterrence. Street lighting predominantly causes diffusion through deterrence due to increasing the offender‟s perceived risk of committing crime. 14 It should be noted that there are two types of displacement, „benign‟ and „malign‟. Benign describes when crime is displaced but when the number of crimes decreases or the crime type is less serious and malign refers to the shift of crime increasing in prevalence or seriousness. For this reason displacement should not be seen as solely negative. Hesseling (1994) evaluated 55 street lighting projects with an aim to identify the presence of displacement and diffusion of benefit effects. It was found that in 22 of the 55 projects there was no evidence of displacement, and in the remaining studies the amount of crime displaced was never more than the total crime prevented. Mclennan & Whitworth (2010) in their paper „Geographical displacement or diffusion of benefit around area-based interventions‟ supported Hessling‟s findings and discovered that in around 23% of cases diffusion of benefits were present compared to only 2% of displacement. These studies confirm the importance of including control and adjacent areas to measure diffusion of benefit effects. It should be noted however that it is very difficult to measure displacement and diffusion of benefits due to the continuous fluctuations in crime (Barr & Pease 1990). For example an increase in crime in one area may have occurred without any crime prevention methods employed; and this increase in crime may be interpreted by researchers as an occurrence of displacement. Choosing the area to observe can also cause many problems. This is difficult as the researcher will have to second guess the offender as to where they will displace their crimes. As Barr and Pease 1990 state „some displaced crime will probably fall outside the areas and types of crime being studied or be so dispersed as to be masked by background variation‟ (pg 91). Secondly is the size of the area. How far away from the experimental area will crime have to be recorded? Offenders could choose to displace their crimes just outside the experimental area or they could choose to travel further distances to avoid detection. Weisburd and Green (1995) also identified the issue of contamination of the displacement area. This occurs when areas overlap and run the risk of crimes being recorded more than once. Another limitation of research was noted by Gurette (2009) who states „few examinations of displacement have explored or tried to measure the myriad ways displacement might behave‟ (pg 50). In focusing on spatial displacement the research is therefore bounded by the type of crime and area. Below is an outline of how researchers can use theories to best plan and put into practice street lighting initiatives, with a focus on how to best manipulate the environment to achieve the greatest effectiveness possible. 3.3 Crime Prevention through Environmental Design & Defensible Space Page Within CPTED are four main principles: natural surveillance, territoriality, maintenance and natural access control. CPTED works by drawing more people to use areas in the way that they are intended and therefore making these areas safer for the public through natural surveillance and increasing guardianship. Jacobs (1961) suggested that streets with high crime rates were caused by a lack of informal surveillance and by designing areas so that they can be constantly monitored will act as a deterrence. 15 In 1971 Jeffreys coined the term Crime Prevention through Environmental Design (CPTED). The term posits that „proper design and effective use of the built environment can lead to a reduction in the fear and the incidence of crime, and an improvement in quality of life‟ (Jeffrey 1971). Influenced by Jeffery‟s work on CPTED, in 1972 Oscar Newman propounded the theory of „defensible space‟. Defensible space expanded Jeffery‟s CPTED and conclusively identified a causal relationship between environmental design and crime. Newman (1972) analysed crime rates in New York estates compared to building height and discovered that as the height of buildings increased so did average crime rates. Newman suggests that for a „defensible space‟ to be achieved „dwellings should overlook outside areas, impersonal space should be reduced, and entrances should be made discrete for residents use only‟ (pg. 35). Marcus Felson (1987) also supported the manipulation of the physical environment in order to divert possible offenders away from potential targets or to areas where they can be monitored. He proposed this be done by enhancing guardianship through measures such as increased street lighting which would deter likely offenders from entering public areas due to the increased surveillance and increased perceived risk of being caught. Rubenstein et al (1980) also proposed the notion of social surveillance and suggested that by utilising the methods above that a resulting improvement in community cohesion would consequently increase the likelihood of residents reporting crimes. The placement of street lighting to maximise effect in these areas could be determined by exploring the Space Syntax Theory. 