13 July, 2013 (15th International Conference on Social Dilemmas) E‐mail: [email protected] Psychological processes of linkage between social dilemmas and social exchange Misato Inaba 1,2 2 Nobuyuki Takahashi *1 JSPS Research Fellow , Japan *2 Hokkaido University, Japan 1 Overview • Linkage – Giving resources only to social dilemma’s cooperators while not giving to SD defectors in a social exchange. • Research question: What is the psychological mechanism of linkage? • Experiment 1 – People engage in linkage behavior. Experiment 2 – Internal attribution is necessary for linkage. • Discussion: Does engaging in linkage behavior promote self‐interest? C D 2 Linkage • Making two or more types of situations interdependent (Aoki, 2001). – EX.) Activity among local community members and helping behavior. link You would rather help those who positively participate in the local community. • This is sometimes called reputational mechanism. – People won’t be nice to someone who has bad reputation. 3 Linkage between social dilemmas and social exchanges • Social exchange – Non‐economic exchange. Obligation involved in the exchange is unspecified, at least initially. – “One person does another a favor and while there is an expectation of some future return (Blau, 1964)”. – Prisoner’s dilemma games and indirect reciprocity games can be regarded as types of social exchange. • How could linkage with social exchange solve social dilemma? – Those who have bad reputation in SD are excluded from the social exchange, which means they lose the benefit of social exchange. – Linkage will work as a selective incentive for cooperating in SD. 4 Linkage as a solution to social dilemma • Previous laboratory experiments showed linkage between SD and several types of social exchange. • Consequently, mutual cooperation in SD was facilitated. (e.g., Milinski et al., 2002; Vyrastekova & van Soest, 2007; Sylwester & Roberts, 2013). Vyrastekova & van Soest (2007) – Participants played an SD game and a PD game alternately. – Linked condition and unlinked condition. • The cooperation rate in SD was higher in the linked condition than in the unlinked condition. • In the linked condition, the more participants contributed in SD, the more they were given resources in PD game. ‐>SD and PD were linked. 5 What kind of psychological mechanism exists to explain linkage? • Past studies showed that people engage in linkage behavior. • Why do people engage in linkage? Experiment 1 • Do people engage in linkage behavior? • We also explored possible psychological mechanisms underlying linkage. Experiment2 • We examined the psychological mechanism suggested in Exp.1. • Is internal attribution necessary for linkage? 6 Exp. 1 : Do people engage in linkage behavior? And, why? • Social exchange: Repeated PD • Participants: 41 students (M=28, F=13) • Each group consisted of 5 members. The 1st stage SD game The 2nd stage Repeated PD game 7 Exp. 1 Condition and dependent variable • Condition: partner’s SD history – SD cooperator condition: the PD partner was an SD cooperator. – SD defector condition: the PD partner was an SD defector. • Dependent variable – Giving rate in the 1st PD – If the giving rate is higher in the cooperator condition than in the defector condition, linkage occurred. 8 Exp. 1 Result Giving rate in PD game 80.5% 41.5% SD cooperator SD defector (χ2 (1) =13.12, p<.001) • Participants gave more to an SD cooperator than to a defector. • They engaged in linkage behavior. 9 Exp. 1 Result: Psychological mechanism • People engaged in linkage behavior. ‐>What is the psychological mechanism behind linkage? Post‐experimental questionnaire • People perceived SD cooperators as good‐ natured. • People expected good‐natured people to give at a higher rate. • People gave their resources when they expected partner’s giving behavior. 10 Exp. 2 • Do impression formation and expectation cause linkage behavior? • We manipulated the possibility of internal attribution. – Attribution of behaviors to internal traits is necessary for impression formation. Hypothesis Internal attribution of partner’s behaviors is possible ‐> linkage would occur impossible ‐> linkage would not occur 11 Exp. 2 Is internal attribution necessary for linkage? • Participants: 57 students (M=45, F=12) • In each session, two groups participated. • Each group consisted of 4 members. The 1st stage Group A SD game The 2nd stage Repeated PD game Group A Group A did not exist. Group B Individual task Group B 12 Exp. 2 The 1st stage Group A: SD • Endowment: 500 yen • Given a card: Two behavioral choices to use the endowment were written. • Each member chose his behavior from the choices written on his card. Example of card Choice X: Cooperate Y: Defect Choice X: Cooperate Y: Cooperate Group B: Individual task • Members of Group B engaged in an individual task which is completely different from SD. 13 nd The 2 stage Exp. 2 • Participants played a repeated PD game with each of the 4 members of the different group. – Endowment: 50 yen per partner Note: Group A did not exist. Participants belonged to Group B. Group B • PD partners: members of Group A. • They knew their partners’ history on the 1st stage SD game. Conditions were manipulated by the choices written on the card and which behavior each partner chose (within‐subject factors). 14 Exp. 2 Conditions Intention condition No intention condition Two choices Only one choice cooperate cooperate cooperate defect defect defect cooperate defect Linkage: participants gave more to an SD cooperator than to an SD defector. Prediction: linkage would occur only in the intention 15 condition. Result: Giving rate in PD *** Exp. 2 cooperator defector 73.7% 56.1% 57.9% 26.3% intention no intention Logistic regression, interaction is significant. (β=2.13, p<.001) Only in the intention condition, participants gave more to an SD cooperator than to a defector = linkage occurred 16 Exp. 2 Positive impression (7‐point scale) *** 5.21 cooperator defector Expectation of partner’s giving in PD *** 78.9% cooperator defector 66.7% 52.6% 4.29 4.10 3.28 14.0% intention no intention GLM, interaction is significant. (F(1,56)=85.01, p<.001) intention no intention Logistic regression, interaction is significant. (β=3.72, p<.001) These items show the same pattern. 