ENERGY AND SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT By A. Anantha GM, REC Sustainable Development Sustainable Development means ‘Development that meets the needs of the present day without compromising the ability of future generations to meet their needs’ Background In the last 50 years Global GDP grew around fourfold Despite high population growth rates in developing countries average per capita increase by about 30% Adult illiteracy and infant mortality in developing countries cut by half Concerns Growing social stresses due to conflicts and inequality, poverty etc Environmental degradation For Next 50 years The global economy may grow further more than four folds Poverty may reduce considerably Govt. Attention Needed To reduce poverty Maintain Growth Improve social cohesion Protecting Environment Energy Consumption worldwide P rim a ry E ne rgy n pt io n CMoillio ns um t o nne s o il P o pula t io n P e r C a pit a E ne rgy C o ns um pt io n m illio ns Kgo e US A 2 2 9 8 .7 2 9 2 .6 7856 China 1204.2 1,300.0 926 R us s ia n F e de ra t io n 6 5 6 .9 14 4 .6 4543 J a pa n 5 0 4 .9 12 7 .7 3954 India 350.4 1,070.8 327 G e rm a ny 3 3 2 .1 8 2 .6 4021 C a na da 3 0 2 .3 3 1.6 9566 F ra nc e 2 5 9 .6 6 0 .0 4327 Unit e d Kingdo m 2 2 5 .4 5 9 .3 3801 S o ut h Ko re a 2 11.8 4 7 .5 4459 It a ly 18 1.0 5 8 .0 3 12 1 B ra zil 18 0 .0 18 1.4 992 9 8 0 0 .8 6 3 13 .8 15 5 2 Wo rld A v e ra ge India is 5th largest energy consumer. Per Capita energy consumption is very low. Source: BP Stats 2005 Energy Consumption in India Consumption in million % of total tonnes of oil equivalent Oil 113.1 32.3 Natural Gas 26.9 7.7 Coal 190.6 54.4 Nuclear 4.1 1.2 Hydro 15.7 4.5 Total 350.4 100 Consumption by energy type in 2003 Source: BP Stats 2005 Energy Challenges Improve access to energy which is Sustainable Reliable Affordable In order to Alleviate poverty Promote energy savings Promote renewable and sustainable technologies Energy Challenges for Sustainable Development Tackling climate change Promoting environmentally sound energy Use of efficient technologies Meeting growing energy needs Capacity building Energy Efficiency and DSM Energy efficient technologies Compulsory energy audit annually End use efficiency Demand Side Management measures like peak saving, time of the day metering etc Energy Needs For Urban areas- High Demand For Rural areas- Varies from life line to medium demand Sources of Energy In rural Areas (villages) Fuel wood, biomass, biogas, kerosene etc Decentralised electricity generation locally Electricity supply through grid The status of village electrification in India as on 31.03.2004 Total No. of census villages – 587556 Total No. of census villages electrified –474982 (81%) Balance villages to be electrified – 112401 * (19%) * As per the new definition of village electrification (effective from 2004-05) total no. Of un-electrified villages is estimated to be 1,25,000 The status of household electrification in India Total No. of households – 13.8 Cr. (2001 census) Total No. of household electrified – 6.02 Cr. (44%) Balance household to be electrified – 7.78 Cr. (56%) Rajiv Gandhi Gramin Vidyutikaran Yojana (2005) Create Rural Electricity Backbone Wire villages/hamlets Power to all BPL families – last mile connectivity Electrify public places Develop franchisees Policy Targets As per Rajiv Gandhi Grameen Vidyutikaran Yojna, April 2005. in 5 years…. Electrify all villages and habitants Provide access to electricity to all households Give electricity connection to Below Poverty Line (BPL) families free of charge. Through creation of : Rural Electricity Distribution Backbone (REDB) with at least one 33/11 kV (or 66/11kV) sub station in each block. Village Electrification Infrastructure (VEI) with at least one distribution transformer in each village/habitation. Decentralised Distributed Generation (DDG) system where Grid supply is not feasible or cost effective. Work in hand States Districts Villages Households As on 31.03.06 22 196 51,284 unelectrified + 74,615 electrified 72,78,758 Additional 10,000 villages electrified under RGGVY (05-06) Electrification of Villages Electrification of Unelectrified Villages 250000 Intensive Electrification 230000 220000 200000 150000 100000 50000 50000 40000 35000 20000 10000 581 207 0 122 765 350 0 00-01 01-02 02-03 03-04 04-05 05-06 06-07 07-08 (Projected) 38 08-09 Achievements/ Targets 10,000 villages electrified by March 2006 40,000 villages