3.31 Space syntax theory Space Syntax theory works on the notion that any environment can be viewed as a mathematical matrix of areas and spaces, in particular pedestrian movement and luminance. This results in researchers being able to view what areas are in need of increased street lighting and what areas street lighting is effective (in terms of street usage), all before installing lighting. Hillier et al (1993) provide a framework for Space Syntax Theory and break it into two important sections, first being the „axial map‟. This is a representation of open spaces including line of sights. Second is representing this map in a graph form „where nodes represent lines, and edges depict their relations of intersections‟ (Choi et al 2006). Just like law abiding citizens, offenders also have their own routines and as Beavon, Brantingham and Brantingham (1994) identified offenders commit crime in nodes and walkways they most often use. It has also been found that edges (the boundaries that separate areas of different usage) often have high levels of crime due to the lack of informal social control (ibid). It can therefore be assumed that by identifying these areas that this would result in the greatest reduction in crime if street lighting was administered there. Page 16 Above is an overview of how theories can aid the policy maker in maximising the crime reducing effectiveness of street lighting (see appendix 1 for research scope and procedure), but at what cost? Any crime prevention method invariably will have some negative implications, and street lighting is no exception. Below the crime attracting nature of street lighting is addressed. 3.4 Street Lighting as a Crime Attracter Street lighting is frequently utilised in the development of CPTED and Defensible Space but can also itself paradoxically attract crime. In a document written for the Greater Manchester Police named „designing out crime: parks and public open spaces‟ it is suggested that „in certain situations, lighting may aid or encourage congregation, crime and disorder‟ and that „consideration should be given to (1) avoiding lighting in remote locations under minimal surveillance and (2) lighting car parks and buildings only during periods when authorised staff retain a site presence‟ (pg 15-16). 3.41 Vandalism to Street Lighting Due to the effectiveness of street lighting they can themselves become a target of vandalism. Gladstone (1978) highlighted the growing rates of vandalism to street lights and showed that 48% of 11 to 16 year olds in Merseyside admitted breaking a street lamp during the previous six months. Many vandals target lighting as it interferes with their delinquent behaviour and has meant that measures need to be employed to deter these criminals. However, it is not as simple as using tall columns to keep them out of reach from criminals as in some instances this may not be an option. For example, when lighting is close to buildings it would have to be taken into consideration the possibility of offenders using the lights to climb as a means of accessing properties. Propounded by Berlyne (1971), aesthetic theory states that the „positive hedonic value of a stimulus is determined by its potential for eliciting arousal, which can produce pleasure under specified conditions‟(pg 127). For this reason the sound of the breaking glass from vandalising a street lamp is going to elicit a greater arousal than the „thud‟ that would result from a plastic casing. Using unbreakable materials would reduce vandalism as the breaking of these would not create the visual and audio output the offender craves. This theory also predicts that offenders are less likely to vandalise in areas that area badly lit as they would not be able to view and appreciate the results of their vandalising behaviours. Aesthetic Theory also stresses that any vandalism that does occur should be repaired immediately so that offenders cannot return to the scene to „admire their work‟ (ibid). Page 17 A move towards the better protected street furniture lighting may be beneficial to public areas such as parks as it would offer a vandal proof solution. In research carried out for the Commission for Architecture and the Built Environment (CABE) it was found that 85% of people felt „that the quality of public space and the built environment has a direct impact on their lives and the way they feel‟ (CABE 2002). This stresses the importance of the maintenance and protection of street lighting. Modern light designs are starting to incorporate the mechanics into the luminaire making it more difficult to vandalise but replacing the old lighting systems is a lengthy process (Woolley 2003). 3.5 Light Pollution Most crime prevention methods are likely to have some form of negative impacts on the environment. How much is a key factor in whether or not these measures are utilised. In the case of street lighting the excess light emitted can cause light pollution and is a continuous cause for concern. A summary of the extent of these effects and how these effects are measured is given below. 3.51 Outdoor site-lighting performance (OSP) One of the primary disadvantages to street lighting is the resulting light pollution. The luminance emitted can interrupt sleep and cause unpleasant gaze, as well as causing nuisance to star gazers. OSP is a useful tool in ensuring maximising deterrence effects of lighting, whilst keeping light pollution to a minimum (Brons, Bullough and Rea 2007). OSP measures three factors of light pollution, which are glow, glare and trespass. Light trespass describes unwanted light that enters a property, glare is light that acts to impair vision and glow is light that rises and dominates the sky (see appendix 2). All these consequences of street lighting impact on energy use as they are unwanted light. Research has also found a connection to this over-illuminance and anxiety (Knez 2001). Page 18 OSP results from many studies (Raynham & Saksvikronning 2003; Knight 2010) identify techniques for improving lighting. They found that to minimise glow it was important not to exceed suitable luminance and to „minimise ground reflectance‟. It was also suggested that to minimise trespass light that buildings and walls be used to reduce light leaving the intended area, and for cut-off luminaires be used to reduce glare(ibid). 