17 Exp. 2 Mediation analysis Psychological process of linkage behavior Impression 1.74*** Condition 3.72*** 1.04** 2.13*** ‐0.58 (2.13***) Expectation of partner’s giving in PD Giving in PD 1.90*** Impression formation and expectation of partner’s giving are the psychological processes of linkage behavior. 18 Summary of results • What kind of psychological mechanism explains linkage? – People form a good impression toward an SD cooperator and expect his giving behavior, – while they form a bad impression toward an SD defector and therefore expect non‐giving behavior. – This is why people engage in linkage behavior. • Thus, impression formation and expectation of partner’s behaviors cause linkage. 19 Does engaging in linkage behavior promote self‐interest? *Since it depends on the structure of social exchange, here we limit our discussion to a case of repeated PD. • If people choose their behavior in social exchange independently of SD, linkage behavior would not be profitable for an actor. – Those who engage in linkage would lose the opportunity to attain mutual cooperation with SD defectors. – A certain type of person may defect in SD but cooperate in a social exchange. – Those who engage in linkage would not be able to form good exchange relationships with them. ‐>Thus, linkage might even be a maladaptive strategy. 20 Future direction • The results of current study suggested that people have a belief that human behaviors are consistent across situations. ‐>Linkage may be a mechanism which takes advantage of behavioral consistency. • If there is actually a correlation between behaviors in social exchange and SD, linkage could be adaptive. ‐>In the future studies, we need to examine when correlation emerges so that linkage behavior promotes self‐interest. 21 Thank you! Psychological processes of linkage between social dilemmas and social exchange Misato Inaba Nobuyuki Takahashi E‐mail: [email protected] 22 Game theoretic explanation of linkage Aoki(2001) • To assume that people have a shared belief that “people would not give resources to SD defectors in another social exchange.” • Since behaviors in SD would become a shared knowledge, SD defectors expect not giving from others in another social exchange. • Then, SD defectors should defect in the social exchange. • This expectation, defection by SD defectors causes people to defect toward SD defectors in the social exchange from the beginning. 23 SD Coop Defect Coop Coop Shared belief “People would not give resources to SD defectors.” Defect 24 SD Coop Defect Shared belief “People would not give resources to SD defectors.” PD Coop Coop IfDefect heI defected gives me, I would in the SD, so give him. But people if he would does not notgive give me, I menot resources in the PD, would give him. then Whether will he give meNot-give or not? He would think like this, then I defected in the SD, so people would not give me resources in the PD, then Not-give Not-give 25 Knowledge manipulation Exp. 1 • For preventing shared belief from working, we manipulated participants’ belief about what the other people know. Participants were told ... Nobody knows the other people’s behaviors in SD. But ONLY YOU know what your partner did in SD. Your partner believes that you does not know what he/she did in SD. Note: We used deception for this manipulation. 26 Although you know whether your partner is a Exp. 1 SD cooperator or not, your partner believed that you does not know what he/she did in SD. 2nd stage PD I defected in the SD, so people would not give me resources in the PD, then Not-give I wonder what he thinks. He would think like this, then ? My partner does I defected in the SD, so people not know that I would not give defected in SD. me resources in Not-give the PD, then Not-give Don’t know Know 27 Giving rate in PD game 90.91 Exp. 1 SD cooperator SD defector • Participants who cooperated in the 68.42 59.09 SD gave more in the PD game. • Both participants who cooperated in 21.05 the SD and defected in the SD engaged on linkage cooperated defected behavior. Participants’ SD behavior (cooperated: N=22, defected: N=19) 28 Exp. 2 Mediation analysis Psychological process of linkage behavior Impression 1.74*** Condition 3.72*** 1.04** (2.13***) ‐0.58 Expectation of partner’s giving in PD Giving in PD 1.90*** Impression formation and expectation of partner’s giving are the psychological processes of linkage behavior. 29 Exp. 2 Positive impression scale • • • • 1 Ill‐natured ‐ 7 Good‐natured 1 Disagreeable ‐ 7 Agreeable 1 Unapproachable ‐ 7 Approachable 1 Untrustworthy ‐ 7 Trustworthy conditions Alpha Intention‐ SD cooperator 0.85 Intention ‐ SD defector 0.76 No intention ‐ SD cooperator 0.91 No intention ‐ SD defector 0.39 30 Exp. 2 Mediation analysis Independent Model 1 Model 2 variables Intercept 1.03 *** ‐3.84 ** Intention ** ‐0.51 ‐0.78 (0=Intention) SD behavior *** ‐0.03 ‐2.06 (0=cooperator) Interaction 2.13 *** 0.74 Impression Expectation of partner’s giving in PD ‐ ‐ 0.99 *** ‐ Model 3 Model 4 1.60 *** ‐3.54 * ‐0.97 * 0.50 ‐0.31 0.41 0.71 ‐0.58 ‐ 1.04 ** ‐2.03 *** ‐1.90 *** 31 Exp. 2 Positive impression and expectation DV: Expectation of partner’s giving in PD Independent variables Model 1 Model 2 1.32 *** Intercept ‐2.38 * Intention (0=Intention) ‐3.13 ** ‐1.88 *** SD behavior (0=cooperator) ‐1.22 *** ‐0.60 Interaction Impression 3.72 *** ‐ 2.58 *** 0.74 *** Impression Condition Expectation 32 Types of social exchange • Conditions under which linkage becomes a rational behavior may depend on the type of social exchange. • Current study: Repeated PD – Direct exchange and Forced play • In some types, correlation may not be needed. – Selective play • Competitive altruism will work. – Indirect exchange • Milinski et al.(2002), Sylwester & Roberts (2013) 33
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