targeted to be electrified by March 2007 Additional 25,000 villages targeted for intensive electrification Funds required Rs. 7500 crores i.e. about Rs. 600 crores per month Challenges Timely flow of funds Holding price line of equipments Creation of viable franchisees Availability of reliable power AT&C Losses-Present status (All India AT&C loss ) Sl.No. Source: MOP site/Power Finance Corporation / * State Electricity Regulatory Commission 1a b c d 2 3 4 5 6a b c 7 8 9a b 10 11 12 13a b c d 14 15a b c State / Utility APCPDCL (Andhra Pradesh) APEPDCL (Andhra Pradesh) APNPDCL (Andhra Pradesh) APSPDCL (Andhra Pradesh) Arunachal Pradesh Assam Bihar Chattisgarh BSES Rajdhani (Delhi) BSED Yamuna (Delhi) NPDL (Delhi) Goa Gujarat DHBVNL (Haryana) UHBVNL (Haryana) Himachal Pradesh Jammu & Kashmir Jharkhand BESCOM (Karnataka) GESCOM (Karnataka) HESCOM (Karnataka) MESCOM (Karnataka) Kerala Poorva KVVCL (MP) Pashchim KVVNL (MP) Madhya KVVCL (MP) 2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 29.68* 19.32* 26.84* 27.26* 61.8 39.44 77.64 38.68* 47.40* 61.89* 47.79* 22.98 31.24 41.39 42.54 29.52 61.71* 53.00* 35.7 43.54 47.73 35.68 29.08* 34.05 43.41* 51.13* 19.12* 17.79* 10.41* 17.17* 16.26* 43.35 77 38.87* 45.07* 54.29* 44.86* 21.28 30.98 48.68* 52.84* 9.27 67.56* 65.00* 28.91 43.86 31.66 25.82 27.44* 42.68* 45.66* 57.06* 23.95 14.27 21.91 20.55 37.26 40.40* 74.09 45.07* 40.64* 50.12* 33.79* 17.27 30.32 36.39 43.12 21.71 68.33 69.23 24.83 42.99 41.64 26.62 32.12 44.37* 38.86* 53.17* AT&C Losses-Present status All India AT&C loss (contd..) Sl.No. Source: MOP site/Power Finance Corporation / * State Electricity Regulatory Commission 16 17 18 19 20 21a b c d 22 23 24a b c 25 26 27 28a b c d 29 30a b State / Utility Maharashtra Manipur Meghalaya Mizoram Nagaland CESCO (Orissa) NESCO (Orissa) SESCO (Orissa) WESCO (Orissa) Pondicherry Punjab AVVNL (Rajasthan) JDVVNL (Rajasthan) JVVNL (Rajasthan) Sikkim Tamilnadu Tripura Dakhinachal VVN (U.P) Madhayanchal VVN (U.P) Pashchimanchal VVN (U.P) Poorvanchal VVN (U.P) Uttaranchal West Bengal CESC (WB) 2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 44.3 76.86 42.34 49.55 53.82 55.04* 52.25* 49.76* 47.30* 41.66 23.19 41.22* 41.97* 39.99* 80.43 18.00* 34.31 48.00* 48.00* 48.00* 48.00* 40.74 34.53* 19.30* 44.18* 69.73 39.31 40.75 55.59 51.10* 50.36* 51.56* 46.18* 41.01 22.40* 44.57* 41.56* 38.62* 66.54 18.00* 31.53 43.21* 43.21* 43.21* 43.21* 43.38 43.92* 17.90* 26.62 88.50 38.16 22.11 39.53 49.37* 42.96* 45.71* 40.60* 40.49 20.62* 49.75 47.56 43.22 63.60 18.00* 30.87 48.00* 38.00* 43.00* 38.00* 42.85 35.66* 16.80* AT&C Loss % of various states (based on 04-05 figures) Less than 20% Goa Tamil Nadu Between 20% and 30% Andhra Pradesh West Bengal Himachal Pradesh Maharashtra Punjab Mizoram Between 30% and 40% Karnataka Kerala Assam Meghalaya Arunachal Gujarat Nagaland Tripura Above 40% Delhi UP Bihar Jharkhand MP Uttaranachal Rajasthan Haryana Manipur Assam J&K Chattisgarh Orissa Pondicherry Sikkim Projections for Electricity requirement by MOP Year Billion kWhr Installed Capacity (GW) 7% 8% 7% 8% 2006-07 700 700 140500 140500 2011-12 982 1029 197060 206440 2016-17 1377 1511 276385 303330 2021-22 1931 2221 387645 445690 2026-27 2709 3263 543690 654865 2031-32 3799 4793 762555 962210 Source: Draft Integrated Energy Policy document 10 Plan-wise Projected Installed Capacity (MW) 250000 7% 8% 200000 150000 100000 50000 0 XI Plan (2007-12) XII Plan (2012-17) XIII Plan (2017-22) Source: Draft Integrated Energy Policy document 11 IVX Plan (2022-27) VX Plan (2027-32) Household Energy Consumption in India (July 1999June 2000) Fuel Type Physical Units MTOE Rural Urban Total Rural Urban Total Fire Wood & chips (Mt.) 158.87 18.08 176.95 71.49 8.13 79.62 Electricity (BkWh) 40.76 57.26 98.02 3.51 4.92 8.43 Dung Cake (Mt.) 132.95 8.03 140.98 27.92 1.69 29.61 Kerosene (Mltrs) 7.38 4.51 11.89 6.25 3.82 10.07 Coal (Mt.) 1.20 1.54 2.74 0.49 0.63 1.12 L.P.G. (Mt.) 1.25 4.43 5.68 1.41 5.00 6.41 Source: Derived from NSS 55th Round, (July 1999- June 2000 data, National Sample Survey Organisation, Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation, Government of India 12 The Current Situation Large parts of rural India not electrified Poor service levels – 12 to 15 hour power cuts common in several large states Erratic voltage and rampant breakdowns High AT&C losses % of Rural Households Unelectrified 30 Average Hours of Supply 25 20 15 10 5 M ad h y Pu n a Pr jab ad An Ka e s dh rn a h