4. Social A problem encountered in early studies of street lighting and crime was that there was an assumption that because street lights only shine at night, that consequently their effects were restricted to night-time crime. This assumption has since been dismissed as research has consistently found crime reduction effects on daytime crime. It is therefore plausible that the increase in community cohesion and informal social control can in fact deter offenders. 4.1 Community Cohesion It has been found in many studies that there is a correlation between community cohesion and actual or perceived crime rates in the area (Cooper & Innes 2009). David Farrington and Brandon Welsh (2002) executed a meta-analysis of 13 British studies and found positive effects of street lighting on the reduction of crime, however surprisingly it was discovered that day time crime rates reduced as much as night-time rates. They proposed that community pride and cohesion was a major contributing factor to this. Many studies on community cohesion and crime suggest that areas with high community cohesion display lower crime rates (Shaw & Mckay 1942; Sampson & Groves 1989; Sampson & Raudernbush 1997; Hirschfield & Bowers 1997). This is due to communities with high cohesion levels acting to dissuade offenders from committing crime through strengthening informal social control. Another benefit of community cohesion is the increase in reporting rates. It was found in the Chicago Alley Lighting Project of Morrow and Hutton (2000) that subsequent to the employment of increased street lighting reporting rates rivalled that seen after the implementation of neighbourhood watch schemes. So does more community cohesion always result in less crime? Not necessarily. This is due to some communities being organised criminogenic communities and thus the stronger social bonds may in fact stimulate and sustain criminality (Hobbs 1988; Foster 1990). It also increases the numbers of offenders frequenting the area, hence allowing the spread of information on potential criminal opportunities and the formation of criminal gangs (ibid). 4.2 Fear of crime Page The effect of fear of crime on quality of life is arguably the most serious effect of crime. It can affect people‟s lives by limiting the continuation of daily routines and causing psychological stress. Research carried out in Brighton highlighted that of their respondents 19 Street lighting can also aid in crime prevention through its resulting psychological benefits and as stated „lighting is still recognised by the Home Office as having an important role, although primarily in terms of the reduction of fear rather than crime‟ (Ramsey & Newton 1991: 22). Painter (1988; 1991; 1994) demonstrated a causal relationship between increased street lighting and fear of crime (FOC). It was discovered that people reported a reduction in fear of crime as lighting was improved, the main reason given that it increased the distance to which they could assess situations and the perception that offenders had less places to remain hidden from public view (ibid). over ¼ stated they would not leave the house after dark, for fear of becoming a victim of crime (Demuth 1989). These results were in keeping with statistics seen in the British Crime Survey (Hough and Mayhew 1983). It has been found in many studies that fear of crime is primarily effected by crimes such as anti-social behaviour, youths hanging around on the streets and property crimes (Department for Communities and Local Government 2009). These crime can be seen to be significantly reduced as a result of the implementation of increased street lighting (Painter 1999), and it can therefore be hypothesised that the street lighting should increase cohesion through preventing these crimes. In Painter‟s Hammersmith and Fulham study (Painter 1989, 1991) on behavioural and FOC changes after increased street lighting, interviews and measurements of walkway usage were employed. It was discovered that walkway usage increased 101% for men and 71% for women. This was due to the reported decrease in fear of crime and increase in feelings of safety (ibid). Respondents also stated „you can see everything that moves outside now‟, „If you hear a noise outside and you look outside, you can recognise who they are‟ (pg 107). These statements highlight the effectiveness of street lighting in improving informal surveillance and reducing fear of crime and suggests that offenders perceived risks of committing crime in areas with high luminance are not misplaced assumptions. However, whilst street lighting‟s effect on fear of crime can be very beneficial in improvement of lifestyle and reduction of crime, it can also bring about some negative implications. For example, some levels of fear of crime ensure we avoid potentially dangerous situations for fear of becoming a victim. If fear of crime was removed it would result in this avoidant tactic lessening also, and unless crime was dramatically reduced additionally it would put many more individuals in potential harm. A limitation in researching fear of crime and ontological security is that there are many determinate „signal offences‟ that can be present that are difficult to account for. These „signal offences‟ are crimes that shake the foundations of our belief in a safe environment, often with a large press coverage or centre of discourse within a community. These crimes often include personal crimes and cases of rape and violent assault and can reduce the benefits of street lighting on FOC. Also many questions arise, the predominant being „what is fear of crime, and how should it be measured?‟ Many researchers rely on questions such as „how afraid are you of leaving the house after dark?‟ or „how afraid are you of becoming a victim of crime?‟ These questions are very subjective and are influenced by the respondents past experiences and opinions. Also surveys are often presented to respondents prior and close after the implementation of street lighting and thus it can be argued the immediate benefits on fear of crime may fade over time and are not accounted for. Page A theory that can explain the resulting crime attracting nature of street lighting as a result of benefits to community cohesion and fear of crime is the lifestyle/exposure theory. This theory is a subset of opportunity models of crime and suggests that the lifestyle an individual leads is a deterministic factor in their risk of victimisation. Lifestyle is defined as „routine daily activities, both vocational activities and leisure activities‟ (Hindelang, Gottfedson and 20 4.21 Lifestyle/exposure Theory Garofalo 1978:241). Felson (1994) puports that „crime derives from many of the good aspects of society‟ (pg 21) and that „society provides temptations to commit crime‟ (pg 22) through their routine activities. The resulting increase in street usage subsequent to improvement of FOC can cause individuals to alter their behaviour and spend more time outdoors after dark. This can potentially put them into contact with offenders more often, increasing their chances of victimisation. Street lighting offers a perception of safety and thus it is likely that an increased number of individuals will take greater risks, i.e. use walkways after dark, and thus increase their chances of victimisation. Whilst this theory can explain contributing factors for victimisation, it does however place the blame upon the victim through suggesting they contribute to their victimisation. However, the lifestyle an individual leads can also decrease the risks of victimisation. For example if their routines predominantly involve activities in groups it is likely that the resulting increase in social guardianship will deter criminals. 4.3 Investment in the area Implementation of street lighting may also improve pride in the area (Skogan 1990). Offenders often perceive that because of the investment in the area that it is likely that there will be high levels of informal social control and community cohesion, thus increasing risks of being caught (Taylor & Gottfredson 1986; Wilson & Kelling 1982). Page 21 This improvement of pride in the area predicts the reduction of crime in both daytime and night time and thus is a plausible theory for the crime reduction effects of street lighting even when they are turned off. This was supported in Painter‟s (1999) Stoke-On-Trent study where an increase in pride in the area was found to deter potential offenders from entering the area. However, it has been argued that high levels of pride in the area lead to increased street lighting due to residents pushing for improvements (Farrington and Welsh 2002). This would therefore suggest that it is community pride that deters offenders, rather than the increases in lighting. 5. Economic With any potential crime prevention method it is important to consider the economic costs and benefits, for example the costs of implementation and maintenance against the amount saved through prevention of offences. One method of acquiring this data is through the use of cost-benefit analyses. Below this method will be evaluated, as well as other methods of cost analyses. 5.1 Cost-Benefit Analysis Crime has a substantial expense to society with an estimated annual cost of between £35 billion (Association of British Insurers 1998b) to £60 Billion (Anderson 1999). Due to the recent spending cuts, cost efficient crime prevention strategies are crucial in reducing the financial hit on society as a result of crime. As Lynch and Rasmussen (2001) state „the one common subject in any budget decision is money. Other subjects are important, but they are mentioned in relationship to money or are translated into money‟ (pg 14). This stresses the importance for governments to employ cost effective crime prevention strategies. There is a need for cost-benefit analyses in crime prevention, but the complexity of the process and a „lack of rigorous program evaluation; which provides the necessary foundation for benefit-cost analysis‟ (Chisholm 2000 pg 15) is keeping many researchers from including it into their work. Extensive quantification of cost-benefit analyses has also proven to be very expensive (see Cohen 2000). For this reason there „is a relative dearth of extant cost-benefit analyses of crime prevention‟ (Roman & Farrel 2002:54). The most comprehensive to date was undertaken by Painter and Farrington (2001) on their Dudley and Stoke-On-Trent projects. In their revised cost analysis of these studies they used The Economic and Social Costs of Crime published by the Home Office (2000) and found a financial saving of between 2.4 and 10 times over a period of one year after the implementation of street lighting, therefore highlighting its cost effectiveness (for detailed data see appendix 3). However, there are many critiques of cost analysis due to researchers having to rely on estimates of costs of crime. There is also a tendency to assume that falls in crime rates are solely a product of improved lighting. The effects of increased street lighting may also wear