ra ta Pr ka ad e G sh Ta uja m ra il N t ad u M ah Bih a r ar a Jh sht ar ra kh an d Hi We Ori s m s ac t B sa ha en l P ga l Ut rad ta e s h r Ch an c h ha t is a l ga rh G o Ke a ra la 0 Illustrative Cost structure of SEB Supply Tr. Cost & Loss 110 Generation Fuel Expense 34 140 Distribution Cost & AT&C Loss 309 (P/kWh) Generation Capital Delivered cost to consumer = 662 P/kWh AT&C loss of 48% Distribution cost of 60 P/kWh Transmission cost of 20 P/kWh & 7% losses Cost of generation for servicing incremental load considered Imperative that economic and fiscal policies should address the core issue along with the reduction in other underlying costs Franchisee The Energy/ Electricity distribution and collection models should be on the basis of franchisees for a sustainable development Indian Energy Scenario Revenue Collection problems India- 17% of world population, 4% of primary energy Present pattern- predominantly fossil based 56% of households unelectrified Linkage between energy services and quality of life Power Generation Options Power Generation Centralized (Grid Connected) Decentralized Distributed Generation (Isolated/ Grid interconnected) Cogeneration Demand Side Management ( Export) (Solar water heater, passive solar, Energy Conservation etc.) Typical Village Load Profile Source Prof. Rangan Banerjee, IIT Mumbai DDG- Issues Execution at mass level To contain tariff within affordable limits To pursue/encourage private companies and local bodies Local/ Consumer participation Inconsistent SEBs policy Mapping of energy resources Low load factor Standardization of units Combination Of Grid And Off Grid Operations DDG also to support grid power as a supplement Minimum guarantee of supply hours to be given by the States/ State utilities at normal rates Balance hours supply through DDG at DDG’s determined tariff Average cost of supply through grid and off grid to be reasonable and affordable To improve the PLF, if required, Power may also be exported to the grid or third party by paying wheeling charges, wherever applicable Regulatory Issues - DDG As per the Electricity ACT 2003 no license requirement for stand alone generation and distribution in notified rural areas Interconnection with grid may bring State Regulatory Commissions in picture- Matter needs to be addressed For stand alone system the tariff can be fixed by the operator, regulatory commission has no jurisdiction in such areas notified as rural Private operators of DDG systems must follow certain guidelines to be notified by the Govt. of India regarding periodicity of increasing the tariff and the basis of increase Safety regulations to be followed even for DDG as per the Electricity Act 2003 DDG- Policy Interventions No Customs or Excise Duty to be charged Income tax holiday for 10 years No Electricity Duty or other levies Talukas as Rural Economic Hubs Talukas are manageable Talukas can be self sufficient with local resources Talukas may be converted to Rural Economic Hubs DDG can meet the supplementary energy needs of the Talukas Employment generation in Talukas would reduce migration to cities Decentralization would work well for developmental goals and against economic deprivation Give equal opportunity to all Talukas Rural industries will get a boost It will be sustainable REC LTD. SHOULD BE THE APEX AGENCY FOR RURAL DEVELOPMENT AND REFINANCING BEING ALREADY SPREAD ACROSS THE COUNTRY AND BEING CONSIDERED FOR NAVARATNA STATUS Way Forward….. Need to improve Rural Energy Delivery systems Encourage DDG as supplementary power option Framing of Decentralised Distributed Generation Policy at National level Develop talukas/ blocks as rural economic hubs for sustainability Utilise RGGVY infrastructure for feeding power through DDG as supplementary power to protect the investments made under RGGVY Priority to energy efficiency and DSM measures Investments to be made in T&D sector to cut down AT&C losses drastically Concrete efforts required by all stakeholders for sustainable development Conclusion Growing energy demand and shortage of resources call for the urgency to focus attention on energy efficiency and demand side management besides reducing AT&C losses. Energy generation to be more decentralised also for meeting local needs through grid or off grid. Investments have to be made now with a vision for sustainability. All energy options to be exploited to the extent feasible Thank You
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