off over time and thus a longer follow up cost analysis may be necessary. However, this may bring about further implications. For example if further improvements were made to the area, if a reduction in crime was observed it cannot be attributed exclusively to street lighting. Page Under much discussion is whether emotional and psychological costs of victimisation should be included in cost-benefit analyses of crime prevention and whether these can be estimated? General consensus is „no‟ due to many arguing that non-monetary costs are irrelevant, there are no estimates available, and costs vary dramatically with each individual (Roman & Farrel 2002). However, it is argued by some that many of the non-monetary costs of becoming a victim of crime greatly outweigh the financial costs. For this reason it is suggested that if they are not included in cost-benefit analysis, the effects of the initiative will be significantly 22 5.2 Intangible Costs underestimated. But can these non-tangible costs be measured? Miller et al (1996) proposed a victim-compensation model and identified that, for example, a victim of rape would incur $5,100 of tangible costs, but a higher intangible cost of $81,400 (see appendix 4). According to this model the effect of a crime on society and the victim cannot purely be based on tangible costs. Also without taking into account intangible costs the impact on society of certain crimes would also appear heavily underestimated. For example the costs of crimes such as burglary may look more costly than rape, and whilst in monetary terms of stolen property this may be true, the intangible costs of becoming a victim of rape are huge in comparison and have shown to be 62 times more costly (Roman and Farrell 2002). However it is argued by some researchers (Stephenson 2003) to be impossible to calculate the psychological and physical costs to victims of crime as it would be distasteful to put a price on human suffering. One method used to measure intangible costs is to ask individuals the amount of money they would be willing to pay to avoid a certain event, or the amount of money they would accept as compensation for the event actually occurring. Nonetheless this method is very subjective and relies heavily on the individuals past experiences and assessment. 5.3 Break-Even Analysis Ekblom and Pease (1995) suggest that when planning an intervention a break-even analysis should be cogitated. This analysis involves calculating the estimated costs of implementing the intervention, and determining how many crimes would need to be prevented to reach a break-even in costs. For example an intervention that costs x amount and to break even a 90% reduction in targeted crime would have to be achieved, a decision would have to be made as to whether or not this is attainable. If this reduction was unlikely to be achieved, it may be advisable to explore other crime prevention strategies. If the crime targeted had a high cost to society, the breakeven point may be a lot lower and therefore easier to attain. Although the cost analyses mentioned are fraught with limitations, estimating the costs of crime provides appraisals of past and present prevention methods, allowing decision on future measures to be evaluated based on previous facts and data gathered. New technologies are aiding in the development of cost-effective lighting systems, and are becoming increasingly important in the face of many spending cuts. Below is a review of present advancements. 5.4 Technology Advancements Page One such technology has been developed by TV Delft Alumnus Management of the Netherlands. The system has been shown to be 80% cheaper to run that present lighting, with a breakeven of 3 to 4 years. It uses LED lights, motion sensors and wireless communication 23 The main problem of street lighting is that they are lit all night long, even when no-one is around. For this reason they can cause substantial expenditure. The development of new technologies is an on-going process with some promising progress. meaning that the lighting can be dimmed when no one is in the vicinity. The system also allows messages to be sent to a control room when there are any failures to the lights. This technology would not only save money but would also make the maintenance process faster (which as seen previously in the vandalism to lighting chapter is essential) and increase the belief of surveillance due to their „spot light effect‟ (TV Delft Alumnas Management 2011). In July 2011 Bath and North East Summerset pioneered this technology on stretches of roads and have seen better illumination than previous lighting and a immediate saving of 40% on energy and a further 20% due to the dimming technology (ibid). Page 24 These new technological improvements could pave the way for cheaper, more efficient lighting systems, thus making street lighting a more desirable form of crime prevention for many councils. This is especially pertinent in the present day where councils are experiencing budget cuts and consequently looking for more cost effective crime prevention strategies. 6. Discussion The purpose of this dissertation was to answer the question „how effective is the utilisation of increased street lighting as a situational crime prevention method? This was to be achieved through the exploration of the environmental, economic and social costs and benefits. To assess how effective street lighting is as a situational crime prevention strategy it is important to consider the effects it has on altering offender‟s behaviour. Through engaging in the research it was apparent that street lighting acted to alter the behaviours of the offender with the majority of research suggesting this change was due to the deterrence effects of increased luminance, and although some evidence of displacement was found this was often greatly outweighed by diffusion of benefit effects. An issue raised in the research was the crime attracting nature of street lighting. This describes how the increase in luminance and obvious sign of an effort of crime prevention caused some offenders to target street lighting directly or use it to their advantage when targeting potential victims. This issue needs to be explored further due to the limited amount of research available. The issue of light pollution is also a cause for concern. However, although it was found that the glare and reflective nature of street lighting did cause some levels of light pollution, one has to ask if this is a small price to pay for its crime preventative efficacy. It should also be noted that technology has been implemented to reduce these effects and is gradually replacing the old problematic lamps. Page Economically street lighting has come under much scrutiny for its financial impact on council spending. Furthermore the process of cost analyse is shrouded with cynicism and the lack of any standardised measurements only reinforces these critiques. Whilst Painter and 25 In relation to the social costs and benefits of street lighting it was deemed effective if community safety was enhanced. It was found that the effects on community cohesion and informal social control, and the resulting deterrence effects, resulted in increased street usage and improvements in fear of crime. Both these allowed for an increase in capable guardianship and potential witnesses using streets and communal areas. As stated earlier in the paper when discussing RCT, this increase in street usage and informal social control acts to increases the perceived risks of potential offenders, deterring them from committing crime. However, Lifestyle/ exposure theory suggests that the lifestyle an individual leads can either increase of decrease their likely chances of victimisation. Street lighting was noted to affect this through its reduction effects on fear of crime. This led to increased street usage which, it was argued, could put more people into contact with potential offenders. Nevertheless, whilst in some instances this reduction in fear of crime was in favour of the offender, the improvement in informal surveillance was felt to be more beneficial to the law abiding citizen. These deterrence effects were also seen when exploring the effects of perceptions of improvement in the area. It was found that by the perception of a cohesive, well-kept area, that potential offenders were deterred from committing crime in the vicinity. However, due to the limitations of measuring fear of crime, exploration into attitudinal variations may be a more advantageous method of measurement. This would involve the investigation into changes of behaviour such as alterations in street usage patterns and lifestyle. Farrington‟s Stoke-On-Trent and Dudley cost analysis offers the most comprehensive research into this issue, it cannot however be used to support an argument for the cost effectiveness of street lighting. This is due to the monetary values given for crime prevented being estimates, falling foul to the subjective ideas and beliefs of the researchers. Whilst it is appreciated that the researchers utilised all data available to them, their staked interest in the performance of street lighting may have caused them to overemphasise the economic gains and should therefore be taken into consideration. Also there is much controversy as to whether to include intangible costs to crime. This merely supports the need for a more standardised practice and measurement of the costs of crime. Having said this, although Painter and Farrington‟s study was fraught with limitations, it should act as a foundation to which further research could build on. A promising advancement identified was the technological improvements in street lighting in recent years. Whilst many were still in trial stages, it does however pave the way for a more cost effective lighting solution. It should also be noted that they may indirectly improve the crime preventative efficacy of street lighting. For example the use of spot lighting technology that glow brighter when people are in the vicinity, could in itself deter offenders due to the perception that they are being watched. This has yet to be researched but is an interesting area for future study. 7. Conclusion and Recommendations for Future Practice Page Future research should also address the issue of displacement in more detail. Whilst displacement of crime has shown to be infrequent, studies could investigate what circumstances displacement occurs to develop methods to reduce this factor. Researchers should ensure that several control, adjacent and experimental areas are used. This would allow for the research of spatial displacement and diffusion of benefits. To add more reliability to the research these areas could also be randomly selected. It would also be beneficial to incorporate measurements of displacement and diffusion of benefits into all SCP initiatives to further our understanding of these effects. Future research should also look at the various types of displacement rather than focusing on spatial displacement as seen in the vast majority of previous studies. More crime specific research into displacement and 26 It is evident from this research that there are many issues that need to be addressed. For example whether it is the surveillance of street lighting or the effects of community pride that reduce crime rates? Future research should explore this deterrence/surveillance vs community pride issue. This could be achieved by administering self-reported surveys on pride in the area before and after the implementation of street lighting, and comparing these against data on crime rates. If it was found that a reduction in crime after street lighting was installed coincided with an increase in community pride then it can be assumed that the effects of lighting did in fact result in falling crime rates. However if it was discovered that community pride in the area was high before the introduction of street lighting then it could be argued that it is this pride that generated the improvements in the area. diffusion of benefits is also required due to it being argued by Cornish and Clarke (1987) that rational decision making varies enormously between crime types. For this reason it would be beneficial to determine what crime types are most affected by the utilisation of increased street lighting in order to better understand the how it aids in the deterrence of these crimes and how best to prevent this clear disadvantage. Also it may prove useful to research into whether the type of area where street lighting is installed has any effect on its crime prevention performance. For example it is argued that in only homogenous stable communities would fear of crime improve (Farrington and Welsh 2002). Research could also explore if the effects of street lighting are greater if implemented in areas where existing high crime rates are apparent. This would further our understanding into what circumstances street lighting works to its full potential. Anderson (1999) suggests that an offenders‟ decision making is a result of many factors, with street lighting being just one. For this reason would multiple prevention methods have increasing effectiveness? For example, would the combination of street lighting and CCTV may be more effective than street lighting alone? This could be achieved by employing street lighting in one experimental area, street lighting and CCTV in a second, and solely CCTV in a third. By comparing the results between the three areas it would allow researchers to explore whether the conjunction of the two is effective, or whether they are more effective independently. Many methodological flaws have also emerged i.e. sponsorship, placement of research areas and conflicts in the application of cost-benefit analyses. To progress the research of street lighting and crime these issues will have to be addressed. More standardised procedures could be a foundation on which to progress in this issue. For example research should utilise all methods of measurements of crime and changes in behaviour. Police statistics are primarily used in street lighting research, and can be subject to many flaws such as the high numbers of unreported and unrecorded crimes. This therefore can result in findings being very misleading. For this reason household surveys, self-reported offending and police statistics should all be used. The use of long term before and after periods are also essential in further practice as this would identify any existing crime trends in the area. It would also allow for the exploration into „initial deterrence‟ effects of street lighting as it has been argued that its deterrence effects are likely to fade over time, as seen in many SCP methods. Page In summary, it has been found that increased street lighting is a cost effective, efficient crime prevention method, and whilst there is much room for improvement in the research, there is an overwhelming majority that demonstrate the clear benefits for law abiding citizens. Furthermore, in all economic, social and environmental circumstances the research has 27 In economic terms street lighting has shown, in most analyses, to be a very cost effective crime prevention method. However, due to the limited amount of research available and the complexity of cost analyses many authors refrain from including them into their research. A more standardised measurement of cost to society should be established to encourage the use of cost analyses in future research. shown that the benefits of street lighting often outweigh the costs. For this reason it can be concluded that, on these fronts, street lighting can be deemed an effective crime prevention method and should be seen as an important tool in the prevention of crime. It also has many benefits over other SCP measures. For example it does not impede on civil liberties as seen in CCTV and it also benefits a large amount of people rather than single individuals. 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Evidence from the New Deal for Communities‟, People, Place & Policy, 4(3): 76-88 Winterman, D. (2012) "Light Pollution: Is There a Solution?" BBC News. BBC, 18 Jan. 2012. [Online]. Available at: <http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/magazine-16470744>. [Accessed 25 January 2012] Page 40 Woolley, H. (2003) Urban Open Spaces. London: Spon Press Appendix 1 Space Syntax Theory Research Scope and Procedure Page 41 Choi, A., Y. Kim, E. Oh, and Y. Kim. "Application of the Space Syntax Theory to Quantitative Street Lighting Design." Building and Environment 41.3 (2006): 355-66. Print. Appendix 2 Excess Illuminance 1. Upwards reflected light - unwanted but unavoidable light bouncing off the ground 2. Useful light - the right amount of light 3. Direct upwards light - wasted light shining above a fitting 4. Spill light - falls outside where it is needed 5. 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